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Search Results (5,259)

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Keywords = land-use/land-cover changes

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30 pages, 88126 KB  
Article
Landscape Dynamics of Cat Tien National Park and the Ma Da Forest Within the Dong Nai Biosphere Reserve, Socialist Republic of Vietnam
by Nastasia Lineva, Roman Gorbunov, Ekaterina Kashirina, Tatiana Gorbunova, Polina Drygval, Cam Nhung Pham, Andrey Kuznetsov, Svetlana Kuznetsova, Dang Hoi Nguyen, Vu Anh Tu Dinh, Trung Dung Ngo, Thanh Dat Ngo and Ekaterina Chuprina
Land 2025, 14(10), 2003; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14102003 - 6 Oct 2025
Abstract
The study of tropical landscape dynamics is of critical importance, particularly within protected areas, for evaluating ecosystem functioning and the effectiveness of natural conservation efforts. This study aims to identify landscape dynamics within the Dong Nai Biosphere Reserve (including Cat Tien National Park [...] Read more.
The study of tropical landscape dynamics is of critical importance, particularly within protected areas, for evaluating ecosystem functioning and the effectiveness of natural conservation efforts. This study aims to identify landscape dynamics within the Dong Nai Biosphere Reserve (including Cat Tien National Park and the Ma Da Forest) using remote sensing (Landsat and others) and geographic information system methods. The analysis is based on changes in the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), land cover transformations, landscape metrics (Class area, Percentage of Landscape and others), and natural landscape fragmentation, as well as a spatio-temporal assessment of anthropogenic impacts on the area. The results revealed structural changes in the landscapes of the Dong Nai Biosphere Reserve between 2000 and 2024. According to Sen’s slope estimates, a generally EVI growth was observed in both the core and buffer zones of the reserve. This trend was evident in forested areas as well as in regions of the buffer zone that were previously occupied by highly productive agricultural land. An analysis of Environmental Systems Research Institute (ESRI) Land Cover and Land Cover Climate Change Initiative (CCI) data confirms the relative stability of land cover in the core zone, while anthropogenic pressure has increased due to the expansion of agricultural lands, mosaic landscapes, and urban development. The calculation of landscape metrics revealed the growing isolation of natural forests and the dominance of artificial plantations, forming transitional zones between natural and anthropogenically modified landscapes. The human disturbance index, calculated for the years 2000 and 2024, shows only a slight change in the average value across the territory. However, the coefficient of variation increased significantly by 2024, indicating a localized rise in anthropogenic pressure within the buffer zone, while a reduction was observed in the core zone. The practical significance of the results obtained lies in the possibility of their use for the management of the Dongnai biosphere Reserve based on a differentiated approach: for the core and the buffer zone. There should be a ban on agriculture and development in the core zone, and restrictions on urbanized areas in the buffer zone. Full article
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30 pages, 9953 KB  
Article
Study on Carbon Storage Evolution and Scenario Response Under Multi-Pathway Drivers in High-Groundwater-Level Coal Resource-Based Cities: A Case Study of Three Cities in Shandong, China
by Yulong Geng, Zhenqi Hu, Weihua Guo, Anya Zhong and Quanzhi Li
Land 2025, 14(10), 2001; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14102001 - 6 Oct 2025
Abstract
Land use/land cover (LULC) change is a key driving factor influencing the dynamics of terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage. In high-groundwater-level coal resource-based cities (HGCRBCs), the interplay of urban expansion, mining disturbances, and land reclamation makes the carbon storage evolution process more complex. This [...] Read more.
Land use/land cover (LULC) change is a key driving factor influencing the dynamics of terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage. In high-groundwater-level coal resource-based cities (HGCRBCs), the interplay of urban expansion, mining disturbances, and land reclamation makes the carbon storage evolution process more complex. This study takes Jining, Zaozhuang, and Heze cities in Shandong Province as the research area and constructs a coupled analytical framework of “mining–reclamation–carbon storage” by integrating the Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS), Probability Integral Method (PIM), InVEST, and Grey Multi-Objective Programming (GMOP) models. It systematically evaluates the spatiotemporal characteristics of carbon storage changes from 2000 to 2020 and simulates the carbon storage responses under different development scenarios in 2030. The results show that: (1) From 2000 to 2020, the total carbon storage in the region decreased by 31.53 Tg, with cropland conversion to construction land and water bodies being the primary carbon loss pathways, contributing up to 89.86% of the total carbon loss. (2) Among the 16 major LULC transition paths identified, single-process drivers dominated carbon storage changes. Specifically, urban expansion and mining activities individually accounted for nearly 70% and 8.65% of the carbon loss, respectively. Although the reclamation path contributed to a recovery of 1.72 Tg of carbon storage, it could not fully offset the loss caused by mining. (3) Future scenario simulations indicate that the ecological conservation scenario yields the highest carbon storage, while the economic development scenario results in the lowest. Mining activities generally lead to approximately 3.5 Tg of carbon loss, while post-mining reclamation can restore about 72% of the loss. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Land Use, Impact Assessment and Sustainability)
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24 pages, 17580 KB  
Article
Integrating Cloud Computing and Landscape Metrics to Enhance Land Use/Land Cover Mapping and Dynamic Analysis in the Shandong Peninsula Urban Agglomeration
by Jue Xiao, Longqian Chen, Ting Zhang, Gan Teng and Linyu Ma
Land 2025, 14(10), 1997; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14101997 - 4 Oct 2025
Abstract
Accurate land use/land cover (LULC) maps generated through cloud computing can support large-scale land management. Leveraging the rich resources of Google Earth Engine (GEE) is essential for developing historical maps that facilitate the analysis of regional LULC dynamics. We implemented the best-performing scheme [...] Read more.
Accurate land use/land cover (LULC) maps generated through cloud computing can support large-scale land management. Leveraging the rich resources of Google Earth Engine (GEE) is essential for developing historical maps that facilitate the analysis of regional LULC dynamics. We implemented the best-performing scheme on GEE to produce 30 m LULC maps for the Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration (SPUA) and to detect LULC changes, while closely observing the spatio-temporal trends of landscape patterns during 2004–2024 using the Shannon Diversity Index, Patch Density, and other metrics. The results indicate that (a) Gradient Tree Boost (GTB) marginally outperformed Random Forest (RF) under identical feature combinations, with overall accuracies consistently exceeding 90.30%; (b) integrating topographic features, remote sensing indices, spectral bands, land surface temperature, and nighttime light data into the GTB classifier yielded the highest accuracy (OA = 93.68%, Kappa = 0.92); (c) over the 20-year period, cultivated land experienced the most substantial reduction (11,128.09 km2), accompanied by impressive growth in built-up land (9677.21 km2); and (d) landscape patterns in central and eastern SPUA changed most noticeably, with diversity, fragmentation, and complexity increasing, and connectivity decreasing. These results underscore the strong potential of GEE for LULC mapping at the urban agglomeration scale, providing a robust basis for long-term dynamic process analysis. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Large-Scale LULC Mapping on Google Earth Engine (GEE))
25 pages, 6271 KB  
Article
Estimating Fractional Land Cover Using Sentinel-2 and Multi-Source Data with Traditional Machine Learning and Deep Learning Approaches
by Sergio Sierra, Rubén Ramo, Marc Padilla, Laura Quirós and Adolfo Cobo
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(19), 3364; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17193364 - 4 Oct 2025
Abstract
Land cover mapping is essential for territorial management due to its links with ecological, hydrological, climatic, and socioeconomic processes. Traditional methods use discrete classes per pixel, but this study proposes estimating cover fractions with Sentinel-2 imagery (20 m) and AI. We employed the [...] Read more.
Land cover mapping is essential for territorial management due to its links with ecological, hydrological, climatic, and socioeconomic processes. Traditional methods use discrete classes per pixel, but this study proposes estimating cover fractions with Sentinel-2 imagery (20 m) and AI. We employed the French Land cover from Aerospace ImageRy (FLAIR) dataset (810 km2 in France, 19 classes), with labels co-registered with Sentinel-2 to derive precise fractional proportions per pixel. From these references, we generated training sets combining spectral bands, derived indices, and auxiliary data (climatic and temporal variables). Various machine learning models—including XGBoost three deep neural network (DNN) architectures with different depths, and convolutional neural networks (CNNs)—were trained and evaluated to identify the optimal configuration for fractional cover estimation. Model validation on the test set employed RMSE, MAE, and R2 metrics at both pixel level (20 m Sentinel-2) and scene level (100 m FLAIR). The training set integrating spectral bands, vegetation indices, and auxiliary variables yielded the best MAE and RMSE results. Among all models, DNN2 achieved the highest performance, with a pixel-level RMSE of 13.83 and MAE of 5.42, and a scene-level RMSE of 4.94 and MAE of 2.36. This fractional approach paves the way for advanced remote sensing applications, including continuous cover-change monitoring, carbon footprint estimation, and sustainability-oriented territorial planning. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Multimodal Remote Sensing Data Fusion, Analysis and Application)
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32 pages, 2713 KB  
Review
Quantum and Nonlinear Metamaterials for the Optimization of Greenhouse Covers
by Chrysanthos Maraveas
AgriEngineering 2025, 7(10), 334; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering7100334 - 4 Oct 2025
Abstract
Background: Greenhouses are pivotal to sustainable agriculture as they provide suitable conditions to support the growth of crops in unusable land such as arid areas. However, conventional greenhouse cover materials such as glass, polycarbonate (PC), and polyethylene (PE) sheets are limited in regulating [...] Read more.
Background: Greenhouses are pivotal to sustainable agriculture as they provide suitable conditions to support the growth of crops in unusable land such as arid areas. However, conventional greenhouse cover materials such as glass, polycarbonate (PC), and polyethylene (PE) sheets are limited in regulating internal conditions in the greenhouses based on environmental changes. Quantum and nonlinear metamaterials are emerging materials with the potential to optimize the covers and ensure appropriate regulation. Objective: This comprehensive review investigated the performance optimization of greenhouse covers through the potential application of nonlinear and quantum metamaterials as nano-additives, examining their effects on electromagnetic radiation management, crop growth enhancement, and temperature regulation within greenhouse systems. Method: The scoping review method was used, where 39 published articles were examined. Results: The review revealed that integrating nano-additives ensured that the greenhouse covers would block harmful near-infrared (NIR) radiation that generated heat while also optimizing for photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) to promote crop yields. Conclusions: The insights also indicated that the high sensitivity of the metamaterials would facilitate the regulation of the internal conditions within the greenhouses. However, challenges such as complex production processes that were not commercially scalable and the recyclability of the metamaterials were identified. Future work should further investigate pathways to produce hybrid greenhouse covers that integrate metamaterials with conventional materials to enhance scalability. Full article
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26 pages, 20743 KB  
Article
Assessing Rural Landscape Change Within the Planning and Management Framework: The Case of Topaktaş Village (Van, Turkiye)
by Feran Aşur, Kübra Karaman, Okan Yeler and Simay Kaskan
Land 2025, 14(10), 1991; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14101991 - 3 Oct 2025
Abstract
Rural landscapes are changing rapidly, yet many assessments remain descriptive and weakly connected to planning instruments. This study connects rural landscape analysis with planning and management by examining post-earthquake transformations in Topaktaş (Tuşba, Van), a village redesigned and relocated after the 2011 events. [...] Read more.
Rural landscapes are changing rapidly, yet many assessments remain descriptive and weakly connected to planning instruments. This study connects rural landscape analysis with planning and management by examining post-earthquake transformations in Topaktaş (Tuşba, Van), a village redesigned and relocated after the 2011 events. Using ArcGIS 10.8 and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), we integrate DEM, slope, aspect, CORINE land cover Plus, surface-water presence/seasonality, and proximity to hazards (active and surface-rupture faults) and infrastructure (Karasu Stream, highways, village roads). A risk overlay is treated as a hard constraint. We produce suitability maps for settlement, agriculture, recreation, and industry; derive a composite optimum land-use surface; and translate outputs into decision rules (e.g., a 0–100 m fault no-build setback, riparian buffers, and slope thresholds) with an outline for implementation and monitoring. Key findings show legacy footprints at lower elevations, while new footprints cluster near the upper elevation band (DEM range 1642–1735 m). Most of the area exhibits 0–3% slopes, supporting low-impact access where hazards are manageable; however, several newly designated settlement tracts conflict with risk and water-service conditions. Although limited to a single case and available data resolutions, the workflow is transferable: it moves beyond mapping to actionable planning instruments—zoning overlays, buffers, thresholds, and phased management—supporting sustainable, culturally informed post-earthquake reconstruction. Full article
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30 pages, 13414 KB  
Article
An Integrated Framework for Assessing Dynamics of Ecological Spatial Network Resilience Under Climate Change Scenarios: A Case Study of the Yunnan Central Urban Agglomeration
by Bingui Qin, Junsan Zhao, Guoping Chen, Rongyao Wang and Yilin Lin
Land 2025, 14(10), 1988; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14101988 - 2 Oct 2025
Abstract
Rapid climate change has exacerbated global ecosystem degradation, leading to habitat fragmentation and landscape connectivity loss. Constructing ecological networks (EN) with resilient conduction functions and conservation priorities is crucial for maintaining regional ecological security and promoting sustainable development. However, the spatiotemporal modeling and [...] Read more.
Rapid climate change has exacerbated global ecosystem degradation, leading to habitat fragmentation and landscape connectivity loss. Constructing ecological networks (EN) with resilient conduction functions and conservation priorities is crucial for maintaining regional ecological security and promoting sustainable development. However, the spatiotemporal modeling and dynamic resilience assessment of EN under the combined impacts of future climate and land use/land cover (LULC) changes remain underexplored. This study focuses on the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration (CYUA), China, and integrates landscape ecology with complex network theory to develop a dynamic resilience assessment framework that incorporates multi-scenario LULC projections, multi-temporal EN construction, and node-link disturbance simulations. Under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and Representative Concentration Pathways (SSP-RCP) scenarios, we quantified spatiotemporal variations in EN resilience and identified resilience-based conservation priority areas. The results show that: (1) Future EN patterns exhibit a westward clustering trend, with expanding habitat areas and enhanced connectivity. (2) From 2000 to 2040, EN resilience remains generally stable, but diverges significantly across scenarios—showing steady increases under SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5, while slightly declining under SSP2-4.5. (3) Approximately 20% of nodes and 40% of links are identified as critical components for maintaining structural-functional resilience, and are projected to form conservation priority patterns characterized by larger habitat areas and more compact connectivity under future scenarios. The multi-scenario analysis provides differentiated strategies for EN planning and ecological conservation. This framework offers adaptive and resilient solutions for regional ecosystem management under climate change. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Landscape Ecology)
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21 pages, 2229 KB  
Article
Carbon Storage and Land Use Dynamics in Ghanaian University Campuses: A Scenario-Based Assessment Using the InVEST Model
by Daniel Mawuko Ocloo and Takeshi Mizunoya
Land 2025, 14(10), 1987; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14101987 - 2 Oct 2025
Abstract
University campuses in rapidly urbanizing regions face increasing pressure to balance infrastructure development with environmental sustainability, yet their carbon storage potential remains largely unexplored in sub-Saharan Africa. This study assessed land use changes, carbon storage dynamics, and economic valuation across three Ghanaian universities, [...] Read more.
University campuses in rapidly urbanizing regions face increasing pressure to balance infrastructure development with environmental sustainability, yet their carbon storage potential remains largely unexplored in sub-Saharan Africa. This study assessed land use changes, carbon storage dynamics, and economic valuation across three Ghanaian universities, University of Ghana (UG), Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology (KNUST), and University of Cape Coast (UCC), from 2017 to 2023, and evaluated five future scenarios using the InVEST carbon model. Land use analysis employed ESRI 10 m annual land cover data, while carbon storage was estimated using regionally appropriate carbon pool values, and economic valuation applied Ghana’s social cost of carbon ($0.970/tCO2). Historical analysis revealed substantial carbon losses: UG declined by 17.1% (19,695 Mg C), KNUST by 29.5% (20,063 Mg C), and UCC by 7.9% (3292 Mg C), due to tree cover conversion to built areas. Scenario modeling demonstrated that infrastructure-focused development would cause additional losses of 4211–6891 Mg C, while extensive tree expansion could increase storage by 1686–5227 Mg C. Economic analysis showed tree expansion generating positive net present values ($1612–$5070), while infrastructure development imposed costs (−$4028 to −$6684). These findings provide quantitative evidence for sustainable campus planning prioritizing carbon conservation in tropical institutional landscapes. Full article
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25 pages, 4589 KB  
Review
Soil Properties, Processes, Ecological Services and Management Practices of Mediterranean Riparian Systems
by Pasquale Napoletano, Noureddine Guezgouz, Lorenza Parato, Rosa Maisto, Imen Benradia, Sarra Benredjem, Teresa Rosaria Verde and Anna De Marco
Sustainability 2025, 17(19), 8843; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17198843 - 2 Oct 2025
Abstract
Riparian zones, located at the interface between terrestrial and aquatic systems, are among the most dynamic and ecologically valuable landscapes. These transitional areas play a pivotal role in maintaining environmental health by supporting biodiversity, regulating hydrological processes, filtering pollutants, and stabilizing streambanks. At [...] Read more.
Riparian zones, located at the interface between terrestrial and aquatic systems, are among the most dynamic and ecologically valuable landscapes. These transitional areas play a pivotal role in maintaining environmental health by supporting biodiversity, regulating hydrological processes, filtering pollutants, and stabilizing streambanks. At the core of these functions lie the unique characteristics of riparian soils, which result from complex interactions between water dynamics, sedimentation, vegetation, and microbial activity. This paper provides a comprehensive overview of the origin, structure, and functioning of riparian soils, with particular attention being paid to their physical, chemical, and biological properties and how these properties are shaped by periodic flooding and vegetation patterns. Special emphasis is placed on Mediterranean riparian environments, where marked seasonality, alternating wet–dry cycles, and increasing climate variability enhance both the importance and fragility of riparian systems. A bibliographic study, covering 25 years (2000–2025), was carried out through Scopus and Web of Science. The results highlight that riparian areas are key for carbon sequestration, nutrient retention, and ecosystem connectivity in water-limited regions, yet they are increasingly threatened by land use change, water abstraction, pollution, and biological invasions. Climate change exacerbates these pressures, altering hydrological regimes and reducing soil resilience. Conservation requires integrated strategies that maintain hydrological connectivity, promote native vegetation, and limit anthropogenic impacts. Preserving riparian soils is therefore fundamental to sustain ecosystem services, improve water quality, and enhance landscape resilience in vulnerable Mediterranean contexts. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainability, Biodiversity and Conservation)
23 pages, 698 KB  
Review
Machine Learning in Land Use Prediction: A Comprehensive Review of Performance, Challenges, and Planning Applications
by Cui Li, Cuiping Wang, Tianlei Sun, Tongxi Lin, Jiangrong Liu, Wenbo Yu, Haowei Wang and Lei Nie
Buildings 2025, 15(19), 3551; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15193551 - 2 Oct 2025
Abstract
The accelerated global urbanization process has positioned land use/land cover change modeling as a critical component of contemporary geographic science and urban planning research. Traditional approaches face substantial challenges when addressing urban system complexity, multiscale spatial interactions, and high-dimensional data associations, creating urgent [...] Read more.
The accelerated global urbanization process has positioned land use/land cover change modeling as a critical component of contemporary geographic science and urban planning research. Traditional approaches face substantial challenges when addressing urban system complexity, multiscale spatial interactions, and high-dimensional data associations, creating urgent demand for sophisticated analytical frameworks. This review comprehensively evaluates machine learning applications in land use prediction through systematic analysis of 74 publications spanning 2020–2024, establishing a taxonomic framework distinguishing traditional machine learning, deep learning, and hybrid methodologies. The review contributes a comprehensive methodological assessment identifying algorithmic evolution patterns and performance benchmarks across diverse geographic contexts. Traditional methods demonstrate sustained reliability, while deep learning architectures excel in complex pattern recognition. Most significantly, hybrid methodologies have emerged as the dominant paradigm through algorithmic complementarity, consistently outperforming single-algorithm implementations. However, contemporary applications face critical constraints including computational complexity, scalability limitations, and interpretability issues impeding practical adoption. This review advances the field by synthesizing fragmented knowledge into a coherent framework and identifying research trajectories toward integrated intelligent systems with explainable artificial intelligence. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Urban Planning and Design for Urban Safety and Operations)
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27 pages, 6300 KB  
Article
From Trends to Drivers: Vegetation Degradation and Land-Use Change in Babil and Al-Qadisiyah, Iraq (2000–2023)
by Nawar Al-Tameemi, Zhang Xuexia, Fahad Shahzad, Kaleem Mehmood, Xiao Linying and Jinxing Zhou
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(19), 3343; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17193343 - 1 Oct 2025
Abstract
Land degradation in Iraq’s Mesopotamian plain threatens food security and rural livelihoods, yet the relative roles of climatic water deficits versus anthropogenic pressures remain poorly attributed in space. We test the hypothesis that multi-timescale climatic water deficits (SPEI-03/-06/-12) exert a stronger effect on [...] Read more.
Land degradation in Iraq’s Mesopotamian plain threatens food security and rural livelihoods, yet the relative roles of climatic water deficits versus anthropogenic pressures remain poorly attributed in space. We test the hypothesis that multi-timescale climatic water deficits (SPEI-03/-06/-12) exert a stronger effect on vegetation degradation risk than anthropogenic pressures, conditional on hydrological connectivity and irrigation. Using Babil and Al-Qadisiyah (2000–2023) as a case, we implement a four-part pipeline: (i) Fractional Vegetation Cover with Mann–Kendall/Sen’s slope to quantify greening/browning trends; (ii) LandTrendr to extract disturbance timing and magnitude; (iii) annual LULC maps from a Random Forest classifier to resolve transitions; and (iv) an XGBoost classifier to map degradation risk and attribute climate vs. anthropogenic influence via drop-group permutation (ΔAUC), grouped SHAP shares, and leave-group-out ablation, all under spatial block cross-validation. Driver attribution shows mid-term and short-term drought (SPEI-06, SPEI-03) as the strongest predictors, and conditional permutation yields a larger average AUC loss for the climate block than for the anthropogenic block, while grouped SHAP shares are comparable between the two, and ablation suggests a neutral to weak anthropogenic edge. The XGBoost model attains AUC = 0.884 (test) and maps 9.7% of the area as high risk (>0.70), concentrated away from perennial water bodies. Over 2000–2023, LULC change indicates CA +515 km2, HO +129 km2, UL +70 km2, BL −697 km2, WB −16.7 km2. Trend analysis shows recovery across 51.5% of the landscape (+29.6% dec−1 median) and severe decline over 2.5% (−22.0% dec−1). The integrated design couples trend mapping with driver attribution, clarifying how compounded climatic stress and intensive land use shape contemporary desertification risk and providing spatial priorities for restoration and adaptive water management. Full article
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21 pages, 1743 KB  
Article
A Simple Aridity Index to Monitor Vineyard Health: Evaluating the De Martonne Index in the Iberian Peninsula
by Nazaret Crespo-Cotrina, Luís Pádua, André M. Claro, André Fonseca, Francisco J. Rebollo, Francisco J. Moral, Luis L. Paniagua, Abelardo García-Martín, João A. Santos and Helder Fraga
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(19), 10605; https://doi.org/10.3390/app151910605 - 30 Sep 2025
Abstract
Viticulture in the Iberian Peninsula is increasingly threatened by climate change, particularly rising temperatures and prolonged droughts. This study evaluates the ability of the De Martonne Index (DMI), a simple climatic aridity index based solely on temperature and precipitation, to serve as a [...] Read more.
Viticulture in the Iberian Peninsula is increasingly threatened by climate change, particularly rising temperatures and prolonged droughts. This study evaluates the ability of the De Martonne Index (DMI), a simple climatic aridity index based solely on temperature and precipitation, to serve as a proxy for vineyard health over a 30-year period (1993–2022). Vineyard health was assessed using the Vegetation Health Index (VHI), derived from satellite remote sensing data. DMI values were computed from bias-corrected ERA5-Land data, and VHI composites were generated from NOAA satellite imagery. Vineyard-specific outputs were isolated using land cover datasets, and a contingency analysis compared drought classifications from both indices. Results show a strong spatio-temporal correspondence between low DMI values and reduced VHI, with agreement rates for severe/extreme drought conditions reaching up to 56% under the most restrictive DMI thresholds. In the analyzed period, years such as 1995, 1997, 2005, 2009, and 2012, showed over 20% of vineyard areas affected by moderate-to-severe/extreme drought. The spatial analysis revealed that northern and northwestern regions of the peninsula experienced less drought stress, while central and southern areas were more frequently affected. This approach demonstrates that the DMI alone can provide a reliable assessment of vineyard health, potentially enabling its direct use with seasonal forecasts, which are generally available for temperature and precipitation, to anticipate drought impacts and support adaptation in viticulture. The proposed methodology is scalable and transferable to other crops and regions, serving as a tool for climate adaptation strategies in viticulture. Full article
28 pages, 4334 KB  
Article
Analysis of Carbon Emissions and Ecosystem Service Value Caused by Land Use Change, and Its Coupling Characteristics in the Wensu Oasis, Northwest China
by Yiqi Zhao, Songrui Ning, An Yan, Pingan Jiang, Huipeng Ren, Ning Li, Tingting Huo and Jiandong Sheng
Agronomy 2025, 15(10), 2307; https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy15102307 - 29 Sep 2025
Abstract
Oases in arid regions are crucial for sustaining agricultural production and ecological stability, yet few studies have simultaneously examined the coupled dynamics of land use/cover change (LUCC), carbon emissions, and ecosystem service value (ESV) at the oasis–agricultural scale. This gap limits our understanding [...] Read more.
Oases in arid regions are crucial for sustaining agricultural production and ecological stability, yet few studies have simultaneously examined the coupled dynamics of land use/cover change (LUCC), carbon emissions, and ecosystem service value (ESV) at the oasis–agricultural scale. This gap limits our understanding of how different land use trajectories shape trade-offs between carbon processes and ecosystem services in fragile arid ecosystems. This study examines the spatiotemporal interactions between land use carbon emissions and ESV from 1990 to 2020 in the Wensu Oasis, Northwest China, and predicts their future trajectories under four development scenarios. Multi-period remote sensing data, combined with the carbon emission coefficient method, modified equivalent factor method, spatial autocorrelation analysis, the coupling coordination degree model, and the PLUS model, were employed to quantify LUCC patterns, carbon emission intensity, ESV, and its coupling relationships. The results indicated that (1) cultivated land, construction land, and unused land expanded continuously (by 974.56, 66.77, and 1899.36 km2), while grassland, forests, and water bodies declined (by 1363.93, 77.92, and 1498.83 km2), with the most pronounced changes occurring between 2000 and 2010; (2) carbon emission intensity increased steadily—from 23.90 × 104 t in 1990 to 169.17 × 104 t in 2020—primarily driven by construction land expansion—whereas total ESV declined by 46.37%, with water and grassland losses contributing substantially; (3) carbon emission intensity and ESV exhibited a significant negative spatial correlation, and the coupling coordination degree remained low, following a “high in the north, low in the south” distribution; and (4) scenario simulations for 2030–2050 suggested that this negative correlation and low coordination will persist, with only the ecological protection scenario (EPS) showing potential to enhance both carbon sequestration and ESV. Based on spatial clustering patterns and scenario outcomes, we recommend spatially differentiated land use regulation and prioritizing EPS measures, including glacier and wetland conservation, adoption of water-saving irrigation technologies, development of agroforestry systems, and renewable energy utilization on unused land. By explicitly linking LUCC-driven carbon–ESV interactions with scenario-based prediction and evaluation, this study provides new insights into oasis sustainability, offers a scientific basis for balancing agricultural production with ecological protection in the oasis of the arid region, and informs China’s dual-carbon strategy, as well as the Sustainable Development Goals. Full article
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24 pages, 8871 KB  
Article
Satellite-Derived Multi-Temporal Palm Trees and Urban Cover Changes to Understand Drivers of Changes in Agroecosystem in Al-Ahsa Oasis Using a Spectral Mixture Analysis (SMA) Model
by Abdelrahim Salih, Abdalhaleem Hassaballa and Abbas E. Rahma
Agriculture 2025, 15(19), 2043; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture15192043 - 29 Sep 2025
Abstract
Palm trees, referred to here as vegetation cover (VC), provide essential ecosystem services in an arid Oasis. However, because of socioeconomic transformation, the rapid urban expansion of major cities and villages at the expense of agricultural lands of the Al-Ahsa Oasis, Saudi Arabia, [...] Read more.
Palm trees, referred to here as vegetation cover (VC), provide essential ecosystem services in an arid Oasis. However, because of socioeconomic transformation, the rapid urban expansion of major cities and villages at the expense of agricultural lands of the Al-Ahsa Oasis, Saudi Arabia, has placed enormous pressure on the palm-growing area and led to the loss of productive land. These challenges highlight the need for robust, integrative methods to assess their impact on the agroecosystem. Here, we analyze spatiotemporal fluctuations in vegetation cover and its effect on the agroecosystem to determine the potential influencing factors. Data from Landsat satellites, including TM (Thematic mapper of Landsat 5), ETM+ (Enhanced Thematic mapper plus of Landsat 7), and OIL (Landsat 8) and Sentinel-2A imageries were used for analysis, while GeoEye-1 satellite images as well as socioeconomic data were applied for result validation. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was applied to extract pure endmembers, facilitating Spectral Mixture Analysis (SMA) for mapping vegetation and urban fractions. The spatiotemporal change patterns were analyzed using time- and space-oriented detection algorithms. Results indicated that vegetation fraction patterns differed significantly; pixels with high fraction values declined significantly from 1990 to 2020. The mean vegetation fraction value varied from 0.79 to 0.37. This indicates that a reduction in palm trees was quickly occurring at a decreasing rate of −14.24%. Results also suggest that vegetation fractions decreased significantly between 1990 and 2020, and this decrease had the greatest effect on the agroecosystem situation of the Oasis. We assessed urban sprawl, and our results indicated substantial variability in average urban fractions: 0.208%, 0.247%, 0.699%, and 0.807% in 1990, 2000, 2010, and 2020, respectively. Overall, the data revealed an association between changes in palm tree fractions and urban ones, supporting strategic vegetation and/or agricultural management to enhance the agroecosystem in an arid Oasis. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Artificial Intelligence and Digital Agriculture)
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20 pages, 2260 KB  
Article
The Impact of Natural Factors on Net Primary Productivity in Heilongjiang Province Under Different Land Use and Land Cover Changes
by Baohan Li, Qiuxiang Jiang, Youzhu Zhao, Zilong Wang, Meiyun Tao and Yu Qin
Agronomy 2025, 15(10), 2304; https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy15102304 - 29 Sep 2025
Abstract
Net primary productivity (NPP) is a vital indicator of carbon sequestration and ecosystem resilience. However, the dynamics of NPP across different land use types and especially the interactive function of natural drivers remain insufficiently quantified in regions with significant land use change. Therefore, [...] Read more.
Net primary productivity (NPP) is a vital indicator of carbon sequestration and ecosystem resilience. However, the dynamics of NPP across different land use types and especially the interactive function of natural drivers remain insufficiently quantified in regions with significant land use change. Therefore, this study selected Heilongjiang Province in China as the research area. Utilizing multi-source data from 2001 to 2022, it identified the primary land use types, analyzed the mean values and trends of vegetation NPP for each type, and quantified the driving effects of natural factors on NPP across these land types. Results show that forests had the highest mean NPP (514.01 gC m−2·a−1) and shrub–grass–wetland composites the lowest (269.2 gC m−2·a−1); cropland-to-forest transitions boosted NPP most notably. Critically, precipitation–temperature interactions dominated NPP variation, while elevation acted mainly through modulating other factors. This study offers a strategic framework for spatial planning and ecosystem management, supporting climate mitigation and carbon sequestration policies. Full article
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