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Article

A Prosumer Hydro Plant Network as a Sustainable Distributed Energy Depot

by
Michał Morawski
and
Przemysław Ignaciuk
*
Faculty of Technical Physics, Information Technology and Applied Mathematics, Lodz University of Technology, 93-005 Lodz, Poland
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Electronics 2024, 13(15), 3043; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics13153043
Submission received: 24 June 2024 / Revised: 22 July 2024 / Accepted: 30 July 2024 / Published: 1 August 2024

Abstract

:
The shortage of efficient, low-cost storage depots inhibits the large-scale adoption of volatile-by-nature, renewable sources of energy (RSEs). In this paper, we outline how to utilize prosumer-owned hydro plants of a few to several kW as a distributed, short-term energy storage solution that is deployable with little investment and a low operational expenditure. The proposed solution is a system of interconnected hydro depots with an active water-flow control algorithm that reduces the grid’s load variability and benefits prosumers. According to the tests conducted, prosumer revenue grows from several percent to over 30 percent, depending on weather conditions, in comparison to the free-flow case. In turn, the cushioning effect of the distributed energy buffer balances the fluctuations introduced by other RSEs, e.g., photovoltaic- or wind-based ones. Hence, while benefitting the involved parties, it also facilitates the inclusion of RSEs within the power distribution system.

1. Introduction

Electrical energy is considered the bloodstream of today’s society. Electricity use in homes, industry, transportation, and building cooling and heating results in increased demand on a daily basis. Meanwhile, energy generation continues to be expensive, both from an environmental and an economic point of view. Global pollution, the growing cost of fossil fuels, and political pressure are just a few factors that encourage energy production from renewable sources (RSEs), e.g., the sun, wind, waves, geothermal energy, and water movement [1]. Unfortunately, the amount of energy retrieved from RSEs depends heavily on temporal weather conditions. RSEs provide inexpensive energy either at random hours (wind) or around noon (solar, mostly photovoltaic (PV)). In contrast, the demand remains at a similar level until the evening, as illustrated in Figure 1. Hence, costly, fossil-fuel-sourced plants need to be engaged in the evenings, but their activity should be constrained in favor of RSEs if the sun or wind is available. Moreover, energy generation from traditional thermal plants cannot be constrained too much due to technological factors. As a result of market dynamics, energy prices are set low (or even negative) at certain times to then reach a higher order of magnitude a few hours later, resembling the ‘duck curve’ depicted in Figure 2, which shows the initial days of July 2023 in the Polish energy market. In the interest of all stakeholders, this disparity should be reduced.
A self-imposed solution to the producer–consumer disparity is to store surplus energy when it is cheap for a later time when costly sources are incorporated. Unfortunately, today’s technology does not permit executing this on a larger scale [2]. For instance, pumped hydro plants in Poland can deliver, at most, 5% of the overall power demand, and the battery depots only deliver 1% at most. Both of these traditional methods, as well as prospective hydrogen-based systems, are expensive to deploy and maintain. The low durability of electromechanical batteries further restricts a good return on one’s investment. Hence, seeking a new, low-CAPEX (capital expenditures) and low-OPEX (operational expenditures) option for energy storage is desirable.
Recently, a substantial change in the electricity market has been observed. Traditional, large power plants are being supplemented by small-scale facilities installed by citizens on their own premises. These citizens are electricity consumers during certain hours of the day and producers at other times and are thus called prosumers. On the one hand, the popularity of prosumer installations advances the adoption of RSEs; on the other hand, it threatens the stability of the energy supply system by forcing extreme load changes on traditional plants.
This study contributes to the aforementioned challenges in the following ways:
  • We propose engaging prosumer hydro plants with a peak power in the range of a few kW in order to form a distributed energy depot;
  • We design an active control scheme, which allows for both increasing the revenue of the plant owners and reducing the load variability imposed on legacy thermal plants (“beheading the duck” [3]), thus achieving a win–win solution;
  • Contrary to the typical approach, which focuses on a single hybrid generator, e.g., [4], we show how to co-ordinate a network of plants for a safe and efficient distributed system operation.
Figure 1. Energy generation from principal RSEs and predicted energy demands in Poland for 1–6 July 2023 (1 July was a Saturday [5]).
Figure 1. Energy generation from principal RSEs and predicted energy demands in Poland for 1–6 July 2023 (1 July was a Saturday [5]).
Electronics 13 03043 g001
Figure 2. Fluctuation in next-day market energy prices [PLN/MWh] in the Polish market over 1–6 July 2023, following the ‘duck curve’ [5].
Figure 2. Fluctuation in next-day market energy prices [PLN/MWh] in the Polish market over 1–6 July 2023, following the ‘duck curve’ [5].
Electronics 13 03043 g002
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, the traditional methods of hydro plant control are discussed. In Section 3, we elaborate on the differences between conventional and prosumer plants. In Section 4, a discrete-time dynamic model of water flow in a multi-hydro plant system is constructed, and a procedure to optimize its operation is described. In Section 5, we evaluate the algorithm’s performance for a broad spectrum of test data. Then, we discuss the implementation considerations in Section 6. Finally, conclusions are drawn in Section 7.

2. Control of Hydro Plants

In the literature, hydro plants (HPs) are classified as normal (>100 MW), medium (<100 MW), small (<15 MW), mini (<1 MW), micro (<100 kW), or pico (<5 kW) HPs, although the actual values vary by region [6,7]. Most of the research concentrates on small, medium, and normal HPs, which play a pronounced role in electricity supply. In this paper, owing to their significance for prosumers, micro- and pico-HPs are investigated. They encompass numerous formerly abandoned mills with small artificial ponds, swamps, and other natural formations, commonly known as run-of-river HPs [8,9], thus requiring insignificant capital expenditures for deployment. For example, currently, in Poland, less than 5% of possible installations are used for energy production [10]. Moreover, numerous online service publications show that pico-HPs can be easily deployed without specialized equipment [11]. Thus, the target area of the study conducted in this work is important. Of course, a single prosumer depot is not a game-changer. However, a revenue-oriented, optimally scheduled set of prosumer HPs may constitute an efficient energy storage system resistant to perturbances with low operational costs. In fact, similar circumstances led to the popularity of PV installations, which have become a common element of the present landscape.
However, there is a fundamental difference between PV and HP installations. The PV ones are mutually independent, whereas the proper operation of an HP depends on all the stations upstream being linked in a cascade. In the past, the scheduling of the operation of a cascade of HPs has been investigated as a case study [12] rather than as a networked system subjected to a control action, i.e., each plant was adjusted manually without enforcing a common framework. While a suitable scheduling plan can be defined in this way, it may not account for the optimal operating conditions or pose a risk in terms of drought/flood protection. Other approaches consider simplified models, reducing the cascade to a single-plant case [4], where the dams are at a close distance [8,13] or located on one river but not on its tributaries [9,14]. A solution conceptually closest to the one discussed here has been proposed in [13], albeit it targets large, concentrated installations and not the distributed HPs under prosumer management.
Technically, the steering of energy production at a hydro plant is not an intricate process. By raising the weirs, one constrains the water flow and, by lowering them, one increases energy generation. However, establishing the correct sequence of raising and lowering the weirs is far from obvious. Usually, the scheduling strategy is categorized as long-term (1–5 years), mid-term (3–18 months), and short-term (2–14 days) [15]. Nevertheless, in the case of prosumer HPs, such strategies are of limited usefulness due to the small volume of the ponds. In the considered case, a meaningful scheduling strategy should span the range of a few hours or, at most, one day. Moreover, it should focus on decreasing the generation–consumption imbalance in the evenings and mornings (Figure 2) or, equivalently, take advantage of the fluctuating market prices resulting from the disparity between forecasted and actual demands [16] (Figure 1).
The optimal scheduling of the HP water release problem has been investigated for a long time ([15,17] and the references therein). However, in those studies, HPs were examined only in the context of either flood/drought protection or power generation. Here, a third role of HPs is explored, i.e., the potential to provide an energy depot [2]. Instead of focusing just on the amount of generated electricity, HPs may constrain the river flow when the energy is cheap and increase it when the price grows, thus creating an efficient energy buffer. The overall amount of the generated energy will remain the same, but the HP owner revenue will grow by embracing the short-time changes in the price profile. Simultaneously, the fluctuation of energy generation from the traditional thermal plants decreases. A similar idea has been explored in [18], but it is destined for large installations, not the prosumer ones considered in this work.

3. Prosumer Hydro Plants

Not all RSEs are sensitive to the influence of weather fluctuations, e.g., geothermal, tide-based, or large, costly hydro HPs [19]. Here, the focus is on small, flexible installations, i.e., micro- [6] and pico-HPs [20]. They are typically deployed as run-on-river installations [8,21], i.e., without large dams and reservoirs, and thus they do not have significant expenditures or intrusion into the environment [21]. As opposed to larger HPs, which are not affected by local atmospheric conditions since the amount of water over the predictions is negligible compared to the reservoir volume, the limited storage space of micro- and pico-reservoirs does make them susceptible to weather variability. For instance, a local storm can promptly fill up the pond near one micro-HP while a nearby one simultaneously has sunny and dry conditions. Today, precipitation forecasting is not precise enough to deal with such situations. The water runoff models are not accurate either [22]. Therefore, when the weather is unstable, the plant schedule has to be recomputed frequently to adjust the system to the most recent circumstances or the price variability in a real-time, balancing market [16]. Contrary to the commonly used numerical optimization approaches, the algorithm presented in this manuscript takes a fraction of a second to execute, even on a low-end device.
A set of HPs uses the water from upstream plants and tributaries. Hence, improper control may breed a flood. Therefore, it is mandatory to synchronize the HP operation, explicitly taking into account diverse factors:
(1)
Geographical factor—the distance between the plants and the ensuing delay of water reflow;
(2)
Weather-related factor—the predicted precipitation level and uncertainty level;
(3)
Application-oriented factor—the use of the HP cascade as a distributed energy depot combined with the common function of power generation.
Usually, the control schedule is established using numerical optimization procedures, incorporating artificial intelligence techniques to tackle the computational burden [15,17,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29]. However, these procedures exhibit robustness issues in the considered application area, even in relatively simple cases [29]. Moreover, the large amount of time that one needs to arrive at a solution (using reasonable computing resources) contradicts the need for plan adaptability, i.e., introducing changes to the control schedule when the weather is unstable or a malfunction occurs.
To capture factors (1)–(3), information about different delays in the water flows on the links connecting the reservoirs is explicitly incorporated into the dynamical model constructed in this work. Using the system’s dynamical representation, an optimization problem is stated. It may be solved analytically if saturation is absent [30]. In contrast, here, the natural constraints are embedded in the algorithmic solution. This proposal brings benefits not only to prosumers by increasing their economic gain but also to the power grid operators by reducing the load variation for the standard power plants.

4. System Model

Usually, HP modeling concentrates on the optimization of the work of generators, ignoring the supply system [23]. Here, the generator is considered a black box, and the focus is placed on the connected HPs as a water supply system. A key point to consider in a water reflow system is the non-negligible time between issuing the control action at one reservoir before it influences the water level at a downstream one. Therefore, as opposed to the earlier models of storage networks, e.g., [31], in the approach advocated here, the control principles from time-delay storage systems [32,33] will be applied. However, the models proposed in [32,33] assume continuous-time control adjustment, which is challenging to realize in a water control system owing to the specifics of the mechanical components steering the dam weirs. The model in this work explicitly covers the effects of a finite sample time and will be constructed directly in the discrete-time domain.

4.1. Single-Plant Depot

Let us consider the model of a single HP as a constituent element of the system illustrated in Figure 3. The water budget dynamics at the plant may be described via the recursive relation
s j ( k + 1 ) = s j ( k ) f j ( k ) + i p l a n t s             u p s t r e a m f i ( k T i j ) + r j ( k ) ,
where
  • k ∈ [1, m] is a time instant and m is a scheduling horizon;
  • sj(k) is the amount of water stored in the reservoir near plant j (in Figure 3, plant j = 3 is shown in an enlarged view); sj(k) encompasses hydroengineering construction as well as nearby swamps and similar areas;
  • fj(k) is the amount of water used to drive the power generators installed at dam j in the time between instants k and k + 1;
  • rj(k) is the supply from external hydrological sources like rain (and its runoff), melting snow, uncontrolled tributaries, and vaporization. The rj(k) values can be obtained from the weather forecast and hydrological models within the planning horizon of m periods. rj(k) may be positive (prevalence of precipitation) or negative (prevalence of vaporization). rj(k) is assumed to be known in the model. When the true value of rj(k) differs from the forecast, the algorithm is run again, which does not involve complex computations, as discussed in Section 4.3.
The tributaries supply the reservoir with the water previously used by the plants upstream. The water from upstream plant i arrives at plant j with Tij > 0 delay. The period length Δk, i.e., the time between instants k and k + 1, can be selected arbitrarily, but according to the pace of price changes, it is reasonable to choose 1 h down to 15 min, depending on local regulations. Similarly, the planning horizon m may cover a 24 h window of known energy prices (the next-day market). The initial flow fj(k ≤ 0) and the initial water level sj(0) are assumed to be known. The terminal condition sj(m) can be selected arbitrarily.
The income from the plant obtained in one period may be calculated as
J j ( k ) = η j p j ( k ) f j ( k ) Δ k ,
where
  • pj(k) is the energy price at instant k. The fact that all the HPs are connected to the same system does not induce the same price profile for each plant j. The owners may have a contract with different companies, use different tariffs, or have different consumption patterns themselves;
  • ηj is the efficiency of power generators, incorporating the impact of the dam height. For the prosumer generators in the lowlands, the flow of 1 m3/s corresponds to the power generation of 5–7 kW.

4.2. Multi-Plant Depot

Similar to PV, as the number of HPs grow, their impact on the grid increases. A collection of pico- and micro-HPs may constitute a large, distributed energy depot.
In the case of n power plants in the same river basin, the model variables are grouped into vectors:
s ( k ) = [ s 1 ( k ) s 2 ( k ) s n ( k ) ] ,   f ( k ) = [ f 1 ( k ) f 2 ( k ) f n ( k ) ] ,   r ( k ) = [ r 1 ( k ) r 2 ( k ) r n ( k ) ] ,
where s(k) is the vector of reservoir water level, f(k) is the vector of water volumes in inter-reservoir flows, and r(k) is the vector of water volumes from exogenous sources, respectively.
Derived from (1), the networked system dynamics are described by
s ( k + 1 ) = s ( k ) + t = 0 T Θ t f ( k t ) + r ( k ) ,
where T is the maximum delay, and matrices Θt group the information about the geographical topology and flow delays. Θ t = [ θ i j ] n × n , with θij = 1, if the flow from reservoir j reaches reservoir i with delay t, and otherwise, it is 0. Θ0 describes the outflow from the system. Contrary to [13], here, the distance between plants is non-negligible. For the example from Figure 3, the longest delay T = 3 (the flow between reservoirs 1 and 3) and
Θ 0 = [ 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 ] , Θ 1 = [ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 ] , Θ 2 = [ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 ] , Θ 3 = [ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ] .
For the multi-plant system, the quality index (2) becomes
J = k = 1 n J j = k = 1 n j = 1 m J j ( k ) = k = 1 n j = 1 m η j p j ( k ) f j ( k ) Δ k .
The stakeholders tend to have contrasting objectives. Prosumers try to maximize Jj, whereas the grid operators want to maximize J. A convenient way to reconcile their interests is a price system. The algorithm presented in the latter part of this paper satisfies the objectives of both plant and grid owners.

4.3. Control Algorithm

The main challenge to solving problem (6) relates to the complexity of system dynamics originating from the presence of non-negligible delay in (4). An additional difficulty stems from the physical restrictions imposed on the variables f(k) and s(k)
j , k f j min f j ( k ) f j max , j , k s j min s j ( k ) s j max , j s j ( m ) = S j ,
where Sj is an arbitrarily chosen terminal value.
As stated above, the standard solvers are not robust in the class of problems considered here [15,17,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29]. Therefore, to address the computational aspects, a three-step min–max optimization procedure sketched in Figure 4 is applied. Each step of the algorithm is explained below. The communication among HPs conforms to the well-known industry standard Message Queuing Telemetry Transport (MQTT) [34], which provides both security and synchronization among the plant controllers.
  • Step 1, initialization:
Input: price profile.
Output: preliminary water flow schedule.
Objective: Determine the intervals of accumulation and earning within the considered time frame, as shown in Figure 5. When the energy prices are above the average, then it is time to earn money (earning interval). Otherwise, one should store the water (accumulation interval). In the first case, f(k) = fmax, and in the latter case, f(k) = fmin for each k in the respective interval. As a result, for plant j, hj periods with length mjp are obtained. Since the HPs are managed independently owing to different tariffs or demands, the segmentation pattern may differ for each HP. Either way, this step does not involve complex computations. The approximation obtained in Step 1 may result in crossing the bounds of s(k) defined in (7).
  • Step 2, local optimization:
Input: price profile and preliminary water flow schedule computed at Step 1, as well as the inflow (i.e., predicted rain, tributaries inflow, the schedule of upstream plants) to the system.
Output: locally optimized flow schedule. The result does not cross the limits defined in (7).
Objective: Looking for the optimal flow within each period found by execution of Step 1.
Since two kinds of periods exist, it is reasonable to split Step 2, accordingly.
Step 2a (accumulation interval): If, for any k, sj(k) > sjmax, it means that the water flow is constrained too much. Thus, the inflow of water floods the pond. Therefore, it is desirable to find instant k* with the highest price within interval nj and increase the flow by sj(k*) − sjmax, but not above fjmax. This step is repeated until the condition sj(k) ≤ sjmax is satisfied for all k in the investigated interval.
Step 2b (earning interval): If, for any k, sj(k) < sjmin, it means the flow is excessive. Thus, one should find an instant k* with the lowest price in this interval and constrain the flow by sjminsj(k*) but not below fjmin. This step is repeated until the condition sj(k) ≥ sjmin is satisfied for all k in the investigated interval.
Step 2 is executed for each HP, starting from the upstream ones. The maximum number of iterations is p m j p 2 for each HP j, which is low enough to perform in real-time, even for a large-scale system. Step 2 is illustrated in Figure 6. After computations, the maximum possible gain is obtained within each interval.
  • Step 3, global optimization:
Input: price profile and locally optimized water flow schedule computed at Step 2.
Output: globally optimized flow schedule.
Objective: Rescheduling water flow within the whole optimization horizon.
Step 2 results in the optimal flow within each earning/accumulation interval and guarantees that condition (7) is satisfied for each interval nj. Possibly, there is room for globally boosting the system’s performance. By observing the events illustrated in Figure 6, one may note that in the hours 0–19, the pond occupancy grows nonmonotonically until the reservoir fills up. The filling and draining intervals are delineated by the instants when the pond saturates. The rescheduling inside these intervals does not influence the final volume of reservoirs, so it is possible to increase the flow when the energy is expensive and decrease it by the same value when the energy price is lower.
The maximum number of iterations in Step 3 is similar to those in Step 2. The result of an example Step 3 is shown in Figure 7.
  • Final considerations
The algorithm is executed whenever the input values change, e.g., when new energy prices are announced or a weather forecast update rj(k) is obtained. The results must be broadcast to all the concerned owners in the HP’s network because Step 2 of the algorithm needs the output from upstream plants. The algorithm can be run locally using inexpensive hardware, e.g., a microcontroller.

5. Evaluation

The four-node topology in Figure 3 was used for the algorithm assessment. It is simple enough to illustrate the algorithm’s properties while covering the major challenges of a prosumer HP network originating from arborescent topology and non-negligible delay among the plants. No common management is assumed—the prosumers make the control decisions at their plants independently from each other. Only broadcasting the control decisions is necessary. Formal regulations can easily enforce it.
The algorithm from Section 4 was tested using diverse price profiles taken from [5], including those illustrated in Figure 2, in the presence of a moving wave of intensive rain and the corresponding runoff depicted in Figure 8. The computations were executed for each profile and different volumes of ponds. In all the cases, an exogenous flow of constant intensity f(k) = [2, 3, 5, 5] × 103 [m3/h] supplies the system. Other system parameters are taken as fmax = [5, 6, 10, 10] × 103 [m3/h], fmin = [0.5, 0.6, 1, 1] × 103 [m3/h], s(0) = s(m), smin = 0.1 × s(0), smax = 2 × s(0), with the initial water level s(0) set as follows:
Scenario 1 (small-size reservoirs): s(0) = s(m) = [0.5, 0.75, 1.25, 1.25] × 104 [m3];
Scenario 2 (medium-size reservoirs): s(0) = s(m) = [1, 1.5, 2.5, 2.5] × 104 [m3];
Scenario 3 (large reservoirs): HPs are connected to larger artificial lakes with a negligible probability of saturation, s(0) = s(m) = [2, 3, 5, 5] × 104 [m3].
Figure 8. Example price profiles scaled to the same average and assumed precipitation pattern with runoff used to validate results.
Figure 8. Example price profiles scaled to the same average and assumed precipitation pattern with runoff used to validate results.
Electronics 13 03043 g008
While the algorithm does not expect any specific relation among the price profiles, for the sake of readability, all the HPs share the same data. For that reason, the turbine output is also taken as a linear function of the flow intensity ηj(fj(k)) = const.
Table 1 summarizes the prosumer’s gain and the grid operator’s overall payoff. The gain is established with respect to the case when the HPs are not controlled. The discrepancy in the final state under free flow is refilled or released at the average price.
The data shown in Table 1 reveal that the larger the pond volume, the more profit obtained. However, with the proposed algorithm applied, even for small reservoirs, the relative monetary benefit reaches several dozen and grows with price variability, albeit not linearly. The data also show that small changes in rj(k) or pj(k) may lead to a substantial discrepancy in the outcome. The gain grows when the distance between the HPs increases, which is attributed to a larger difference between pj(k) and pj(kTij). It is worth noting that the algorithm tends to fill up the ponds at low prices around midnight yet does not allow for floods. This behavior is advantageous as the ponds contribute to the soil moisture, thus alleviating the problem of persistent droughts in various regions.
The algorithm opts for the maximum or minimum flow intensity f(k) rather than intermediate ones. This property facilitates turbine construction and maintenance by increasing efficiency in the nominal conditions.
The results obtained using the proposed algorithm, summarized in Table 1, are much better than those obtained by standard optimization algorithms [29]. Moreover, all the downstream HPs are protected from otherwise common floods and droughts (Scenario 2).
The balancing market may earn additional profit for both the prosumers and grid operators [16]. When the grid operator to which the prosumer network is connected detects a lack of energy, it may trigger an immediate water release or, conversely, constrain the flow in the case of surplus.

6. Implementation Aspects

Prior to deployment, a few more aspects should be considered:
  • Legal issues. System deployment requires consent from the regulator of water resources and corresponding agreements from the grid operators.
  • Information exchange. The designed algorithm requires a reliable communication platform among prosumer plants. We propose MQTT [35] for this purpose.
  • Weather forecast. Next-day forecasting is currently not accurate enough to predict local storms several hours ahead. However, radar-based imaging provides thorough precipitation estimates in a timeframe of a few hours.
  • Depots as a real-time system. Each HP’s controller operates independently from others. Hence, the system is potentially prone to unfavorable phenomena from distributed systems like rushes or deadlocks. The MQTT protocol solves this issue without increasing computational load as the schedule calculation takes only a fraction of a second, and the forecasting updates are infrequent.
  • Depots as a control system. The system operates in an open loop. The updates to the schedule only impact the downstream HPs. The system is bounded-input bounded-output (BIBO) stable.
  • Security. The proposed communication platform conforms to high industry security standards [35].
  • Computational resources. The proposed algorithm does not require high-end computing resources to execute. It operates and communicates efficiently on low-end, inexpensive devices.

7. Conclusions

This paper presents an optimal strategy to control a system of connected HPs, forming a sustainable, distributed energy depot. Such a system benefits both the power grid operators by reducing fluctuations in the grid load and the plant owners by increasing their income. It can be deployed with low capital and operational expenditures. In addition, by slowing down the precipitation runoff, the system elevates the resilience to floods and droughts in the area, which is of paramount importance in the face of climate change. The control algorithm does not assume the same price pattern or the scheduling horizon used by different stakeholders. The HP owners are not forced to co-operate—they only need to broadcast their control decisions to neighbors. As opposed to the adverse PV “inverter combat” [35], the co-operation among prosumers in the proposed scheme boosts their profits. Also, contrary to pumped HPs, energy accumulation does not incur extra costs, so even small price variations allow for increasing the revenue.
The presented algorithm performs better than classical optimization procedures in terms of numerical stability and robustness [29]. It can be implemented with negligible computing resources and triggered asynchronously at the HPs. While the final income depends on the weather, forecast accuracy, variability of energy prices, and other external conditions, the increase compared to a non-controlled case falls in the 20–70% range and should grow with the impact of RSEs, especially PV and wind RSEs.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, M.M. and P.I.; methodology, M.M.; software, M.M.; validation, M.M. and P.I.; formal analysis, M.M. and P.I.; investigation, M.M.; resources, M.M. and P.I.; data curation, M.M. and P.I.; writing—original draft preparation, M.M.; writing—review and editing, P.I.; visualization, M.M. and P.I.; supervision, P.I.; project administration, P.I.; funding acquisition, P.I. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This work was performed in the framework of project no. 2021/41/B/ST7/00108: “Robust control solutions for multi-channel networked flows”, financed by the National Science Centre, Poland.

Data Availability Statement

All the data are available publicly [5].

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest. The funders had no role in the design of the study; in the collection, analyses, or interpretation of data; in the writing of the manuscript; or in the decision to publish the results.

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Figure 3. Model of connected hydro plants in a river basin. Plant 3 (magnified) is supplied by the inflows from reservoirs 1 and 2 with delays indicated by thick arrows (Δk—sampling period) and exogenous sources, e.g., rain or tributary in the south. The amount of water delivered to the plant from these sources within Δk at instant k is f1(k − 3), f2(k − 2), and r3(k), respectively. The outflow from the dam generators at plant 3 is f3(k). The input and output flow difference is buffered in the pond, whose current water volume is denoted by s3(k).
Figure 3. Model of connected hydro plants in a river basin. Plant 3 (magnified) is supplied by the inflows from reservoirs 1 and 2 with delays indicated by thick arrows (Δk—sampling period) and exogenous sources, e.g., rain or tributary in the south. The amount of water delivered to the plant from these sources within Δk at instant k is f1(k − 3), f2(k − 2), and r3(k), respectively. The outflow from the dam generators at plant 3 is f3(k). The input and output flow difference is buffered in the pond, whose current water volume is denoted by s3(k).
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Figure 4. Algorithm flow chart.
Figure 4. Algorithm flow chart.
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Figure 5. Illustration of Step 1: identifying accumulation and earning intervals for the price profile from 6 July. Marked periods impact the version of Step 2 of the presented algorithm.
Figure 5. Illustration of Step 1: identifying accumulation and earning intervals for the price profile from 6 July. Marked periods impact the version of Step 2 of the presented algorithm.
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Figure 6. Flow intensity obtained in Step 2 for the pattern from Figure 5. No action is required for the first 3 periods. In the last period, terminal condition s(m) is violated, so the flow needs to be constrained.
Figure 6. Flow intensity obtained in Step 2 for the pattern from Figure 5. No action is required for the first 3 periods. In the last period, terminal condition s(m) is violated, so the flow needs to be constrained.
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Figure 7. Outcome of Step 3 juxtaposed with the outcome of Step 2 (Figure 6). Arrows mark the rescheduled water volume.
Figure 7. Outcome of Step 3 juxtaposed with the outcome of Step 2 (Figure 6). Arrows mark the rescheduled water volume.
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Table 1. Profit gain [%] with respect to free flow [m3] for the price profiles from Figure 7 and different reservoir sizes.
Table 1. Profit gain [%] with respect to free flow [m3] for the price profiles from Figure 7 and different reservoir sizes.
ProfilePlant 1Plant 2Plant 3Plant 4All PlantsRemark
Small-volume ponds (Scenario 1)
Sunny10.8511.8010.986.749.71
Partly cloudy4.524.806.951.694.44
Rainy2.542.416.62198.5234.55When Plant 4 is left uncontrolled, then the production drops below the minimum for 5 h.
6 July 202310.1310.3513.3928.1617.30
2 July 202329.2533.8159.5346.6447.30
Medium-volume ponds (Scenario 2)
Sunny20.1319.3815.9111.4415.65
Partly cloudy11.9812.0713.8638.1721.29When Plant 4 is left uncontrolled, then the production drops below the minimum for 3 h.
Rainy9.3111.3717.4465.6133.05When Plants 3 and 4 are left uncontrolled, then the production drops below the minimum for 5 h (both), and Plant 3 experiences a flood during 2 h.
6 July 202314.4713.7714.2549.9225.15When Plant 4 is left uncontrolled, then the production drops below the minimum for 4 h.
2 July 202368.5068.3469.7982.8374.03When Plant 4 is left uncontrolled, then the production drops below the minimum for 2 h.
Large-volume ponds (Scenario 3)
Sunny21.0420.8219.5216.1518.86
Partly cloudy14.7314.7214.4319.4316.76When Plant 4 is left uncontrolled, then the production drops below the minimum for 1 h.
Rainy6.936.796.615.786.41
6 July 202315.3915.1813.8312.3613.82
2 July 202359.5256.8380.1365.4767.83
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Morawski, M.; Ignaciuk, P. A Prosumer Hydro Plant Network as a Sustainable Distributed Energy Depot. Electronics 2024, 13, 3043. https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics13153043

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Morawski M, Ignaciuk P. A Prosumer Hydro Plant Network as a Sustainable Distributed Energy Depot. Electronics. 2024; 13(15):3043. https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics13153043

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Morawski, Michał, and Przemysław Ignaciuk. 2024. "A Prosumer Hydro Plant Network as a Sustainable Distributed Energy Depot" Electronics 13, no. 15: 3043. https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics13153043

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