Search Results (364)

The coal mining sector in Indonesia faces a high level of risk of disasters; however, to date, there is no specific evaluation framework to measure Emergency Management Capability. This research aims to develop a conceptual model of EMC that applies to the context of the coal mining industry. Using an exploratory qualitative approach, this study employed regulatory analysis and in-depth interviews, which were then thematically analyzed using the NVivo application. The results identified four challenges to EMC implementation, namely the absence of a minimum index standard for assessment, policy and implementation gaps, illegal mining activities, and risk dynamics. In response to these challenges, three strategic approaches were proposed: utilizing the InaRISK platform, adapting the IKD model, and developing standardized EMC instruments. Furthermore, this research formulates seven main components in the mining sector EMC framework, namely (1) risk and threat identification, (2) physical capacity, (3) human resource capacity, (4) prevention, (5) emergency response capability, (6) evaluation and improvement, and (7) recovery and restoration. This framework is expected to serve as a reference for evaluating the preparedness of mining organizations in a systematic, adaptive, and integrated manner within the national safety management system. Full article

This study investigates the involvement of the Hellenic Police in the management of natural disasters. The legislation governing police participation in disaster management in Greece is based on the general framework of civil protection policy, outlining the responsibilities assigned to various agencies for handling emergency situations. The role of the Hellenic Police is particularly significant and proactive in both the prevention and management of natural disasters, with specific responsibilities and duties. Key areas of Hellenic Police involvement in disaster management include the following: 1. prevention and public awareness; 2. risk identification and management; 3. evacuation of areas, organized removal and relocation of citizens and traffic management; 4. cooperation and coordination with other authorities and services; 5. support for rescue teams; and 6. security and order in affected areas. Full article

Urban flood damage is increasing globally, particularly in major cities. Factors contributing to flood risk include urban environmental changes, such as watershed development and precipitation variations caused by climate change. Rapid urbanization and weather anomalies further complicate flood management and damage mitigation. Additionally, detailed analyses at small spatial units (e.g., roads, buildings) remain insufficient. Hence, urban flood analysis considering such spatial variations is required. This study analyzed flood risk in Ulsan, Korea, under a severe flood scenario. Land cover changes from the 1980s to 2010s were examined in 10-year intervals, along with the frequency of heavy rainfall and high river water levels that trigger severe floods. Flood risk was structured as a matrix of likelihood and impact. The results revealed that land cover changes, influenced by development policies or regulations, had a minimal impact on urban flood risk, which is likely because effective drainage systems and stringent urban planning regulations mitigated their effects. However, the frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events had a substantial effect. These findings were validated using a comparative analysis of an inundation damage trace map and flood range simulated by a physical model. The 10 m grid resolution and time-series likelihood-and-impact framework used in this study can inform budget allocation, resource mobilization, disaster prevention planning, and decision-making during disaster response efforts in major cities. Full article

The incidence of infectious diseases in children may be affected by climate change-related disaster risks that increase as extreme weather events become more frequent. Therefore, this research aims to diagnose the impact of such disaster risks on the disease incidence, focusing on diarrhoea, dengue haemorrhagic fever (DHF), and acute respiratory infection (ARI), commonly experienced by children. To accomplish this task, we construct integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) models for the number of disease cases among children in several age groups, with an overdispersed distributional assumption to account for its variability that exceeds its central tendency. Additionally, we include the numbers of floods, landslides, and extreme weather events at previous times as explanatory variables. In particular, we consider a case study in Indonesia, a tropical country highly vulnerable to the aforementioned climate change-related diseases and disasters. Using monthly data from January 2010 to December 2024, we find that the incidence of diarrhoea in children is positively impacted by landslides (but negatively affected by floods and extreme weather events). Landslides, frequently caused by excessive rainfall, also increase DHF incidence. Furthermore, the increased incidence of ARI is driven by extreme weather conditions, which are more apparent during and after COVID-19. These findings offer insights into how climate scenarios may increase children’s future health risks. This helps shape health strategies and policy responses, highlighting the urgent need for preventive measures to protect future generations. Full article

The emergency industry refers to a comprehensive industrial system of products, technologies, and services aimed at preventing, responding to, and mitigating emergencies. The emergency industry is primarily oriented toward disaster prevention and mitigation, providing direct support to enhance societal resilience. Given the frequent occurrence of natural disasters and the strategic layout of global emergency technologies, it is of great practical significance to study how the science and technology systems of disaster-prone countries respond. Based on the theories of disaster economics and innovation geography, this paper constructs a mediation effect model to investigate how China improves the key technological capabilities of its emergency industry through three response pathways—demand stimulation, technological advancement, and educational enhancement—following natural disasters. The stepwise testing approach, which integrates the mediation effect model with the spatial Durbin model, consists of three stages. The first stage tests the total effect model to assess how disasters impact local key technologies and their spatial spillover on adjacent regions. The second stage examines the direct influence of disasters on the three pathways and their spatial spillover using the mediator equation. The third stage uses the outcome equation with the mediator to evaluate how the pathways affect local key technologies and neighboring regions after controlling for disaster impacts. We offer both theoretical insights and empirical evidence to support specialized research on technological diffusion induced by disasters. The result shows that although the direct negative impact of disasters is inevitable, the institutional advantages of China’s emergency rescue and innovative collaborative efforts have played a significant role in promoting key technologies. Under the new national system, China is progressively establishing a spatial framework wherein emergency products are allocated across regions, key technologies are synergistically integrated, and the development of emergency-related disciplines is promoted through regional collaboration in response to the frequent occurrence of natural disasters. This demonstrates that the advancement of key technologies in China’s emergency industry is significantly supported by inter-regional cooperation and linkage mechanisms. Full article

Underground mining operations face increasing challenges due to their complex and hazardous environments. One key difficulty is ensuring real-time safety monitoring and disaster prevention. Traditional monitoring systems often suffer from delayed data acquisition and rely heavily on cloud-based processing. These factors limit their responsiveness during emergencies. To address these limitations, this study presents an underground Internet of Things (IoT) monitoring system based on edge computing. The system architecture is composed of three layers: a perception layer for real-time sensing, an edge gateway layer for local data processing and decision-making, and a cloud service layer for storage and analytics. By shifting computation closer to the data source, the system significantly reduces latency and enhances response efficiency. The system is tailored to actual mine-site conditions. It integrates pressure monitoring for artificial expandable pillars and roof subsidence detection in stopes. It has been successfully deployed in a field environment, and the data collected during commissioning demonstrate the system’s feasibility and reliability. Results indicate that the proposed system meets real-world demands for underground safety monitoring. It enables timely warnings and improves the overall automation level. This approach offers a practical and scalable solution for enhancing mine safety and provides a valuable reference for future smart mining systems. Full article

Meteorological disasters are significant factors that impact agricultural production. Given the vast volume of online agrometeorological disaster information, accurately and automatically extracting essential details—such as the time, location, and extent of damage—is crucial for understanding disaster mechanisms and evolution, as well as for enhancing disaster prevention capabilities. This paper constructs a comprehensive dataset of agrometeorological disasters in China, providing a robust data foundation and strong support for event extraction tasks. Additionally, we propose a novel model named character and word embedding fusion-based GCN network (CWEF-GCN). This integration of character- and word-level information enhances the model’s ability to better understand and represent text, effectively addressing the challenges of multi-events and argument overlaps in the event extraction process. The experimental results on the agrometeorological disaster dataset indicate that the F1 score of the proposed model is 81.66% for trigger classification and 63.31% for argument classification. Following the extraction of batch agricultural meteorological disaster events, this study analyzes the triggering mechanisms, damage patterns, and disaster response strategies across various disaster types using the extracted event. The findings offer actionable decision-making support for research on agricultural disaster prevention and mitigation. Full article

Understanding Farmer households’ subjective flood risk cognition is important for effectively mitigating the impacts of flood, and adequate disaster preparedness reduces the impact of floods on the sustainability of farmers’ livelihoods. The existing literature focuses on objective flood risk assessment and subjective–objective risk consistency and less systematically explores the correlation between Farmer households’ subjective flood risk cognition and disaster preparedness. Therefore, this study aims to explores the correlation between Farmer households’ subjective flood risk cognition and disaster preparedness. This study employed a random sampling method to conduct a survey among 540 households in Gaoxian County, Jiajiang County, and Yuechi County, which are flood-prone areas in Southwest China. Based on the survey results, this research framework can be used to evaluate systems of subjective flood risk cognition and farmers’ disaster preparedness. We chose the Tobit Regression Model to empirically explore the correlation between subjective flood risk cognition and farmers’ disaster preparedness. The results showed that among the 540 surveyed farmers, their overall subjective flood risk cognition was at a medium-high level (3.58), with self-efficacy more than response efficacy, more than threat, and more than probability. Further, the overall disaster preparedness of farmers was at a medium level (0.5), with physical disaster preparedness more than emergency disaster preparedness and more than knowledge and skills preparedness. The regression analysis showed that the probability of flooding and the threat in Farmer households’ subjective flood risk cognition were positively related to disaster preparedness, whereas self-efficacy, response efficacy, and overall risk cognition in Farmer households’ subjective flood risk cognition were negatively related to disaster preparedness. This study is representative of or may serve as a reference for building governance systems and disaster prevention in other flood risk areas in Southwest China. Full article

Frequent grassland fires have severely affected regional ecosystems as well as the production and living conditions of local residents. Grassland fire prevention capabilities constitute an integral part of the disaster prevention and mitigation system and play an important role in improving grassroots governance. To gain a deeper understanding of the practical foundation and influencing mechanisms of grassland fire prevention capabilities, establish an evaluation index system for prevention capabilities covering the four dimensions of disaster prevention, disaster resistance, disaster relief, and recovery. Combining micro-level survey data, a quantile regression model is used to analyze the influencing factors. The research findings indicate that (1) disaster resistance (0.49) plays a prominent role in grassland fire prevention capabilities, with economic foundations and individual disaster relief capabilities being particularly critical for overall improvement. Although residents have strong fire prevention awareness, their organizational collaboration capabilities are relatively weak, and there are significant differences in prevention capabilities across regions, necessitating tailored, precise enhancements. (2) There are significant differences in prevention capabilities among residents of different agricultural and pastoral production types, with semi-agricultural and semi-pastoral areas having the strongest comprehensive capabilities and pastoral areas relatively weaker. (3) A significant analysis of factors influencing grassland fire prevention capabilities: effective and diverse risk communication is a prerequisite for enhancing residents’ prevention capabilities; the level of panic regarding grassland fires and road infrastructure are important influencing factors, but residents’ understanding of climate change and grassroots organizations’ capacity for mechanism construction have insignificant impacts. Therefore, in future grassland fire disaster prevention and mitigation efforts, it is essential to strengthen risk communication, improve infrastructure, monitor environmental changes and the spatiotemporal patterns of grassland fires, enhance residents’ understanding of climate change, reinforce the emergency response capabilities of grassroots organizations, and stimulate public participation awareness to collectively build a multi-tiered grassland fire prevention system. Full article

The evolution of mining-induced overburden fractures (MIOFs) and their dynamic monitoring are critical for preventing roof water hazards and gas disasters in coal mines. Conventional methods often fail to provide sufficient accuracy under the thin soft–hard interbedded roof strata, necessitating advanced alternatives. Here, we address this challenge by proposing a borehole resistivity method (BRM) based on Back-Propagation Neural Network full-space inversion (BPNN-FSI). Based on the Carboniferous Taiyuan Formation in the North China Coalfield, geoelectric models of MIOFs were established for different mining stages. Finite element simulations generated apparent resistivity responses to train and validate the BPNN-FSI model. At the 9-204 working face of Dianping Coal Mine (Shanxi Province), we compared the proposed BRM based on BPNN-FSI with an empirical formula, numerical simulation, similarity physical simulation, and underground inclined drilling water-loss observations (UIDWLOs). Results demonstrate that the BRM based on BPNN-FSI achieves sub-1% error in height of MIOF (HMIOF) monitoring, with a maximum detected fracture height of 52 m—significantly outperforming conventional methods. This study validates the accuracy and robustness of BRM based on BPNN-FSI for MIOF monitoring in thin soft–hard interbedded roof strata, offering a reliable tool for roof hazard prevention and sustainable mining practices. Full article

The acquisition of high-precision spatiotemporal precipitation data with long-term continuity plays an irreplaceable role in supporting agricultural modeling, hydrological forecasting, disaster prevention, and climate research. This study evaluates and corrects daily precipitation from satellite products (GPM, PERSIANN-CDR, CMORPH, GSMaP), merged datasets (GPCP, MSWEP, CHIRPS), and reanalysis products (ERA5, GLDAS) over the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain from 2000 to 2020. The study proposes a two-stage “error correction and residual correction” optimization framework. The error correction stage integrates machine learning with statistical methods (RF-DQDM), while the residual correction stage uses ground observations to dynamically adjust systematic biases. Results show that all corrected products outperform their original versions in spatial patterns and statistical metrics. Original precipitation data exhibit significant systematic errors modulated by topography, with eastern lowlands showing smaller errors. After correction, correlation coefficients rise above 0.8, and RMSE reductions average 60%. And product responses diverge significantly. CHIRPS improves from weakest to top performer, while model limitations constrain GLDAS enhancements. This framework establishes a transferable monsoon region optimization paradigm. This study provides a transferable bias correction framework for monsoon regions and builds a homogenized high-precision precipitation benchmark. It also recommends using CHIRPS or ERA5 for extreme rainfall analysis and MSWEP or GPCP for hydrological applications. Full article

As global climate disasters become frequent, colleges and universities in disaster-prone areas are facing problems in disaster response and post-disaster recovery. Based on the theory of urban resilience, we case-studied nine universities in Conghua District, Guangzhou City, China, using the Delphi method and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). We constructed a multi-criteria evaluation model for campus disaster prevention resilience under extreme climate conditions. By identifying 4 facets and 16 criteria, 9 colleges were ranked. The distance of the college from the city center, the terrain and natural environment of the college, the level of the college, and the ownership of the college affected their ranking The results of this study help campus managers and planners integrate campus resilience plans into campus planning, institutional regulations, campus site selection, and campus construction in the future. Full article

Earthquakes, as one of the most destructive natural disasters, often cause significant casualties and severe economic losses. Accurate prediction of earthquake fatalities is of great importance for pre-disaster prevention and mitigation planning, as well as post-disaster emergency response deployment. To address the challenges of small sample sizes, high dimensionality, and strong nonlinearity in earthquake fatality prediction, this paper proposes an integrated modeling approach (PCA-IWOA-XGBoost) combining Principal Component Analysis (PCA), the Improved Whale Optimization Algorithm (IWOA), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). The method first employs PCA to reduce the dimensionality of the influencing factor data, eliminating redundant information and improving modeling efficiency. Subsequently, the IWOA is used to intelligently optimize key hyperparameters of the XGBoost model, enhancing the prediction accuracy and stability. Using 42 major earthquake events in China from 1970 to 2025 as a case study, covering regions including the west (e.g., Tonghai in Yunnan, Wenchuan, Jiuzhaigou), central (e.g., Lushan in Sichuan, Ya’an), east (e.g., Tangshan, Yingkou), north (e.g., Baotou in Inner Mongolia, Helinger), northwest (e.g., Jiashi in Xinjiang, Wushi, Yongdeng in Gansu), and southwest (e.g., Lancang in Yunnan, Lijiang, Ludian), the empirical results showed that the PCA-IWOA-XGBoost model achieved an average test set accuracy of 97.0%, a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.996, a root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) reduced to 4.410 and 3.430, respectively, and a residual prediction deviation (RPD) of 21.090. These results significantly outperformed the baseline XGBoost, PCA-XGBoost, and IWOA-XGBoost models, providing improved technical support for earthquake disaster risk assessment and emergency response. Full article

Effective earthquake early warning (EEW) is essential for disaster prevention in the built environment, enabling a rapid structural response, system shutdown, and occupant evacuation to mitigate damage and casualties. However, most current EEW systems lack rigorous reliability analyses of their predictive outcomes, limiting their effectiveness in real-world scenarios—especially for on-site warnings, where data are limited and time is critical. To address these challenges, we propose a Bayesian neural network (BNN) framework based on Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD). By performing Bayesian inference, we estimate the posterior distribution of the parameters, thus outputting a reliability analysis of the prediction results. In addition, we incorporate a continual learning mechanism based on elastic weight consolidation, allowing the system to adapt quickly without full retraining. Our experiments demonstrate that our SVGD-BNN model significantly outperforms traditional peak displacement (Pd)-based approaches. In a 3 s time window, the Pearson correlation coefficient R increases by 9.2% and the residual standard deviation $SD$ decreases by 24.4% compared to a variational inference (VI)-based BNN. Furthermore, the prediction variance generated by the model can effectively reflect the uncertainty of the prediction results. The continual learning strategy reduces the training time by 133–194 s, enhancing the system’s responsiveness. These features make the proposed framework a promising tool for real-time, reliable, and adaptive EEW—supporting disaster-resilient building design and operation. Full article

In Taiwan, hydro-meteorological data are fragmented across multiple agencies, limiting the effectiveness of coordinated flood response. To address this challenge and the increasing uncertainty associated with extreme rainfall, a real-time disaster prevention platform has been developed. This system integrates multi-source data and geospatial information through a cluster-based architecture to enhance pluvial flood management. Built on a Service-Oriented Architecture (SOA) and incorporating Internet of Things (IoT) technologies, AI-based convolutional neural networks (CNNs), and 3D drone mapping, the platform enables automated alerts by linking sensor thresholds with real-time environmental data, facilitating synchronized operational responses. Deployed in New Taipei City over the past three years, the system has demonstrably reduced flood risk during severe rainfall events. Region-specific action thresholds and adaptive strategies are continually refined through feedback mechanisms, while integrated spatial and hydrological trend analyses extend the lead time available for emergency response. Full article