Analysis of Driver’s Socioeconomic Characteristics Relating to Speeding Behavior and Crash Involvement: A Case Study in Lahore
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
3. Research Methods
3.1. Data Collection
3.2. Ordered Probit Analysis Specifications
- Yi = objective variable (latent variable of driver’s speeding behavior/observed variable of driver’s crash involvement);
- Xi = a vector of independent or explanatory variables comprising of drivers SEDs;
- β = parameter coefficients of explanatory variables to be estimated;
- ε = error term which is assumed to be randomly and normally distributed, and accounts for error in the observed variables and estimation due to external constraints.
4. Results and Analysis
4.1. Distribution of Respondent’s SEDs
4.2. Probit Regression Analysis of Speeding Behavior and Crash Involvement
- Age: 0 if the driver’s age is under or equal to 30 years, otherwise is 1.
- Gender: 0 if the driver is a man, otherwise is 1.
- Marital status: 0 if the driver is single, otherwise is 1.
- Profession: 0 if the driver is an employee, otherwise is 1.
- Type of vehicle drive: 0 if he or she drives a car, otherwise is 1.
- Driving frequency: 0 if driving frequency per day is 1–2 h, otherwise is 1.
- Driving license: 0 if the driver possesses a driving license, otherwise is 1.
- Vehicle engine size variable: 0 if engine size is above 1.5 L, otherwise is 1.
- Driver’s crash involvement: 0 if the driver has experienced an accident, otherwise is 1.
4.2.1. Age
4.2.2. Gender and Marital Status
4.2.3. Profession
4.2.4. Car Drivers
4.2.5. Driving Frequency per Day and Possession of a Driving License
4.2.6. Vehicle Engine Size
4.2.7. Crash Experience and Speeding Behavior
5. Policy Implications
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Characteristics | Category | Frequency | Distribution (%) |
---|---|---|---|
Gender | Man Woman | 457 94 | 82.94 17.06 |
Age (years) | Less than or equal to 30 Above 30 | 361 190 | 65.52 34.48 |
Marital status | Single Married | 409 142 | 74.22 25.78 |
Monthly income (PKR) | Below 30,000 30,000–60,000 Above 60,000 | 208 138 205 | 37.70 25.00 36.30 |
Profession | Student Employees Others | 224 227 100 | 40.70 41.20 18.10 |
Type of vehicle | Car Bus Others | 414 75 62 | 75.21 13.60 11.19 |
Driving experience | Less than 1 year 1–2 years 3–4 years More than 4 years | 91 108 88 264 | 16.60 19.20 15.90 48.30 |
Driving hours per day | Less than 1 h 1–2 h More than 2 h | 250 245 56 | 45.40 44.50 10.20 |
Vehicle engine capacity | Under 1 L 1.0–1.5 L 1.6–2.0 L Above 2.0 L | 96 192 145 118 | 17.40 34.80 26.30 20.70 |
Driving license | Yes No | 295 256 | 53.50 46.50 |
Have you ever experienced an accident? | Yes No | 265 286 | 48.11 51.89 |
Have you paid traffic fines due to speeding in the last one year? | Yes No | 119 432 | 20.30 79.70 |
Observed Variables | Driver’s Speeding Behavior | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | Factor Loadings | % of Variance Explained | Cronbach’s Alpha | ||
How often do you exceed the speed limit by 10 km/h or more on | 100 km/h roads? | 2.350 | 0.932 | 63.247 | 0.864 |
80 km/h roads? | 2.750 | 0.829 | |||
120 km/h roads? | 2.181 | 0.764 | |||
60 km/h roads? | 3.115 | 0.624 |
Explanatory Variables | Drivers’ Speeding Behavior | Have You Ever Experienced an Accident? (Crash Involvement) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Estimate | p-Value | Estimate | p-Value | |
Age (under or equal to 30 years) | 0.225 | 0.034 | 0.196 | 0.079 |
Gender (man) | 0.242 | 0.025 | −0.287 | 0.078 |
Marital status (single) | 0.214 | 0.056 | 0.443 | 0.001 |
Employees | −0.263 | 0.080 | 0.061 | 0.601 |
Car drivers | 0.241 | 0.015 | 0.453 | 0.000 |
Driving hours (1 to 2 h per day) | 0.235 | 0.008 | −0.021 | 0.854 |
Driving license | 0.113 | 0.078 | −0.180 | 0.132 |
Engine size (above 1.5 L) | 0.140 | 0.074 | 0.192 | 0.083 |
Driver’s crash involvement | 0.162 | 0.041 | -- | -- |
Likelihood ratio (ρ2) | 0.231 | 0.000 | 0.225 | 0.000 |
McFadden’s pseudo R2 | 0.210 | 0.000 | 0.210 | 0.000 |
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Javid, M.A.; Ali, N.; Abdullah, M.; Campisi, T.; Shah, S.A.H.; Suparp, S. Analysis of Driver’s Socioeconomic Characteristics Relating to Speeding Behavior and Crash Involvement: A Case Study in Lahore. Infrastructures 2022, 7, 18. https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures7020018
Javid MA, Ali N, Abdullah M, Campisi T, Shah SAH, Suparp S. Analysis of Driver’s Socioeconomic Characteristics Relating to Speeding Behavior and Crash Involvement: A Case Study in Lahore. Infrastructures. 2022; 7(2):18. https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures7020018
Chicago/Turabian StyleJavid, Muhammad Ashraf, Nazam Ali, Muhammad Abdullah, Tiziana Campisi, Syed Arif Hussain Shah, and Suniti Suparp. 2022. "Analysis of Driver’s Socioeconomic Characteristics Relating to Speeding Behavior and Crash Involvement: A Case Study in Lahore" Infrastructures 7, no. 2: 18. https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures7020018
APA StyleJavid, M. A., Ali, N., Abdullah, M., Campisi, T., Shah, S. A. H., & Suparp, S. (2022). Analysis of Driver’s Socioeconomic Characteristics Relating to Speeding Behavior and Crash Involvement: A Case Study in Lahore. Infrastructures, 7(2), 18. https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures7020018