1. Introduction
The Paris Accord is an agreement within the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change that was adopted in 2015 in an effort to respond to the threat posed by greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. It replaces the Kyoto Protocol (which expires in 2020), in which it was stipulated that only developed countries (38 in total, with Korea excluded) were obliged to reduce GHGs. In the Paris Accord however, all 195 signatory nations, including Korea, have agreed to take measures to reduce their GHG emissions.
An inventory of GHG emissions by country shows that Korea is twelfth globally, and sixth among the member states of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (
Table 1).
Figure 1 shows Korea’s GHG emissions by sector, and its industry weightings. It illustrates consistent growth in national GHG emissions since 1990. Energy production is currently the most significant contributor, and its emissions continue to grow. The Residential and Commercial sector, driven by energy use in buildings, is responsible for 16.7% of total industry-specific GHG emissions (
Figure 2) [
1,
2].
Of the overall gross floor area of Korean buildings, residential buildings account for 47%, representing the highest proportion of usage; commercial buildings are the second highest, accounting for (21%) (
Figure 3). Apartments make up 61% of residential buildings, and therefore, 29% of all buildings in Korea (the single largest proportion). Hence, it is necessary to manage GHG emissions of apartments [
6].
In an effort to restrict GHG emissions, Korea has enacted the Green Building Development Support Act. In addition, it operates the Green Standard for Energy and Environmental Design (G-SEED), and the Building Energy Efficiency Rating (BEER). These agencies certify buildings at the planning- and construction-stages, based on the building’s efficiency calculated by predicted energy use. They also provide Building Energy Consumption Certification (BECC) based on actual building energy usage [
6,
7,
8,
9,
10].
When BEER and G-SEED certifications are obtained simultaneously, incentives are provided, such as reduced property taxes, tax reductions, and increased rates of building volume per lot. Thus, the number of BEER-certified buildings in Korea has increased annually from 2010, as shown in
Figure 4. However, calculations as part of the BECC for buildings with BEER certification have indicated that the actual energy consumption of certain buildings might not be in line with predictions [
11].
Given the above, several previous studies have examined the importance of accurate measurements of general building energy efficiency, related technological developments, and country-specific building-related energy efficiency and performance [
12,
13,
14,
15,
16,
17,
18,
19,
20]. However, as an extension of earlier research, this study compares the energy use predicted for a building prior to commissioning versus its actual energy use, together with an assessment of methods for improving the disparity between predicted and actual values.
Existing studies have focused on modifying the overall process as a way of improving the Predicted Energy savings (EP). However, in this study, the process is added to the result of the EP calculated in the BEER. It is possible to assign it to an existing building that already has an EP.
EP, Real Energy savings (ER), and the difference between the two (EP − ER = EPR) appear to be related to the omission of influential factors such as Corridor Type, Climate, and Heating Type in the BEER assessments [
21,
22,
23,
24]. Thus, increases in EPR lower the BEER reliability, rendering it impossible to set standards for appropriate actual energy use of buildings, and thus preventing the introduction of robust regulation of GHG emissions.
This study investigates the ER of 195 BEER-certified apartments in Korea, to confirm correlations between the abovementioned factors and the EPR. Moreover, it derives an improved formula for reducing the EPR, based on the obtained correlation coefficients. The formula proposed in this paper improves the accuracy of the BEER, which could support the development of guidelines for the actual energy use of buildings. The application of appropriate energy standards for buildings could promote economic gains and reduce GHG emissions through energy consumption regulation.
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Building Energy Efficiency Management Systems Overseas
Table 2 shows the energy efficiency management system of the US, Europe and Japan compared with the energy efficiency management system in Korea. The items that assess the performance of a building vary, but all of system put a premium on the building of energy efficiency.
2.2. Building Energy Efficiency Rating (BEER)
The BEER was introduced by the Ministry of Trade, Industry, and Energy in 2011 to measure the energy efficiency of buildings. All buildings are assigned ratings based on their primary energy consumption per unit area.
There are ten different levels according to which incentives, such as local tax reductions and the relaxation of architectural standards, are assigned. The period of validity is set at ten years, during which time the building must be maintained and managed in accordance with the standards applicable to the approved rating based on energy consumption data.
The evaluation method used for the BEER calculation changed after December 2013. Previously, the EP was calculated based upon standard energy use, evaluating the energy savings (%) as shown in Equation (1). Currently, it is evaluated based on primary energy usage (kWh/m
2·year). To calculate primary energy usage, the ECO2 program is used, as detailed in Equation (2) and in
Figure 5.
(kWh/m2·year)
(kWh/m2·year)
(m2)
(m2)
(kWh)
Equation (2) calculates the amount of primary energy utilized. It considers the energy utilized by heating, cooling, hot water, lighting, and ventilation by gross floor area, adds them to obtain the energy consumption per unit area, and multiplies them by the primary energy conversion factor. The calculation of primary energy consumption per unit area using the ECO2 program is calculated by following the process shown in
Figure 5.
The energy efficiency rating method using ECO2 simulates the size of each room, the position and size of the window, and predicts the amount of primary energy usage by inputting information such as the degree of efficiency of heating and cooling equipment, the heating system, and the heat conduction rate. Corridor Types are not included, and weather data is based on only 13 cities. In addition, the details of the type of building elements and facilities are limited; therefore, the calculation is limited to a certification program for calculating the energy efficiency grade [
35].
The primary energy consumption per unit area is calculated based on Equation (2) and
Figure 5.
2.3. Building Energy Consumption Certification (BECC)
The BECC system is based on the actual energy consumption of a building. It was developed in 2013 following regulations mandating the disclosure of the energy consumption of a building, for the purposes of creating an information system relating to the building-related GHG emissions and energy consumption.
The BECC of apartments classifies ratings according to energy usage levels. The standards are applied based on regional equivalents of areas (city/province), which are in turn based on areal ranges (1–6), as shown in
Table 3. Lower proportions of actual energy usage to standard energy usage indicate lower energy consumption. Ratings A–E are assigned for different building types, depending on energy usage. Energy usage rating calculations (Equation (3)) are used for BECC, where
a is the actual energy usage and
b is the standard usage value, which differs by region.
2.4. Study Process and Analysis Methods
The process for analyzing the difference between EP and ER, and for improving the reliability of their measurements, is shown in
Figure 6. First, the factors of Heating Type, Corridor Type, and Climate are considered for BEER-certified apartment units. Then, the correlation coefficient is calculated through analysis, and the EP calculation method for apartment units is modified.
In the selection of samples for EPR analysis, it was found that only 13 units that had received certification after December 2013 were suitable, i.e., an insufficient number for analysis of correlating factors. Therefore, units with BEER certification based on energy reduction were utilized to derive variable-specific correlation coefficients.
Depending on the evaluation criteria, the methods adopted for the extraction of the study units are shown in
Table 4. The numbers of apartments receiving preliminary or full BEER certification prior to December 2016 were 2151 and 1058 units respectively [
21]. Since data on apartments that received preliminary certification is limited to the construction planning stage (i.e., no data for the post-completion stage), only units with full certification were studied.
The distribution of the 195 units of the 1058 selected for analysis for correlation coefficients is shown in
Figure 7.
As the data about when certification was received was based on “energy savings compared with standard houses”, the “proportion of energy usage versus standard energy usage” disclosed in the energy evaluation reports was used to compare energy efficiency during actual use.
The conversions of EP and ER for comparison are shown in Equation (4).
The regression equation was calculated using the derived correlation coefficients based on the 13 units defined under Evaluation Criteria 2 in
Table 4. As these 13 units had no EP rating, these values were calculated using regression equations, and then compared and verified against the ER values. Since the ER is a constant value, the purpose of this study was to derive an improved calculation for EP, in order to reduce the difference between EP and ER (i.e., to obtain the EPR).
2.5. Analysis Methodology
Statistical analysis based on IBM Statistical Package for Social Science(SPSS) Statistics 22 was performed in order to obtain the correlation coefficients for EPR. The following categorizations were used in order to classify the main variables (Climate, Corridor Type, and Heating Type): (1) the Climate characteristics were classified based on regional classifications (city/province); (2) Corridor Type was divided into stairs, corridors, and mixed; and (3) Heating Type was classified into individual and regional heating systems.
The analysis procedure which we adopted was as follows. Step 1: in order to understand the variable-specific characteristics of the analysis target (195 units), descriptive statistics of the general characteristics (minimum and maximum values, and averages and standard deviations) were determined through basic analysis. Step 2: Differences in the averages between the two corresponding groups of EP and ER were analyzed, followed by difference tests. A p-value (hereafter, referred to as p) calculated by this process with a value <0.05 indicated that the analysis aided by this factor was significant. Step 3: A correlation analysis was conducted to identify the relationships between variables relating to EPR. Step 4: A regression analysis was conducted to identify the influence of the independent variables of Climate, Corridor Type, and Heating Type on the dependent variable EP. Step 5; The estimated EP value was calculated for the test subjects (13 units) using the estimated regression equation, which was followed by difference tests using the t-test for EPR.
The analysis targets were classified under the classifications provided by the Housing Management Information System (
www.k-apt.go.kr), operated by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport, as shown in
Table 5. The locational classifications of the apartments for the purposes of determining the Climate factor were based on city/province areas: 56.9% of the units were located in the Gyeonggi and Seoul areas. In terms of Corridor Type, there were 154 stair-style corridors (79.0%), 26 corridor-style corridors (13.3%), and 15 mixed-style corridors (7.7%). In relation to Heating Type, 129 units had regional heating (66.2%) and 66 (33.8%) had individual heating.
The average EP for the research target units was 35.87 (min value: 14.20, max value: 67.11) with a standard deviation of 8.48, and the average ER was 12.53 (min value: −16.10, max value: 46.05) with a standard deviation of 10.88. The average ERP was 23.34 (min value: −8.57, max value: 57.74) with a standard deviation of 11.18.
5. Conclusions
The BEER is considered an important system for restricting both energy usage and the emission of GHGs by buildings. However, despite its use over more than 10 years, the lack of ER disclosure has made it difficult to confirm whether buildings have been designed and operated effectively. Surprisingly, there have been no studies performed to compare EP and ER to confirm whether energy efficiency strategies of buildings have been maintained. Therefore, this study proposes improvement to the EP calculation as a method for improved regulation of building efficiencies through EPR.
The results of this study indicated that the factors of Corridor Type > Climate >> Heating Type had a combined influence of 30.7% in the calculation of EP used to predict energy usage. Based on a case analysis using the regression equation derived as part of this study, the resulting regression equation reduced the average difference in EPR (23.34) by 7.19. As such, calculating EP with consideration of Corridor Type, Climate, and Heating Type would lead to lower values of EPR and higher accuracy of the BEER.
Lower EPR values could mean that EP could be used for regulating the ER of buildings in the future. The results of this study, pertaining to the analysis of related factors and the regression equation, are expected to prove fundamental in providing a standard for GHG emissions of buildings.