Search Results (466)

This research provides an extensive evaluation of liquefaction induced by earthquakes in the Ionian Islands, specifically Lefkada, Cephalonia, Ithaki, and Zakynthos, through the compilation of a liquefaction inventory and GIS-based liquefaction susceptibility index (LiSI) maps. A total of 49 liquefaction sites from 20 causative earthquakes confirm that liquefaction is a recurrent geohazard in the area, primarily affecting coastal and low-lying areas with unconsolidated post-alpine deposits. The relationship between earthquake magnitude and maximum epicentral distance of observed liquefaction is consistent with global empirical datasets, indicating that moderate to strong earthquakes (M_w = 5.9–7.4) can induce liquefaction at considerable distances. The susceptibility model integrates eleven conditioning variables, classified as geological and geomorphological variables, hydrological indices and optical satellite imagery-derived data, within an analytic hierarchy process (AHP) framework. Lithology, age, and geomorphological unit emerged as the dominant conditioning variables. The LiSI maps confirm the zones previously identified in the inventory. Model validation and sensitivity analysis including confusion matrix components, key performance metrics and ROC analysis in coarser grid sizes demonstrate performance ranging from excellent (Zakynthos) to moderate (Lefkada and Cephalonia), while remaining inconclusive for Ithaki due to data limitations. The model exhibits generally conservative behavior, characterized by high precision and specificity but variable sensitivity, while it is largely stable across spatial resolutions in most cases. Full article

The Tuzla Submarine Landslide represents one of the most significant mass-wasting features associated with the active North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ). The failure surface geometry and sediment stratigraphy indicate the presence of a mechanically weak, saturated layer that may become unstable under strong seismic loading. This study presents a comprehensive geotechnical evaluation of the Tuzla Submarine Landslide. Based on regional sediment properties, the landslide was characterized and modeled with an estimated volume of 0.015 km³ and an average slope angle of 14°. The submarine landslide potential was investigated through re-analysis of seismic, geotechnical, and bathymetric datasets. Finite Element Method (FEM) simulations were conducted to model the seismic slope failure. Based on these analyses, the seismic slope displacements, stress distributions, and equivalent plastic strains were identified. The estimated landslide displacements under varying seismic acceleration scenarios corresponding to three major earthquakes ranged between 2.38 m and 4.12 m, depending on the triggering ground motion and slope stability conditions. These findings highlight that reactivation of the Tuzla submarine landslide, potentially triggered by a future large earthquake along the NAFZ, could pose a moderate landslide hazard to the coastal settlements bordering the Marmara Sea. Full article

Mountainous areas are prone to extreme climatic conditions, and the lack of modern infrastructure makes it difficult to achieve sustainable construction. To overcome the challenges of thermal comfort, robustness, and post-occupancy performance in hazard zones like the Neelum Valley in Pakistan, this research proposes a Digital–Vernacular Integration Model (DVIM), which integrates traditional architectural expertise with modern digital technology. The research design was based on mixed-methods research with the integration of qualitative information obtained through interviews and household surveys (n = 120), and quantitative measures of indoor thermal environments and hazards-based spatial analysis. Vernacular buildings made of wood, stone, and mud were digitally reconstructed using geometric modeling with SketchUp and Autodesk Revit with building information (BIM)-based modeling for assigning materials’ properties. Simulations were carried out using DesignBuilder software with EnergyPlus engines for assessing thermal environment, snow resistance, and seismic resistance to local hazards. The incorporation of the double-layered wall resulted in the improvement of heat retention by 12 to 15%. Moreover, the optimized roof and walls of the hybrid model resulted in the reduction of the sensible heating demand by 42% when compared to the conventional log houses and nearly 80% when compared to the conventional concrete block houses of the modern era. The proposed hybrid model resulted in R-values ranging from 33 to 40 m²·K/W, which are significantly higher when compared to the R-values for conventional timber walls (R = 15 m²·K/W) and concrete block walls (R = 1.0 to 1.3 m²·K/W). These results show the effectiveness of the digitally optimized hybrid model in improving the thermal performance in severe climatic conditions. The results clearly show that the integration of traditional architecture with digital simulation can ensure that modern comfort and safety standards are met without affecting the cultural identity of the region. The proposed framework will be implemented in pilot projects to ensure that the hybrid architectural models are incorporated into regional building regulations. Full article

Soft-ground-story configurations in high-rise buildings present a critical vulnerability during seismic events, often leading to disproportionate structural damage and collapse. This study focuses on the systematic identification of soft-ground-story high-rise structures in Bucharest, a city located in a high seismic hazard zone influenced by Vrancea intermediate-depth earthquakes. The research employs a multi-step methodology combining field surveys, structural documentation, and analysis of architectural layouts from various sources to detect soft-ground-story irregularities across the urban building stock in Bucharest. The findings reveal that such configurations remain prevalent in mixed-use structures along major boulevards, where open ground floors were historically favoured for commercial purposes. The results provide a database of soft-ground-story high-rise buildings in Bucharest, highlighting their prevalence in distinct urban districts and their potential impact on seismic risk. Quantitative screening indicators, vertical element area ratio and mean axial stress in ground-story columns, are proposed for rapid vulnerability assessment. Dynamic measurements confirm a 33–38% increase in fundamental eigenperiods after the 1977 earthquake, indicating moderate-to-extensive damage states. These findings underscore the urgent need for targeted retrofitting strategies and inform seismic risk mitigation policies. The study provides a foundation for future integration of advanced diagnostic tools, such as image-based deep learning and vibration monitoring, into citywide seismic resilience planning. Full article

Long-span bridges are critical components of transportation infrastructure because they promote efficient connectivity between agricultural production centers, tourist destinations, and major urban areas. To construct these structures, the balanced cantilever method is widely used; however, the lack of rigid longitudinal connections between the pylons and the deck often allows for large displacement demands during seismic activities. Fluid viscous dampers (FVDs) are employed to mitigate these effects. This study investigates the impact of using FVDs at the abutments of the Hisgaura cable-stayed bridge located on the Curos-Malaga corridor in the department of Santander, Colombia. A nonlinear response history analysis was conducted using seismic records from crustal sources, scaled to the local seismic hazard, and performed in SAP2000©. The results indicate that the presence of FVDs does not adversely affect the axial forces in the stay cables under the Extreme Event Limit State I. Furthermore, demand reductions were observed at the pylon closest to the abutment (Pylon 4). Under critical seismic records, reductions of up to 81.95% in relative deck-pylon displacement, 62.17% in bending moment, and 58.46% in base shear were achieved. These findings demonstrate an improved global structural behavior under severe seismic loading conditions. Full article

This study presents a comprehensive multi-parameter analysis of seismo-ionospheric responses to the Mw 7.7 Myanmar earthquake on 28 March 2025, using GNSS-based Total Electron Content (TEC) data, seismic b-value trends, and acoustic gravity wave (AGW) signatures. A significant negative TEC anomaly (~30 TECU below the statistical threshold) was detected on 25 March, three days before the mainshock under geomagnetically quiet conditions, indicating a lithospheric origin. Concurrent variations in the Ionospheric Disturbance Index (IDI) and Rate of TEC Index (ROTI) indicate pronounced background departures and enhanced short-term variability during the preparation phase. Temporal b-value analysis shows a consistent decline from 1.12 to 0.58 across the 30-year to 6-month windows, with the lowest values clustering near the epicenter, indicating progressive stress accumulation. Spatial b-value mapping further reveals a low b-value zone overlapping the region of TEC depletion, while the Relative Seismic Hazard Index (RSHI) highlights high-hazard zones aligned with the epicentral area. Kernel density estimation (KDE) supports this coupling by showing a dominant low-b, low-vTEC cluster, consistent with linked lithospheric stress and ionospheric depletion. Overall, the integrated GNSS and seismic analyses demonstrate the value of multi-domain observations for characterizing earthquake preparation processes, highlighting a coherent physical linkage between crustal stress accumulation and ionospheric depletion that can enhance short-term seismic hazard assessment. Full article

This study presents a probabilistic assessment of seismic loss and recovery for residential buildings in Bucharest, Romania, using the FEMA P-58 framework implemented in SP3. A typology set is developed to represent the building stock, accounting for structural system, construction period, and height. The analysis evaluates scenario-based losses, functional recovery times, and expected annual loss (EAL) across seismic hazard levels representative of Vrancea earthquakes. Results show that frame-based systems are highly sensitive to building height, with the highest losses and longest recovery times in older mid- and high-rise buildings. For pre-1990 construction, masonry-infilled reinforced concrete frames are more representative than bare frames and drive the vulnerability of the older building stock. Reinforced concrete shear wall systems perform better, with lower losses and faster recovery across all categories. Nonstructural damage, especially drift-sensitive components, is a contributor to both repair cost and downtime. The results are interpreted comparatively, highlighting the role of structural system, code era, and height. While absolute values depend on modeling assumptions, the study provides a consistent basis for identifying vulnerable typologies and supporting risk mitigation and resilience planning. Full article

Because of concentrated connection damage, the impact of sequential hazards on CLT shear wall systems is much more severe than that on traditional concrete and steel structures considering ductile component behaviors. The present paper evaluated the dynamic response of CLT wall structures in wind-only and sequential seismic–wind scenarios and compared the structural dynamic responses and damage levels of different CLT wall systems. The structural models were established separately based on an SOM benchmark structure, a SOFIE project three-story CLT shear wall structure, and a PT CLT wall platform structure from the NHERI Tall Wood project. The equivalent fluctuating wind load was calculated with the ASCE 7 average wind speed, the reference ESDU wind profile, calibrated wind pressure distribution, and simulated fluctuation from the NatHaz Online Wind Simulator. The sequential load was applied to the structural models in the order of seismic excitation, resting time, and then dynamic wind load. The dynamic responses of different CLT wall structures were compared among loading scenarios with increasing seismic and wind intensities. The wind-excited peak story displacement and acceleration for both CLT structures were significantly magnified in the sequential seismic–wind scenarios compared with the wind-only scenarios. The simulation results indicated that the sequential seismic–wind scenarios caused significant acceleration in damaged connections for the conventional CLT shear wall structure. The PT CLT wall structure had minor displacement and acceleration, which were linear to the wind loading factors. For the conventional CLT shear wall structure, the magnification of the acceleration was found to have a strong correlation with the natural frequencies of the damaged structure. This study demonstrated that the wind responses of the PT wall structures were in a safe range after the seismic event, and conventional CLT wall structures need to be re-evaluated under sequential scenarios for structural resilience assessment. Full article

The Longmen Shan Fault Zone is marked by intricate geological structures and frequent seismic activity, which gives rise to persistent seismic hazards. To tackle the challenge of capturing the multi-temporal characteristics of earthquake frequency, this study combines machine learning with time series analysis to conduct earthquake frequency prediction research. Based on the 1970–2023 seismic dataset from the China Earthquake Networks Center, the seismic records were structured into four temporal scales: daily, weekly, monthly and quarterly. The minimum completeness magnitude (Mc) was determined as M3.0 by applying the G–R relationship. After conducting white noise tests and data normalization, ACF and PACF were utilized to select the optimal time-step parameters for the LSTM model. Considering the inherent characteristics of the seismic data, the 99th percentile of the frequency series was set as the threshold, and an auxiliary parameter was introduced to label high-frequency earthquake days for the construction of the LSTM model. Upon the completion of LSTM model fitting, heteroscedasticity tests were performed on the residuals between the predicted and observed values. Confirming the presence of significant heteroscedasticity, the GARCH model was incorporated to process these residuals, thus establishing a complete LSTM-GARCH coupled model. The results reveal that seismic activity in this region is normally low-frequency with occasional high-frequency occurrences. The proposed model achieves R² above 0.80 across all four temporal scales, accompanied by superior performance in all error metrics. This study validates that the LSTM-GARCH model can effectively extract the multi-scale patterns of earthquake frequency, with the best performance observed at the daily scale. Ablation experiments further demonstrate that this coupled model outperforms both the ARIMA and single LSTM models, providing reliable technical support for short-to-long-term earthquake prediction and regional disaster risk assessment. Full article

Response spectra (RS) provide an efficient link between earthquake ground motions and structural demand. Still, rare event screening for long-period, resonance-sensitive systems is often approximated by applying uniform multipliers to a design-basis earthquake (DBE) spectrum to represent beyond-design-basis earthquake (BDBE) levels. This paper develops critical excitation (CE) based response spectra (CE-RS) as a spectrum-format, low-overhead screening tool that makes period-local resonance sensitivity explicit while remaining anchored to code-defined hazard levels. This paper develops CE-RS as a response-spectrum-based screening tool for identifying period-local resonance sensitivity at code-defined hazard levels by using the CE framework to search, within an admissible set defined by bounded power spectral density (PSD) content and intensity constraints, for the input that maximizes structural response. Code-based target spectra are adopted as hazard anchors, consistent with the intent of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), at representative sites in Australia (Canberra; AS 1170.4:2024, Site Class Be) and the United States (San Francisco; ASCE/SEI 7-22, Site Class BC). For each site, a spectrum-compatible seed accelerogram is generated to reproduce the 5% damped target spectrum and to calibrate admissible-set bounds using peak ground acceleration (PGA), peak ground velocity (PGV), and Arias intensity. CE is then performed period-by-period over the long-period range to obtain CE-RS ordinates, which are compared with the DBE target and conventional BDBE-type references formed by uniform spectrum scaling. The resulting framework provides a code-comparable, site-anchored interpretation of long-period demand influenced by resonance effects, supporting rapid prioritization in preliminary design and in the screening of existing long-period-sensitive infrastructure for strengthening/rehabilitation. Full article

Landslide hazard potential is high across the St. Lawrence lowlands of Québec, Canada, due to sensitive glaciomarine clay deposits and the presence of moderate seismic activity, causing slope failures in the region. The main objectives of the study are to develop a working database for landslides in the region and use that database to improve regional landslide susceptibility analysis. Using high-resolution (1 m by 1 m cells) digital terrain models dated from 2009 and validated with satellite photogrammetry from 2012, a landslide inventory of 263 cases related to the 2010 Val-des-Bois earthquake (moment magnitude 5.0) is created. Relationships between landslide susceptibility factors, such as slope angle, and seismic conditioning factors, such as peak ground acceleration, are examined through machine learning methods. For landslide detection, an overall accuracy of approximately 85% (AUC 0.914) is achieved using random forest and logistic regression models cross-validated through 5-fold analysis, showing improvement over the currently employed Hazus method, which achieves an accuracy of approximately 67%. From a regional perspective, the developed inventory and resultant susceptibility models are unique and form the foundation for future studies to improve the understanding of earthquake-induced landslides in the Western Québec Seismic Zone, which historically lacks detailed landslide inventories. Full article

Piping systems in critical facilities, such as power plants, hospitals, and industrial sites, are essential nonstructural components determining operational continuity during seismic events. Past earthquake events, including those at Northridge, Kobe, and Chile, have repeatedly demonstrated the vulnerability of sprinklers and utility piping, wherein leakage and connection failures led to severe secondary hazards. However, existing conventional seismic evaluations based on equivalent static loading are limited in capturing the frequency-dependent dynamic characteristics and resonance potential of inherently multi-degree-of-freedom piping structures. This study proposes a modal-based dynamic screening approach to pre-emptively identify resonance-prone frequency bands by incorporating the frequency characteristics of representative earthquakes recorded in South Korea. Water supply, sprinkler, and cooling water piping systems were analyzed using three key indicators: effective modal mass participation, cumulative effective modal mass ratios, and directional translational components of mode shapes. The results demonstrate that the proposed dynamic screening approach effectively identifies resonance vulnerabilities across different piping configurations, proving its utility as a more precise seismic screening tool compared to conventional methods. This study underscores the practical necessity of modal analysis as a preliminary step for advanced dynamic evaluations and provides a rational framework for enhancing the seismic safety of nonstructural components in critical facilities. Full article

Mexicali, capital of Baja California, has 1,049,792 inhabitants and lies in a high-seismic-hazard zone in northwestern Mexico, according to CENAPRED, the MDOC-CFE-2015 seismic regionalization, and the ASCE 7-22 “Hazard Toolkit”. This study develops a probabilistic seismic hazard map to estimate peak ground accelerations with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years, using the OpenQuake platform. The study area coincides with the 2025 urban development plan polygon for the central population area defined by the Municipal Institute for Research and Urban Planning of Mexicali. The Imperial and Cerro Prieto faults, the Pescaderos–Indiviso fault system, and the Laguna Salada fault were modeled as seismic sources. Four PEER-NGA ground motion prediction equations and regional geophysical and geotechnical data were employed to characterize shear-wave velocity (Vs30). Design response spectra were generated for each grid point for the 21 periods specified in ASCE 7-22. A representative Vs30 of 236 m/s was obtained, and the a, b, and Mc parameters were derived for the seismic catalog. Resulting peak ground accelerations range from 0.842 g to 1.221 g, with a maximum spectral pseudo-acceleration of 2.23 g at 0.30 s. Full article

Seismic wave analysis is crucial for identifying subsurface formations and geological hazards. In this study, a seismic wave laser remote sensing system based on a Shack–Hartmann wavefront sensor was established by exploiting its high spatial resolution, array-based detection capability, and independent microlens spot centroid measurement. This method was employed to analyze the correlation characteristics among vibration-related physical variables. Experiments were conducted to assess the quantitative correlation between vibration amplitude and spot centroid shift by the Shack–Hartmann wavefront sensor across a range of 0.06–5.94 mm. Accordingly, based on the measured centroid shift, vibration velocity was derived and validated through comparison with reference vibrometer measurements. In addition, the correlation between vibration amplitude and vibration velocity was systematically analyzed. The experimental results demonstrate strong linear correlation between amplitude and both spot centroid shift and vibration velocity, with coefficients of determination $R^2$ exceeding 0.98. The vibration velocity obtained by the proposed system shows strong agreement with vibrometer data, confirming its effectiveness for low-frequency vibration detection. Measurement accuracy can be further improved by reducing noise. These results indicate that the proposed approach provides a promising laser remote sensing solution for seismic wave detection. Full article

Nonlinear seismic analysis procedures can accurately estimate structural responses but are computationally intensive, making them impractical for engineering design. This study provides the first comprehensive evaluation of N2 and modal pushover analysis for eccentrically braced frames (EBFs), revealing their strengths and limitations in predicting link rotations, shear demands, and drift distribution under Canadian seismic hazards. Analyzed were four-, eight-, and 14-storey chevron EBFs under real and artificial ground motions compatible with the response spectrum of Vancouver, Canada. The findings indicate that inelastic link rotations for all EBFs remain below the design limit of 0.08 rad, except for the upper two floors of the 14-storey EBFs. Seismic analysis reveals that maximum inelastic link shear forces often exceed design recommendations. It is also observed that both the N2 method and MPA procedure could reasonably predict the peak roof displacements for low-rise EBF buildings. In addition, while the MPA procedure provides better predictions of maximum inter-storey drifts over all storeys for medium-to-taller EBFs, inter-storey drifts are not predicted well in the N2 method. Additionally, the current code formula for estimating the fundamental period of EBFs predicts shorter periods than those obtained from analysis. An improved formula for estimating EBF periods is proposed. Full article