Search Results (71)

Malawi lies within the southern segment of the East African Rift System and is exposed to infrequent but potentially damaging earthquakes. While recent advances in fault mapping, seismic monitoring, and hazard modelling have substantially improved scientific understanding of earthquake hazard in the Malawi Rift Zone, the practical reduction in seismic risk remains limited. This Perspective paper argues that earthquake resilience in Malawi is constrained less by scientific uncertainty than by challenges in integrating existing hazard knowledge into governance, planning, and preparedness. Drawing exclusively on published geological, geophysical, engineering, and policy literature, the paper synthesises evidence on seismic hazard, historical earthquake impacts, institutional preparedness, and barriers to the operational use of scientific risk assessments. An integrated, multi-pillar framework is proposed to support improved coordination between science, governance, infrastructure practice, and community preparedness. The framework is conceptual in nature and is intended to inform policy dialogue, prioritisation, and future empirical research rather than to provide a validated operational model. While grounded in the Malawian context, the insights presented are relevant to other low-income, rift-hosted regions facing similar challenges in translating earthquake science into effective disaster risk reduction. Full article

Mycotoxin contamination remains a persistent threat to food safety in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and neighboring countries, driven by conducive tropical agroecological conditions, inadequate post-harvest practices, and limited regulatory governance. This critical narrative review (2009–2024) synthesizes the occurrence data for major staple foods (maize, peanuts, cassava, sorghum, millet, and beans) and dairy products compiled from Google Scholar, ScienceDirect, MDPI and institutional sources. It examines the co-occurrence patterns, exposure pathways, and analytical and regulatory gaps. Warm, humid lowland environments favor Aspergillus and aflatoxins, whereas cooler, humid highland zones promote Fusarium, fumonisins, and deoxynivalenol. Across commodities, contamination intensifies along food value chains through inadequate drying, non-hermetic storage, insect damage, and prolonged handling, with processed products generally exhibiting the highest levels of mycotoxins. Regulated mycotoxins, including aflatoxins, fumonisins, trichothecenes, ochratoxins, and zearalenone, frequently exceed European Union (EU), East African Community (EAC), and Codex Alimentarius Commission (CAC) limits in staple foods. Their co-occurrence is widespread, including emerging mycotoxins such as beauvericin and enniatins, particularly in maize- and peanut-based products, raising concerns about potential additive or synergistic effects. Aflatoxin M1 in milk highlights plant–feed–animal–human transfer within a One Health framework. Despite increasing evidence, the available data remain fragmented and heterogeneous; rapid tests dominate, while few studies employ multi-mycotoxin LC-MS/MS methods. Cross-border trade between countries, such as Uganda, Tanzania, Zambia and Angola, facilitates the circulation of contaminated commodities in the absence of harmonized standards and risk-based controls. Priorities include harmonized regional surveillance, biomarker-based co-exposure assessment, cost-effectiveness evaluation of mitigation strategies, and regulatory alignment at borders. Coordinated, multisectoral action is essential to reduce chronic dietary exposure and improve food safety across the region. Full article

Geothermal energy is a crucial component of climate adaptation and sustainability transitions, as it provides a dependable, low-carbon source of baseload power that can accelerate sustainable energy transitions and enhance climate resilience. Yet, in East Africa—one of the world’s most promising geothermal regions, with the East African Rift—a unique climate-energy opportunity zone—the harnessing of geothermal power remains slow and uneven. This study examines the contextual conditions that facilitate the successful and sustainable development of geothermal power in the region. Drawing on semi-structured interviews with 17 experienced professionals who have worked extensively on geothermal projects across East Africa, the analysis identifies how technical, institutional, managerial, and relational circumstances interact to shape outcomes. The findings indicate an interdependent configuration of success conditions, with structural, institutional, managerial, and meta-conditions jointly influencing project trajectories rather than operating in isolation. The most frequently emphasised enablers were resource confirmation and technical design, leadership and team competence, long-term stakeholder commitment, professional project management and control, and collaboration across institutions and communities. A co-occurrence analysis reinforces these insights by showing strong patterns of overlap between core domains—particularly between structural and managerial factors and between managerial and meta-conditions, highlighting the mediating role of managerial capability in translating contextual conditions into operational performance. Together, these interrelated circumstances form a system in which structural and institutional foundations create the enabling context, managerial capabilities operationalise this context under uncertainty, and meta-conditions sustain cooperation, learning, and adaptation over time. The study contributes to sustainability research by providing a context-sensitive interpretation of how project success conditions manifest in geothermal development under climate transition pressures, and it offers practical guidance for policymakers and partners working to advance SDG 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy), SDG 9 (Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure), and SDG 13 (Climate Action) in Africa. Full article

Understanding how carnivores coexist is central to ecological theory and conservation. Coexistence among sympatric species arises through niche partitioning across spatial, temporal, and trophic dimensions, yet these mechanisms remain poorly explored in Central African forests where leopards (Panthera pardus) and African golden cats (Caracal aurata) act as dominant and subordinate carnivores. Using camera trap data and molecular scat analyses from two sites in northern Congo, we provided the first robust leopard density estimates for the region (i.e., semideciduous forests in Central Africa) and assessed coexistence mechanisms between the two felids across spatial, temporal, and trophic axes. Spatially explicit capture–recapture models revealed comparable leopard densities across sites (5–6 individuals/100 km²), exceeding the regional average for Central and East Africa. Spatiotemporal occupancy models indicated spatial and temporal overlap, with no evidence of predictive or reactive temporal avoidance, though fine-scale co-occurrence declined near linear forest features (i.e., main rivers and roads) where both species’ marginal occupancy was highest. Conversely, dietary analyses showed trophic segregation: leopards consumed medium- to large-sized ungulates (>20 kg), whereas golden cats relied on smaller prey (≤5 kg), identifying trophic partitioning as the main axis facilitating coexistence in this prey-rich system. Maintaining prey diversity and minimizing disturbance are key to sustaining both species and their coexistence mechanisms. Such multidimensional approaches are essential to understand intraguild interactions and anticipate community shifts under increasing pressure. Full article

Flooding is one of Africa’s most impactful natural disasters, significantly affecting human lives, infrastructure, and economies. This study examines the spatial and temporal distribution of historical flood events across the continent from 1927 to 2020, with a focus on fatalities, affected populations, and economic damage. Data from the Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT), the fifth generation of bias-corrected European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis (ERA5), and the Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Stations (CHIRPS) observational datasets were used to calculate extreme precipitation indices—Consecutive Wet Days (CWD), annual precipitation on very wet days (R95PTOT), and Annual Maximum Precipitation (AMP). Spatial analysis tools and the Mann–Kendall test were used to assess trends in flood occurrences, while Pearson correlation analysis identified key meteorological drivers across 16 African capital cities for 1981–2019. A flood frequency analysis was conducted using Weibull, Gamma, Lognormal, Gumbel, and Logistic probability distribution models to compute flood return periods for up to 100 years. Results reveal a significant upward trend with a slope above 0.50 floods per year in flood frequency and impact over the period, particularly in regions such as West Africa (Nigeria, Ghana), East Africa (Ethiopia, Kenya, Tanzania), North Africa (Algeria, Morocco), Central Africa (Angola, Democratic Republic of Congo), and Southern Africa (Mozambique, Malawi, South Africa). Positive trends (at 99% significance level with slopes ranging between 0.50 and 0.60 floods per year) were observed in flood-related fatalities, affected populations, and economic damage across Regional Economic Communities (RECs), individual countries, and cities of Africa. The CWD, R95PTOT, and AMP indices emerged as reliable predictors of flood events, while non-stationary return periods exhibited low uncertainties for events within 20 years. These findings underscore the urgency of implementing robust flood disaster management strategies, enhancing flood forecasting systems, and designing resilient infrastructure to mitigate growing flood risks in Africa’s rapidly changing climate. Full article

Africa’s Critical Zones experience unprecedented environmental degradation but do not have effective governance modalities for policy implementation coordination across jurisdictional and stakeholder scales. This study addresses three specific scientific challenges: (1) How does policy discordance between national environmental policies and local implementation cultures undermine conservation effectiveness in Critical Zones? (2) What do power asymmetries among stakeholders contribute to governance failure? (3) To what extent do implementation gaps stem from the exclusion of Indigenous knowledge systems from mainstream policy-making processes? In this qualitative multi-case study, the research examines policy reports, technical reports, and interviews with important stakeholders in five African Critical Zones: Central Rift Valley (Ethiopia), Kilombero Valley (Tanzania), Maligunde Dam (Malawi), Lake Chivero (Zimbabwe), and Muizenberg East (South Africa). Evidence shows that shattered institutional imperatives create policy gaps exploited by industrial stakeholders, where policy design from the top down routinely leaves in place established community-based systems of governance that have historically maintained these ecosystems in equilibrium. Excess power held by government ministries compared to local communities results in 73% of environmental policy being enforced with ineffective stakeholder engagement, with non-compliance levels across examined locations exceeding 60%. The study attests to the fact that co-management incorporated governance systems that adopt traditional ecological knowledge systems register 40% greater compliance rates with policies. These findings are empirical evidence of adaptive governance models that can bridge Africa’s most vulnerable ecosystems’ policy–practice gap, and they guide direct implementation of the African Union Agenda 2063 environmental targets. Full article

Tropical sandy beaches are dynamic ecosystems where microbial communities play crucial roles in biogeochemical processes and tracking human impact. Despite their importance, these habitats remain underexplored. Here, using amplicon-based sequencing of bacterial (V3-V4 16S rRNA) and fungal (ITS2) markers, we first describe microbial communities inhabiting supralittoral–intertidal sediments of two contrasting sandy beaches in the Tadjoura Gulf (Djibouti Republic): Sagallou-Kalaf (SK, rural, siliceous sand) and Siesta Plage (SP, urban, calcareous sand). Sand samples were collected at low tide along 10 m transects perpendicular to the shoreline. Bacterial communities differed significantly between sites and along the sea-to-land gradient, suggesting an influence from both anthropogenic activity and sediment granulometry. SK was dominated by Escherichia-Shigella, Staphylococcus, and Bifidobacterium, associated with human and agricultural sources. SP showed higher richness, with enriched marine-associated genera such as Hoeflea, Xanthomarina, and Marinobacter, also linked to hydrocarbon degradation. Fungal diversity was less variable, but showed significant shifts along transects. SK communities were dominated by Kluyveromyces and Candida, while SP hosted a broader fungal assemblage, including Pichia, Rhodotorula, and Aureobasidium. The higher richness at SP suggests that calcium-rich sands, possibly due to their buffering capacity and greater moisture retention, offer more favorable conditions for microbial colonization. Full article

Addressing the interconnected challenges of food security, climate change, and population growth requires innovative and adaptive approaches to sustainable agriculture. Agricultural best management practices (BMPs) provide a promising framework for enhancing resilience, improving resource efficiency, and promoting biodiversity. However, the effectiveness of BMPs’ implementation largely depends on their alignment with local environmental, social, and economic conditions. This study presents a novel methodology for selecting and implementing BMPs based on stakeholder preferences, ensuring solutions are contextually relevant and widely accepted. Developed within the European Commission-funded WATDEV project, this methodology integrates a bottom-up and top-down decision-making framework, incorporating the perspectives of farmers, policymakers, and experts. The approach has been tested in four East African countries: Kenya, Ethiopia, Sudan, and Egypt, demonstrating its adaptability across diverse agroecological settings. Through a structured assessment involving stakeholder engagement, data-driven BMP selection, and participatory decision support tools, the study identifies and prioritizes BMPs that optimize water use, soil conservation, and climate resilience. Findings highlight that community-driven BMP selection enhances adoption rates and ensures solutions are technically feasible, economically viable, and environmentally sustainable. The methodology provides a scalable blueprint for integrating stakeholder preferences into agricultural planning, offering valuable insights for policymakers, researchers, and practitioners working toward sustainable food systems in East Africa and beyond. Full article

The Export-Led Growth Hypothesis (ELGH) posits that expanding exports drive long-run economic growth. While this has held true for several Asian economies, its effectiveness across African regional blocs remains underexplored. This study investigates the validity of ELGH in the East African Community (EAC) and Southern African Development Community (SADC), assessing whether exports significantly contribute to economic growth in these regions. The analysis covers 22 EAC and SADC economies from 1990 to 2022—regions marked by structural transformation efforts, trade liberalisation, and participation in the AfCFTA. A dynamic panel data model based on an augmented Cobb-Douglas production function is estimated using the System Generalised Method of Moments (System GMM) to address endogeneity and reverse causality. Granger causality tests supplement the analysis. Exports and technology significantly enhance GDP growth, while labour and FDI are statistically insignificant. Trade openness negatively affects growth, suggesting vulnerability to external shocks. A bidirectional Granger causality exists between exports and GDP. This study offers the first dynamic, bloc-level empirical evaluation of ELGH across EAC and SADC, incorporating trade-related interactions. Findings affirm ELGH’s relevance and stress the need for export diversification, technological upgrading, and institutional reform for sustained growth in Africa. Full article

This article presents an in-depth examination of the technical and cultural dimensions of singing practices within the traditional music of sub-Saharan Africa. Utilizing an extensive body of theoretical and ethnomusicological research, comparative transcription, and culturally situated observation, it presents a comprehensive framework for understanding the significance of the human voice in various performance contexts. The study revolves around a tripartite model—auditory clarity, ambiguous auditory clarity, and occlusion—that delineates the varying levels of audibility of vocal lines amidst intricate instrumental arrangements. The article examines case studies from West, East, and Southern Africa, highlighting essential vocal techniques such as straight tone, nasal resonance, ululation, and controlled (or delayed) vibrato. It underscores the complex interplay between language, melody, and rhythm in tonal languages. The analysis delves into the influence of sound reinforcement technologies on vocal presence and cultural authenticity, positing that PA systems have the capacity to either enhance or disrupt the equilibrium between traditional aesthetics and modern requirements. This research is firmly rooted in a blend of African and Western theoretical frameworks, drawing upon the contributions of Nketia, Agawu, Chernoff, and Kubik. It proposes a nuanced methodology that integrates technical analysis with cultural significance. It posits that singing in African traditional music transcends mere expression, serving as a vessel for collective memory, identity, and the socio-musical framework. The article concludes by emphasizing the enduring strength and flexibility of African vocal traditions, illustrating their capacity for evolution while preserving fundamental communicative and artistic values. Full article

We examine the residential segregation of the Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) population, South and East Asian people, and Black from white people in the U.S. Using data from the 2012–2016 American Community Survey (ACS) and the 2012–2016 Integrated Public Use Microdata Sample (IPUMS) at the metropolitan level, descriptive analyses of segregation reveal that Black–white segregation is significantly greater than the segregation of MENA and East Asian people from white people. South Asian–white segregation is higher than Black–white segregation, but the difference is not statistically significant. Multivariate analyses of average dissimilarity indices show that relative to Black–white segregation, MENA–white, South Asian–white, and East Asian–white segregation are not significantly different after controlling for relevant variables. The results for the isolation index also follow a similar pattern. While MENA and both Asian ancestry groups are significantly less isolated than Black people in the unadjusted results, the differences in average isolation indices between Black people and these groups disappear after controlling for relevant characteristics. The results suggest evidence that supports these hypotheses in terms of spatial assimilation. Full article

Human outbreaks of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) are more common in Middle Eastern and Asian human populations, associated with clades A and B. In Africa, where clade C is dominant in camels, human cases are minimal. We reviewed 16 studies (n = 6198) published across seven African countries between 2012 and 2024 to assess human MERS-CoV cases. We also analyzed data from four cohort studies conducted in camel-keeping communities between 2018 and 2024 involving camel keepers, camel slaughterhouse workers, and hospital patients with acute respiratory illness (ARI). The analysis showed a pooled MERS-CoV prevalence of 2.4% (IQR: 0.6, 11.4) from 16 publications and 1.14% from 4 cohort studies (n = 2353). Symptomatic cases were rarely reported, with most individuals reporting camel contact, and only 12% had travel history to the Middle East. There was one travel-associated reported death, resulting in a mortality rate of 0.013%. The findings suggest a low camel-to-human transmission of clade C MERS-CoV in Africa. Ongoing research focuses on genomic comparisons between clade C and the more virulent clades A and B, alongside the surveillance of viral evolution. This study highlights the need for continuous monitoring but indicates that MERS-CoV clade C currently poses a minimal public health threat in Africa. Full article

The adaptation of Faidherbia albida (Del.) A. Chev. to drought conditions, its reverse phenology, ability to improve soil fertility, importance as source of forage, and its medicinal properties make it an excellent tree for Sub-Saharan African communities. However, there has been little effort to develop improved genotypes of F. albida, in part because there is relatively little information about phenotypic and genetic variation within this species. This study’s aim was to characterize the genetic diversity of F. albida among Sub-Saharan natural populations with the goal of identifying material for the improvement of the species in Cameroon and other African countries. We genotyped seven simple sequence repeat (SSR) loci in 267 individuals, 15 populations, and 8 countries in Sub-Saharan Africa representing the range of distribution of F. albida. A total of 32 alleles were identified. The highest level of polymorphism was found in Senegal and Ethiopia. Structure analysis of allelic distributions differentiated the 15 populations into three clusters representing West, East, and South Africa. However, one population in Ethiopia (Rama) was strikingly similar to the West Africa cluster. Genetic diversity decreased from West and East Africa to South Africa. These results support the hypothesis that F. albida originated in West or East Africa and subsequently spread to South Africa. Further sequence-based genotyping of these and additional populations will provide an accurate picture of the origin and subsequent spread of this species and reveal new sources of genetic variation for its improvement. Full article

Christianity’s political prominence in Ghana has attracted the attention of scholars interested in the wider issues of religion and politics in sub-Saharan Africa. Analyses of the political influence of Christianity in Ghana generally focus on domestic factors, without considering external actors’ involvement. This article examines the political impact of the leading form of Christianity in Ghana, Pentecostalism, in relation to both domestic and external factors. The aims of the article are, first, to explain and account for Pentecostals’ political impact in Ghana. The second aim is to explain and account for the links between elements of the American Christian Right and prominent Pentecostals in Ghana. Both support normatively conservative, even regressive, policies which, the article argues, encourages the breakdown of Ghana’s civil religion. Ghana is the first west African nation to be subject to sustained attention from elements of the US Christian Right, following similar efforts in east Africa, particularly in relation to Kenya and Uganda. This novelty makes the American Christian Right’s focus on Ghana both noteworthy and an important topic of research in the context of the internationalisation of the former. The article is divided into four sections. The introductory section presents the main sections of the article, and provides a thorough account of the background of the study. The second section surveys what has been called the ‘pentecostalisation’ of Christianity in Ghana, which aligns with similar processes in other sub-Saharan African countries, including Nigeria. The third section examines the links between Ghana’s Pentecostals and elements of the American Christian Right and explains how this helps to fuel a breakdown Ghana’s longstanding allegiance to civil religion. The final section describes the main political result: the scapegoating and criminalisation of Ghana’s numerically small, beleaguered gay community. Full article

Roll-on/roll-off vessels (RO/RO vessels) are playing an increasingly critical role in international automobile transport, facilitating the efficient movement of vehicles and heavy machinery across continents. Despite this growing significance, there is still limited research specifically focused on the RO/RO shipping network and its impact on global trade. This paper studies the global RO/RO shipping network using AIS data on RO/RO vessels collected from 2020 to 2023. We construct a method based on the complex network theory and the graph feature extraction method to quantitatively assess the features of the RO/RO shipping network. This method assesses the complexity, sparsity, homogeneity, modularity, and hierarchy of the RO/RO shipping network across various ports and countries and employs the graph convolutional neural network (GCN) model to extract network features for community detection. This process enables the identification of port clusters that are frequently linked to RO/RO vessels, as well as regional transport modes. The paper’s findings support these conclusions: (1) From 2020 to 2023, the number of nodes in the RO/RO shipping network increased by 22%, primarily concentrated in African countries. The RO/RO shipping network underwent restructuring after the pandemic, with major complex network parameters showing an upward trend. (2) The RO/RO shipping network is complex, with a stable graph density of 0.106 from 2020 to 2023. The average degree increased by 7% to 4.224. Modularity decreased by 6.5% from 0.431 in 2022 to 0.403, while the hierarchy coefficient rose to 0.575, suggesting that post-pandemic, community routes have become more diverse, reflecting the reconstruction and maturation of the overall network. (3) The model yielded a silhouette coefficient of 0.548 and a Davies–Bouldin index of 0.559 using an improved automatic feature extraction method. In comparison between 2020 and 2023, the changes in the two indicators are small. This shows that GINs can effectively extract network features and give us results that we can understand for community detection. (4) In 2023, key communities divide the RO/RO shipping network, with one community handling 39% of global routes (primarily Europe–Asia), another community handling 23% (serving Asia–Pacific, Africa, and the Middle East), and a third community managing 38% (linking Asia, Europe, and South America). Full article