5.1. Battery Material Selection
Lithium-Ion Batteries (LIBs) have become the dominant choice for various energy storage applications, primarily due to their longer lifespan and higher energy density compared to other battery types [
4]. Among the different types of LIBs, LFP has gained widespread adoption in heavy-duty transportation, including MHT. This is because LFP offers advantages such as lower cost, lower toxicity, well-established performance characteristics, excellent long-term stability, and suitability for a wider range of temperature variations. Given the heavy usage of MHT, the cycle life-span (the number of cycles until 80% of the initial capacity remains) becomes crucial in determining the frequency of battery replacements. Knibbe et al. [
8] provided an explanation of the cycle life-spans of prevailing battery categories, including LFP, lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide (NMC), lithium nickel cobalt aluminium oxide (NCA), and LTO (
Figure 11). The expected cycle life-spans of NMC and NCA chemistries (shown in green and pink, respectively) are relatively low compared to LFP (shown in yellow). While LFP offers a lower cycle lifespan than LTO (shown in blue), both LFP and LTO exhibit high cycle life-spans, reaching up to 4000 and 20,000 cycles, respectively, when operated at 25 °C and a moderate charge/discharge rate. However, LTO has drawbacks such as lower energy density and higher cost. Nonetheless, it demonstrates excellent performance in terms of efficiency, power (Max C-rate), and safety [
8]. Given its superior cycle life-span, which can significantly reduce battery replacement costs associated with end-of-life, this study selects LTO as another research target for simulation.
5.2. Battery Package Design
Based on the characteristics of LFP and LTO batteries, along with the parameters of the selected battery packages,
Table 2 presents the relevant details. The discharging range for these MHT applications is set to be between 20% and 95% to ensure battery health [
28]. The estimated battery lifespan is based on the number of cycles required for the cell chemistries to reach 80% of their initial capacity, taking into account a battery life degradation of 20% [
8]. Battery efficiency represents the overall efficiency from the tank to the end use, including both the tank-to-wheel and tank-to-auxiliary efficiencies. According to the findings of a previous study [
12], the tank-to-wheel efficiency of a BEV is estimated to be around 68%, with a range spanning from 64.4% to 86%. The losses in efficiency can be attributed to factors such as powertrain friction and electrical resistance encountered during the transmission of electricity. The battery efficiency is assumed to be 80% in this study. The energy density of LFP is 150 Wh/kg, while that of LTO is 75 Wh/kg. Additionally, the cost of LFP is USD 240/kWh, while the cost of LTO is USD 750/kWh [
8].
The battery package design allows for a 25% discharging range margin, 20% battery degradation loss over the life, and 20% battery efficiency loss, which typically account for 65% of the battery “nameplate” capacity. Note that the real usable capacity we can consume in normal MHT operation is merely 35% of the total capacity, as shown in
Figure 12 [
8].
5.3. Battery Size Design and Comparison
The reasonable battery mass (
MB) of BOT, BT-D, and BT-S should be calculated based on the above parameters, which are on-board battery energy per cycle (
WBE), cycle times per battery swapping (
St), discharging range loss (
LDR), battery degradation loss (
LBD), battery efficiency loss (
LBE), and battery energy density (
DBE). Although BT-D has no need for swapping batteries, the
St equals 2 for further calculation and comparison, which enables its battery to stay in shallow DOD for better battery health.
The battery size selection for battery alternatives can be executed using two methods: “tailored battery size selection” and “unified battery size selection”. In the tailored battery size selection method, each battery application (BOT, BT-D, and BT-S) is equipped with a dedicated battery mass that fulfills its minimum on-board energy requirement. This approach aims to minimize the battery mass while providing sufficient payload capacity. For the purposes of this study, we have assumed the same battery size for BT-D and BT-S applications, principally because of battery performance comparison and interoperability concerns related to operating a mixed fleet. In BT-D-only applications, the size of the battery could be further reduced to meet one cycle energy consumption. According to Equation (8), the calculated outcomes based on the tailored battery size selection method are presented in
Table 3.
From the perspective of LFP, the BOT application requires a battery mass of 25 tonnes due to its higher on-board energy requirement. On the other hand, both BT-D and BT-S applications require 18 tonnes of battery mass due to the additional trolley power they utilize. However, when considering LTO batteries with lower energy density, all alternatives require larger battery masses compared to LFP. For LTO, the BOT, BT-D, and BT-S applications require battery masses of 50 tonnes, 36 tonnes, and 36 tonnes, respectively. In terms of initial battery capacity, it should be set at 95% of the total battery capacity. This results in initial battery capacities of 3563 kWh (95% of 3750 kWh) for LFP and 2565 kWh (95% of 2700 kWh) for LTO, as shown in
Figure 13.
Note that SOC represents the level of charge of an electric battery relative to its capacity and is typically expressed as a percentage. However, in this study, the SOC is represented by the actual value in kWh instead of a percentage. After one cycle, the SOC values for BOT and BT-S are 2756 kWh and 1976 kWh, respectively. After two cycles, these values decrease to 1949 kWh and 1386 kWh, respectively. In the case of BT-D, the SOC behaves differently due to dynamic charging technology, which aims to keep the battery level within the discharging range (below 95% of the total battery capacity) to minimize power waste during trolley charging. According to Equation (9), the initial battery capacity of BT-D is set at 2284 kWh. After two rounds of dynamic charging, the SOC reaches the maximum level of 2565 kWh (95% of 2700 kWh). After one cycle, the SOC value of BT-D remains at 2284 kWh, and it remains the same even after two cycles.
where
is battery initial capacity;
is the dynamic charging trolley power in one cycle;
is the on-board battery consumed energy until the truck disconnects trolley lines in the current haul cycle.
The unified battery size selection method refers to the approach where all battery applications (BOT, BT-D, and BT-S) are equipped with the same battery mass to fulfill the on-board energy requirement for all conditions. This method allows for flexible dispatching and scheduling of these battery alternatives, enabling the switching of the fleet they belong to in order to achieve higher productivity.
Table 4 presents the calculated outcomes based on the unified battery size selection approach.
The larger battery sizes in the BT-D and BT-S configurations have several advantages. Firstly, they allow for more propulsion, resulting in lower energy consumption costs. Despite the higher capital costs and lower rated payload associated with larger batteries, the overall cost of energy consumption is reduced. Secondly, the ability to switch between BOT, BT-D, and BT-S based on mining production requirements and the fleet dispatching system is facilitated by the availability of larger batteries. This flexibility enables optimisation of the fleet and improves productivity. Furthermore, the battery packages used in BT-D and BT-S configurations primarily undergo shallow discharging cycles, which have a lesser impact on battery degradation compared to deep cycles. This characteristic helps preserve the overall health and performance of the battery over its lifespan. The initial battery capacities of BT-D and BT-S are set at 3563 kWh (95% of 3750 kWh), as shown in
Figure 14. According to Equation (9), the initial battery capacity of BT-D is 3282 kWh. This will gradually decrease each cycle until, after two times of dynamic charging, the SOC will increase to the maximum level of 3563 kWh (95% of 3750 kWh).
The operational expenses of a mining truck mainly consist of operator costs, tire costs, and diesel fuel costs. Among these, diesel fuel costs typically account for the largest portion of the overall operational expenditure [
7]. However, with advancements in battery technology, the acquisition cost of a battery system has become a significant component of the expenses associated with battery powertrain alternatives. In this study, the NPV of costs for LFP and LTO battery systems over a typical 20-year life cycle of BOT, BT-D, and BT-S configurations was calculated using the energy consumption database. The costs considered only the combined battery packages required for each powertrain configuration. Other additional expenses, such as battery replacement at the end of their cycle life, were not included within the 20-year period. As shown in
Figure 15, the resulting NPV of costs is as follows for the different applications: LFP/BT-S: USD 3.7 million; LFP/BT-D: USD 4.6 million; LFP/BOT: USD 4.6 million; LTO/BT-S: USD 3.6 million; LTO/BT-D: USD 4.4 million; LTO/BOT: USD 4.4 million.
In the given analysis, the LTO alternatives (LTO/BT-D and LTO/BOT) show lower NPV costs compared to their LFP counterparts over a 20-year period. This is because LTO batteries have a higher cycle lifespan and better durability, which results in fewer battery replacements and lower long-term costs. On the other hand, LFP/BT-S shows a lower NPV cost compared to LTO/BT-S because BT-S alternatives require fewer frequent battery replacements over the 20-year period, allowing the remaining battery life of LTO/BT-S to be utilized for an additional 5 years. If the additional cost of battery replacements were considered in the calculation, the NPV cost gap between LFP and LTO would widen further due to the more frequent battery replacements required by LFP alternatives.
With the ongoing advancements in battery technology, batteries are becoming increasingly affordable while also improving in terms of life expectancy, energy density, and overall performance. This progress in battery technology highlights the need for regular updates to historical estimates of battery sizes and costs in different battery powertrain alternatives, as these estimates can quickly become outdated. As battery performance continues to evolve, it is crucial to consider the latest advancements and incorporate them into the analysis [
8].
Figure 16 and
Table 5 provide battery parameter values that are based on reasonable assumptions about future technological developments.
Figure 17 presents the NPV of battery costs based on future battery (FB) scenarios. The FB/BT-S application requires one battery package over a period of 20 years, with a total cost of USD 0.48 million. While the FB/BT-D and FB/BOT alternatives require two battery packages, with a total cost of USD 0.58 million.