In this section, the two designed H2GEN architectures’ optimisation results are presented and analysed while considering the technical and economical parameters as well as the inherent sensitivities and constraints. For the sake of the collaborative company H2GEN product disclosure, the costs results are presented in relative terms to each other rather than as specific quantitative costs.
4.1. H2GEN Architecture 1 Simulation Scenarios—Results and Analysis
Firstly, the Scenario 1.1 simulation was used to investigate whether the selection of load-following or cycle-charging setting would change the performance of the H2GEN system, and the results showed that it does not. Therefore, for consistency, it has been decided to use the same setting (cycle charging (CC)) in all our simulation scenarios.
The Scenario 1.2 simulation was then used to enable the optimal sizing, costing and performance analysis of the proposed H2GEN Architecture 1 with a water-cooled fuel cell (WC-H2GEN) versus that with an air-cooled fuel cell (AC-H2GEN). The obtained results showed that the optimal sizing for the cost-effective Architecture 1 H2GEN that can meet the case study home demand during grid power outages is similarly comprised of a 2 kW fuel cell (AC or WC), 2 kW electrolyser, and 0.2 kg H2 Tank. The Scenario 1.2 cost simulation results were then used to enable the relative comparison of the WC-H2GEN costs versus those of the AC-H2GEN over the twenty-five-year period, as demonstrated in
Table 6. It can be seen from the table that while the capital cost of the WC-H2GEN is about 20% higher, the other costs are significantly less. Further comparative analysis of the costs results showed that the WC-H2GEN total NPC is about 131% less than that of the AC-H2GEN, its LCOE is similarly about 131% less and its operating cost is about 306% less. The longer lifespan of the water-cooled system plays a significant role in lowering the NPC, albeit at the expense of a higher initial investment. From the analysis of the electrical simulation results, it was found that the percentage of unmet load for both the WC-H2GEN and AC-H2GEN systems is the same value (0.0005%), confirming that the selected H2GEN sizing successfully enabled meeting 99.9995% of the demand. From the analysis of the fuel cell simulation results, discrepancies can seen between their performance in terms of the lifespan and the fixed generation cost on an hourly basis, where the water-cooled fuel cell’s operational life, capacity factor and fixed generation costs are found, respectively, to be 14.3 years, 5.71% and GBP 1.06/hr versus 1.91 years, 5.71% and GBP 5.37/hr for the air-cooled fuel cell—meaning that using a water-cooled fuel cell in the proposed H2GEN offers a longer operational life and less fixed generation costs.
Based on this comparative analysis shown in
Figure 10, air-cooled fuel cells are ruled out for the proposed H2GEN application and water-cooled fuel cells have therefore been selected for both the proposed H2GEN designs and, accordingly, used in all the upcoming simulation scenarios.
The Scenario 1.3 simulation was then used to further investigate the impact of changing the tank type on this H2GEN architecture. The investigation enabled a comparative analysis of H2GEN Architecture 1 with a type-I tank versus that with metal hydride. The results showed that changing the tank type does not change the optimal sizing of the H2GEN, the electrical results or the fuel cell lifetime, capacity factor and generation cost. Cost-wise,
Table 7 shows that using metal hydride tanks will add around GBP 1650 to the cost of the H2GEN. A comparative analysis of the overall H2GEN architecture costs over its 25-year lifetime showed that using metal hydride tanks increases the overall H2GEN capital cost by GBP 1646 versus only a GBP 49 drop in O&M costs, while the replacement cost remained the same. Based on this comparative analysis and given that the size of the tank needed for the H2GEN residential application is small, type-I is found to be more cost-effective and thus is used in the proposed H2GEN and, accordingly, in all the simulation scenarios; however, it should be noted that because HOMER is primarily an economic optimisation tool that does not consider any technical ramifications of integrating a specific technology, it is suggested to revise the tank selection on a case-by-case basis to consider the size and specs of the tank needed for each specific application.
The Scenario 1.4 simulation was finally used to further investigate the expansion of this H2GEN architecture for meeting higher load demands. To analyse how a higher demand impacts the design of the base demand H2GEN, the load demand profile was doubled. From the simulation results, it was found that the optimal sizing of the electrolyser and fuel cell required for the H2GEN to meet the doubled load demand profile was scaled up proportionately to a 4 kW FC and 4 kW electrolyser; however, to avoid underutilisation, the tank size was less than doubled (0.3 kg). From the electrical summary results, it was found that the sized system enabled 0% of the unmet load. From the fuel cell summary, it was found that the fuel cell’s operational life remained 14.3 years, the capacity factor slightly dropped from 5.71% to 5.64%, and the fixed generation cost increased slightly from 1.06 to 1.27 GBP/h. Cost-wise, the NPC of the expanded demand H2GEN increased but was less than doubled, and comparing the capital cost increases showed that the expanded demand H2GEN is GBP 8280 cheaper than the cost of using two units of the base-demand H2GEN. From the comparative analysis of the expanded demand H2GEN results versus those if the previous results obtained were doubled for the H2GEN base demand unit, it has been concluded that because the cost of the expanded demand H2GEN and its tank size (i.e., needed space) are less, a more viable and cost-effective expanded demand H2GEN can be realised by using the developed HOMER model for optimally sizing it based on the given increased load–demand profile, rather than using multiple base demand H2GEN units.
4.2. H2GEN Architecture 2 Simulation Scenarios—Results and Analysis
Similarly, a thorough investigation was carried out for our proposed H2GEN Architecture 2, which integrates a solar PV. The added PV, which produces cheaper power than fuel cells, is intended to support the H2GEN in meeting some of the home power demand during grid outages as well as to power the electrolysis process. With the PV power being clean, this architecture has an added benefit of reducing the carbon footprint.
Firstly, the Scenario 2.1 simulation used the Architecture 2 model developed in the HOMER space to optimally size this H2GEN Architecture 2 and analyse its costs and performance versus those of Architecture 1. Compared to Architecture 1, the optimal sizing of the H2GEN components remained the same: 2 kW water-cooled fuel cell, 2 kW electrolyser, and 0.2 kg H2 tank, but with an added 1 kW PV.
Compared to Architecture 1, cost-wise, when looking into the cost summary results, we found that the capital cost of H2GEN Architecture 2 was GBP 1010 more due to the added PV cost, the replacement cost remained the same as there is no replacement cost for the PV, the O&M cost was GBP 2765 less due to the drop in the grid’s O&M costs with the contribution of PV generation and the total NPC was GBP 1719 less due to the PV extra feed of electricity; therefore, it can be concluded that Architecture 2 is more cost-effective.
Performance-wise, the % of unmet load remained 0% in this H2GEN architecture, confirming that it is capable of meeting the residential demands during grid outages. The fuel cell’s operational lifetime remained 14.3 years, the fuel cell fixed generation cost remained 1.06 GBP/h, and the fuel cell capacity factor was reduced by 1.69% due to the reduced operation of the fuel cell with the presence of PV generation. It should be noted that this suggests that if the solar PV can take on more of the FC’s operation during outages, this will accordingly prolong the life of the FC, the more expensive component, decreasing its maintenance and frequency of component replacement costs. However, using a larger solar PV capacity is highly dependent on the available space for installation and will increase the H2GEN’s capital cost.
Environment-wise, adding a renewable source (PV) to this H2GEN architecture results in a reduced carbon footprint due to the reduction in the grid fossil fuel power and also because some of the H2GEN-produced H2 comes from the use of PV, making the power produced by the H2GEN clean.
Based on the above comparative analysis, Architecture 2 of the H2GEN offers a more cost-effective and environmentally efficient architecture for our proposed residential H2GEN.
Figure 11 presents a schematic diagram of the Architecture 2 assembly.
Scenario 2.2 then investigated the impact of connecting the H2GEN to the residential load via a DC bus and external inverter instead of directly connecting it to the load AC bus (implying that the fuel cell has a built-in inverter). This change in configuration was found to have a significant impact on the H2GEN component sizing and costs. Optimal-sizing-wise, all the system components, except the fuel cell, increased in size, with the electrolyser increasing to 3 kW, the PV to 7 kW and the hydrogen tank to more than double at 0.5 kg. This increased sizing, together with the added inverter cost, resulted in increased H2GEN costs, as summarised in
Table 8. The capital cost of this H2GEN architecture was found to be increased by around GBP 12,000, the replacement cost increased by around GBP 3000, and the NPC increased by around GBP 7000; however, the O&M costs dropped by around GBP 6000 due to the increased sizing of the PV, leading to reduced fuel cell operation costs. The LCOE was also found to be reduced due to the fact that the significant sizing of the PV system leads to less power being taken from the grid, thus reducing the grid O&M cost, plus more revenue from selling this increased PV power back to the grid. Performance-wise, the % of unmet load remained almost 0%, while the fuel cell operational life increased to 18.8 years and its capacity factor dropped by 1.33%, correlating with the fuel cell’s reduced operation associated with the increased PV sizing. From the analysis of the above observations, it has been concluded that despite the benefits added by the increased the PV sizing in this configuration, such an H2GEN sizing is unfeasible for residential applications and is not cost-effective. Therefore, a more feasible and cost-effective H2GEN is to be realised by the utilisation of specially manufactured fuel cells with built-in inverters to allow the direct connection of the H2GEN to the load AC bus. Therefore, the AC-coupled H2GEN configuration is used in the developed models and in all our simulations.
Figure 12 visualises the results of this simulation.
Scenario 2.3 investigated the expansion of this H2GEN Architecture 2 to meet higher power demands. To select the best expansion option, the load profile used in our HOMER model was doubled and the corresponding system sizing, performance and costs of the expanded demand H2GEN that can meet this double demand were compared to those if using two of the base demand H2GEN units. Optimal-sizing-wise, while the PV in the double demand H2GEN remained 1 kW, similar to the previous Architecture 1 expansion simulation, the electrolyser and fuel cell sizes doubled to 4 kW and the storage tank increased to less than double (0.3 kg).
Performance-wise, the double demand H2GEN was found to be able to meet the doubled load profile during grid outages with 0% unmet load. The fuel cell’s operating lifespan remained 14.3 years, with an increased fixed generation cost of less than double and a slight increase in the FC capacity factor from 4.02% to 4.67%.
Cost-wise, the capital cost of the double demand H2GEN increased due to the additional costs of the bigger electrolyser, fuel cell and tank; however, this increase was less than double. Similarly, the replacement cost, O&M cost and the total NPC increased but were still less than double, showing that optimally sizing the double demand H2GEN for realising double the power capacity is more cost-efficient than using double the base demand H2GEN units. Therefore, it has been concluded that whenever an H2GEN system expansion is required to meet increased power demand, it is recommended to optimally size this expanded demand H2GEN on a case-by-case demand increase basis rather than using multiple of the base demand H2GEN units.
To investigate the expansion of the H2GEN for meeting increased grid power outages, Scenario 2.4 was used to optimally size this H2GEN architecture so that it can meet double the grid power outage profile whilst assessing the system performance and costs. The original grid power outage hours were firstly doubled, resulting in the increase of outage hours from 1047 to 2094 h, and a random distribution was used for the power outage profile, as seen in
Figure 13. This profile was then used in the developed H2GEN model in the HOMER space and the results were compared to those obtained when using the original grid power outages profile.
The optimal sizing of the expanded outage H2GEN was found to be comprised of the same 1 kW PV but with a 6 kW electrolyser, 0.3 kg tank and 4 kW fuel cell, meaning that expanding the system for meeting double the power outages resulted in doubling the fuel cell size, less than double for the tank, and more than double for the electrolyser, while the PV remained the same.
Cost-wise, this increase in the sizing of the H2GEN system components resulted in an increase in the system capital cost, but this was found to be less than double, as well as increases in both the O&M and replacement costs to more than double, respectively, due to the increased grid power O&M costs and replacement cost of the more than doubled electrolyser. The total NPC also increased to more than double and the LCOE almost tripled. Thus, the costs have an increased more than double for each of these key costs through the doubling of the outage profile. This increase in the system sizing and the associated system costs are highly dependent on the profile of the doubled power outage used in the simulation scenario, where a profile with increased evening outages will need to be met by the H2GEN (not PV), meaning that the electrolyser needs to be bigger than double to produce more hydrogen.
In terms of the electrical profile, the used grid outage profile has been found to slightly increase the unmet load to 0.045%; however, this is still relatively insignificant. The FC operational lifespan has been found to be halved to 7.2 years due to fuel cell’s increased operation with the increased outages that cannot be met by either the grid or the PV. This reduction in the fuel cell lifetime caused the increase in the replacement cost due to the more frequent replacements, and the fuel cell fixed generation cost was also found to be increased. It should be noted, however, that these results are dependent on the grid outage profile used in the model, and these results may vary if a different grid-outage profile is used.
From the analysis of the above scenario findings, it can be concluded that doubling the grid power outage profile results in the need for increased H2GEN sizing and, accordingly, increased costs; however, this increase is mainly dependent on the grid outage profile (so, for example, if most of the grid outages are happening out of the PV production hours, then a bigger electrolyser will be needed for producing more H2 for the fuel cell operation and, accordingly, more power will be drawn from the grid to power the electrolyser, increasing the grid O&M costs and associated emissions; additionally, the fuel cell lifetime will be reduced due to its increased operation). Therefore, it is recommended that the optimal sizing of the expanded system capacity for meeting increased grid outages needs to be completed on a case-by-case basis to allow for identifying the most feasible and cost-effective configuration suited for the given power outage profile.
4.3. Sensitivity Analysis on the Electrolyser and Fuel Cell Minimum Load Ratio (MLR) and Efficiency
Finally, a couple of simulation scenarios were used to investigate how sensitive the simulation outputs are to the changes in the efficiency and minimum load ratio of both the electrolyser and the fuel cell to, accordingly, identify the values to be used in the developed H2GEN models.
Scenario 3.1 firstly assessed the sensitivity of the results to the changes in the electrolyser and fuel cell minimum load ratio (MLR). For this analysis, we ran a number of simulations using different values of the EMLR and FCMLR in the developed H2GEN system model to reveal how sensitive the simulation results are to the changes in these values. The values used in these simulations were obtained from HOMER’s default and from the collected data sheets. From the analysis of the results, it has been found that shifting the EMLR between the HOMER default of 0% and the manufacturer’s 20%, while keeping the FCMLR constant at 10%, had no impact on the system sizing or on the % of unmet load, and only a slight increase was noticed in the grid O&M costs due to a slight increase in the grid power usage. Similarly, changing the FCMLR from the HOMER default of 25% to the manufacturer’s 10%, while keeping the EMLR constant at the default 0%, had no impact on the system sizing or on the % of unmet load, but a slight drop was noticed in the grid O&M costs. Therefore, because changing the MLR has a marginal effect but the 10% FCMLR value is slightly more economic, it has been decided to use the HOMER default EMLR of 0% and the manufacturer’s FCMLR of 10% in the setting of our developed H2GEN models.
Scenario 3.2 then assessed the sensitivity of the results to the changes in the electrolyser and fuel cell efficiencies to, accordingly, identify the values of the electrolyser efficiency (EE) and the fuel cell efficiency (FCE) to be used in our developed H2GEN system models. For this analysis, we ran several simulations in which we entered into our developed system model different EE and FCE values (obtained from the HOMER default or from data collected) to reveal how sensitive the simulation outputs are to the changes in these values. The values used in our simulations are (50%, 80%) for the EE and (10%, 50%) for the FCE. The analysis of the results showed that the impact of efficiency is more notable.
The impact of changing the fuel cell efficiency (FCE) from the HOMER default of 10% to the highest manufacturer efficiency of 50%, while keeping the electrolyser efficiency constant at 50%, was found to have a far more profound effect on the system sizing and costs. The increase in the FCE resulted in a vast drop in the system’s capital, replacement and O&M costs due to the drop in the system sizing and in the grid O&M costs. In conclusion, it can be said that the FCE is a key component for realising a cost-efficient and feasibly sized H2GEN and, therefore, an efficient fuel cell should be employed in the H2GEN.
Figure 14 visualises the results of this simulation.
Table 9 shows the cost change for this simulation when compared to the H2GEN with a PV system that is connected to the AC bus.
The impact of changing the electrolyser efficiency (EE) from 50% to the highest possible manufacturer’s efficiency of 80% was found to have similar ramifications for the system sizing and cost. The increased electrolyser efficiency reduced its size and the associated capital and replacement costs. It also reduced the grid O&M costs. In conclusion, it can be similarly said that the EE is another key component for realising a cost-efficient and feasibly sized H2GEN and, therefore, an efficient electrolyser should be employed in the H2GEN.
Figure 15 visualises the results of this simulation.
Table 10 shows the cost change for this simulation when compared to the H2GEN with a PV system that is connected to the AC bus.