The reliability sampling design is very important for experimeters to plan the progressive type I interval censoring experiment. In
Section 3.1, the required minimum sample size is determined under the control of the type II error (producers’ risk). In
Section 3.2, under the fixed total experimental time
T, the required sample size and minimal number of inspection intervals are determined to reach the given power of the level
test for the testing procedure and also to minimize the total cost of experiment. In
Section 3.3, for unfixed experimental termination time
T, we determine the required sample size, minimal number of inspection intervals, and the equal length of interval so that the total experimental cost is minimized.
3.2. The Optimal m and n for Fixed T
The experimenters usually do not prefer a large number of inspection intervals
m. Not like
Section 3.1, the number of inspection intervals
m is needed to be determined in this section. Let
m0 be the upper limit of
m specified by the experimenters such that
m0. (
m0 is defaulted to be 100). The sample size
n is the function of
m. We would like to determine the optimal (
m,
n) to minimize the total cost occurred during the progressive type I interval censoring procedure. Similar to Huang and Wu [
11], we consider the following costs:
Installation cost Ca: the cost for installing all test units;
Inspection cost CI: the cost for implementing the inspection equipment;
Sample cost Cs: the cost for per test unit;
Operation cost Co: the cost including the personnel cost, depreciation of test equipment, etc. It is proportional to the length of experimental time.
Considering all these costs, we have the total cost of
We use a numeration method to search the optimal (
m,
n), and the Algorithm 1 is given as follows:
Algorithm 1 Searching for the optimal (m,n). |
Step 1: Give the pre-assigned values of c0, c1, , , p, T, L, and m0 (the default value is 100) and the four costs Ca = aCo, Cs = bCo, CI = cCo, Co. |
Step 2: Compute and . |
Step 3: Set m = 1. |
Step 4: Compute the sample size n as in Equation (11) and then compute the related total cost TC(m,n) as in Equation (12). |
Step 5: If m < m0, then m = m + 1 and go to Step 4, else go to Step 6. |
Step 6: The optimal solution of m* is the minimum m value such that TC* = TC(m,n) is reached and then the corresponding sample size n* is obtained. |
Step 7: The critical value of is calculated. |
Consider
Co = 1 and
a =
b =
c = 1. For testing
under
= 0.01,
= 0.25,
p = 0.05,
c1 = 0.825,
k = 4.47,
L = 0.05 and
T = 0.5, we plot
m = 2(1)
m0 against its corresponding total cost in
Figure 5a. You can see that minimum total cost occurred when
m = 6 with the total cost of 616.5. For different set up of parameters
= 0.15,
= 0.1,
p = 0.1,
c1 = 0.9,
k = 4.47,
L = 0.05,
T = 0.5, another total cost curve with
m = 2(1)
m0 is given in
Figure 5b. You can see that it is a concave upward curve with some flats and the minimum total cost occurred when
m = 3 with the total cost of 21.5.
The minimum suggested inspection intervals
m* and sample size
n* to attain minimal total cost
TC(
m*,
n*) under the constraint of
m <
m0, where
m0 = 20 for testing
are tabulated in
Table 4 and
Table 5 at
= 0.25, 0.20, 0.15,
= 0.01, 0.05, 0.1,
L = 0.05,
T = 0.5,
p = 0.05(0.025)0.1 for
c1 = 0.825, 0.850, and
c1 = 0.875, 0.90, respectively. The corresponding critical values
are also tabulated.
For example, suppose that the user wants to conduct the level 0.05 hypothesis testing of
under
= 0.8 at
c1 = 0.90,
p = 0.05 and
m0 = 20. From
Table 5, the minimum required sample size is
n* = 21 and the minimum number of inspection intervals is
m* = 3. The total cost is calculated as TC = 25.5 and the critical value is 0.8799.
- (1)
When the level of significance decreases, the minimum sample size n* is increasing for fixed and p;
- (2)
When c1 increases, the minimum sample size n* is decreasing for fixed , , and p;
- (3)
When the the probability of type II error decreases, the minimum sample size n* is increasing for fixed , c1, and p;
- (4)
When c1 increases, the minimum inspection intervals m* is decreasing for fixed , , and p;
- (5)
When decreases, the minimum inspection intervals m* is non-increasing for fixed , c1, and p;
- (6)
When c1 increases, the minimum total cost is decreasing for fixed , , and p;
- (7)
When decreases, the minimum total cost is increasing for fixed , c1, and p;
- (8)
When p increases, the minimum total cost is increasing for fixed , , and c1.
3.3. The Optimal m, t, and n When the Termination Time T Is Not Fixed
We consider the case when the total life test time
T is not fixed in this section. The inspection time
t for each inspection interval is needed to be determined. The optimal (
m,
t,
n) is specified to minimize the total cost occurred during the progressive type I interval censoring procedure. The total cost is
We use the numeration method to search the optimal (
m,
t,
n) and the Algorithm 2 is given as follows:
Algorithm 2 Searching for the optimal (m,t,n). |
Step 1: Give the pre-assigned values of c0, c1, , and p, L and m0 (the default value is 100) and the four costs Ca = aCo, Cs = bCo, CI = cCo, Co. |
Step 2: Compute and . |
Step 3: Set m = 1. |
Step 4: Find the optimal solution t* such that TC(m,t,n) is minimized. Compute the sample size n as in Equation (11) and then compute the related total cost TC(m,t*,n) as in Equation (13). |
Step 5: If m < m0, then m = m+1 and go to Step 4, else go to Step 6. |
Step 6: The optimal solution of m* is the minimum m value such that TC** = TC(m,t*,n) is reached and then the corresponding sample size n* is obtained. |
Step 7: The critical value of is calculated. |
Consider
Co = 1 and
a =
b =
c = 1. For testing
under
= 0.25,
= 0.01,
p = 0.05,
c1 = 0.825,
k = 4.47,
L = 0.05,
T = 0.5, we plot
m = 2(1)
m0 against its corresponding total cost in
Figure 6a. You can see that a minimum total cost occurred when
m = 6 with the total cost of 616.476. For a different set up of parameters
= 0.15,
= 0.1,
p = 0.1,
c1 = 0.9,
k = 4.47,
L = 0.05, and
T = 0.5, another total cost curve with
m = 1(1)
m0 is given in
Figure 6b. You can see that it is a concave upward curve with some flats and the minimum total cost occurred when
m = 3 with the total cost of 21.309. For other combination of set ups, we also find the similar patterns.
The minimum suggested inspection intervals
m*, inspection interval time length
t* and sample size
n* to yield the minimum total cost
TC(
m*,
t*,
n*) under the constraint of
m<
m0, where
m0 = 20 for testing
are tabulated in
Table 6 and
Table 7 at
= 0.25, 0.20, 0.15,
= 0.01, 0.05, 0.1,
L = 0.05,
p = 0.05(0.025)0.1 for
c1 = 0.825, 0.850, and
c1 = 0.875, 0.90, respectively. The corresponding critical values
are also tabulated.
For example, suppose that the user wants to conduct the level 0.05 hypothesis testing of
under power of 0.8 at
= 0.825,
p = 0.05, and
m0 = 20. From
Table 6, the minimum required sample size is 408, the minimum number of inspection intervals is 5, and the inspection interval time length is 0.08. The total cost is calculated as TC = 414.416 and the critical value is 0.8173.
For any other setup of the testing procedure, a software program is provided by authors for users to input L, T, m, c0, c1, , and output the minimum required sample size n; or input L, T, c0, c1, , , m0 to output the minimum suggested number of inspection m; or input L, c0, c1, , , m0 to output the minimum recommended number of inspection m and the equal length of time t for each inspection interval.
- (1)
When the level of significance increases, the minimum sample size n* is decreasing for fixed and p;
- (2)
When c1 decreases, the minimum sample size n* is increasing for fixed , , and p;
- (3)
When the the probability of type II error decreases, the minimum sample size n* is increasing for fixed , c1, and p;
- (4)
When c1 decreases, the minimum inspection intervals is increasing for fixed , and p.
- (5)
When c1 increases, the minimum total cost is decreasing for fixed , , and p;
- (6)
When decreases, the minimum total cost is increasing for fixed , c1, and p;
- (7)
When p increases, the minimum total cost is non-decreasing for fixed , , and c1.
3.4. Example
The data in Lee and Wang [
12] include the tumor-free times (200 days) by feeding unsaturated fat diets after injected by an identical amount of tumor cells of
n = 30 rats
is listed as follows:
Data of tumor-free times
0.3 | 0.315 | 0.315 | 0.315 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
0.385 | 0.385 | 0.42 | 0.455 | 0.455 | 0.47 | 0.49 | 0.505 | 0.525 | 0.54 |
0.545 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.575 | 0.63 | 0.715 | 0.765 | 0.805 | 0.82 | 0.89 |
Using the Gini-test (see Gail and Gastwirth [
13]), the Gini-test value
, where
. The Gini-test value is a function of
k, and the
p-values versus
k values are plotted in
Figure 7. We assume the parameter
k is known. The value of
k is determined with the the maximum
p-value for Gini-test. It can be seen that the value of
k is chosen as
k = 4.47 with the maximum
p-value.
Referring to
Section 3.1, suppose that the lower specification limit is
L = 0.5, the number of inspection is
m = 5, the removal probability is
p = 0.05, the target lifetime performance index is
c0 = 0.8, the level of significance is
= 0.1, and the power is 1 −
= 0.80 at
c1 = 0.9. The required sample size is determined as
n = 20 from
Table 2.
Based on this setup, we can start to conduct the testing procedure about CL as follows:
Step 1: Take a random sample of size n = 20 from the data set. Observe the progressive type I interval censored sample (X1,X2,X3,X4,X5) = (0,0,1,7,2) at the pre-set times (t1,t2,t3,t4,t5) = (0.1,0.2,0.3,0.4,0.5) with censoring schemes of (R1,R2,R3,R4,R5) = (2,0,1,0,7) and (p1,p2, p3,p4,p5) = (0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,1).
Step 2: Find the MLE of λ as = 0.4270091 and then obtain the test statistic = 1 − 0.4270091 × 0.05 = 0.9786495.
Step 3: For level of significance = 0.05, we can calculate the critical value = 0.8780724.
Step 4: Since = 0.9786495 > = 0.8780724, we should reject the null hypothesis and claim that the lifetime performance index of product meets the required level.
With respect to
Section 3.2,
m is not fixed and
T = 0.5 is fixed, under the same consideration in the previous section except
m and
n are not determined. From
Table 4, we can find that the optimal sampling design is
m* = 3,
n* = 21 with critical value
= 0.8799 and resulting in the minimum total cost of 25.5 units under the cost setup of
Co = 1 and
a =
b =
c = 1.
We can start to conduct the testing procedure about as follows:
Step 1: Take a random sample of size n = 21 from the data set. Observe the progressive type I interval censored sample (X1,X2,X3) = (0,3,9) at the pre-set times (t1,t2,t3) = (0.1667,0.333,0.5) with censoring schemes of (R1,R2 R3) = (0,0,9) and (p1,p2,p3) = (0.05,0.05,1).
Step 2: Find the MLE of λ as = 0.4026597 and then obtain the test statistic = 1 − 0.4026597 × 0.05 = 0.979867.
Step 3: For level of significance = 0.05, we can calculate the critical value = 0.8799.
Step 4: Since = 0.979867 > = 0.8799, we conclude to reject the null hypothesis and claim that the lifetime performance index of product meets the required level.
With respect to
Section 3.3, when
m and
t are not fixed under the same setup with the previous two cases, we can find that the optimal sampling design is
m* = 3,
n* = 21, and
t* = 0.11 with critical value
= 0.8783 and minimum total cost of 29.5 units under the cost setup of
Co = 1 and
a =
b =
c = 1 from
Table 7.
The testing procedure about can be implemented as follows:
Step 1: Take a random sample of size n = 21 from the data set. Observe the progressive type I interval censored sample (X1,X2,X3) = (0,0,4) at the pre-set times (t1,t2,t3) = (0.11,0.22,0.33) with censoring schemes of (R1,R2,R3) = (1,2,14) and (p1,p2, p3) = (0.05,0.05,1).
Step 2: Find the MLE of λ as = 0.2921072 and then obtain the test statistic = 1 − 0.2921072 × 0.05 = 0.9853946.
Step 3: For level of significance = 0.05, we can calculate the critical value = 0.8783.
Step 4: Since = 0.9853946 > = 0.8783, we reached the same conclusion to support the alternative hypothesis.