5.1. Model Comparison
Corollary 1. Comparison of the battery leasing price under different strategies:
When , ; , ; , .
Here, , , .
According to Corollary 1, the self-operated single-service strategy of battery manufacturers (the BYN and BNY strategy) typically leads to an increase in battery leasing service costs, which in turn drives up the battery leasing price. In contrast, a fully self-operated strategy, where the battery manufacturer manages the two services, or a fully outsourced strategy, where both services are delegated to the vehicle company, can effectively reduce the battery leasing price by optimizing resource integration and improving operational efficiency. This indicates that any self-operated single-service strategy is likely to increase the service cost of battery leasing, whereas the integration of both services helps to enhance efficiency, thereby alleviating the economic burden on consumers.
Furthermore, the price of the vehicle body plays a crucial role in influencing the battery leasing price across the four strategies. Specifically, in terms of price increases, when the vehicle body price is low (), the BYN strategy results in a higher battery leasing price. Conversely, when the vehicle body price is high (), the BNY strategy is the most effective in increasing the battery leasing price. This suggests that when the vehicle body price is low, outsourcing battery leasing to the vehicle company enables it to provide both battery-swapping vehicles and leasing services to the market. To offset the limited profit from vehicle body sales, the vehicle company may increase the battery leasing price. Conversely, when the price of the vehicle body is high, the demand for battery-swapping vehicles decreases, which directly leads to a reduction in the demand for battery leasing. As a result, when battery manufacturers operate the battery leasing service, they may be compelled to increase the battery leasing price to sustain their operations. On the other hand, with regard to price reduction, when the vehicle body price is low (), the BYY strategy is most effective in lowering the battery leasing price. Conversely, the BNN strategy is more effective in reducing the battery leasing price when the vehicle body price is high. This suggests that when the vehicle body price is low, battery manufacturers can more effectively control costs and service quality by self-operating both services (BYY strategy), allowing them to offer more competitive battery leasing prices. In contrast, when both services are fully outsourced to vehicle companies (BNN strategy), the vehicle companies’ market channels and brand influence can be leveraged to attract consumers at a lower price, thereby facilitating the wider adoption of battery leasing services.
Therefore, when the vehicle body price is low, battery manufacturers should choose to self-operate the two services. In contrast, when the price is high, they should consider fully outsourcing the services to maintain competitive battery leasing prices.
Corollary 2. The comparison of battery-swapping service prices under different strategies is presented in Table 4. Here, , , .
According to Corollary 2, consumers’ sensitivity to the battery swapping price is a crucial factor influencing the battery swapping price across the four strategies. Specifically, when consumers exhibit lower sensitivity to battery swapping price, the battery manufacturer’s fully self-operated or fully outsourced strategies (the BYY and BNN strategy) tend to drive up the price of battery swapping. In this case, when the vehicle body price is low, the self-operated two services strategy employed by the battery manufacturer results in the highest battery swapping price. Conversely, when the vehicle body price is high, the fully outsourced two-service strategy results in the highest battery swapping price. On the other hand, when consumers exhibit high sensitivity to the battery-swapping price, outsourcing the battery-swapping service to vehicle companies (the BNY and BNN strategy) leads to a higher battery-swapping price. In this scenario, when the vehicle body price is low, outsourcing only the battery swapping service results in the highest battery swapping price. Conversely, when the vehicle body price is low, outsourcing both services results in the highest battery swapping price.
This is because when consumer sensitivity to battery swapping prices is low, battery manufacturers tend to opt for either a fully self-operated or fully outsourced strategy. In these cases, both the battery manufacturers and vehicle companies, as simultaneous operators of the two services, can leverage their strong market control to set relatively high battery swapping prices. However, when the battery manufacturer operates only one type of service (the BYN and BNY strategy), it can offer the most competitive battery swapping price due to more focused service provisioning and better cost control. Conversely, when consumers exhibit significant sensitivity to the battery swapping price if battery manufacturers choose to outsource battery swapping services to vehicle companies (the BNY or BNN strategy), vehicle companies often view battery swapping services as a critical revenue stream. This outsourcing model, coupled with decentralized decision-making on the battery swapping service, leads vehicle companies to raise the battery swapping price.
Therefore, battery manufacturers should carefully consider both consumers’ sensitivity to battery swapping prices and the vehicle body price when selecting their operating strategies. In markets where consumers exhibit low price sensitivity, the strategy should prioritize maximizing control over the service market through complete self-operation or complete outsourcing. In contrast, for markets with high battery-swapping price sensitivity, the strategy should focus on cost control and competitive pricing through outsourcing the battery-swapping service. Specifically, the choice of strategy is highly contingent on the vehicle body price.
Corollary 3. Comparison of the demand for battery-swapping vehicles:
When , ; when , .
Here, .
Corollary 3 demonstrates that among the self-operated and outsourced strategies for the two services, adopting either a fully self-operated or fully outsourced strategy is the most effective approach to promoting battery-swapping vehicles.
The optimal strategy for advancing battery-swapping vehicles depends on the price of the vehicle body. When the vehicle body price is low (), the optimal strategy is for the battery manufacturer to self-operate both services. Conversely, when the vehicle body price is high (), a complete outsourcing strategy becomes more appropriate. This is because when the vehicle body price is low, consumers become more sensitive to the total cost of battery swapping, including vehicle body purchase price, battery leasing fees, and battery swapping service charges. In this scenario, battery manufacturers can stimulate market demand by leveraging centralized decision-making and optimized pricing strategy to offer a more competitive price. On the other hand, when the vehicle body price is high, consumers place greater emphasis on the purchase cost of the vehicle body. In this scenario, a complete outsourcing strategy allows vehicle companies to attract consumers by lowering service prices. This pricing flexibility enhances demand for battery-swapping vehicles, effectively addressing consumer concerns in high-cost markets.
Within the vehicle and battery separation model, the selection of a service strategy for promoting battery-swapping vehicles should correspond to the market positioning of battery-swapping vehicles. In the case of economy vehicles, battery manufacturers should independently operate both services to maximize resource utilization efficiency and reduce costs. Meanwhile, vehicle companies should focus on the production of battery-swapping vehicles, leveraging their core competencies. For example, the cooperation model between CATL and vehicle companies on operating models primarily follows this approach. For luxury vehicles, battery manufacturers should outsource both services to vehicle companies. By purchasing swapping batteries and obtaining authorization for the battery swapping service, vehicle companies can combine battery leasing with vehicle sales while providing battery swapping throughout the vehicle’s operational phase.
Corollary 4. A comparison of the demand for battery-swapping services under different strategies is presented in Table 5. Here, , , , , , .
Corollary 4 indicates that the optimal strategy for the battery-swapping service demand is influenced by the vehicle body price, the cost-sharing ratio for battery-swapping operations and consumers’ sensitivity to battery-swapping price:
(1) The BYN strategy is optimal. When the vehicle company bears a larger proportion of the battery swapping operating cost (), it alleviates the operational burden on the battery manufacturer. This enables battery manufacturers to flexibly adjust and respond to market price fluctuations through self-operated battery-swapping services, thereby effectively stimulating the market adoption of battery-swapping services. Moreover, when the battery swapping operation cost-sharing ratio is not high, the vehicle price is high, and consumer sensitivity to the battery swapping price is either low or high (, and , or , and ), the strategy of battery manufacturers solely operating battery swapping services is more effective in promoting the market adoption of battery swapping. A high vehicle price diminishes demand for battery-swapping vehicles, leading to a further decline in demand for battery-swapping services. In this scenario, even if battery manufacturers must bear higher operating costs for battery swapping services, they are likely to self-operate the battery swapping service to stimulate demand and maintain overall market price control.
(2) The BNN strategy is optimal. When the battery swapping operation cost-sharing ratio is low, the vehicle body price is not low, and consumers exhibit low sensitivity to battery swapping price (, and , or , and ), the higher vehicle body price suppresses demand for battery-swapping vehicles. Under these conditions, even if consumers exhibit low sensitivity to battery swapping prices, battery manufacturers should outsource both services to vehicle companies, leveraging the latter’s advantages in vehicle sales and services to drive the growth of battery swapping demand.
(3) The BYY strategy is optimal. When the battery swapping operation cost-sharing ratio is low, the vehicle body price is not high, and the sensitivity to battery swapping price is either low or high (, and , or , and ), battery manufacturers can achieve the greatest benefits by self-operating both services. This approach allows them to capitalize on their advantages and implement integrated management and optimization, from battery production to the battery swapping service, thereby enhancing service quality and operational efficiency.
Corollary 5. The comparison of battery manufacturer profit:
(1) ;
(2) When , if , , if or , ; When , ;
(3) When , if , , if or , ; When , .
Here, , , , , , , .
Proof. The comparison for Corollary 5 is similar to Corollary 4 and thus omitted. The same applies hereafter. □
Corollary 5(1) indicates that battery manufacturers will not opt to outsource only battery-swapping services. This is because outsourcing the battery-swapping service alone does not achieve the expected cost-effectiveness or operational efficiency. Instead, it may increase management complexity and potentially reduce service quality.
Corollaries 5(2) and 5(3) demonstrate that under certain conditions, battery manufacturers have a clear advantage in self-operating both services. Specifically, when the sensitivity to battery swapping price is high (), or when the sensitivity to battery swapping price is low but vehicle body prices are either low or high (, and or ), battery manufacturers are more likely to self-operate both services.
This is because higher price sensitivity for battery swapping means consumers react more strongly to changes in the battery swapping price, motivating battery manufacturers to attract consumers through self-operated services. This allows battery manufacturers to better control the two service prices, optimizing the overall service offering. Conversely, when price sensitivity is low, consumers are less affected by battery swapping price changes. In this case, a lower vehicle body price drives higher demand for battery leasing services, which subsequently stimulates battery swapping demand and encourages battery manufacturers to operate both services independently. Moreover, a higher vehicle body price reduces demand for battery leasing, which in turn lowers the need for battery swapping services. When consumer sensitivity to battery swapping prices is low, battery manufacturers can leverage their advantages to provide competitively priced, self-operated services, thereby driving market demand and increasing profit margins.
Therefore, battery manufacturers will avoid outsourcing only the battery-swapping service, as this would complicate management and fail to deliver sufficient revenue improvements. In markets characterized by high consumer price sensitivity or low sensitivity to battery swapping price, along with relatively low or high vehicle body price, battery manufacturers are more likely to adopt a self-operated two-service strategy to maximize revenue. In contrast, when consumer price sensitivity is low, and the vehicle body price is moderate, battery manufacturers may opt to outsource battery leasing services (the BYN and BNN strategy) to reduce management burdens.
Corollary 6. The comparison of supply chain system profit:
(1) When and , if , , if , ; when and ,
; when , if , , if , ;
(2) ;
(3) When , ; when , .
Here, , , .
According to Corollary 6(1), compared to operating both services, a battery manufacturer’s decision to outsource battery leasing to vehicle companies is affected by multiple factors, including battery swapping price sensitivity, battery production cost and the vehicle body price. Specifically, when the battery swapping price sensitivity is low, and both vehicle body and battery price are high (, and ), or when both battery swapping price sensitivity and vehicle body price are high ( and ), the supply chain system becomes more profitable if battery manufacturers sell batteries to vehicle companies while also providing battery swapping services, and vehicle companies offer battery leasing services to consumers. Otherwise, it is more beneficial for the battery manufacturer to operate both services independently.
Corollary 6(2) shows that compared to operating both services, a strategy where the battery manufacturer exclusively operates the battery leasing service while outsourcing the battery swapping service to the vehicle company does not lead to optimal system profit. This indicates that the battery-swapping service plays a crucial role in the profitability of the supply chain system. Outsourcing the battery-swapping service will reduce efficiency and increase cost, thereby affecting overall profit.
Corollary 6(3) indicates that whether a battery manufacturer outsources both services, as opposed to self-operating both, depends on the vehicle body price. Specifically, when the vehicle body price is low (), the battery manufacturer should operate both services. In contrast, when vehicle body price is high (), outsourcing both services better supports the sustainability of the battery swapping supply chain system.
In summary, the battery-swapping service plays a pivotal role in maximizing overall supply chain profitability. A strategy where the battery manufacturer only self-operates battery leasing while outsourcing the battery-swapping service may reduce supply chain efficiency and impede the advancement of the vehicle and battery separation model. Under certain conditions, either fully self-operated services or fully outsourced services, along with self-operated battery swapping, can attract more companies to participate in the vehicle and battery separation model, thereby promoting the overall growth of the industry.
Furthermore, from a long-term development perspective, the NEV market is steadily expanding while battery production costs continue to decline, leading to a downward trend in vehicle prices. In this context, battery manufacturers should consider retaining battery ownership and operational rights for battery swapping to maintain their competitive advantage. This approach would also foster the growth of the battery-swapping supply chain and encourage more vehicle companies to participate in the vehicle and battery separation model led by battery manufacturers.