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Search Results (2,133)

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32 pages, 2155 KB  
Article
Monte Carlo-Based Risk Analysis of Deep-Sea Mining Risers Under Vessel–Riser Coupling Effects
by Gang Wang, Hongshen Zhou and Qiong Hu
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(9), 1663; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13091663 - 29 Aug 2025
Abstract
In deep-sea mining operations, rigid risers operate in a complex and uncertain ocean environment where vessel–riser interactions present significant structural challenges. This study develops a coupled dynamic modeling framework that integrates vessel motions and environmental loads to evaluate the probabilistic risk of riser [...] Read more.
In deep-sea mining operations, rigid risers operate in a complex and uncertain ocean environment where vessel–riser interactions present significant structural challenges. This study develops a coupled dynamic modeling framework that integrates vessel motions and environmental loads to evaluate the probabilistic risk of riser failure. Using frequency-domain RAOs derived from AQWA and time-domain simulations in OrcaFlex 11.0, we analyze the riser’s effective tension, bending moment, and von Mises stress under a range of wave heights, periods, and directions, as well as varying current and wind speeds. A Monte Carlo simulation framework based on Latin hypercube sampling is used to generate 10,000 sea state scenarios. The response distributions are approximated using probability density functions to assess structural reliability, and global sensitivity is evaluated using a Sobol-based approach. Results show that the wave height and period are the primary drivers of riser dynamic response, both with sensitivity indices exceeding 0.7. Transverse wave directions exert stronger dynamic excitation, and the current speed notably affects the bending moment (sensitivity index = 0.111). The proposed methodology unifies a coupled time-domain simulation, environmental uncertainty analysis, and reliability assessment, enabling clear identification of dominant factors and distribution patterns of extreme riser responses. Additionally, the workflow offers practical guidance on key monitoring targets, alarm thresholds, and safe operation to support design and real-time decision-making. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Safety Evaluation and Protection in Deep-Sea Resource Exploitation)
23 pages, 4893 KB  
Article
Mobilization of PAHs by Wave-Induced Resuspension and Liquefaction in Silty Sediment
by Fang Lu, Qian Song and Wenquan Liu
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(9), 1661; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13091661 - 29 Aug 2025
Abstract
Silty seabed sediments in the subaqueous delta of the Yellow River are heavily contaminated with petroleum-derived polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs). Storm-induced sediment resuspension and liquefaction are key mechanisms responsible for the remobilization of PAHs into the overlying water column. In this study, laboratory-scale [...] Read more.
Silty seabed sediments in the subaqueous delta of the Yellow River are heavily contaminated with petroleum-derived polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs). Storm-induced sediment resuspension and liquefaction are key mechanisms responsible for the remobilization of PAHs into the overlying water column. In this study, laboratory-scale wave flume experiments were conducted to simulate PAH release under three hydrodynamic scenarios: (i) static diffusion (Stage I), (ii) low-intensity wave action (5 cm wave height, Stage II), and (iii) high-intensity wave action (12 cm wave height, Stage III). Results revealed a strong positive correlation between suspended particulate matter (SPM) and PAH concentrations in the aqueous phase during sediment disturbance. In particular, sediment liquefaction significantly enhanced PAH release, with concentrations up to five times higher than those under static conditions. Furthermore, liquefaction facilitated vertical migration of PAHs within sediments, resulting in reductions in PAH levels below the original background concentrations. The release dynamics varied notably among PAH species: low-molecular-weight (2–3 ring) PAHs, with lower hydrophobicity, were primarily detected in the aqueous phase, while medium- and high-molecular-weight PAHs remained predominantly associated with sediment particles. These findings underscore the critical role of hydrodynamic disturbances—especially sediment liquefaction—in influencing PAH mobility and offer important implications for pollution risk assessment and coastal management in storm-impacted deltaic environments. Full article
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28 pages, 1792 KB  
Article
Stabilization of Floating Offshore Wind Turbines with a Passive Stability-Enhancing Skirted Trapezoidal Platform
by Hanbyeol Kim, Hassan Saghi, Injae Jeon and Goangseup Zi
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(9), 1658; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13091658 - 29 Aug 2025
Abstract
In this study, an innovative passive stability-enhancing barge platform geometry is presented to improve the operational efficiency of floating offshore wind turbines (FOWTs) by mitigating platform motion caused by wave action. Barge-type FOWTs, which primarily rely on surface support, have received less attention [...] Read more.
In this study, an innovative passive stability-enhancing barge platform geometry is presented to improve the operational efficiency of floating offshore wind turbines (FOWTs) by mitigating platform motion caused by wave action. Barge-type FOWTs, which primarily rely on surface support, have received less attention in terms of geometric optimization. The proposed design incorporates skirts and a trapezoidal cross-sectional shape for the barge platforms.To achieve effective stability given cost-effect considerations, geometrical optimization was performed while maintaining the same mass as the original design. Positioning the skirt with a height-to-diameter ratio of 0.8 reduces platform movements considerably, decreasing the heave by approximately 20% and the pitch by up to 70% relative to the original design. In addition, the analysis demonstrated that increasing the moonpool area to approximately 400 m2 (approximately 10% of the platform’s surface area) led to an additional reduction in the heave and pitch responses. A specific moonpool diameter saturation point value was identified to increase the stability of the floater. Finally, the platform configuration yielded consistently lower peak motions across different wave angles, demonstrating improved stability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advanced Studies in Marine Structures)
50 pages, 15489 KB  
Article
Comparative Analysis of Scour in Riprap-Protected Monopiles and Hybrid Foundations
by João Chambel, Tiago Fazeres-Ferradosa, Mario Welzel, Francisco Taveira-Pinto and Pedro Lomónaco
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(9), 1639; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13091639 - 27 Aug 2025
Viewed by 137
Abstract
As the demand for new sustainable solutions for harvesting energy increases, the offshore energy sector focuses on optimising well-established state-of-the-art solutions while striving for new innovative approaches. Hybrid foundation designs have introduced new challenges and raised questions regarding scour and effective countermeasures. To [...] Read more.
As the demand for new sustainable solutions for harvesting energy increases, the offshore energy sector focuses on optimising well-established state-of-the-art solutions while striving for new innovative approaches. Hybrid foundation designs have introduced new challenges and raised questions regarding scour and effective countermeasures. To further improve the knowledge regarding scour prediction, this paper presents and analyses the results from an experimental study behaviour of a riprap protection system for a monopile that determines and characterises scour on a flexible arrangement of overlapping sub-areas. The study was complemented by a novel series of tests using a hybrid foundation, where an oscillating surge wave energy converter (OSWEC) type was coupled to the monopile. Despite being submitted to similar hydrodynamic conditions, distinct differences in the scour rate and damage number (S3D) were observed for both models. Although the OSWEC type contributed to local wave height attenuation (up to a 30% reduction on the leeward side of the hybrid monopile), its oscillatory motion severely aggravated scour, with measured damage rates two to three times higher than those observed in isolated monopiles. These results raise relevant questions about the applicability of existing design formulas for scour protection and underscore the necessity for revised criteria tailored to hybrid offshore foundations. Full article
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15 pages, 7114 KB  
Article
Assessing Coastal Vulnerability in Finland: A Geoinformation-Based Approach Using the CVI
by Konstantina Lymperopoulou, George P. Petropoulos, Anna Karkani, Niki Evelpidou and Spyridon E. Detsikas
Land 2025, 14(9), 1741; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14091741 - 27 Aug 2025
Viewed by 250
Abstract
The Arctic region, one of the most vulnerable areas globally, faces severe climate change impacts, with rising sea levels and temperatures threatening local communities. Modern geoinformation tools provide a reliable, cost-efficient, and time-saving method for assessing these climate changes in Arctic coastal regions. [...] Read more.
The Arctic region, one of the most vulnerable areas globally, faces severe climate change impacts, with rising sea levels and temperatures threatening local communities. Modern geoinformation tools provide a reliable, cost-efficient, and time-saving method for assessing these climate changes in Arctic coastal regions. This study focuses on Finland’s Arctic and sub-Arctic diverse coastline. The Coastal Vulnerability Index (CVI) is used to assess the vulnerability of Finland’s coastlines, using advanced geoinformatics tools. Integrating high-resolution data from EMODnet, the National Land Survey of Finland Digital Elevation Model (DEM), and physical sources, the CVI includes six input parameters: geomorphology, coastal slope, shoreline change rates, mean wave height, tidal range, and relative sea-level change. The CVI results reveal pronounced spatial variability: 37% of the coastline is classified with very low vulnerability, primarily in the southern Gulf of Finland, and some northern segments, specifically part of Lapland, exhibit minimal susceptibility to coastal hazards. Conversely, the central Gulf of Bothnia shows high vulnerability (29%), with low and moderate vulnerability zones comprising 27% and 6%, respectively, and very high vulnerability at 1%. This assessment provides essential insights for sustainable coastal management in Finland by offering a replicable model for Arctic coastal assessments. This study supports policymakers and local communities in developing targeted adaptation strategies to enhance resilience against climate-driven coastal hazards. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Landscape Ecology)
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23 pages, 5042 KB  
Article
Significant Wave Height Prediction Using LSTM Augmented by Singular Spectrum Analysis and Residual Correction
by Chunlin Ning, Huanyong Li, Zongsheng Wang, Chao Li, Lingkun Zeng, Wenmiao Shao and Shiqiang Nie
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(9), 1635; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13091635 - 27 Aug 2025
Viewed by 167
Abstract
Significant wave height (SWH) is a key physical parameter influencing the safety of shipping, fisheries, and marine engineering projects, and is closely related to climate change and marine disasters. Existing models struggle to balance a high prediction accuracy with low parameter counts, and [...] Read more.
Significant wave height (SWH) is a key physical parameter influencing the safety of shipping, fisheries, and marine engineering projects, and is closely related to climate change and marine disasters. Existing models struggle to balance a high prediction accuracy with low parameter counts, and are challenging to deploy on platforms such as buoys. To address these issues, this study proposes an innovative method for SWH prediction by combining Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) with a residual correction mechanism in a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network. This method utilizes SSA to decompose SWH time series, accurately extracting its main feature modes as inputs to the LSTM network and significantly enhancing the model’s ability to capture time-series data. Additionally, a residual correction module is introduced to fine-tune the prediction results, effectively improving the model’s 12 h forecasting accuracy. The experimental results show that for 1, 3, 6, and 12 h SWH predictions, by incorporating SSA and the residual correction module, the model reduces the Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root-Mean-Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) by 60–95%, and increases the coefficient of determination (R2) by 2–60%. The proposed model has only 10% of the parameters for LSTM based on Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD), striking an excellent balance between prediction accuracy and computational efficiency. This study provides a new methodology for deploying SWH prediction models on platforms such as buoys, and holds significant application value in marine disaster warning and environmental monitoring. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Physical Oceanography)
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19 pages, 4967 KB  
Article
Temporal Variations in Wave Systems in a Multimodal Sea State in the Coastal Waters of the Eastern Arabian Sea
by Sivakrishnan K. Kalappurakal, Shanas R. Puthuveetil and V. Sanil Kumar
Oceans 2025, 6(3), 53; https://doi.org/10.3390/oceans6030053 - 27 Aug 2025
Viewed by 256
Abstract
Multimodal waves can significantly impact ocean–atmosphere interactions and affect coastal ecosystems. Due to the presence of waves created in different geographical areas, many wave systems coexist in coastal seas. Based on data collected with a directional waverider buoy, this study investigates fluctuations in [...] Read more.
Multimodal waves can significantly impact ocean–atmosphere interactions and affect coastal ecosystems. Due to the presence of waves created in different geographical areas, many wave systems coexist in coastal seas. Based on data collected with a directional waverider buoy, this study investigates fluctuations in multimodal sea states from March 2010 to May 2020 in the eastern Arabian Sea. The watershed-based spectral partitioning method is used to analyze 2D wave spectra obtained from measurements. Four-wave systems are present during pre- and post-monsoon periods, and three systems are detected during the monsoon (June–September). Interannual changes in significant wave height and peak wave period of different systems are investigated, revealing the maximum interannual variability of all wave systems in the inter-monsoon periods (May and October). The most energetic system during the pre-monsoon period is wind seas from the northwest direction, whereas during monsoon, swells from the southwest-west dominate. This pattern is similar across a spatial distance of 570 km along the western coastal waters of India. In the post-monsoon period, both systems (wind seas and swells) are present, with swells having slightly higher intensity. Full article
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19 pages, 1200 KB  
Article
Wave Load Reduction and Tranquility Zone Formation Using an Elastic Plate and Double Porous Structures for Seawall Protection
by Gagan Sahoo, Harekrushna Behera and Tai-Wen Hsu
Mathematics 2025, 13(17), 2733; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13172733 - 25 Aug 2025
Viewed by 247
Abstract
This study presents an analytical model to reduce the impact of wave-induced forces on a vertical seawall by introducing a floating elastic plate (EP) located at a specific distance from two bottom-standing porous structures (BSPs). The hydrodynamic interaction with the EP is described [...] Read more.
This study presents an analytical model to reduce the impact of wave-induced forces on a vertical seawall by introducing a floating elastic plate (EP) located at a specific distance from two bottom-standing porous structures (BSPs). The hydrodynamic interaction with the EP is described using thin plate theory, while the fluid flow through the porous medium is described by the model developed by Sollit and Cross. The resulting boundary value problem is addressed through linear potential theory combined with the eigenfunction expansion method (EEM), and model validation is achieved through consistency checks with recognized results from the literature. A comprehensive parametric analysis is performed to evaluate the influence of key system parameters such as the porosity and frictional coefficient of the BSPs, their height and width, the flexural rigidity of the EP, and the spacing between the EP and BSPs on vital hydrodynamic coefficients, including the wave force on the seawall, free surface elevation, wave reflection coefficient, and energy dissipation coefficient. The results indicate that higher frictional coefficients and higher BSP heights significantly enhance wave energy dissipation and reduce reflection, in accordance with the principle of energy conservation. Oscillatory trends observed with respect to wavenumbers in the reflection and dissipation coefficients highlight resonant interactions between the structures. Moreover, compared with a single BSP, the double BSP arrangement is more effective in minimizing the wave force on the seawall and free surface elevation in the region between the EP and the wall, even when the total volume of porous material remains unchanged. The inter-structural gap is found to play a crucial role in optimizing resonance conditions and supporting the formation of a tranquility zone. Overall, the proposed configuration demonstrates significant potential for coastal protection, offering a practical and effective solution for reducing wave loads on marine infrastructure. Full article
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21 pages, 2914 KB  
Article
Machine Learning-Based Short-Term Forecasting of Significant Wave Height During Typhoons Using SWAN Data: A Case Study in the Pearl River Estuary
by Mengdi Ma, Guoliang Chen, Sudong Xu, Weikai Tan and Kai Yin
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(9), 1612; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13091612 - 23 Aug 2025
Viewed by 332
Abstract
Accurate wave forecasting under typhoon conditions is essential for coastal safety in the Pearl River Estuary. This study explores the use of Random Forest (RF) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models to predict significant wave heights, using SWAN-simulated data from 87 historical typhoon [...] Read more.
Accurate wave forecasting under typhoon conditions is essential for coastal safety in the Pearl River Estuary. This study explores the use of Random Forest (RF) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models to predict significant wave heights, using SWAN-simulated data from 87 historical typhoon events. Ten representative typhoons were reserved for independent testing. Results show that the LSTM model outperforms RF in 3 h forecasts, achieving a lower mean RMSE and higher R2, particularly in capturing wave peaks under highly dynamic conditions. For 6 h forecasts, both models exhibit decreased accuracy, with RF performing slightly better in stable scenarios, while LSTM remains more responsive in complex wave evolution. Generalization tests at three nearby stations demonstrate that both models, especially LSTM, retain strong predictive skill beyond the training location. These findings highlight the potential of combining numerical wave models with machine learning for short-term, data-driven wave forecasting in typhoon-prone and observation-sparse regions. The study also points to future improvements through integration of wind field predictors, model updating strategies, and ensemble meteorological data. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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16 pages, 6695 KB  
Article
Optimizing the Egli Model for Vehicular Ultra-Shortwave Communication Using High-Resolution Remote Sensing Satellite Imagery
by Guangshuo Zhang, Peng Chen, Fulin Wu, Yangzhen Qin, Qi Xu, Tianao Li, Shiwei Zhang and Hongmin Lu
Sensors 2025, 25(17), 5242; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25175242 - 23 Aug 2025
Viewed by 513
Abstract
The traditional radio wave propagation models exhibit several limitations when they are employed to predict the path loss for vehicular ultra-shortwave wireless communication. To addresses these challenges, an optimized approach for Egli model based on the high-resolution remote sensing satellite image is proposed [...] Read more.
The traditional radio wave propagation models exhibit several limitations when they are employed to predict the path loss for vehicular ultra-shortwave wireless communication. To addresses these challenges, an optimized approach for Egli model based on the high-resolution remote sensing satellite image is proposed in this study. The optimization process includes three components. First, a method for calculating the actual equivalent antenna height is introduced, utilizing high-precision remote sensing satellite imagery to obtain communication path profiles. This method accounts for the antenna’s physical length, vehicular height, and local terrain characteristics, thereby providing an accurate representation of the antenna’s effective height within its operational environment. Second, an equivalent substitution method for ground loss is developed, utilizing surface information derived from high-precision remote sensing satellite images. This method integrates ground loss directly into the Egli model’s calculation process, eliminating the need for separate computations and simplifying the model. Third, leveraging the Egli model as a foundation, the least squares method (LSM) is employed to fit the relief height, ensuring the model meets the requirements for ultra-short wave communication distances under line-of-sight (LOS) conditions and enhances suitability for real-world vehicular communication systems. Finally, the validity and accuracy of the optimization model are verified by comparing the measured data with the theoretical calculated values. Compared with the Egli model, the Egli model with additional correction factors, and the measured data, the average error of the optimized model is reduced by 8.98%, 2.09%, and the average error is 0.45%. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Remote Sensors)
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23 pages, 12911 KB  
Article
Research of Wind–Wave–Ship Coupled Effects on Ship Airwake and Helicopter Aerodynamic Characteristics
by Kun Zong, Luyao Qi, Yongjie Shi, Wei Han and Shan Ma
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(9), 1608; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13091608 - 22 Aug 2025
Viewed by 245
Abstract
The oceanic wind and waves, as well as the resultant ship motions, significantly impact the ship airwake and the operation of shipborne helicopters. A numerical method coupling wind, wave, ship and helicopter is developed using multiphase flow, in which the ship motions are [...] Read more.
The oceanic wind and waves, as well as the resultant ship motions, significantly impact the ship airwake and the operation of shipborne helicopters. A numerical method coupling wind, wave, ship and helicopter is developed using multiphase flow, in which the ship motions are simulated in real time by dynamic fluid body interaction module and the helicopter rotor is modeled using the momentum source approach. By integrating the ONRT ship with the UH-60A helicopter, the unsteady aerodynamic characteristics of the ship airwake and the helicopter rotor while the ship is pitching and heaving at sea state 36 that cover moderate to extreme marine environments are studied, and the time history of rotor thrust and pitch moment at four different sea states and different hovering heights are calculated. It is shown that ship motions and deck displacements in relative sea states are highly nonlinear, making the conditions faced by helicopter landing and take-off operations vary greatly from one sea state to another. The effects of each sea state when coupling waves and ship motions varies greatly. The fluctuation of velocity components and rotor air loads in sea state 6 is up to twice that of in sea state 5, while there are less differences between the velocity fluctuation and the corresponding helicopter airloads among common sea state 3~5. The dynamic aerodynamic interference resulting from the wind–wave–ship–helicopter coupling exhibits pronounced unsteady characteristics, as the hovering rotor continuously traverses areas with varying velocities and vorticities. At the most severe sea state 6, rotor thrust fluctuations can reach up to 20%, and strong perturbations of 5~10 Hz with an amplitude of 1/3 of the total range occur due to oscillating separated shear layers, which endanger the shipborne helicopter operation and needs to be eluded. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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27 pages, 5057 KB  
Article
Development and Hydrodynamic Performance of an Oscillating Buoy-Type Wave Energy Converter
by Yeison Berrio, Germán Rivillas-Ospina, Gregorio Posada Vanegas, Rodolfo Silva, Edgar Mendoza, Victor Pugliese and Augusto Sisa
Energies 2025, 18(16), 4383; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18164383 - 18 Aug 2025
Viewed by 522
Abstract
The development of wave energy converters (WECs) faces several technical challenges, particularly enhancing the capturing efficiency, improving the conversion of mechanical to electric energy, and reducing energy losses in the transmission of electricity to land-based facilities. The present study is an assessment of [...] Read more.
The development of wave energy converters (WECs) faces several technical challenges, particularly enhancing the capturing efficiency, improving the conversion of mechanical to electric energy, and reducing energy losses in the transmission of electricity to land-based facilities. The present study is an assessment of the interaction between an oscillating buoy-type wave energy converter (WEC) and waves using experimental and numerical methods. A small-scale model was tested in a wave tank to evaluate its energy capturing efficiency, taking wave heights and periods as independent variables. The recorded data were used to validate OpenFOAM (version 9.0) simulations, which provided insights into system response characteristics. The findings highlight the critical role of resonance in optimizing energy capture, with maximum efficiency observed for medium wave periods, and with specific buoy configurations. The study also identified an inverse relationship between the capture width ratio and wave height, suggesting the need for customized buoy designs, tailored to specific sea states. The integrated approach used in this research provides a comprehensive understanding of WEC behaviour and offers valuable insights for advancing wave energy technologies and improving their sustainability and efficiency in diverse marine environments. Full article
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26 pages, 11892 KB  
Article
Retrieval of Wave Parameters from GNSS Buoy Measurements Using Spectrum Analysis: A Case Study in the Huanghai Sea
by Jin Wang, Xiaohang Chang, Rui Tu, Shiwei Yan, Shengli Wang and Pengfei Zhang
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(16), 2869; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17162869 - 18 Aug 2025
Viewed by 514
Abstract
Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) buoys are widely used to retrieve wave parameters such as significant wave heights (SWHs) and dominant wave periods. In addition to the statistical methods employed to estimate wave parameters, spectral-analysis-based approaches are also frequently utilized to analyze them. [...] Read more.
Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) buoys are widely used to retrieve wave parameters such as significant wave heights (SWHs) and dominant wave periods. In addition to the statistical methods employed to estimate wave parameters, spectral-analysis-based approaches are also frequently utilized to analyze them. This study presents statistical and spectral methods for retrieving wave parameters at GNSS buoy positioning resolution in the Huanghai Sea area. To verify the method’s effectiveness, the zero-crossing method and three spectral analysis techniques (periodogram, autocorrelation function, and autoregressive model methods) were used to estimate wave height and period for comparison. The vertical positioning resolution was decomposed into low-frequency ocean-tide level information and high-frequency wave height and period information with the Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (CEEMD) method and moving average filtering. The horizontal positioning results and velocity parameters were used to determine the wave direction using directional spectrum analysis. The results show that the three spectral methods yield consistent effective wave heights, with a maximum difference of 0.02 s in the wave period. Compared with the zero-crossing method results, the wave height and period obtained through spectral analysis differ by 0.05 m and 0.79 s, respectively, while the average wave height and period differ by 0.09 m and 0.08 s, respectively. The GNSS-derived wave heights also closely match tidal gauge observations, confirming the method’s validity. Directional spectrum analysis indicates that wave energy is concentrated in the 0.2–0.25 Hz frequency band and within a directional range of 0° ± 30°, with a dominant northward propagation trend. These findings demonstrate that the proposed approach can provide high accuracy and physical consistency for GNSS-based wave monitoring under complex sea conditions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Multi-GNSS Technology and Applications)
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18 pages, 5926 KB  
Article
The Extremal Value Analysis of Sea Level in the Gulf of Cádiz and Alborán Sea: A New Methodology and the Resilience of Critical Infrastructures
by José J. Alonso del Rosario, Danping Yin, Juan M. Vidal Pérez, Daniel J. Coronil Huertas, Elizabeth Blázquez Gómez, Santiago Pavón Quintana, Juan J. Muñoz Pérez and Cristina Torrecillas
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(8), 1567; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081567 - 15 Aug 2025
Viewed by 355
Abstract
Rising sea levels and increasing storm wave heights are two clear indicators of climate change affecting coastal environments worldwide. Coastal cities and infrastructure are particularly vulnerable to these hazards, highlighting the need for accurate predictions and effective adaptation and resilience strategies to protect [...] Read more.
Rising sea levels and increasing storm wave heights are two clear indicators of climate change affecting coastal environments worldwide. Coastal cities and infrastructure are particularly vulnerable to these hazards, highlighting the need for accurate predictions and effective adaptation and resilience strategies to protect human lives and economic activities. This study focuses on the Andalusia coast of southern Spain, from Cádiz to Almería, analyzing twelve years of sea level and wave height records using an Extreme Value Analysis. A key challenge lies in selecting the most suitable statistical distribution for long-term predictions. To address this, we propose a modified application of the Cramér–Rao Lower Bound and compare it with the Akaike Information Criteria and the Bayesian Information Criteria. Our results indicate that sea level extremes generally follow a Gumbel distribution, while wave height extremes align more closely with the Fisher–Tippett I distribution. Additionally, a high-resolution digital elevation model of the Navantia Puerto Real shipyard, generated with LiDAR scanning, was used to identify flood-prone areas and assess potential operational impacts. This approach allows for the development of practical recommendations for enhancing infrastructure resilience. The main contribution of this work includes the estimation of extreme regimes for sea level and wave stations, a novel and more efficient application of the Cramér–Rao Lower Bound, a comparative analysis with Bayesian criteria, and providing recommendations to improve the resilience of shipyard operations. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sea Level Rise and Related Hazards Assessment)
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25 pages, 6522 KB  
Article
Arctic Wave Climate Including Marginal Ice Zone and Future Climate Scenario
by Hamid Goharnejad, William Perrie, Bechara Toulany, Minghong Zhang, Zhenxia Long, Michael Casey and Michael H. Meylan
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(8), 1562; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081562 - 14 Aug 2025
Viewed by 283
Abstract
This study examines the variation and trends in wave parameters across the Arctic, including the marginal ice zone (MIZ), by comparing historical data (1980–2009) with projections for a future climate scenario (2070–2099) as outlined by the IPCC. Utilizing the WAVEWATCH III (WW3) numerical [...] Read more.
This study examines the variation and trends in wave parameters across the Arctic, including the marginal ice zone (MIZ), by comparing historical data (1980–2009) with projections for a future climate scenario (2070–2099) as outlined by the IPCC. Utilizing the WAVEWATCH III (WW3) numerical wave prediction model, we simulate the wave climate for these periods, incorporating advanced parameterizations to account for wave-ice interactions within the MIZ. Our analysis focuses on the extreme values of significant wave heights (Hs), mean wave periods (T0), and dominant mean wave direction (MWD), calculated for both winter and summer seasons. To assess changes in wave climate under future climate scenarios, we first use a similarity matrix, applying the kappa variable and cell-by-cell numerical comparison methods to assess model congruence across different conditions. We also follow a standard approach, by assessing the extreme wave conditions for 20 and 100-year return periods using standard stochastic models, including Gumbel, exponential, and Weibull distributions. Full article
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