Search Results (30)

Background/Objectives: Results from a well-designed trial provide evidence to support approval of truly effective treatments or discontinuation of ineffective treatments. However, the information available at the time of trial design may be limited which may lead to underpowered trials. This work aims to evaluate the impact of design assumption misspecifications on the statistical power of randomized trials with survival outcomes. Methods: The impact of the design assumption misspecifications on statistical power of four different statistical methods was investigated in a simulation study. The methods include the log-rank test, MaxCombo test, the test of difference in survival probability, and test of difference in restricted mean survival time (RMST). The deviations considered include the survival rate in the control arm, the expected treatment effect in terms of magnitude and pattern, accrual rate, and drop-out rate. Results: Deviations in the control arm’s survival distribution have no impact on the power of the log-rank and MaxCombo tests but it affects the trial duration since trials designed with these tests require the total number of events to be met before the final analysis can be conducted. Misspecified treatment effect has similar effect on the statistical power of all four methods. When the proportional hazards assumption is misspecified, the RMST is more robust with a larger early treatment effect, while the survival probability and the MaxCombo tests are more robust with a larger late treatment effect and crossing hazards. Conclusions: Selecting the appropriate statistical tests to design a trial depends on the goal of the trial, the mechanism of action of the experimental treatment, the survival quantity of clinical interest, and the pattern of the expected treatment effect. The final design should be based on assumptions that are as accurate as possible, and the potential impacts of deviations from these assumptions on the trial’s statistical power should be carefully considered. Full article

Objectives: Chronic Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a significant global health issue, with dialysis patients at increased risk and reduced response to HBV vaccination. The effects of HBV serological status on kidney transplant outcomes, particularly for patients with resolved or inactive HBV infection, needs more data, especially from current era. This study evaluated the impact of chronic and non-active HBV infection on patient and graft survival after kidney transplantation. Methods: Retrospective analysis was conducted of kidney-only transplant recipients at our center from 1 January 1990 to 31 August 2019 (end of observation). Patients were grouped by their HBV serostatus before transplantation into three categories: HBV negative (HBsAg−/Anti-Hbc−), non-active HBV infection (HbsAg−/Anti-Hbc+) and chronic HBV infection (HbsAg+/Anti-Hbc+). Primary outcomes included patient survival, graft survival, and overall graft and patient survival, analyzed using Kaplan–Meier (KM) curves, log-rank tests, Restricted mean survival times (RMST), and Accelerated failure time (AFT) models. Results: Among 2490 patients, 2197 were HBV negative, 218 had non-active HBV, and 75 had chronic HBV. Over a mean follow-up of 8.1 years, mortality and graft failure rates were highest in chronic HBV patients (49% and 37%), followed by non-active HBV (39% and 29%) and HBV-negative patients (30% and 20%). KM analysis revealed significantly lower overall survival rates for chronic HBV and non-active HBV groups compared to HBV-negative patients (p = 0.006). RMST confirmed significant reductions in survival for the non-active group (12.57 vs. 14.17 years, p = 0.007). Cox regression and AFT models identified older recipient/donor age, Hepatitis-C-virus coinfection, and broad antigen mismatches as negative predictors, while living donors improved outcomes. Conclusions: While unadjusted Kaplan–Meier curves and RMST analysis suggested differences in patient and graft survival, further thorough multivariable AFT analysis did not show a significant association between non-active or chronic HBV infection and patient or graft survival after kidney transplantation. Full article

Background/Objectives: Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) remains a leading cause of cancer-related mortality globally, especially in limited-resource countries (LRCs) where access to advanced treatments such as targeted therapy and immunotherapy is constrained. Platinum-based chemotherapy remains a cornerstone of first-line therapy. This study aims to identify prognostic factors influencing survival outcomes and evaluate treatment response to chemotherapy in advanced NSCLC patients in LRCs. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 200 advanced NSCLC patients treated with first-line platinum-based doublet chemotherapy at Surin Hospital Cancer Center, Thailand. Prognostic factors were assessed through univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Additionally, restricted mean survival time (RMST) was calculated to compare survival outcomes between responders and non-responders. Results: Independent prognostic factors associated with improved survival included good performance status, ECOG 0–1 (HR 0.50, p = 0.012), serum albumin ≥ 3.5 mg/dL (HR 0.60, p = 0.010), and favorable response to chemotherapy (HR 0.57, p = 0.003). Responders demonstrated significantly longer RMST at 12 months (p < 0.001), 24 months (p < 0.001), and 36 months (p = 0.004) compared to non-responders. Conclusions: Identifying prognostic factors and treatment responses is important for improving outcomes in advanced NSCLC patients, particularly in limited-resource settings where access to novel therapies is restricted. Full article

Background: The KRAS G12C mutation, prevalent in various malignancies, including non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), represents a unique therapeutic target. Adagrasib and sotorasib, two FDA-approved agents specifically targeting this mutation, have shown promise in clinical trials. This study aims to compare their efficacy in treating KRAS G12C-mutated NSCLC, drawing insights from pivotal clinical trials. Methods: We analyzed data from three key clinical trials: KRYSTAL-1, CodeBreak100, and CodeBreak200. Our methodology involved reconstructing individual patient data from published Kaplan–Meier curves using the IPDfromKM tool (Version 0.1.10). The primary endpoints were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), evaluated through hazard ratios (HRs) and the restricted mean survival time (RMST) method. Results: The HR for PFS favored adagrasib (HR: 0.90 [95% CI: 0.69, 1.19], p = 0.473), suggesting a non-significant trend toward better disease control compared to sotorasib. For OS, the HR was 0.99 [95% CI: 0.75, 1.33] (p = 0.969), indicating no significant difference between the two drugs. RMST analysis supported these findings, with adagrasib showing a consistently higher RMST in PFS at 6, 12, and 18 months. However, OS benefits converged over time, with adagrasib marginally surpassing sotorasib by the 18-month mark. Conclusions: This comprehensive analysis reveals that while adagrasib may offer a slight advantage in PFS, both drugs demonstrate comparable efficacy in OS for KRAS G12C-mutated NSCLC. The subtle differences observed, particularly in PFS, could inform clinical decision-making, emphasizing the need for personalized treatment strategies. Future research should focus on long-term effects and identifying patient subgroups that may benefit more from one drug over the other. Full article

Background: This retrospective study investigates the impact of various treatment strategies on progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC), a significant global health issue. Methods: We employed the restricted mean survival time (RMST) to evaluate how different treatments affect PFS over a defined period. The study included 225 patients with mCRC who were treated between 2015 and 2023 at the Oncology Department of Colțea Clinical Hospital in Bucharest. To assign KRAS status, mutation data from exons 2, 3, and 4 of the KRAS gene were required. Eligibility criteria included a confirmed histopathological diagnosis of colorectal adenocarcinoma, a valid RAS mutation test from a solid biopsy, radiological confirmation of stage IV disease by computed tomography, and at least one line of systemic treatment in the metastatic setting. Results: Our analysis revealed a small difference in PFS based on KRAS status, but this difference was not statistically significant. Neither sex nor the urban versus rural environment impacted PFS; however, the data indicated that educational level affected survival outcomes. Conclusions: Consistent with existing literature, our findings showed no survival benefit from locoregional treatments such as surgery of the primary tumor or curative radiotherapy at diagnosis. In contrast, resection of hepatic metastases was associated with improved survival outcomes. Full article

This study investigates novel short-lived long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) in mice with altered expression in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver (MASH) and liver fibrosis. LncRNAs share similarities with mRNAs in their transcription by RNA polymerase II, possession of a 5′ cap structure, and presence of a polyA tail. We identified two lncRNAs, Kcnq1ot1 and Rmst, significantly decreased in both conditions. These lncRNAs showed dramatic expression changes in MASH livers induced by Western diets and CCl₄, and in fibrotic livers induced by CCl₄ alone. The decrease was more pronounced in liver fibrosis, suggesting their potential as biomarkers for disease progression. Our findings are consistent across different fibrosis models, indicating a crucial role for these lncRNAs in MASH and liver fibrosis in mice. With MASH becoming a global health issue and its progression to fibrosis associated with hepatocarcinogenesis and poor prognosis, understanding the underlying mechanisms is critical. This research contributes to elucidating lncRNA functions in murine liver diseases and provides a foundation for developing novel therapeutic strategies targeting lncRNAs in MASH and liver fibrosis, offering new avenues for potential therapeutic interventions. Full article

Background: Neuroendocrine neoplasms (NENs) are increasing in incidence globally. Previous analysis of the UK cancer database (National Cancer Registration and Analysis Service (NCRAS)) showed a notable female survival advantage in most tumour sites. This study aims to compare NCRAS to the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) to validate these results using the same statistical methods. Methods: A total of 14,834 and 108,399 patients with NENs were extracted from NCRAS and SEER, respectively. Sixty-months survival for both males and females for each anatomical site of NENs were calculated using restricted mean survival time (RMST) and Kaplan–Meier Survival estimates. The sixty-month RMST female survival advantage (FSA) was calculated. Results: FSA was similar in NCRAS and SEER. The highest FSA occurred in lung and stomach NENs. Conclusions: The data from SEER confirm the findings published by NCRAS. Female survival advantage remains unexplained. Full article

Background: For biliary tract cancer (BTC), the addition of immunotherapy (durvalumab or pembrolizumab) to gemcitabine and cisplatin (GemCis) significantly improved overall survival (OS) in phase 3 clinical trials (RCTs). However, the interpretation and magnitude of the treatment effect is challenging because OS Kaplan–Meier curves violate the proportional hazards (PH) assumption. Analysis using restricted mean survival time (RMST) allows quantification of the benefits in the absence of PH. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to assess the benefit of immunotherapy-based regimens for OS at 24 months using RMST analysis. Methods: A systematic review was conducted using studies published up to 8 November 2023. Only phase 3 RCTs evaluating the use of anti-PD-1/PD-L1 combined with GemCis and reporting OS were included. KM curves for OS were digitized, and the data were reconstructed. A meta-analysis for OS by RMST at 24 months was performed. Results: A total of 1754 participants from the TOPAZ-1 and KEYNOTE-966 trials were included. In TOPAZ-1, RMSTs at 24 months were 13.52 (7.92) and 12.21 (7.22) months with GemCis plus durvalumab and GemCis alone, respectively. In KEYNOTE-966, RMSTs at 24 months were 13.60 (7.76) and 12.45 (7.73) months with GemCis plus pembrolizumab and GemCis alone, respectively. Immunotherapy-based regimens showed a mean OS difference at 24 months by an RMST of 1.21 months [(95% CI: 0.49–1.93), p < 0.001, I² = 0%]. Conclusions: Immunotherapy-based regimens improve OS in advanced BTC. Given this magnitude of benefit, it is essential to weigh up individual patient factors, preferences, and potential risks. RMST analysis provides valuable information to patients and physicians, facilitating decision-making in a value-based medical environment. Full article

Short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs), derived from fermentation of dietary fibers and resistant starch by the microbiota in the colon, exert multiple effects on colonic functions, including tumor suppressing activities. Our previous studies found that SCFAs induced autophagy in colon cancer cells via downregulating mTOR signaling, but the mechanism involved in mTOR suppression still needs to be defined. In this study, we identified rhabdomyosarcoma 2 associated transcript (RMST), a long non-coding RNA, as a key mediator for SCFAs to suppress mTOR activation in colon cancer cells. RMST could be significantly induced by SCFAs in a time- and dose-dependent manner. RMST, by itself, was sufficient to suppress mTOR signaling and augment autophagosome formation. Depletion of RMST, through siRNA or CRISPR knockdown, reduced the abilities of SCFAs to suppress mTOR activation or to induce autophagic responses. RMST increased the expression level of TSC2, a negative regulator of the mTOR signaling pathway. Our data delineate a novel RMST/TSC2 cellular pathway, enlisted by SCFAs, to modulate mTOR activities in colon cancer cells. Full article

Objectives: The effectiveness of colonoscopy to reduce colorectal cancer (CRC) mortality is extrapolated from cohort studies in the absence of randomized controlled trial (RCT) data, whereas flexible sigmoidoscopy is supported by RCT data and may be easier to implement in practice. We characterized the anatomic distribution of CRC to determine the proportion that is visible with sigmoidoscopy. Methods: Patients with a primary diagnosis of colorectal adenocarcinoma were identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program (2000–2020). Tumors from the rectum to the descending colon were categorized as visible by sigmoidoscopy, whereas more proximal tumors required colonoscopy. Differential prognosis between tumor locations, stratified by age groups and stage, was assessed using the overall restricted mean survival time (RMST) at 2, 5, and 10 years. Results: Among 309,466 patients, 58% had tumors visible by sigmoidoscopy, including 73% of those under age 50 (OR 2.10, 95% CI 2.03–2.16 age < 45, OR 2.20, 95% CI 2.13–2.27 age 45–49 versus age ≥ 50). Male sex (OR 1.54, 95% CI 1.51–1.56) and Asian or Pacific Islander race (OR 1.60, 95% CI 1.56–1.64) were also positively associated with tumors visualizable by sigmoidoscopy. Across age groups, for local disease, RMST was comparable for tumors visible versus not visible on sigmoidoscopy. For regional and metastatic cancer, patients with tumors visible by sigmoidoscopy had improved RMST versus those with more proximal tumors. Conclusions: 58% of CRC arises in locations visible by flexible sigmoidoscopy. Flexible sigmoidoscopy should be considered as a viable option for CRC screening, particularly in younger patients unwilling or unable to undergo colonoscopy. Full article

To assess the impact of first-line treatment with targeted agents (TAs) or fludarabine, cyclophosphamide, and rituximab (FCR)-based chemo-immunotherapy (CIT) on overall survival (OS) compared to age- and sex-matched individuals in the general population, we conducted an aggregated analysis of phase 3 clinical trials, including the two FLAIR sub-studies, ECOG1912, and CLL13 trials. The restricted mean survival time (RMST), an alternative measure in outcome analyses capturing OS changes over the entire history of the disease, was used to minimize biases associated with the short follow-up time of trials. Patients treated with TAs demonstrated a higher 5-year RMST (58.1 months; 95% CI: 57.4 to 58.8) compared to those treated with CIT (5-year RMST, 56.9 months; 95% CI: 56.7–58.2). Furthermore, the OS comparison of treatment groups with the AGMGP suggests that TAs may mitigate the impact of CLL on OS during the first five years post-treatment initiation. In summary, the 5-year RMST difference was −0.4 months (95% CI: −0.8 to 0.2; p = 0.10) when comparing CLL patients treated with TAs to the Italian age- and gender-matched general population (AGMGP). A similar trend was observed when CLL patients treated with TAs were compared to the US AGMGP (5-year RMST difference, 0.3 months; 95% CI: −0.1 to 0.9; p = 0.12). In contrast, CLL patients treated with FCR exhibited sustained OS differences when compared to both the Italian cohort (5-year RMST difference: −1.6 months; 95% CI: −2.4 to −0.9; p < 0.0001) and the US AGMGP cohort (5-year RMST difference: −0.9 months; 95% CI: −1.7 to −0.2; p = 0.015). Although these results support TAs as the preferred first-line treatment for younger CLL patients, it is crucial to acknowledge that variations in patient selection criteria and clinical profiles across clinical trials necessitate a cautious interpretation of these findings that should be viewed as directional and hypothesis-generating. A longer follow-up is needed to assess the survival improvement of younger CLL patients treated with TAs relative to the AGMGP. Full article

Background: Lung cancer (LC) is the first and most lethal cancer in the world; identifying new methods to treat it, such as immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), is needed. ICIs treatment is very effective, but it comes bundled with a series of immune-related adverse events (irAEs). Restricted mean survival time (RMST) is an alternative tool for assessing the patients’ survival when the proportional hazard assumption (PH) fails. Methods: We included in this analytical cross-sectional observational survey patients with metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), treated for at least 6 months with ICIs in the first- and second-line settings. Using RMST, we estimated the overall survival (OS) of patients by dividing them into two groups. A multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to determine the impact of the prognostic factors on OS. Results: Seventy-nine patients were included (68.4% men, mean age 63.8), and 34/79 (43%) presented irAEs. The OS RMST of the entire group was 30.91 months, with a survival median of 22 months. Thirty-two out of seventy-nine (40.5%) died before we ended our study. The OS RMST and death percentage favored the patients who presented irAEs (long-rank test, p = 0.036). The OS RMST of patients with irAEs was 35.7 months, with a number of deaths of 12/34 (35.29%), while the OS RMST of the patients without irAEs was 17 months, with a number of deaths of 20/45 (44.44%). The OS RMST by the line of treatment favored the first line of treatment. In this group, the presence of irAEs significantly impacted the survival of these patients (p = 0.0083). Moreover, patients that experienced low-grade irAEs had a better OS RMST. This result has to be cautiously regarded because of the small number of patients stratified according to the grades of irAEs. The prognostic factors for the survival were: the presence of irAEs, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status and the number of organs affected by metastasis. The risk of dying was 2.13 times higher for patients without irAEs than for the patients who presented irAEs, (CI) 95% of 1.03 to 4.39. Moreover, by increasing the ECOG performance status by one point, the risk of death increased by 2.28 times, with a CI 95% of 1.46 to 3.58, while the involvement of more metastatic organs was associated with a 1.60 times increase in the death risk, with a CI 95% of 1.09 to 2.36. Age and the type of tumor were not predictive for this analysis. Conclusions: The RMST is a new tool that helps researchers to better address the survival in studies with ICIs treatment where the PH fails, and the long-rank test is less efficient due to the existence of the long-term responses and delayed treatment effects. Patients with irAEs have a better prognosis than those without irAEs in the first-line settings. The ECOG performance status and the number of organs affected by metastasis must be considered when selecting patients for ICIs treatment. Full article

Bladder cancer (BC) is the tenth most common cancer, with urothelial carcinoma representing about 90% of all BC, including neoplasms and carcinomas of different grades of malignancy. Urinary cytology has a significant role in BC screening and surveillance, although it has a low detection rate and high dependence on the pathologist’s experience. The currently available biomarkers are not implemented into routine clinical practice due to high costs or low sensitivity. In recent years, the role of lncRNAs in BC has emerged, even though it is still poorly explored. We have previously shown that the lncRNAs Metallophosphoesterase Domain-Containing 2 Antisense RNA 1 (MPPED2-AS1), Rhabdomyosarcoma-2 Associated Transcript (RMST), Kelch-like protein 14 antisense (Klhl14AS) and Prader Willi/Angelman region RNA 5 (PAR5) are involved in the progression of different types of cancers. Here, we investigated the expression of these molecules in BC, first by interrogating the GEPIA database and observing a different distribution of expression levels between normal and cancer specimens. We then measured them in a cohort of neoplastic bladder lesions, either benign or malignant, from patients with suspicion of BC undergoing transurethral resection of bladder tumor (TURBT). The total RNA from biopsies was analyzed using qRT-PCR for the expression of the four lncRNA genes, showing differential expression of the investigated lncRNAs between normal tissue, benign lesions and cancers. In conclusion, the data reported here highlight the involvement of novel lncRNAs in BC development, whose altered expression could potentially affect the regulatory circuits in which these molecules are involved. Our study paves the way for testing lncRNA genes as markers for BC diagnosis and/or follow-up. Full article

Purpose: Although the prognosis after radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may vary according to different risk levels, there is no standardized follow-up protocol according to each patient’s risk. This study aimed to stratify patients according to their risk of recurrence-free survival (RFS) and early (≤2 years) tumor recurrence (ETR) after RFA for HCC based on predictive models and nomograms and to compare the survival times of the risk groups derived from the models. Methods: Patients who underwent RFA for a single HCC (≤3 cm) between January 2012 and March 2014 (n = 152) were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were classified into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups based on the total nomogram points for RFS and ETR, respectively, and compared for each outcome. Restricted mean survival times (RMSTs) in the three risk groups were evaluated for both RFS and ETR to quantitatively evaluate the difference in survival times. Results: Predictive models for RFS and ETR were constructed with c-indices of 0.704 and 0.730, respectively. The high- and intermediate-risk groups for RFS had an 8.5-fold and 2.9-fold higher risk of events than the low-risk group (both p < 0.001), respectively. The high- and intermediate-risk groups for ETR had a 17.7-fold and 7.0-fold higher risk than the low-risk group (both p < 0.001), respectively. The RMST in the high-risk group was significantly lower than that in the other two groups 9 months after RFA, and that in the intermediate-risk group became lower than that in the low-risk group after 21 months with RFS and 24 months with ETR. Conclusion: Our predictive models were able to stratify patients into three groups according to their risk of RFS and ETR after RFA for HCC. Differences in RMSTs may be used to establish different follow-up protocols for the three risk groups. Full article

Temozolomide (TEM) as a single agent or in combination with capecitabine (CAPTEM) is active in well-differentiated advanced neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) of gastro-entero-pancreatic and thoracic origin. The predictive role of MGMT-promoter methylation in this setting is controversial. We sought to prospectively evaluate the MGMT-promoter methylation status ability to predict outcomes to TEM-based chemotherapy in patients with NET. A single-center, prospective, observational study has been conducted at the ENETS Center-of-Excellence Outpatient Clinic of the IRCCS Policlinico Sant’Orsola-Malpighi in Bologna, Italy. Patients with advanced, gastro-entero-pancreatic or lung well-differentiated NETs candidate to TEM-based chemotherapy and with available tumor samples for MGMT-promoter methylation assessment were included. The MGMT-promoter methylation status was analyzed by using pyrosequencing. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS) by the MGMT-promoter methylation status. Secondary endpoints included overall survival (OS), objective response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR), and safety. Survival outcomes were compared by restricted mean survival time (RMST) difference. Of 26 screened patients, 22 were finally enrolled in the study. The most frequent NET primary sites were the pancreas (64%) and the lung (23%). MGMT promoter was methylated in five tumors (23%). At a median follow-up time of 47.2 months (95%CI 29.3–89.7), the median PFS was 32.8 months (95%CI 17.2–NA), while the median OS was not reached. Patients in the methylated MGMT group, when compared to those in the unmethylated MGMT group, had longer PFS (median not reached [95%CI NA–NA] vs. 30.2 months [95%CI 15.2–NA], respectively; RMST p = 0.005) and OS (median not reached [95%CI NA–NA] vs. not reached [40.1–NA], respectively; RMST p = 0.019). After adjusting for confounding factors, the MGMT-promoter methylation status was independently associated to the PFS. Numerically higher ORR (60% vs. 24%; p = 0.274) and DCR (100% vs. 88%; p = 1.00) were observed in the methylated vs. unmethylated MGMT group. TEM-based chemotherapy was well-tolerated (adverse events grade ≥3 < 10%). In this prospective study, MGMT-promoter methylation predicted better outcomes to TEM-based chemotherapy in patients with NET. Full article