Future Transp., Volume 5, Issue 4 (December 2025) – 8 articles

Understanding household vehicle ownership dynamics in the post-COVID-19 era is critical for designing equitable, resilient, and sustainable transportation policies. This study employs an interpretable machine learning framework to model household vehicle ownership using data from the 2022 National Household Travel Survey (NHTS)—the first nationally representative U.S. dataset collected after the onset of the pandemic. A binary classification task distinguishes between single- and multi-vehicle households, applying an ensemble of algorithms, including Random Forest, XGBoost, Support Vector Machines (SVM), and Naïve Bayes. The Random Forest model achieved the highest predictive accuracy (86.9%). To address the interpretability limitations of conventional machine learning approaches, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) were applied to extract global feature importance and directionality. Results indicate that the number of drivers, household income, and vehicle age are the most influential predictors of multi-vehicle ownership, while contextual factors such as housing tenure, urbanicity, and household lifecycle stage also exert substantial influence highlighting the spatial and demographic heterogeneity in ownership behavior. Policy implications include the design of equity-sensitive strategies such as targeted mobility subsidies, vehicle scrappage incentives, and rural transit innovations. By integrating explainable artificial intelligence into national-scale transportation modeling, this research bridges the gap between predictive accuracy and interpretability, contributing to adaptive mobility strategies aligned with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), particularly SDG 11 (Sustainable Cities), SDG 10 (Reduced Inequalities), and SDG 13 (Climate Action). Full article

The increasing concern for road safety has driven the development of advanced driver behavior analysis systems. This study presents a comprehensive review of various techniques to detect unsafe driving behaviors, with a particular emphasis on using smartphone sensors. By leveraging data from accelerometers, gyroscopes, and GPS, these methods allow for the detection of aggressive driving patterns, which may result from factors such as driver distraction or drowsiness. Modern sensor technology plays a crucial role in real-time monitoring and has significant potential to enhance vehicle safety systems. A Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network combined with a Conv1D layer was trained to analyze driving patterns using a sliding window technique. As technology continues evolving, its application in driver behavior analysis holds great promise for reducing traffic accidents and improving driving habits. Furthermore, the ability to gather and analyze large amounts of data from drivers in various conditions opens new opportunities for more personalized and adaptive safety solutions. This research offers insights into the future direction of driver monitoring systems and the growing impact of mobile and sensor-based solutions in transportation safety. Full article

Urban mobility plays a vital role in shaping sustainable cities, yet the effectiveness of public transportation is often undermined by poor last-mile connectivity (LMC). In the National Capital Region (NCR) of Delhi, despite the Delhi Metro Rail serving as a key transit system, limited integration with surrounding areas hinders accessibility, which particularly affects women, elderly adults, and socioeconomically disadvantaged groups. This study evaluates LMC performance at two key metro stations, Nehru Place and Botanical Garden, using a mixed-methods approach that includes user surveys, spatial survey, thematic analysis, and infrastructure scoring across five critical pillars: accessibility, safety and comfort, intermodality, service availability, and inclusivity. The findings communicate notable contrasts. Botanical Garden exhibits strong intermodal linkages, pedestrian-friendly design, and supportive signage, while Nehru Place indicates a need for infrastructural improvements, safety advancement and upgrades, and strengthened universal design features. These disparities limit effective metro usage and discourage a shift from private to public transport. The study highlights the importance of user-centered, multimodal solutions and the need for cohesive urban governance to address LMC gaps. By identifying barriers and opportunities for improvement, this research paper contributes to the formulation of more inclusive and sustainable urban transport strategies in Indian metropolitan regions. Full article

The accelerating pace of urbanization has significantly complicated traffic management systems, leading to mounting challenges, such as persistent congestion, increased travel delays, and heightened environmental impacts. In response to these challenges, this study presents a novel deep learning framework designed to enhance short-term traffic flow prediction and support intelligent transportation systems within the context of smart cities. The proposed model integrates Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, augmented by an attention mechanism that dynamically emphasizes relevant temporal patterns. The model was rigorously evaluated using the publicly available datasets and demonstrated substantial improvements over current state-of-the-art methods. Specifically, the proposed framework achieves a 3.75% reduction in the Mean Absolute Error (MAE), a 2.00% reduction in the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and a 4.17% reduction in the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) compared to the baseline models. The enhanced predictive accuracy and computational efficiency offer significant benefits for intelligent traffic control, dynamic route planning, and proactive congestion management, thereby contributing to the development of more sustainable and efficient urban mobility systems. Full article

The passenger car market has experienced a radical shift: the rise of SUV, crossover vehicles, but also Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV) and Plug-In Hybrid Vehicle (PHEV), has blurred the borders between traditional vehicle segments as well as body types, resulting in reduced applicability of conventional taxonomies of vehicle types. This study aims to provide an overview of the vehicle market by proposing a new, machine-learning-based segmentation of the entire German vehicle fleet covering the past years. We merge over 40 million registered vehicles with a technical specifications database and apply data-mining techniques to derive an improved market segmentation. We demonstrate that unsupervised learning techniques, specifically Ward and k-means clustering, yield clusters with enhanced separation, clarity, and practical usability. Clustering was applied to both raw technical features and engineered features designed to capture aspects of economy, ecology, usability, and performance. The silhouette scores can reach 0.19, a significant increase over the +0.05/−0.05 scores of the existing vehicle segments or chassis types. Full article

Bus stops in Riobamba had significant deficiencies in safety, accessibility, and comfort, which limited the effective use of public transport and affected the urban mobility of the population. Improving these conditions was crucial to promote sustainable, inclusive and safe mobility in the city. This study was quantitative and descriptive, based on 420 user surveys and the direct observation of 140 stops, complemented with georeferencing and comparative review of specialized literature. The findings showed that most of the stops lacked adequate lighting, shelter, signage and universal access, with 68% of users perceiving low safety. The most in-demand technologies included real-time information systems (72%) and video surveillance (65%). The proposed model of smart stops will improve accessibility, safety and comfort for users, encouraging greater use of public transport. By addressing the main infrastructure and technology gaps, the intervention contributed to inclusive and safe urban mobility, directly contributing to Sustainable Development Goal 11 and offering a replicable framework for other medium-sized cities seeking to optimize their public transport systems. Full article

Virtual reality driving simulators have been increasingly used for training purposes, but they are still lacking effective driver assistance features, and poor use of user interface (UI) and guidance systems leads to users’ performance being affected. In this paper, we investigate image–arrow aids in a virtual reality driving simulator (VRDS) that enables trainees (new drivers) to interpret instructions according to the correct course of action while performing their driving task. Image–arrow aids consist of arrows, texts, and images that are separately rendered during driving in the VRDS. A total of 45 participants were divided into three groups: G1 (image–arrow aids), G2 (audio and textual aids), and G3 (arrows and textual aids). The results showed that G1 (image–arrow guidance) achieved the best performance, with a mean error rate of 8.1 (SD = 1.23) and a mean completion time of 3.26 min (SD = 0.56). In comparison, G2 (audio and textual aids) had a mean error rate of 10.8 (SD = 1.31) and completion time of 4.49 min (SD = 0.67), while G3 (arrows and textual aids) had the highest error rate (18.4, SD = 1.43) and longest completion time (6.51 min, SD = 0.68). An evaluation revealed that the performance of G1 is significantly better than that of G2 and G3 in terms of performance measures (errors + time) and subjective analysis such as usability, easiness, understanding, and assistance. Full article

This paper presents a novel methodology for predicting the tire–road friction coefficient in real-time under challenging climatic conditions based on a fuzzy logic inference system. The core innovation of the proposed approach lies in the integration and probabilistic weighting of a diverse set of input data, which includes signals from ambient temperature and precipitation intensity sensors, activation events of the anti-lock braking system (ABS) and electronic stability control (ESP), windshield wiper operation modes, and road marking recognition via a front-facing camera. This multi-sensor data fusion strategy significantly enhances prediction accuracy compared to traditional methods that rely on limited data sources (e.g., temperature and precipitation alone), especially in transient or non-uniform road conditions such as compacted snow or shortly after rainfall. The reliability of the fuzzy-logic-based predictor was experimentally validated through extensive road tests on dry asphalt, wet asphalt, and wet basalt (simulating packed snow). The results demonstrate a high degree of convergence between predicted and actual values, with a maximum modeling error of less than 10% across all tested scenarios. The developed methodology provides a robust and adaptive solution for enhancing the performance of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADASs), particularly Automatic Emergency Braking (AEB), by enabling more accurate braking distance calculations. Full article