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22 pages, 1837 KB  
Article
Big Data Reference Architecture for the Energy Sector
by Katharina Wehrmeister, Alexander Pastor, Leonardo Carreras Rodriguez and Antonello Monti
Sustainability 2025, 17(14), 6488; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17146488 - 16 Jul 2025
Viewed by 539
Abstract
Data sharing within and across large, complex systems is one of the most topical challenges in the current IT landscape, and the energy domain is no exception. As the sector becomes more and more digitized, decentralized, and complex, new Big Data and AI [...] Read more.
Data sharing within and across large, complex systems is one of the most topical challenges in the current IT landscape, and the energy domain is no exception. As the sector becomes more and more digitized, decentralized, and complex, new Big Data and AI tools are constantly emerging to empower stakeholders to exploit opportunities and tackle challenges. They enable advancements such as the efficient operation and maintenance of assets, forecasting of demand and production, and improved decision-making. However, in turn, innovative systems are necessary for using and operating such tools, as they often require large amounts of disparate data and intelligent preprocessing. The integration of and communication between numerous up-and-coming technologies is necessary to ensure the maximum exploitation of renewable energy. Building on existing developments and initiatives, this paper introduces a multi-layer Reference Architecture for the reliable, secure, and trusted exchange of data and facilitation of services within the energy domain. Full article
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16 pages, 1166 KB  
Review
Artificial Intelligence in Advancing Algal Bioactive Ingredients: Production, Characterization, and Application
by Bingbing Guo, Xingyu Lu, Xiaoyu Jiang, Xiao-Li Shen, Zihao Wei and Yifeng Zhang
Foods 2025, 14(10), 1783; https://doi.org/10.3390/foods14101783 - 17 May 2025
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 928
Abstract
Microalgae are capable of synthesizing a diverse range of biologically active compounds, including omega-3 fatty acids, carotenoids, proteins, and polysaccharides, which demonstrate significant value in the fields of functional foods, innovative pharmaceuticals and high-value cosmetics. With advancements in biotechnology and the increasing demand [...] Read more.
Microalgae are capable of synthesizing a diverse range of biologically active compounds, including omega-3 fatty acids, carotenoids, proteins, and polysaccharides, which demonstrate significant value in the fields of functional foods, innovative pharmaceuticals and high-value cosmetics. With advancements in biotechnology and the increasing demand for natural products, studies on the functional components of algae have made significant strides. However, the commercial utilization of algal bioactives still faces challenges, such as low cultivation efficiency, limited component identification, and insufficient health evaluation. Artificial intelligence (AI) has recently emerged as a transformative tool to overcome these technological barriers in the production, characterization, and application of algal bioactive ingredients. This review examines the multidimensional mechanisms by which AI enables and optimizes these processes: (1) AI-powered predictive models, integrated with machine learning algorithms (MLAs), Industry 4.0, and other advanced digital systems, support real-time monitoring and control of intelligent bioreactors, allowing for accurate forecasting of cultivation yields and market demand. (2) AI facilitates in-depth analysis of gene regulatory networks and key metabolic pathways, enabling precise control over the biosynthesis of targeted compounds. (3) AI-based spectral imaging and image recognition techniques enable rapid and reliable identification, classification, and quality assessment of active components. (4) AI accelerates the transition from mass production to the development of personalized medical and functional nutritional products. Collectively, AI demonstrates immense potential in enhancing the yield, refining the characterization, and expanding the application scope of algal bioactives, unlocking new opportunities across multiple high-value industries. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Recent Advances in Bioactive Ingredients from Marine Foods)
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23 pages, 969 KB  
Article
Dynamic Dual-Phase Forecasting Model for New Product Demand Using Machine Learning and Statistical Control
by Chien-Chih Wang
Mathematics 2025, 13(10), 1613; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13101613 - 14 May 2025
Viewed by 1140
Abstract
Forecasting demand for newly introduced products presents substantial challenges within high-mix, low-volume manufacturing contexts, primarily due to cold-start conditions and unpredictable order behavior. This research proposes the Dynamic Dual-Phase Forecasting Framework (DDPFF) that amalgamates machine learning-based classification, similarity-driven analogous forecasting, ARMA-based residual compensation, [...] Read more.
Forecasting demand for newly introduced products presents substantial challenges within high-mix, low-volume manufacturing contexts, primarily due to cold-start conditions and unpredictable order behavior. This research proposes the Dynamic Dual-Phase Forecasting Framework (DDPFF) that amalgamates machine learning-based classification, similarity-driven analogous forecasting, ARMA-based residual compensation, and statistical process control for adaptive model refinement. The framework underwent evaluation through five real-world case studies conducted by a Taiwanese semiconductor tray manufacturer, encompassing a variety of scenarios characterized by high volatility, seasonality, and structural drift. The results indicate that DDPFF consistently outperformed conventional ARIMA and analogous forecasting methodologies, yielding an average reduction of 35.7% in mean absolute error and a 41.8% enhancement in residual stability across all examined cases. In one representative instance, the forecast error decreased by 44.9% compared to established benchmarks. These findings underscore the framework’s resilience in cold-start situations and its capacity to adapt to evolving demand patterns, providing a viable solution for data-scarce and dynamic manufacturing environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Applied Statistics in Management Sciences)
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27 pages, 4003 KB  
Article
Forecasting Demand for Eco-Friendly Vehicles Using Machine Learning Technologies in the Era of Management 5.0
by Serhii Kozlovskyi, Tetiana Kulinich, Marcin Duszyński, Taras Popovskyi, Tetiana Dluhopolska, Artur Kornatka and Yurii Popovskyi
Sustainability 2025, 17(10), 4429; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17104429 - 13 May 2025
Viewed by 681
Abstract
Management 5.0 represents a new paradigm in business strategy and leadership that integrates sustainability, advanced digital technologies, and human-centered decision-making. The article explores the application of machine learning technologies for forecasting demand for eco-friendly vehicles as a key tool for enhancing manufacturers’ competitiveness. [...] Read more.
Management 5.0 represents a new paradigm in business strategy and leadership that integrates sustainability, advanced digital technologies, and human-centered decision-making. The article explores the application of machine learning technologies for forecasting demand for eco-friendly vehicles as a key tool for enhancing manufacturers’ competitiveness. This research supports key UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), including SDG 7 (Clean Energy), SDG 9 (Innovation and Infrastructure), SDG 11 (Sustainable Cities), and SDG 12 (Responsible Consumption). Based on an analysis of the European market from 2019 to 2023 and forecasting through 2027, a comprehensive approach was developed using ARIMA, Prophet, and Random Forest models. Empirical findings indicate that implementing predictive analytics can reduce inventory costs by 18–25% and optimize working capital by 15–20%. Model performance varied by market type: Random Forest excelled in smaller markets, while Prophet delivered strong results in trend-stable environments. The results confirm that accurate demand forecasting, supported by machine learning technologies, creates significant competitive advantages in the era of management 5.0 through production process optimization and improved market positioning. Full article
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24 pages, 2403 KB  
Article
Facilitating India’s Deep Decarbonisation Through Sector Coupling of Electricity with Green Hydrogen and Ammonia
by Zac Cesaro, Rasmus Bramstoft, René Bañares-Alcántara and Matthew C. Ives
Energy Storage Appl. 2025, 2(2), 4; https://doi.org/10.3390/esa2020004 - 21 Mar 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2018
Abstract
Green hydrogen and ammonia are forecast to play key roles in the deep decarbonization of the global economy. Here we explore the potential of using green hydrogen and ammonia to couple the energy, agriculture, and industrial sectors with India’s national-scale electricity grid. India [...] Read more.
Green hydrogen and ammonia are forecast to play key roles in the deep decarbonization of the global economy. Here we explore the potential of using green hydrogen and ammonia to couple the energy, agriculture, and industrial sectors with India’s national-scale electricity grid. India is an ideal test case as it currently has one of the most ambitious hydrogen programs in the world, with projected electricity demands for hydrogen and ammonia production accounting for over 1500 TWh/yr or nearly 25% of India’s total electricity demand by 2050. We model the ambitious deep decarbonization of India’s electricity grid and half of its steel and fertilizer industries by 2050. We uncover modest risks for India from such a strategy, with many benefits and opportunities. Our analysis suggests that a renewables-based energy system coupled with ammonia off-take sectors has the potential to dramatically reduce India’s greenhouse emissions, reduce requirements for expensive long-duration energy storage or firm generating capacity, reduce the curtailment of renewable energy, provide valuable short-duration and long-duration load-shifting and system resilience to inter-annual weather variations, and replace tens of billions of USD in ammonia and fuel imports each year. All this while potentially powering new multi-billion USD green steel and maritime fuel export industries. The key risk for India in relation to such a strategy lies in the potential for higher costs and reduced benefits if the rest of the world does not match their ambitious investment in renewables, electrolyzers, and clean storage technologies. We show that such a pessimistic outcome could result in the costs of green hydrogen and ammonia staying high for India through 2050, although still within the range of their gray counterparts. If on the other hand, renewable and storage costs continue to decline further with continued global deployment, all the above benefits could be achieved with a reduced levelized cost of hydrogen and ammonia (10–25%), potentially with a modest reduction in total energy system costs (5%). Such an outcome would have profound global implications given India’s central role in the future global energy economy, establishing India’s global leadership in green shipping fuel, agriculture, and steel, while creating an affordable, sustainable, and secure domestic energy supply. Full article
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17 pages, 2411 KB  
Article
Modeling and Evaluation of Forecasting Models for Energy Production in Wind and Photovoltaic Systems
by Imene Benrabia and Dirk Söffker
Energies 2025, 18(3), 625; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18030625 - 29 Jan 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 990
Abstract
The comprehensive change from known, classical energy production methods to the increased use of renewable energy requires new methods in the field of efficient application and use of renewable energy. The urban energy supply presents complex challenges in improving efficiency; therefore, the prediction [...] Read more.
The comprehensive change from known, classical energy production methods to the increased use of renewable energy requires new methods in the field of efficient application and use of renewable energy. The urban energy supply presents complex challenges in improving efficiency; therefore, the prediction of the dynamical availability of energy is required. Several approaches have been explored, including statistical models and machine learning using historical data and numerical weather prediction models using mathematical models of the atmosphere and weather conditions. Accurately forecasting renewable energy production involves analyzing factors such as related weather conditions, conversion systems, and their locations, which influence both energy availability and yield. This study focuses on the short-term forecasting of wind and photovoltaic (PV) energy using historical data and machine learning approaches, aiming for accurate 8 h predictions. The goal is to develop models capable of producing accurate short-term forecasts of energy production from both resources (solar and wind), suitable for later use in a model predictive control scheme where generation and demand, as well as storage, must be considered together. Methods include regression trees, support vector regression, and regression neural networks. The main idea in this work is to use past and future information in the model. Inputs for the PV model are past PV generation and future solar irradiance, while the wind model uses past wind generation and future wind speed data. The performance of the model is evaluated over the entire year. Two scenarios are tested: one with perfect future predictions of wind speed and solar irradiance, and another considered realistic situation where perfect future prediction is not possible, and uncertain prediction is accounted for by incorporating noise models. The results of the second scenario were further improved using the output filtering method. This study shows the advantages and disadvantages of different methods, as well as the accuracy that can be expected in principle. The results show that the regression neural network has the best performance in predicting PV and wind generation compared to other methods, with an RMSE of 0.1809 for PV and 5.3154 for wind, and a Pearson coefficient of 0.9455 for PV and 0.9632 for wind. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section B: Energy and Environment)
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25 pages, 11059 KB  
Article
The Design and Application of a Regional Management Model to Set Up Wind Farms and the Adaptation to Climate Change Effects—Case of La Coruña (Galicia, Northwest of Spain)
by Blanca Valle, Javier Velázquez, Derya Gülçin, Fernando Herráez, Ali Uğur Özcan, Ana Hernando, Víctor Rincón, Rui Alexandre Castanho and Kerim Çiçek
Land 2024, 13(12), 2201; https://doi.org/10.3390/land13122201 - 16 Dec 2024
Viewed by 1555
Abstract
The implantation of wind farms in the European territory is being deployed at an accelerated pace. In the proposed framework, the province of La Coruña in the autonomous community of Galicia is tested, with a wide deployment of this type of infrastructure in [...] Read more.
The implantation of wind farms in the European territory is being deployed at an accelerated pace. In the proposed framework, the province of La Coruña in the autonomous community of Galicia is tested, with a wide deployment of this type of infrastructure in the territory initiated in the 80s, representing the third autonomous community with the largest exploitation of wind resources, which provides sufficient information, extrapolated to the entire community, to demonstrate the practical usefulness and potential of the method of obtaining the territorial model proposed in this article The regional has been used as the basic administrative subunit of the study variables, considering that the territory thus delimited could have common physical and cultural characteristics. The methodology presented in this article involves the collection and processing of public cartographic data on various factors most repeatedly or agreed upon in the consulted bibliography based on studies by experts in the technical, environmental, and environmental areas, including explanatory variables of risk in a broader context of climate change as the first contribution of this study. Another contribution is the inclusion in the model of the synergistic impact measured as the distance to wind farms in operation (21% of the total area of the sample) to which an area of influence of 4 times the rotor diameter of each of the wind turbines im-planted has been added as a legal and physical restriction. On a solid basis of selection of explanatory variables and with the help of Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and multi-criteria analysis (MCDM), techniques widely documented in the existing literature for the determination of optimal areas for the implementation of this type of infrastructure, a methodological proposal is presented for the development of a strategic, long-term territorial model, for the prioritization of acceptable areas for the implementation of wind farms, including forecasts of increased energy demand due to the effect of climate change and the population dynamics of the study region that may influence energy consumption. This article focuses on the use of multivariate clustering techniques and spatial analysis to identify priority areas for long-term sustainable wind energy projects. With the proposed strategic territorial model, it has been possible to demonstrate that it is not only capable of discriminating between three categories of acceptable areas for the implementation of wind farms, taking into account population and climate change forecasts, but also that it also locates areas that could require conservationist measures to protect new spaces or to recover the soil because they present high levels of risk due to natural or anthropic disasters considered. The results show acceptable areas for wind energy implementation, 23% of the total area of the sample, 3% conservation as ecological spaces to be preserved, and 7% recovery due to high-risk rates. The findings show that coastal regions generally show a more positive carrying capacity, likely due to less dense development or regulatory measures protecting these areas. In contrast, certain inland regions show more negative values, suggesting these areas might be experiencing higher ecological disturbance from construction activities. This information highlights the importance of strategic site analysis to balance energy production with conservation needs. The study provides insights into wind farm deployment that considers the visual and ecological characteristics of the landscape, promoting sustainability and community acceptance. For this reason, these insights can be effectively used for advancing renewable energy infrastructures within the European Union’s energy transition goals, particularly under the climate and energy objectives set for 2030. Full article
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25 pages, 3232 KB  
Article
A Framework for Distributed Orchestration of Cyber-Physical Systems: An Energy Trading Case Study
by Kostas Siozios
Technologies 2024, 12(11), 229; https://doi.org/10.3390/technologies12110229 - 13 Nov 2024
Viewed by 1991
Abstract
The increasing number of active energy consumers, also known as energy prosumers, is dramatically changing the electricity system. New products and services that adopt the concept of dynamic pricing are available to the market, where demand and price forecasting are applied to determine [...] Read more.
The increasing number of active energy consumers, also known as energy prosumers, is dramatically changing the electricity system. New products and services that adopt the concept of dynamic pricing are available to the market, where demand and price forecasting are applied to determine schedule loads and prices. Throughout this manuscript, a novel framework for energy trading among prosumers is introduced. Rather than solving the problem in a centralized manner, the proposed orchestrator relies on a distributed game theory to determine optimal bids. Experimental results validate the efficiency of proposed solution, since it achieves average energy cost reduction of 2×, as compared to the associated cost from the main grid. Additionally, the hardware implementation of the introduced framework onto a low-cost embedded device achieves near real-time operation with comparable performance to state-of-the-art computational intensive solvers. Full article
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18 pages, 4066 KB  
Article
A Hierarchical RF-XGBoost Model for Short-Cycle Agricultural Product Sales Forecasting
by Jiawen Li, Binfan Lin, Peixian Wang, Yanmei Chen, Xianxian Zeng, Xin Liu and Rongjun Chen
Foods 2024, 13(18), 2936; https://doi.org/10.3390/foods13182936 - 17 Sep 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2767
Abstract
Short-cycle agricultural product sales forecasting significantly reduces food waste by accurately predicting demand, ensuring producers match supply with consumer needs. However, the forecasting is often subject to uncertain factors, resulting in highly volatile and discontinuous data. To address this, a hierarchical prediction model [...] Read more.
Short-cycle agricultural product sales forecasting significantly reduces food waste by accurately predicting demand, ensuring producers match supply with consumer needs. However, the forecasting is often subject to uncertain factors, resulting in highly volatile and discontinuous data. To address this, a hierarchical prediction model that combines RF-XGBoost is proposed in this work. It adopts the Random Forest (RF) in the first layer to extract residuals and achieve initial prediction results based on correlation features from Grey Relation Analysis (GRA). Then, a new feature set based on residual clustering features is generated after the hierarchical clustering is applied to classify the characteristics of the residuals. Subsequently, Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) acts as the second layer that utilizes those residual clustering features to yield the prediction results. The final prediction is by incorporating the results from the first layer and second layer correspondingly. As for the performance evaluation, using agricultural product sales data from a supermarket in China from 1 July 2020 to 30 June 2023, the results demonstrate superiority over standalone RF and XGBoost, with a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) reduction of 10% and 12%, respectively, and a coefficient of determination (R2) increase of 22% and 24%, respectively. Additionally, its generalization is validated across 42 types of agricultural products from six vegetable categories, showing its extensive practical ability. Such performances reveal that the proposed model beneficially enhances the precision of short-term agricultural product sales forecasting, with the advantages of optimizing the supply chain from producers to consumers and minimizing food waste accordingly. Full article
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18 pages, 3413 KB  
Review
Green Energy Management in Manufacturing Based on Demand Prediction by Artificial Intelligence—A Review
by Izabela Rojek, Dariusz Mikołajewski, Adam Mroziński and Marek Macko
Electronics 2024, 13(16), 3338; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics13163338 - 22 Aug 2024
Cited by 10 | Viewed by 4727
Abstract
Energy efficiency in production systems and processes is a key global research topic, especially in light of the Green Deal, Industry 4.0/5.0 paradigms, and rising energy prices. Research on improving the energy efficiency of production based on artificial intelligence (AI) analysis brings promising [...] Read more.
Energy efficiency in production systems and processes is a key global research topic, especially in light of the Green Deal, Industry 4.0/5.0 paradigms, and rising energy prices. Research on improving the energy efficiency of production based on artificial intelligence (AI) analysis brings promising solutions, and the digital transformation of industry towards green energy is slowly becoming a reality. New production planning rules, the optimization of the use of the Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT), industrial cyber-physical systems (ICPSs), and the effective use of production data and their optimization with AI bring further opportunities for sustainable, energy-efficient production. The aim of this study is to systematically evaluate and quantify the research results, trends, and research impact on energy management in production based on AI-based demand forecasting. The value of the research includes the broader use of AI which will reduce the impact of the observed environmental and economic problems in the areas of reducing energy consumption, forecasting accuracy, and production efficiency. In addition, the demand for Green AI technologies in creating sustainable solutions, reducing the impact of AI on the environment, and improving the accuracy of forecasts, including in the area of optimization of electricity storage, will increase. A key emerging research trend in green energy management in manufacturing is the use of AI-based demand forecasting to optimize energy consumption, reduce waste, and increase sustainability. An innovative perspective that leverages AI’s ability to accurately forecast energy demand allows manufacturers to align energy consumption with production schedules, minimizing excess energy consumption and emissions. Advanced machine learning (ML) algorithms can integrate real-time data from various sources, such as weather patterns and market demand, to improve forecast accuracy. This supports both sustainability and economic efficiency. In addition, AI-based demand forecasting can enable more dynamic and responsive energy management systems, paving the way for smarter, more resilient manufacturing processes. The paper’s contribution goes beyond mere description, making analyses, comparisons, and generalizations based on the leading current literature, logical conclusions from the state-of-the-art, and the authors’ knowledge and experience in renewable energy, AI, and mechatronics. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advanced Industry 4.0/5.0: Intelligence and Automation)
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18 pages, 4602 KB  
Article
Energy Management System for an Industrial Microgrid Using Optimization Algorithms-Based Reinforcement Learning Technique
by Saugat Upadhyay, Ibrahim Ahmed and Lucian Mihet-Popa
Energies 2024, 17(16), 3898; https://doi.org/10.3390/en17163898 - 7 Aug 2024
Cited by 14 | Viewed by 4228
Abstract
The climate crisis necessitates a global shift to achieve a secure, sustainable, and affordable energy system toward a green energy transition reaching climate neutrality by 2050. Because of this, renewable energy sources have come to the forefront, and the research interest in microgrids [...] Read more.
The climate crisis necessitates a global shift to achieve a secure, sustainable, and affordable energy system toward a green energy transition reaching climate neutrality by 2050. Because of this, renewable energy sources have come to the forefront, and the research interest in microgrids that rely on distributed generation and storage systems has exploded. Furthermore, many new markets for energy trading, ancillary services, and frequency reserve markets have provided attractive investment opportunities in exchange for balancing the supply and demand of electricity. Artificial intelligence can be utilized to locally optimize energy consumption, trade energy with the main grid, and participate in these markets. Reinforcement learning (RL) is one of the most promising approaches to achieve this goal because it enables an agent to learn optimal behavior in a microgrid by executing specific actions that maximize the long-term reward signal/function. The study focuses on testing two optimization algorithms: logic-based optimization and reinforcement learning. This paper builds on the existing research framework by combining PPO with machine learning-based load forecasting to produce an optimal solution for an industrial microgrid in Norway under different pricing schemes, including day-ahead pricing and peak pricing. It addresses the peak shaving and price arbitrage challenges by taking the historical data into the algorithm and making the decisions according to the energy consumption pattern, battery characteristics, PV production, and energy price. The RL-based approach is implemented in Python based on real data from the site and in combination with MATLAB-Simulink to validate its results. The application of the RL algorithm achieved an average monthly cost saving of 20% compared with logic-based optimization. These findings contribute to digitalization and decarbonization of energy technology, and support the fundamental goals and policies of the European Green Deal. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section A1: Smart Grids and Microgrids)
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26 pages, 2894 KB  
Review
The Implementation of “Smart” Technologies in the Agricultural Sector: A Review
by Fotis Assimakopoulos, Costas Vassilakis, Dionisis Margaris, Konstantinos Kotis and Dimitris Spiliotopoulos
Information 2024, 15(8), 466; https://doi.org/10.3390/info15080466 - 6 Aug 2024
Cited by 14 | Viewed by 7192
Abstract
The growing global population demands an increase in agricultural production and the promotion of sustainable practices. Smart agriculture, driven by advanced technologies, is crucial to achieving these goals. These technologies provide real-time information for crop monitoring, yield prediction, and essential farming functions. However, [...] Read more.
The growing global population demands an increase in agricultural production and the promotion of sustainable practices. Smart agriculture, driven by advanced technologies, is crucial to achieving these goals. These technologies provide real-time information for crop monitoring, yield prediction, and essential farming functions. However, adopting intelligent farming systems poses challenges, including learning new systems and dealing with installation costs. Robust support is crucial for integrating smart farming into practices. Understanding the current state of agriculture, technology trends, and the challenges in technology acceptance is essential for a smooth transition to Agriculture 4.0. This work reports on the pivotal synergy of IoT technology with other research trends, such as weather forecasting and robotics. It also presents the applications of smart agriculture worldwide, with an emphasis on government initiatives to support farmers and promote global adoption. The aim of this work is to provide a comprehensive review of smart technologies for precision agriculture and especially of their adoption level and results on the global scale; to this end, this review examines three important areas of smart agriculture, namely field, greenhouse, and livestock monitoring. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue IoT-Based Systems for Resilient Smart Cities)
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26 pages, 6673 KB  
Article
Out-of-Stock Prediction Model Using Buzzard Coney Hawk Optimization-Based LightGBM-Enabled Deep Temporal Convolutional Neural Network
by Ahmed Elghadghad, Ahmad Alzubi and Kolawole Iyiola
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(13), 5906; https://doi.org/10.3390/app14135906 - 5 Jul 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1694
Abstract
Out-of-stock prediction refers to the activity of forecasting the time when a product will not be available for purchase because of an inventory deficiency. Due to difficulties, out-of-stock forecasting models now face certain challenges. Incorrect demand forecasting may result in a lack or [...] Read more.
Out-of-stock prediction refers to the activity of forecasting the time when a product will not be available for purchase because of an inventory deficiency. Due to difficulties, out-of-stock forecasting models now face certain challenges. Incorrect demand forecasting may result in a lack or excess of goods in stock, a factor that affects client satisfaction and the profitability of companies. Accordingly, the new approach BCHO-TCN LightGBM, which is based on Buzzard Coney Hawk Optimization with a deep temporal convolutional neural network and the Light Gradient-Boosting Machine framework, is developed to deal with all challenges in the existing models in the field of out-of-stock prediction. The role that BCHO plays in the LightGBM-based deep temporal CNNis rooted in modifying the classifier to improve both accuracy and speed. Integrating BCHO into the model training process allows us to optimize and adjust the hyperparameters and the weights of the CNN linked with the temporal DNN, which, in turn, makes the model perform better in the extraction of temporal features from time-series data. This optimization strategy, which derives from the cooperative behaviors and evasion tactics of BCHO, is a powerful source of information for the computational optimization agent. This leads to a faster convergence of the model towards optimal solutions and therefore improves the overall accuracy and predictive abilities of the temporal CNN with the LightGBM algorithm. The results indicate that when using data from Amazon India’s product listings, the model shows a high degree of accuracy, as well as excellent net present value (NPV), present discounted value (PDV), and threat scores, with values reaching 94.52%, 95.16%, 94.81%, and 95.76%, respectively. Likewise, in a k-fold 10 scenario, the model achieves values of 94.81%, 95.60%, 96.28%, and 95.86% for the same metrics. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Application of Neural Computation in Artificial Intelligence)
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28 pages, 6444 KB  
Article
Inventory Prediction Using a Modified Multi-Dimensional Collaborative Wrapped Bi-Directional Long Short-Term Memory Model
by Said Abualuroug, Ahmad Alzubi and Kolawole Iyiola
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(13), 5817; https://doi.org/10.3390/app14135817 - 3 Jul 2024
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1459
Abstract
Inventory prediction is concerned with the forecasting of future demand for products in order to optimize inventory levels and supply chain management. The challenges include demand volatility, data quality, multi-dimensional interactions, lead time variability, seasonal trends, and dynamic pricing. Nevertheless, these models suffer [...] Read more.
Inventory prediction is concerned with the forecasting of future demand for products in order to optimize inventory levels and supply chain management. The challenges include demand volatility, data quality, multi-dimensional interactions, lead time variability, seasonal trends, and dynamic pricing. Nevertheless, these models suffer from numerous shortcomings, and in this research, we propose a new model, MMCW-BiLSTM (modified multi-dimensional collaboratively wrapped BiLSTM), for inventory prediction. The MMCW-BiLSTM model reflects a considerable leap in inventory forecasting by combining a number of components in order to consider intricate temporal dependencies and incorporate feature interactions. The MMCW-BiLSTM makes use of BiLSTM layers, collaborative attention mechanisms, and a multi-dimensional attention approach to learn from augmented datasets consisting of the original features and the extracted time series data. Moreover, adding a Taylor series transformation allows for a more precise description of the features in the model, thus improving the prediction precision. The results show that the models make the least mistakes when they use the AV demand forecasting dataset, with MAE values of 1.75, MAPE values of 2.89, MSE values of 6.76, and RMSE values of 2.6. Similarly, when utilizing the product demand dataset, the model also achieves the lowest error values for these metrics at 1.97, 3.91, 8.76, and 2.96. Likewise, when utilizing the dairy goods sales dataset, the model also achieves the lowest error values for these metrics at 2.54, 3.69, 10.39, and 3.22. Full article
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27 pages, 1933 KB  
Review
Solar Radiation Forecasting: A Systematic Meta-Review of Current Methods and Emerging Trends
by Ewa Chodakowska, Joanicjusz Nazarko, Łukasz Nazarko and Hesham S. Rabayah
Energies 2024, 17(13), 3156; https://doi.org/10.3390/en17133156 - 26 Jun 2024
Cited by 18 | Viewed by 5281
Abstract
Effective solar forecasting has become a critical topic in the scholarly literature in recent years due to the rapid growth of photovoltaic energy production worldwide and the inherent variability of this source of energy. The need to optimise energy systems, ensure power continuity, [...] Read more.
Effective solar forecasting has become a critical topic in the scholarly literature in recent years due to the rapid growth of photovoltaic energy production worldwide and the inherent variability of this source of energy. The need to optimise energy systems, ensure power continuity, and balance energy supply and demand is driving the continuous development of forecasting methods and approaches based on meteorological data or photovoltaic plant characteristics. This article presents the results of a meta-review of the solar forecasting literature, including the current state of knowledge and methodological discussion. It presents a comprehensive set of forecasting methods, evaluates current classifications, and proposes a new synthetic typology. The article emphasises the increasing role of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) techniques in improving forecast accuracy, alongside traditional statistical and physical models. It explores the challenges of hybrid and ensemble models, which combine multiple forecasting approaches to enhance performance. The paper addresses emerging trends in solar forecasting research, such as the integration of big data and advanced computational tools. Additionally, from a methodological perspective, the article outlines a rigorous approach to the meta-review research procedure, addresses the scientific challenges associated with conducting bibliometric research, and highlights best practices and principles. The article’s relevance consists of providing up-to-date knowledge on solar forecasting, along with insights on emerging trends, future research directions, and anticipating implications for theory and practice. Full article
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