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Review

Decoupling Economic Growth from Carbon Emissions: A Transition toward Low-Carbon Energy Systems—A Critical Review

by
Oluwatoyin J. Gbadeyan
1,*,
Joseph Muthivhi
1,
Linda Z. Linganiso
2 and
Nirmala Deenadayalu
1
1
Department of Chemistry, Durban University of Technology, Durban 4001, South Africa
2
Department of Physical Chemistry, University of South Africa, Pretoria 0003, South Africa
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Clean Technol. 2024, 6(3), 1076-1113; https://doi.org/10.3390/cleantechnol6030054
Submission received: 12 February 2024 / Revised: 17 July 2024 / Accepted: 1 August 2024 / Published: 19 August 2024

Abstract

:
Climate change has become a global nightmare, and the awareness of the causes of carbon emissions has resulted in rigorous studies. These studies linked the increase in global warming with booming economic growth. Since global warming has become more apparent, researchers have explored ways to decouple economic activities from carbon growth. Economic and carbon growth must be decoupled to achieve a low-carbon economy to support the carbon-growth plan or emission-reduction strategy. The world is transitioning toward a carbon-neutral and green ecosystem, so finding ways to decouple carbon emissions from economic activities is an exciting topic to explore. This study reviews current information on the importance of decoupling energy from economic growth innovative techniques that thoroughly examine the challenges and constraints of low-carbon energy systems. In order to examine the detrimental effects of carbon emissions on ecosystems and the ways in which economic expansion contributes to carbon footprints, more than three hundred research papers were gathered using several search engines, including Elsevier and Google Scholar. This review revealed that decarbonization and dematerialization had been achieved without declining global economic growth. It also provides information on energy use and economic activities leading to global carbon emissions and alternative solutions to the global challenge of climate change. The decoupling methods commonly used to determine the impact of energy decarbonization on economic growth are explored. All the results suggest that economic growth is a primary mover of global carbon emission increase and must be separated to achieve a carbon environment.

1. Introduction

Global warming caused by greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) has led to the loss of lives and infrastructures worldwide. This unfortunate incident has become a disturbing problem facing the global community. Fossil fuel consumption has been identified as the primary source of greenhouse gas emissions [1,2]. In 2012, the carbon dioxide generated by GHGs and released into the atmosphere was 47,599 million tons (MtCO2), increasing to about three times in the past six decades. In 1960, it was 9385.8 million tons and drastically increased to 36,138.3 in 2014, with a compound growth of 2.6% [3,4]. The increase in gas emissions shown in has contributed to global warming, ravaging the world. Economic growth is identified as the principal mover of climate change and reducing the consequence of CE. Delinking economic growth from environmental harm is essential. The United Nations Environmental Protection Agency defines “Decoupling” as the process where economic growth is decoupled from GHG emissions, according to [5]. Similarly, according to Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), decoupling helps reduce economic advances’ effect on the environment [6].
Correspondingly, Juknys [7] confirmed that the decoupling initiation aimed to detach economic growth from resource usage, which may reduce carbon discharge with the evolution toward a low-carbon energy system. However, this process requires joint participation and effort from other countries to succeed. The shift from fossil fuels and coal to renewable energy is still a big issue in South Africa and globally. For instance, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine shows that several countries still depend on fossil fuels [6]. The global world should focus and invest more in renewable energy initiatives to overcome global emissions. There is a need for scholars to pay more attention to this challenge and propose viable solutions.
Furthermore, Africa has not only redirected resources toward building and establishing a low-carbon economy, but Europe and other countries are doing the same [5] and projected and committed to carbon neutrality by 2050 [8,9]. However, extreme weather conditions such as heat waves, drought, floods, heavy rain, and landslides from climate change ravage the world’s nations, including the Europeans. The ravaging consequences of the rapidly changing climate, such as ocean acidification, rising sea levels, and biodiversity damage, need quick solutions. Countries focus on helping the world transition toward low-carbon systems for a sustainable future. South Africa, for example, in its transition toward carbon neutrality, presented the Bioeconomy Strategy, its strategy that plans to make South Africa green by 2050 [5,6,7,8,9].
Furthermore 2002, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) proposed a decoupling theory to separate economic growth from environmental pressure [9,10]. Moreover, the literature on decoupling has expanded to include environmental pressure sources, including energy usage, soot, SO2, and wastewater [11,12,13,14,15]. Researchers worldwide have been exploring ways to decouple economic growth (DEG) from carbon emissions (CE) since the consequences of global warming have become more evident.

1.1. Definitions and Aims of Decoupling

According to the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) [5], “decoupling” means decoupling economic growth from environmental degradation and reducing resources used to generate economic growth. Decoupling aims to ensure a rapidly growing economy, as defined in both definitions. Growth and emissions need to be decoupled to achieve low-carbon global development. The literature on carbon dioxide emissions CDE revealed that even if CE is reduced further and stricter policies are established before 2030, fossil fuels would still emit 850 to 1150 Gt of CO2 from 2016 to 2100 [16]. Despite many empirical studies analyzing the relationship between CE and economic growth (EG), the exploration has yet to demonstrate uniformity regarding this relationship’s possible channels, key drivers, and levels (states). For example, recent studies have demonstrated a decoupling between CDE and EG [17,18,19]. However, a study by Hilmi et al. [20] and Jiborn et al. [21] found no evidence of decoupling.
Moreover, “decoupling” happens once the growth rate of GHG emissions is less than or stable relative to the growth rate of economic factors (e.g., GDP). In 2016, over 170 countries endorsed the Paris Agreement, limiting temperature increases by less than 2 degrees Celsius over the next century [22]. The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) requires members to reduce their carbon emissions immediately [23]. 2015, China identified the highest CDE emitted globally and quantified 750 million tons between 2019 and 2020 [24]. This CDE makes China a central point for reducing global carbon dioxide emissions [24].

1.2. Adverse Impact of Carbon Emission on Environment and the Way Out

Several studies have pointed to China as one of the principal carbon emitters globally, drawing international attention [25,26]. Studies have also shown that climate change negatively impacts human health, well-being, and livelihood [27,28,29]. Despite unprecedented growth and development of the world’s economy since 2000 and emissions from different sources shown in Figure 1, carbon dioxide emissions have also increased, leading to increased temperature-related record-breaking rates [30].
Even if emissions are reduced to levels consistent with representative concentration pathway 2.6 (RCP 2.6), extreme temperatures may still occur in the coming decades [30]. Therefore, completely decoupling of economic growth from carbon emissions is a viable way to reduce extreme temperatures resulting in global warming. This present study reviews recent literature that focuses on decoupling economic growth from carbon emissions and analyzes the root cause of climate change, which has become a global monster. Using search engines like Google Scholar and Elsevier, more than three hundred research articles were reviewed to determine the detrimental effects of carbon emissions on ecosystems and how economic expansion adds to carbon footprints. It also provides valid information on the overviews of decoupling techniques and strategies implemented to reduce the consequence of climate change and factors limiting decoupling activities, climate economics, policy implications, decarbonization, dematerialization, and information on techniques available to tackle these challenges were discussed.

2. Overview of Decoupling Techniques

According to Zhang [31], Von Weizsacker first proposed decoupling in 1989 to capture the coincident interplay between EG and environmental damage. Knowing this, he studied the dependence on emitting carbon dioxide emissions to boost China’s economy, attempting to apply the decoupling concept to the environmental sphere. Decoupling indicators, namely, absolute and relative decoupling, were introduced by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) into its decoupling model to clarify the decoupling concept [10].

2.1. Decoupling Methods for Separating Energy Use from Economic Growth

Juknys [32] distinguished primary decoupling from environmental pollution and secondary decoupling from natural resource consumption, whereas dual decoupling occurs when primary and secondary decoupling coincide. Currently, three decoupling methods are commonly explored to examine the fundamental association between energy use and the degradation of the environment due to energy use. One of these methods is the Taipo decoupling technique, which outlines three types: primary, secondary, and doubled decoupling, as shown in Figure 2 [32,33].
Primary decoupling is defined as decoupling the use of natural resources from EG. Secondary decoupling is defined as decoupling the consumption of natural resources from environmental pollution. Double decoupling materializes when primary and secondary decoupling coincides. Based on decoupling elasticity, this model was classified into eight types. Decoupling includes strong, weak, and expansive decoupling; expansive and recessive couplings; and strong, weak, and recessive.

2.2. Theoretical Foundations for Decoupling Economic Growth and Carbon Emissions

2.2.1. Kuznets Curve

The Kuznets curve is one of the most important theoretical foundations for decoupling economic growth and carbon emission, commonly explored for coupling and decoupling economic growth and pollutants. It is used to define how economic growth relates to environmental quality [34,35,36,37,38]. Wang, Yang, and Rongrong [35] explored the traditional environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) to investigate the influence of urbanization on the coupling of economic growth and environmental quality. They developed threshold panel models using 56 countries’ data, setting economic growth as explanatory variables and carbon emission as the explained variable. This study confirmed that economic growth strongly influences the increase in carbon emissions during low-income inequality as this income severely increases the complexity of economic growth and carbon emission decoupling. This implies that income inequality significantly increases carbon emissions, and an income distribution policy was suggested to regulate excessive income inequality. They analyzed the decoupling influence of the impact of trade on carbon emissions and which circumstance trade can decouple carbon emission using the combination of Tapio and the decoupling threshold model for 124 countries selected globally between 2000 and 2018. A weak relationship between economic growth, carbon emission, and trade openness was observed and suggested that countries of different income groups must benefit from fairer free trade before carbon neutralization [38].
Erdogan, Okumus, and Guzel [34] used EKC to examine the impact of renewable and non-renewable energy, economic growth, oil price, energy consumption, and trade openness on carbon emission in 25 OECD countries from 1990 to 2014. First- and second-generation estimation techniques, which are dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) and fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS), were adopted to provide comparative panel data shreds of evidence. The EKC hypothesis is confirmed valid in OECD countries, but the augmented mean group (AMG), the second-generation estimator, revealed that the EKC hypothesis is invalid. At the same time, the augmented mean group estimator offers stronger results under sectional dependence than DOLS. They also discovered that trade openness and carbon emissions are unrelated [37].

2.2.2. Tapio Model

The introduction of the Tapio model and its uses have become increasingly common in environmental science [39,40]. Many scholars have used this model to investigate the affiliation between resource consumption and carbon dioxide emissions [41,42,43,44,45,46]. The scientific evaluation mechanisms of Tapio’s model, such as the elastic analysis method and the decoupling index model (OECD’s model), increase their application, leading to the wide use of scientific evaluation mechanisms [47]. Tapio [33] used the decoupling elasticity concept of Juknys to develop a decoupling indicator used by the European transport industry by identifying three categories of complement: coupling, decoupling, and negative decoupling. After this, eight reasonable possibilities were particularized for distinguishing between decoupling states: recessive coupling; expansive coupling; weak negative decoupling; strong negative decoupling; expansive negative decoupling; and weak, strong, and expansive decoupling. These methods are widely acknowledged and used to examine EG, EC, or environmental concerns [48].
Furthermore, Freitas and Kaneko adopted this method [49] to analyze the relationship between Spanish EG and EC. They were similarly used to study the decoupling of Brazil’s EG from 2004 to 2009 regarding CO2 emissions related to energy. Zhang and Wang [50] also used this method to analyze the decoupling between energy-related CO2 emissions and GDP in Jiangsu Province (China) from 1995 to 2009. An experimental study by Jiang et al. [50] determined whether six major industries in China are decoupled from EG and CO2 emissions using the same model. Wang et al. [51] used three decoupling models to explore the decoupling between the world economy and CE: the IGTX decoupling model, the Tapio decoupling elastic model, and the OECD decoupling factor model. Based on the comparative analysis, it was concluded that the Tapio model was more precise and was not time-bound. Wang et al. [51] used it to create a model to decouple water resources from the environment. Research into the relationship between China’s urban water resources environment and the economic development of regional cities was conducted in the three developed cities of Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou [50].
Zhang and Bai [52] investigated the decoupling relationship between populated energy consumption and income levels using the Tapio decoupling model and showed a significantly decreased decoupling index since 2000. A study by Wang et al. [53] utilized the Generalized Divisia Index method and the enhanced Tapio model to evaluate the drivers of CE in the Chinese transport sector and the elasticity decoupling between EG and CE.

2.2.3. Log Mean Divisia Index (LMDI)

According to Zhang et al. [54], the Log Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) theory identifies the profound reason behind the decoupling status. Diakoulaki and Mandaraka [55] created a decoupling indicator for each country, based on a sophisticated Laspeyres decomposition model, to evaluate the effectiveness of the efforts commenced in each country. The LMDI method was the most effective method of studying influencing factors in Ang’s [56] review of all decomposition techniques.
Another decoupling pointer was developed by Zhang and Wang [57] using the LMDI method to analyze the electricity consumption decoupling from China’s EG. In the environmental literature, the Kaya identity and the decoupling index were proposed by Tapio [33], and the LMDI was proposed by Ang [56]. These identified indexes analyze the decoupling energy consumption trajectory per capita and year of household income. The Tapio decoupling index and the LMDI decomposition approach shown in Figure 3 are employed to study the relationship between EG and CO2 emissions and decompose total CO2 emissions into predetermined factors to determine the Kaya identity. The rapidly changing climate pattern across the globe is considered a result of environmental changes caused by China [58]. Siping et al. [59] studied the decoupling of economic output and pollutant discharge fees for China’s Yunnan province by applying the Tapio decoupling elasticity.
Overall, the Yunnan province showed strong decoupling, while weak and expensive negative decoupling was pragmatic in some years. Jiang et al. [60] combined the Tapio model with the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) model to examine the CO2 emissions of China’s Guangdong province from 1995 to 2014. Wang et al. [61] examined the decoupling status of individual sectors in China and the United States and the driving forces of CO2 emissions by employing the Tapio and LMDI modeling methods. In this regard, this review provides current information on the importance of decoupling energy from economic growth. It examined the techniques and factors limiting decoupling activities to achieve low-carbon energy systems. It also analyzes the limitations of the impact of economic and policy implications of climate change. It also investigates recent research and innovation and the challenges and constraints in using low-carbon energy systems. This study proved that the development of low-carbon energy sectors is critical to achieving the decoupling of economic growth from carbon emissions. The low-carbon energy system could be achieved by reducing the carbon intensity of energy and energy intensity of gross domestic product (GDP), which may eventually reduce the impact of energy decarbonization on economic growth. Moreover, this new insight provides a better understanding of the decoupling between economic growth and carbon mission, which might contribute to carbon footprint-reduction pathways.

3. Factors Limiting/Contributing to Decoupling Activities

Several factors restrict decoupling, including the carbon coefficient, the economic structure effect, the labor force input effect, and the investment effect. In addition, Xie et al. [62] employed the Tapio and LMDI models to investigate the influences prompting the decoupling of CO2 emissions from the gross domestic product (GDP) in China’s power industry, concluding that economic scale and electrification were two significant deterrents. Li and Qin [63] reported that between 2015 and 2030, China’s CO2 emissions would decouple from its economic development significantly. Many scholars have analyzed the Tapio decoupling model to quantify the contributions of solid factors influencing decoupling [64]. It was determined that income, carbon intensity, population, and energy structure contributed to decoupling CE from China and the U.S. economy. However, most of the outcomes of these studies are just in black and white but not implemented. Implementing these findings may have helped reduce CE.
To investigate the decoupling between Liaoning’s energy consumption and GDP, Dong et al. [65] considered five decoupling indicator factors: the energy mix, labor, economic activity, energy intensity, and investment. Zhao et al. [66] used these factors to assess the impact of specific sectors on decoupling China’s economy from CE. Also, to measure the variables that impact decoupling, certain scholars have sought to determine the effectiveness of environmental policies [67,68,69,70,71] and premeditated the decoupling effort indices of CE from the economy for each province. They analyzed the effectiveness of energy efficiency implementations, energy structure changes, and other procedures aimed at decoupling achievement. Having calculated the current decoupling effort index and evaluating the contributions of energy intensity, energy structure, and population to the decoupling efforts, Román et al. [12] decided that the current decoupling dealings were meticulous. Nonetheless, additional effort was required. Jiang [70] determined the decoupling effort index measures the influence of energy-conservation and emission-reduction measures on the decoupling of China’s construction industry carbon emissions.

3.1. Protectionism

Protectionism is another limitation to decoupling activities, becoming the primary hesitation accompanying the global economy, energy, and the environment. The restriction implemented by public health emergency international concern and different countries to curb the spread of COVID-19 adversely affected international trade. Consequently, this isolationism induced challenges to carbon footprint reduction in both developed and developing countries. Wang and Zhang [71] investigated the impact of trade openness on separating carbon emissions from economic growth after recognizing and increasing awareness of protectionism. The crucial need for implementing economic growth and carbon emission decoupling by the intended nationally determined contributions (INDCs) was one of the motivations for this study. They explored the influence of protectionism on the disconnect economic growth from carbon emission, considering data available for 182 countries between 1990 and 2015. This study’s outcome shows that trade openness benefits only high- and upper-middle-income countries, as a decrease in carbon emission is seen in countries of these categories. In contracts, trade openness adversely affects low-income countries as their carbon emission drastically increases with trade openness. A targeted policy to regulate countries’ income with trade openness is advised. This study corresponds with Wang, Yang, and Rongrong’s [34] study, stressing the creation and implementation of targeted policies to regulate countries’ income.

3.2. Effect of Energy Transiting on Energy Uses and Economic Growth

The impact of energy transiting on energy uses and economic growth must be considered for achieving decoupling activities—the question of whether energy transition encourages economic growth and CE must be answered. Wang and Wang [72] answered this question by investigating how energy transition influences CE and economic growth at national and global scales using a decoupling index model and decomposition approach. This combined approach detected the decoupling state and the factor that drives the global decoupling process. One hundred eighty-six countries considered between 1990 and 2014 were categorized into three classes, lower middle income (LMI), upper middle income (UMI), and high income (HI). The Hi experienced initial realization of desirable strong decoupling, but UMI and LMI decoupling states were not yet realized, and LMI showed no clear improvement trend.

4. Climate Economics and Policy Implications

First, individuals need basic information about climate change and its implications. Climate change mitigation will benefit those motivated to engage in appropriate activities [73,74,75]. Given this, regular media communication is necessary, regardless of media sequences of consideration [76], for keeping the effect of climate change on the public’s mind. In the U.K.‘s climate change policies [66,77,78,79], little attention is given to behavioral change, primarily directed toward individuals reducing their energy use by giving information and providing economic incentives and subsidies. In late 2009, the European Commission established strategic policy targets (20-20-20) for 2020. This policy target was reviewed in the Climate and Energy Policy 2030 document in October 2014. The European Commission published an update to its energy policy framework for 2020 to 2030 titled “Clean Energy for All Europeans” in November 2016. Regulation (E.U.) 2018/842 [80] has been published on binding annual greenhouse gas emissions reductions by the Member States from 2021 to 2030. The European Union’s introduction of successive new emission-reduction targets proposes a need to evaluate how current E.U. energy policies have impacted the decoupling of emissions from economic growth [81,82].

4.1. Emission Scenarios and Options for Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction

The IPCC reported scenarios representing alternative visions of how the future may unfold and represent a suitable means for scrutinizing how driving forces may impact future emissions outcomes and evaluating the reservations surrounding them. Their responsibilities include analyzing climate change and assessing impacts, climate modeling, mitigation, and adaptation. Ongoing evaluation and comparison of long-term emission scenarios, such as frequently updated scenario database, must be established [83]; (1) capacity building should be performed, particularly in developing countries, modeling tools, and emission scenarios [84]; (2) future scenario analyses should be performed using multiple storylines and models [85]; (3) the development of innovative research actions should be performed to assess impending developments in critical GHG powerful drive in greater detail at the subregional, regional, and sectoral levels, allowing more specific emissions scenarios and mitigation option linkages [86]; (4) enhanced specification and data for and integration of the non-CO2 GHG and non-energy sectors should be targeted, such as land-use change, model inter-comparison, and forestry, to advance situations and scrutinize [87]; (5) integrating particulates, hydrogen, or aerosol nitrate precursor emissions into models and progressions, such as a response from climate change on emissions, may meaningfully impact situation analysis and results.
Developing further gridded emissions for scenarios could enhance regional assessment [88]; (6) this can be performed along with priorities to assess strategies addressing multiple national, regional, or global issues [89]; (7) China seems to be taking a comparable emission pathway to the global one. China’s 1.5 C scenario motivation primarily emphasizes the subsequent influences, as opposed to the 2 C scenario analysis: this includes a significantly sophisticated stake of electricity consumption in end-use sectors such as transportation, construction, and industry, and by or before 2050, zero or negative emissions from the power generation sector. Generally, most emission scenarios that target 1.5 °C by 2100 exceed those shown in Figure 4, meaning the net carbon budget will be 400 Gt CO2. The number of CO2 emissions previously going to zero depends on the harmful emissions following zero. Global CO2 emissions may reach zero in 2050 and 2060 if the current Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSPs) with the subsection designated for Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) are well followed and implemented [90].
According to the SSPs, CD-LINKS, and ADVANCE study, the global carbon budget should range from 800 to 900 Gt with harmful emissions of 400 to 500 Gt [90,91,92]. In both countries, the power sector is the most substantial source of GHG emissions. By 2050, the fossil-fuel-dominated power sector will account for over half of all GHG. Growth in income and an increase in electrification rates are expected to drive a rise in power demand in both countries in the future [93,94,95]. Researchers have noted that renewable energy (RE) technologies may be critical in reducing GHG to stabilize at 450 ppm CO2 equivalent attentiveness by 2100 [96]. In absolute terms, India and China are projected to become the largest energy consumers by 2030, as predicted by the International Energy Agency 2017 [97]. Consequently, both countries must reduce their emissions substantially to accomplish the 450 ppm CO2-Equiv concentration stabilization target, but decisive extenuation actions could also hinder these countries’ EG.

4.2. Costs of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction

As a standard unit of measurement, emissions, costs, and profits are often expressed as dollars per metric ton and costs beyond business as usual to 2030, as shown in Figure 5. A general cost of carbon, as a comparison, is an estimate of the net current value of monetized social compensations after emissions of more CO2; according to the US government, the social cost of carbon for a ton of emissions in 2017 was approximately USD 46 in 2017 dollars [96] (1). Approximately nine kilograms of CO2 is produced by burning one gallon of gasoline, so a social cost of carbon of USD 46 per metric ton corresponds to USD 0.41 per gallon (2). The estimates are based on the leveled cost of electricity published by the US Energy Information Administration (2018). The energy cost per megawatt-hour is calculated by combining discounted capital, operating, and maintenance expenses based on the typical generator utilization rate.
These estimates are comparable to those in the private sector [97]. As a result of these estimates, natural gas combined cycles, onshore wind, utility-scale solar photovoltaics, and natural gas with carbon seizure and storage are the least expensive technologies that can be used to reduce emissions relative to coal. This reduction with some land use rules is relatively low because a randomized controlled experiment conducted by [98] identified that forest conservation costs in Uganda considerably reduced deforestation at the cost of USD 1/ton.
Consequently, low-cost, zero-carbon, fossil fuel substitutions are essential for decreasing GHGE in the future. Therefore, investment or intervention costs must comprise face value, cost, and spillovers, which may reduce emissions costs soon. Several alternative cost measures have been reported to be aimed at reducing this cost, including, but not limited to (1) the carbon tax required for measuring the marginal cost of reducing emissions for each ton of emission reduced; (2) the marginal cost of reducing emissions combined with all reductions known as the total direct cost; (3) a reduction in the GDP, which is a measure of the total amount of goods and services produced by the economy, and as such may also take into account the influence of CE decreases on technology and capital accumulation; as well as (4) compensated income variation, which is the amount that consumers would require to be compensated for to have the same utility level as they would have with the emissions-reduction program.

5. Policy Instruments for Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction

In Austria, several policy instruments are in place or are currently being discussed to simplify accomplishing these policy goals. A policy instrument premeditated to reduce GHG emissions directly is anticipated to be cost-effective if it allows efficient distribution of reduction efforts between market contributors and knowhows. However, in this scenario, cost-effectiveness concerning fossil fuel replacement may still be low since reducing GHG emissions does not necessarily correspond to substituting fossil fuels [99]. A policy instrument’s cost-effectiveness relates to the costs of achieving its objectives and is strongly influenced by the accessibility of bioenergy technologies in energy-consuming industries. Environmental policy instruments used to change polluters’ behavior impact the choice of technical measures, the outcome, and the cost of abatement and transactions related to those policies. Some policies may have adverse environmental consequences, such as subsidies tied to production.

5.1. Impacts of and Adaptation to Climate Change

There is an increasing necessity to adapt to climate change across human and natural systems, despite global efforts to reduce emissions, such as those arising from the Paris Agreement. This reduction can involve various short- to long-term adjustments in socio-ecological systems, influenced by interacting non-climatic factors to moderate damage or take advantage of opportunities that may arise from climate change’s actual or anticipated impact [100]. The concept of adaptation cannot be easily reduced to theoretical or computational rules [101]. This is due to objective and subjective uncertainties associated with climate change impacts, vulnerability, and an adapting factor’s options [102].
Additionally, adaptation is limited by real-world constraints such as resource availability and human and institutional capacity. It can be complicated by organisms’ spontaneous and natural responses to changing conditions [103]. Multiple systems are included in adaptation initiatives, such as the environment, coasts, agriculture, water, health, and urban areas. As far as effective adaptation is concerned, there is little consensus. Despite several frequently proposed plans, for this reason, implementation has been a great challenge. Moreover, adaptation efforts are frequently hampered by competing or conflicting priorities for action, prohibitive policies, insufficient resources, and uncertainty about future developments [104]. Various factors influence adaptation efforts, including power dynamics, politics, motivation, funding, and cultural values.
Depending on the creativity setting, it may produce different results in a different community. Lastly, it is sometimes challenging to differentiate climate adaptation from other related activities, including but not limited to dropping risks associated with environmental disasters or alleviating poverty, thus complicating the acknowledgment process. For example, the IPCC claims that the addition of climate adaptation into sustainable development strategies may lead to win–win scenarios [105].

5.2. Economic Impacts of Climate and the Social Cost of Carbon

The probable impacts of climate change are typically measured using a neoclassical welfare economics standpoint [106]. Several experts were mobilized to evaluate the impact of global warming in 2001. Their evaluation revealed that this measurable phenomenon would affect weather patterns and probably worsen under the effect of human doings [107]. The growing understanding of this phenomenon resulted in an empirical study of the economy to mitigate risks that could affect human well-being and habitation. Their study shows that the SCC concept is essential for analyzing economic development and executing climate policies [108]. It was also defined as the economic cost associated with an incremental unit of CO2 emissions [109].
The Interagency Working Group (IWG) of the U.S. federal government initially used SCC to monetarize the external cost of CE and evaluate climate and energy strategies in 2010 [110]. Several methodologies have been used to approximate SCC by dividing it into two alternative approaches with high uncertainty: the cost–benefit scrutiny and the marginal cost technique. Integrated assessment models (IAMs), including the dynamic integrated climate-economy model (DICE); policy analysis of the greenhouse effect model (PAGE); and Framework for Uncertainty, Negotiation, and Distribution Model (FUND), have been updated through the probability density purpose and other trivial revisions’ incorporation [111]. Following reference emission scenario 1, the SCC displayed the future cost consequent to global climate change associated with one extra ton of CO2 emitted per year. Due to CO2′s long atmospheric lifetime, these effects are aggregated and bargain-basement over a century [112]. Putting the outcome of this study into concentration and scrutinizing it further may help to create policies aimed at reducing future cost consequences, which will invariably lower the amount of CO2 emitted per year. Achieving this requires proper implementation of these policies with close monitoring.

5.3. Optimal Climate Policy and the Social Discount Rate

To set an optimal carbon price, its social (welfare) costs should be equivalent to the present consumption rate of the revolution in the discounted utility of consumption per unit of additional emissions. Discount rates decline under hesitation and over time [113]. According to Giglio et al., 2015, discount rates for prospects around 100 years are 2.6%. The optimal tax is 126 dollars/tCO2e for a high discount rate: an eight-fold upsurge over the 16 dollars/tCO2e reference point. The increasing probability of at least one sloping point achieved in 2100 was 11 percent, compared to 46 percent for a tax of 16 USD/tCO2e [114]. A discount rate decrease may increase the optimum to about 460 USD/tCO2e.
The social discount rate (SDR) renovates future costs and benefits into existing units of account, called “present values”, for evaluating public policy, programs, and projects. These reflect how time values evolve with time horizons and can be used to compare alternative courses of action with various time outlines of costs and benefits. As a result, social discounting is essential in determining whether government action is cost-effective [115]. According to the approach taken in the general appraisal, SDRs represent the expected state of the world in which net benefits will accumulate in the future, as well as the risks allied with future income advance [116], societal favorites for the intertemporal trade-offs associated with the investment [117], and alternatives available in the economy because of public investment [118].
Discount rates are directly related to uncertainty topics: as with any other interest rate, the discount rate is determined by the inherent risk of the transaction under consideration, whether it is equity (investment financed by the investor’s capital), debt (an investment financed by third parties), etc. This is a function of the stakeholders’ perceived risk (and their desire to safeguard against unfavorable future events) under a given macroeconomic and regulatory environment [45]. In contrast, high discount rates oppose policies that reduce greenhouse gas emissions by improving building energy efficiency [119]. Additionally, it is suggested that benchmark discount rates used in life-cycle assessments of energy supply facilities be lowered so that project options intended to reduce consumption and emissions do not fall under the radar [120]. Sustainable energies are generated using solar, wind, inverter, and batteries. These devices are currently expensive and need benchmark discount rates to be affordable for masses use. The massive adaptation of sustainable energy may reduce the consumption of energy generated from carbon emission facilities.

6. The Possibility of Decarbonization and Dematerialization without Global Economic Growth Decline

A decrease in CE is attributed to energy efficiency gains and substantial progress in decarbonizing the energy sector, following the expectations found in the academic literature concerning dropping carbon intensity [121]. As a result of a global carbon price placing the global economy on a 2 °C warming path, decarbonization is motivated by altering price relationships for diverse energy technologies. Deep Decarbonization Pathways (DDPs) are critical in filling the climate policy dialogue gaps since they provide additional detail on the requirement for reducing emissions following 28 °C. The DDPs contain detailed plans for deep decarbonization activities by sector and overtime as a condition for remaining within the carbon budget. Many technologies and machinery contributing to CO2 emissions—such as industrial boilers, power plants, heavy-duty vehicles, industrial boilers, agricultural sectors, transportation, and buildings—have elongated operational lives over the remaining time between now and 2050 [122]. DDPs must serve as a public reference point for nations to guarantee that changes in the energy sector and other decarbonization efforts (e.g., land use) support long-term goals, such as environmental protection, energy access, public health, employment opportunities, public health, etc.
According to recent studies, using just energy sectors and direct emissions alone might flop to achieve profound greenhouse gas reductions unless it is supplemented by policies targeting materials’ usage and their associated embodied emissions directly [123,124,125,126,127]. The use of materials and their embodied emissions is significant from two perspectives. In the first instance, the increase in material consumption is expressively higher than energy consumption, according to the International Resource Panel (IRP) [128]. Interestingly, while the report indicates that material extraction grew 3.4 times between 1970 and 2017, fossil energy extraction grew 2.5 times during that time. Therefore, material use per capita rose from 7.4 tons in 1970 to 12.2 tons in 2017 [129].
Because of such excess material use, a 120% increase in climate-related emissions was observed between 1995 and 2015, with their portion reaching 25% of total global greenhouse gas emissions [130,131]. Secondly, the current emission-reduction efforts focus primarily on reducing direct emissions originating from point sources of energy combustion. Even though materials currently represent almost half of the carbon footprint of significant value chains and most heavy industries utilize materials, there is a projection that embodied emissions are projected to rise further if the situation is not addressed [131]. Accordingly, material efficiency should receive more attention in production because it represents a substantial proportion of energy consumption and associated emissions intimately linked to transportation, processing, and material extraction [38,132].
Going by the energy and climate strategy, reducing material consumption through leveraging material efficiencies could help in expanding the scope of coverage of emissions as well as assist in addressing the issue of outsourcing carbon emissions, which is where countries reduce their emissions by importing or shifting production overseas [38,123,131]. In this case, absolute decoupling is required, which could be achieved by aiming at growing the countries or regional economy with a reduced use of natural resources and greenhouse emissions [133]. Haberl et al. [134] systematically evaluated resource uses, GDP, and greenhouse gas emission evidence. This study suggested strict enforcement of absolute reduction targets using appropriate strategies could be a viable way to decouple natural resource uses, GDP, and greenhouse gas emissions from economic growth [135]. United Nations SDGs identified dematerialization as one of the primary sustainable development strategies. This strategy was challenging despite having goals such as reducing environmental adversity and total material consumption to preserve and increase the quality and services rendered to the public. Despite efforts and policies created and implemented at national and regional levels, absolute global dematerialization is yet to be achieved.
Consequently, Aktaş [136] summarized dematerialization, the existing techniques used, and how it affects development by providing information on current difficulties experienced based on past attempts, which gives more precise information that could guide future policies and studies. This study pinpointed more constant factors challenging implemented policies aimed at achieving dematerialization. This factor includes but is not limited to economic recession, the product lifetime, and the effectiveness of decoupling on national and regional levels. Furthermore, matching solutions and studies for future implementation are also provided.
According to Aktaş [136], economic conditions must be considered when developing a policy aimed at dematerialization evaluation if policies are made during the recession to prevent most of the considerable profits in complete material control or reduction, which could be used to meet public services and needs. A service-oriented model is a potential technique for providing lasting solutions to national or cities’ absolute material reduction. Additionally, product evaluation should be performed individually and not in generalizing lifespan, and this method often has better effectiveness on national than regional policies. Considering this solution or suggestions would give headways when developing policies or conducting studies on dematerialization in the future. The strategies aimed at decarbonization require power generation from renewable sources, building energy transmission from renewables-generated power, and encouraging appliance production using low voltage, which may reduce energy usage.

7. Decarbonization Strategies

7.1. Building Transmission Renewable Energy

The most efficient set of a fast-increasing fleet, wind- and solar-generating facilities have fully benefited from natural wind and solar resources. These facilities involve considerable assets in new transmission amenities. Incumbent transmission system workers and controllers must expand the capacity between existing transmission networks, called interconnectors. It is necessary to remove the barriers to escalating transmission capacity across heritage transmission networks so inter-system and inter-regional transmission facilities can be operated efficiently, planned, constructed, and financed [85].

7.2. Developing Grid-Integration Strategies to Match Loads to Variable Renewable Energy

To reduce dependence on fossil fuels, decentralizing the electricity sector is a significant step in spreading renewable energy sources [55]. There are several ways in which variable renewable energy (VRE) differs from conventional generation, and it must be integrated with power systems to achieve the decarbonization target [113]. There is an increasing trend toward integrating renewable energy bases, such as solar and wind power, into different sectors of the economy. In this setting, the coupling between the power and heat sectors is gaining more attention among policymakers and researchers. It is often considered promising to link the power and heat sectors to sector coupling strategies and other flexibility options because the costs of generating heat from electricity and storing heat are relatively low [137]. However, several factors must be considered to integrate the grid. It is vital to equilibrium variable wind and solar resources, as well as to consider how all power system components, at supply and demand sides, could be integrated to guarantee dependability (“keep the lights on”) and reduce costs [100]. Designing electricity markets to facilitate grid integration while ensuring they function most efficiently is also essential.
Additionally, transmission grids should be planned and strengthened to balance the geographical patterns for renewable energy resources and power demand. Finally, there is the issue of enhancing grid integration and flexibility at the distribution level by transforming how distribution systems are planned and operated in terms of grid flexibility, which is the responsibility of a grid to changes in supply and demand from multiple sources. In addition to growing the incorporation of renewable energy into the electric grid, the ambiguity of electricity generation by different sources poses a challenge to grid operations. It negatively impacts grid stability (IEA, 2016b). Nevertheless, technological solutions have been developed to address the technical complications associated with assimilating significant amounts of renewable energy, and grid operational variations are required to increase grid flexibility. Sayed et al. [138] suggested that adopting electric vehicles is a viable way to reduce attacks on power grids, which will protect the future grid. This suggestion has exponentially increased electric vehicles on the road, which correspondingly increased the sale of electric vehicles globally. Its sales were over 3.2 million in 2020 and increased to 6.6 million in 2021. According to the IEA 2022, almost 14 million electric vehicles were sold in 2023.

7.3. Protecting and Expanding Policies That Encourage Renewable Growth

According to economists, carbon pricing is a cost-efficient approach to decarbonizing energy systems [121]. Moreover, some evidence proves that essential research subventions might be part of an ideal policy [139]. Most economists consider sponsoring the deployment of low-carbon technologies to be a costly second-best policy [139,140]. Through systematic change and lifecycle-based efficiency of socio-technical systems, environmental policies and business tactics have steadily moved away from cleaner production, which prevents pollution. According to the discourse analysis of environmental policy [141,142], this section describes the SCP policy domain through a few decades using the phases of SCPs 1.0, 2.0, and 3.0.
Climate change impacts were addressed through the Paris Agreement (PA) implemented in December 2015. This plan aims to keep the global temperature below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels this century and to chase efforts to reduce the increase even further to 1.5 degrees Celsius. Achieving the PA’s long-term goal led to arguing that de facto zero emissions of GHGs and decarbonization should be achieved in the 21st century [69]. A multi-decade and even centuries-long process of climate change has occurred due to the increase in greenhouse gas emissions since the Industrial Revolution.
Current emissions will have long-term impacts, mainly if critical thresholds are crossed by the climate system [103]. For a credible policy response to be implemented, costs must be borne now so that future consequences will not be as severe [104]. The short-term nature of this challenge is hindered by political systems oriented toward political cycles and short-term economics [30,31]. In battles over interests, ideas, and identities, shifting arrays of social, economic, and political actors pursue impact policy rejoinders. Policymakers are plagued by uncertainty regarding climate policy [38]. A climate change crisis does not affect the future of the climate system or people but is about the factors driving emissions growth and influencing policy.

7.4. Capitalizing on the Renewable Energy Sector

Providing the lowest-cost options for reducing CO2 emissions is achievable with the incorporation of states and the effective use of market-based carbon-trading programs. A practical and proven method of controlling a program involves auctioning emission allowances to prevent dividend profits among fossil fuel-based electricity generators and permitting states to generate revenues for residents’ benefit [143]. Several studies have indicated that institutional investors’ main motivations for investing in renewable energy are stable long-term cash flows and portfolio diversification, with low sustainability and ethical standards among their priorities [144,145]. Financing costs must be lowered due to the up-front nature of the investments compared to conservative energy sources to expand the use of renewable energy.
New-generation investment activities can be encouraged through access to public capital markets, and secondary markets can be developed [146]. Securities investment funds specializing in energy investments will emerge as capital markets develop. Some governments have established research and development subsidies to improve corporate financial performance. Various studies have shown that subsidizing renewable energy has reduced profitability for Chinese companies, causing their stocks to be more volatile [147,148,149].

7.5. The Relationship between Decarbonizing the Electricity Grid and the Transportation Sector

According to Europe 2020′s communication [141], the European Union in 1990 aimed to reduce CO2 emissions, increase renewable energy, and improve energy efficiency by 20% by 2020. As outlined in the 2011 Transport White Paper [142], GHG emissions from the transportation sector are expected to be reduced by 20% by 2030 (reference year: 2008) and 60% by 2050 (reference year: 1990). The EC has outlined two targets for 2030 in its 2014 climate-energy package communication: a 40% greenhouse gas emissions reduction over 1990 and a 27% portion of renewable energy in European Union energy consumption by 2030. The most significant contribution to the transport sector’s 10% renewable energy share is expected from liquid biofuels in road transport.
One of the most prevalent propulsion systems in the EU’s transportation sector is the steps to decarbonize the transport sector’s combustion engines. According to Gerbaulet et al. [149], investment decisions significantly impact the decarbonization of the power sector. However, the results indicate that petroleum-based fuels will be economically infeasible around 2025, and the 2040s will phase out coal and natural gas. Most studies [150,151,152] focus on decarbonizing the power sector and analyzing the economic scenarios. Based on sector-wise emission data, the power sector is the most significant contributor to emissions in the EU alone (electricity and heat energy). Still, industry, transport, residential, and agriculture collectively contribute more than the energy sector alone (2.2 times the carbon equivalent of the power sector in 2016). Electricity plays a crucial part in decarbonizing the road transport sector, according to Broghan et al. Electricity will account for 37% of road transport fuel, power-to-x fuels will account for 27%, and additional electricity will account for 1200 TWh by 2050 [140].

8. Biobased Fuel for Marine, Aviation, and Long-Distance Freight to Achieve Low-Carbon Emission

The competition in the energy sector for the use of biomass resources may favor their application, including but not limited to road freight, aviation, maritime, power, and industrial applications. Even though these factors are considered, advanced, low-carbon biofuels may be essential for the next few decades as a bridge between fossil-powered structures for road freight and the upcoming infrastructures required for ultra-low and zero-emission energy movers like hydrogen and electricity. There are well-established alleyways for decarbonizing power generation [2], light-duty transportation [3], and domestic heating/cooling [4]. However, reducing emissions from heavy agriculture, industrial machinery, and heavy transport (aviation, railways, buses, trucks, and maritime shipping) is more complicated. GHG emissions from transport (including aviation) in the EU account for 27% of all emissions and are higher than in 1990 [131].
Despite car emissions contributing 43.9% of total emissions, heavy-duty transport is responsible for 46.2% [132]. Substitute fuels and powertrains are needed to accomplish the profound decarbonization of heavy-duty transport. The transportation industry [135], the shipping industry [135], and the aviation industry [136] are all dependent on fossil fuels. Fuel alternatives to combustion engines can be divided into two broad groupings: those that rely on prevailing combustion engine technology and infrastructure and equipment that use fuel cells or batteries to power electric motors. A biofuel [137] can be a liquid or gaseous electrofuel [138]; hydrogen or electricity can also be used as these fuels.

8.1. Interconnection of Building Energy Efficiency and Electric Vehicles

Due to decreased fossil fuel availability and environmental concerns, wind and solar energy are extensively employed to produce electric energy [126,127]. In addition, some literature has provided information on EV charging stations that explored wind energy to provide electric power to charge EVs. However, these works have been simulation-based [25,26]. The latest IPCC climate change report shows that the transport sector produces 13% of global GHG emissions. Incorporating electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energies and improving energy conversion efficiencies have reportedly improved energy security [133]. These could be accomplished through good planning and the harmonious construction of EVCS with urban planning or power grid planning, especially with the inclusion of renewable energy [131]. Based on operating cost, construction cost, and geographic information, an objective function was developed that reflected the challenge of comprehensively locating and sizing electric vehicle charging stations [132].
Sadeghi et al. developed a Mixed-Integer Non-Linear (MINLP) model to determine the optimum placement and size of fast charging stations, including station development costs, EV efficiency losses, and power line losses [132]. Commercial buildings and road transportation sectors have been paying increasing attention to intelligent buildings and electric vehicles (EVs) due to concerns about energy efficiency, fossil fuel dependency, and environmental impact. The definition of an intelligent building is a structure that utilizes automated approaches to automate the operation of the building. This includes lighting, heating, air conditioning, ventilation, security, and other systems. EV charging stations could be designed to integrate renewable energy resources with vehicle-to-grid (V2G) resources while optimizing EV charging schedules to alleviate excessive power grid loads.

8.2. Carbon Emissions, Energy Use, and Economic Activity

Several studies have looked at the relationship between economic growth (EG), energy consumption, and CO2 emissions at a population level, resulting in mixed empirical conclusions [153,154,155,156,157,158,159,160,161,162,163,164,165,166,167,168,169]. Seeing the growing effects of climate change, numerous researchers have examined the empirical relationships between CO2 emissions, energy consumption, and EG [96,97,98,99]. The relationship between CE, energy consumption, and EG at the aggregated level has been characterized as complex by some researchers. This complexity is due to the different causal effects of different energy sources.
Wolde-Rufael and Menyah, Ziramba, and Nain et al. [158,159,160] investigated the relationship between CEs, energy consumption, and EG at the accumulated and sectoral levels. They concluded that increased CO2 emissions resulted in higher electricity consumption. Energy consumption maintained a consistent long-run connection with CO2, according to Ang [161], which validated the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis.
Additionally, Ang [162] noted similar results for Malaysia, Shahbaz et al. [163] found similar results for Pakistan, and Kanjilal [164] reported similar results for India. In contrast, Ghosh [166] found no long-term link between India’s energy consumption and CO2 emissions. Due to this, the EKC hypothesis for that country could not be authenticated. A study that examined the Commonwealth of Independent States concluded that fossil fuel usage and EG are both associated with CO2 emissions in the rapid route but are eventually linked in the long term. Concerning West African countries, Olarinde and Martins [167] used a Fixed Effects Panel Regression Model to examine the linkage of carbon dioxide emissions with EG systematically. They concluded that, in the long run, the connection between income and carbon dioxide emissions is N-shaped, and the EKC hypothesis is not valid. Shuaibu and Oyinlola [168] established that the relationship between carbon dioxide emissions and EG is not causal due to structural shifts in Nigeria by relying upon the Zivot and Andrews unit root test and the Gregory and Hansen cointegration tests.
Analyzing the relationship between CO2 emissions and EG can take a linear form of U-shaped, inverted U-shaped, or another form of Warner [169]. However, a few studies established the EKC hypothesis with a reversed U-shaped relationship [170,171,172,173], suggesting that economic growth can improve the environment through reduced emissions. Holtz-Eakin and Selden [174] state that the rising curve is monotonic. Contrarily, others report a non-monotonic relationship [175,176]. Furthermore, Shafik [177] determined an N-shaped curve between CO2 emission and GDP per capita. At the same time, Ozturk and Acaravci [178] conclude that there is no causal relationship between these two factors.
According to Ang [162], there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between CO2 emissions and output in France, which indicates that EKC is feasible. In his study, he observed that output was positively correlated with CO2 emissions and energy consumption in the long run. Energy consumption and economic growth were negatively correlated in the short run. Therefore, Soytas et al. [179] concluded that income has an insignificant effect on CO2 emissions in the long run, whereas energy consumption does. ased on Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound testing approaches, Acaravci and Ozturk [178] found that Germany, Portugal, Denmark, Iceland, Greece, Switzerland, and Italy cointegrate relationships between CO2 emissions, energy consumption, and real income. Only Denmark and Italy were found to have satisfied the EKC. Ang, Zhang, and Cheng [158,164,180] found that GDP is causally connected to energy consumption in Malaysia and China.
Ghosh’s [165] study showed a bidirectional causal relationship between CE and EG in India in the short term and a unidirectional causal connection between EG and energy supply. Menyah and Rafael’s [158] study on South Africa found unidirectional causality between energy consumption, pollutant emissions, EG, CO2 emissions, and energy consumption. In addition, Lotfalipour et al. [181] found a unidirectional causality between energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions in Iran. Saboori et al. [182] analyzed the causal relationship between CO2, energy consumption, and economic growth in OECD countries. The results indicated that CO2 is a bidirectional indicator of economic growth. In some studies, EG and CO2 emissions are linear [183,184,185].
Moreover, many other studies [158,168] discovered that the relationship between CO2 emissions and the economy’s growth does not exhibit a U-shaped pattern; the relationship, instead, resembles an N-shape. As an additional point of interest, Al-mulali et al. [186,187] examined the long-run bi-directional relationship between energy consumption, CO2 emissions, and economic growth in the Caribbean and Latin American countries. Onafowora et al. [188] examined the long-term and temporal dynamics of EG, population density, energy consumption, CO2 emissions, and trade openness in Mexico, Brazil, China, South Korea, Egypt, Nigeria, Japan, and South Africa. Using data from Malaysia, Lau et al. [189] examined the cointegration relationship between CO2, exports, EG, and institutional quality and found a positive correlation between institutional quality and CO2. Many other studies on decoupling energy consumption are presented in Table 1.

9. Pathways to a Low-Carbon Energy Sector

To decrease global average temperatures to ≤2 °C in the century ahead, we must limit cumulative global emissions to 600 to 1100 gigatons of carbon dioxide per year [197]. Comparatively, GHG emissions are approximately 50 GtCO2 annually, of which approximately two-thirds are produced from burning fossil fuels [198]. As of 2013, fossil fuel reserves have approximately 3000 GtCO2 of carbon contents [199]. According to a study conducted in 2014, low-carbon power grid revolutions may prove expensive, challenging, and cost-effective. However, extenuation measures like decentralized modern energy access expansion, fuel switching, and fossil fuel subsidy reform are feasible and affordable [200].
The near future is expected to see these countries significantly contribute to climate change and be significantly affected [201,202]. However, fossil fuels as an energy source may not be necessary for economic growth [203]. In this context, some research investigating low-carbon energy transitions remains largely hypothetical [204]. Ideally, as we move to low-carbon energy supply and service provision, radical changes in technology, user practices, business strategies, institutions, and user practices are needed; therefore, this will pose challenges to the governance when engaging different actors as well as dealing with the temptations and obstructions they face [205,206,207].
Numerous energy–economy models have been developed and explored for different emissions path simulations. Several of these models were examined in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s 5th assessment report [207]. Furthermore, several model comparison exercises run under standardized assumptions and with corresponding climate outcomes [207,208]. In presenting transition pathways, Foxon et al. [209] describe a multi-level method for analyzing socio-technical systems transitions like coevolutionary frameworks and energy systems for analyzing low-carbon transitions [210,211,212,213]. Many countries and organizations have already begun accelerating the shift to a low-carbon economy. For example, Nordic nations plan to be fossil-free by 2050 [214].
They promote energy transition as part of the European Union’s (E.U.’s) European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) program for Baden-Württemberg 2014–2020. As a result, the energy transition has been extended beyond borders [81]. In facilitating the global energy transition, the International Energy Agency (IEA) developed the Clean Energy Transitions Programme (CETP) [214]. The study by Foxon [209] compared factors contributing to the Chinese and German energy transition (an innovator of the energy transition). It has been asserted by La Viña et al. [213] that energy transition can address the trilemma of energy sustainability, equity, and security in the Philippines. In its annual 2018 [214] report, IEA, stated that energy transition could improve energy security, a robust energy system, and a thriving economy [215]. Their research investigated how culture impedes the transition to a low-carbon economy.
According to Wang, and Li [192], there is a link between energy transition and changes in political systems. Additionally, they explained that technology was essential in achieving energy transition. A study by Bayulgen [216] examined the political and economic drivers of the United States’ energy transition. It was confirmed that economic growth and carbon emissions were directly related to the energy transition. Li and Wang [196] examing emissions of 30 China provinces’ transport sector and confirmed that carbon emissions increase with a corresponding growth in urbanization. Their study suggested creating more effective policies to curb carbon emissions in this sector, which should be monitored rigorously. Nevertheless, few studies have investigated pathways’ contribution to the low-carbon energy sector. Therefore, the global focus should scrutinize the sectors generating high emissions to understand their impact and provide information that could help develop curbing policies.

9.1. Reducing the Carbon Intensity of Energy

Energy emissions decrease significantly faster than other sectors [167,217]. Currently, clean and renewable energy is receiving a lot of consideration. It is considered one of the most effective ways to decrease CE and reach a low-carbon development [218,219]. Le Qu et al. [220] recently asserted that substituting renewable energy for fossil fuel consumption would reduce carbon emissions. Several studies [221,222] have deliberated on openings and challenges associated with the transition toward a greener future. In their study, shifting from fossil fuel-based to renewable-based industries was encouraged. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) confirmed the availability of 2.5% renewable potential by 2050, which can supply 80% of global energy consumption. It is important to note that the fuel choice determines the carbon intensity. Exacting the balance between types of fossil fuels and renewable energies, including nuclear power, is needed. Fossil fuels generate approximately 80 percent of global energy. Several studies suggested that energy generation from biofuel from biomass and agricultural wastes may be a viable way of reducing CE and reliance on fossil fuel-based energy [223,224].
About 30 percent of global energy consumption comes from oil and coal, while just over 20 percent comes from natural gas [225,226]. Most of the remaining energy is produced using biomass and nuclear power. Renewable energy sources like solar P.V., thermal, and wind are widely increasing but coming from a small base, according to IEA 2013. Based on Calvin et al.‘s [207] findings, solid fuels in residential energy use decrease dramatically as urbanization increases. Organizations, economists, and policymakers have recently focused on the energy transition, attempting to accelerate the swing from a carbon-intensive to a low-carbon or zero-carbon energy system [227,228].
Generally, the energy transition has many advantages, including improving international relations, promoting economic development, alleviating global warming, etc. [227]. With the decreasing emission levels in the power sector, low-carbon fuels like gas can be substituted for high-carbon fuels, including coal, and carbon-free energy sources can be employed. The implications of this are most evident in coal. The development of coal-fired power is a reliable structure of all energy decarbonization circumstances [229,230]. Globally, people have concluded that we should reduce carbon emissions to combat global warming [231,232]. The world economy increased at an average annual rate of 2.14% in the last six decades. This growth makes it impossible to lower economic advances to reduce carbon emissions. Several decoupling theories have been developed to deal with the economic growth paradox and environmental degradation [233]. It is easy to use and provides real-time information about CE and EG’s relationship [234].

9.2. Energy Intensity of GDP Reduction

The amount of energy consumed per unit of GPD, known as energy intensity, is used to measure the energy efficiency of a country [235]. Reducing energy intensity can be a viable method for decreasing energy consumption and CE globally. Due to an enhancement in energy use machinery in substantial economies (the United States and China), global energy intensity has experienced a gradual decrease from 7.3 MJ/USD (constant purchasing power parity (PPP) in 1995 to 5.0 MJ/USD (constant 2011 PPP) in 2017, which represents a 1.4% fall on average annually. The decrease in energy intensity has, however, slowed down in recent years. The International Energy Agency confirmed that the global energy intensity decreased by 1.2% in 2018—roughly half the average level since 2010 [236].
At the same time, renewable energy has been growing around the world. Within the global energy consumption structure, the quantity of modern renewables has risen between 7.1 and 10.5% from 1995 to 2017, representing a 0.23% increase rate in the past ten years. The Chinese government targeted to reduce emissions intensity by 40 to 45% between the years 2005 and 2020 [237], which resulted in industrial modernization in the 1990s. China has recorded rapid increases in energy efficiency since the 1990s, resulting in approximately a 6% decrease in energy intensity annually [237]. Although progress in the early 2000s was very modest, from 2005 to 2013, the reduction rate was robust, averaging 3.8 percent yearly. According to the International Energy Agency [238], China’s energy intensity is around 50% greater than the USA’s when measured at purchasing power parity.
Some countries have witnessed a vast increase in renewable energy, including New Zealand, Greece, and others. However, an increase in energy intensity rather than a decrease was observed. Greece and New Zealand increased their share of modern renewable energy by 5.0% and 1.9%, while an increase in energy intensity of 2.8% and 9.1% were obtained. It is fundamental to understand that the energy intensity of an economy, and its projection over time, is determined primarily by the economy’s structure and the efficiency of its technologies. In both cases, progress can be achieved through development, but in the latter case, targeted interventions can help speed things up [239,240]. An ongoing debate concerns how noticed energy efficiency levels lag the potential, i.e., there may be a gap in energy efficiency.
Economic studies tend to be skeptical [241], whereas engineering studies frequently identify significant energy savings. Studies undertaken in South Africa have demonstrated the potential to save significant amounts of energy in diverse industrial sectors such as wood, steel, mining, iron products, and chemicals [242,243]. By 2050, the International Institute for Energy Analysis estimates a heating and cooling energy demand decrease of about 46% [244]. Most residential energy efficiency measures are related to the energy consumption of middle- and high-income households, such as more energy-saving lighting bulbs and appliances [245]. Low-income households can save energy due to the thermal efficiency of their homes [246,247]. These measures are usually intended to alleviate poverty rather than save energy.
As a result of efficiency improvements, most households increase their coziness level rather than reduce their energy bills. It is, therefore, evident that lower prices result in a rebound effect, leading to higher consumption [248]. The Chinese government has taken steady steps toward energy intensity reduction since the 1980s, primarily responding to severe energy deficiencies. China has lately emphasized reducing energy intensity as a central element in mitigating climate change [148,249,250]. Various countries and periods can have different energy intensities of GDP [251,252]. Many studies have examined the variances in energy intensity between countries and the evolution of those variances over time. Many studies, such as [253,254], examine a shift in the energy intensity between the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries. The deviations from the mean were analyzed by [255]. Alcántara and Duro [253] utilized the Theil index based on GDP and observed the share each country contributes to global production.

10. The Influence of Energy Decarbonization on Economic Growth

Among the biggest challenges facing economies are decarbonization (eradicating carbon dioxide emissions caused by their harmful effects on the environment) and enhancing energy transmission efficiency (using energy efficiency means achieving the same effects under the same circumstances while using a smaller amount of energy). Macroeconomic stabilization is necessary to achieve decarbonization (DCO2) and energy efficiency (EN) [256,257].
Stabilizing macroeconomic conditions is an essential objective of state intervention in the economy. Combining economic indicators, political conditions, and the country’s position on international markets’ effectiveness determines macroeconomic stability [258,259]. A balanced economy impacts citizens’ quality of life and contributes to environmental awareness and education [260,261]. Most research emphasizes that economic growth, globalization, and urbanization are associated with increased carbon dioxide emissions [262,263]. As of now, it is unclear what impact macroeconomic stabilization will have on decarbonization. Decarbonization aims to reduce carbon dioxide emissions to the atmosphere, which is vital to halting global warming [264,265].
Decarbonization can occur in several ways, such as through energy efficiency, delayed carbon capture, diversified energy sources and storage, and low nuclear power. The most significant challenge is applying an economic growth model considering social and environmental goals [266,267]. For the Korean economy to decarbonize effectively, several drivers should be addressed, not just the expansion of low-carbon technologies. Korea’s energy needs solely rely on fossil fuels in the predictable future. Concentrating large shares of GDP on a limited energy-intensive industry is not only environmentally damaging [268], but it can also increase the economy’s vulnerability, which implies supporting a low-carbon economy by strengthening the service sector [269,270].
According to the “Deep Decarbonization Pathways Project”, the process of low-carbon transformation requires three central pillars [263]. Firstly, there needs to be a low-carbon transition to electricity supply; secondly, there needs to be the electrification of energy-consuming activities that currently burn fossil fuels directly, such as transport, heating, and industrial processes; and thirdly, there needs to be increased energy efficiency, a significant factor in decarbonization’s cost-effectiveness.
Additionally, deep decarbonization can also lead to economic growth in developed economies. Efficient and rapid DCO2 is vital for environmental strategy in many economically developed countries, helping them focus on EN on an enormous scale and switching to zero-emission energy production [264,265,266,267]. A low-carbon or zero-carbon electricity supply is likely to primarily depend on renewable energy sources in most nations—mainly hydro, wind, and solar power—although nuclear energy may also be significant, and storage for coal, carbon capture, and gas-fired power plants might be necessary as well [268]. Also, developed countries must consider and adopt deep decarbonization as a prerequisite for long-term economic growth [257,269,270]. In growing and developing countries, whose industries depend on coal power, the situation may differ (sustaining macroeconomic stability may intensify carbon dioxide emissions). Therefore, it is essential to invest in new green technologies and eco-friendly solutions (thereby generating additional costs) [271].
The concept of deep decarbonization entails reducing energy-related CO2 emissions. Biomass is fundamental to developing a solid decarbonizing energy system in the future. As a result, a biomass pathway in Sichuan has been anticipated to appraise the effects of bioenergy. However, how to apply the biogenic carbon neutrality principle throughout its lifetime has raised some controversial questions among academics [272,273] and poses a challenge to implementing CO2 emissions. Social and environmental objectives must be considered more broadly for economic growth (or macroeconomic stabilization). Stabilizing the macroeconomic environment should lessen CE to the atmosphere over the long term. Stabilizing macroeconomic conditions can improve research, development, and environmental awareness [163,274,275]. Decarbonization requires additional expenditures, energy balance shifts, and environmentally friendly technologies [276,277]. In contrast, decarbonization is likely to progress the country’s trade balance (due to a decrease in fossil fuel imports). There are numerous benefits to a low-carbon economy, such as increased investments, increased quality of life, and decreased environmental degradation [278,279].

11. Low-Carbon Energy Systems

Several studies focus on low-energy systems due to the increase in carbon emissions. Researchers suggested using renewable energy to replace fossil fuels for a low-energy system with several benefits [156,157,280,281,282,283,284]. Clean and renewable energy is considered one of the most effective ways to decrease CE and reach low-carbon development [156,157]. Stringent policies toward carbon emissions have also been proposed [155,156]. Implementing these policies promises to increase the quality of life and reduce environmental pollution.

11.1. New Developments

Implementing technologies through marketing alone may not result in building a low-carbon innovation system. Therefore, effective innovation systems include strategic policy interventions, a commitment to ban fossil fuels, and the active contribution of people experiencing poverty [234,285,286,287,288]. Undoubtedly, the world is responsible for transitioning to a reduced amount of carbon-intensive and more just energy system. Given the critical role of energy in enhancing human capabilities and opportunities, a range of safe, clean, affordable, and reliable energy services must be made available (lighting, heating, cooling, etc.). A low-carbon energy transition requires various reception, mobilization, and authorization processes.
Lacey-Barnacle [240] examined the role of intermediate organizations in the civic energy sector and showed in what way they serve as a conduit between local low-carbon energy initiatives and deprived societies, assist community groups in being aware of funding opportunities, and, where possible, promote a local emphasis on the low-carbon transitions economic benefits. Preliminary with the first point, the energy transition has enhanced energy flows closely related to “production” and “consumption,” actions coordinated via the energy market. Moreover, technological advances have been made to extract, transform, and utilize energy. Additionally, changes have occurred regarding rules modifiable the socio-political role of energy systems, for example, revolutionizing a country, enhancing freedom, or decreasing poverty [289].
In 2008, the European Commission launched the Citizens’ Energy Forum. An exploration of the consumer standpoint in the new era of the merchandizing energy market was intended. The citizens’ forum, which took place in 2018 at the European Commission [290], was devoted to presenting innovative solutions for consumer engagement and business models interrelated to the retail energy market. A growing number of renewable energy projects are being proposed around the globe, which has contributed to public skepticism regarding this development’s siting decisions, often resulting in intense public debates and conflicts. Bartiaux et al. [288] analyzed household energy consumption patterns in Belgium to demonstrate the consequences of the lack of capability to envision alternative shifts to low-carbon energy systems.
In recent work, Willand and Horne [289] analyzed one example of a retrofit intervention to uncover recognized and veiled susceptibilities and the experienced distribution and technical energy impartiality in the existing experience of older and delicate householders in a low-income area near Melbourne, Australia. In their study, Castan Broto et al. [290] developed a fuller understanding of the British and Dutch public debates on intelligent grid structures by exploring the values and concepts underpinning these debates. It is expected that advancing energy effectiveness and reductions in energy use will be responsible for greater than half of the reductions in the world’s CO2 emissions over future decades. For example, to slow global temperature increases to below 2 °C at a reasonable probability (66%) within the next 35 years, an over 70% fall in global energy-related carbon emissions must be ensured by 2020. For example, this would require a yearly tripling of energy efficiency improvements, retrofitting all existing buildings, ensuring 95% of electricity is generated from low-carbon sources by 2050, and moving almost entirely to electric vehicles [291].
As of 2011, carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere have increased from 280 shares per million (ppm) before the Industrial Revolution to 391 parts per million (ppm). As of 2014, the concentration was above 400 parts per million. It is, therefore, a matter of global concern that carbon emissions are continuously rising [193]. China has adopted revolutionary measures to encourage energy production and consumption. These include imposing an annual limit on encouraging energy conservation, total energy consumption, renewable energy sources, and supporting the development of new energy sources. Furthermore, the Chinese government has declared its intention to realize the peak of CO2 emissions by 2030, aiming to reach the peak early by trying to strengthen the share of non-fossil energy in primary energy consumption to about 20% by 2030, as indicated in the China-U.S. speech on climate change published in 2014 [292].
As outlined in China’s intended nationally determined contributions (INDCs) in 2015 [293], China’s new commitment to reduce emissions intensity by 60% to 65% per year from 2005 to 2030 was recently released. In fulfilling the U.N.’s Sustainable Development Goals, SDG7 highlights the importance of inexpensive and green energy. A sustainable energy transition calls for launching a new era of the energy model, requiring an updated energy blend and revision of the regulatory framework [294]. Industrialized nations rely heavily on oil and gas for most of their energy needs, making adopting local renewable or low-carbon energy models challenging. Tilos, with over 50% renewable energy consumption, located southeast of the Aegean Sea, Greece, demonstrates how local-scale energy storage can be seamlessly integrated into a fully operational M.G. Kos Island presently supplied oil-based generated electricity through an undersea cable to Tilos Island.
Developing clean and low-carbon energy has succeeded and is expected to progress rapidly. China put several policy frameworks and institutional mechanisms in place to motivate the production of natural gas and non-fossil fuels. It is estimated that China consumed 180 billion m3 of natural gas in 2014, increasing from 34.1 billion m3 in 2004, making China the third-largest consumer of natural gas globally. Moreover, non-fossil energy consumption has increased from 4.0% in 1980 to 11.2% in 2014 [295]. According to the China Electricity Council [296], in 2014, there were 301.8, 19.9, 95.7, and 26.5 GW of installed capacity for hydropower, nuclear power, and wind power, respectively, which is 1.4, 1.8, 3.2, and 102.0 times higher than the amount in 2010 [297]. Nathaniel et al. [196] claimed that more importance had been added to energy security by prioritizing generating energy from low-carbon sources such as renewables and nuclear energy. The G7 currently harnesses these techniques for generating power. However, with a slight improvement in the environmental quality in most of these countries, the positive effect of the process is not yet attained.
Similarly, Sweden’s government aims to generate 100% electricity from renewable sources by 2040. However, they currently generate 41% of their annual electricity from nuclear power for low-carbon power generation and transition, but with decommissioning aniticipated in future decades due to economic and aging factors. High investment, radiation risk, and social acceptability depict uncertainty in generating electricity through nuclear sources in European countries [100,101,102,103,104]. Nathaniel et al.‘s study suggested renewably sourced electricity production as an alternative route and advised additional investments into the transmission, which may benefit Sweden and other European countries’ economies through increased profit from the power tariff [196].

11.2. Challenges and Constraints

To achieve sustainable low-carbon energy systems and increase access to affordable and equitable innovations, a subtle understanding of concerns regarding social justice is necessary. A different approach is needed to produce affordable and clean energy access for everyone around the globe. Similarly, climate change must be addressed by reducing fossil fuel usage. As articulated within Sustainable Development Goals 1, 7, and 13, both challenges require social justice deliberation regarding access to resources and technologies. Generally, energy systems both generate and consume energy. These components are extracting resources, producing them, converting them, distributing, delivering, using energy, and providing energy services [298]. Political institutions and processes face unprecedented challenges in low-carbon futures, particularly in the energy sector.
Furthermore, developing new and pioneering governance approaches is necessary [299]. Renewable energy sources face several challenges: low resource availability, limited resource access, limited resource location, insecurity of supply, sustainability, and affordability [300]. As a result of the increasing electricity demand, the consumption of fossil fuels has increased, thereby contributing to the growth of greenhouse gas emissions and, consequently, global warming [291].
A further barrier to effective transition is that efforts to promote more sustainable, resilient, and equitable energy disrupt economic, political, and institutional relationships. As a result, power and political issues are now at the heart of sustainable innovation in the energy sector [301]. Energy access and controlling greenhouse gas emissions are crucial to achieving a sustainable energy future [302]. Since over two-thirds of greenhouse gas emissions are attributed to energy production and consumption and over eighty percent of CO2 emissions are from power plants, countries that wish to meet the Paris climate objectives must develop measures and strategies to reduce emissions from power plants and other energy-based activities. Developing countries should address their challenges individually and collectively by implementing suitable and effective energy policy measures [303].
A significant obstacle to the development of low-carbon energy is inefficient energy use. According to the World Bank [304], in 2013, China had an estimated 8.7% share of global GDP but consumed 22.6% of the world’s total energy [305], with energy consumption per GDP being more than four times that of developed countries and more than two times that of the world average. Despite the waste of energy resources and ensuing increased emissions, the inefficiency of the energy system has also contributed to extensive development of the energy system, hindering innovation regarding a low-carbon energy system and renovation of an existing system [306]. The lack of institutional mechanisms and market reforms is one of the main obstacles to low-carbon energy development.
Energy markets are characterized by cured profit distribution patterns that can result in administrative monopolies, market monopolies, and disorderly competition, which act to hamper improvements in technological and environmental standards [307]. Considering the government’s continued dominance of energy pricing, an improvement is necessary for the existing energy-pricing mechanism. This is because market prices become distorted, hampering the development of low-carbon energy technologies such as wind, solar, small hydro, and distributed generation [308]. As a result of abandoning wind, solar, hydro, and nuclear energy in recent years, coal power has maintained a high level of operation. Transforming a coal-based high-carbon energy structure is a considerable challenge in developing a low-carbon energy system. Energy demands are rigid, and extensive development pathways increase reliance on high-carbon resources [308].

12. Future Projections/Aspects

Based on these findings, decoupling techniques have limitations. Most studies are centered around Tapio and IDA (index decomposition techniques). Developing countries develop faster. Therefore, reducing emissions in those countries is more complicated. The E.U.’s energy policy has noted this obstacle that permits countries with a low per capita GDP to increase GHG emissions. Global and climate change are humanity’s most significant sustainability challenges, with oil, coal, and natural gas accounting for 61.3% of global electricity generation in 2020. Sustainable energy reduces fossil fuel dependence while growing renewable energy sources to reduce GHG emissions.
The application of evolution procedures and strategies to decouple economic growth should be guided by more research into technologies and measures details. Considering these findings, this review recommends that impending studies generate more data on the industrial structure to examine the factors affecting CE in a broader context. Hence, the studies discussed in this paper confirm that climate economics and policy implications are fundamental for decoupling EG from CE. Further demonstrates that a transition to low-carbon energy systems is still becoming a norm, as developing countries are still far behind in attaining the target. The strategies toward decarbonization require power generation from renewable sources, encouraging the use of electric cars, and appliance production using low voltages, which may reduce energy usage. Adopting these strategies worldwide may help in achieving a low-carbon planet. Therefore, more studies and implementation of policies aiming at a low-carbon planet must be prioritized globally.

13. Conclusions

This study reviews recent literature that focuses on decoupling economic growth from carbon emissions, the root cause of climate change, which has become a monster, taking life and destroying properties globally. It reviews decoupling techniques and factors limiting decoupling activities, climate economics, policy implications, dematerialization, and decarbonization, which are vital instruments in achieving carbon emission reductions. Studies have confirmed that economic growth is the principal mover of climate change. This study provides information on current challenges, what to consider for future dematerialization policy development, and the techniques available to tackle these challenges. It also discussed several decoupling techniques, such as carbon capture using Tapio’s model scientific evaluation mechanisms to analyze the effect of delinking economic growth and gas emission. It discovered the consequences of climate change and economic growth and suggested the disconnection of carbon generated from energy generation, material production processes (dematerialization), logistics, and industrialization. This implies that completely decoupling economic growth from carbon emissions is a viable way to reduce extreme temperatures resulting in global warming. This reduction can be achieved through a global focus on scrutinizing high-emission-generating sectors to understand their impact and provide information for developing carbon emission-curbing policies.
Similarly, decarbonate and dematerialization policies and other created policies should be implemented while considering economic conditions, product lifespan features, and which policies will work at national and regional levels. More studies on policy development should be conducted and implemented to achieve absolute material reduction. The economic situation should be considered before creating a decoupling policy, and generating electricity from renewable sources should be encouraged. Furthermore, studying the product lifespan and analyzing national and regional challenges using UN SDG goals before developing policies may lead to the absolute decoupling of the world’s aim to achieve a low-carbon system. The decoupling of power from economic growth needs more investment to enhance electricity generation from renewable sources, as generating power from nuclear is expensive. The rigorous change in recent research to evaluate the challenges and constraints of low-carbon energy systems should be encouraged, as this will provide innovative strategies (new developments) and suggestive plans for reducing the carbon emission rate. This review suggests global policies aiming at energy intensity reduction, macroeconomic stabilization, replacing fossil fuel plant systems with renewable energy-based plants, and electric car usage should be implemented to create a carbon-free environment.
Furthermore, global society sensitization to climate change and its implications is necessary and must be encouraged to achieve a zero-carbon planet. A subtle understanding of social justice is necessary to achieve sustainable low-carbon energy systems and increase access to affordable and equitable innovations. Therefore, it must be enforced. Additional implementation and monitoring of climate economics and policy implications must be encouraged and taken seriously to reduce climate change and its impact.

Author Contributions

All authors contributed to the review article. J.M. and O.J.G. wrote the literature study and the article’s first draft, and all authors reviewed, revised, and made relevant contributions and suggestions for the submitted manuscript. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Informed Consent Statement

All the authors give consent for the publication of this manuscript.

Data Availability Statement

Not applicable.

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to acknowledge the support from the Durban University of Technology, where this study was conducted.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have influenced the work reported in this paper.

Nomenclature

GHGGreenhouse gas emissions.
GDPGross domestic product.
CECarbon emission.
OECDOrganization for Economic Cooperation and Development.
DEGDecouple economic growth.
UNEPUnited Nations Environment Programme.
EGEconomic growth.
UNFCCCUnited Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.
CDECarbon dioxide emissions.
EKCEnvironmental Kuznets curve.
DOLSDynamic ordinary least squares.
FMOLSFully modified ordinary least squares.
MINLPMixed-Integer Non-Linear model.
AMGAugmented mean group.
LMDILog Mean Divisia Index.
IDAIndex decomposition.
INDCsNationally determined contributions.
EUEuropean Union.
IPCCIntergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
CMIP6Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6.
SSPsShared Socio-Economic Pathways.
RERenewable energy.
USAUnited States of America.
IWGInteragency Working Group.
IAMsIntegrated assessment models.
DICEDynamic integrated climate–economy model.
PAGEPolicy analysis of the greenhouse effect model.
FUNDFramework for Uncertainty, Negotiation, and Distribution Model.
SDRsSpecial Drawing Rights.
DDPsDeep Decarbonization Pathways.
IRPInternational Resource Panel.
SDGsSustainable Development Goals.
VREVariable renewable energy.
PAParis Agreement.
EVsElectric vehicles.
EVCSElectric vehicle charging station.
V2GVehicle-to-grid.
ERDFEuropean Regional Development Fund.
IEAInternational Energy Agency.
CETPClean Energy Transitions Programme.
PVPhotovoltaics.
PPPPurchasing power parity.
ENEnergy efficiency.
DCO2Decarbonization of Carbon Monoxide.
INDCsIntended nationally determined contributions.
IDAIndex decomposition techniques.

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Figure 1. The sources of carbon emission and their adverse impacts on the environment.
Figure 1. The sources of carbon emission and their adverse impacts on the environment.
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Figure 2. Classifying taipo decoupling technique commonly used for decoupling of carbon emission and economic growth.
Figure 2. Classifying taipo decoupling technique commonly used for decoupling of carbon emission and economic growth.
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Figure 3. The decoupling technique used for separating economic growth from carbon emissions.
Figure 3. The decoupling technique used for separating economic growth from carbon emissions.
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Figure 4. The 1.5 °C scenario map under different levels of energy—GDP decoupling, RE speed, and NETs [89].
Figure 4. The 1.5 °C scenario map under different levels of energy—GDP decoupling, RE speed, and NETs [89].
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Figure 5. The McKinsey marginal abatement cost curve (Mckinsely 2009).
Figure 5. The McKinsey marginal abatement cost curve (Mckinsely 2009).
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Table 1. Synopsis of current research for decoupling of energy consumption.
Table 1. Synopsis of current research for decoupling of energy consumption.
Study ZoneResearchersTechniquesDecomposed Features
National levels and energy consumptionChen et al. [9]The difference-in-difference based on propensity score-matching (PSM-DID) method Innovation drive and development of cities through low-carbon goals and low-carbon city pilot policy on the total factor productivity of listed enterprises [9]
Wang et al. [45]Tapio, C-D function, and MRIO modelEnergy efficiency and advancing technology [44]
Moreau and Vuille [42]Threshold model to empirically analyze panel dataEconomic growth, energy efficiency, and structural changes [42]
Wang et al. [117]Index decomposition analysisThe renewable energy consumption and economic growth [109]
Wang et al. [118]Multiple co-integration estimation approachesEnergy efficiency, oil price, environmental pressure, research and development, and policy relationship
Wei et al. [119]Multi-regional input–output (MRIO) and LMDI modelTypes of energy and economic growth [121]
Zhang [120]Multiregional input–output and Tapio decoupling modelPopulation, affluence, and technology [125]
National levels and CO2 emissionDong et al. [65]LMDI, Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP), and Tapio decoupling modelDifferent industrial sectors, effect of industrial sectors [68]
Zhang et al. [151]Data-driven selectionEnergy efficiency, market conditions, and environmental compliance [180]
Wang et al. [148]LMDI model Decoupling index between CO2 emissions and across provinces [148]
Steblyanskaya et al. [150]Input and output (IO) table’s dataUnderstanding carbon dioxide (CO2) emission and carbon neutrality status [150]
Li, Rongrong et al. [190]Fully modified ordinary least squares regression analysis and Granger causality testImpact of structural changes on per capita carbon emissions from the four aspects of energy, trade, society and economy [190]
Wang, Q., and Li [191]Linear panel data analysis and panel threshold regression approach Effects of population aging, life expectancy, population density, unemployment rate, per capita GDP, and urbanization on per capita CO2
Regional CO2 emissionZhang et al. [151]LMDI ModelEnergy intensity, decarburization, and the per capita GPD effect [151].
Yang et al. [192]Tapio, LMDI and DEA modelFactors of decoupling carbon emissions from global economic growth [192]
Li and Wei [193]Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) ModelsFinancial development and innovation [193]
Hu et al. [194]Kaya-LMDI modelStatuses of higher-income countries and lower-income countries, economic growth, energy intensity, and energy exports [194]
Nathaniel et al. [195]Environmental Kuznets curve modelPromotion of nuclear and renewable energy consumption and the abating role of nuclear energy [195]
Wang, Qiang, and Shasha Wang [196]Tapio decoupling model and Log Mean Divisia IndexThe increase in carbon emissions and separation of carbon emission and economic growth in transport sectors [196]
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Gbadeyan, O.J.; Muthivhi, J.; Linganiso, L.Z.; Deenadayalu, N. Decoupling Economic Growth from Carbon Emissions: A Transition toward Low-Carbon Energy Systems—A Critical Review. Clean Technol. 2024, 6, 1076-1113. https://doi.org/10.3390/cleantechnol6030054

AMA Style

Gbadeyan OJ, Muthivhi J, Linganiso LZ, Deenadayalu N. Decoupling Economic Growth from Carbon Emissions: A Transition toward Low-Carbon Energy Systems—A Critical Review. Clean Technologies. 2024; 6(3):1076-1113. https://doi.org/10.3390/cleantechnol6030054

Chicago/Turabian Style

Gbadeyan, Oluwatoyin J., Joseph Muthivhi, Linda Z. Linganiso, and Nirmala Deenadayalu. 2024. "Decoupling Economic Growth from Carbon Emissions: A Transition toward Low-Carbon Energy Systems—A Critical Review" Clean Technologies 6, no. 3: 1076-1113. https://doi.org/10.3390/cleantechnol6030054

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