Search Results (1,650)

Persistent droughts and shifting precipitation regimes continue to threaten water security across the United States, with arid and semi-arid regions remaining the most vulnerable. This study examines the spatial and temporal patterns of aridity and water scarcity across drought-prone stations (111) and regions of the U.S. using 30 years (1991–2020) of precipitation records from xmACIS II. Weather stations were categorized into arid (<10 inches/year), semi-arid (10–20 inches/year), and non-arid (>20 inches/year) zones, revealing a distinct west–east gradient: arid and semi-arid conditions prevail across the western and central U.S., while the eastern regions remain largely non-arid. Drought frequency analysis spanning 2000–2019 indicates that certain regions experienced exceptional drought conditions (D3 or higher) for more than 50% of the study period, with localized areas enduring over 300 weeks of extreme drought. Long-term precipitation trends (1920–2020) in Texas, Washington, and South Dakota reflect a modest increase in precipitation; however, CMIP6 multi-model ensemble projections under a 2 °C and 4 °C warming scenario point to divergent future trajectories, with some regions experiencing increased wetness while others face progressive drying. These findings offer actionable insights for drought monitoring and climate adaptation strategies, underscoring the heightened vulnerability of arid and semi-arid zones to intensify water scarcity. Full article

Remote sensing has become a cornerstone of modern agricultural monitoring, addressing the dual challenges of increasing production while ensuring environmental sustainability. Based on a conceptual framework developed over the past decade, key application areas include yield estimation, phenology, stress assessment (e.g., drought), crop mapping, and land-use change detection. In Central Europe, regionally specific conditions such as fragmented land ownership, small and irregular plots, and high climate variability shape these applications. Annual field crops, such as cereals, oilseeds, maize, and forage crops dominate production and represent the primary focus of monitoring efforts. Optical data from Sentinel-2 are effective for mapping crop types and analyzing phenology, especially when dense time series are available. However, persistent cloud cover during critical growth phases limits the effectiveness of optical approaches, prompting the integration of radar data from Sentinel-1. Multi-sensor strategies increase the robustness of classification and temporal continuity, supporting monitoring under adverse conditions. Reliable reference data from systems such as the Land Parcel Identification System enables parcel-level validation and facilitates object-oriented analyses in line with management needs. Future developments will increasingly rely on advanced time-series analysis, machine learning, and the integration of agrometeorological and crop model data. As climate change intensifies drought frequency and yield variability, remote sensing will play a pivotal role in enabling near-real-time monitoring and decision support within the evolving landscape of digital agriculture ecosystems. The aim of this review article is to provide an overview of crop monitoring in the Central European region over approximately the past fifteen years, emphasizing trends in subsequent technological and procedural developments. Full article

The Moroccan locust (Dociostaurus maroccanus) is one of the most economically significant locust species in the Caucasus and Central Asia. In the past, the Mediterranean region also experienced severe damage to crops and pastures, until widespread grassland conversion to cropland began in the second half of the 20th century. However, climate change, environmental shifts, land-use changes, cropland abandonment, and overgrazing are likely to alter the spatial distribution and outbreak patterns of this pest. Understanding potential changes and geographic shifts is essential for proactive pest management, including effective monitoring and control strategies. In this study, we apply Ecological Niche Modelling (ENM) using 12 machine learning algorithms, historical survey data covering the species’ full distribution range, and relevant abiotic variables to identify the most suitable areas for potential mass breeding during 1991–2020 and the near future (2021–2040), based on the “middle-of-the-road” Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP2-4.5) scenario. Our results indicate significant regional shifts. Notably, breeding suitability is projected to increase in parts of Greece, Turkey, Armenia, Georgia, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan. In contrast, countries such as Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Spain are likely to experience a decline in optimal breeding areas. The forecast results support field observations of a geographical shift northward and toward higher altitudes. Additionally, higher temperatures in suitable areas suggest more drought-like conditions, which typically promote locust population explosions and outbreaks. If left unaddressed, such outbreaks can cause severe economic damage to affected regions. Full article

The Numidian cypress (Cupressus sempervirens var. numidica, C. numidica hereafter) is a rare, almost unknown, endemic taxon of Tunisia whose conservation has long been hampered by human activities, taxonomic uncertainty and limited ecological knowledge, with only 64.33 ha of its populations remaining. Although recent genetic studies have confirmed its native status and long-term isolation, detailed information on its distribution, population structure and threats remain lacking. This study provides the first comprehensive assessment of C. numidica across its remaining range. Field surveys revealed that the species persists in only three small, fragmented forests, Bou Abdallah, Sidi Amer, and Dir Satour, covering a total of 64.33 ha. Soil analysis revealed some differences among sites, with Bou Abdallah showing higher clay content and Dir Satou exhibiting the highest levels of nitrogen, organic carbon, Olsen P, and available Mn and Mo. Climatic analyses indicate a semi-arid Mediterranean environment with pronounced summer droughts and a clear warming trend. Trees showed widespread damages, due to intensive grazing, tree cutting, crown dieback (drought), and pest and pathogen attacks. Natural regeneration was limited, and the condition of affected trees ranged from moderate to severe, with Bou Abdallah showing the highest levels of degradation. Notably, the severe fungal pathogen Seiridium cardinale, causal agent of cypress canker, was detected on C. numidica for the first time, highlighting an urgent conservation concern. Our results point to a staged conservation approach over time. In the immediate term (within 1 year), urgent monitoring and management of S. cardinale is needed. In the short term, efforts should focus on protecting carefully selected areas, about 5–10 regeneration microsites per forest, from grazing to support natural regeneration, reduce ongoing soil degradation, and establish clonal and seed-production plantations along with long-term seed storage. In the long term, the survival of C. numidica will only be possible with the active involvement of local communities, through awareness campaigns, adapting traditional practices such as gdel, and developing small-scale ecotourism that provides sustainable livelihoods while reinforcing support for conservation. Full article

Masson Pine (Pinus massoniana), an important afforestation species in southern China, is severely threatened by pine wilt disease caused by pine wood nematode (Bursaphelenchus xylophilus, PWN). To differentiate mortality induced by B. xylophilus from that caused by abiotic environmental factors, hyperspectral imaging and needle chlorophyll content were measured and analyzed for the early detection physiological changes in Masson pine seedlings under various environmental stressors. Four-year-old Masson pine seedlings were subjected to PWN inoculation, mechanical injury, drought, and waterlogging treatments. Hyperspectral reflectance and needle chlorophyll content of Masson pine were measured concurrently at 7-day intervals. The results showed that hyperspectral imaging responses varied among the stressors. Both PWN and waterlogging stress induced rapid mortality, with spectral changes observed as early as the 3rd week and reaching statistical significance by the 5th week. Under PWN infection, hyperspectral reflectance increased markedly in the 405–580 nm range, accompanied by a pronounced blue-shift of the red edge position (680–750 nm), while needle chlorophyll content declined sharply from approximately 0.8 mg g⁻¹ to 0.48 mg g⁻¹. Waterlogging stress produced a uniform increase in reflectance within the 500–580 nm range, with the hyperspectral curve gradually flattening, and needle chlorophyll content decreasing from 0.75 mg g⁻¹ to 0.6 mg g⁻¹. Conversely, drought-stressed seedlings exhibited only minor hyperspectral changes and maintained relatively stable chlorophyll levels, demonstrating the inherent drought tolerance of Masson pine. The RF and XGBoost models performed best in fitting the entire process of pine wood nematode infection and waterlogging stress, with all R² values greater than 0.69. The distinct hyperspectral imaging patterns under nematode infection and water-related stresses provide a reliable basis for early diagnosis and monitoring pine wilt disease in Masson pine stands. Full article

Under ongoing climate change and rapid urbanization, urban hydrothermal regimes are being reshaped, intensifying drought hazards and increasing stress on urban forests. Yet, systematic assessments of drought-induced stability dynamics of urban vegetation remain limited. We identified drought events across 330 Chinese cities during 2000–2022 and quantified vegetation resistance and resilience using multi-source remote sensing data. Pronounced latitudinal divergence emerged: high-latitude cities showed lower resistance but higher resilience, whereas low-latitude cities exhibited stronger resistance but weaker recovery. Across climatic zones, resistance was greater in humid and arid cities, whereas resilience was stronger in sub-humid and semi-arid cities, indicating a climate-dependent trade-off between disturbance buffering and recovery capacity. From 2000–2011 to 2012–2022, resistance increased significantly, whereas resilience declined. Seasonally, resistance was lowest and resilience highest in summer. Drought severity and climatic background—especially drought intensity and duration—primarily governed stability patterns: stronger droughts reduced resistance but enhanced recovery. Anthropogenic factors, including population density, economic development, and CO₂ emissions, also played a significant role in shaping vegetation stability. These findings highlight the need for long-term drought monitoring and climate-specific urban forest management to strengthen ecosystem stability in rapidly urbanizing regions. Full article

The study presents a comprehensive spatio-temporal assessment of meteorological drought in the Upper Vistula basin, a region located in southern Poland. The analysis was based on monthly precipitation data from 30 meteorological stations covering the period 1961–2022. These data were used to calculate the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) for accumulation periods of 3, 6, 9, 12, 24, and 48 months. Drought events were identified using run theory, adopting a threshold of SPI < −1 for all accumulation periods. On this basis, drought characteristics were determined, including the number of identified drought episodes (N), average drought duration (ADD), average drought severity (ADS), and average drought intensity (ADI). The multi-scale analysis revealed a clear dependence of drought characteristics on the time scale. Short-term droughts (SPI-3 and SPI-6) occurred frequently and were characterized by high monthly intensity but short duration. In contrast, long-term droughts (SPI-24 and SPI-48) occurred less frequently, but were marked by much longer duration and greater cumulative severity, despite lower average intensity. Spatial analyses showed substantial heterogeneity of drought characteristics within the Upper Vistula basin. The western and south-western parts of the region were particularly exposed to frequent short-term droughts, whereas long-term droughts were less frequent, but more regional in nature and resulted from accumulated, multi-year precipitation deficits affecting groundwater resources and catchment retention. The presented findings provide valuable information for improving drought monitoring systems and adaptation strategies in the Upper Vistula basin and in other climatically diverse regions of Central Europe. Full article

Hurricanes routinely damage forests across the North Atlantic Basin, yet efforts to characterize their impacts have had mixed subregional success. To elucidate these challenges, this study analyzed pre- and post-hurricane land surface phenology (LSP) for 44 moderate and strong hurricanes over 22 years using the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI). We statistically grouped storms based on their long-term climate attributes, then compared subregional impacts with wind speed and land cover. After accounting for wind speed, responses differed among the six subregions. The Southeast U.S. showed declines in EVI for the first winter and first year post storm, but this response was weak or absent elsewhere. The Central America region declined in the first winter but not in the subsequent growing season, while four other regions showed no increased impact with wind speed in either season. We then examined six category 4 hurricanes using a forest mask. In dry areas, drought-sensitive vegetation explained weak responses, whereas in the humid tropics, rapid refoliation or sprouting was common. These factors complicate optical remote sensing assessments. Rapid evaluations can mistake defoliation for more substantial damage, and delayed assessments can confuse EVI recovery with structural recovery. Results underscore the need for ecologically tailored monitoring approaches. Full article

Accurate soil moisture assessment is essential for effective agricultural management in the southern US, where water availability has a significant impact on crop productivity. This study evaluates the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) Level-4 daily soil moisture product using in situ measurements from Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) Soil Climate Analysis Network (SCAN) stations and the US. Climate Reference Network (USCRN) across diverse agroecosystems in Texas from 2016 to 2024. SMAP’s performance was examined across ten climate zones and six major land cover types, including urban regions, pastureland, grassland, rangeland, shrubland, and deciduous forests. Statistical metrics, including the coefficient of determination (R²), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Bias, and unbiased RMSE (ubRMSE) were used to evaluate the agreement between SMAP-derived and in situ soil moisture measurements. Results show that SMAP effectively captures seasonal soil moisture dynamics but exhibits spatially variable accuracy. The highest agreement was observed at Panther Junction (R² = 0.57, RMSE = 2.29%), followed by Austin (R² = 0.57, RMSE = 9.95%). While a weaker coefficient of determination was observed at PVAMU (R² = 0.28, RMSE = 11.28%) and Kingsville (R² = 0.11, RMSE = 7.33%), likely due to heterogeneity in land cover, and urbanized landscapes in these stations. Applying the quantile mapping bias correction methods significantly reduced RMSE and improved the accuracy of SMAP soil moisture data at some in situ measurement stations. The results highlight the importance of station-specific calibration and the integration of satellite and ground-based measurements to improve soil moisture monitoring for agriculture and drought management in Texas and similar regions. Full article

Drought is a complex natural hazard with severe impacts on ecosystems, agriculture, water resources, and socio-economic stability. Understanding its spatiotemporal evolution is critical for effective drought monitoring and prevention. This study analyzed drought characteristics in Henan province from 1961 to 2023 using the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), calculated from daily meteorological data at 111 meteorological stations. Drought was examined at annual and seasonal scales across multiple time scales, including the 1-month time scale (SPEI1), 3-month time scale (SPEI3), and 12-month time scale (SPEI12), and future trends were assessed using Theil–Sen Median and Hurst exponent analyses. Key findings revealed the following: (1) Drought frequency showed a non-significant increasing trend overall, but drought intensity increased significantly, with severe and extreme droughts becoming more frequent. Most areas are projected to continue aridification. (2) Winter recorded the highest frequency and occurrence of droughts, followed by autumn and summer. Except for summer, moderate and severe droughts increased across all seasons. Extreme droughts increased significantly across all seasons, especially in spring and autumn. (3) High annual drought frequency was concentrated in the northwest, north, and east. Spatial patterns varied by drought severity: slight droughts were more common in the north, moderate droughts in the central–east, severe droughts in the west and south, and extreme droughts in the southwest and north. (4) Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis revealed three main spatial modes: a uniform regional pattern, a southeast–northwest contrast, and a central–eastern opposition. Shorter time scales provided more detailed spatial patterns, while longer scales better reflected interannual characteristics of drought and flood variations. This study offers valuable insights for improving drought assessment and supporting risk management and policy decisions. Full article

Botswana’s semi-arid climate makes it vulnerable to climate change, particularly drought, which threatens agricultural productivity. This study assesses drought impact on Botswana’s agricultural sector using Climate Hazards Center Infrared Precipitation with Station (CHIRPS) rainfall data and Climate Hazards Center Infrared Temperature with Station (CHIRTS) temperature data (25 km) to compute the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Temperature Condition Index (STCI) and Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) at seasonal/annual time scales (1, 3, 6 and 12 months). The indices are used to assess their ability to predict crop yields using national data during Botswana’s rainy season, while employing univariate and multivariate statistical models. Statistical models also linked historical drought patterns to yield variability with the Percentage Area Affected (PAA) by drought, identifying key predictors. A majority of the crops (sunflower, maize, sorghum and pulses) showed variability which was best explained by SPEI 6 more particularly under the PAA multivariate models, with the highest and moderate explanatory power (R²) found in sunflower (0.48) and maize (0.43). However, variability in millet was best explained by SPI-3, although the R² was low (0.26). Other crops displayed positive coefficients within the models, which may be attributed to the varieties grown being drought tolerant. Nevertheless, the impacts from drought, which resulted in low yields, were shown by the negative coefficients across most crops. For a more holistic approach, the study also employed questionnaire data to capture first-hand local knowledge. The results showed drought to be among the indicators of climate change that were mostly perceived as well as its effects, in which yield decline, crop damage and crop pests and diseases were among the most perceived effects. Overall, this highlighted the sector’s vulnerability to the changes in climate. The study therefore underscores the need for integrated drought early warning systems, adaptive agricultural/water management and insights for policymakers to enhance drought resilience in Botswana, aligning with global sustainability goals. Full article

Monitoring of stable isotopes in throughfall (δ¹⁸O, δ²H) and meteorological parameters is a valuable tool for researching forest hydrology, particularly during extreme events like droughts and floods. This study presents the first systematic analysis of air temperature and precipitation changes over the past 65 years in two Slovenian lowland forests: Murska šuma and Krakovski gozd, in combination with isotopic composition research of throughfall. The observed rising air temperatures and altered precipitation patterns are reflected in the isotopic composition of throughfall. Over the last 65 years, air temperature has increased by approximately 2.5 °C. Although total annual precipitation amounts have remained relatively stable, in the last 35 years there is a notable decrease in precipitation in growing season and an increase during the dormant season, influenced by air masses of Mediterranean origin. Extreme drought in 2022 and flood in 2023 are confirmed by the Standardized Precipitation Index and isotopic variations in throughfall due to fractionation processes. Annual variability appears as seasonal changes, with sine-curve amplitudes of 3.71‰ in Krakovski gozd and 3.61‰ in Murska šuma. Together with the Local Meteoric Water Lines, these patterns support estimates of groundwater mean residence time and the origin of water used by trees. Full article

Climate change is reshaping global hydrological cycles, intensifying scarcity and heightening health risks in vulnerable regions. This study examines the health impacts of climate-driven water scarcity across the Middle East, South Asia, and Sub-Saharan Africa using data on water availability, climate variability, and health outcomes. The study uses a multi-regional mixed methods approach that brings together climate, hydrology, governance, and health data to explore how climate-driven water scarcity affects public health in South Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and the MENA region. It combines quantitative climate and health indicators with qualitative evaluations of water system vulnerability to compare exposure pathways and health outcomes across regions. Findings show that rising temperatures, altered rainfall, declining groundwater, and recurrent droughts undermine water security, leading to increased disease burdens through four pathways: (1) waterborne illnesses from unsafe or insufficient supplies; (2) reduced hygiene due to limited access; (3) food insecurity from crop failures; and (4) mental health stress, conflict, and displacement from water competition. Women, children, and low-income households face disproportionate impacts. Current adaptation measures are fragmented, highlighting the need for integrated water governance to build climate resilience. Recommended strategies include community-based water safety planning, digital water monitoring, and embedding health metrics in climate–water policies. This cross-regional analysis supports equitable, climate-resilient health systems and informs interventions to mitigate water scarcity under accelerating climate change. This study directly supports global policy agendas by providing evidence that advances the objectives of the Sustainable Development Goals and international frameworks on climate resilience, water security, and food and health protection. Full article

Unmanned aerial systems (UASs) and artificial intelligence (AI) allow for the effective monitoring of the plants, but it is difficult to determine the stages of cotton development in the process of irrigation gradients. In this paper, UAS images were combined with deep learning to conduct field-scale cotton phenology classification in graded drought situations. SegNet, U-Net, and DeepLabv3+ were trained on various sample sizes and tested on global accuracy (GA), mean intersection-over-union (mIoU), and mean boundary F-score (mBF). It was found that DeepLabv3+ outperformed all other methods and yielded the most uniform delineation of crop row spacing, canopy edges, and boll opening boundaries throughout the entire growing season. Under single-stage training, performance became stable at training sample sizes ≥ 960 for the seedling and squaring stages, whereas the boll and boll-opening stages required ≥ 1280; for full-season training, performance became stable when the sample size reached 4480 (GA = 0.98, mIoU = 0.95, mBF = 0.81). Cross-treatment evaluation indicated that errors were mainly concentrated between adjacent stages, with higher confusion under the 0% irrigation treatment and more stable identification results under the 90% irrigation treatment. A DAP 138 field survey (36 points) confirmed an irrigation-gradient phenological shift from boll-opening dominance at 0% irrigation to universal boll at 90% irrigation, consistent with spatial phenology maps. Overall, the proposed framework provides a cost-effective, field-scale solution to support precision irrigation management in arid cotton-growing regions. Full article

Hydrologic assessment within the Southeast United States is challenging, particularly in upstream basins, necessitating improved approaches to drought forecasting and water management. Within the Tennessee Valley, dense populations intensify the need for robust hydrologic management and predictive capabilities. This study integrates dendrochronological proxy data, hindcast information, and future climate projections from the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) to evaluate May–June–July drought regimes. Holistic hydrologic conditions were attained by integrating self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index data from the North American Drought Atlas, basin-scale precipitation data from ORNL hindcasts and future predictions, and streamflow data from United States Geological Survey. Development of precipitation and streamflow reconstructions were completed using Stepwise Linear Regression, then bias-corrected and temporally smoothed using five- and ten-year moving windows. The reconstructions demonstrated strong statistical skill across all three basins (Little Tennessee River, Nantahala River, South Fork Holston River). When compared only to the hindcast, future drought is predicted to be the most severe on record, but within the context of the paleo record, while still severe, these future droughts remain inside the natural variability envelope. Findings highlight the importance of novel approaches to long-term drought monitoring, specifically integrating basins where instrumental periods are limited, and water management demands are high. Full article