2. Formulation of S3T for the Two-Layer Model
Consider a quasi-geostrophic, stably stratified, two-layered fluid on a β-plane. The equations that determine the evolution of the streamfunction
and
of the flow in the two layers can be described in terms of the barotropic
and the baroclinic
streamfunctions [
5]:
where
is the barotropic relative vorticity,
is its baroclinic counterpart,
is the horizontal Laplacian,
is the Jacobian and
is the gradient of planetary vorticity. The stratification of the flow is taken into account in the inverse radius of deformation
, where
is the depth of each layer,
is the Coriolis parameter in the center of the plane,
g′ =
is the reduced gravity and
,
are the densities in the two layers. Turbulence is sustained by the random stirring
representing vorticity sources in the two layers. The excitation is assumed to be temporally delta-correlated and spatially homogeneous and isotropic injecting energy at a rate
in a delta ring of radius
in wavenumber space. The forcing in the two layers is also assumed to be uncorrelated so that there is the same tendency for the excitation of both barotropic and baroclinic eddies. In addition, there is a sink of energy in the form of the linear dissipation of potential vorticity in both layers with the same coefficient
.
In order to investigate analytically the dynamics that lead to the spontaneous emergence of the large-scale structures, we utilize the statistical framework of Stochastic Structural Stability Theory (S3T), which describes the evolution of the first two cumulants of the dynamics [
4]. The first-order cumulants are the ensemble means
,
where the brackets denote an ensemble average over different realizations of the forcing. These can be written as the compact vector
, where
denotes the transpose. Defining the vorticity deviations from the mean as
, where the subscript denotes its evaluation at point
, yields the second-order cumulants as the two-point correlation functions of the vorticity deviations that can be written in compact form as the matrix:
The corresponding correlation functions of the random stirring are given by
where
is the spatial correlation function with the properties described above. Assuming that the ensemble average is a Reynolds average over the turbulent eddy motions and ignoring higher order cumulants that describe eddy–eddy interactions, it has been shown that the dynamics close in second order [
6]. That is, the dynamical system evolving the first two cumulants is self-contained and given by:
where
is the function expressing the non-linear dynamics of Equations (1) and (2) in terms of the mean flow vector
,
is a matrix expressing the turbulent momentum and heat fluxes forcing the barotropic and the baroclinic mean flow,
is the matrix describing the influence of the mean flow on the turbulent eddies and
is the identity matrix. This dynamical system describes the co-evolution of the coherent large-scale structures
and the statistics of the small-scale turbulent eddies
.
3. Investigation of the Eddy–Mean Flow Feedback
The state
,
, is an equilibrium of the S3T dynamics of (5)–(6). This state represents a homogeneous turbulent field with no mean flow. The stability of this equilibrium is addressed by introducing harmonic perturbations
and
, where
is the wave vector of the perturbations and
the eigenvalue of the harmonic modes. In case the real part of the eigenvalue is positive, the perturbations grow and coherent structures of wavenumber
emerge. The manifestation of this instability is the emergence of coherent structures in the turbulent flow. It has been shown that the eigenvectors separate into purely barotropic modes with
and baroclinic modes with
[
3]. It was also shown in the same work that the eigenvalues for the barotropic (
) and the baroclinic (
) modes, respectively, satisfy the equations:
where
are the momentum and heat fluxes produced by the reorganization of the barotropic (
) and the baroclinic (
) turbulent eddies by the barotropic flow, respectively. Similarly,
and
are the momentum and heat fluxes produced by the reorganization of the barotropic and the baroclinic turbulent eddies by the baroclinic flow. As it can be seen from (7)–(8), the mean flow tendency is solely driven by the turbulent fluxes. If the fluxes are upgradient, they tend to reinforce the mean flow perturbations, leading to instability. It is worth noting that there can be positive or negative interference between the two flux terms. That is, the barotropic and the baroclinic eddies can be organized in different ways by the large-scale flow and can produce fluxes that are either mutually reinforcing (both upgradient or downgradient) or negating (one upgradient and one downgradient) each other. The flow will respond to their sum.
In order to investigate the fluxes driving the instability, we focus on the parameter regime very close to the stability boundary, that is, when
. In this limit, it was shown that the imaginary part of the eigenvalues follow the barotropic and baroclinic Rossby wave dispersion relations, respectively [
3], that is:
and
. We therefore calculate the real part of the fluxes in this limit
and term these as barotropic (denoted with the subscript t) and baroclinic (denoted with the subscript c) flux feedbacks as they describe how the mean flow can reorganize the turbulent eddies so that the turbulent fluxes can enhance it (if the feedback is positive) or weaken it (if the feedback is negative).
We calculate the feedbacks in the case of large stratification, that is, for
.
Figure 1 and
Figure 2 illustrate the barotropic and baroclinic feedbacks, respectively, as a function of the non-dimensional wavenumbers
of the mean flow perturbations for the non-dimensional planetary vorticity gradient
. It is noted that the flux feedbacks are symmetric to shifts of the wavevector angle by
. The feedbacks are thus shown only in the first quadrant, that is, for positive values of
and
.
The organization of the barotropic eddies by the barotropic flow produces a flux feedback with positive values for a wide range of wavenumbers with the largest values observed for stationary zonal jets ( with meridional scales close to the excitation scale (). The organization of the baroclinic eddies by the barotropic mean flow produces a flux feedback that has positive values for a ring with a wide range of wavenumbers and is almost isotropic, slightly favoring zonal jets. The largest values correspond to wavenumbers larger than the forcing wavevector. The sum of these two feedbacks (not shown) that are of the same order yields upgradient fluxes that are maximum for zonal flows of slightly larger scale than the forcing, as there is negative interference for scales smaller than the scale of the forcing negating the positive values of for these wavenumbers. Thus, zonal jets are expected to dominate the barotropic part of the emerging coherent structures.
The organization of the baroclinic eddies by the baroclinic mean flow produces a flux feedback that has positive values for a ring of wavenumbers slightly larger than the forcing wavenumber and is almost isotropic slightly favoring zonal jets. This upgradient flux is of the same order as the magnitude of the barotropic flux feedbacks. The flux feedback that results from the organization of the barotropic eddies by the baroclinic mean flow perturbation is stabilizing for all wavenumbers and is an order of magnitude larger than . Therefore, their sum is negative, leading the homogeneous equilibrium to be stable with respect to baroclinic perturbations.
We now consider large values of the planetary vorticity gradient.
Figure 3 illustrates the barotropic flux feedbacks for
. In this case, the largest feedback occurs for Rossby waves. The largest positive feedback
occurs for waves with meridional scales that are twice the scale of the forcing. On the other hand,
is largest for waves with meridional scale close to the scale of the forcing and its maximum values are approximately half of the corresponding maximum values of
. As there is no significant interference, their sum (not shown) produces two different branches of unstable Rossby waves with small and large meridional scales, respectively.
Figure 4 illustrates the baroclinic flux feedbacks in this case. The organization of baroclinic eddies produces upgradient fluxes for baroclinic Rossby waves with scales smaller than the forcing scale. The upgradient
is cancelled out by the feedback produced by the organization of the barotropic eddies
that is downgradient for all wavenumbers. This negative interference is found to depend on the stratification of the flow. That is, for this value of
, the sum of the two flux feedbacks is negative for
. For lower values of
, the sum is positive, leading to the emergence of baroclinic structures as well. However, the value of the sum of the baroclinic feedbacks is smaller than its barotropic counterpart, so there is a preference for the emergence of barotropic modes.