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Volume 13, September
 
 

Economies, Volume 13, Issue 10 (October 2025) – 6 articles

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22 pages, 834 KB  
Article
The Coordination of Monetary–Fiscal Policy in South Africa
by Amanda Mavundla, Malibongwe Cyprian Nyati and Simiso Msomi
Economies 2025, 13(10), 280; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13100280 (registering DOI) - 27 Sep 2025
Abstract
The importance of policy coordination between fiscal and monetary policy authorities has become more apparent, in the face of unexpected economic shocks and persistent macroeconomic challenges. In this paper, we employ the Set-Theoretic Approach (STA) to explicitly measure the presence of coordination between [...] Read more.
The importance of policy coordination between fiscal and monetary policy authorities has become more apparent, in the face of unexpected economic shocks and persistent macroeconomic challenges. In this paper, we employ the Set-Theoretic Approach (STA) to explicitly measure the presence of coordination between fiscal and monetary policies from 1990 to 2023 in South Africa. In addition, the model measures policy shocks theoretically and structurally using a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model. The results indicate a weak level of policy coordination estimated at 24% where shocks are measured theoretically. Where shocks are measured structurally, the results still present weak policy coordination estimated at 33%. These results underscore the need for stronger policy coordination in South Africa, particularly during periods of economic strain such as the Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, when conflicting fiscal and monetary stances weakened policy effectiveness. In the South African case, limited coordination contributed to procyclical fiscal tightening alongside contractionary monetary policy, which constrained growth and delayed recovery. Full article
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13 pages, 1593 KB  
Article
A Note on Keynesian Models Used in Standard Textbooks
by Franz Seitz and Joerg Flemmig
Economies 2025, 13(10), 279; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13100279 - 25 Sep 2025
Abstract
This article shows that there is a methodological problem in the traditional IS-LM model. If production cannot be sufficiently adjusted downwards, there is no uniform interest rate that simultaneously clears the money and goods markets. An extension of the credit market in the [...] Read more.
This article shows that there is a methodological problem in the traditional IS-LM model. If production cannot be sufficiently adjusted downwards, there is no uniform interest rate that simultaneously clears the money and goods markets. An extension of the credit market in the tradition of the loanable funds theory resolves this contradiction and yields a coherent mechanism for crisis dynamics and policy transmission. In this expanded model, the interest rate is determined by the credit market whereby the total supply of credit results from household savings and the credit supply of banks and the demand for credit is due to investment demand and the demand for liquidity. This methodological approach facilitates the explanation of crisis dynamics, as involuntary inventory investment generates liquidity problems and disequilibria in the goods market lead to imbalances in the financial markets. Full article
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30 pages, 487 KB  
Article
The Relationship Between Financial Development, Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, and Environmental Degradation: A Comparison of G7 and E7 Countries
by Arzu Özmerdivanlı and Yahya Sönmez
Economies 2025, 13(10), 278; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13100278 - 25 Sep 2025
Abstract
Both developed and developing countries increased their energy consumption while continuing to advance economically and financially. In parallel with increasing energy use, the intensification of anthropogenic activities has led to higher greenhouse gas emissions, exposing countries to the challenges of climate change and [...] Read more.
Both developed and developing countries increased their energy consumption while continuing to advance economically and financially. In parallel with increasing energy use, the intensification of anthropogenic activities has led to higher greenhouse gas emissions, exposing countries to the challenges of climate change and global warming. The environmental degradation resulting from rapid growth in both developed and emerging economies has drawn the interest of scholars, policymakers, and environmental advocates. This study aims to address the relationships between financial development, economic growth, energy consumption, and environmental degradation in G7 and E7 countries. Within this framework, panel cointegration and causality analyses were conducted using annual data from the period between 2000 and 2021 for the relevant countries. The results of the cointegration analysis indicate that the variables move together in the long run in both groups of countries. Furthermore, the long-term relationship coefficients reveal that economic growth and energy consumption contribute to environmental degradation in both G7 and E7 nations. Moreover, the results show that, unlike in E7 countries, financial development in G7 countries exacerbates environmental degradation, while trade openness mitigates it. Panel causality analysis reveals that in E7 countries, changes in financial development influence CO2 emissions, and variations in CO2 emissions, in turn, affect economic growth and trade openness. In G7 countries, the analysis results indicate a bidirectional causal relationship between trade openness and CO2 emissions across the panel. The panel cointegration and causality analyses yield differing results at the country level. Given these findings, it can be recommended that both G7 and E7 countries transition from fossil fuel sources to clean energy sources in conducting economic activities, promote green economy initiatives, and expand the use of green finance instruments to mitigate environmental degradation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Energy Consumption, Financial Development and Economic Growth)
18 pages, 1434 KB  
Article
Monetary Liquidity and Food Price Dynamics: Evidence from China’s Mutton Price
by Xiong Zheng, Adrian Daud, Shairil Izwan Taasim and Anita Rosli
Economies 2025, 13(10), 277; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13100277 - 24 Sep 2025
Abstract
Mutton prices in China carry significant economic and social implications, yet their macro-financial drivers remain insufficiently understood. Based on monthly data from 2003 to 2025, this paper employs Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition, Vector Autoregression, and wavelet coherence analysis to identify the multi-frequency transmission [...] Read more.
Mutton prices in China carry significant economic and social implications, yet their macro-financial drivers remain insufficiently understood. Based on monthly data from 2003 to 2025, this paper employs Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition, Vector Autoregression, and wavelet coherence analysis to identify the multi-frequency transmission effects of broad money supply on price dynamics. The results show that broad money supply has limited impact on high-frequency volatility but exerts a strong and persistent influence on medium- and low-frequency trends, particularly after 2010, when stable structural coherence becomes evident. Findings suggest that monetary expansion affects food prices through cost-push channels and expectation adjustments across different time scales. The study highlights the importance of incorporating frequency dimensions into inflation management and food price regulation frameworks to improve the precision and timeliness of policy responses. Full article
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22 pages, 1380 KB  
Article
Analyzing the South African Equity Market Volatility and Economic Policy Uncertainty During COVID-19
by Thokozane Ramakau, Daniel Mokatsanyane, Kago Matlhaku and Sune Ferreira-Schenk
Economies 2025, 13(10), 276; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13100276 - 24 Sep 2025
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Abstract
This study examines the dynamics of equity market volatility and economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in South Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using daily return data for sectoral indices and the JSE All Share Index (ALSI) from 1 January 2020 to 31 March 2022, [...] Read more.
This study examines the dynamics of equity market volatility and economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in South Africa during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using daily return data for sectoral indices and the JSE All Share Index (ALSI) from 1 January 2020 to 31 March 2022, the analysis explores both market-wide and sector-specific volatility responses. Univariate GARCH-family models (GARCH (1,1), E-GARCH, and T-GARCH) are employed to capture volatility clustering, persistence, and asymmetry across sectors. The results show that volatility was highly persistent during the pandemic, with sectoral differences in sensitivity to shocks: Consumer Staples and Financials were particularly reactive to recent news, while Health Care and Basic Materials were more stable. Asymmetric models confirm that market sentiment was predominantly driven by negative news, except in the Energy sector, where positive recovery signals played a stronger role. Correlation analysis further indicates that most sectors were moderately correlated with the ALSI, while Energy and Health Care behaved more independently. In contrast, both the ALSI and sector returns exhibited weak and negative correlations with the South African EPU index, suggesting that uncertainty did not translate directly into equity market declines. Overall, the findings highlight the importance of sectoral heterogeneity in volatility dynamics and suggest that during extreme market events, investors can mitigate downside risk by reallocating portfolios toward more resilient sectors. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Macroeconomics, Monetary Economics, and Financial Markets)
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29 pages, 624 KB  
Article
Inequality of Opportunity in Income and Education: Evidence from Central and Eastern Europe
by Maria Denisa Vasilescu and Larisa Stănilă
Economies 2025, 13(10), 275; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13100275 - 23 Sep 2025
Viewed by 97
Abstract
Inequality of opportunity is a critical issue that significantly impacts the socioeconomic landscape. Understanding the variations in income and educational attainment has become increasingly important, as these disparities are often shaped by social determinants such as individual effort and circumstances, which can affect [...] Read more.
Inequality of opportunity is a critical issue that significantly impacts the socioeconomic landscape. Understanding the variations in income and educational attainment has become increasingly important, as these disparities are often shaped by social determinants such as individual effort and circumstances, which can affect educational outcomes and income potential throughout life. The aim of this paper is to quantify the inequality of opportunity and to examine how circumstances beyond an individual’s control influence income and level of education in the Central and Eastern European countries. We draw on recent data from the fourth wave of the Life in Transition Survey and employ inequality of opportunity indices, Shapley and Oaxaca decompositions, and econometric models to capture the structure and magnitude of the effects. Our findings reveal that inequality of opportunity in income is mainly due to gender and, to a smaller extent, parental education, while educational attainment is mainly influenced by parental education, books at home and the mother’s occupational sector. The results provide a robust foundation for supporting targeted policies in education, employment, and pay equity, and they indicate the need to tailor strategies to the specific contexts of each Central and Eastern European country. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Labour and Education)
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