Retirement Income and Financial Market Participation in New Zealand †
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Institutional Background and Literature Review
2.1. The Ageing Population and the Retirement Pension System in New Zealand
2.2. Review of the Literature on Retirement Income
2.3. Financial Literacy and Financial Market Participation
3. Data and Methodology
3.1. New Zealand Household Economic Survey Data
3.2. Methodology
4. Empirical Results
4.1. Summary Statistics
4.2. Regression Analysis: Objective Measurements
4.2.1. Baseline Results: Annuitised Net Wealth
4.2.2. Subsample Tests: Objective Measurements
4.2.3. Robustness Tests: Alternative Approaches
4.3. Regression Analysis: Subjective Measurements
4.3.1. Baseline Results
4.3.2. Subsample Tests: Subjective Measurements
4.3.3. Robustness Tests: Subjective Measurements
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Variables | Description | Observations |
---|---|---|
Overall Annuitised Net Wealth | The present value of the remaining years of New Zealand government pensions (including NZ superannuation, veteran’s pension, war disablement pension, surviving spouse pension and other types of New Zealand government pension) are added to individual net wealth in 2018. The final value is the individual’s overall net wealth, and this value is annuitised based on remaining life expectancy (according to gender and region) and the discount rate (inflation-adjusted T-bill rate in 2018). The natural logarithm of overall annuitised net wealth is the final value for this variable. | 2163 |
Annuitised Net Wealth (without Government Pensions) | This value is the logarithm of annuitised net wealth without government pensions. Annuitised net wealth is overall net wealth (at the interview time) annuitised based on the remaining life expectancy and the discount rate. | 2136 |
Overall Life Satisfaction | Survey question: I’m now going to ask you a very general question about your life. This includes all areas of your life, not just what we have talked about so far. Very dissatisfied = 1, dissatisfied = 2, neither satisfied nor dissatisfied = 3, satisfied = 4, very satisfied = 5. For this question, only one person from each household answered the question, and we duplicated the answers for other members in the same household. | 1848 |
Financial-Situation Satisfaction | Survey question: I would like you to think about how well (you and your partners combined) total income meets your everyday needs for such things as accommodation, food, clothing and other necessities. Not enough = 1, only just enough = 2, enough = 3, more than enough = 4. For this question, only one person from each household answered the question, and we duplicated the answers for other members in the same household as well. | 1848 |
Financial Market Participation | Dummy variable, direct financial market participation = 1, otherwise = 0. Income from New Zealand company dividends, unit trusts and managed funds. | 2175 |
Age | Individuals were 65 years or above in the 2017–2018 survey period. | 2175 |
Gender | Dummy variable, male = 1, female = 0. | 2175 |
Living Area | Living in major urban areas = 1, living elsewhere = 0, depending on the accessibility to services, according to the urban area classification in New Zealand. | 2175 |
Employment Status | Not working = 1, working less than 30 h = 2, working more than 30 h = 3. | 2166 |
Highest Education | The highest education level has been achieved by the 2017–2018 interview. Secondary school or below = 1, certificate or diploma = 2, university degree = 3 | 2133 |
Self-Rated Health | Self-assessed health status. Poor = 1, fair = 2, good = 3, very good = 4, excellent = 5. | 2148 |
Partnership Status | Dummy variable, have a partner = 1, otherwise = 0. | 2175 |
Risk Aversion | Do you have home contents insurance? Yes = 1, no = 0. For this question, only one person from each household answered the question, and we duplicated the answers for other members in the same household as well. | 1848 |
Gross Retirement Income | Total annual personal income from regular and recurring sources, including income from current and previous employment, investment income (rental properties, interests, dividends), all types of government transfer and other regular and recurring income sources (private superannuation payment, spousal and child support payments, etc.) before taxes in the 2017–2018 survey. | 2175 |
Spending Range | About how much money, on average, do you have each week for spending on things for yourself without consulting anyone else? None = 1, under $10 = 2, $10–$25 = 3, $26–$50 = 4, more than $50 = 5. For this question, only one answer was obtained from each household, and we duplicated the answers for other members in the same household as well. | 1815 |
Stage 1 Results for Overall Annuitised Net Wealth Financial_Market_Participation | Stage 1 Results for Annuitised Net Wealth (without Government Pensions) Financial_Market_Participation | |
---|---|---|
Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 2.847 *** (22.01) | 2.828 *** (21.91) |
Age | −0.003 (−0.37) | −0.005 (−0.58) |
Gender | 0.061 (0.51) | 0.073 (0.62) |
Living_Area | 0.032 (0.26) | 0.025 (0.20) |
Employment_ Status | −0.120 (−1.12) | −0.124 (−1.18) |
Self-Rated_ Health | 0.128 * (2.16) | 0.127 * (2.15) |
Highest_Education | 0.185 * (2.30) | 0.175 * (2.20) |
Partnership_Status | 0.437 *** (3.58) | 0.397 *** (3.36) |
Regular_Gross_ Retirement_ Income | 0.004 ** (3.09) | 0.004 ** (3.22) |
Risk_Aversion | 0.768 ** (3.04) | 0.657 *** (2.70) |
Constant | −3.599 *** (−4.44) | −3.264 *** (−3.99) |
Observations | 1821 | 1806 |
Stage 1 Results for Overall Life Satisfaction Financial_Market_Participation | Stage 1 Results for Financial-Situation Satisfaction Financial_Market_Participation | |
---|---|---|
Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 2.873 *** (21.97) | 2.875 *** (22.08) |
Age | −0.000 (−0.04) | −0.001 (−0.15) |
Gender | 0.087 (0.73) | 0.081 (0.68) |
Living_Area | 0.024 (0.20) | 0.035 (0.29) |
Employment_Status | −0.109 (−1.04) | −0.117 (−1.10) |
Self-Rated_Health | 0.130 * (2.16) | 0.135 * (2.26) |
Highest_Education | 0.173 * (2.16) | 0.169 * (2.11) |
Partnership_Status | 0.394 *** (3.38) | 0.402 *** (3.44) |
Regular_Gross_ Retirement_Income | 0.004 ** (3.22) | 0.004 ** (3.27) |
Risk_Aversion | 0.901 ** (3.03) | 0.855 ** (2.92) |
Constant | −3.873 *** (−4.65) | −3.769 *** (−4.52) |
Observations | 1827 | 1827 |
1 | https://data.oecd.org/pop/elderly-population.htm (accessed on 1 December 2020). |
2 | More details about the three-pillar pension system are discussed in Section 2.1. |
3 | https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/119288609/pension-age-debate-crunch-coming (accessed on 10 March 2021). |
4 | |
5 | https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/nz-superannuation-age-lift-67-2040 (accessed on 1 December 2020). |
6 | Twenty-six countries were studied by Giannetti and Koskinen (2010); New Zealand’s participation rate reached 31%, only behind Australia (40.4%) and ahead of the UK (30%), Japan (29.7%), Denmark (28%) and the US (26%). |
7 | https://www.fma.govt.nz/assets/Reports/Growing-New-Zealands-Capital-Markets-2029.pdf (accessed on 15 March 2021). |
8 | https://www.treasury.govt.nz/sites/default/files/2017-03/sup-3753700.pdf (accessed on 10 December 2020). |
9 | The New Zealand superannuation payment differs according to partnership status and a person’s dependent-child situation. These payments are the highest levels for those living with a dependent child. |
10 | https://cffc.govt.nz/news-and-media/news/purpose-of-nz-retirement-income-system-defined/ (accessed on on 25 Feburary 2022). |
11 | |
12 | According to World Bank categorisation, KiwiSaver belongs to the third pillar as it is voluntary. However, due to its auto-enrolment and opt-out feature, it could be considered as a combination of the second and third pillars. We treat it as the second pillar in NZ pension system to make the pillar levels consistent in this paper. Otherwise, the NZ pension system does not have the mandatory employee contribution second pillar. |
13 | According to the Inland Revenue Department and Statistics NZ, by May 2015, the participation rate for those aged 18 to 64 years reached 76.5% and the opt-out rate was 9.3%. |
14 | https://www.fsc.org.nz/site/fsc1/Reports/Kiwisaver%20&%20the%20wealth%20of%20NZers-NZIER%20report%20to%20FSC,%20Aug15.pdf (accessed on 15 December 2020). |
15 | https://www.stats.govt.nz/reports/housing-in-aotearoa-2020 (accessed on 14 July 2022). |
16 | |
17 | |
18 | Moreover, our results can be lifted by including these passive operations as well and, due to the availability of the data, the passive methods are not included. |
19 | Due to confidentiality issues, we could not give detailed compositions of the remaining households. |
20 | Cameron et al. (2007) showed that New Zealand firms have dividend payout ratios that are significantly higher than other countries. Therefore, dividend is a good proxy for financial participation among retirees. |
21 | The regions are Northland Region, Auckland Region, Waikato Region, Bay of Plenty Region, Gisborne Region, Hawke’s Bay Region, Taranaki Region, Manawatu–Wanganui Region, Wellington Region, West Coast Region, Canterbury Region, Otago Region, Southland Region, Tasman Region, Nelson Region and Marlborough Region, according to the questionnaire region classification. |
22 | If only one member in a household answered these questions, the same score was assigned to other members within the same household. |
23 | The equity holdings are limited to New Zealand domestic stock, and overseas financial market participation is not included. On the one hand, the NZ equity market is less volatile, so the investment is more aligned with retirees’ risk preferences. On the other hand, NZ retirees are more familiar with domestic markets and so prefer to invest domestically due to home bias. Moreover, QuayStreet Asset Management also reported the relative returns from key investment assets for 1998 to 2008, explaining that investing in local companies does not cut investors out of the global action; many NZ listed firms, such as Fisher & Paykel Healthcare, Fonterra and the A2 Milk Company, do much of their business offshore. Additionally, manged funds can capture part of overseas investment as well. |
24 | This variable is from three income sources, which are income from dividends from New Zealand companies, income from returns of unit trusts and income from returns of managed funds, according to the income classification in the questionnaire. |
25 | Home contents insurance may be confounded by homeownership. However, in our data, homeownership is 60%, while home contents insurance reaches 85%. This shows that retirees would buy home contents insurance regardless of their homeownership status. |
26 | The annuitised net wealth presented in Table 1 is in logarithm values. We therefore convert these values into exp^(10.71) = 44,802 and exp^(9.79) = 17,854, respectively. |
27 | This number is not reported in Table 1. |
28 | Due to confidentiality rules, we can only present 1% and 99% of the values instead of minimum and maximum values. |
29 | The first-stage results are presented in Appendix A, Table A2 and suggest that the instrumental variable is valid. |
30 | Exp^(0.574) − 1 = 77.54%. |
31 | We also performed the same regressions without controlling individual net wealth to prevent endogeneity issues. The results are similar and are available upon request. |
32 | Exp^(0.932) − 1 = 153.96%. |
33 | The pension paid to a couple is less than the sum of two individual payments. |
34 | |
35 | We also conducted subjective life-satisfaction subsample tests, the results being the same as the main results. No group had statistically significant impacts. |
36 | None = 1, under $10 = 2, $10-$25 = 3, $26–$50 = 4, more than $50 = 5. |
37 | https://data.oecd.org/pension/net-pension-replacement-rates.htm (accessed on 3 November 2021). |
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N | Mean | Std. Dev. | P1 | P99 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall_Annuitised_Net_Wealth | 2163 | 10.71 | 0.80 | 7.51 | 12.95 |
Annuitised_Net_Wealth (without Government Pensions) | 2136 | 9.79 | 1.66 | 3.49 | 12.90 |
Financial_Market_ Participation | 2175 | 0.13 | 0.34 | 0 | 1 |
Overall_Life_Satisfaction (Measure 1) | 1848 | 4.23 | 0.79 | 1 | 5 |
Financial_Situation_Satisfaction (Measure 2) | 1848 | 2.89 | 0.85 | 1 | 4 |
Age | 2175 | 74.00 | 6.84 | 65 | 91 |
Gender | 2175 | 0.49 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 |
Living_Area | 2175 | 0.67 | 0.47 | 0 | 1 |
Employment_Status | 2166 | 1.34 | 0.69 | 1 | 3 |
Self-Rated_Health | 2148 | 3.42 | 1.08 | 1 | 5 |
Highest_Education | 2133 | 1.75 | 0.76 | 1 | 3 |
Partnership_Status | 2175 | 0.62 | 0.49 | 0 | 1 |
Risk_Aversion | 1848 | 0.85 | 0.35 | 0 | 1 |
Regular_Gross_Retirement _Income (in 1000) | 2175 | 39.86 | 55.09 | 0 | 227.41 |
Spending_Range | 1815 | 4.25 | 1.10 | 1 | 5 |
Overall Annuitised Net Wealth | Annuitised Net Wealth (without Government Pensions) | |
---|---|---|
Financial_Market_Participation_IV | 0.574 *** (13.58) | 0.932 *** (11.63) |
Age | 0.036 *** (13.62) | 0.063 *** (12.13) |
Gender | 0.040 (1.34) | −0.001 (−0.02) |
Living_Area | 0.033 (1.12) | −0.030 (−0.50) |
Employment_Status | −0.074 * (−2.33) | −0.029 (−0.53) |
Self-Rated_Health | 0.026 (1.78) | 0.099 ** (3.26) |
Highest_Education | 0.078 *** (3.71) | 0.241 *** (5.92) |
Partnership_Status | −0.074 * (−2.35) | 0.203 ** (3.12) |
Regular_Gross_Retirement_Income | 0.005 *** (6.81) | 0.007 *** (6.58) |
Risk_Aversion | 0.511 *** (9.49) | 1.741 *** (13.16) |
Constant | 7.259 *** (33.48) | 2.500 *** (5.52) |
Observations | 1821 | 1806 |
Overall Annuitised Net Wealth | |||
---|---|---|---|
Subsample | Variable | Estimates | Observations |
Panel A: Age groups | |||
Younger retirees | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.753 *** (10.93) | 1056 |
Older retirees | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.485 *** (5.96) | 1062 |
Panel B: Gender groups | |||
Male | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.684 *** (10.66) | 1041 |
Female | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.493 *** (7.03) | 1077 |
Panel C: Partnership-status groups | |||
With partner | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.707 *** (11.55) | 1308 |
Without partner | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.478 *** (3.94) | 810 |
Panel D: Living-area groups | |||
Living in a major urban city | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.659 *** (9.92) | 1422 |
Living in other cities | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.668 *** (7.74) | 693 |
Panel E: Employment-status groups | |||
Not working | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.556 *** (9.84) | 1662 |
Working | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.674 *** (6.12) | 192 |
Annuitized Net Wealth without Pension | |||
---|---|---|---|
Subsample | Variable | Estimates | Observations |
Panel A: Age groups | |||
Younger retirees | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 1.438 *** (10.77) | 1035 |
Older retirees | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.751 *** (4.97) | 1056 |
Panel B: Gender groups | |||
Male | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 1.146 *** (9.77) | 1026 |
Female | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.918 *** (5.70) | 1065 |
Panel C: Partnership-status groups | |||
With partner | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 1.178 *** (12.21) | 1293 |
Without partner | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.872 *** (4.25) | 798 |
Panel D: Living-area groups | |||
Living in a major urban city | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 1.109 *** (8.29) | 1407 |
Living in other cities | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 1.134 *** (8.16) | 684 |
Panel E: Employment-status groups | |||
Not working | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.957 *** (7.97) | 1641 |
Working | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 1.247 ** (6.45) | 189 |
OLS | Region Fixed Effects | 2SLS | Three-Stage Strategy | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall ANW | ANW | Overall ANW | ANW | Overall ANW | ANW | Overall ANW | ANW | |
Financial_ Market_ Participation (_IV) | 0.404 *** (9.36) | 0.637 *** (8.96) | 0.404 *** (9.15) | 0.639 *** (7.20) | 0.550 *** (9.62) | 0.852 *** (7.47) | 0.544 *** (9.71) | 0.797 *** (7.11) |
Age | 0.036 *** (13.72) | 0.063 *** (12.22) | 0.035 *** (15.48) | 0.062 *** (13.41) | 0.036 *** (15.50) | 0.063 *** (13.47) | 0.036 *** (15.51) | 0.063 *** (13.50) |
Gender | 0.041 (1.38) | 0.001 (0.01) | 0.038 (1.29) | −0.006 (−0.09) | 0.040 (1.35) | −0.001 (−0.01) | 0.040 (1.35) | −0.000 (−0.01) |
Living_Area | 0.035 (1.18) | −0.026 (−0.45) | 0.001 (0.03) | −0.093 (−1.47) | 0.033 (1.09) | −0.029 (−0.47) | 0.033 (1.09) | −0.028 (−0.46) |
Employment_ Status | −0.086 ** (−2.69) | −0.050 (−0.91) | −0.081 ** (−3.16) | −0.037 (−0.73) | −0.076 ** (−2.95) | −0.035 (−0.67) | −0.077 ** (−2.97) | −0.039 (−0.75) |
Self-Rated_Health | 0.029 * (1.98) | 0.104 *** (3.44) | 0.027 (1.94) | 0.100 *** (3.55) | 0.027 (1.87) | 0.100 *** (3.50) | 0.027 (1.88) | 0.101 *** (3.54) |
Highest_ Education | 0.088 *** (4.21) | 0.259 *** (6.41) | 0.085 *** (4.30) | 0.252 *** (6.31) | 0.079 *** (3.94) | 0.246 *** (6.06) | 0.079 *** (3.96) | 0.249 *** (6.15) |
Partnership_ Status | −0.066 * (−2.10) | 0.217 *** (3.32) | −0.075 * (−2.43) | 0.202 ** (3.25) | −0.073 * (−2.34) | 0.207 *** (3.32) | −0.072 * (−2.34) | 0.209 *** (3.36) |
Risk_ Aversion | 0.521 *** (9.59) | 1.759 *** (13.22) | 0.540 *** (12.47) | 1.799 *** (20.31) | 0.512 *** (11.87) | 1.746 *** (19.79) | 0.513 *** (11.88) | 1.749 (19.85) |
Regular_ Gross_ Retirement_ Income | 0.006 *** (7.08) | 0.008 *** (6.99) | 0.006 *** (14.88) | 0.008 *** (10.38) | 0.005 *** (13.66) | 0.008 *** (9.53) | 0.005 *** (13.72) | 0.008 *** (9.71) |
Constant | 7.225 *** (33.35) | 2.441 *** (5.40) | 7.286 *** (37.25) | 2.546 *** (6.42) | 7.255 *** (36.75) | 2.484 *** (6.22) | 7.253 *** (36.75) | 2.473 *** (6.19) |
R-squared | 0.37 | 0.40 | ||||||
Observations | 1821 | 1806 | 1821 | 1806 | 1821 | 1806 | 1821 | 1806 |
Overall Life Satisfaction | Financial-Situation Satisfaction | |
---|---|---|
Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.036 (0.33) | 0.497 *** (4.48) |
Age | 0.009 * (2.17) | 0.022 *** (5.52) |
Gender | −0.083 (−1.51) | −0.083 (−1.56) |
Living_Area | −0.038 (−0.68) | −0.025 (−0.45) |
Employment_Status | 0.086 (1.66) | 0.077 (1.20) |
Self-Rated_Health | 0.295 *** (10.55) | 0.175 *** (6.67) |
Highest_Education | 0.028 (0.76) | 0.131 *** (3.50) |
Partnership_Status | 0.319 *** (5.66) | 0.248 *** (4.21) |
Regular_Gross_ Retirement_Income | 0.000 (0.38) | 0.009 *** (3.61) |
Risk_Aversion | 0.103 (1.36) | 0.310 *** (3.86) |
Observations | 1827 | 1827 |
Financial-Situation Satisfaction | |||
---|---|---|---|
Subsample | Variable | Estimates | Observations |
Panel A: Age groups | |||
Younger retirees | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.368 *** (3.34) | 870 |
Older retirees | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.348 *** (3.83) | 960 |
Panel B: Gender groups | |||
Male | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.362 *** (4.20) | 861 |
Female | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.305 ** (2.90) | 969 |
Panel C: Living-status groups | |||
With partner | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.342 *** (4.19) | 1110 |
Without partner | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.444 *** (3.74) | 720 |
Panel D: Living-area groups | |||
Living in a major urban city | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.398 *** (4.97) | 1206 |
Living in other cities | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.307 * (2.49) | 624 |
Panel E: Employment-status groups | |||
Not working | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.434 *** (5.60) | 1470 |
Working | Financial_Market_ Participation_IV | 0.100 (0.37) | 162 |
Alternative Method | Alternative Question | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Ordered Probit Model | Ordered Probit Model | Extended Regression Model | ||
Overall Life Satisfaction | Financial-Situation Satisfaction | Self-Controlled Spending | Self-Controlled Spending | |
Financial_Market_ Participation(_IV) | 0.057 (0.67) | 0.410 *** (4.55) | 0.430 ** (4.34) | 0.552 *** (4.85) |
Age | 0.009 * (2.16) | 0.023 *** (5.54) | 0.015 ** (3.38) | 0.015 *** (3.37) |
Gender | −0.083 (−1.51) | −0.082 (−1.55) | 0.045 (0.77) | 0.045 (0.77) |
Living_Area | −0.038 (−0.69) | −0.024 (−0.44) | −0.183 ** (−2.96) | −0.184 ** (−2.97) |
Employment_Status | 0.088 (1.70) | 0.071 (1.11) | 0.158 * (2.36) | 0.166 * (2.46) |
Self-Rated_Health | 0.295 *** (10.54) | 0.176 *** (6.73) | 0.102 ** (3.54) | 0.101 *** (3.51) |
Highest_Education | 0.027 (0.73) | 0.136 *** (3.65) | 0.096 * (2.35) | 0.089 * (2.20) |
With_Partner | 0.318 *** (5.64) | 0.252 *** (4.28) | −0.112 (−1.83) | −0.118 (−1.93) |
Regular_Gross_ Retirement_Income | 0.000 (0.35) | 0.009 *** (3.71) | 0.003 (1.46) | 0.003 (1.33) |
Risk_Aversion | 0.102 (1.35) | 0.315 *** (3.92) | 0.208 ** (2.58) | 0.201 * (2.49) |
Observations | 1827 | 1827 | 1791 | 1791 |
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Xu, X.; Young, M.; Zou, L.; Fang, J. Retirement Income and Financial Market Participation in New Zealand. Int. J. Financial Stud. 2023, 11, 24. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs11010024
Xu X, Young M, Zou L, Fang J. Retirement Income and Financial Market Participation in New Zealand. International Journal of Financial Studies. 2023; 11(1):24. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs11010024
Chicago/Turabian StyleXu, Xiaobo, Martin Young, Liping Zou, and Jiali Fang. 2023. "Retirement Income and Financial Market Participation in New Zealand" International Journal of Financial Studies 11, no. 1: 24. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs11010024