Search Results (194)

Accurately predicting the peak height of the F2 layer (hmF₂) is crucial for radio communications, satellite navigation, and space weather studies, yet traditional empirical models often lack precision. To address this, we developed a global hmF₂ prediction model using a Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) neural network, based on COSMIC radio occultation observations from 2007 to 2023. Evaluated on independent test sets from 2014 and 2019, the MLP model achieved correlation coefficients of 0.877 and 0.853 with root mean square errors of 22.3 km and 19.1 km, respectively, significantly outperforming the machine learning approaches like XGBoost and Transformer. The model also demonstrated strong generalization on an independent validation set constructed from 2014 and 2019 GIRO data, with a correlation of 0.785 and RMSE of 26.1 km, surpassing NPHM, and XGBoost. SHAP interpretability analysis identified geographic latitude, cosine of latitude, solar F10.7 index, and annual/daily harmonic terms as the most influential physical features. Error analysis showed a mean prediction error of −3.2 km and a standard deviation of 21.8 km, with stable performance during quiet periods and larger errors primarily during disturbed conditions. This study provides a reliable tool for high-accuracy hmF₂ prediction and enhances the understanding of the physical mechanisms controlling its variability. Full article

Currently, there are no consistent earthquake precursors for early warning. However, the correlation between earthquakes and ionospheric scintillation, measured using the S₄ index via GNSS-RO, is under active study. This research analyzes S₄ anomalies as a potential earthquake proxy, using GNSS-RO data from COSMIC-2/TGRS (Tri-GNSS Radio Occultation System) collected from 2019 to 2024. It examines over 71,000 global earthquakes within ±60° of the equator with magnitudes greater than 4. The quality of S₄ anomalies has been enhanced by filtering out space-weather-induced disturbances using the daily planetary geomagnetic index (Kp) and the solar activity flag collected from ground stations. The S₄ anomalies were calculated using robust statistical methods, such as the standard deviation and the interquartile range. This study evaluated the correlation with a confusion matrix, a receiver operating characteristic curve, and various figures of merit. The results demonstrated a promising positive S₄ anomaly between 1 and 7 days before the analyzed earthquakes, indicating the potential of ionospheric scintillation as an earthquake precursor, with the robust statistical methods employed instilling confidence in the validity of our findings. Full article

This study evaluates the quality of ionosphere-corrected bending angle products from 12 satellite radio occultation (RO) missions, with data provided by the ROM SAF and CDAAC data centers. The missions include MetOp-B/C, Sentinel-6, Spire, COSMIC-2, KOMPSAT-5, and TerraSAR-X. The assessment focuses on bending angle quality control (QC), bias and noise characteristics at 65–80 km altitude, and statistical errors, with ERA5 data used as the reference. For quality control, Spire products achieved the highest pass rate, exceeding 99%. Products from the two MetOp satellites and Sentinel-6 exhibited pass rates above approximately 90%. The COSMIC-2 series had a pass rate of ~81%, while KOMPSAT-5 and TerraSAR-X had pass rates of 62% and 68%, respectively. Concerning bending angle biases, slightly larger biases were observed in MetOp setting events. Biases from other missions were mostly within the range of 0–0.05 μrad. Regarding noises, Sentinel-6 recorded the smallest bending angle noise (0.87 μrad), whereas TerraSAR-X (2.3 μrad) and KOMPSAT-5 (1.9 μrad) showed the largest noise magnitudes. Systematic differences in bending angles from all 12 RO missions were generally consistent below 60 km, while their standard deviations show good consistency below 35 km. In the middle stratosphere (35–50 km), MetOp-B/C and Sentinel-6 displayed the smallest standard deviations. Spire values are 1–2% larger, COSMIC-2 values 5–10% larger, and TerraSAR-X values the largest. Since ERA5 data also contain inherent uncertainties, particularly above 60 km, the findings of this study can only serve as a preliminary reference for users applying these datasets in weather and climate research. Future work will investigate the detailed causes of discrepancies among different datasets at high altitudes. Full article

This study investigates the temporal and latitudinal variability of the ionosphere over the Indian longitude region during the intense geomagnetic storm from 1 to 3 June 2025, using GNSS receiver observations and magnetometer recordings, along with space-based measurements from in situ Swarm satellite, COSMIC-2 radio occultation, GUVI/TIMED-derived O/N₂ ratios, and model-derived electric fields. This particular event is relatively new and is characterized by the bifurcated variation with two distinct main phases separated by a short-lived recovery phase. The results revealed distinct features associated with the geomagnetic storm, including positive and negative ionospheric phases, thermospheric compositional changes, and the latitudinal propagation of disturbances. On 1 June, the observed strong positive ionospheric storm was driven by Prompt Penetration Electric Fields (PPEFs) and equatorward neutral winds, which triggered the upliftment of F-region plasma to higher altitudes through the enhanced equatorial fountain effect, leading to an unusually long-lasting Total Electron Content (TEC) enhancement from day to night. The analysis also revealed the distinct latitudinal behaviour, exhibiting the clear poleward extension of the Equatorial Ionization Anomaly (EIA) crest and significant TEC enhancements (~150–200% of the quiet day values) from low to mid latitudes as compared to the equatorial location through an efficient plasma redistribution. Conversely, pronounced negative ionospheric storm effect at almost all latitudinal locations on 2 June confirms complex and unusual storm-time dynamics, with inhibited upward plasma drifts due to the presence of Disturbance Dynamo Electric Fields (DDEFs), while the thermospheric O/N₂ ratio caused an extensive decrease in electron density over the Indian region. Minor negative storm noticed on 3 June coincides with the storm recovery period, reflecting prolonged disturbance dynamo effects and gradual recovery in thermospheric conditions. Overall, the current study highlights the strong sensitivity of the regional ionosphere to prevailing coupled electrodynamic-thermospheric forcing during the June 2025 geomagnetic storm that has not yet been reported for this event over the Indian longitude sector. Moreover, the findings from this study underscore peculiar storm-time behaviour of summer solstice ionosphere over the Indian longitude sector, driven by complex coupled processes which could be incorporated into ionospheric models and forecasting frameworks. Full article

Simulated impact multipath (SIM) occurs when forward operators propagate Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) radio occultation (RO) signals through strongly nonspherical atmospheric structures, producing multivalued bending angles that cannot be assimilated directly. In this study, the relationships between SIM and planetary boundary layer (PBL) structures were quantified using COSMIC-2 RO observations and ERA5 reanalysis during two periods (January and July 2022). The results show that SIM affects ~36% of RO profiles, with more than 70% of cases occurring within 0.5 km above the diagnosed PBL top. By defining the simulated impact multipath height (SIMH) as the first detection level of SIM, we found that discarding data below the SIMH reduces bending angle biases by more than half and substantially decreases their scatter. These results provide direct physical evidence linking SIM to strong vertical gradients near PBL structures and establish a quantitative basis for simple, effective quality control, thereby improving weather prediction, particularly in the data-sparse tropical lower troposphere. Full article

Radio occultation (RO) is a technique used for measuring planetary atmosphere properties by orbiting satellites, like temperature, pressure, and water vapor. Typically using Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) signals, this technique is often assessed with atmospheric properties measured by radiosonde (RS) stations around the world. The aim of this study is to assess the radio occultation temperature and pressure profiles from the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere and Climate 2 (COSMIC-2) and Korean Multi-purpose Satellite 5 (KOMPSAT-5) satellites using data from collocated radiosonde stations over the Philippines. Their deviations are analyzed using their mean and standard deviations. COSMIC-2 and KOMPSAT-5 temperature and pressure from the atmPrf product are in good agreement with radiosondes above 5–10 km, where moisture is negligible. COSMIC-2 has good agreement with radiosonde stations in 2020. KOMPSAT-5 has good agreement with radiosonde stations in 2019–2020. For both satellites, the deviations are larger within the lower troposphere, compared to heights above ~5–10 km. For both years, KOMPSAT-5 deviations are higher during the summer season until 10 km. For COSMIC-2, deviations are higher during the summer and autumn seasons. The quality of these results shows COSMIC and KOMPSAT as possible high-quality applications for weather prediction. In addition to providing comparable high-precision data, radio occultation can provide more dense coverage of areas without radiosondes. Full article

Background/Objectives: The extensive use of computed tomography (CT) has led to a significant increase in the detection of small and non-palpable pulmonary nodules, necessitating the use of invasive methods for definitive diagnosis. Video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (VATS) has become the preferred procedure for nodule resections; however, intraoperative localization remains challenging, especially for deep or subsolid lesions. This study explores whether SPECT/CT improves the technical and clinical outcomes of radio-guided occult lesion localization (ROLL) before uniportal video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (u-VATS). Methods: This is a retrospective study involving consecutive patients referred for the resection of pulmonary nodules who underwent CT-guided ROLL followed by u-VATS between September 2017 and December 2024. From January 2023, SPECT/CT was systematically added after planar imaging. The cohort was divided into a planar group and a planar + SPECT/CT group. The inclusion criteria involved nodules sized ≤ 2 cm, with ground glass or solid characteristics, located at a depth of <6 cm from the pleural surface. ^99mTc-MAA injected activity, timing, the classification of planar and SPECT/CT image findings (focal uptake, multisite with focal uptake, multisite without focal uptake), spillage, and post-procedure complications were evaluated. Statistical analysis was performed, with continuous data expressed as the median and categorical data as the number. Comparisons were made using chi-square tests for categorical variables and the Mann–Whitney U test for procedural duration. Cohen’s kappa coefficient was calculated to assess agreement between imaging modalities. Results: In total, 125 patients were selected for CT-guided radiotracer injection followed by uniportal-VATS. The planar group and planar + SPECT/CT group comprised 60 and 65 patients, respectively. Focal uptake was detected in 68 (54%), multisite with focal uptake in 46 (36.8%), and multisite without focal uptake in 11 patients (8.8%). In comparative analyses between planar and SPECT/CT imaging in 65 patients, 91% exhibited focal uptake, revealing significant differences in classification for 40% of the patients. SPECT/CT corrected the classification of 23 patients initially categorized as multisite with focal uptake to focal uptake, improving localization accuracy. The mean procedure duration was 39 min with SPECT/CT. Pneumothorax was more frequently detected with SPECT/CT (43% vs. 1.6%). The intraoperative localization success rate was 96%. Conclusions: SPECT/CT imaging in the ROLL procedure for detecting pulmonary nodules before u-VATs demonstrates a significant advantage in reclassifying radiotracer positioning compared to planar imaging. Considering its limited impact on surgical success rates and additional procedural time, SPECT/CT should be reserved for technically challenging cases. Larger sample sizes, multicentric and prospective randomized studies, and formal cost–utility analyses are warranted. Full article

The impacts of the solar eclipse that occurred on 8 April 2024 over the United States on various atmospheric parameters are investigated. We analyzed surface and vertical profiles of temperature and humidity to understand how this eclipse affected the atmosphere from the ground to the stratosphere. Our findings show a significant response throughout the atmospheric range. The eclipse caused a decrease in shortwave radiation, leading to cooler Earth surfaces and a subsequent drop in surface temperature. This cooling effect also resulted in high relative humidity and lower wind speeds at the surface. Furthermore, GPS radio occultation data from COSMIC-2 revealed a decrease in tropospheric temperature and increase in stratospheric temperature during the eclipse. We also observed a reduction in both the temperature and height of the tropopause. The uniqueness of the present investigations lies in delineating the solar eclipse’s effects on the land and ocean. Our analysis indicates that land regions experienced a more pronounced temperature change compared to ocean regions. Full article

While space weather indices (e.g., F10.7, Dst index) are commonly employed to characterize ionospheric activity levels, the Global Mean Electron Content (GMEC) provides a more direct and comprehensive indicator of the global ionospheric state. This metric demonstrates greater potential than space weather indices for calibrating empirical ionospheric models such as IRI-2020. The COSMIC-2 constellation enables continuous, all-weather global ionospheric monitoring via radio occultation, unimpeded by land–sea distribution constraints, with over 8000 daily occultation events suitable for GMEC modeling. This study developed two lightweight GMEC models using COSMIC-2 data: (1) a POD GMEC model based on slant TEC (STEC) extracted from Level 1b podTc2 products and (2) a PROF GMEC model derived from vertical TEC (VTEC) calculated from electron density profiles (EDPs) in Level 2 ionPrf products. Both backpropagation neural network (BPNN)-based models generate hourly GMEC outputs as global spatial averages. Critically, GMEC serves as an essential intermediate step that addresses the challenges of utilizing spatially irregular occultation data by compressing COSMIC-2’s ionospheric information into an integrated metric. Building on this compressed representation, we implemented a convolutional neural network (CNN) that incorporates GMEC as an auxiliary feature to calibrate IRI-2020’s global ionospheric maps. This approach enables computationally efficient correction of systemic IRI TEC errors. Experimental results demonstrate (i) 48.5% higher accuracy in POD/PROF GMEC relative to IRI-2020 GMEC estimates, and (ii) the calibrated global IRI TEC model (designated GCIRI TEC) reduces errors by 50.15% during geomagnetically quiet periods and 28.5% during geomagnetic storms compared to the original IRI model. Full article

Knowledge of ionospheric plasma altitudinal distribution is crucial for the effective operation of radio wave propagation, communication, and navigation systems. High-frequency sounding radars—ionosondes—provide unbiased benchmark measurements of ionospheric plasma density due to a direct relationship between the frequency of sound waves and ionospheric electron density. But ground-based ionosonde observations are limited by the F2 layer peak height and cannot probe the topside ionosphere. GNSS Radio Occultation (RO) onboard Low-Earth-Orbiting satellites can provide measurements of plasma distribution from the lower ionosphere up to satellite orbit altitudes (~500–600 km). The main goal of this study is to investigate opportunities to obtain full observation-based ionospheric electron density profiles (EDPs) by combining advantages of ground-based ionosondes and GNSS RO. We utilized the high-rate Ebre and El Arenosillo ionosonde observations and COSMIC-2 RO EDPs colocated over the ionosonde’s area of operation. Using two types of ionospheric remote sensing techniques, we demonstrated how to create the combined ionospheric EDPs based solely on real high-quality observations from both the bottomside and topside parts of the ionosphere. Such combined EDPs can serve as an analogy for incoherent scatter radar-derived “full profiles”, providing a reference for the altitudinal distribution of ionospheric plasma density. Using the combined reference EDPs, we analyzed the performance of the International Reference Ionosphere model to evaluate model–data discrepancies. Hence, these new profiles can play a significant role in validating empirical models of the ionosphere towards their further improvements. Full article

The atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) and tropopause play critical roles in weather formation and climate change. This study initially focuses on the ABL height (ABLH), tropopause height (TPH), and temperature (TPT) retrieved from the integrated radio occultation (RO) profiles from FY-3E, FY-3F, and FY-3G satellites during September 2022 to August 2024. All three FY-3 series satellites are equipped with the RO payload of Global Navigation Satellite System Radio Occultation Sounder-II (GNOS-II), which includes open-loop tracking RO observations from the BeiDou navigation satellite system (BDS) and the Global Positioning System (GPS). The wavelet covariance transform method was used to determine the ABL top, and the temperature lapse rate was applied to judge the tropopause. Results show that the maximum ABL detection rate of FY-3/GNOS-II RO can reach up to 76% in the subtropical eastern Pacific, southern hemisphere Atlantic, and eastern Indian Ocean. The ABLH is highly consistent with the collocated radiosonde observations and presents distinct seasonal variations. The TPH retrieved from FY-3/GNOS-II RO profiles is in agreement with the radiosonde-derived TPH, and both TPH and TPT from RO profiles display well-defined spatial structures. From 45°S to 45°N and south of 55°S, the annual cycle of the TPT is negatively correlated with the TPH. This study substantiates the promising performance of FY-3/GNOS-II RO measurements in observing the ABL and tropopause, which can be incorporated into the weather and climate systems. Full article

Climate change monitoring and analysis is a critical task that involves the consideration of both spatial and temporal dimensions. Theimproved spatial distribution of the global navigation satellite system (GNSS) ground-based Continuous Operating Reference (COR) stations can lead to enhanced results when coupled with a continuous flow of data over time. In Africa, a significant number of COR stations do not operate continuously and lack collocation with meteorological sensors essential for climate studies. Consequently, Africa faces challenges related to inadequate spatial distribution and temporal data flow from GNSS ground-based stations, impacting climate change monitoring and analysis. This research delves into the pattern of GNSS radio occultation (RO) data across Africa, addressing the limitations of the GNSS ground-based data for climate change research. The spatial analysis employed Ripley’s F-, G-, K-, and L-functions, along with calculations of nearest neighbour and Kernel density. The analysis yielded a Moran’s p-value of 0.001 and a Moran’s I-value approaching 1.0. For temporal analysis, the study investigated the data availability period of selected GNSS RO missions. Additionally, it examined seasonal temperature variations from May 2001 to May 2023, showcasing alignment with findings from other researchers worldwide. Hence, this study suggests the utilisation of GNSS RO missions/campaigns like METOP and COSMIC owing to their superior spatial and temporal resolution. Full article

Previous lunar missions, such as Surveyor, Apollo, and the Lunar Atmosphere and Dust Environment Explorer (LADEE), have played a pivotal role in advancing our understanding of the lunar exosphere’s dynamics and its relationship with solar wind flux. The insights gained from these missions have laid a strong foundation for our current knowledge. However, due to insufficient near-surface observations, the scientific community has faced challenges in interpreting the phenomena of lunar dust lofting and levitation. This paper introduces the concept of signals of opportunity (SoOP), which utilizes radio occultation (RO) to retrieve the near-surface dust density profile on the Moon. Gravity Recovery and Interior Laboratory (GRAIL) radio science beacon (RSB) signals are used to demonstrate this method. By mapping the concentration of lunar near-surface dust using RO, we aim to enhance our understanding of how charged lunar dust interacts with surrounding plasma, thereby contributing to future research in this field and supporting human exploration of the Moon. Additionally, the introduced SoOP will be able to provide observational constraints to physical model development related to lunar surface particle sputtering and the reactions of near-surface dust in the presence of solar wind and electrostatically charged dust grains. Full article

This study proposes a deep learning-based vertical decomposition model for ionospheric Total Electron Content (TEC), which establishes a nonlinear mapping from macroscale TEC data to vertically layered electron density (Ne) spanning 60–800 km by integrating geomagnetic indices (AE, SYM-H) and solar activity parameters (F10.7). Utilizing global TEC grid data (spatiotemporal resolution: 1 h/5.625° × 2.8125°) provided by the International GNSS Service (IGS), a Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) model was developed, taking spatiotemporal coordinates, altitude, and space environment parameters as inputs to predict logarithmic electron density ln(Ne). Experimental validation against COSMIC-2 radio occultation observations in 2019 demonstrates the model’s capability to capture ionospheric vertical structures, with a prediction performance significantly outperforming the International Reference Ionosphere model IRI-2020: root mean square error (RMSE) decreased by 34.16%, and the coefficient of determination (R²) increased by 28.45%. This method overcomes the reliance of traditional electron density inversion on costly radar or satellite observations, enabling high-spatiotemporal-resolution global ionospheric profile reconstruction using widely available GNSS-TEC data. It provides a novel tool for space weather warning and shortwave communication optimization. Current limitations include insufficient physical interpretability and prediction uncertainty in GNSS-sparse regions, which could be mitigated in future work through the integration of physical constraints and multi-source data assimilation. Full article

Atmospheric Rivers (ARs) transport significant amounts of moisture and cause extreme precipitation events, yet their behavior over Africa is not well understood. This study addresses this gap by analyzing the occurrence, seasonal variability, and spatial dynamics of ARs across the continent from 2009 to 2019. Utilizing ERA5 reanalysis data, Global Navigation Satellite Systems Radio Occultation (GNSS RO) measurements, and the Image-Processing-based Atmospheric River Tracking (IPART) method, distinct seasonal AR patterns are identified. Southern Africa experiences peak activity during austral summer, while AR occurrence in Northern Africa peaks in boreal winter and spring, aligning with regional rainy seasons. Moisture sources include the Atlantic Ocean, the Arabian Sea, and the Red Sea. A comparison of ERA5 Integrated Water Vapor (IWV) estimates with high-resolution GNSS RO data shows that both datasets effectively capture broad-scale moisture patterns. However, ERA5 consistently delivers higher IWV values compared to GNSS RO, which is likely due to underrepresentation of GNSS RO IWV values, since profiles generally do not reach all the way down to the surface—but also due to an overrepresentation of humidity in the ERA5 reanalyses. Understanding AR dynamics in Africa is essential to improve climate resilience, water management and understanding extreme precipitation events. Full article