Search Results (20,683)

Ultra-high-performance concrete (UHPC) is increasingly employed in long-span and heavily loaded structural applications; however, the accurate prediction of its flexural capacity remains a significant challenge because of the complex interactions among geometric parameters, reinforcement details, and advanced material properties. Existing design codes and single-architecture machine learning models often struggle to capture these nonlinear relationships, particularly when experimental datasets are limited in size and diversity. This study proposes a compact hybrid CNN–Transformer model that combines convolutional layers for local feature extraction with self-attention mechanisms for modeling long-range dependencies, enabling robust learning from a database of 120 UHPC beam tests drawn from 13 laboratories worldwide. The model’s predictive performance is benchmarked against conventional design codes, analytical and semi-empirical formulations, and alternative machine learning approaches including Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN). Results show that the proposed architecture achieves the highest accuracy with an R² of 0.943, an RMSE of 41.310, and a 25% reduction in RMSE compared with the best-performing baseline, while maintaining strong generalization across varying fiber dosages, reinforcement ratios, and shear-span ratios. Model interpretation via SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis identifies key parameters influencing capacity, providing actionable design insights. The findings demonstrate the potential of hybrid deep-learning frameworks to improve structural performance prediction for UHPC beams and lay the groundwork for future integration into reliability-based design codes. Full article

Accurate prediction of shear strength at the interface between new and old concrete is vital for the structural performance of repaired and composite systems. However, the underlying shear transfer mechanism is highly nonlinear and influenced by multiple interdependent factors, which limit the applicability of conventional empirical models. To address this challenge, an interpretable machine-learning (ML) framework is proposed. The latest database of 247 push-off specimens was compiled from the recent literature, incorporating diverse interface types and design parameters. The hyperparameters of the adopted ML models were optimized via a grid search to ensure the predictive performance on the updated database. Among the evaluated algorithms, eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) demonstrated the best predictive performance, with R² = 0.933, RMSE = 0.663, MAE = 0.486, and MAPE = 12.937% on the testing set, outperforming Support Vector Regression (SVR), Random Forest (RF), and adaptive boosting (AdaBoost). Compared with the best empirical model (AASHTO, R² = 0.939), XGBoost achieved significantly lower prediction errors (e.g., RMSE was reduced by 67.8%), enhanced robustness (COV = 0.176 vs. 0.384), and a more balanced mean ratio (1.054 vs. 1.514). The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was employed to interpret the model predictions, identifying the shear reinforcement ratio as the most influential factor, followed by interface type, interface width, and concrete strength. These results confirm the superior accuracy, generalizability, and explainability of XGBoost in modeling the shear behaviors of new–old concrete interfaces. Full article

The substation grounding grid, as the primary path for fault current dissipation, is crucial for ensuring the safe operation of the power system and requires regular inspection. The pulsed eddy current method, known for its non-destructive and efficient features, is widely used in grounding grid detection. However, during the parameter identification process, it is prone to local minima or no solution. To address this issue, this paper first develops a pulsed eddy current forward response model for the substation grounding grid based on the magnetic dipole superposition principle, with accuracy validation. Then, a variable dimensional Bayesian parameter identification method is introduced, utilizing the Reversible-Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) algorithm. By using nonlinear optimization results as the initial model and introducing a dual-factor control strategy to dynamically adjust the sampling step size, the model enhances coverage of high-probability regions, enabling effective estimation of grounding grid parameter uncertainties. Finally, the proposed method is validated by comparing the forward response model with field test results, showing that the error is within 10%, demonstrating both the accuracy and practical applicability of the proposed parameter identification method. Full article

This article proposes a pluralistic conceptual framework for fostering creativity in musically gifted students, exploring the complex and non-linear nature of creativity development and manifestation. It aims to address a core research question: what is the intersection between musical giftedness and creativity in education? The proposed framework integrates two prominent theoretical models—the systems theory of creativity and the ‘four C’ model of creativity. Together, these models offer a dynamic and developmental understanding of creative expression, ranging from everyday creativity to potential for eminent achievement, as it manifests in musically gifted learners. The role of the teacher is placed at the heart of the creative developmental process, and the teacher is conceptualised not merely as a knowledge provider but as a central catalyst for creativity. This framework argues that the teacher functions as an environmental mediator shaping classroom climates that support innovation and as a curator of meaningful musical experiences. The article considers how established gifted education strategies, including enrichment, acceleration, and differentiated instruction, can be oriented toward fostering creative musical growth. Implications for research and practice will be discussed. Full article

Background/Objectives: This study aims to build an interpretable and accurate predictive model for myocardial infarction (MI) using Explainable Boosting Machines (EBM), a state-of-the-art Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) technique. The objective is to identify and rank clinically relevant biomarkers that contribute to MI diagnosis while maintaining transparency to support clinical decision making. Methods: The dataset comprises 1319 patient records collected in 2018 from a cardiology center in the Erbil region of Iraq. Each record includes eight routinely measured clinical and biochemical features, such as troponin, CK-MB, and glucose levels, and a binary outcome variable indicating the presence or absence of MI. After preprocessing (e.g., one-hot encoding, normalization), the EBM model was trained using 80% of the data and tested on the remaining 20%. Model performance was evaluated using standard metrics including AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, F1 score, and Matthews correlation coefficient. Feature importance was assessed to identify key predictors. Partial dependence analyses provided insights into how each variable affected model predictions. Results: The EBM model demonstrated excellent diagnostic performance, achieving an AUC of 0.980, an accuracy of 96.6%, sensitivity of 96.8%, and specificity of 96.2%. Troponin and CK-MB were identified as the top predictors, confirming their established clinical relevance in MI diagnosis. In contrast, demographic and hemodynamic variables such as age and blood pressure contributed minimally. Partial dependence plots revealed non-linear effects of key biomarkers. Local explanation plots demonstrated the model’s ability to make confident, interpretable predictions for both positive and negative cases. Conclusions: The findings highlight the potential of EBM as a clinically useful and ethical AI approach for MI diagnosis. By combining high predictive accuracy with transparency, EBM supports biomarker prioritization and clinical risk stratification, thus aligning with precision medicine and responsible AI principles. Future research should validate the model on multi-center datasets and explore additional features for broader clinical use. Full article

This study investigated safety management performance in small- and medium-sized private coal mining enterprises (SMPCMEs) through an integrated application of the 24Model accident causation theory and fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA). Analyzing 40 sudden incidents (2013–2023), we examined six key factors—organizational, individual, and external dimensions—to identify nonlinear risk pathways. Results revealed four critical failure types—Internally Balanced (cultural–behavioral–environmental collapse), Safety Culture–Deficient (institutional hollowing), Cultural–External Environment (policy-implementation paradox), and External Environment–Integrated (technological-regulatory failure)—that collectively explained 83% of performance variance. Tailored strategies, including IoT-based real-time monitoring and AI-driven inspections, are proposed to transition from fragmented interventions to systemic governance. These findings provide actionable insights for enhancing safety resilience in high-risk mining sectors. Full article

Accurate spatial interpolation of environmental data requires utilizing flexible models that can capture complex spatial patterns. In this paper, we present two improved dual kriging (DK) models comprising a nonlinear trend function that combines Gaussian radial basis functions with a first-order polynomial. The proposed model, DK–RBFP, and its extension, DK–RBFPGA, which includes k-means clustering and a genetic algorithm for parameter optimization, respectively, exhibit enhanced performance in capturing spatial variation. The complete monotonicity of the covariance function and the strict positive definiteness of the coefficient matrix provide theoretical support for the uniqueness of the DK solution. When applied to datasets of PM_2.5 concentrations for northern Thailand, both models perform better than the conventional DK model using a second-order polynomial trend (DK–POLY), as evidenced by accuracy metrics including the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), the mean squared error (MSE), and the root mean square error (RMSE). The outcomes indicate that integrating nonlinear trend components with data-driven optimization significantly enhances accuracy and flexibility in environmental spatial predictions. Full article

Aiming at the characteristics of limited actuation capability of the semi-active control system and strong nonlinearity of the hydro-pneumatic suspension, a constrained nonlinear control strategy of a semi-active hydro-pneumatic suspension system is proposed. According to the mathematical model of nonlinear hydro-pneumatic suspension, the static stiffness and linear damping coefficient based on the equivalent energy are calculated, and then the control-oriented dynamic equation whose expression minimizes the nonlinear term is constructed. Combined with actuation capacity constraints, an optimization model with constraints is established to minimize the deviation between the actual overall control force and the expected optimal control force, and the optimal approximation from nonlinear control to linear quadratic optimal control is realized. The control simulation results of various methods show that the nonlinear control with constraints of the semi-active hydro-pneumatic suspension system, which effectively combines the actuation capacity constraints and nonlinear characteristics of the system, achieves a good comprehensive control effect for the nonlinear suspension control with constraints. Full article

Accurate forecasting of language service demand is essential for language industry planning and resource allocation, yet it remains challenging due to small sample sizes, noisy data, and nonlinear dynamics in industry-level time series. To enhance forecasting accuracy, this study proposes a novel hybrid forecasting framework, called the Sine Cosine Algorithm-optimized wavelet analysis-based new information priority nonhomogeneous discrete grey model (SCA–WA–NIPNDGM). By integrating wavelet-based denoising with the NIPNDGM, the model effectively extracts intrinsic signals and prioritizes recent observations to capture short-term trends while addressing nonlinear parameter estimation via heuristic optimization. Empirical studies are conducted across three high-demand sectors in China from 2000 to 2024, including manufacturing; water conservancy, environmental, and public facilities management; and wholesale and retail. The findings show that the proposed model displays superior performance to 11 benchmark grey models and five optimization algorithms across six evaluation metrics, achieving test Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) values as low as 1.2%, with strong generalization, stable iterations, and fast convergence. These results underscore its effectiveness in forecasting complex time series and offer valuable insights for language service market planning under emerging AI-driven disruptions. Full article

The retrieval mechanism of traditional CBR methods has limitations when applied to complex multi-layer objects, mainly due to their nonlinearity and emergent properties. This paper proposes an improved case-based reasoning method with cascaded retrieval (CRCBR) to address the aforementioned issues, but the non-fixed model structure makes it difficult to determine appropriate weight calculation methods for CRCBR. To tackle this problem, we propose a dynamic entropy weight method for heterogeneous multi-attribute data, which designs separate entropy calculation methods for different data types and computes weights through a flexible secondary allocation mechanism. Finally, using seven evaluation metrics and three assessment perspectives as the evaluation framework, we validate the effectiveness and superiority of our method through comparative experiments with traditional CBR and CRCBR without dynamic entropy weighting (termed the baseline method) on real-world maritime emergency data. The experimental results show that our method surpasses traditional CBR across all three evaluation perspectives, outperforms the baseline in two perspectives, and is no worse than the baseline in the remaining perspective. Full article

The transition of South Africa from coal-dependent energy systems to renewable energy alternatives presents economic and environmental trade-off complexities that require empirical investigation. This study employed threshold-switching dynamic models, NARDL analysis, and threshold Granger causality tests to investigate nonlinear relationships between renewable energy generation, economic growth, and carbon dioxide emissions in South Africa from 1980 to 2023. The threshold-switching dynamic models revealed critical structural breakpoints: a 56.4% renewable energy threshold for carbon dioxide emissions reduction, a 397.9% trade openness threshold for economic growth optimisation, and a 385.32% trade openness threshold for coal consumption transitions. The NARDL bounds test confirmed asymmetric effects in the carbon dioxide emissions and renewable energy relationship. The threshold Granger causality test established significant unidirectional causality from renewable energy to carbon dioxide emissions, economic growth to carbon dioxide emissions, and bidirectional causality between coal consumption and trade openness. However, renewable energy demonstrated no significant causal relationship with economic growth, contradicting traditional growth-led energy hypotheses. This study concluded that South Africa’s energy transition demonstrates distinct regime-dependent characteristics, with renewable energy deployment requiring critical mass thresholds to generate meaningful environmental benefits. The study recommended that optimal trade integration and renewable energy thresholds could fundamentally transform the economy’s carbon intensity while maintaining sustainable growth patterns. Full article

This study uses a U-shaped aqueduct structure in a specific irrigation area as the research object to examine the damage patterns of large-span elevated U-shaped aqueduct structures under seismic action. A single-span aqueduct model that integrates fluid–structure interaction is created with the finite element program ANSYS. The incremental dynamic analysis approach is utilized to perform nonlinear dynamic time–history assessments for three types of bearings—plate rubber bearings, pot rubber bearings and lead-core rubber bearings—under conditions of an empty condition, a half-full condition and a design water level. Seismic fragility curves for the bearings and piers subjected to transverse seismic stress are developed using capacity–demand ratio models and specified damage limit states. The findings demonstrate that the likelihood of aqueduct components being damaged increases substantially as seismic intensity increases, with bearings failing before piers. Under the conditions of empty, half-full and design water levels, the structural mass increases as a result of higher water levels. This alters the dynamic response characteristics and increases the likelihood of failure in a variety of damage states. The probability of plate rubber bearings experiencing minor damage exceedance increases from 11.75% to 61.6% as the water level rises from vacant to design conditions. Lead-core rubber bearings provide better seismic isolation than plate rubber bearings and pot rubber bearings. This greatly lowers the aqueduct structure’s displacement response and damage likelihood. Under design water level circumstances, the chance of mild damage to lead rubber bearings is 8.64%, at a peak ground acceleration of 0.4 g. The damage probabilities for the pot rubber bearings and the plate rubber bearings are 80.68% and 97.45%, respectively. The research findings establish a theoretical foundation for the seismic design and damage evaluation of aqueduct structures in places with high seismic activity, ensuring the stable operation of water transfer projects and sustainable water resource utilization, presenting considerable technical applicability. Full article

This paper investigates the joint state and fault estimation problem for a class of nonlinear systems subject to both measurement censoring (MC) and random missing measurements (MMs). Recognizing that state estimation for nonlinear systems in complex environments is frequently compromised by MMs, MC phenomena, and actuator faults, a novel joint estimation framework that integrates improved Tobit Kalman filtering and federated fusion is proposed, enabling simultaneous robust estimation of system states and fault signals. Among them, the Tobit measurement model is introduced to characterize the phenomenon of MC, a set of Bernoulli random variables is used to describe the MM phenomenon and common actuator faults (abrupt and ramp faults) are considered. In the fusion estimation stage, each sensor transmits observations to the local estimator for preliminary estimation, then sends the local estimated values to the fusion center for generating fusion estimates. The local filtering error covariance is ensured and the upper bound is minimized by reasonably determining the filter gain, while the fusion center performs fusion estimation based on the federated fusion criterion. In addition, this paper proves the boundedness of the filtering error of the designed estimator under certain conditions. Finally, the effectiveness of the estimation framework is demonstrated through two engineering experiments. Full article

Owing to its excellent crack resistance and durability, High-Performance Fiber-Reinforced Concrete (HPFRC) has been extensively applied in engineering structures exposed to extreme loading conditions. The Mode I dynamic fracture strength of HPFRC under high-strain-rate conditions exhibits significant strain-rate sensitivity and nonlinear response characteristics. However, existing experimental methods for strength measurement are limited by high costs and the absence of standardized testing protocols. Meanwhile, conventional data-driven models for strength prediction struggle to achieve both high-precision prediction and physical interpretability. To address this, this study introduces a dynamic fracture strength prediction method based on a feature-weighted linear ensemble (FWL) mechanism. A comprehensive database comprising 161 sets of high-strain-rate test data on HPFRC fracture strength was first constructed. Key modeling variables were then identified through correlation analysis and an error-driven feature selection approach. Subsequently, six representative machine learning models (KNN, RF, SVR, LGBM, XGBoost, MLPNN) were employed as base learners to construct two types of ensemble models, FWL and Voting, enabling a systematic comparison of their performance. Finally, the predictive mechanisms of the models were analyzed for interpretability at both global and local scales using SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) and LIME (Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations) methods. The results demonstrate that the FWL model achieved optimal predictive performance on the test set (R² = 0.908, RMSE = 2.632), significantly outperforming both individual models and the conventional ensemble method. Interpretability analysis revealed that strain rate and fiber volume fraction are the primary factors influencing dynamic fracture strength, with strain rate demonstrating a highly nonlinear response mechanism across different ranges. The integrated prediction framework developed in this study offers the combined advantages of high accuracy, robustness, and interpretability, providing a novel and effective approach for predicting the fracture behavior of HPFRC under high-strain-rate conditions. Full article

This study addresses the nonlinear estimation problem in the strapdown inertial navigation system (SINS) and Doppler velocity log (DVL) integrated navigation by proposing an improved filtering algorithm based on $S{E}_2(3)$ Lie group state representation. A dynamic model satisfying the group affine condition is established to systematically construct both left-invariant and right-invariant error state spaces, upon which two nonlinear filtering approaches are developed. Although the fast unscented transformation method is not novel by itself, its first integration with the $S{E}_2(3)$ Lie group model for SINS/DVL integrated navigation represents a significant advancement. Experimental results demonstrate that under large misalignment angles, the proposed method achieves slightly lower attitude errors compared to linear approaches, while also reducing position estimation errors during dynamic maneuvers. The 12,000 s endurance test confirms the algorithm’s stable long-term performance. Compared with conventional unscented Kalman filter methods, the proposed approach not only reduces computation time by 90% but also achieves real-time processing capability on embedded platforms through optimized sampling strategies and hierarchical state propagation mechanisms. These innovations provide an underwater navigation solution that combines theoretical rigor with engineering practicality, effectively overcoming the computational efficiency and dynamic adaptability limitations of traditional nonlinear filtering methods. Full article