Search Results (1,333)

Songhua River Basin, northeast China, has seen significant changes due to climate change and human activities from 1990 to 2000, when forests were largely reclaimed and agricultural land was taken up to change the terrestrial water cycle drastically. This paper investigates hydrological changes in three basins: the main stream basin of the Songhua River, the Second Songhua River Basin, and the Nenjiang River Basin. Machine learning and signal processing techniques have been applied to reconstruct historical river records with high accuracy, achieving determination coefficients exceeding 0.97. The physically based WEP model effectively simulates both natural hydrological patterns and human-induced hydrological processes in the northern Nenjiang region. Climate projections indicate clear temperature increases across all scenarios. The most significant warming is observed under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, where runoff increases by 8.52% to 12.02%t, with precipitation driving 62% to 78% of the changes. Summer runoff shows the most significant increase, while autumn runoff decreases, particularly in the Nenjiang Basin, where permafrost loss alters spring melt patterns. This change elevates flood risk in summer, with the rate of increase strongly dependent on the scenario. Water resources show strong scenario dependence, with the average growth rate of SSP5-8.5 being 4 times that of SSP1-2.6. A critical threshold is reached at a 2.5 °C increase in temperature, triggering system instability. These results emphasize the need for adaptation to spatial differences to address emerging water security challenges in rapidly changing northern regions, including nonlinear hydroclimatic responses, infrastructure resilience to flow changes, and cross-basin coordination. Full article

This study examines the impacts of climate change on fisheries and aquaculture in Bangladesh, one of the most climate-vulnerable countries in the world. The fisheries and aquaculture sectors contribute significantly to the national GDP and support the livelihoods of 12% of the total population. Using a Critical Literature Review (CLR) approach, peer-reviewed articles, government reports, and official datasets published between 2006 and 2025 were reviewed across databases such as Scopus, Web of Science, FAO, and the Bangladesh Department of Fisheries (DoF). The analysis identifies major climate drivers, including rising temperature, erratic rainfall, salinity intrusion, sea-level rise, floods, droughts, cyclones, and extreme events, and reviews their differentiated impacts on key components of the sector: inland capture fisheries, marine fisheries, and aquaculture systems. For inland capture fisheries, the review highlights habitat degradation, biodiversity loss, and disrupted fish migration and breeding cycles. In aquaculture, particularly in coastal systems, this study reviews the challenges posed by disease outbreaks, water quality deterioration, and disruptions in seed supply, affecting species such as carp, tilapia, pangasius, and shrimp. Coastal aquaculture is also particularly vulnerable to cyclones, tidal surges, and saline water intrusion, with documented economic losses from events such as Cyclones Yaas, Bulbul, Amphan, and Remal. The study synthesizes key findings related to climate-resilient aquaculture practices, monitoring frameworks, ecosystem-based approaches, and community-based adaptation strategies. It underscores the need for targeted interventions, especially in coastal areas facing increasing salinity levels and frequent storms. This study calls for collective action through policy interventions, research and development, and the promotion of climate-smart technologies to enhance resilience and sustain fisheries and aquaculture in the context of a rapidly changing climate. Full article

This study reconstructs seven decades (1949–2019) of morphodynamic changes and sediment dynamics in the Diable River (Québec, Canada) using nine series of aerial photographs, a high-resolution LiDAR Digital Elevation Model (2021), and grain-size analysis. The objectives were to document long-term river evolution, quantify erosion and deposition, and evaluate sediment connectivity between eroding sandy bluffs and depositional zones. Planform analysis and sediment budgets derived from DEMs of Difference (DoD) reveal an oscillatory trajectory characterized by alternating phases of sediment export and temporary stabilization, rather than a simple trend of degradation or aggradation. The most dynamic interval (1980–2001) was marked by widespread meander migration and the largest net export (−142.5 m³/km/year), whereas the 2001–2007 interval showed net storage (+70.8 m³/km/year) and short-term geomorphic recovery. More recent floods (2017, 2019; 20–50-year return periods) induced localized but persistent sediment loss, underlining the structuring role of extreme events. Grain-size results indicate partial connectivity: coarse fractions tend to remain in local depositional features, while finer sediments are preferentially exported downstream. These findings emphasize the geomorphic value of temporary sediment sinks (bars, beaches) and highlight the need for adaptive river management strategies that integrate sediment budgets and local knowledge into floodplain governance. Full article

Many transportation structures collapse or sustain severe damage as a result of natural disasters such as earthquakes, floods, wars, and similar attacks. These collapsed or severely damaged structures must be rebuilt and returned to service as quickly as possible. Water is used in the mix for cement-bound concrete roads. It is known that drought problems are emerging due to climate change and that water resources are rapidly depleting. Significant amounts of water are used in concrete production, further depleting water resources. In order to contribute to the elimination of these two problems, the usability of polyurethane resin binder in road pavement construction was investigated. Polyurethane resin binder road pavement is a new type of pavement that does not contain cement or bitumen as binders and does not contain water in its mixture. This new type of road pavement can be opened to traffic within 5–15 min. After determining the aggregate and binder mixture ratios, four different curing methods were applied to the created samples. After the curing, the samples were subjected to compression test, flexural test, Bohme abrasion test, freeze–thaw test, bond strength by pull-off test, ultrasonic pulse velocity (UPV) test, SEM-EDX analysis, XRD analysis, and FT-IR analysis. The new type of road pavement created within the scope of this study exhibited a compression strength of 41.22 MPa, a flexural strength of 25.32 MPa, a Bohme abrasion value of 0.99 cm³/50 cm², a freeze–thaw test mass loss per unit area of 0.77 kg/m², and an average bond strength by pull-off value of 4.63 MPa. It was observed that these values ensured the road pavement specification limits. Full article

Climate change is intensifying hydrological extremes, posing growing threats to the safety and operational reliability of embankment dams worldwide, particularly those in regions susceptible to heavy rainfall and flooding. This study evaluates the overtopping risk for Batu Dam, a critical flood mitigation and water supply structure near Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, under future climate scenarios, with the aim of informing risk-informed dam safety strategies. Using historical hydrological data (1975–2020) and downscaled climate projections from the CMIP5 database under three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP4.5, RCP6.0, RCP8.5), we conducted flood routing simulations and probabilistic risk assessments employing the iPRESAS software. Our results demonstrate that the annual probability of overtopping increases substantially under higher-emission scenarios, reaching up to 0.08% by the late century under RCP8.5, driven by increased frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events. These projections highlight significant spillway capacity limitations and underscore the heightened risk of downstream consequences, including economic losses exceeding RM 200 million and potential loss of life surpassing 2900 individuals in worst-case scenarios. The findings confirm the urgent need for both structural adaptations, such as spillway expansion and crest elevation, and non-structural measures, including enhanced real-time monitoring and early warning systems. This integrated approach offers a robust and replicable framework for strengthening dam safety under evolving climate conditions. Full article

Fluctuations in precipitation usually affect the ecological environment and human socioeconomics through events such as floods and droughts, resulting in substantial economic losses. The high-resolution models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) are vital for simulating precipitation patterns in China; however, significant uncertainties still exist. This study utilized the quantile mapping (QM) method to correct biases in nine high-resolution Earth System Models (ESMs) and then comprehensively evaluated their precipitation simulation capabilities over the Chinese mainland from 1985 to 2014. Based on the selected models, the Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) method was used to integrate them to obtain the spatial–temporal variation in precipitation over the Chinese mainland. The results showed that the simulation performance of nine models for precipitation from 1985 to 2014 was significantly improved after the bias correction. Six out of the nine high-resolution ESMs were selected to generate the BMA ensemble model. For the BMA model, the precipitation trend and the locations of significant points were more closely aligned with the observational data in the summer than in other seasons. It overestimated precipitation in the spring and winter, while it underestimated it in the summer and autumn. Additionally, both the BMA model and the worst multi-model ensemble (WMME) model exhibited a negative mean bias in the summer, while they displayed a positive mean bias in the winter. And the BMA model outperformed the WMME model in terms of mean bias and bias range in both the summer and winter. Moreover, high-resolution models delivered precipitation simulations that more closely aligned with observational data compared to low-resolution models. Full article

Our study addresses how large-scale hydrological alterations shape zooplankton biodiversity in floodplain ecosystems, which are highly sensitive to changes in river connectivity. Following the operation of the Gabčíkovo hydroelectric power plant in the Danube inland delta, we examined the long-term responses of crustacean zooplankton communities, as these organisms are key indicators of hydromorphological disturbance. Based on previous evidence that river regulation often reduces habitat heterogeneity, we hypothesized that hydrological alterations in the Danube riverscape would promote increasing taxonomic and functional homogenization within sites, while simultaneously enhancing differentiation between sites over the past three decades. A total of 121 planktonic crustacean species were recorded across six monitored sites between 1991 and 2020, comprising 49 copepods and 72 cladocerans. Communities showed rising species richness, especially during the first decade of the hydropower plant’s operation. While overall richness increased, dam-induced hydromorphological changes triggered habitat-specific community shifts. In the main channel and adjacent parapotamal arm, taxonomic and functional homogenization occurred, dominated by resilient tychoplanktonic species with a gathering or secondary filter-feeding strategy. In contrast, isolated side arms experienced gradual eutrophication, favoring euplanktonic and primary filter-feeding taxa. The observed taxonomic and functional convergence within both habitat groups reflects the loss of connectivity and the cessation of artificial flooding. Full article

The intensification of extreme hydrologic events, such as flash floods and landslides, has amplified the challenges of ensuring timely and effective emergency response. A key factor in the efficiency of such interventions is the accessibility of affected areas, which often becomes compromised during hazard events. In this context, the present study focuses on the Vărbilău River catchment in Romania, a region highly exposed to frequent flash floods and terrain instability. The research evaluates the spatial accessibility of emergency intervention units. Four major intervention centers were assessed under both normal and constrained scenarios. Accessibility was quantified through travel-time thresholds, incorporating variables such as road quality, network density, topography, and hazard-induced disruptions. Findings indicate that southern localities enjoy relatively short intervention times (less than 10 or between 10 and 20 min) due to favorable terrain and proximity to well-equipped centers. In such cases, the speed on main roads is 50–60 km/h, while the accessibility index is 5. Conversely, northern areas and villages like Lutu Roşu face elevated isolation risks, as single-road access and weak connectivity heighten their vulnerability during floods or landslides. In such cases, speeds reduce to 10 km/h and accessibility is very low, with the accessibility index of 1. Scenario modeling further demonstrated that the loss of key hubs (e.g., Ploieşti or Văleni) severely undermines coverage efficiency, particularly in high-risk zones, where the access times increases over 40 min. These results emphasize the need for dynamic intervention planning, infrastructure reinforcement, and the systematic integration of hazard-prone areas into emergency response strategies. Moreover, the methodological framework developed here can be adapted to other regions exposed to hydrologic hazards. Full article

Hydrological runoff prediction serves as the core technological foundation for water resource management and flood/drought mitigation. However, the nonlinear, non-stationary, and multi-temporal scale characteristics of runoff data result in insufficient accuracy of traditional prediction methods. To address the challenges of single decomposition methods’ inability to effectively separate multi-scale components and single deep learning models’ limitations in capturing long-range dependencies or extracting local features, this study proposes an Informer-GRU runoff prediction model based on STL-CEEMDAN secondary decomposition and Gorilla Troops Optimizer (GTO). The model extracts trend, seasonal, and residual components through STL decomposition, then performs fine decomposition of the residual components using CEEMDAN to achieve effective separation of multi-scale features. By combining Informer’s ProbSparse attention mechanism with GRU’s temporal memory capability, the model captures both global dependencies and local features. GTO is introduced to optimize model architecture and training hyperparameters, while a multi-objective loss function is designed to ensure the physical reasonableness of predictions. Using daily runoff data from the Liyuan Basin in Yunnan Province (2015–2023) as a case study, the results show that the model achieves a coefficient of determination (R²) and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE) of 0.9469 on the test set, with a Kling-Gupta efficiency coefficient (KGE) of 0.9582, significantly outperforming comparison models such as LSTM, GRU, and Transformer. Ablation experiments demonstrate that components such as STL-CEEMDAN secondary decomposition and GTO optimization enhance model performance by 31.72% compared to the baseline. SHAP analysis reveals that seasonal components and local precipitation station data are the core driving factors for prediction. This study demonstrates exceptional performance in practical applications within the Liyuan Basin, providing valuable insights for water resource management and prediction research in this region. Full article

The accurate and efficient acquisition of the spatiotemporal distribution of surface water is of vital importance for water resource utilization, flood monitoring, and environmental protection. However, deep learning models often suffer from two major limitations when applied to high-resolution remote sensing imagery: the loss of small water body features due to encoder scale differences, and reduced boundary accuracy for narrow water bodies in complex backgrounds. To address these challenges, we introduce the A²DSC-Net, which offers two key innovations. First, a multi-branch dilated convolution (MBDC) module is designed to capture contextual information across multiple spatial scales, thereby enhancing the recognition of small water bodies. Second, a Dynamic Snake Convolution module is introduced to adaptively extract local features and integrate global spatial cues, significantly improving the delineation accuracy of narrow water bodies under complex background conditions. Ablation and comparative experiments were conducted under identical settings using the LandCover.ai and Gaofen Image Dataset (GID). The results show that A²DSC-Net achieves an average precision of 96.34%, average recall of 96.19%, average IoU of 92.8%, and average F1-score of 96.26%, outperforming classical segmentation models such as U-Net, DeepLabv3+, DANet, and PSPNet. These findings demonstrate that A²DSC-Net provides an effective and reliable solution for water body extraction from high-resolution remote sensing imagery. Full article

Since the 1990s, glaciers in the Ányêmaqên Mountains of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau have exhibited anomalous retreat and thinning. This persistent deglaciation has triggered secondary disasters including glacial debris flows, ice collapses, and glacial lake outburst floods, posing significant threats to regional ecological security and sustainable socioeconomic development. To address this issue, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of glacial morphological characteristics using multi-source time-series high-resolution remote sensing imagery spanning 2013–2024. Glacier boundaries were extracted through integrated methodologies combining manual visual interpretation, band ratio thresholding, three-dimensional geomorphic analysis, and an optimized DeepLabV3+ convolutional neural network with adaptive activation thresholds. Extraction accuracy was rigorously validated using quantitative metrics (Accuracy, Precision, Recall, Loss, and F1-score). Key findings reveal the following: dominant glacier types include ice caps, valley glaciers, and hanging glaciers distributed at mean elevations of 5200–5600 m; total glacial area decreased from 102.71 km² to 81.10 km², yielding an average annual decrease rate of −1.93%; glacier count increased from 74 to 86, corresponding to a mean relative change rate of 1.18% per annum; and thirty-eight geohazard sites were identified predominantly on upper slopes (30–50°) of north-facing terrain, with elevations ranging from 4500–5400 m (base) to 5120–6050 m (crest). These results provide critical data support for enhancing ecological resilience, strengthening disaster mitigation capabilities, and safeguarding public safety and infrastructure against climate change impacts in the region. Full article

Monitoring urban pluvial floods remains a challenge, particularly in dense city environments where drainage overflows are localized, and sensor-based systems are often impractical. Physical sensors can be costly, prone to theft, and difficult to maintain in areas with high human activity. To address this, we developed an innovative flood detection framework that utilizes publicly accessible CCTV imagery and large language models (LLMs) to classify flooding conditions directly from images using natural language prompts. The system was tested in Bandung, Indonesia, across 340 CCTV locations over a one-year period. Four multimodal LLMs, ChatGPT-4.1, Gemini 2.5 Pro, Mistral Pixtral, and DeepSeek-VL Janus, were evaluated based on classification accuracy and operational cost. ChatGPT-4.1 achieved the highest overall accuracy at 85%, with higher performance during the daytime (89%) and lower accuracy at night (78%). A cost analysis showed that deploying GPT-4.1 every 15 min across all locations would require approximately USD 59,568 per year. However, using compact models like GPT-4 nano could reduce costs by up to seven times, with minimal loss of accuracy. These results highlight the trade-off between performance and affordability, especially in developing regions. This approach offers a scalable, passive flood monitoring solution that can be integrated into early warning systems. Future improvements may include multi-frame image analysis, automated confidence filtering, and multi-level flood classification for enhanced situational awareness. Full article

This research presents a comprehensive spatiotemporal assessment of the effects of climate change and anthropogenic pressures on the water surface area and quality of the Sidi Salem Dam, the largest reservoir in Northern Tunisia. Located within a sub-humid to Mediterranean humid bioclimatic zone, the dam plays a vital role in regional water supply, irrigation, and flood control. Utilizing a 40-year dataset (1985–2025), this study integrates multi-temporal satellite imagery and geospatial analysis using Geographic Information System (GIS) and remote sensing (RS) techniques. The temporal variability of the dam’s surface water extent was monitored through indices such as the Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI). The analysis was further supported by climate data, including records of precipitation, temperature, and evapotranspiration, to assess correlations with observed hydrological changes. The findings revealed a significant reduction in the dam’s surface area, from approximately 37.8 km² in 1985 to 19.8 km² in 2025, indicating a net loss of 18 km² (47.6%). The Mann–Kendall trend test confirmed a significant long-term increase in annual precipitation, while annual temperature showed no significant trend. Nevertheless, recent observations indicate a decline in precipitation during the most recent period. Furthermore, Pearson correlation analysis revealed a significant negative relationship between precipitation and temperature, suggesting that wet years are generally associated with cooler conditions, whereas dry years coincide with warmer conditions. This hydroclimatic interplay underscores the complex dynamics driving reservoir fluctuations. Simultaneously, land use changes in the catchment area, particularly the expansion of agriculture, urban development, and deforestation have led to increased surface runoff and soil erosion, intensifying sediment deposition in the reservoir. This has progressively reduced the dam’s storage capacity, further diminishing its water storage efficiency. This study also investigates the degradation of water quality associated with declining water levels and climatic stress. Indicators such as turbidity and salinity were evaluated, showing clear signs of deterioration resulting from both natural and human-induced processes. Increased salinity and pollutant concentrations are primarily linked to reduced dilution capacity, intensified evaporation, and agrochemical runoff containing fertilizers and other contaminants. Full article

Due to climate change, flooding stress has occurred more frequently and intensively than ever before, which has become one of the major abiotic stresses affecting rice production. In tropical regions around the world, southeastern coastal countries, and southern rice production areas of China, frequent flooding disaster usually takes place during the rainy season and heavy summer rainfall, which leads to great yield losses in rice production. Currently, only a few rice genotypes are flooding-tolerant, and the relevant flooding-resistant cultivation and regulation practices are still lacking. Therefore, this review highlighted the latest studies on the physiological mechanisms of rice response to flooding stress and flooding-resistant cultivation, particularly summarizing the effect of flooding stress on rice root system architecture, plant growth, reactive oxygen metabolism, energy metabolism, radiation use efficiency, endogenous hormone metabolism, nitrogen utilization efficiency, and yield formation. In addition, the breeding strategies and cultivation regulation approaches for alleviating the flooding stress of rice were analyzed. Finally, future research directions are outlined. This review comprehensively summarizes the rice growth performance and physiological traits response to flooding stress, and sums up some useful regulation strategies, which might assist in further interpreting the mechanisms of plants’ response to flooding stress and developing stress-resistant cultivation practices for rice production. Full article

Desert regions face unique challenges under climate change, including the emerging phenomenon of sand dune expansion. This research investigates aeolian sand transport in the Seqale watershed (eastern Iran) using geostatistical and machine learning methods to model and forecast dune spread, aiming to reduce the loss of sustainability in these valuable landscapes. Predictor variables (altitude, slope, climate, land use, etc.) and wind erosion occurrence were analyzed using classification algorithms (decision tree, random forest, etc.) and bivariate methods (information value, area density) in R software 4.5.0. Risk zoning maps were created and evaluated by combining these approaches. Results indicate a higher sand dune presence in regions with specific altitude (1200–1400 m), gentle northeast-facing slopes (2–5 degrees), moderate rainfall (250–500 mm), high evaporation (2500–3000 mm), outside flood plains, and far from roads (>3000 m) and water channels (>500 m). Dune expansion maps based on density area and information value methods showed substantial areas classified as high to very high movement risk. Machine learning analysis identified the Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithm (AUC = 0.94) as the most effective for classifying sand dune zones. The study concludes that spatial forecasts, combined with tailored physical and biological measures, are essential for effective sand dune management in the region. Full article