Search Results (299)

Elucidating the mechanisms by which cropland fragmentation impacts production and ecological functions is critical for ensuring food security and ecological sustainability. Using Jilin Province as a case study, this research develops a cropland fragmentation evaluation framework based on landscape pattern indices. A restricted cubic spline model is employed to quantify nonlinear relationships and identify critical thresholds between fragmentation and both production and ecological functions. Furthermore, the PLUS model is utilized to simulate land-use patterns for 2030 under three scenarios: natural development, cropland protection, and ecological protection. The primary findings are as follows: (1) From 2000 to 2023, cropland fragmentation displayed pronounced spatial heterogeneity. Fragmentation was consistently high in the eastern mountainous areas and showed significant spatial clustering; the central region maintained relatively contiguous cropland, while the western region exhibited marked spatial variability. (2) Cropland fragmentation exhibits a nonlinear negative correlation with production functions, wherein the marginal negative impact attenuates beyond a threshold of 0.340. Conversely, its association with ecological functions follows a U-shaped trajectory, with a critical inflection point at 0.363 marking a directional shift in the fragmentation–ecology nexus. (3) Based on these nonlinear thresholds, the study area was delineated into production-ecology synergy zones, dysfunctional sensitive zones, and ecosystem landscape trade-off zones. Specifically, the central agricultural core is characterized by functional synergy; the ecologically fragile western zone resides near the nadir of the U-shaped curve, rendering its balance between production and ecological functions highly vulnerable to shifts in development intensity; and the eastern ecological barrier zone manifests a distinct trade-off prioritizing ecological functions. (4) Multi-scenario simulations reveal that the natural development scenario exacerbates the expansion risk of dysfunctional sensitive zones. While the cropland protection scenario enhances production capacity, it concurrently introduces risks of ecological instability. Conversely, the ecological protection scenario effectively steers sensitive zones toward ecological recovery. Consequently, we propose a differentiated spatial regulation strategy: prioritizing land consolidation in the central region, integrating ecological restoration with capacity enhancement in the west, and sustaining ecological barriers in the east, thereby fostering sustainable regional development. Full article

Hangzhou Bay has long experienced excessive nitrogen loading coupled with limited hydrodynamic exchange, leading to some of the highest nitrogen concentrations in China’s coastal waters. As critical land-sea ecotones, intertidal wetlands play a crucial role in mitigating nitrogen pollution across the bay. However, rapid urbanization and extensive reclamation since 1990 have led to a loss of over 50% of the intertidal wetlands in southern Hangzhou Bay. In this study we measured sediment denitrification and anammox potentials across key habitats: salt marshes (vegetated by Spartina alterniflora, Phragmites australis, and Scirpus mariqueter), bare mudflats, and shellfish aquaculture zones. We used ¹⁵N isotope tracing techniques coupled with slurry incubation experiments. Analysis of sediment physicochemical properties was conducted to elucidate the driving mechanisms of nitrogen removal. By integrating wetland landscape evolution with regional nitrogen budgets, we evaluated the nitrogen sink function of these intertidal wetlands. Our results revealed a distinct spatial hierarchy in denitrification potential, decreasing in the order: S. alterniflora (13.02 ± 3.54 μmol·N·kg⁻¹·h⁻¹) > shellfish aquaculture zones (12.86 ± 7.50 μmol·N·kg⁻¹·h⁻¹) > P. australis (11.54 ± 1.80 μmol·N·kg⁻¹·h⁻¹) > S. mariqueter (7.33 ± 2.08 μmol·N·kg⁻¹·h⁻¹) > bare mudflats (5.99 ± 1.62 μmol·N·kg⁻¹·h⁻¹). S. alterniflora has higher primary productivity, biomass accumulation, and a more robust root system structure. It regulates the content and availability of sediment organic carbon, the supply of nitrate nitrogen, pH, and water content. These regulations subsequently enhance denitrification. In contrast, shellfish aquaculture zones enhance denitrification potential primarily through bioturbation, which increases water content and lowers pH conditions. An integrated assessment of denitrification potential and landscape patterns revealed that, despite ongoing habitat loss, the remaining intertidal wetlands in southern Hangzhou Bay still remove about 30.65% of exogenous inorganic nitrogen. This finding underscores their critical role as effective pollution buffers under high nitrogen loading. Full article

Rapid urbanization has profoundly reshaped land use patterns and intensified pressures on ecosystem structures, thereby exacerbating trade-offs and synergies among ecosystem services (ESs). Understanding ecosystem service trade-offs, synergies, and their attribution mechanisms is critical for balancing ecological conservation and regional sustainable development in rapidly developing regions. This study quantified provisioning, regulating, supporting, and cultural ecosystem services in Shandong Province from 2000 to 2020 using the InVEST model and spatial analysis. An integrated framework combining Pearson correlation and bagplot analysis was developed to identify linear and nonlinear ES trade-offs and synergies, while the XGBoost–SHAP model was applied to quantify the relative contributions of natural and socioeconomic drivers. Ecosystem service bundles were further identified using a self-organizing map to delineate spatially functional zones. The results showed that: (1) Provisioning and cultural services increased markedly, whereas regulating and supporting services generally declined. Spatially, provisioning services were concentrated in the western plains, regulating and supporting services in the central mountains and eastern hills, and cultural services in urban areas. (2) Strong trade-offs emerged between provisioning services and most regulating/supporting services, while regulating and supporting services exhibited pronounced synergies. Cultural services reflected a generally compatible relationship with other ESs. (3) Regulating and supporting services were primarily shaped by natural conditions and land use patterns, whereas provisioning and cultural services were more strongly driven by socioeconomic factors. (4) SOM clustering identified four major functional zones, the ecological core zone, the ecological degraded zone, the food production zone, and the urban composite zone, each corresponding to differentiated ecosystem functions and development trajectories. The integrated framework provides a scientific basis for ecosystem-service-oriented spatial zoning and targeted management strategies to reconcile ecological protection and urbanization in rapidly developing regions. Full article

As a critical component of urban ecological infrastructure, urban forests play a pivotal role in regulating regional climate and mitigating the urban heat island (UHI) effect. However, existing studies have predominantly focused on single temporal snapshots or aggregate spatial scales, with limited attention to the seasonal dynamics of urban forest landscape patterns and a lack of systematic quantification of their nonlinear regulatory mechanisms. Empirical evidence from subtropical cities remains particularly scarce. In this study, Hangzhou was selected as the study area. Land Surface Temperature (LST) was retrieved using the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, and the Thermal Field Variance Index was employed to classify UHI intensity. Six representative forest landscape indices were selected to construct an evaluation framework. Pearson correlation analysis and the XGBoost model were further applied to quantify the relationships between landscape patterns and seasonal LST variations. The results reveal that: (1) LST in Hangzhou exhibits pronounced seasonal variability, following the order of summer > spring > autumn > winter. Areas without UHI effects dominate in spring, summer, and autumn, whereas the extent of strong UHI zones increases markedly in winter. (2) All landscape indices are significantly correlated with seasonal LST; forest ratio and forest largest patch index show negative correlations, while forest patch density, forest landscape shape index, number of patches, and landscape division index (DIVISION) are positively correlated. (3) The XGBoost model indicates that DIVISION consistently exhibits high contribution across all seasons, identifying it as a key determinant of LST variation. These findings provide a scientific basis for optimizing urban forest landscape configuration and developing effective UHI mitigation strategies. Full article

The Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH) coordinated-development strategy provides a county-level setting for examining how transport-led regional restructuring reshaped the relationship between human activity and land–environment conditions. Using a balanced panel of 200 county-level units from 2010 to 2020, we work with two linked subsystems: the human-activity subsystem (H), which combines transport integration and economic upgrading, and the land–environment subsystem (L), which combines land-use transition and ecological response. Pooled entropy weighting, a coupling-coordination index, spatial autocorrelation analysis, and fixed-effects differential-response models are used to trace temporal change, spatial clustering, and post-2014 heterogeneity within BTH. Mean coupling coordination (D) rose from 0.5430 to 0.6012, but the increase came mainly from the rise of H, while L changed only slightly. Positive spatial autocorrelation persisted throughout the period. Counties in the Beijing–Tianjin ring kept higher absolute coordination levels, yet after 2014, they improved more slowly than non-ring counties because land–environment adjustment lagged behind changes within H. Relative to key ecological function zones, agricultural counties—and to a lesser extent urbanized counties—posted faster gains in D, again mainly through H. The results show that in BTH, regional integration did not move the two subsystems in lockstep: transport reorganization and economic upgrading advanced faster than land–environment adjustment, so durable county coordination still depended on land governance, ecological regulation, and policies matched to territorial functions. Full article

The Burullus–Baltim coastal zone of Egypt’s Nile Delta represents a critical geoheritage sand-dune system functioning as the primary natural defense line against inundation of the central Nile Delta. This ecosystem is increasingly threatened by intensive black sand mining, raising concerns regarding long-term coastal sustainability. Black sand extraction disrupts dune integrity by reducing sediment density and heavy mineral content, thereby lowering resistance to wind forcing and accelerating aeolian transport. This study assesses historical dune migration and extraction-driven changes in aeolian dynamics using high-resolution satellite imagery, ERA5 wind reanalysis (1975–2024), and integrated analytical–numerical modeling, with implications for sustainable coastal management. A dominant northwesterly wind regime drives eastward and southward dune migration of 3.22 m/yr and 1.7 m/yr, respectively (2010–2025). Black sand mining since 2022 has measurably reduced heavy mineral content and bulk density, altering grain-size distribution and making dunes significantly more susceptible to wind entrainment. Coupled Bagnold and AeoLiS modeling predicts an 8.21% rise in mass transport rates and a corresponding acceleration in dune migration following extraction. These findings demonstrate that black sand mining amplifies aeolian transport and increases sand encroachment risks to nearby settlements, infrastructure, and agricultural lands. The results highlight the trade-offs between resource extraction and coastal dune ecosystem services, particularly flood protection and land stability, emphasizing the need for regulated mining, bioengineered dune stabilization, and predictive modeling to enhance the Nile Delta’s long-term resilience. Full article

The spatiotemporal evolution of ecosystem services and the elucidation of their driving mechanisms constitute a central scientific issue in territorial spatial optimization and regional sustainable development. Taking Gansu Province, a core area of the ecological security barrier in northwestern China, as the study area, this study integrates land-use, natural geographic, and socioeconomic data from 2000 to 2020. Using a land-use transfer matrix, the InVEST model, the Geographical Detector, and the PLUS model, we constructed a comprehensive analytical framework that combines historical evolution analysis, spatial differentiation identification, and multi-scenario simulation and prediction. The framework was used to systematically reveal the spatiotemporal dynamics of four core ecosystem services, namely carbon storage (CS), water yield (WY), habitat quality (HQ), and soil retention service (SDR), and to analyze their natural and socioeconomic driving mechanisms, while also simulating land-use change and ecosystem-service responses under the natural development, ecological protection, and urban expansion scenarios in 2030. The results show that, from 2000 to 2020, land use in Gansu Province was dominated by grassland (average proportion: 33.34%) and unused land (average proportion: 41.35%). Urban land expanded from 660.52 km² to 2227.36 km², with its share increasing from 0.15% to 0.50%, mainly through the conversion of cropland and grassland. Ecosystem services exhibited marked spatial differentiation: CS increased from east to west; WY showed an increasing pattern from northwest to southeast; HQ was lower in the central and southeastern regions and higher in the western and southern regions; and SDR was dominated by low-value areas in the northwest (average proportion: 84.81%). Driving-mechanism analysis indicated that slope was the core natural factor affecting CS, HQ, and SDR (q = 0.18–0.45), while mean annual precipitation dominated the variation in WY (q = 0.31–0.35). The influence of socioeconomic factors such as GDP increased gradually over time, showing an evolutionary trend from natural dominance to coordinated natural–socioeconomic regulation. Multi-scenario simulation further showed that, under the ecological protection scenario, grassland area increased significantly (+0.60%), the proportions of medium-value CS zones and high-value WY zones increased, and ecosystem services were optimized overall; under the urban expansion scenario, cropland and urban land expanded (+0.87% and +0.23%, respectively), imposing potential pressure on part of the ecosystem-service functions. These findings provide a scientific basis for optimizing territorial spatial planning, strengthening the ecological security barrier, and promoting regional sustainable development in Gansu Province. The methodological framework also offers a broadly applicable reference for ecologically sensitive arid and semi-arid regions in northwestern China. Full article

As a crucial national ecological barrier, China’s Southern Collective Forest Region (SCFR) plays an essential role in maintaining regional ecological security and promoting sustainable development. Understanding the mechanisms driving the evolution of its ecosystem service value (ESV) is of great significance. Based on county-level data from 2000 to 2023, this study integrated the equivalent factor method, spatial autocorrelation analysis, the XGBoost-SHAP model, geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR), and partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) to examine the spatio-temporal evolution patterns and driving mechanisms of ESV in the SCFR. The results showed that ESV in the SCFR exhibited an overall downward trend, with a cumulative loss of 1973.77 × 10⁸ CNY. This was primarily due to marked reductions in hydrological and climate regulation services. The spatial distribution of ESV exhibited a significant heterogeneity—higher in the southwestern and southeastern mountainous regions, and lower in the northern plains and coastal zones, with the center of gravity shifting first to the northeast and then to the southwest. Local spatial autocorrelation revealed relatively stable “High–High” and “Low–Low” clustering characteristics, where high-value clusters were consistently distributed in core forest zones, while low-value clusters overlapped highly with urban agglomerations. Socio-economic factors exerted a significantly stronger influence on ESV than natural factors. Population density (POP), land use intensity (LUI), and gross domestic product (GDP) were identified as the dominant drivers, exhibiting distinct non-linear threshold effects and significant spatio-temporal heterogeneity. PLS-SEM analysis further quantified LUI as the dominant direct inhibitory pathway on ESV, highlighting urbanization’s indirect negative effect mediated through intensified LUI. Meanwhile, terrain effects were confirmed to positively influence ESV indirectly by constraining LUI and modulating local climate. The analytical framework of “threshold identification–spatio-temporal heterogeneity–causal pathway analysis” proposed in this study elucidated the complex driving mechanisms of ESV evolution, providing valuable guidance for ecological restoration evaluation and differentiated environmental governance. Full article

Net primary productivity (NPP) is a critical indicator of carbon sequestration and biomass accumulation in terrestrial ecosystems, directly reflecting ecosystem carbon sink capacity. Existing NPP studies have primarily emphasized climate-driven interannual variability. Spatially explicit analyses that jointly quantify multi-factor driving mechanisms, thresholds, and land-use transition risks remain limited. Here, we develop an integrated multi-method analytical workflow (DRIBS) that integrates Distributional Response, Informative Boundary constraints, and Spatial Interpretability Optimization, and apply it to the Jiziwan region in the Yellow River Basin, one of China’s major ecological restoration hotspot regions. From 2000 to 2020, the annual increasing rate of NPP was 5.80 gC·m⁻²·yr⁻¹, and 78% of the area showed a significant increasing trend. Among them, grasslands and croplands in the eastern and western parts exhibited strong fluctuations and low long-term stability. Evapotranspiration (ET) and fractional vegetation cover (FVC) were the dominant drivers of NPP spatial heterogeneity, and precipitation around ~220 mm marked a critical water-stress threshold. Population density and nighttime lights showed a non-linear “ecological adaptation window”, implying both disturbance and management potential. Land-use transitions exhibited divergent risk signatures: grassland/cropland-to-forest transitions produced stable enhancement (priority restoration zones), whereas cropland/unused-to-urban transitions were associated with degradation risk (urgent management). Overall, DRIBS provides an interpretable “change-mechanism-threshold-risk” assessment to support carbon-sink regulation and restoration prioritization in arid and semi-arid regions. Full article

Against the backdrop of high-quality urbanization in cities, the rapid expansion of metro networks has led to severe spatial mismatches in land use around station areas, which seriously restricts the full exertion of the comprehensive benefits of the transit-oriented development (TOD) model. Taking 139 operational metro stations in Xi’an in 2024 as the research sample, this study constructs a multi-objective land use optimization model with the richness of public services, transportation accessibility and population distribution balance as the three core maximization objectives. A hierarchically adaptive improved NSGA-III algorithm is proposed, with the following four key technical optimizations implemented: multi-dimensional adaptive reference point adjustment, design of real-integer hybrid coding genetic operators, construction of an enhanced multi-criteria environmental selection mechanism, and dynamic regulation of algorithm iteration. Experimental results show that the performance of the improved algorithm is significantly superior to that of the traditional NSGA-III algorithm: the values of the three core objectives are increased by 59.58%, 12.94% and 7.35% respectively compared with the original data; the algorithm achieves stable convergence after 25 iterations, with the convergence efficiency improved by 30%. The obtained Pareto optimal front features good uniformity (U = 0.92) and coverage (C = 0.95), and all the 80 non-dominated solutions meet all constraint conditions, with the solution set highly coupled with the urban functional zoning and spatial planning of Xi’an. This study proposes a zoned, prioritized and phased hierarchical land use optimization strategy for the areas around metro stations in Xi’an. The research findings provide a replicable research framework and methodological reference for the TOD practice and land use optimization of metro station areas in other rapidly urbanizing central cities in China and developing countries worldwide with the characteristic of rapid rail transit expansion. Full article

As a core area for soil and water conservation on the Loess Plateau and a national primary shale oil production zone, Qingyang City faces an increasingly acute contradiction between its inherently fragile ecological base and energy development activities. From the dual perspectives of ecological regulating services and production-supporting services, this study selected six key ecosystem services—habitat quality (HQ), soil retention (SR), carbon storage (CS), water yield (WY), food supply (FS), and grassland forage supply (GS)—to comprehensively assess their spatiotemporal evolution, trade-off/synergy relationships, and driving mechanisms from 2000 to 2020. The results indicate: (1) Significant changes occurred in the total amounts and spatial patterns of all ecosystem services during 2000–2020. HQ showed a fluctuating upward trend, while SR, FS, and GS increased overall; by contrast, CS and WY generally declined. (2) Ecosystem services exhibited a differentiated pattern characterized by “intra-category synergy and inter-category trade-off.” Regulating and supporting services were generally dominated by synergistic relationships, although clear differences remained among specific service pairs; provisioning services generally showed trade-offs with regulating services, among which the trade-offs between FS–HQ and between FS–GS were the most pronounced, whereas FS–CS showed a certain degree of synergy. (3) Driving force analysis revealed a continuous decline in the influence of natural factors and a sharp intensification of human activity factors. Groundwater level and land-use intensity became core drivers of pattern shifts, with their explanatory power increasing significantly. The study reveals that ecosystem services in Qingyang have rapidly transitioned from being dominated by natural hydrothermal conditions to being profoundly reshaped by energy development activities, exposing the region to the ecological risk of a “resource curse.” These findings provide a scientific basis and management insights for achieving coordinated development between resource exploitation and ecological conservation in ecologically fragile areas of the Loess Plateau. Full article

Regional sustainable development requires integrated assessments that capture ecosystem function, risk exposure, and recovery capacity. Conventional two-dimensional frameworks based on ecosystem services (ESs) and landscape ecological risk (ERI) often overlook the self-regulation potential of ecosystems following disturbance. This study proposes that incorporating RES as a third zoning dimension enables functional differentiation between areas that share similar ES–ERI profiles but differ substantially in recovery capacity, thereby revealing management priorities that a conventional two-dimensional framework cannot detect. This study develops a three-dimensional zoning framework integrating ES, ERI, and ecological resilience (RES) in the main urban area of Ganzhou City, a representative hilly city in southern China. Land-use dynamics from 1990 to 2020 and under four 2050 scenarios were simulated using a coupled PLUS-InVEST approach. Differentiated ecological zones were delineated, and the optimal-parameter geographic detector (OPGD) was applied to examine driving factor interactions. Results indicate that cultivated land and forestland dominated the study area throughout the period. ES supply remained favorable with stage-wise fluctuations, while ERI showed progressive convergence of high-risk patches toward the central basin. RES exhibited a sharp decline in higher-resilience areas during 1990–2000 (91.0%), followed by partial recovery during 2010–2020 (47.3%). The three-dimensional zoning delineated 35.9% of the area as Ecological control zones that may require priority intervention. Driver analysis revealed that DEM, precipitation, and river proximity, along with their interactions, strongly influenced regional ecological patterns. The proposed framework extends conventional ES-ERI assessments and provides spatial guidance for differentiated ecological management in hilly regions. Full article

The San Andrés, Providencia, and Santa Catalina archipelago, located in the Colombian Caribbean, hosts diverse ecosystems, including coral reefs, mangroves, seagrass beds, and beaches, all of which are increasingly threatened by human activities. This research proposes a spatial analysis of ecological risk that integrates ecosystem vulnerability and anthropogenic pressures associated with land-use change to promote sustainable risk management. The vulnerability of island ecosystems was assessed by analyzing changes in cover across multiple time periods. At the same time, risks from anthropogenic pressures were determined based on marine protected area zoning and land-use planning regulations. Results show contrasting patterns: while several mangrove and beach sectors remained relatively stable, mangrove loss reached up to 65% in Providencia, and seagrass ecosystems experienced severe degradation, including a complete loss (100%) in western San Andrés. Risk maps indicate that the highest risk levels are consistently associated with Special Use Zones, where tourism infrastructure, navigation, and port activities are permitted. These findings highlight the importance of ecosystem-based risk management and adaptive governance in reducing anthropogenic pressures and preserving island ecosystem health. Full article

The Western Songnen Plain, a critical yet ecologically fragile grain-producing area, is facing sustainability risks arising from rapid land use changes, which demand scientific assessment and regulation. From an ecological security standpoint, this study synthesizes multiple data sources, including GlobeLand30 data, climate, topography, and soil data. Based on the assessment of water conservation, soil conservation and biodiversity maintenance, combined with minimum cumulative resistance model (MCR) and the CLUMondo model, this study comprehensively reveals the dynamic evolutionary patterns of land use in the Western Songnen Plain over the past two decades, concurrently analyzed the spatial heterogeneity pattern of ecosystem services, and further simulated land use changes under natural growth, farmland protection, and ecological security scenarios. According to the results, the grassland area decreased significantly, while cropland and construction land continued to expand. Water conservation, soil conservation, and habitat quality displayed remarkable regional differences, with high values predominantly situated in wetlands, grasslands, and mountainous regions. In contrast, low values exhibited strong spatial correspondence with regions of heightened anthropogenic disturbance. Although the cropland protection scenario promoted agricultural intensification, it reduced ecological heterogeneity. In contrast, the ecological security scenario achieved a higher patch density (0.408) and landscape diversity (1.142) compared to the natural growth scenario, with moderate increases in aggregation. This study identified 27 ecological pinch points, 24 ecological barrier points, and 97 ecological corridors, which provide direct support for regional water and soil resource protection and further underpin the constructed ecological security pattern of “two belts, three zones, and multiple nodes”. These findings have important reference significance for optimizing regional land use structure and maintaining the stability of terrestrial ecosystems in the Western Songnen Plain. Full article

Agricultural land transformation significantly affects ecosystem services (ES), yet its impacts across different topographic gradients remain unclear, hindering integrated land management in karst mountainous areas. Using Puding County, Guizhou Province, as a case study, this research employed the land-use transfer matrix, the InVEST model, and Spearman correlation analysis to examine the spatiotemporal patterns and relationships between agricultural land transformation and ES from 2004 to 2024. The findings indicate: (1) Agricultural land transformation shows distinct topographic differentiation: non-agricultural conversion and agricultural intensification dominate low-topographic positions; ecological land use conversion and agricultural intensification coexist in mid-topographic positions; and ecological land use conversion prevails in high-topographic positions. (2) ES vary consistently along topographic gradients: soil retention and carbon storage increase with elevation, food supply concentrates in low topographic positions, and water yield changes are most pronounced at low topographic positions. (3) Topography regulates the ecological effects of transformation pathways: ecological land use conversion enhances regulating services in high-topographic positions, while farmland abandonment increases erosion risk; composite transformation promotes a dynamic balance between services in mid-topographic positions; and agricultural intensification improves food supply but intensifies water competition in low-topographic positions, whereas non-agricultural conversion degrades multiple ecosystem services. This study provides a scientific basis for zoned land management and sustainable development in karst mountainous areas. Full article