Search Results (49)

This article presents a comprehensive assessment of mudflow risk in the Talgar River basin through the application of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) methods and numerical modeling using the Rapid Mass Movement Simulation (RAMMS) environment. The first part of the study involves a spatial assessment of mudflow hazard and susceptibility using GIS technologies and MCDA. The key condition for evaluating mudflow hazard is the identification of factors influencing the formation of mudflows. The susceptibility assessment was based on viewing the area as an object of spatial and functional analysis, enabling determination of its susceptibility to mudflow impacts across geomorphological zones: initiation, transformation, and accumulation. Relevant criteria were selected for analysis, each assigned weights based on expert judgment and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). The results include maps of potential mudflow hazard and susceptibility, showing areas of hazard occurrence and risk impact zones within the Talgar River basin. According to the mudflow hazard map, more than 50% of the basin area is classified as having a moderate hazard level, while 28.4% is subject to high hazard, and only 1.8% falls under the very high hazard category. The remaining areas are categorized as very low (4.1%) and low (14.7%) hazard zones. In terms of susceptibility to mudflows, 40.1% of the territory is exposed to a high level of susceptibility, 35.6% to a moderate level, and 5.5% to a very high level. The remaining areas are classified as very low (1.8%) and low (15.6%) susceptibility zones. The predictive performance was evaluated through Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves, and the Area Under the Curve (AUC) value of the mudflow hazard assessment is 0.86, which indicates good adaptability and relatively high accuracy, while the AUC value for assessing the susceptibility of the territory is 0.71, which means that the accuracy of assessing the susceptibility of territories to mudflows is within the acceptable level of model accuracy. To refine the spatial risk assessment, mudflow modeling was conducted under three scenarios of glacial-moraine lake outburst using the RAMMS model. For each scenario, key flow parameters—height and velocity—were identified, forming the basis for classification of zones by impact intensity. The integration of MCDA and RAMMS results produced a final mudflow risk map reflecting both the likelihood of occurrence and the extent of potential damage. The presented approach demonstrates the effectiveness of combining GIS analysis, MCDA, and physically-based modeling for comprehensive natural hazard assessment and can be applied to other mountainous regions with high mudflow activity. Full article

Non-Newtonian mud and debris flows include a wide range of physical processes depending on the setting, concentration, and soil properties. Numerical modelers have developed a variety of non-Newtonian algorithms to simulate this range of physical processes. However, the assumptions and limitations in any given model or software package can be difficult to replicate. This diversity in the physical processes and algorithmic approach to non-Newtonian numerical modeling makes a modular computation library approach advantageous. A computational library consolidates the algorithms for each process. This work presents a flexible numerical library framework (DebrisLib) that has a diverse range of software implemented to simulate geophysical flows using steady flow, kinematic wave, diffusion wave, and shallow-water models with finite difference, finite element, and finite volume computational schemes. DebrisLib includes a variety of non-Newtonian closures that predict a range of geophysical flow conditions and modular code designed to operate with any Newtonian parent-code architecture. This paper presents the DebriLib algorithms and framework and laboratory validation simulation. The simulations demonstrate the utility of the algorithms and the value of the library architecture by calling it from different modeling frameworks developed by the US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE). We present results with the one-dimensional (1D) and two-dimensional (2D) Hydrologic Engineering Center River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) and the 2D Adaptive Hydraulics (AdH) numerical models, each calling the same library. Full article

The South Jingyang Platform, China, is well-known for its continuous irrigation-induced loess landslides. Many scholars have discussed the loess landslides in this area, as the frequent occurrence of these landslides has led to a gradual reduction in the size of the platform. On the basis of these studies, this paper provides an updated summary of the distribution, evolution characteristics, and future trends of these landslides over the past 20 years. It was found that from 2003 to 2023, a total of 76 landslides occurred, mainly concentrated in three areas. In addition to forming retrogressive landslide groups, the large amount of landslide deposits at the substrate also transforms into loess mudflows, causing a disaster chain. The rapid rise of the groundwater level is the main key factor causing these flowslides, and the widely distributed joints, cracks, and caves in the slopes serve as preferential flow channels, actively contributing to the accelerated rise of the groundwater level. This further decreases the stability of the slopes and is also a significant factor promoting the occurrence of landslides. The occurrence of falls and slides is mainly due to the loosening of the slope caused by previous flowslides, which affects the soil structure and triggers the migration of the soil’s critical state. This explains why flowslides occur in the deep saturated zone, while slides and falls often occur in the shallow unsaturated zone in the study area. Since 2015, flowslides have decreased due to changes in irrigation practices and stabilized groundwater levels, confirming the close relationship between flowslide occurrence and groundwater level fluctuations. Full article

Various glutenite reservoirs, developed by fans, can be found in the Junggar Basin. Among these, there are different interpretations of the glutenite reservoirs formed by shallow-water fan deltas in the Triassic system in the northwestern margin of the basin. The characteristics of these deltas and their reservoir architecture have not been understood clearly. It seriously restricts the advancement of the subsequent development of the oilfield. Therefore, it is of great significance to carry out the fine reservoir architecture characterization of the shallow-water fan delta in this area. In this study, the upper member of the Triassic Karamay Formation in the Bai 21 area was selected as the study site. Through core analysis, nine types of sedimentary microfacies, including mudflow deposit, braided river, flood plain, underwater main channel, underwater distributary channel, overbank channel, interchannel deposition, estuary bar, and sheet sand, are found. Through mixed-phase wavelet frequency extension, the main frequency of seismic data is moderately increased and the frequency band is broadened, which makes it possible to identify the thin layer of about 10 m. Through continuous stratal slicing, the thin-layer sedimentary bodies that are difficult to be distinguished in the vertical direction are depicted, and the distribution of sedimentary bodies at different vertical positions is obtained by browsing the slices. Through color fusion based on seismic frequency decomposition, the fusion results contain information reflecting the thickness, and the characterization effect of the fan boundary is significantly improved. In summary, this study depicts the distribution of single-stage fans and recognizes the sand body development characteristics of the two-stage fans. Research suggests that two large shallow-water fan-delta complexes were discovered in the S3 sand group within the study area. Each fan possesses a multilevel branching distributary channel system, resulting in multiple horizontally oriented lobes. Within the fan-delta complex in S3, which is the third sand group in the Upper Triassic Karamay Formation, the fan complex can be divided into two single-stage fans recorded in the sublayer S31 and S32 upward. The two-stage fan deltas show inherited development characteristics in sedimentary characteristics and form in a regression sequence. The sand bodies formed during the low-water-level stage in S31 are thick, with few interlayers developed. Most sand bodies intersect each other vertically. In the shallow fan delta, a widespread estuary bar is deposited, which develops along the underwater distributary channel. This research enhances the understanding of shallow-water fan-delta reservoirs in the study area, and it provides a precise target for oilfield development and solves the key problem of unclear understanding of sand body distribution and combination relationships, which restricts development. Full article

The advent of geomatic techniques and novel sensors has opened the road to new approaches in mapping, including morphological ones. The evolution of a land portion and its graphical representation constitutes a fundamental aspect for scientific and land planning purposes. In this context, new paradigms for geomorphological mapping, which are useful for modernizing traditional, geomorphological mapping, become necessary for the creation of scalable digital representation of processes and landforms. A fully remote mapping approach, based on multi-source and multi-sensor applications, was implemented for the recognition of landforms and processes. This methodology was applied to a study site located in central Italy, characterized by the presence of ‘calanchi’ (i.e., badlands). Considering primarily the increasing availability of regional LiDAR products, an automated landform classification, i.e., Geomorphons, was adopted to map landforms at the slope scale. Simultaneously, by collecting and digitizing a time-series of historical orthoimages, a multi-temporal analysis was performed. Finally, surveying the area with an unmanned aerial vehicle, exploiting the high-resolution digital terrain model and orthoimage, a local-scale geomorphological map was produced. The proposed approach has proven to be well capable of identifying the variety of processes acting on the pilot area, identifying various genetic types of geomorphic processes with a nested hierarchy, where runoff-associated landforms coexist with gravitational ones. Large ancient mass movement characterizes the upper part of the basin, forming deep-seated gravity deformation, highly remodeled by a set of widespread runoff features forming rills, gullies, and secondary shallow landslides. The extended badlands areas imposed on Plio-Pleistocene clays are typically affected by sheet wash and rill and gully erosion causing high potential of sediment loss and the occurrence of earth- and mudflows, often interfering and affecting agricultural areas and anthropic elements. This approach guarantees a multi-scale and multi-temporal cartographic model for a full-coverage representation of landforms, representing a useful tool for land planning purposes. Full article

Wildfires pose a significant threat to the entire ecosystem. The impacts of these wildfires can potentially disrupt biodiversity and ecological stability on a large scale. Wildfires may alter the physical and chemical properties of burned soil, such as particle size, loss of organic matter and infiltration capacity. These alterations can lead to increased vulnerability to geohazards such as landslides, mudflows and debris flows, where soil erosion and sediment transport play a crucial role. The present study investigates the impact of wildfire on soil erosion by conducting a series of laboratory experiments. The soil samples were burned using two different methods: using firewood for different burning durations and using a muffle furnace at an accurately controlled temperature within 400 °C∼1000 °C. The burned soils were subsequently subjected to surface erosion by utilizing the constant head method to create a steady water flow to induce the erosion. In addition, empirically based theoretical models are explored to further assess the experimental results. The experimental results reveal a loss of organic matter in the burned soils that ranged from approximately 2% to 10% as the burning temperature rose from 400 °C to 1000 °C. The pattern of the grain size distribution shifted to a finer texture in the burned soil. There was also a considerable increase in soil erosion in burned soils, especially at a higher burn severity, where the erosion rate increased by more than five times. The empirical predictions are overall consistent with the experimental results and offer reasonable calibration of relevant soil erosion parameters. These findings demonstrate the importance of post-fire erosion in understanding and mitigating the long-term effects of wildfires on geo-environmental systems. Full article

Debris flows propagating in natural environments often encounter irregular terrain features, such as bottom roughness and man-made structures like groundsills, which significantly influence their behavior and dynamics. In practice, groundsills are commonly used as debris flow mitigation structures. This study examines the effects of a beam-type groundsill array on the flow behavior of sediment mixtures in an inclined channel using numerical simulations. The sediment mixtures, modeled as Bingham fluids, were tested as they flowed over groundsill arrays with varying densities, characterized by the spacing-to-height ratio ($d/h$) ranging from 2 to 10. The findings indicate that interaction with the groundsills produces a hydraulic jump-like flow, reaching a height approximately 2.2 times the approach flow depth across different array densities. High-density arrays ($d/h\le 4$) substantially hindered flow propagation, reducing front velocities but leading to sediment buildup upstream of the groundsills. Conversely, low-density arrays ($d/h>4$) facilitated smoother flow with higher velocities. These insights into the relationship between array density, flow behavior, and sediment trapping provide valuable guidance for optimizing groundsill array designs to effectively reduce the mobility of gravity-driven flows of non-Newtonian fluids (such as snow avalanches, debris, lava, or mudflows) and mitigate the associated risks. Full article

Anchor ice dams and water–ice flows are widespread on the mountain rivers of Southeastern Kazakhstan. Due to the mild winter climate, continuous ice cover is not formed on these rivers. During severe cold spells, anchor and shore ice accumulate in various river sections and causes water levels to rise by 1.5–2 m compared to winter low flows. In the event of a rapid warming, the ice breaks apart, forming water flows mixed with ice debris similar to mudflows. These flows move at high speeds and can cause significant destruction and loss of life. Our research aims to study the characteristics and formation conditions of these flows. Statistical methods were applied to analyze the data, revealing that thermal conditions greatly influence the formation of anchor ice. During these periods, minimum air temperatures drop below −20 °C, and the rate of cooling can reach 10 °C per day. An empirical formula for water level rise based on cumulative daily air temperatures was derived. The ice dam growth rate reaches 61 cm/day. Rapid ice breakage occurs during sharp warming periods. Sometimes this causes destructive water–ice flows similar to mudflows. The volume of the water–ice flow can exceed 10,000 m³, the path length can reach 8 km, the maximum speed exceeds 10 m/s, the flow depth can reach 5 m, and the discharge can be as high as 300 m³/s. The Random Forest algorithm identified characteristic meteorological conditions for water–ice flow formation. The most important meteorological parameters for the formation of water–ice flows are the 5-day sum of daily air temperature during the cooling period and the daily gradient of air temperature during the warming period. Full article

In debris-flow disasters, boulders moving at high velocities cause significant damage to houses and other facilities. Through a flume model test, this study explored the influences of the length/width ratio of the boulders, the angle between the long axis of the boulders and the flow direction, and the density of the mudflow on their starting movement. The experimental results indicate that in the process of a mudflow impacting the boulders, the angle between the long axis and the flow direction influences the magnitude of the component forces of the dragging force in the long- and short-axis directions, thus causing the boulders to deviate. Deflection changes the area of action of the debris-flow drag force on the boulder. Once the boulder gains a certain velocity, it deviates toward a state in which the long axis is parallel to the flow direction to reduce the resistance in the movement process. When the long axis of the boulder is parallel to the flow direction, as the mass of the boulder decreases, the efficiency of the mudflow in transferring the velocity of the boulder increases. When there is an angle between the long axis of the boulder and the flow direction, as the angle increases, the area of the drag force and efficiency of the velocity transfer increase. The movement laws of boulders in mudflows are crucial for engineering construction and sustainable development in mountainous areas. Full article

Debris flow in the upper Yellow River is very developed and is generally characterized by wide distribution with large numbers and a high frequency of occurrence. This paper analyses the distribution characteristics, material composition, and formation causes of the Erlian debris flow fan in the eastern part of the Guide Basin and discusses the relationship between debris flow fan and river evolution. Results show that: (1) At least 66 debris flow gullies and 20 large debris flow accumulation fans have been developed on both sides of the Yellow River in the eastern Guide Basin. (2) In the Erlian Village area, the Yellow River channel has experienced the accumulation, erosion, destruction, and accumulation process of debris flow fans in 16 kaB.P., 16 ka B.P.–8 ka B.P., and 8 kaB.P., respectively, the late-accumulation fan has been continuously extruding the Yellow River channel since 8 kaB.P., and the Yellow River channel has been shifted to the south by at least 1.25 km during the period of 8 ka. (3) Five accumulation periods for the Late Mudslide Fan were identified by classifying the 16 kaB.P. and 8 kaB.P. early and late mudslide fans. This study can provide theoretical and technical support for preventing debris flow disasters in the upper reaches of the Yellow River and has certain reference and reference values. Full article

The Mississippi River Delta Front (MRDF) is a subaqueous apron of rapidly deposited and weakly consolidated sediment extending from the subaerial portions of the Birdsfoot Delta of the Mississippi River, long characterized by mass-wasting sediment transport. Four (4) depositional environments dominate regionally (an undisturbed topset apron, mudflow gully, mudflow lobe, and prodelta), centering around mudflow distribution initiated by a variety of factors (hurricanes, storms, and fluid pressure). To better understand the spatiotemporal scales of the events as well as the controlling processes, eight cores (5.8–8.0 m long) taken offshore from the South Pass (SP) and the Southwest Pass (SWP) were analyzed for gamma density, grain size, sediment fabric (X-radiography), and geochronology (²¹⁰Pb/¹³⁷Cs radionuclides). Previous work has focused on the deposition of individual passes and has been restricted to <3 m core penetration, limiting its geochronologic completeness. Building on other recent studies, within the mudflow gully and lobe cores, the homogeneous stepped profiles of ²¹⁰Pb activities and the corresponding decreased gamma density indicate the presence of gravity-driven mass failures. ²¹⁰Pb/¹³⁷Cs indicates that gully sedimentary sediment accumulation since 1953 is greater than 580 cm (sediment accumulation rate [SAR] of 12.8 cm/y) in the southwest pass site, and a lower SAR of the South Pass gully sites (2.6 cm/y). This study shows that (1) recent dated mudflow deposits are identifiable in both the SWP and SP; (2) SWP mudflows have return periods of 10.7 y, six times more frequent than at the SP (66.7 y); (3) ²¹⁰Pb inventories display higher levels in the SWP area, with the highest focusing factors in proximal/gully sedimentation, and (4) submarine landslides in both study areas remain important for sediment transport despite the differences in sediment delivery and discharge source proximity. Full article

The effects of global warming, coupled with the continuing expansion of urbanization, have significantly increased vulnerability to urban flooding, widespread erosion risks, and related phenomena such as shallow landslides and mudflows. These challenges are particularly evident in both lowland and hill/foothill environments of urbanized regions. Improving resilience to urban flooding has emerged as a top priority at various levels of governance. This paper aims to perform an initial analysis with the goal of developing an early warning system to efficiently manage intense convective rainfall events in urban areas. To address this need, the paper emphasizes the importance of analyzing different hazard scenarios. This involves examining different hydro-meteorological conditions and exploring management alternatives, as a fundamental step in designing and evaluating interventions to improve urban flood resilience. The Turin Metropolitan Area (TMA), located in north-western Italy, represents a unique case due to its complex orography, with a mountainous sector in the west and a flat or hilly part in the east. During the warm season, this urban area is exposed to strong atmospheric convection, resulting in frequent hailstorms and high-intensity rainfall. These weather conditions pose a threat to urban infrastructure, such as drainage systems and road networks, and require effective management strategies to mitigate risks and losses. The TMA’s urban areas are monitored by polarimetric Doppler weather radars and a dense network of rain gauges. By examining various summer precipitation events leading to urban flooding between 2007 and 2021, this study assesses the practicability of deploying a weather-radar early-warning system. The focus is on identifying rainfall thresholds that distinguish urban flooding in lowland areas and runoff erosion phenomena in urbanized hills and foothills. Full article

Quito (Ecuador) has a history of mudflow events from ravines that pose significant risks to its urban areas. Located close to the Pichincha Volcanic Complex, on 31 January 2022, the northwest and central parts of the city were hit by a mudflow triggered by unusual rainfall in the upper part of the drainage, with 28 fatalities and several properties affected. This research focuses on the affected area from collector overflow to the end, considering sedimentological characteristics and behavior through various urban elements. This study integrates the analysis of videos, images, and sediment deposits to understand the dynamics and impacts of the mudflow using a multidisciplinary approach. The methodology includes verifying multimedia materials using free software alongside the Large-Scale Particle Image Velocimetry (LSPIV) to estimate the kinematic parameters of the mudflow. The affected area, reaching a maximum distance of 3.2 km from the overflow point, was divided into four zones for a detailed analysis, each characterized by its impact level and sediment distribution. Results indicate significant variations in mudflow behavior across different urban areas, influenced by topographical and anthropogenic factors. Multimedia analysis provided insights into the mudflow’s velocity and evolution as it entered urban areas. The study also highlights the role of urban planning and infrastructure in modifying the mudflow’s distribution, particularly in the Northern and Southern Axes of its path, compared with a similar 1975 event, seven times larger than this. It also contributes to understanding urban mudflow events in Quito, offering valuable insights for disaster risk management in similar contexts. Full article

Investigating the mechanism of sudden water inrush and mudflow in mountain tunnels is crucial for implementing preventive measures. Tunnel excavation through a fault or fractured zone can easily trigger sudden water inrush or mudflow. In this paper, the coupled lattice Boltzmann method (LBM) and discrete element method (DEM) were employed to reproduce the process of water and mud inrush in mountain tunnels. The failure of tunnel mud burst and water inrush involves a fluid–solid coupling process. A two-dimensional Boltzmann method for fluids and DEM for particles were utilized, with the coupled LBM-DEM boundary adopting the immersed moving boundary method. For simulating the water inrush process, a numerical model was established to replicate the flow of water particles within karst pipelines, featuring dimensions of 7 cm length, 4 cm width, and consisting of 100 particles. Particles are transported through water flow to the outlet of karst pipelines under hydraulic gradient loading. When the hydraulic gradient exceeds 6, the Darcy velocity gradually tends to be constant. As for simulating the mud inrush process, a numerical model was developed with dimensions of 5 cm length and 4 cm height, incorporating 720 randomly generated particles. The results demonstrated the successful reproduction of the evolution process encompassing three consecutive stages of tunnel mud-burst failure: initiation, acceleration, and stabilization. The occurrence of mud inrush disasters is attributed to combined action involving disaster-causing geotechnical materials, groundwater pressure, and tunnel excavation. Full article

Addressing the limitations, including low automation, slow recognition speed, and limited universality, of current mudslide disaster detection techniques in remote sensing imagery, this study employs deep learning methods for enhanced mudslide disaster detection. This study evaluated six object detection models: YOLOv3, YOLOv4, YOLOv5, YOLOv7, YOLOv8, and YOLOX, conducting experiments on remote sensing image data in the study area. Utilizing transfer learning, mudslide remote sensing images were fed into these six models under identical experimental conditions for training. The experimental results demonstrate that YOLOX-Nano’s comprehensive performance surpasses that of the other models. Consequently, this study introduces an enhanced model based on YOLOX-Nano (RS-YOLOX-Nano), aimed at further improving the model’s generalization capabilities and detection performance in remote sensing imagery. The enhanced model achieves a mean average precision ($mAP$) value of 86.04%, a 3.53% increase over the original model, and boasts a precision rate of 89.61%. Compared to the conventional YOLOX-Nano algorithm, the enhanced model demonstrates superior efficacy in detecting mudflow targets within remote sensing imagery. Full article