Search Results (785)

Climate change is intensifying fire regimes, thereby challenging forest ecosystems and making it more difficult to predict the fate of burned trees. The significant ecological impacts of latent tree mortality remain poorly understood. In this study, we reviewed the scientific literature on latent tree mortality in conifer forests following wildfires or prescribed fires. A total of 2294 papers published between 2000 and 2024 were identified from Scopus and Web of Science databases. Using the PICO selection method, we included 16 relevant studies in the final analysis. These studies are based on field assessment, excluding remote sensing and controlled laboratory conditions. Our research revealed that latent mortality results from multiple forms of damage and environmental stressors that disrupt hydraulic function and carbon allocation, increasing tree vulnerability to secondary biotic and abiotic stressors. The discussion is structured around four thematic areas: physiology, ecophysiology, dendrochronology, and silviculture. This approach contributes to a deeper, interdisciplinary understanding of latent tree mortality. However, predicting it remains difficult, reflecting persistent knowledge gaps. Despite the limited literature on this specific field, our review highlights the need for integrated physiological indicators, such as sap flow, transpiration, nonstructural carbohydrates and glucose concentration, as well as long-term monitoring along many growing seasons to better assess tree survival after fire. Full article

Seasonal fires in northern Thailand are a persistent environmental and public health concern, yet existing fire probability mapping approaches in Thailand rely heavily on subjective multi-criteria analysis (MCA) methods and temporally static data aggregation methods. To address these limitations, we present a flexible, replicable, and operationally viable seasonal fire probability mapping methodology using a Random Forest (RF) machine learning model in the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform. We trained the model on historical fire occurrence and fire predictor layers from 2016–2023 and applied it to 2024 conditions to generate a probabilistic fire prediction. Our novel approach improves upon existing operational methods and scientific literature in several ways. It uses a more representative sample design which is agnostic to the burn history of fire presences and absences, pairs fire and fire predictor data from each year to account for interannual variation in conditions, empirically refines the most influential fire predictors from a comprehensive set of predictors, and provides a reproducible and accessible framework using GEE. Predictor variables include both socioeconomic and environmental drivers of fire, such as topography, fuels, potential fire behavior, forest type, vegetation characteristics, climate, water availability, crop type, recent burn history, and human influence and accessibility. The model achieves an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.841 when applied to 2016–2023 data and 0.848 when applied to 2024 data, indicating strong discriminatory power despite the additional spatial and temporal variability introduced by our sample design. The highest fire probabilities emerge in forested and agricultural areas at mid elevations and near human settlements and roads, which aligns well with the known anthropogenic drivers of fire in Thailand. Distinct areas of model uncertainty are also apparent in cropland and forests which are only burned intermittently, highlighting the importance of accounting for localized burning cycles. Variable importance analysis using the Gini Impurity Index identifies both natural and anthropogenic predictors as key and nearly equally important predictors of fire, including certain forest and crop types, vegetation characteristics, topography, climate, human influence and accessibility, water availability, and recent burn history. Our findings demonstrate the heavy influence of data preprocessing and model design choices on model results. The model outputs are provided as interpretable probability maps and the methods can be adapted to future years or augmented with local datasets. Our methodology presents a scalable advancement in wildfire probability mapping with machine learning and open-source tools, particularly for data-constrained landscapes. It will support Thailand’s fire managers in proactive fire response and planning and also inform broader regional fire risk assessment efforts. Full article

Forests play a crucial role in climate regulation through atmospheric CO₂ sequestration. However, disturbances like wildfires can severely compromise this function. This study assesses the ecological and economic consequences of a 2018 wildfire in The Roaches Nature Reserve, UK, focusing on post-fire carbon dynamics. A mixed woodland dominated by Pinus sylvestris L. and Larix decidua Mill. was evaluated via satellite imagery (remote sensing indices), dendrochronological analysis (wood cores sampling), and soil properties analyses. Remote sensing revealed areas of high fire severity and progressive vegetation decline. Tree-ring data indicated near-total mortality of L. decidua, while P. sylvestris showed greater post-fire resilience. Soil properties (e.g., soil organic carbon, biomass and microbial indices, etc.) assessed at a depth of 0–5 cm showed no significant changes. The analysis of CO₂ sequestration trends revealed a marked decline in burned areas, with post-fire sequestration reduced by approximately 70% in P. sylvestris and nearly 100% in L. decidua, in contrast to the stable patterns observed in the control stands during the same period. To estimate this important ecosystem service, we developed a novel CO₂ Sequestration Loss (CSL) index, which quantified the reduction in forest carbon uptake and underscored the impaired sequestration capacity of burned area. The decrease in CO₂ sequestration also resulted in a loss of regulating ecosystem service value, with burned areas showing a marked reduction compared to pre-fire conditions. Finally, a carbon loss of ~208 Mg ha⁻¹ was estimated in the burnt area compared to the control, mainly due to tree mortality rather than shallow soil carbon stock. Overall, our findings demonstrate that wildfire can substantially compromise the climate mitigation potential of temperate forests, highlighting the urgency of proactive management and restoration strategies. Full article

Cyprus is located between Europe, Asia and Africa, and its location is vulnerable to dust transport from the Sahara Desert, wildfire smoke particles from surrounding regions, and other anthropogenic emissions caused by several factors, mostly due to business activities on harbor areas. Moreover, the country suffers from heavy traffic conditions caused by the limited public transportation system in Cyprus. Therefore, taking into consideration the country’s geographic location, heavy commercial activities, and lack of good public transportation system, Cyprus is exposed to dust episodes and high anthropogenic emissions associated with multiple health and environmental issues. Therefore, continuous and qualitative air quality monitoring is essential. The Department of Labor Inspection of Cyprus (DLI) has established an air quality monitoring network that consists of 11 stations at strategic geographic locations covering rural, residential, traffic and industrial zones. This network measures the following pollutants: nitrogen oxide, nitrogen dioxide, sulfur dioxide, ozone, carbon monoxide, particulate matter 2.5, and particulate matter 10. This case study compares and evaluates the agreement between Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) air quality products and ground-truth data from the DLI air quality network. The study period spans from January to December 2024. This study focuses on the following three pollutants: particulate matter 2.5, particulate matter 10, and ozone, using Ensemble Median, EMEP, and CHIMERE near-real-time model data provided by CAMS. A data analysis was performed to identify the agreement and the error rate between those two datasets (i.e., ground-truth air quality data and CAMS air quality data). In addition, this study assesses the reliability of assimilated datasets from CAMS across rural, residential, traffic and industrial zones. The results showcase how CAMS near-real-time analysis data can supplement air quality monitoring in locations without the availability of ground-truth data. Full article

Fire spotting (FS), the process by which firebrands are lofted, transported, and ignite new fires ahead of the main flame front, plays a critical role in escalating extreme wildfire events. This systematic literature review (SLR) analyzes peer-reviewed articles and book chapters published in English from 2000 to 2023 to assess the evolution of FS models, identify prevailing methodologies, and highlight existing gaps. Following a PRISMA-guided approach, 102 studies were selected from Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar, with searches conducted up to December 2023. The results indicate a marked increase in scientific interest after 2010. Thematic and bibliometric analyses reveal a dominant research focus on integrating the FS model within existing and new fire spread models, as well as empirical research and individual FS phases, particularly firebrand transport and ignition. However, generation and ignition FS phases, physics-based FS models (encompassing all FS phases), and integrated operational models remain underexplored. Modeling strategies have advanced from empirical and semi-empirical approaches to machine learning and physical-mechanistic simulations. Despite advancements, most models still struggle to replicate the stochastic and nonlinear nature of spotting. Geographically, research is concentrated in the United States, Australia, and parts of Europe, with notable gaps in representation across the Global South. This review underscores the need for interdisciplinary, data-driven, and regionally inclusive approaches to improve the predictive accuracy and operational applicability of FS models under future climate scenarios. Full article

Artificial intelligence (AI) offers several opportunities in wildfire management, particularly for improving short- and long-term fire occurrence forecasting, spread modeling, and decision-making. When properly adapted beyond research into real-world settings, AI can significantly reduce risks to human life, as well as ecological and economic damages. However, despite increasingly sophisticated research, the operational use of AI in wildfire contexts remains limited. In this article, we review the main domains of wildfire management where AI has been applied—susceptibility mapping, prediction, detection, simulation, and impact assessment—and highlight critical limitations that hinder practical adoption. These include challenges with dataset imbalance and accessibility, the inadequacy of commonly used metrics, the choice of prediction formats, and the computational costs of large-scale models, all of which reduce model trustworthiness and applicability. Beyond synthesizing existing work, our survey makes four explicit contributions: (1) we provide a reproducible taxonomy supported by detailed dataset tables, emphasizing both the reliability and shortcomings of frequently used data sources; (2) we propose evaluation guidance tailored to imbalanced and spatial tasks, stressing the importance of using accurate metrics and format; (3) we provide a complete state of the art, highlighting important issues and recommendations to enhance models’ performances and reliability from susceptibility to damage analysis; (4) we introduce a deployment checklist that considers cost, latency, required expertise, and integration with decision-support and optimization systems. By bridging the gap between laboratory-oriented models and real-world validation, our work advances prior reviews and aims to strengthen confidence in AI-driven wildfire management while guiding future research toward operational applicability. Full article

The purpose of this study was to examine the role of traditional fire management practices in the general mitigation of wildfire risk in Greece. Major emphasis was placed on assessing people’s opinions about the perceived effectiveness of traditional fire management strategies that were historically and culturally employed by local communities—such as weather condition monitoring, prescribed burning, proper land use planning, and mosaic burning—in the general mitigation of wildfire risks. An online questionnaire was used to collect data from 397 environmental experts in Greece. The study shows that traditional fire control methods reduce wildfire risk. First, weather monitoring was found to be crucial to wildfire forecasting and prevention. The results showed that early warning, successful firefighting, and fire prevention depend on meteorological data. Additionally, prescribed burning was revealed to have reduced wildfire risk. Respondents accepted that they could reduce unprescribed fires, protect natural ecosystems, remove wildfire-prone areas, and regulate flame intensity. This suggests that scheduled burning in Greece may reduce wildfire damage. The study underlines the importance of including conventional fire management in the wildfire mitigation strategy of Greece. The aforementioned activities may help the environment and civilization progress by safeguarding ecosystems and reducing wildfire damage. These techniques, combined with community engagement and improved early warning systems, may help manage climate change-induced wildfires. Overall, the study contributes to wildfire management in Greece and other Mediterranean countries. The study emphasizes the need to incorporate traditional fire practices into Greece’s wildfire risk reduction strategies. Taking into account the success rates of these practices in other areas, as well as Greece’s old tradition of conducting fire, this paper stresses that further studies and policy developments be made in order to reinstate these practices in today’s wildfire management. Full article

Wildfire events pose significant threats to global ecosystems, with Greece experiencing substantial economic losses exceeding EUR 1.7 billion in 2023 alone, generating immediate financial burdens while contributing to atmospheric carbon dioxide emissions and accelerating climate change effects. This study presents a group of classification models for Greece wildfires utilizing historical datasets spanning 2017 to 2021, incorporating satellite-derived remote sensing data, topographical characteristics, and meteorological observations through a multimodal methodology that integrates satellite imagery processing with traditional numerical data analysis techniques. The framework encompasses multiple deep learning architectures, specifically implementing four standalone models comprising two convolutional neural networks optimized for spatial image processing and long short-term memory networks designed for temporal pattern recognition, extending classification approaches by incorporating visual satellite data alongside established numerical datasets to enable the system to leverage both spatial visual patterns and temporal numerical trends. The implementation employs an ensemble methodology that combines individual model classifications through systematic voting mechanisms, harnessing the complementary strengths of each architectural approach to deliver enhanced predictive capabilities and demonstrate the substantial benefits achieved through multimodal data integration for comprehensive wildfire risk assessment applications. Full article

The assessment of the economic vulnerability of natural disasters is a necessary step in the evaluation of any risks. This study proposes the approach implemented under the H2020 FirEurisk project to value the economic damage of wildfires on a European scale. Economic damage is assessed as the net value change in natural (agricultural and forestry resources and their ecosystem services) and manufactured assets under simulated fire intensity, taking into consideration the time necessary for natural capital to recover to the pre-damaged conditions. We show minimum, maximum, and average damage for European countries and map the critical areas. Damages to provisioning-ecosystem services are more pronounced in Central Europe because of the lower resilience of ecosystems compared to the Mediterranean, suggesting that mitigation measures (such as managing vegetation to reduce fuel; improving access to fire services; and engaging communities through education, agriculture, and forest management participation) must be enforced. We are confident that the approach proposed may stimulate further research to test the goodness of the estimates proposed and suggest where it is more appropriate to invest in fire prevention. Full article

The Republic of Korea, with 64% forest coverage, is increasingly vulnerable to large-scale wildfires. This study employed electrical resistance tomography (ERT) to diagnose internal damage in Pinus densiflora trees following a surface fire in spring 2023. Of the 30 monitored trees, 5 died in 2023 and 6 more had died by 2024. Dead trees showed a 41% higher Bark Scorch Index (BSI) and a 10%–15% lower DBH and circumference than survivors. From July, ERT detected significant increases in high- (ERT_R) and medium-resistance (ERT_Y) areas, while low-resistance (ERT_B) regions declined. By September, ERT_R and ERT_Y were 2.2 and 1.9 times higher in dead trees. Maximum resistivity (Rs_max) rose 6.1-fold to 3724 Ωm. One year post-fire, healthy areas in dead trees dropped below 18%. These findings indicate that internal defects develop gradually and accelerate in summer and winter, correlating with thermal and freeze–thaw stress. Early diagnosis within two months post-fire was unreliable, while post-summer assessments better distinguished trees at mortality risk. This study demonstrates ERT’s utility as a non-destructive tool for tracking post-fire damage and guiding forest restoration under increasing wildfire threats. Full article

Conventional wildfire assessment products emphasize regional-scale ignition likelihood and potential spread derived from fuels and weather. While useful for broad planning, they do not directly support boundary-aware, scenario-specific decision-making for localized threats to communities in the Wildland–Urban Interface (WUI). This limitation constrains the ability of fire managers to effectively prioritize mitigation efforts and response strategies for ignition events that may lead to severe local impacts. This paper introduces WUI-BTI—a scenario-based, simulation-driven boundary-threat index for the Wildland–Urban Interface that quantifies consequences conditional on an ignition under standardized meteorology, rather than estimating risk. WUI-BTI evaluates ignition locations—referred to as Fire Amplification Sites (FAS)—based on their potential to compromise the defined boundary of a community. For each ignition location, a high-resolution fire spread simulation is conducted. The resulting fire perimeter dynamics are analyzed to extract three key metrics: (1) the minimum distance of fire approach to the community boundary ($D_{min}$) for non-breaching fires; and for breaching fires, (2) the time required for the fire to reach the boundary ($T_p$), and (3) the total length of the community boundary affected by the fire ($L_c$). These raw outputs are mapped through monotone, sigmoid-based transformations to yield a single, interpretable score: breaching fires are scored by the product of an inverse-time urgency term and an extent term, whereas non-breaching fires are scored by proximity alone. The result is a continuous boundary-threat surface that ranks ignition sites by their potential to rapidly and substantially compromise a community boundary. By converting complex simulation outputs into scenario-specific, boundary-aware intelligence, WUI-BTI provides a transparent, quantitative basis for prioritizing fuel treatments, pre-positioning suppression resources, and guiding protective strategies in the WUI for fire managers, land use planners, and emergency response agencies. The framework complements regional hazard layers (e.g., severity classifications) by resolving fine-scale, consequence-focused priorities for specific communities. Full article

Climate change is intensifying the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, threatening the resilience of buildings and urban infrastructure. While technical solutions for climate adaptation in buildings are well documented, their economic viability remains a critical, yet underexplored, dimension of decision-making. This novel systematic review analyzes publications with an exclusive focus on climate adaptation strategies for buildings using cost-based evaluation methods. This review categorises the literature into three methodological clusters: Cost–Benefit Analysis (CBA), Life Cycle Costing (LCC), and alternative methods including artificial intelligence, simulation, and multi-criteria approaches. CBA emerges as the most frequently used and versatile tool, often applied to evaluate micro-scale flood protection and nature-based solutions. LCC is valuable for assessing long-term investment efficiency, particularly in retrofit strategies targeting energy and thermal performance. Advanced methods, such as genetic algorithms and AI-driven models, are gaining traction but face challenges in data availability and transparency. Most studies focus on residential buildings and flood-related hazards, with a growing interest in heatwaves, wildfires, and compound risk scenarios. Despite methodological advancements, challenges persist—including uncertainties in climate projections, valuation of non-market benefits, and limited cost data. This review highlights the need for integrated frameworks that combine economic, environmental, and social metrics, and emphasises the importance of stakeholder-inclusive, context-sensitive decision-making. Ultimately, aligning building adaptation with financial feasibility and long-term sustainability is achievable through improved data quality, flexible methodologies, and supportive policy instruments. Full article

Assessing the energy flux delivered to ecosystem components by wildfires is hard because of technical and safety problems in performing measurements during such events. Here, we present a laboratory and field experimental assessment of a new method of evaluating a wildfire energy flux; our approach is based on the fact that different types of trash deform at different temperatures. We produced deformed trash in a laboratory environment using an iCone calorimeter to deliver a range of heat fluxes over a range of durations. We followed this by placing trash in instrumented prescribed fires. We show that finding melted or heat-altered plastic bottles and aluminium cans in the aftermath of wildfires can provide useful information about the heating that they received during the fire: plastic bottles are a useful indicator for areas that received less than 2 MJ/m² with a maximal temperature of <200 °C, while aluminium cans may be applied to higher-energy sites 100 MJ/m² that experienced a temperature above 600 °C. We provide a semi-quantitative proxy guide as to what different observed deformations may indicate in terms of energy flux and hope that this may allow scientists and forest managers to easily and cheaply assess the energy flux delivered to ecosystems and semi-quantitatively compare different wildfires. Full article

Wildfires pose serious threats to ecosystems, human life, and climate stability, underscoring the urgent need for accurate monitoring. Traditional approaches based on either optical or thermal imagery often fail under challenging conditions such as lighting interference, varying data sources, or small-scale flames, as they do not account for the hierarchical nature of feature representations. To overcome these limitations, we propose a multimodal deep learning framework that integrates visible (RGB) and thermal infrared (TIR) imagery for accurate wildfire segmentation. The framework incorporates edge-guided supervision and multilevel fusion to capture fine fire boundaries while exploiting complementary information from both modalities. To assess its effectiveness, we constructed a multi-scale flame segmentation dataset and validated the method across diverse conditions, including different data sources, lighting environments, and five flame size categories ranging from small to large. Experimental results show that BFCNet achieves an IoU of 88.25% and an F1 score of 93.76%, outperforming both single-modality and existing multimodal approaches across all evaluation tasks. These results demonstrate the potential of multimodal deep learning to enhance wildfire monitoring, offering practical value for disaster management, ecological protection, and the deployment of autonomous aerial surveillance systems. Full article

Background: Understanding the perceptions of climate change among local populations is crucial for informing public awareness and supporting the development of evidence-based policies. The Entre Douro e Minho region in Northern Portugal faces significant climate challenges, yet comprehensive studies on local population perceptions remain limited. Objective: This study assessed public perceptions of climate change evolution among residents of the Entre Douro e Minho region, examining demographic and spatial influences on climate awareness and attribution beliefs. Methods: A cross-sectional survey was conducted between October 2024 and March 2025, targeting residents of the Porto, Braga, and Viana do Castelo districts. Statistical analysis employed descriptive statistics, Spearman correlations, and non-parametric tests with psychometrically validated instruments. Results: Among 1749 valid responses (82.0% response rate), residents demonstrated high levels of climate change awareness (mean = 3.87/5.0) and a large number attributed this to anthropogenic causes (mean = 3.82/5.0). Education emerged as the strongest demographic predictor of climate attribution beliefs (ρ = 0.279, p < 0.001, small to medium effect), while age showed a negative association (ρ = −0.255, p < 0.001). Spatial analysis revealed significant district-level variations, with Viana do Castelo consistently showing higher levels of climate awareness across all measures. Wildfires (77.4%) and heatwaves (70.6%) were the most prevalent perceptions of extreme weather, while reforestation and forest management (77.3%) emerged as the most preferred adaptation strategy. Conclusions: This study reveals high levels of climate change awareness, characterized by significant demographic and spatial heterogeneity. Educational attainment and generational differences create distinct perception profiles requiring targeted communication strategies. These findings provide an evidence base for developing age-differentiated climate education programs and geographically tailored adaptation policies in Northern Portugal and similar European contexts. Full article