Search Results (65)

Runway systems serve as the critical interface between airports and terminal airspace, and their efficient operation is essential for balancing air traffic demand and airport capacity. With the continuous growth of air traffic, intelligent runway demand and capacity management has become increasingly important for mitigating congestion and delays. This paper presents a comprehensive review of runway capacity–demand management from both supply-side and demand-side perspectives. On the supply side, runway configuration selection is reviewed, including runway configuration capacity envelopes, influencing factors, and existing optimization methodologies, such as prescriptive models, descriptive models, and reinforcement learning approaches. On the demand side, flight runway sequencing for arrivals, departures, and integrated arrival–departure operations is systematically analyzed. Problem analogies, operational characteristics, optimization objectives, and solution algorithms are discussed in detail. A critical comparison of existing methodologies is conducted from the perspectives of solution quality, real-time capability, human interpretability, technology readiness, trust requirements, and human–AI collaboration. Finally, future research directions are identified, including integrated runway management, multi-airport coordination, uncertainty-aware optimization, human–AI decision support, AI-enabled runway management, and integrated manned–unmanned operations. The review provides a reference for researchers, airport operators, air navigation service providers, and decision-support system developers seeking to improve runway operational efficiency and safety. Full article

Airports face persistent capacity constraints and increasing delays. This study introduces a behavioural framework for demand management that integrates airport and airline preferences with principles from Prospect Theory. By incorporating concepts from behavioural economics—such as loss aversion, reference dependence, and non-linear probability weighting—into choice architectures, we explore how adaptive decision environments can influence airline scheduling and demand distribution. A practical example illustrates the applicability of the proposed methodology. Results suggest that behavioural interventions can sustain economically viable schedules while maximising total prospect value. This approach provides policymakers and operators with innovative tools to address complex capacity challenges in air transport systems. Full article

This study proposes a scalable, AI-driven, and Geographic Information System (GIS)-integrated framework for intelligent route-level classification in large-scale airport transportation networks to support airport operations, logistics planning, and network-level decision-making. The framework addresses the need for practical artificial intelligence applications that combine spatial network analysis with supervised machine learning to improve route assessment and resource allocation in complex air transport systems. A structured dataset was developed using operational and traffic-related attributes, including route distance, aircraft capacity, weekly frequency, annual passenger volume, demand variability, and route performance indicators, with additional normalized features to improve data representation. A Gradient Boosting ensemble classifier was trained to categorize routes into high-, medium-, and low-priority classes. The model achieved strong predictive performance, with a testing area under the ROC curve of 0.961, accuracy of 0.922, F1-score of 0.915, precision of 0.918, and a recall of 0.922. Feature importance analysis identified demand variability and route-density indicators as the main drivers of classification, enhancing interpretability and practical trust. The proposed framework demonstrates the real-world potential of AI for scalable, explainable, and efficient decision support in airport logistics and transportation network management. Full article

Accurate prediction of network-wide delay is crucial for air traffic management and passenger service. However, the inherent complexity of large-scale air traffic networks, with their dense interconnectivity and multi-dimensional operational dynamics such as flight connectivity, makes this task highly challenging. While Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) offer a promising framework, prevailing models are constrained by a “node → edge → node” representation paradigm, which fails to preserve the high-fidelity, edge-centric operational data that encodes delay propagation paths. To overcome this limitation, we propose a novel edge-based GNN. Our approach begins with a flight-connectivity-informed delay characterization, introducing delay width and delay strength as core metrics. The model implements an “edge → node” message-passing mechanism that explicitly encodes inbound and outbound flights, enabling direct learning of delay diffusion dynamics along air routes. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that our method outperforms state-of-the-art benchmarks, achieving the lowest RMSE, MAE, and MSE. A layered performance analysis reveals a key strength: the model delivers superior accuracy at major hub airports—which are critical to network performance—while maintaining robust precision at small-to-medium-sized airports. This balanced capability underscores the model’s practical utility and its enhanced capacity to capture the essential spatial–temporal dependencies governing delay propagation across diverse airport tiers. Full article

The severity of natural disasters is increasing every year, having an impact on many people’s lives. During the response phase of disasters, airports are important hubs where relief aid arrives while people need to be evacuated to safety. However, the airport often forms a bottleneck in these relief operations because of the sudden need for increased capacity. Limited research is carried out on the operational side of airport disaster management. Experts identify the main problems as first the asymmetry of information between the airport and the incoming flights, and second the lack of resources. The goal of this research is to gain understanding of the effects of incomplete knowledge of incoming flights with different resource allocation strategies on the performance of the cargo handling operations in an airport after a natural disaster event. An agent-based model is created, where realistic offloading strategies with different degrees of information uncertainty are implemented. Model calibration and verification are performed with experts in the field. The model performance is measured by the average turnaround time, which can be split into offloading time, boarding time and the cumulative waiting times. The results show that the effects of one unplanned aircraft are negligible. However, the waiting times and other inefficiencies rapidly increase with the more unplanned aircraft arriving. Full article

Dynamic evaluation of airport terminal capacity is critical for efficient operations, yet it remains challenging due to the complex interplay of spatial and temporal factors. Existing approaches often handle spatial connectivity and temporal fluctuations separately, limiting their predictive power under rapidly changing conditions. Here the ST-GTNet (Spatio-Temporal Graph Transformer Network) is presented, a novel deep learning model that integrates Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) with a Transformer architecture to simultaneously capture spatial interdependencies among airport gates and temporal patterns in operational data. To ensure interpretability and efficiency, a feature selection mechanism guided by XGBoost and SHAP (Shapley Additive Explanations) is incorporated to identify the most influential features. This unified spatio-temporal framework overcomes the limitations of conventional methods by learning spatial and temporal dynamics jointly, thereby enhancing the accuracy of dynamic capacity predictions. In a case study at a large international airport with a U-shaped corridor terminal, the ST-GTNet delivered robust and reliable capacity forecasts, validating its effectiveness in a complex real-world scenario. These findings highlight the potential of the ST-GTNet as a powerful tool for dynamic airport capacity evaluation and management. Full article

Airport congestion in metropolitan clusters (Metroplex systems) poses significant challenges, particularly when capacity reductions occur due to adverse weather conditions. This study introduces a two-stage robust optimization model aimed at improving the robustness of flight slot allocation in multi-airport systems under such uncertainties. In the first stage, the model minimizes deviations from requested slots while respecting airport and waypoint capacities, turnaround times, and adjustment limits. The second stage dynamically adjusts slot allocations to minimize worst-case displacement costs under potential capacity constraints, ensuring robustness against disruptions. The model is validated using real data from the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Metroplex, which includes 468 peak-hour flights. The results demonstrate the model’s effectiveness in eliminating demand–capacity violations, particularly at critical airports such as Beijing Daxing, where initial peak demand exceeded capacity by 36.2%. Post-optimization, the model ensures dynamic capacity adherence and adaptive resource allocation, with varying adjustment intensities across airports (12.7% at Beijing Capital, 28.4% at Daxing, and 39.0% at Tianjin Binhai). Compared to a single-stage robust optimization approach, the two-stage model reduces worst-case displacement by 28.2%, highlighting its superior adaptability. This computationally efficient framework, solved via Gurobi 12.0.2/Python 3.11.9, enhances operational robustness through integrated waypoint modeling and a two-stage decision architecture. Full article

The transition to fully electric bus (EB) fleets introduces new challenges in coordinating daily operations and managing charging energy needs, while accounting for infrastructure constraints. The paper proposes a three-stage optimization framework that integrates EB scheduling with overnight charging under realistic depot layout constraints. In the first stage, a mixed-integer linear program (MILP) determines the minimum number of EBs with ample batteries and related schedules to complete all timetabled trips. With the fleet size fixed, the second stage minimizes the EB battery capacity by optimizing trip assignments. In the third stage, charging schedules are iteratively optimized for different numbers of chargers to minimize charger power capacity and charging cost, while ensuring each EB is fully recharged before its first trip on the following day. The matrix-shape depot layout imposes spatial and operational constraints that restrict the charging and movement of EBs based on their parking positions, with EBs remaining stationary overnight. The entire process is repeated by incrementing the fleet size until a saturation point is reached, beyond which no further reduction in battery capacity is observed. This results in a Pareto frontier showing trade-offs between required battery capacity, number of chargers, charger power capacity, and charging cost. The proposed method is applied to a real-world airport parking shuttle service, demonstrating its potential to reduce the battery size and charging infrastructure demands while maintaining full operational feasibility. Full article

Accurate short-term precipitation forecasting (nowcasting) based on weather radar data is essential for managing weather-related risks, particularly in applications such as airport operations, urban flood prevention, and public safety during outdoor events. This study proposes a computationally efficient nowcasting method based on a Lagrangian advection scheme, estimating both the translation and rotation of radar-observed precipitation fields without relying on machine learning or resource-intensive computation. The method was tested on a two-year dataset (2022–2023) over Tuscany, using data collected from the Italian Civil Protection Department’s radar network. Forecast performance was evaluated using the Critical Success Index (CSI) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) across varying spatial domains (1° × 1° to 2° × 2°) and precipitation regimes. The results show that, for high-intensity events (average rate > 1 mm/h), the method achieved CSI scores exceeding 0.5 for lead times up to 2 h. In the case of low-intensity rainfall (average rate < 0.3 mm/h), its forecasting skill dropped after 20–30 min. Forecast accuracy was shown to be highly sensitive to the temporal stability of precipitation intensity. The method performed well under quasi-stationary stratiform conditions, whereas its skill declined during rapidly evolving convective events. The method has low computational requirements, with forecasts generated in under one minute on standard hardware, and it is well suited for real-time application in regional meteorological centres. Overall, the findings highlight the method’s effective balance between simplicity and performance, making it a practical and scalable option for operational nowcasting in settings with limited computational capacity. Its deployment is currently being planned at the LaMMA Consortium, the official meteorological service of Tuscany. Full article

Accurate short-term passenger forecasts help regional airports align capacity with demand and plan investments effectively. Drawing on quarterly traffic data for 2010–2024 supplied by the Polish Civil Aviation Authority, this study employs Holt–Winters exponential smoothing to predict passenger volumes at Szczecin–Goleniów Airport for 2025. Additive and multiplicative formulations were parameterized with Excel Solver, using the mean absolute percentage error to identify the better-fitting model. The additive version captured both the steady post-pandemic recovery and pronounced seasonal peaks, indicating that passenger throughput is likely to rise modestly year on year, with the highest loads expected in the summer quarter and the lowest in early spring. These findings suggest the airport should anticipate continued growth and consider adjustments to terminal capacity, apron allocation, and staffing schedules to maintain service quality. Because the Holt–Winters method extrapolates historical patterns and does not incorporate external shocks—such as economic downturns, policy changes, or public health crises—its projections are most reliable over the short horizon examined and should be complemented by scenario-based analyses in future work. This study contributes to sustainable airport management by providing a reproducible, data-driven forecasting framework that can optimize resource allocation with minimal environmental impact. Full article

The optimisation of airport infrastructure capacities lacks adequate tools that would enable airport owners and managers to make strategic decisions related to sustainable development and strengthening multimodal connectivity. Assessing the sustainability of the transport system is one of the important issues in creating transport policies worldwide. In this research, the methodology of multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) was used, which can be applied to decision making and the evaluation of transport projects, considering more than one criterion in the selection process. The Stepwise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (SWARA) method is one of the new MCDM methods. The SWARA method will assess the weights of the selected main criteria and sub-criteria for the multimodal connection of airports to the railway transport infrastructure. In this method, the expert plays an important role in the evaluation and calculation of the criteria weights. This research also aims to respond to the need to define a framework for objective and transparent decision-making based on the assessment of the weighting factors of the selected main criteria and sub-criteria. To assess the justification for the choice of railway transport for connecting airports, financial, traffic, environmental, and availability criteria were used. Full article

Congested airspace conflict resolution during terminal operations is a common air traffic management issue that may produce cascading delays. Vehicles needing emergency clearance to land, at either traditional airports or vertiports, would require others on approach to move out of the way and, in some instances, cause a wave of delay to propagate through all vehicles on approach. Specifically, uncrewed aerial systems utilizing near-maximum arrival rates would be greatly impacted when requested to move off their approach path and may interfere with others. Vertiports further complicate crowded approaches because vehicles can arrive from many different angles at the same time to maximize landing area usage. Traditional air traffic management techniques were studied for vertiport applications specific to high-capacity operations. This work investigated methods of uniformly re-directing vehicles on approach to a vertiport that would be impacted by an emergency vehicle to minimize or avoid cascading delays. A route of time-optimal Bézier curves as well as Dubins paths optimized for interception heading was generated and flown on as an alternate maneuver when an unaccounted-for emergency vehicle initiated a bypass of an air traffic fleet. A comparison to flight on a holding pattern showed that the Bézier and Dubins route improved delay times and mitigated a cascading delay effect. Full article

The rapid expansion of China’s civil aviation sector, particularly within the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei airport cluster, has led to significant airspace congestion and operational inefficiencies. This study develops a dynamic flight slot allocation model that integrates both airport and airspace capacity constraints, accounting for real-time fluctuations in resource availability. The model aims to optimize slot distribution, minimize delays, and enhance operational efficiency by adapting to variations in airport and waypoint capacities, offering a more flexible solution compared with traditional static approaches. A case study based on real-world data from the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region demonstrates the model’s effectiveness. Computational experiments show that incorporating capacity fluctuations significantly reduces the need for slot adjustments, particularly at secondary airports with volatile demand. The results indicate a marked improvement in operational efficiency, including reduced adjustment times and fewer affected flights. This research underscores the value of adaptive data-driven strategies in managing complex air traffic systems and provides valuable insights for policymakers and aviation authorities. Future research could extend this work by incorporating additional dynamic factors, such as weather conditions and emerging technologies, to further enhance the sustainability and efficiency of air traffic management. Full article

Air pollutant concentration prediction is essential not only for effective air quality management but also for planning aircraft and ground vehicle route networks in terminal areas. In this work, an artificial neural network (ANN) is used to predict the concentration levels of four types of air pollutants (CO, NO₂, PM_2.5, and PM₁₀) at Suvarnabhumi International Airport. By leveraging Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast (ADS-B) historical data, aircraft trajectory pattern clustering is implemented by using K-means and Gaussian mixture model (GMM) clustering algorithms. Then, those trajectory patterns are inputted together with other flight data into ANN computation processes, resulting in an effective air pollutant prediction model for each kind of focus pollutant. The results demonstrate that the mean square errors (MSEs) of the predicted models for CO and PM_2.5 have acceptable values of 51.7622 and 53.9682, respectively, while the predicted model for NO₂ and PM₁₀ has MSEs of 139.6674 and 124.2517, respectively. This study contributes to the advancement of air pollutant prediction methodologies, facilitating better decision-making processes, proactive air quality management, and route network planning at airports. Although some prediction models for focused air pollutants have slightly high MSEs, further study is needed to enhance the prediction model capacity. Full article

The complexity and resource-sharing nature of traffic within multi-airport regions present significant challenges for air traffic management. This paper aims to develop a mesoscopic traffic model for exploring the traffic dynamics under coupled operations, and thus to conduct capacity decoupling analysis. We propose an integrated surface–airspace model. In the surface model, we utilize linear regression and random forest regression to model unimpeded taxiing time and taxiway network delays due to sparsity of ground traffic. In the airspace model, a dualized queuing network topology is constructed including a runway system, where the $G(t)/GI/s(t)$ fluid queuing model is applied, and an inter-node traffic flow transmission mechanism is introduced to simulate airspace network traffic. Based on the hybrid and efficient model, we employ a Monte Carlo approach and use a quantile regression envelope model for capacity decoupling analysis. Using the Shanghai multi-airport region as a case study, the model’s performance is validated from the perspectives of operation time and traffic throughput. The results show that our model accurately represents traffic dynamics and estimates delays within an acceptable margin of error. The capacity decoupling analysis effectively captures the interdependence in traffic flow caused by resource sharing, both within a single airport and between airports. Full article