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32 pages, 3675 KB  
Article
Gibbs Quantum Fields Computed by Action Mechanics Recycle Emissions Absorbed by Greenhouse Gases, Optimising the Elevation of the Troposphere and Surface Temperature Using the Virial Theorem
by Ivan R. Kennedy, Migdat Hodzic and Angus N. Crossan
Thermo 2025, 5(3), 25; https://doi.org/10.3390/thermo5030025 - 22 Jul 2025
Viewed by 411
Abstract
Atmospheric climate science lacks the capacity to integrate thermodynamics with the gravitational potential of air in a classical quantum theory. To what extent can we identify Carnot’s ideal heat engine cycle in reversible isothermal and isentropic phases between dual temperatures partitioning heat flow [...] Read more.
Atmospheric climate science lacks the capacity to integrate thermodynamics with the gravitational potential of air in a classical quantum theory. To what extent can we identify Carnot’s ideal heat engine cycle in reversible isothermal and isentropic phases between dual temperatures partitioning heat flow with coupled work processes in the atmosphere? Using statistical action mechanics to describe Carnot’s cycle, the maximum rate of work possible can be integrated for the working gases as equal to variations in the absolute Gibbs energy, estimated as sustaining field quanta consistent with Carnot’s definition of heat as caloric. His treatise of 1824 even gave equations expressing work potential as a function of differences in temperature and the logarithm of the change in density and volume. Second, Carnot’s mechanical principle of cooling caused by gas dilation or warming by compression can be applied to tropospheric heat–work cycles in anticyclones and cyclones. Third, the virial theorem of Lagrange and Clausius based on least action predicts a more accurate temperature gradient with altitude near 6.5–6.9 °C per km, requiring that the Gibbs rotational quantum energies of gas molecules exchange reversibly with gravitational potential. This predicts a diminished role for the radiative transfer of energy from the atmosphere to the surface, in contrast to the Trenberth global radiative budget of ≈330 watts per square metre as downwelling radiation. The spectral absorptivity of greenhouse gas for surface radiation into the troposphere enables thermal recycling, sustaining air masses in Lagrangian action. This obviates the current paradigm of cooling with altitude by adiabatic expansion. The virial-action theorem must also control non-reversible heat–work Carnot cycles, with turbulent friction raising the surface temperature. Dissipative surface warming raises the surface pressure by heating, sustaining the weight of the atmosphere to varying altitudes according to latitude and seasonal angles of insolation. New predictions for experimental testing are now emerging from this virial-action hypothesis for climate, linking vortical energy potential with convective and turbulent exchanges of work and heat, proposed as the efficient cause setting the thermal temperature of surface materials. Full article
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10 pages, 1640 KB  
Communication
Investigating the Effects of the Solar Eclipse on the Atmosphere over Land and Oceanic Regions: Observations from Ground Stations and COSMIC2 Data
by Ghouse Basha, M. Venkat Ratnam, Jonathan H. Jiang and Kishore Pangaluru
Atmosphere 2025, 16(7), 872; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16070872 - 17 Jul 2025
Viewed by 429
Abstract
The impacts of the solar eclipse that occurred on 8 April 2024 over the United States on various atmospheric parameters are investigated. We analyzed surface and vertical profiles of temperature and humidity to understand how this eclipse affected the atmosphere from the ground [...] Read more.
The impacts of the solar eclipse that occurred on 8 April 2024 over the United States on various atmospheric parameters are investigated. We analyzed surface and vertical profiles of temperature and humidity to understand how this eclipse affected the atmosphere from the ground to the stratosphere. Our findings show a significant response throughout the atmospheric range. The eclipse caused a decrease in shortwave radiation, leading to cooler Earth surfaces and a subsequent drop in surface temperature. This cooling effect also resulted in high relative humidity and lower wind speeds at the surface. Furthermore, GPS radio occultation data from COSMIC-2 revealed a decrease in tropospheric temperature and increase in stratospheric temperature during the eclipse. We also observed a reduction in both the temperature and height of the tropopause. The uniqueness of the present investigations lies in delineating the solar eclipse’s effects on the land and ocean. Our analysis indicates that land regions experienced a more pronounced temperature change compared to ocean regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Atmospheric Techniques, Instruments, and Modeling)
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19 pages, 7410 KB  
Article
Atmospheric Boundary Layer and Tropopause Retrievals from FY-3/GNOS-II Radio Occultation Profiles
by Shaocheng Zhang, Youlin He, Sheng Guo and Tao Yu
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(13), 2126; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17132126 - 21 Jun 2025
Viewed by 444
Abstract
The atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) and tropopause play critical roles in weather formation and climate change. This study initially focuses on the ABL height (ABLH), tropopause height (TPH), and temperature (TPT) retrieved from the integrated radio occultation (RO) profiles from FY-3E, FY-3F, and [...] Read more.
The atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) and tropopause play critical roles in weather formation and climate change. This study initially focuses on the ABL height (ABLH), tropopause height (TPH), and temperature (TPT) retrieved from the integrated radio occultation (RO) profiles from FY-3E, FY-3F, and FY-3G satellites during September 2022 to August 2024. All three FY-3 series satellites are equipped with the RO payload of Global Navigation Satellite System Radio Occultation Sounder-II (GNOS-II), which includes open-loop tracking RO observations from the BeiDou navigation satellite system (BDS) and the Global Positioning System (GPS). The wavelet covariance transform method was used to determine the ABL top, and the temperature lapse rate was applied to judge the tropopause. Results show that the maximum ABL detection rate of FY-3/GNOS-II RO can reach up to 76% in the subtropical eastern Pacific, southern hemisphere Atlantic, and eastern Indian Ocean. The ABLH is highly consistent with the collocated radiosonde observations and presents distinct seasonal variations. The TPH retrieved from FY-3/GNOS-II RO profiles is in agreement with the radiosonde-derived TPH, and both TPH and TPT from RO profiles display well-defined spatial structures. From 45°S to 45°N and south of 55°S, the annual cycle of the TPT is negatively correlated with the TPH. This study substantiates the promising performance of FY-3/GNOS-II RO measurements in observing the ABL and tropopause, which can be incorporated into the weather and climate systems. Full article
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18 pages, 9863 KB  
Article
The Stratospheric Polar Vortex and Surface Effects: The Case of the North American 2018/19 Cold Winter
by Kathrin Finke, Abdel Hannachi, Toshihiko Hirooka, Yuya Matsuyama and Waheed Iqbal
Atmosphere 2025, 16(4), 445; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16040445 - 11 Apr 2025
Viewed by 677
Abstract
A severe cold air outbreak hit the US and parts of Canada in January 2019, leaving behind many casualties where at least 21 people died as a consequence. According to Insurance Business America, the event cost the US about 1 billion dollars. In [...] Read more.
A severe cold air outbreak hit the US and parts of Canada in January 2019, leaving behind many casualties where at least 21 people died as a consequence. According to Insurance Business America, the event cost the US about 1 billion dollars. In the Midwest, surface temperatures dipped to the lowest on record in decades, reaching −32 °C in Chicago, Illinois, and down to −48 °C wind chill temperature in Cotton and Dakota, Minnesota, giving rise to broad media attention. A zonal wavenumber 1–3 planetary wave forcing caused a sudden stratospheric warming, with a displacement followed by a split of the polar vortex at the beginning of 2019. The common downward progression of the stratospheric anomalies stalled at the tropopause and, thus, they did not reach tropospheric levels. Instead, the stratospheric trough, developing in a barotropic fashion around 70° W, turned the usually baroclinic structure of the Aleutian high quasi-barotropic. In response, upward propagating waves over the North Pacific were reflected at its lower stratospheric, eastward tilting edge toward North America. Channeled by a dipole structure of positive and negative eddy geopotential height anomalies, the waves converged at the center of the latter and thereby strengthened the circulation anomalies responsible for the severely cold surface temperatures in most of the Midwest and Northeast US. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Meteorology)
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14 pages, 1140 KB  
Review
The Asian Tropopause Aerosol Layer: Spatio-Temporal Characteristics, Trends, and Climate Effects
by Hongchao Liu and Junjie Ma
Sustainability 2025, 17(8), 3381; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17083381 - 10 Apr 2025
Viewed by 556
Abstract
During the South Asian Summer Monsoon (SASM), intense large-scale uplift and strong deep convective activity over South Asia lead to the formation of a high aerosol concentration zone in the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere (UTLS), known as the Asian Troposphere Aerosol Layer [...] Read more.
During the South Asian Summer Monsoon (SASM), intense large-scale uplift and strong deep convective activity over South Asia lead to the formation of a high aerosol concentration zone in the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere (UTLS), known as the Asian Troposphere Aerosol Layer (ATAL), which appears from June to August. ATAL not only influences the exchange processes of material and energy between the troposphere and stratosphere, but also affects the global climate by altering radiation, cloud formation, and precipitation processes. Therefore, examining the spatiotemporal distribution and climate impacts of ATAL is essential for understanding climate change and evaluating the feasibility of geoengineering. This study systematically reviews research progress on the three-dimensional spatiotemporal distribution, trends, sources, and climatic effects of ATAL. Findings reveal a prominent aerosol layer at the top of the Asian troposphere, and the SASM region potentially serving as a critical conduit for constituents of the boundary layer to reach the stratosphere. However, simulated ATAL components differ significantly across models, particularly in terms of vertical distribution patterns. The precise three-dimensional structure and long-term evolution of ATAL remain unclear, presenting challenges for assessing its climate impact. To advance the understanding of the roles of ATAL in climate change, three future research directions are proposed. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Air Pollution and Sustainability)
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16 pages, 5234 KB  
Article
Detection and Attribution of a Spatial Heterogeneity in the Temporal Evolution of Bulgarian River Discharge
by Natalya A. Kilifarska, Gergana I. Metodieva and Antonia Ch. Mokreva
Geosciences 2025, 15(1), 12; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences15010012 - 5 Jan 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1352
Abstract
The hydrosphere is an element of the climate system and changes in the latter are reasonably projected over the river outflow. Climatic changes, however, are unevenly distributed over the Earth, and understanding their regional imprint on the hydrosphere is of great importance. In [...] Read more.
The hydrosphere is an element of the climate system and changes in the latter are reasonably projected over the river outflow. Climatic changes, however, are unevenly distributed over the Earth, and understanding their regional imprint on the hydrosphere is of great importance. In this study, we have conducted a statistical analysis of the monthly maximum and minimum river discharge recorded in 22 hydrological stations located on 19 of the Bulgarian rivers during the period 1993–2022. We have found that in half of the river basins, the trend of the spring maximum discharge is significantly positive (α = 0.05). In the other half of the stations, the trend is neutral. The stations with a positive trend are not randomly distributed but grouped, forming a pattern crossing the country from northwest to southeast. This pattern of trend distribution raises questions about the causes of the irregular hydrological response to the rising global near-surface temperatures. A comparison of hydrological data with some climatic variables (i.e., temperature, precipitation, and ozone at 70 hPa), combined with neural network analysis results, suggests ozone as a possible reason for the heterogeneous hydrological response. Its effect could be explained by an imposed episodic warming of the near-surface temperature due to fluctuations in the ozone density near the tropopause, which in turn favours the faster melting of ice and snow in the corresponding river basins. Full article
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26 pages, 13796 KB  
Article
The BIRDIES Experiment: Measuring Beryllium Isotopes to Resolve Dynamics in the Stratosphere
by Sonia Wharton, Alan J. Hidy, Thomas S. Ehrmann, Wenbo Zhu, Shaun N. Skinner, Hassan Beydoun, Philip J. Cameron-Smith, Marisa Repasch, Nipun Gunawardena, Jungmin M. Lee, Ate Visser, Matthew Griffin, Samuel Maddren and Erik Oerter
Atmosphere 2024, 15(12), 1502; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15121502 - 17 Dec 2024
Viewed by 1372
Abstract
Cosmogenic beryllium-10 and beryllium-7, and the ratio of the two (10Be/7Be), are powerful atmospheric tracers of stratosphere–troposphere exchange (STE) processes; however, measurements are sparse for altitudes well above the tropopause. We present a novel high-altitude balloon campaign aimed to measure these isotopes in [...] Read more.
Cosmogenic beryllium-10 and beryllium-7, and the ratio of the two (10Be/7Be), are powerful atmospheric tracers of stratosphere–troposphere exchange (STE) processes; however, measurements are sparse for altitudes well above the tropopause. We present a novel high-altitude balloon campaign aimed to measure these isotopes in the mid-stratosphere called Beryllium Isotopes for Resolving Dynamics in the Stratosphere (BIRDIES). BIRDIES targeted gravity waves produced by tropopause-overshooting convection to study their propagation and impact on STE dynamics, including the production of turbulence in the stratosphere. Two custom-designed payloads called FiSH and GASP were flown at altitudes approaching 30 km to measure in situ turbulence and beryllium isotopes (on aerosols), respectively. These were flown on nine high-altitude balloon flights over Kansas, USA, in summer 2022. The atmospheric samples were augmented with a ground-based rainfall collection targeting isotopic signatures of deep convection overshooting. Our GASP samples yielded mostly negligible amounts of both 10Be and 7Be collected in the mid-stratosphere but led to design improvements to increase aerosol capture in low-pressure environments. Observations from FiSH and the precipitation collection were more fruitful. FiSH showed the presence of turbulent velocity, temperature, and acoustic fluctuations in the stratosphere, including length scales in the infra-sonic range and inertial subrange that indicated times of elevated turbulence. The precipitation collection, and subsequent statistical analysis, showed that large spatial datasets of 10Be/7Be can be measured in individual rainfall events with minimum terrestrial contamination. While the spatial patterns in rainfall suggested some evidence for overshooting convection, inter-event temporal variability was clearly observed and predicted with good agreement using the 3D chemical transport model GEOS-CHEM. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Feature Papers in Atmospheric Techniques, Instruments, and Modeling)
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15 pages, 6823 KB  
Technical Note
Investigating Tropical Cyclone Warm Core and Boundary Layer Structures with Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate 2 Radio Occultation Data
by Xiaoxu Qi, Shengpeng Yang and Li He
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(22), 4257; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16224257 - 15 Nov 2024
Viewed by 948
Abstract
The Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate 2 (COSMIC-2) collects data covering latitudes primarily between 40 degrees north and south, providing abundant data for tropical cyclone (TC) research. The radio occultation data provide valuable information on the boundary layer. However, quality [...] Read more.
The Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate 2 (COSMIC-2) collects data covering latitudes primarily between 40 degrees north and south, providing abundant data for tropical cyclone (TC) research. The radio occultation data provide valuable information on the boundary layer. However, quality control of the data within the boundary layer remains a challenging issue. The aim of this study is to obtain a more accurate COSMIC-2 radio occultation (RO) dataset through quality control (QC) and use this dataset to validate warm core structures and explore the planetary boundary layer (PBL) structures of TCs. In this study, COSMIC-2 data are used to analyze the distribution of the relative local spectral width (LSW) and the confidence parameter characterizing the random error of the bending angle. An LSW less than 20% is set as a data QC threshold, and the warm core and PBL composite structures of TCs at three intensities in the Northwest Pacific Ocean are investigated. We reproduce the warm core intensity and warm core height characteristics of TCs. In the radial direction of the typhoon eyewall, the impact height of the PBL increases from 3.45 km to 4 km, with the tropopause ranging from 160 hPa to 100 hPa. At the bottom of the troposphere, the variations in the positive and negative bias between the RO-detected and background field bending angles correspond well to the PBL heights, and the variations in the positive bias between the RO-detected and background field refractivity reach 14%. This research provides an effective QC method and reveals that the bending angle is sensitive to the PBL height. Full article
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24 pages, 2872 KB  
Article
Climatology of Cirrus Clouds over Observatory of Haute-Provence (France) Using Multivariate Analyses on Lidar Profiles
by Florian Mandija, Philippe Keckhut, Dunya Alraddawi, Sergey Khaykin and Alain Sarkissian
Atmosphere 2024, 15(10), 1261; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15101261 - 21 Oct 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1297
Abstract
This study aims to achieve the classification of the cirrus clouds over the Observatory of Haute-Provence (OHP) in France. Rayleigh–Mie–Raman lidar measurements, in conjunction with the ERA5 dataset, are analyzed to provide geometrical morphology and optical cirrus properties over the site. The method [...] Read more.
This study aims to achieve the classification of the cirrus clouds over the Observatory of Haute-Provence (OHP) in France. Rayleigh–Mie–Raman lidar measurements, in conjunction with the ERA5 dataset, are analyzed to provide geometrical morphology and optical cirrus properties over the site. The method of cirrus cloud climatology presented here is based on a threefold classification scheme based on the cirrus geometrical and optical properties and their formation history. Principal component analysis (PCA) and subsequent clustering provide four morphological cirrus classes, three optical groups, and two origin-related categories. Cirrus clouds occur approximately 37% of the time, with most being single-layered (66.7%). The mean cloud optical depth (COD) is 0.39 ± 0.46, and the mean heights range around 10.8 ± 1.35 km. Thicker tropospheric cirrus are observed under higher temperature and humidity conditions than cirrus observed in the vicinity of the tropopause level. Monthly cirrus occurrences fluctuate irregularly, whereas seasonal patterns peak in spring. Concerning the mechanism of the formation, it is found that the majority of cirrus clouds are of in situ origin. The liquid-origin cirrus category consists nearly entirely of thick cirrus. Overall results suggest that in situ origin thin cirrus, located in the upper tropospheric and tropopause regions, have the most noteworthy occurrence over the site. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Problems of Meteorological Measurements and Studies (2nd Edition))
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27 pages, 7003 KB  
Article
Resonant Forcing by Solar Declination of Rossby Waves at the Tropopause and Implications in Extreme Precipitation Events and Heat Waves—Part 2: Case Studies, Projections in the Context of Climate Change
by Jean-Louis Pinault
Atmosphere 2024, 15(10), 1226; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15101226 - 14 Oct 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1203
Abstract
Based on the properties of Rossby waves at the tropopause resonantly forced by solar declination in harmonic modes, which was the subject of a first article, case studies of heatwaves and extreme precipitation events are presented. They clearly demonstrate that extreme events only [...] Read more.
Based on the properties of Rossby waves at the tropopause resonantly forced by solar declination in harmonic modes, which was the subject of a first article, case studies of heatwaves and extreme precipitation events are presented. They clearly demonstrate that extreme events only form under specific patterns of the amplitude of the speed of modulated airflows of Rossby waves at the tropopause, in particular period ranges. This remains true even if extreme events appear as compound events where chaos and timing are crucial. Extreme events are favored when modulated cold and warm airflows result in a dual cyclone-anticyclone system, i.e., the association of two joint vortices of opposite signs. They reverse over a period of the dominant harmonic mode in spatial and temporal coherence with the modulated airflow speed pattern. This key role could result from a transfer of humid/dry air between the two vortices during the inversion of the dual system. Finally, focusing on the two period ranges 17.1–34.2 and 8.56–17.1 days corresponding to 1/16- and 1/32-year period harmonic modes, projections of the amplitude of wind speed at 250 mb, geopotential height at 500 mb, ground air temperature, and precipitation rate are performed by extrapolating their amplitude observed from January 1979 to March 2024. Projected amplitudes are regionalized on a global scale for warmest and coldest half-years, referring to extratropical latitudes. Causal relationships are established between the projected amplitudes of modulated airflow speed and those of ground air temperature and precipitation rate, whether they increase or decrease. The increase in the amplitude of modulated airflow speed of polar vortices induces their latitudinal extension. This produces a tightening of Rossby waves embedded in the polar and subtropical jet streams. In the context of climate change, this has the effect of increasing the efficiency of the resonant forcing of Rossby waves from the solar declination, the optimum of which is located at mid-latitudes. Hence the increased or decreased vulnerability to heatwaves or extreme precipitation events of some regions. Europe and western Asia are particularly affected, which is due to increased activity of the Arctic polar vortex between longitudes 20° W and 40° E. This is likely a consequence of melting ice and changing albedo, which appears to amplify the amplitude of variation in the period range 17.1–34.2 days of poleward circulation at the tropopause of the Arctic polar cell. Full article
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20 pages, 7579 KB  
Article
AIRS and MODIS Satellite-Based Assessment of Air Pollution in Southwestern China: Impact of Stratospheric Intrusions and Cross-Border Transport of Biomass Burning
by Puyu Lian, Kaihui Zhao and Zibing Yuan
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(13), 2409; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16132409 - 1 Jul 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1772
Abstract
The exacerbation of air pollution during spring in Yunnan province, China, has attracted widespread attention. However, many studies have focused solely on the impacts of anthropogenic emissions while ignoring the role of natural processes. This study used satellite data spanning 21 years from [...] Read more.
The exacerbation of air pollution during spring in Yunnan province, China, has attracted widespread attention. However, many studies have focused solely on the impacts of anthropogenic emissions while ignoring the role of natural processes. This study used satellite data spanning 21 years from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) to reveal two natural processes closely related to springtime ozone (O3) and PM2.5 pollution: stratospheric intrusions (SIs) and cross-border transport of biomass burning (BB). We aimed to assess the mechanisms through which SIs and cross-border BB transport influence O3 and PM2.5 pollution in Southwestern China during the spring. The unique geographical conditions and prevalent southwest winds are considered the key driving factors for SIs and cross-border BB transport. Frequent tropopause folding provides favorable dynamic conditions for SIs in the upper troposphere. In the lower troposphere, the distribution patterns of O3 and stratospheric O3 tracer (O3S) are similar to the terrain, indicating that O3 is more likely to reach the surface with increasing altitude. Using stratospheric tracer tagging methods, we quantified the contributions of SIs to surface O3, ranging from 6 to 31 ppbv and accounting for 10–38% of surface O3 levels. Additionally, as Yunnan is located downwind of Myanmar and has complex terrain, it provides favorable conditions for PM2.5 and O3 generation from cross-border BB transport. The decreasing terrain distribution from north to south in Yunnan facilitates PM2.5 transport to lower-elevation border cities, whereas higher-elevation cities hinder PM2.5 transport, leading to spatial heterogeneity in PM2.5. This study provides scientific support for elucidating the two key processes governing springtime PM2.5 and O3 pollution in Yunnan, SIs and cross-border BB transport, and can assist policymakers in formulating optimal emission reduction strategies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Application of Satellite Aerosol Remote Sensing in Air Quality)
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21 pages, 4492 KB  
Article
Changes in Global Aviation Turbulence in the Remote Sensing Era (1979–2018)
by Diandong Ren and Mervyn J. Lynch
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(11), 2038; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16112038 - 6 Jun 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1880
Abstract
Atmospheric turbulence primarily originates from abrupt density variations in a vertically stratified atmosphere. Based on the prognostic equation of turbulent kinetic energy (TKE), we here chose three indicators corresponding to the forcing terms of the TKE generation. By utilizing ERA5 reanalysis data, we [...] Read more.
Atmospheric turbulence primarily originates from abrupt density variations in a vertically stratified atmosphere. Based on the prognostic equation of turbulent kinetic energy (TKE), we here chose three indicators corresponding to the forcing terms of the TKE generation. By utilizing ERA5 reanalysis data, we investigate first the maximum achievable daily thickness of the planetary boundary layer (PBL). The gradient Richardson number (Ri) is used to represent turbulence arising from shear instability and the daily maximum convective available potential energy (CAPE) is examined to understand the turbulence linked with convective instability. Our analysis encompasses global turbulence trends. As a case study, we focus on the North Atlantic Corridor (NAC) to reveal notable insights. Specifically, the mean annual number of hours featuring shear instability (Ri < 0.25) surged by more than 300 h in consecutive 20-year periods: 1979–1998 and 1999–2018. Moreover, a substantial subset within the NAC region exhibited a notable rise of over 10% in the number of hours characterized as severe shear instability. Contrarily, turbulence associated with convective instability (CAPE > 2 kJ/kg), which can necessitate rerouting and pose significant aviation safety challenges, displays a decline. Remote sensing of clouds confirms these assertions. This decline contains a component of inherent natural variability. Our findings suggest that, as air viscosity increases and hence a thickened PBL due to a warming climate, the global inflight turbulence is poised to intensify. Full article
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16 pages, 6539 KB  
Article
Resonant Forcing by Solar Declination of Rossby Waves at the Tropopause and Implications in Extreme Events, Precipitation, and Heat Waves—Part 1: Theory
by Jean-Louis Pinault
Atmosphere 2024, 15(5), 608; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15050608 - 17 May 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1814
Abstract
The purpose of this first article is to provide a physical basis for atmospheric Rossby waves at the tropopause to clarify their properties and improve our knowledge of their role in the genesis of extreme precipitation and heat waves. By analogy with the [...] Read more.
The purpose of this first article is to provide a physical basis for atmospheric Rossby waves at the tropopause to clarify their properties and improve our knowledge of their role in the genesis of extreme precipitation and heat waves. By analogy with the oceanic Rossby waves, the role played by the pycnocline in ocean Rossby waves is replaced here by the interface between the polar jet and the ascending air column at the meeting of the polar and Ferrel cell circulation or between the subtropical jet and the descending air column at the meeting of the Ferrel and Hadley cell circulation. In both cases, the Rossby waves are suitable for being resonantly forced in harmonic modes by tuning their natural period to the forcing period. Here, the forcing period is one year as a result of the variation in insolation due to solar declination. A search for cause-and-effect relationships is performed from the joint representation of the amplitude and phase of (1) the velocity of the cold or warm modulated airflows at 250 mb resulting from Rossby waves, (2) the geopotential height at 500 mb, and (3) the precipitation rate or ground air temperature. This is for the dominant harmonic mode whose period can be 1/16, 1/32, or 1/64 year, which reflects the intra-seasonal variations in the rising and falling air columns at the meeting of the polar, Ferrel, and Hadley cell circulation. Harmonics determine the duration of blocking. Two case studies referring to extreme cold and heat waves are presented. Dual cyclone–anticyclone systems seem to favor extreme events. They are formed by two joint vortices of opposite signs reversing over a period, concomitantly with the involved modulated airflows at the tropopause. A second article will be oriented toward (1) the examination of different case studies in order to ascertain the common characteristics of Rossby wave patterns leading to extreme events and (2) a map of the globe revealing future trends in the occurrence of extreme events. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Prediction and Modeling of Extreme Weather Events)
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15 pages, 5273 KB  
Article
Intermittency of Gravity Wave Potential Energy Generated by Mountains Revealed from COSMIC-2 Observations
by Jiarui Wei, Jiyao Xu and Xiao Liu
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(9), 1577; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16091577 - 29 Apr 2024
Viewed by 1210
Abstract
The intermittency of gravity wave potential energy (GWPE) in the upper troposphere and stratosphere was investigated using the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate-2 (COSMIC-2) temperature data over three typical mountains (Tibetan Plateau, Rocky Mountains, and Andes). These typical mountains have [...] Read more.
The intermittency of gravity wave potential energy (GWPE) in the upper troposphere and stratosphere was investigated using the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate-2 (COSMIC-2) temperature data over three typical mountains (Tibetan Plateau, Rocky Mountains, and Andes). These typical mountains have high sea level elevations but different land–sea contrast. The probability density function (PDF) of GWPE has the independent variable of GWPE and dependent variable of occurrence probability of GWPE over a region. Our analysis showed that the PDFs of GWPE over these three mountains roughly followed lognormal distributions in all heights and months. But, the key parameters (mean value and standard deviation) of lognormal distribution varied with heights and months. Above each mountain, the two key parameters exhibited similar temporal and spatial distributions. They had the largest values around the tropopause region, smaller values in the lower stratosphere (~20–30 km), and larger values in the upper stratosphere (~35–45 km). The intermittency of GWs is represented as the ratio of the GWPE at 50th percentile to the GWPE at 90th percentile. The weakest intermittency was at ~20–30 km (above the zonal mean winds of zero) over the Tibetan Plateau and Rocky Mountains in all months and over the Andes from November to March, respectively. Generally, the weakest intermittency (~0.4) occurred in the region where the key parameters were the smallest around summer. The key parameters of lognormal distribution were dominated by annual variation over the Andes throughout the height range, 8–50 km. However, the semiannual variations are also significant in the lower stratosphere over the Tibetan Plateau and Rocky Mountains. The seasonal variations in the intermittency were not as obvious as those of the key parameters. The lognormal distributions and the intermittencies derived here provide an observational constraint on the tunable parameters in GW parameterization schemes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Atmospheric Remote Sensing)
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25 pages, 7434 KB  
Article
Properties of Cirrus Cloud Observed over Koror, Palau (7.3°N, 134.5°E), in Tropical Western Pacific Region
by Xiaoyu Sun, Christoph Ritter, Katrin Müller, Mathias Palm, Denghui Ji, Wilfried Ruhe, Ingo Beninga, Sharon Patris and Justus Notholt
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(8), 1448; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16081448 - 19 Apr 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1693
Abstract
This study presented an analysis of the geometric and optical properties of cirrus clouds with data produced by Compact Cloud-Aerosol Lidar (ComCAL) over Koror, Palau (7.3°N, 134.5°E), in the Tropical Western Pacific region. The lidar measurement dataset covers April 2018 to May 2019 [...] Read more.
This study presented an analysis of the geometric and optical properties of cirrus clouds with data produced by Compact Cloud-Aerosol Lidar (ComCAL) over Koror, Palau (7.3°N, 134.5°E), in the Tropical Western Pacific region. The lidar measurement dataset covers April 2018 to May 2019 and includes data collected during March, July and August 2022. The results show that cirrus clouds occur approximately 47.9% of the lidar sampling time, predominantly between altitudes of 15 and 18 km. Seasonal variations in cirrus top height closely align with those of the cold point tropopause. Most cirrus clouds exhibit low cloud optical depth (COD < 0.1), with an annual mean depolarization ratio of 31 ± 19%. Convective-forming cirrus clouds during the summer monsoon season exhibit a larger size by notably lower values in terms of color ratio. Extremely thin cirrus clouds (COD < 0.005) constituting 1.6% of total cirrus occurrences are frequently observed at 1–2 km above the cold point, particularly during winter and summer, suggesting significant stratosphere–troposphere exchange. The coldest and highest tropopause over Palau is persistent during winter, and related to the pathway of tropospheric air entering the stratosphere through the cold trap. In summer, the extremely thin cirrus above the cold point is likely correlated with equatorial Kelvin waves induced by western Pacific monsoon convection. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Atmospheric Remote Sensing)
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