Search Results (62)

In the context of sustainable forest resource development, balancing ecological conservation with rational utilization is essential to achieving forest multifunctionality. Longyuwan National Forest Park, located in Luanchuan County, Henan Province, serves as a transitional zone between rural mountainous ecosystems and nearby urban settlements. Increasingly, this area faces urbanization pressures such as tourism expansion, infrastructure development, and intensified land use, which may threaten ecological stability. This study aims to evaluate the ecological sensitivity of the park and optimize its spatial functional zoning. Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), we followed four key steps: constructing the hierarchical model, generating the pairwise judgment matrices, computing the weights and conducting the consistency check, and determining the final weights. A hierarchical evaluation framework was constructed using the AHP, incorporating twelve ecological indicators across geomorphological, hydrological, atmospheric, biological, and anthropogenic dimensions. Spatial analysis tools in ArcGIS 10.2, including reclassification and weighted overlay, were employed for single-factor and integrated sensitivity assessments. The results indicated that land-use type, elevation, and water-body distribution were the most influential indicators. Ecological sensitivity across the park was categorized into five levels: extremely high (0.02%), high (11.99%), moderate (73.53%), low (14.19%), and extremely low (0.28%). Based on these findings, four functional zones were delineated: ecological conservation (50.99%), core landscape (22.86%), general recreation (23.94%), and management and service (2.21%). This research provides spatially explicit insights into forest management under anthropogenic stress, offering theoretical support for the sustainable governance of forest–urban interface landscapes. Full article

Land use/land cover (LULC) change is a key driving factor influencing the dynamics of terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage. In high-groundwater-level coal resource-based cities (HGCRBCs), the interplay of urban expansion, mining disturbances, and land reclamation makes the carbon storage evolution process more complex. This study takes Jining, Zaozhuang, and Heze cities in Shandong Province as the research area and constructs a coupled analytical framework of “mining–reclamation–carbon storage” by integrating the Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS), Probability Integral Method (PIM), InVEST, and Grey Multi-Objective Programming (GMOP) models. It systematically evaluates the spatiotemporal characteristics of carbon storage changes from 2000 to 2020 and simulates the carbon storage responses under different development scenarios in 2030. The results show that: (1) From 2000 to 2020, the total carbon storage in the region decreased by 31.53 Tg, with cropland conversion to construction land and water bodies being the primary carbon loss pathways, contributing up to 89.86% of the total carbon loss. (2) Among the 16 major LULC transition paths identified, single-process drivers dominated carbon storage changes. Specifically, urban expansion and mining activities individually accounted for nearly 70% and 8.65% of the carbon loss, respectively. Although the reclamation path contributed to a recovery of 1.72 Tg of carbon storage, it could not fully offset the loss caused by mining. (3) Future scenario simulations indicate that the ecological conservation scenario yields the highest carbon storage, while the economic development scenario results in the lowest. Mining activities generally lead to approximately 3.5 Tg of carbon loss, while post-mining reclamation can restore about 72% of the loss. Full article

This research assesses how land-cover transitions from 2012 to 2022 have impacted the value of ecosystem services in Denton County, Texas. Using remote sensing and spatial analysis, this study quantitatively links land-use change to its ecological and economic consequences. Full-county Landsat data were analyzed in ArcGIS Pro through supervised classification and categorical change detection. To quantify the impact of these changes, an accuracy assessment was performed, and a benefit-transfer method using both global and Texas-specific coefficients was applied to estimate the change in Ecosystem Service Value (ESV). Results revealed a complex dynamic: while the county experienced significant urban expansion, it also saw substantial greening as large areas of bare land transitioned to vegetation. However, this greening was not enough to offset the economic impact of losing high-value ecosystems. The analysis shows a net loss in total ESV over the decade, estimated between USD 24 million and USD 95 million per year, primarily driven by the significant reduction of water bodies. This study provides a replicable framework for policymakers to assess the environmental trade-offs of development and highlights the critical importance of preserving existing high-value ecosystems alongside urban greening initiatives. Full article

The cooling effect of urban forests has been widely investigated to support climate-adaptive spatial planning. However, studies on the impacts of key landscape drivers have often produced conflicting results, limiting their practical applicability. These inconsistencies may stem from an oversimplified focus on the global effects of individual factors, while neglecting non-linear threshold behaviors and pairwise interactions. To address this gap, this study employed an interpretable machine learning framework (XGBoost-SHAP) to quantify the seasonal non-linearities, thresholds, and interaction effects of landscape drivers on urban forest cooling in Suzhou, a subtropical Chinese city. The results indicate that the combined explanatory power of neighboring water body proportion (NWP), neighboring green space proportion (NGP), vegetation density (NDVI), spatial characteristics (Area, SHAPE), and elevation on the cooling intensity of urban forest patches was strongest in summer (R² = 0.615) and weakest in winter (R² = 0.316). Among these, NWP, NGP, and NDVI were the dominant drivers, while patch area and shape exhibited weaker marginal effects. NWP significantly enhances cooling only after exceeding seasonal critical thresholds (11%–15%). NGP contributed positively above ~40% in warm seasons but suppressed cooling above 37% in winter. Patch area exhibits a logarithmic relationship with cooling intensity, with a critical threshold of approximately 2.48 ha and saturation thresholds between 12 and 14 ha. SHAPE exerted positive effects in spring and winter, negative effects in summer, and a transition from negative to positive in autumn. Notably, significant, threshold-modulated interactions were identified, including those between NDVI and NWP, SHAPE and NDVI, SHAPE and NGP, NWP and NDVI, NWP and NGP, and NGP and NDVI. In each interaction, the first factor regulates and reverses the effect of the second once specific thresholds are exceeded. This study provides actionable, evidence-based guidance for the planning and optimized design of urban forests. Full article

Urban flooding represents a growing concern on a global scale, particularly in regions characterized by rapid urbanization and increased climate variability. This study concentrates on the Rangsit area in Pathum Thani Province, Thailand, an urbanizing peri-urban area north of Bangkok and within the Chao Phraya River Basin where transitions in land use and the intensification of rainfall induced by climate change are elevating flood risks. A physically based hydrodynamic model was developed utilizing PCSWMM to assess current and future flood scenarios that considered future build-out plans and climate change scenarios. The model underwent calibration and validation using a continuous modeling approach that conservatively focused on wet year conditions, based on available rainfall and water level data. In assessing future scenarios, we considered land use projections based on regional development plans and climate projections downscaled under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 pathways. Results indicate that both urban expansion and intensifying rainfall are likely to increase flood magnitudes, durations, and impacted areas, although in this rapidly developing peri-urban area, land use change was the most important driver. The findings suggest that a physically based modeling approach could support a smart-control framework that could effectively inform evidence-based urban planning and infrastructure investments. These insights are of paramount importance for flood-prone regions in Thailand and Southeast Asia, where dynamic modeling tools must underpin governance, climate adaptation, and risk communication. Furthermore, given the greater impact of future build-out on flood risk, as compared to climate change, there is an opportunity to effectively and proactively improve flood resilience through the implementation of integrated Nature-based Solution and hard engineering approaches, in combination with effective flood management policy. Full article

Despite increasing concerns over recurrent phosphorus (P) pollution, the Ju River—a small tributary of the Yangtze River—has received limited scientific attention. To correct this, the present study integrates field-based observations with the Hydrological Simulation Program—FORTRAN (HSPF) model to comprehensively assess the conjunct effects of urban expansion and changing precipitation patterns on watershed hydrology and phosphorus dynamics at the small-catchment scale. A total of five urban expansion scenarios and three precipitation enhancement scenarios were simulated to capture both seasonal and event-driven variations in daily discharge and total phosphorus (TP) concentrations. The model was calibrated and validated using in situ water quality data, ensuring high reliability of the simulations. The results indicate that agricultural non-point sources are the primary contributor to total phosphorus (TP) loads. During the overlapping period of intensive farming and heavy rainfall (June–July), TP concentrations more than doubled compared to other months, with these two months accounting for over 70% of the annual TP load. Urban expansion significantly amplified hydrological extremes, increasing peak discharge by up to 224% under extreme rainfall, thereby intensifying flood risks. Although increased precipitation diluted TP concentrations, it simultaneously accelerated overall phosphorus export. This study offers a novel modeling–monitoring framework tailored for small watersheds and provides critical insights into how land use transitions and climate change jointly reshape nutrient cycling. The findings support the development of targeted, scenario-based strategies to mitigate eutrophication risks in vulnerable river systems. Full article

Groundwater is a vital resource in arid regions, where it sustains agriculture, industry, and livelihoods. In northwestern China’s Shule River Basin, located in the Hexi Corridor, increasing water stress has raised concerns about the sustainability of groundwater use. However, the relative contributions of climate variability and human activities to groundwater depletion in this region remain poorly quantified. This study investigates long-term groundwater storage changes in the Shule River Basin from 2003 to 2023 using GRACE satellite data combined with GLDAS land surface models. A water balance approach was applied to isolate natural (climatic) and anthropogenic contributions to groundwater storage anomalies (GWSAs). In addition, land use transitions and socioeconomic indicators were incorporated to assess the impact of human development on subsurface water dynamics. The results show a persistent downward trend in GWSA, with an average annual loss rate of −0.31 cm·yr⁻¹. Spatially, the central and lower reaches of the basin exhibit the most significant depletion, driven by intensive irrigation and urban growth. Contribution analysis indicates that natural factors accounted for 61% of the groundwater loss across the study period, while anthropogenic drivers became increasingly dominant over time, particularly after 2016, accounting for over 40% of total depletion in recent years. Strong correlations were found between groundwater decline and the expansion of cropland, impervious surfaces, and GDP. These findings highlight the intensifying role of human activities in shaping groundwater trends in arid inland basins. This study provides a data-driven framework to support sustainable groundwater management and offers transferable insights for similar water-stressed regions globally. Full article

Examples from urban infrastructure in the United States show that high-level policy reports focused on investment neglect performance improvement, as well as changes in society and technology. A study methodology using systems approaches, institutional analysis, and examples from US situations was used to probe causes and remedies of this policy shortcoming. A conceptual systems model of services and the Maslow hierarchy of needs identified essential services spanning water, energy, transit, and streets management. Drinking water services have greater clarity and were selected to assess actor roles, responsibilities, and actions. The institutional analysis and development framework was used to organize the actors, settings, norms, incentives, rules, and action arenas. Data from the drinking water sector indicated that infrastructure policy reports mix issues and obscure significant impacts on specific sectors. They assume a static view and do not consider transformations in social contracts, alternative technologies, and service delivery methods. Without policy reform, public trust in government services will diminish, but political and administrative realities constrain rational and comprehensive approaches. The drinking water social contract is unlikely to change, but partnerships can incentivize reforms like performance assessment and agency accreditation. Development of a road map for urban infrastructure policy reform will require research by task forces of leading-edge practitioners within categorical arenas like drinking water, electric power, transit, and public works. Full article

With intensifying watershed pollution pressures and growing ecological vulnerability, scientifically revealing and enhancing the water environmental carrying capacity is crucial for ensuring the long-term health of the basin and the sustainable socioeconomic development of the region. However, the dynamic regulatory mechanisms linking narrow-sense and broad-sense water environmental carrying capacity remain poorly understood, limiting the development of integrated management strategies. This study systematically investigated the changing trends of both the narrow-sense and broad-sense water environmental carrying capacity in the Harbin section of the Songhua River basin through model calculations, along with the regulatory mechanisms of its key influence indicators. The results of the study on the carrying capacity of the water environment in the narrow sense show that permanganate, total phosphorus, and ammonia nitrogen exhibited partial carrying capacity across water periods, while dissolved oxygen decreased during flat and dry periods, with only limited capacity remaining at the Ash River estuary and in the Hulan River. The biochemical oxygen demand in the Ash River was consistently overloaded, and total nitrogen showed insufficient capacity except during the abundant water period. Broad-sense analysis indicated that improving urbanization quality, water supply infrastructure, and drinking water safety could effectively reduce future overload risks, with projections suggesting a transition from critical to loadable levels by 2030, though latent threats persist. Correlation analysis between narrow- and broad-sense indicators informed targeted control strategies, including stricter regulation of nitrogen- and phosphorus-rich industrial discharges, restoration of aquatic vegetation, and periodic dredging of riverbed sediments. This work is the first to dynamically integrate pollutant and socio-economic indicators through a hybrid modelling framework, providing a scientific basis and actionable strategies for improving water quality and achieving sustainable management in the Songhua River Basin. Full article

Addressing the need to optimize human settlement quality in arid and semi-arid regions under rapid urbanization, this study innovatively constructs an evaluation framework integrating greenness, thermal conditions, impervious surfaces, water bodies, and air transparency. Focusing on 12 prefecture-level cities in Inner Mongolia, Northern China, it systematically reveals the spatial differentiation characteristics and driving mechanisms of human settlement quality. Findings indicate the following: (1) Regional human settlement quality exhibits a spindle-shaped structure dominated by the medium grade (Excellent: 18.13%, High: 23.34%, Medium: 46.48%, Low: 12.04%), with Ulanqab City having the highest proportion of Excellent areas (25.26%) and Ordos City the lowest proportion of Low-grade areas (6.20%), reflecting a critical transition period for regional quality enhancement. (2) Spatial patterns show pronounced east-west gradients and functional differentiation: western arid zones display significant blue-green space advantages but face high-temperature stress and rigid water constraints, eastern humid zones benefit from superior ecological foundations with weaker heat island effects, the core Hetao Plain experiences strong heat island effects due to high impervious surface density, while industrial cities confront prominent air pollution pressures. Consequently, implementing differentiated strategies—strengthening ecological protection/restoration in High/Low-grade zones and optimizing regulation to drive upgrades in Medium-grade zones—is essential for achieving three sustainable pathways: compact development, blue-green space optimization, and industrial upgrading, providing vital decision-making support for enhancing human settlement quality and promoting sustainable development in ecologically fragile cities across northern China. Full article

Water and land resources, as the material foundation of food production, are essential for national food security. Current research has not yet explored the spatiotemporal features of water and land resources ecological security (WLRES) at the urban scale. To fill this gap, this study evaluated WLRES across 180 cities in China’s main grain-producing areas (MGPAs) from 2005 to 2020. A WLRES evaluation system was developed based on the DPSIR framework and the CRITIC method. The Moran’s I and kernel density estimation were utilized to analyze the spatial distribution, variation trends, and spatial autocorrelation of WLRES from different scales. The results demonstrate the following: (1) WLRES in the MGPAs exhibited a fluctuating upward trend, transitioning from “relatively low ecological security” to “moderate ecological security.” (2) The spatial distribution of WLRES was characterized by higher values in the northeast and southwest regions and lower values in the central region, with spatial heterogeneity gradually intensifying. (3) From 2005 to 2016, WLRES exhibited significant positive spatial autocorrelation: cities with high ecological-security levels were concentrated in the northern region, whereas those with low ecological-security levels were clustered in the central and southern of Huang-Huai-Hai Basin. Over time, this positive spatial autocorrelation weakened and eventually vanished. Our research can provide feasible policy references for improving the sustainable development of WLRES in the MGPAs. Full article

Intensified by climate change and anthropogenic activities, flood disasters necessitate rapid and accurate mapping for effective disaster management. This study develops an integrated framework leveraging synthetic aperture radar (SAR) and cloud computing to enhance flood monitoring, with a focus on a 2024 extreme rainfall event in Liaoning Province, China. Utilizing the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, we combine three complementary techniques: (1) Otsu automatic thresholding, for efficient extraction of surface water extent from Sentinel-1 GRD time series (154 scenes, January–October 2024), achieving processing times under 2 min with >85% open-water accuracy; (2) random forest (RF) classification, integrating multi-source features (SAR backscatter, terrain parameters from 30 m SRTM DEM, NDVI phenology) to distinguish permanent water bodies, flooded farmland, and urban areas, attaining an overall accuracy of 92.7%; and (3) Fuzzy C-Means (FCM) clustering, incorporating backscatter ratio and topographic constraints to resolve transitional “mixed-pixel” ambiguities in flood boundaries. The RF-FCM synergy effectively mapped submerged agricultural land and urban spill zones, while the Otsu-derived flood frequency highlighted high-risk corridors (recurrence > 10%) along the riverine zones and reservoir. This multi-algorithm approach provides a scalable, high-resolution (10 m) solution for near-real-time flood assessment, supporting emergency response and sustainable water resource management in affected basins. Full article

The rapid expansion of urbanization and inadequate planning have triggered a water balance crisis in many cities, manifesting as both the need for artificial lake supplementation and frequent urban flooding. Using the Xuanwu Lake watershed in Nanjing as a case study, this research aims to optimize the Blue–Green Infrastructure (BGI) network to maximize rainfall utilization within the watershed. The ultimate goal is to restore natural water balance processes and reduce reliance on artificial supplementation while mitigating urban flood risks. First, the Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS–CN) model is employed to estimate the maximum potential of natural convergent flow within the watershed. Second, drawing on landscape connectivity theory, a multi-level BGI network optimization model is developed by integrating the Minimum Cumulative Resistance (MCR) model and the gravity model, incorporating both hydrological connectivity and flood safety considerations. Third, a water balance model based on the Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) framework and empirical formulas is constructed and coupled with the network optimization model to simulate and evaluate water budget performance under optimized scenarios. The results indicate that the optimized scheme can reduce artificial supplementation to Xuanwu Lake by 62.2% in June, while also ensuring effective supplementation throughout the year. Annual runoff entering the lake reaches 13.25 million cubic meters, meeting approximately 13% of the current annual supplementation demand. Moreover, under a 100-year return period flood scenario, the optimized network reduces total watershed flood volume by 35% compared to pre-optimization conditions, with flood-prone units experiencing reductions exceeding 50%. These findings underscore the optimized BGI network scheme’s capacity to reallocate rainwater resources efficiently, promoting a transition in urban water governance from an “engineering-dominated” approach to an “ecology-oriented and self-regulating” paradigm. Full article

Understanding the drivers of water yield (WY) changes in ecologically sensitive, data-scarce watersheds is crucial for sustainable management, particularly in the context of accelerating forest expansion and urbanization. This study focuses on the upper Yellow River Basin (UYRB), a critical headwater region that supplies 60% of the Yellow River’s flow and is undergoing rapid land use transitions from 1990 to 2100. Using the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST) model and the Future Land-Use Simulation (FLUS) model, we quantify historical (1990–2020) and projected (2025–2100) WY dynamics under three SSP scenarios (SSP126, SSP370, and SSP585). InVEST, a spatially explicit ecohydrological model based on the Budyko framework, estimates WY by balancing precipitation and evapotranspiration. The FLUS model combines cellular automata (CA) with an artificial neural network (ANN)-based suitability evaluation and Markov chain-derived transition probabilities to simulate land-use change under multiple scenarios. Results show that WY increased significantly during the historical period (1990–2020), primarily driven by increased precipitation, with climate change accounting for 94% and land-use change for 6% of the total variation in WY. Under future scenarios (SSP126, SSP370, and SSP585), WY is projected to increase to 217 mm, 206 mm, and 201 mm, respectively. Meanwhile, the influence of land-use change is expected to diminish, with its contribution decreasing to 9.1%, 5.7%, and 3.1% under SSP126, SSP370, and SSP585, respectively. This decrease reflects the increasing strength of climate signals (especially extreme precipitation and evaporative demand), which masks the hydrological impacts of land-use transitions. These findings highlight the dominant role of climate change, the scenario-dependent effects of land-use change, and the urgent need for integrated climate–land management strategies in forest-urbanizing watersheds. Full article

The impacts of land use transition on ecological environment quality (EEQ) during China’s rapid urbanization have attracted growing concern. However, existing studies predominantly focus on single-scale analyses, neglecting scale effects and driving mechanisms of EEQ changes under the coupling of administrative units and grid scales. Therefore, this study selects Zhejiang Province—a representative rapidly transforming region in China—to establish a “type-process-ecological effect” analytical framework. Utilizing four-period (2005–2020) 30 m resolution land use data alongside natural and socio-economic factors, four spatial scales (city, county, township, and 5 km grid) were selected to systematically evaluate multi-scale impacts of land use transition on EEQ and their driving mechanisms. The research reveals that the spatial distribution, changing trends, and driving factors of EEQ all exhibit significant scale dependence. The county scale demonstrates the strongest spatial agglomeration and heterogeneity, making it the most appropriate core unit for EEQ management and planning. City and county scales generally show degradation trends, while township and grid scales reveal heterogeneous patterns of local improvement, reflecting micro-scale changes obscured at coarse resolutions. Expansive land transition including conversions of forest ecological land (FEL), water ecological land (WEL), and agricultural production land (APL) to industrial and mining land (IML) primarily drove EEQ degradation, whereas restorative ecological transition such as transformation of WEL and IML to grassland ecological land (GEL) significantly enhanced EEQ. Regarding driving mechanisms, natural factors (particularly NDVI and precipitation) dominate across all scales with significant interactive effects, while socio-economic factors primarily operate at macro scales. This study elucidates the scale complexity of land use transition impacts on ecological environments, providing theoretical and empirical support for developing scale-specific, typology-differentiated ecological governance and spatial planning policies. Full article