1. Introduction
The food processing industry is a prominent contributor to the European economy (
FoodDrink Europe, 2022). Most food processors in the EU serve local or national markets. However, there are a few very large food processors, characterized by global brands with considerable market reach (
Eurostat, 2022). In 2019, the share of large companies (i.e., companies employing 250 or more persons) accounted for 60.6% of the EU food industry turnover (2010: 50.7%), 58.5% of the value added (2010: 48.7%), and 42.3% of employment (2012: 36.6%), despite large companies representing only 0.8% of all firms in the industry (
FoodDrink Europe, 2012,
2022).
The structure of the food industry is undergoing significant changes, leading to an increase in the market concentration and market power of a few players, which raises some concerns. The increase in market concentration and market power in the food industry has been confirmed by several studies (
Blažková, 2016 for the Czech food sector;
Čechura et al., 2015 for the dairy industry in selected EU countries;
Kufel-Gajda, 2017 for the Polish food sector;
Nes et al., 2021 for the food industry in selected EU countries). The high and rising concentration and market power of some firms in the industry can have consequences for performance and overall welfare.
The fundamental economic theory suggests that high market concentration leads to market power for some firms and their non-competitive conduct, resulting in higher mark-ups (prices above marginal costs) (
Kufel-Gajda, 2017). Companies that are able to set prices above the marginal costs tend to produce less output. This not only reduces consumer welfare but also has implications for factor demand, the distribution of economic rents, and business dynamics such as entry and exit and resource allocation (
De Loecker et al., 2020). As stated by
Nes et al. (
2021), the higher market power of some firms may affect different aspects of the contractual terms governing their relationships with customers and suppliers as well.
However, as some authors argue (
Shervani et al., 2006), rising concentration and market power in the hands of a few players should not be viewed as conclusive evidence of weak competition and need not necessarily be a cause for concern. Rather, this process may be a reflection of more efficient market processes. Firms may create innovations that decrease costs and improve quality, and this makes it possible to increase mark-ups and profits. This also helps them to achieve a dominant market position, speeding up the process of market concentration (
Kufel-Gajda, 2017).
Blažková (
2016) points out that the positive effects of higher market concentration can be due to a reduction in the average fixed costs, the repetition of certain tasks and activities, the concentration of research, marketing, financial activities, and the use of managerial skills, which affect the competitiveness of the firm. Food companies need to concentrate and specialize in a smaller number of products because this is the only way that they can achieve efficient production. It should also be noted that the dominance of a few companies on the national market can also be dampened by imports and the very strong position of retail chains. Higher market power allows food processing firms to better compete with the concentrated retail sector and strengthens their position when negotiating prices.
These advantages and disadvantages have significant implications for industrial and antitrust policy, which must thoroughly assess the costs and benefits of rising market concentration. Currently, research on the relationship between indicators of the market structure, efficiency, and performance takes place only in the field of the banking sector, while the food processing sector is completely neglected, except by a few authors (
Setiawan et al., 2012,
2013).
This study contributes to the literature on the relationship between the market structure, efficiency, and performance, in several ways. Firstly, it provides an empirical analysis of the food processing industry, which is largely neglected in the literature. We focus on three central European countries—Poland, the Czech Republic, and the Slovak Republic—due to their shared history of economic transition, their similar institutional development since joining the EU in 2004, and the importance of the food processing industry in their economies (2–3% contribution to employment and 2% contribution to gross value added (
Eurostat, 2025a,
2025b)). These countries also represent different market sizes, with Poland being a large market and the Czech and Slovak Republics being smaller markets, allowing for a comparative analysis of the market size effect.
Syverson (
2019) states that determining concentration and market power inevitably involves defining the market, which is frequently a subject of debate. Empirical analyses of the relationship between the market structure, efficiency, and profitability often work with the food industry as a whole, which raises the possibility that increases in concentration in narrower and more relevant markets may be invisible in the broader environment (
Syverson, 2019;
Nes et al., 2021). Therefore, this study focuses separately on meat and milk food processors.
Secondly, the analysis uses recently developed approaches to robust efficiency estimation. Specifically, this study offers a robust estimate of the profitability model and the stochastic frontier model specified as a meta-input distance function (IDF) by employing methods that control for latent heterogeneity and potential endogeneity.
The rest of this paper is organized as follows. First, the theoretical background of our research and the current state of the art are presented. The following section focuses on interpreting and discussing the results obtained. Next, the data and the research methods are introduced. The main findings and their implications are summarized in the Conclusions section.
2. Theoretical Framework
The theoretical framework that explains the linkage between the market structure, efficiency, and performance is represented by two paradigms—the structure–conduct–performance (SCP) paradigm introduced by the Harvard School and the efficiency structure (ES) paradigm proposed by the UCLA–Chicago School.
The SCP originated from industrial organization economics and was first introduced by scholars from the Harvard School—specifically by
Mason (
1939) and later by
Bain (
1951,
1956).
Bain (
1951) found that industries in his sample with four-firm concentration ratios above 70 percent showed distinctly higher accounting profit rates compared to the others. The SCP paradigm suggests that the market structure affects how firms set prices and, in turn, their overall performance. Higher market concentration encourages collusion among dominant firms, which then results in increased profits (
Seelanatha, 2010). Companies in industries with higher concentration will generate greater profits than those in less concentrated industries, regardless of their level of efficiency. In such an environment, the dominating companies do not have much motivation to enhance their efficiency (
Ye et al., 2012). So, according to the SCP paradigm, market concentration is the key factor in business performance (
Lelissa & Kuhil, 2018).
The related relative market power (RMP) hypothesis suggests that only companies with substantial market shares and highly differentiated product lines can exercise market power in pricing these products and generate supernormal profits (
Berger, 1995). In comparison to the SCP hypothesis, the RMP hypothesis argues that the driving force of profitability is the market share and it does not require a highly concentrated market, since it is not necessary for the leading firms to collude to increase their prices (
Ye et al., 2012). In his article,
Syverson (
2019) emphasizes that market concentration is not the same as market power.
Ye et al. (
2012), in their research on the banking sector, state that banks can exercise their market power due to widely distributed branches and intensive advertising. Customers then perceive these leading firms as a sign of quality, and their good knowledge and convenient access to their branches mean that they are willing to pay higher prices to avoid search costs. One can find a similar parallel in the food industry, where the products of leading companies are commonly available in retail chains that have great bargaining power due to their concentration. The sale of the products of leading food manufacturers is also supported by intensive advertising, so they are well known by customers due to their broad availability and advertising. It is often impossible for many small producers to sell their products in these chains due to their very harsh conditions. Therefore, these firms, whose products are widely distributed in markets, can determine the price, and the market share thus becomes the main determinant of profitability.
In other words, the above-mentioned hypotheses describe the influence of two market structure variables (market concentration and market share) on a firm’s performance: the first one examines how collusive behavior influences performance and the second one examines how individual firms use their market power (
Seelanatha, 2010).
Syverson (
2019) mentions that, for example, a monopolistically competitive market can be very unconcentrated and show near-zero levels of economic profit, but firms in such a market can still have a lot of market power.
Contrasting these two market structure hypotheses is the efficiency structure paradigm introduced by
Demsetz (
1973), a representative of the UCLA–Chicago School. The ES hypothesis suggests that, under the pressure of market competition, efficient firms are more likely to succeed and grow. As they grow, they gain higher market shares and earn higher profits, and the market experiences increased concentration (
Sathye, 2005). Therefore, higher profits are not due to collusive activities, as the traditional SCP paradigm would suggest (
Molyneux & Forbes, 1995). Companies with better management or advanced production technologies have lower operating costs, which translate to higher profits.
Early studies on the ES hypothesis did not use direct efficiency measures; instead, they used the market share as a proxy for efficiency. The key argument of these studies supporting efficiency structure theory was that the observed positive correlation between performance and concentration is spurious, and a positive relationship between the market share and performance should be seen as a result of efficiency (
Lelissa & Kuhil, 2018). In other words, if the market share positively affects performance, and concentration is not significant, the efficiency structure hypothesis cannot be rejected. However,
Gumbau and Maudos (
2000) mention that the market share may not only reflect efficiency but also be a manifestation of the residual influence of market power or other factors unrelated to efficiency.
Berger (
1995) and, later,
Berger and Hannan (
1997) were the pioneers in considering the direct inclusion of efficiency variables in their models. This solved the issue of the appropriateness of using the market share as a proxy for efficiency.
Berger (
1995) argued that, in contrast to the market power hypothesis, profitability can be influenced by greater managerial and scale efficiency. The ES hypothesis is typically tested in two different forms, depending on the type of efficiency considered. The first form is the X-efficiency hypothesis (ESX), where companies with greater managerial efficiency or better technologies have lower costs and therefore higher profits. The second is the scale efficiency (ESS), where companies produce at more efficient levels than others and therefore have lower unit costs and higher profits (
Berger, 1995). Since then, numerous studies have been conducted that use direct efficiency measures to analyze the relationship between the market structure and profitability (
Gumbau & Maudos, 2000;
Seelanatha, 2010;
Chortareas et al., 2011;
Ye et al., 2012;
Setiawan et al., 2012;
Destiartono & Purwanti, 2021).
The market power and efficiency structure hypotheses lead to different conclusions regarding regulation, especially concerning mergers and antitrust policies. Both the SCP and the RMP hypotheses propose that market power is a key factor in performance and suggest that antitrust laws and regulations may be merited (
Ye et al., 2012). If the evidence supports the efficiency structure hypothesis, mergers are driven by efficiency goals, which should lead to increased consumer and producer surplus.
3. Current State of the Art
The empirical relationship between the market structure, efficiency, and profitability is very well described in the financial markets, which are generally characterized by a higher degree of concentration.
Berger (
1995) examined all four of the previously mentioned hypotheses (SCP, RMP, ESX, and ESS) in the context of the US banking sector, followed by
Seelanatha (
2010) for the banking sector in Sri Lanka,
Chortareas et al. (
2011) for Latin America,
Ye et al. (
2012) for China,
Mala et al. (
2018) for Indonesia and
Mala et al. (
2023) for Indonesia and Malaysia, and
Kunwar (
2018) for Nepal. Usually, the results of these studies are mixed; however, if the models incorporate explicit measures of efficiency, they generally provide some evidence in favor of the efficiency structure hypothesis (for example,
Seelanatha, 2010;
Chortareas et al., 2011;
Destiartono & Purwanti, 2021).
On the contrary, the relationship between profitability, the market structure, and efficiency in the food manufacturing industry, and particularly in its subsectors, has received less attention in the literature, despite the relatively large amount of literature focusing purely on profitability, the market structure, or efficiency. For instance, the determinants of profitability in the European food industry, excluding the market share and efficiency, were analyzed by
Grau and Reig (
2021),
Novotná and Volek (
2023), and
Golas and Kurzawa (
2016). The efficiency of firms in the European food processing industry has been investigated by, e.g.,
Trnková and Žáková Kroupová (
2021),
Čechura and Žáková Kroupová (
2021),
Náglová and Šimpachová Pechrová (
2019),
Gardijan and Lukač (
2018),
Rudinskaya (
2017), and
Čechura and Hockmann (
2010). Finally, for example,
Nes et al. (
2024),
Van Dam et al. (
2021), and
Smutka et al. (
2020) have examined the market structure of the European food market.
Among the few studies examining these relationships in the food industry,
Oustapassidis et al. (
2000) examined the relationship between firm profitability, the market share, and firm advertising in the Greek food industry, excluding technical and scale efficiency, and found that profitability was significantly determined by the market share but not by market concentration. In contrast, later research focusing on broader markets reached different conclusions.
Hirsch et al. (
2014) analyzed the determinants of firm profitability in EU food processing, while
Gschwandtner and Hirsch (
2018) extended this investigation to include the drivers of profitability in both US and EU food processing, albeit without incorporating efficiency into their profitability model. Both studies found that the market share had no significant impact on profitability in either region. This finding, which contradicts the results of
Oustapassidis et al. (
2000), may be attributed to the possibility that firms with high market shares may face transparency issues and diseconomies of scope, which counteract the positive effects, leading to an overall insignificant influence on profitability. On the other hand, their results highlight that economies of scale play an important role in the profitability of the US and EU food processing industries. Large farms typically have better access to capital and more skilled management and are also better equipped to counter the power of a concentrated retail sector. However, the impact of market concentration differs between regions. In the EU, firms in highly concentrated industries can maintain higher profits through entry barriers. In contrast, US market concentration shows no significant effect, possibly due to the intense rivalry among large firms offsetting the potential concentration benefits.
Blažková and Dvouletý (
2017) also demonstrated the positive effect of market concentration on profitability, based on their analysis of the Czech food and beverage industry from 2003 to 2014. According to these authors, higher market concentration allows for the exploitation of economies of scale, improved access to capital, and greater investment, while also supporting the financing of research and development and increasing advertising and promotion—all of which contribute to significant improvements in economic performance. Although their model did not directly consider efficiency, instead focusing on labor productivity, their results further indicate that firms with higher productivity tend to offer superior products or benefit from lower production costs than their competitors, making them more profitable.
Setiawan et al. (
2012,
2013) extended the structure–conduct–performance (SCP) framework by incorporating price rigidity and technical efficiency in their analysis of the food industry. They focused on the Indonesian food industry, which can be described as unconcentrated according to the HHI, but with the presence of an oligopoly structure (average CR4 in their sample was 48.3% in
Setiawan et al., 2013). In their work,
Setiawan et al. (
2012) emphasized the importance of considering the interrelationships among all variables, rather than relying solely on single-equation models. Their analyses confirm that both concentration and technical efficiency positively influence profitability, while identifying a bidirectional relationship: high industrial concentration leads to increased profitability, which in turn reinforces market concentration over time. Furthermore, their findings support the quiet life hypothesis, which suggests that firms operating in highly concentrated industries face reduced pressure to enhance their technical efficiency.
More recently,
Žáková Kroupová et al. (
2022) investigated the relationship between the market structure, efficiency, and profitability using data from the Czech food processing sector for the years 2016–2020. Their results emphasize the role of technical efficiency as a key driver of profitability. They found that, in only one subsector, the manufacture of prepared animal feeds, which had the highest concentration among the analyzed subsectors of the food processing industry, market power had a greater impact on profitability than technical efficiency.
This paper seeks to fill the research gap and contribute to the literature through an empirical analysis of selected subsectors of the food industry in three Central European countries.
4. Results and Discussion
The results first describe the profitability in the meat and milk processing industry and its drivers, using violin plots to compare the statistical distributions between the three analyzed countries: Czechia, Slovakia, and Poland.
Figure 1 presents the violin plots of profitability (ROA). The width of the plots around the median values indicates high data density at these values, while the tails represent the distribution of extreme values, including loss-making firms.
The distribution of profitability is quite symmetric in both subsectors of the food processing sector, except for the Polish meat processing sector (NACE 10.1), where the distribution of profitability is negatively skewed. This suggests that, while many Polish meat processing companies have profitability clustered around the median (0.08), there is a notable subset of companies with lower profitability, which pulls the distribution downward. Compared to the rest of the analyzed countries, the profitability of Polish meat processors (NACE 10.1) achieved the highest average value (0.11), but with the greatest variability (0.22). The lowest profitability, on average, was achieved by meat processors in Slovakia (−0.03). Slovakia also achieved the worst result in terms of the return on assets in the market of milk processors (NACE 10.5), with the lowest median and even a negative average value (−0.04). Moreover, negative profitability in the case of Slovak companies is a persistent phenomenon accompanying production in several consecutive periods (mostly 4–6 years). The highest average profitability (0.05) (and also median value (0.05)) of milk processors was achieved in the Czech Republic, where the higher concentration of profitability in black numbers than in the rest of the analyzed countries is also observed.
Table 1 (and
Figure A1 in
Appendix A) provides information about profitability by firm size. While, in the milk processing sector (NACE 10.5), the tendency to achieve high profitability increases with the firm size, in the meat processing sector (NACE 10.1), the relationship between the firm size and profitability is ambiguous.
Focusing on technical efficiency, we first briefly present the results of the country-specific input distance functions and meta IDF estimates, which are reported in
Appendix A,
Table A2,
Table A3,
Table A4,
Table A5,
Table A6,
Table A7,
Table A8 and
Table A9. All these estimates meet the theoretical assumptions of the IDF (monotonicity and concavity in inputs). The first-order parameters of the IDFs are highly significant, and the significance of the second-order parameters was confirmed by the Wald test, both conducted at a 5% significance level. Since the AR(2) test and Hansen’s J-test statistics also confirm the validity of the model estimates, we can assume that our models approximate well the real transformation process in the investigated subsectors of the food industry. The estimated country-specific technical efficiency scores are summarized in
Appendix A,
Table A2,
Table A3,
Table A4,
Table A5,
Table A6 and
Table A7.
Figure 2 presents the distribution of the meta-frontier technical efficiency scores (TE). The distributions are more uniform across countries in the dairy sector (NACE 10.5) than in the meat processing sector (NACE 10.1), where greater variability in efficiency is observed. Additionally, the distribution of technical efficiency in NACE 10.1 exhibits longer lower tails, especially in Slovakia and Poland, indicating a subset of firms that are significantly lagging behind. The highest median was achieved by Slovak meat processors (0.73) (NACE 10.1). In NACE 10.5, the median values of the Czech and Slovak processors are very similar (around 0.85). The Czech Republic and Slovakia also achieve very similar average values (around 0.85) with a very similar distribution (positively skewed in the case of meat processing and more symmetric in the case of milk processing, representing the higher concentration of technical efficiency scores around the median than in meat processing). Enterprises in Poland achieve the lowest technical efficiency on average in both sectors (0.63 in NACE 10.1 and 0.84 in NACE 10.5).
Scale efficiency (SE) shows higher variability than technical efficiency in both sectors, with the highest average value (1.15) and median value (1.21) in the Slovakian meat processing industry and the Czech milk processing industry (mean of 1.09 and median of 1.04). In contrast, the lowest average values are observed in Polish meat processing (1.01) and Slovakia’s milk industry (0.95). This suggests that Polish food processors tend to lag behind their competitors in both technical and scale efficiency on average in NACE 10.1 and in technical efficiency in NACE 10.5.
Table 2 and
Figure A2 in
Appendix A provide additional information about the technical and scale efficiency scores across different firm sizes. For both efficiencies, a similar pattern of decrease with increasing firm size can be observed in the meat processing sector. In contrast, in the dairy sector, the technical efficiency increases with size, while the scale efficiency follows an inverse U-shaped pattern.
Figure 3 presents the violin plots of the market share (MS). The distributions exhibit negatively skewed characteristics, with medians clustered near 0, suggesting generally low market shares (MS) across all three countries. The Czech Republic exhibits the highest market concentration, with a median around 0.02 and notable upper outliers, indicating several dominant firms with significantly higher market shares. Slovakia shows a similar, albeit less pronounced, pattern of market concentration, while Poland’s distribution reveals uniformly low market shares across firms. The right-skewed distributions and the presence of outliers, particularly in the Czech Republic and Slovakia, suggest structurally different market dynamics compared to Poland’s more competitive environment.
In terms of the market structure, according to
Naldi and Flamini (
2014), the market of meat processors (NACE 10.1) in all three countries can be characterized as unconcentrated, which is also evidenced by the very low values of the average market share (see
Figure 3 and
Table 3). The highest level of concentration is achieved by the Slovak meat processor market (HHI = 655.9) and the lowest concentration is achieved in the Polish market (HHI = 128.4), with an average market share value of only 0.3%. The low concentration of the meat industry in Poland could also be determined by the low concentration of pork and beef supplies, being the result of a fragmented agriculture structure. Although it is possible to describe the market of meat processors in all three countries as unconcentrated, the CR4 indicator shows the presence of a loose oligopoly or monopolistic competition in the case of Slovakia (CR4 = 44.4%), while these four major players are mainly owned by foreign companies from the Czech Republic, the United Kingdom, or the Netherlands. In the Czech Republic and Poland, the value of CR4 does not exceed 40%, and it is, therefore, possible to describe the markets as effectively competitive environments. In the case of the Czech Republic, the four largest meat processors are Czech companies; in Poland, with the exception of one Danish company, the ownership of these largest players is also in Polish hands.
Looking at the market structure of milk processors (NACE 10.5), all three countries can also be characterized as unconcentrated, as the value of the HHI does not exceed the commonly used threshold of 1500 points (
Naldi & Flamini, 2014) in any country, although the value of the HHI in Slovakia (HHI = 1200.3) is close to this threshold. In the Czech Republic and Poland, the HHI reaches similar values, but the average market share differs significantly. In the Czech Republic, the concentration according to the HHI reaches 666.2 points, with an average market share of 2.5%; in Poland, it reaches an HHI 698.2 points, with an average share of 0.7%. According to the CR4 index, there are oligopoly structures in all three countries in this market: the CR4 in the Czech Republic is 42.2%; in Poland, it is 43.2%; and, in the case of Slovakia, it is even 59.8%. A market where the CR4 is above 60% can then be characterized as a tight oligopoly or as being dominated by firms with a competitive fringe. Almost 25% of the market is held by Rajo, s.r.o., owned by the German company Meggle Consumer Products International GmbH; the second major player is owned by the French company Bel; and the other two players are already Slovak companies. In the case of the Czech Republic, unlike meat processors, there are more companies in the top four owned by foreign companies from Germany and France. In the case of Poland, the three most important players are Polish companies, and in fourth place in terms of the largest market share is a company from France.
However, it should be noted here that the HHI calculated purely based on individual company data cannot perfectly describe the concentration in the relevant sub-market of a specific product. Moreover, in the HHI index, the ownership of several similar economic entities by one entity is not taken into account. Since both markets in all countries can be characterized as unconcentrated, with a sufficient number of players, this would not affect the value of the HHI indicator much. The existence of group ownership has a greater impact on the value of the CR4 indicator, especially in the case of the Czech Republic due to the strong position of the Agrofert group. Here, the value of the CR4 indicator will increase in the case of meat processors from 34.2% to 39.3% and in the case of milk processors from 42.2% to 49.7%. In Slovakia, where the values of the CR4 indicator are higher compared to the other monitored countries, there is no change in the CR4 indicator after taking into account group ownership.
To summarize, milk processors and dairy and cheese producers are more concentrated in all observed countries compared to meat processors (see
Figure 3), with a higher market share on average, and, in all three countries, it is possible to find prominent players, creating an oligopolistic market of varying intensity.
However,
Blažková (
2016) examined the concentration in the food and beverage industry in the Czech Republic in the period of 2003–2014 and highlighted that the concentration is still low in comparison with the subsequent vertical stage, i.e., retail. This could lead to a worse market position for food processors and disproportionate profits among processors and traders.
Nes et al. (
2021) analyzed market power in the food market in some EU member states. In all of the selected member states, besides Finland, the food retail sector was more concentrated in comparison to manufacturing, while, in the Czech Republic, the value of the HHI and CR4 reached the third-highest values in the case of retail in comparison to other countries.
Špička (
2016) also addressed the market concentration of grocery retailers in Central Europe. Based on his research focusing on the period of 2010–2015, it is clear that grocery retailers in Poland are significantly less concentrated and the market shares of the four most important players (for the year 2015, the CR4 was 41.2%) are significantly lower than in the case of the Czech Republic (CR4 = 63.1%) and Slovakia (CR4 = 65.5%). This environment can also affect the profitability of food processing companies in Poland.
It is possible to state that both markets in all three countries can be characterized as non-concentrated, but the market shares of companies vary significantly depending on the market and the specific country. This leads to the following questions: Does the market share affect corporate profitability? Do companies with higher market shares make higher profits, and why?
The estimation results of the models exploring the relationship between profitability, efficiency, and the market structure are presented in
Table 4. The corresponding descriptive statistics of the profitability model variables are presented in
Table A10 in
Appendix A. According to the results of the Hausman test, the profitability model for NACE 10.1 is specified as a fixed-effects model, while the profitability model for NACE 10.5 is specified as a random-effects model. The significance of these models is confirmed by the F-test at a 5% significance level. Moreover, the obtained values of the Hansen test suggest the validity of the GMM estimates, since the orthogonality of the instruments is not rejected at the 5% significance level.
The estimated parameters and their significance reveal that technical efficiency, the market share, and size have a positive and statistically significant (however, only at a 10% level in the case of the market share) effect on profitability in NACE 10.1.
Concentration, expressed by the HHI, is not found to affect profitability significantly. Moreover,
Keil (
2019) finds no evidence that concentration has any positive effect on long-term differences in profitability. This conclusion was expected because, although there are differences in the levels of concentration in individual countries, all three markets, as already mentioned, can be considered unconcentrated. In more concentrated industries, producers can more easily collude, meaning that they can collectively set prices and quantities to earn monopoly profits (
Lelissa & Kuhil, 2018). This behavior is not observed in the case of NACE 10.1. A higher market share leads to higher profitability only in the case of NACE 10.1 (see
Table 4).
To test the purity of these results (as emphasized by
Setiawan et al., 2012), the regression of efficiency on the market share was performed according to Equation (2). The market share was found to be significantly and positively (at 5% level) influenced by technical efficiency. Therefore, it can be concluded that firms generate excess profits not because of their market shares but because of enhanced efficiency in input use.
NACE 10.1 can be characterized by increasing returns to scale (the mean of RTS was 1.3); however, in the analyzed period, movement to the optimal size can be observed. The increasing scale efficiency of smaller operations leads to a reduction in the market shares of larger players. This finding highlights the significance of efficiency in explaining profitability (
Žáková Kroupová et al., 2022).
The importance of efficiency in generating profitability is also identified in NACE 10.5, where market structure variables do not have a statistically significant effect on profitability. Although the values of the HHI and average market share are higher for all three countries in the case of NACE 10.5 than in the case of NACE 10.1, a clear relationship between the market share and profitability is not demonstrated. The coefficients of the technical and scale efficiency, on the other hand, are positive and statistically significant (at the 5% level). This means that more efficient producers can benefit from a cost advantage, with a positive impact on profits, but are unable to translate this into their market shares, as in the case of NACE 10.1. Although the market is not concentrated, its structure is much more oligopolistic (especially in Slovakia and the Czech Republic when group ownership is taken into account), and the market is relatively saturated (especially the milk market), so achieving a higher market share would probably be possible only in the case of the acquisition of existing production capacities, rather than a result of the natural process of business development due to cost savings.
Regarding the control variables, there appears to be a significant inverse relationship between profitability and the debt-to-assets ratio in both sectors and a significant positive relationship between profitability and size. This is in line with the research of
Blažková et al. (
2019). Furthermore, the random-effects model of the NACE 10.5 profitability allows us to analyze the effect of ownership. The coefficient of the ownership dummy (D_OWN) is negative and statistically significant (at the 5% level), suggesting that the firms in the group are ceteris paribus less profitable.
6. Conclusions
This paper has examined the impact of the market structure and efficiency on profitability. The research focused on the market of meat and milk processors in Poland, the Czech Republic, and Slovakia in the period of 2015–2021. Although both markets can be characterized as unconcentrated, with a large number of players, in some countries, the presence of strong players is evident. This was also the main motivation for the conducted research—to identify the key driver of profitability in both markets and to assess the influence of market structures on profitability. To achieve this, panel data regression was used.
This research did not reveal the presence of collusive behavior in the examined markets. The profitability of companies is significantly influenced by the efficiency of the production process. The more important position of some players in both markets does not have a direct effect on their financial performance. The indirect or mediated effect of market share on profitability was confirmed only in the case of the meat processing sector (NACE 10.1), where a higher market share is a consequence of higher technical efficiency, which is positively reflected in profitability. The meat processing sector is an unconcentrated market, where companies achieve, on average, a lower market share compared to the market of milk processors; moreover, with the exception of Slovakia, the CR4 indicator does not exceed 40%. Therefore, mergers (and overall market concentration) are primarily influenced by efficiency factors, which are expected to boost both consumer and producer surplus. The process of increasing market shares on this basis can be seen as the natural evolution of the enterprise.
On the other hand, in the case of milk processors, technically more efficient production, resulting in cost savings, is reflected in increased profitability—but is not reflected in a higher market share. In this market, which, according to the HHI, is unconcentrated in all three countries, producers achieve a higher average market share compared to meat processors. In all three countries, the market can be described as an oligopoly, with varying degrees of intensity. Furthermore, the effect of oligopolistic power is amplified when group ownership is considered. More efficient production can then be positively reflected by the company in its profitability, but not in its market share, which can be attributed to the fact that “the cards are already dealt here”.
This research has many practical implications. It was found that improved financial performance among these food producers can be achieved by enhancing efficiency through investments in new production technologies, knowledge transfer, and process innovations that reduce the unit production costs. Policymakers should prioritize measures such as subsidies or grants for the adoption of advanced technologies and to foster innovation so as to support profitability without economic disruption. Governments should also ensure that competition policies prevent collusion and the abuse of market power while promoting a level playing field. Encouraging innovation and reducing the barriers to entry for smaller firms can stimulate dynamic competition, particularly in the oligopolistic milk market. Regulators should remain vigilant about anti-competitive practices while ensuring that the efficiency achieved by larger groups translates into benefits for consumers, such as lower prices and higher-quality products.
This article also contributes to expanding the state of knowledge about the interrelationship between performance, efficiency, and the market structure in selected sectors of the food industry and brings new perspectives on the analysis of profitability in two markets with a relatively large number of players but with different intensities of oligopoly.
The profitability of meat and milk processors is influenced by a wide range of other factors, such as the level of government support for producers, market saturation with domestic production, the volume of imports, and the development of input prices on world markets, but also by concentration at the end of the product cycle, i.e., on the retail side. This research recognizes limitations in addressing these factors and exogenous shocks, including the COVID-19 pandemic and sector-specific disease outbreaks (African swine fever, avian influenza, and bovine spongiform encephalopathy). These events substantially affected market fundamentals through their influence on supply chains, price mechanisms, and consumer behavior (
Grunert et al., 2023;
Höhler & Oude Lansink, 2021;
Lin et al., 2020;
Magdelaine et al., 2008). The resultant market pressures disproportionately impacted small and medium-sized producers, leading to market exits and industry restructuring (
Ali et al., 2021). Future empirical investigations should incorporate these structural disruptions to better understand their effects on market dynamics and industry concentration. Another limiting factor in profitability analysis is the fact that profit reinvestment is not considered, which can distort the view of the overall financial situation of the company.
At a time when, in particular, countries affected by high inflation—such as the Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Poland—are asking themselves the question of who is to blame for high food prices and who is becoming rich, this analysis becomes even more important. It points to the absence of collusive behavior or the use of market power by food producers and, at the same time, to the importance of production efficiency by explaining profitability. From the perspective of future research, it will be important to examine the relationship between performance, the market structure, and efficiency at all stages of the commodity chain, which will be the subject of further research.