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Article

Further Properties and Estimations of Exponentiated Generalized Linear Exponential Distribution

1
Department of Mathematics, Tamkang University, New Taipei City 251301, Taiwan
2
Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah 21589, Saudi Arabia
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Current home address: Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Al-Azhar University, Nasr City, Cairo 11884, Egypt.
Mathematics 2021, 9(24), 3328; https://doi.org/10.3390/math9243328
Submission received: 13 November 2021 / Revised: 13 December 2021 / Accepted: 17 December 2021 / Published: 20 December 2021
(This article belongs to the Section Computational and Applied Mathematics)

Abstract

:
The recent exponentiated generalized linear exponential distribution is a generalization of the generalized linear exponential distribution and the exponentiated generalized linear exponential distribution. In this paper, we study some statistical properties of this distribution such as negative moments, moments of order statistics, mean residual lifetime, and their asymptotic distributions for sample extreme order statistics. Different estimation procedures include the maximum likelihood estimation, the corrected maximum likelihood estimation, the modified maximum likelihood estimation, the maximum product of spacing estimation, and the least squares estimation are compared via a Monte Carlo simulation study in terms of their biases, mean squared errors, and their rates of obtaining reliable estimates. Recommendations are made from the simulation results and a numerical example is presented to illustrate its use for modeling a rainfall data from Orlando, Florida.

1. Introduction

Recently, Poonia and Azad [1] studied a new exponentiated generalized linear exponential distribution (NEGLED) with cumulative distribution density function (CDF) given by
F ( x ) = 1 e λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 α β I ( φ , ) ( x ) ,
for λ 1 > 0 , λ 2 0 , λ 3 0 , α > 0 and β > 0 , where
I ( φ , ) ( x ) = 1 , if x > φ , 0 , if otherwise ,
and φ = ( λ 2 + λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) / λ 1 . When β = 1 , the distribution is reduced to the generalized linear exponential distribution (GLED) (Mahmoud and Alam [2]), and when λ 3 = 0 , it reduced to the exponentiated generalized linear exponential distribution (EGLED) (Sarhan et al. [3]). Moreover, it includesthe exponential, linear exponential, generalized exponential, Rayleigh, generalized Rayleigh, linear failure rate, generalized linear failure rate, generalized linear exponential, Weibull and exponentiated Weibull distributions as sub-models which are extensively used in modeling phenomenon with decreasing, increasing, bathtub and unimodal shapes in reliability related decision-making and cost analysis, biological studies, firmware reliability modeling, and survival analysis (see Lai et al. [4]; Xie et al. [5]; Zhang et al. [6]; Sarhan and Kundu [7]; Sarhan et al. [3]). For comprehensive reviews on the theory and applications of these models, one may refer to Mudholkar and Srivastava [8], Johnson et al. [9], Gupta and Kundu [10], Kundu and Raqab [11], Sarhan and Kundu [7], Mahmoud and Alam [2], and Sarhan et al. [3].
Poonia and Azad [1] have shown in the graphs that the distribution has decreasing, decreasing-increasing type, right-skewed, unimodal or bimodal probability density function (PDF) and increasing, decreasing or bathtub shaped hazard rate. They also discussed the statistical properties such as moments, quantiles, order statistics, hazard rate function (HRF), stress–strength parameter, and investigated the estimation of the parameters using the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method. In this paper, we identify analytically the parameter regions corresponding to decreasing or unimodal PDF, and increasing, decreasing, bathtub shaped, or unimodal HRF. Note that the behavior of unimodal HRF has never been indicated in the work of Mahmoud and Alam [2], Sarhan et al. [3], and Poonia and Azad [1]. We also study some statistical properties of this distribution such as negative moments, moments of order statistics, mean residual lifetime, and their asymptotic distributions for sample extreme order statistics. Note that negative moments or moments of order statistics are useful in applications in several contexts, such as reliability, life testing problems, and survey sampling problems. See Mendenhall and Lehman [12], Chao and Strawderman [13], Savage [14], Dembinska and Goroncy [15], and the references contained therein for more examples.
It is known that, for some distributions in which the origin is unknown, such as the lognormal, gamma, and Weibull distributions, maximum likelihood estimation can break down. This difficulty can also arise in the case of the GLED or NEGLED and has not been addressed in the work of Mahmoud and Alam [2] and Poonia and Azad [1]. There are many estimation methods that have been developed for handling such problem for three-parameter Weibull distribution in the past decades (see, e.g., Harter and Moore [16]; Cheng and Amin [17]; Smith [18]; Cheng and Iles [19]). Recently, Ng et al. [20] applied the least squares estimation of Jukić et al. [21] and Markovic et al. [22] for the three-parameter Weibull distribution based on progressively Type-II censored samples. Since the Weibull distribution is a sub-model of the NEGLED, it will be of interest to evaluate their performances in order to develop feasible and efficient estimation methods for the NEGLED.
This paper is organized as follows: Section 2 provides some mathematical properties of the NEGLED, which have not been addressed in Mahmoud and Alam [2], Sarhan et al. [3] or Poonia and Azad [1]. Section 3 studies further statistical properties, such as negative moments, moments of order statistics, mean residual lifetime, and asymptotic distributions for sample extreme order statistics. Section 4 discusses different estimation procedures for the parameters. We also review the corrected maximum likelihood estimation proposed by Cheng and Iles [19], the modified maximum likelihood estimation of Harter and Moore [16], the maximum product of spacing (MPS) estimation suggested by Cheng and Amin [17], and the least squares estimation (LSE) method discussed in Jukić et al. [21] and Markovic et al. [22]. In Section 5.1, we conduct a simulation study to evaluate the performance of the proposed estimators in terms of the precision in estimation and reliability. Section 5.2 reports a rainfall data analysis. Finally, some concluding remarks are made in Section 6.

2. Some Mathematical Properties

Theorem 1.
The PDF of the NEGLED is monotonically decreasing corresponding to the parameter region Ω = { ( α , β , λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 ) : α β < 1 } or Ω = { ( α , β , λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 ) : α = 1 , β = 1 , λ 1 < λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 } , and unimodal corresponding to the parameter region Ω = { ( α , β , λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 ) : α β > 1 } or Ω = { ( α , β , λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 ) : α = 1 , β = 1 , λ 1 > λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 } .
Proof. 
Let v = ( λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 ) α . Since x > φ , it follows that ( λ 1 x + λ 2 ) 2 > λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 . Hence, v > 0 . By the transformation, the PDF of the NEGLED
f ( x ) = α β ( λ 1 x + λ 2 ) λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 α 1 e λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 α 1 e λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 α 1 β I ( φ , ) ( x )
can be replaced by a function ρ ( v ) , i.e.,
ρ ( v ) = α β [ 2 λ 1 v 1 α + ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) ] 1 2 v α 1 α e v ( 1 e v ) 1 β , v > 0 .
The first partial derivative of ln ρ ( v ) is given by
τ ( v ) = ln ρ ( v ) v
= λ 1 v 1 α α v [ 2 λ 1 v 1 α + ( λ 2 2 + λ 1 λ 3 ) ] + α 1 α v + ( β 1 ) e v 1 e v 1
= ( 2 α 1 ) λ 1 v 1 α + ( α 1 ) ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) α v [ 2 λ 1 v 1 α + ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) ] + ( β 1 ) e v 1 e v 1
= λ 1 v 1 α ( e v 1 ) + [ ( α 1 ) ( e v 1 ) + α ( β 1 ) v ] [ 2 λ 1 v 1 α + ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) ] α v [ 2 λ 1 v 1 α + ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) ] ( e v 1 ) 1 .
By using the L’Hospital rule in the first term of Equation (2), we obtain lim v τ ( v ) = 1 ; in the first term of Equation (3), we find
lim v 0 τ ( v ) = lim v 0 ( α β 1 ) ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) [ α ( e v 1 ) + α v e v ] [ 2 λ 1 v 1 α + ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) ] + 2 λ 1 v 1 α ( e v 1 ) .
If α β > 1 , then lim v 0 τ ( v ) = + and hence the PDF of the NEGLED has a unimodal in this region. On the other hand, if α β < 1 , then lim v 0 τ ( v ) = and hence the PDF of the NEGLED decreases in this region.
When α = β = 1 , the function τ ( v ) can be simplified as τ ( v ) = λ 1 / [ 2 λ 1 v + ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) ] 1 . Then, lim v τ ( v ) = 1 and lim v 0 τ ( v ) = λ 1 λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 1 . Hence, when α = β = 1 , the PDF of the NEGLED decreases if λ 1 < λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 , and has a unimodal shape if λ 1 > λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 . □
Theorem 2.
The PDF of the NEGLED is J-shaped corresponding to the parameter region Ω = { ( α , β , λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 ) : α < 1 / 2   a n d   β < 1 } .
Proof. 
Here, we want to find the range of the PDF f ( x ) > 0 for which f ( x ) < 0 and f ( x ) > 0 , where f ( x ) is the first derivative of f ( x ) and f ( x ) is the second derivative of f ( x ) . Since Theorem 1 has shown that the PDF is decreasing when α β < 1 , we shall only check the range of f ( x ) for which f ( x ) > 0 under this condition.
From Equation (1), the second partial derivative of ln ρ ( v ) is given by
ξ ( v ) = 2 ln ϱ ( v ) v 2 = λ 1 1 α 1 v 1 α ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) 2 λ 1 v 2 α α v 2 2 λ 1 v 1 α + ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) 2 α 1 α v 2 ( β 1 ) e v ( 1 e v ) 2 .
Applying the L’Hospital rule twice, the numerator and denominator in lim v 0 ξ ( v ) approach ( 1 α β ) ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) 2 and 0, respectively. Thus, lim v 0 ξ ( v ) when α β > 1 ; lim v 0 ξ ( v ) + when α β < 1 .
Note that the sum of the first two terms in Equation (4) is equal to
2 ( 1 2 α ) λ 1 2 + ( 1 α 1 ) + 4 ( 1 α ) λ 1 v 1 α ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) + ( 1 α ) v 2 α ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) 2 α [ 4 λ 1 2 v 2 + 4 λ 1 v 2 1 α ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) + v 2 2 α ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) 2 ] ,
which goes to 0 + as v if α < 1 2 . In addition, it is easy to see that the third term in Equation (4) approaches 0 + as v if β < 1 . Combining the results, we have lim v ξ ( v ) 0 + when α < 1 2 and β < 1 . Hence, f ( x ) < 0 and f ( x ) > 0 when α < 1 2 and β < 1 , i.e., the PDF of the NEGLED is J-shaped when α < 1 2 and β < 1 . □
Figure 1 shows some possible PDF curves of the NEGLED when λ 1 = 2.0 , λ 2 = 0.5 and λ 3 = 1.0 .
Next, we consider the shapes of the HRF of the NEGLED
h ( x ) = α β ( λ 1 x + λ 2 ) λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 α 1 e λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 α 1 e λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 α 1 β 1 1 e λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 α β I ( φ , ) ( x ) .
Theorem 3.
The HRF of the NEGLED is monotonically decreasing corresponding to the parameter region Ω = { ( α , β , λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 ) : α β < 1   a n d   α < ( 1 2 ) + } , and increasing corresponding to the parameter region Ω = { ( α , β , λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 ) : α β > 1   a n d   α > ( 1 2 ) + } , and has a bathtub shape corresponding to the parameter region Ω = { ( α , β , λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 ) : α β < 1   a n d   α > ( 1 2 ) + } , and a unimodal shape corresponding to the parameter region Ω = { ( α , β , λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 ) : α β > 1   a n d   α < ( 1 2 ) + } .
Proof. 
By letting v = ( λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 ) α , the HRF h ( x ) can be viewed as a function in v given by
ϱ ( v ) = α β [ 2 λ 1 v 1 α + ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) ] 1 2 v α 1 α e v ( 1 e v ) 1 β [ 1 ( 1 e v ) β ] , v > 0 .
Then, the first partial derivative of ln ϱ ( v ) is given by
η ( v ) = ln ϱ ( v ) v
= λ 1 v 1 α α v [ 2 λ 1 v 1 α + ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) ] + α 1 α v + ( β 1 ) e v ( 1 e v ) + β e v ( 1 e v ) β 1 1 ( 1 e v ) β 1
= ( 2 α 1 ) λ 1 v 1 α + ( α 1 ) ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) α v [ 2 λ 1 v 1 α + ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) ] + ( 1 e v ) β + β e v 1 ( 1 e v ) [ 1 ( 1 e v ) β ] .
Applying the L’Hospital rule to Equation (6) yields
lim v 0 η ( v ) = lim v 0 ( α β 1 ) ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) g ( v ) ,
where
g ( v ) = [ 2 ( α + 1 ) λ 1 v 1 α + α ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) ] ( 1 e v ) [ 1 ( 1 e v ) β ] + α v [ 2 λ 1 v 1 α + ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) ] e v [ 1 ( β + 1 ) ( 1 e v ) β ] ,
which concludes that lim v 0 η ( v ) = + if α β > 1 , and lim v 0 η ( v ) = if α β < 1 .
One can also observe that the first term in Equation (5) is less than 1 / ( 2 α v ) . Thus, the sum of the first two terms in Equation (5) is equal to ( 1 2 α v ) + α 1 α v = [ 1 ( 1 2 ) + / α ] / v , which is positive if α > ( 1 2 ) + , and negative if α < ( 1 2 ) + .
By using the L’Hospital rule again, the limit of the second term in Equation (6) when v goes to infinity is 0 if β > 1 and 0 + if β < 1 . When v goes to infinity, the convergence of the last two terms goes to zero is clearly faster than that of the first two terms in the Equation (5). Hence, when v goes to infinity, the sign of Equation (6) is basically determined by the sign of the first term.
Therefore, we can conclude that the HRF of the NEGLED decreases when α < ( 1 2 ) + and α β < 1 ( lim v 0 η ( v ) = and lim v + η ( v ) = 0 ), and increases when α > ( 1 2 ) + and α β > 1 ( lim v 0 η ( v ) = + and lim v + η ( v ) = 0 + ). Moreover, when α < ( 1 2 ) + and α β > 1 , lim v 0 η ( v ) = + and lim v + η ( v ) = 0 , which indicates that there exists η ( v ) = 0 and when v < v , η ( v ) > 0 , the HRF is increasing; when v > v , η ( v ) < 0 , the HRF is decreasing. Hence, the HRF of the NEGLED behaves unimodally when α < ( 1 2 ) + and α β > 1 . Similarly, when α > ( 1 2 ) + and α β < 1 , lim v 0 η ( v ) = and lim v + η ( v ) = 0 + , which implies that there exists η ( v ) = 0 and when v < v , η ( v ) < 0 , the HRF is decreasing; when v > v , η ( v ) > 0 , the HRF is increasing. Hence, the HFR has a bathtub shape property when α > ( 1 2 ) + and α β < 1 . □
The distinct types of hazard shapes of the NEGLED are illustrated in Figure 2. We use λ 1 = 2.0 , λ 2 = 0.5 and λ 3 = 1.0 in Figure 2a–c, and use different selections of λ i , i = 1 , 2 , 3 , for plots in Figure 2d, and they are not reported here for brevity. Note that the HRF of the NELGED can also exhibit a unimodal shape even when λ 3 = 0 .

3. Some Statistical Properties

In this section, we derive some important statistical measures. First, based on the results of Piegorsch and Casella [23], we discuss the existence of negative moments of first order and orders greater than one for NEGLED when λ 3 = 0 . Then, following the proofs in Lee and Tsai [24] and Shakhartreh et al. [25], we are able to obtain the expressions of the k th moment of r th order statistic, and the properties of mean residual lifetime and asymptotic distributions.

3.1. Negative Moments

Piegorsch and Casella [23,26] showed that, a continuous density function g ( x ) with lim x 0 g ( x ) / x a < for some a > 0 implies that E ( X 1 ) < ; and lim x 0 g ( x ) / x a + b 1 < for some a > 0 implies that E ( X b ) < for b > 1 . Based on their results, we have the following theorem.
Theorem 4.
Let X NEGLED ( α , β , λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 ) , and define, Y = X φ , i.e., Y NEGLED ( α , β , λ 1 , λ 2 , 0 ) , then it follows that E ( Y 1 ) < if and only if α β > 1 ; and E ( Y b ) < if and only if α β > b for b > 1 .
Proof. 
By Taylor’s expansion, 1 e λ 1 2 y 2 + λ 2 y α β 1 λ 1 2 y 2 + λ 2 y α ( β 1 ) as y 0 . Then, by taking a = α β 1 > 0 in the condition, we have
lim y 0 α β ( λ 1 y + λ 2 ) λ 1 2 y 2 + λ 2 y α 1 e λ 1 2 y 2 + λ 2 y α 1 e λ 1 2 y 2 + λ 2 y α β 1 y α β 1 lim y 0 α β ( λ 1 y + λ 2 ) λ 1 2 y 2 + λ 2 y α β 1 e λ 1 2 y 2 + λ 2 y α y α β 1 = lim y 0 α β λ 1 y + λ 2 λ 1 2 y + λ 2 λ 1 2 y + λ 2 α β e λ 1 2 y 2 + λ 2 y α = α β λ 2 α β < ,
showing that E ( Y 1 ) < if and only if α β > 1 .
In the same manner, by taking a = α β b > 0 , i.e., α β > b for b > 1 in the condition, lim y 0 f ( y ) / y ( α β b ) + b 1 < , showing that, for b > 1 , E ( Y b ) < if and only if α β > b . □

3.2. Moments of Order Statistics

The following lemma (Equation (2.3) of Lemonte et al. [27]) can be used to obtain the k th moment of r th order statistic.
Lemma 1.
If | z | < 1 and a > 0 is a real number, then
( 1 z ) a 1 = j = 0 a 1 j ( z ) j .
Theorem 5.
The k th moment of r th order statistic X ( r ) is given by
E ( X ( r ) k ) = β j = 0 n r i = 0 k h = 0 = 0 k i k i 2 h β ( r + j ) 1 ( 1 ) j + i + n ! λ 2 i j ! ( n r j ) ! ( r 1 ) ! × 2 h ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) k i 2 h λ 1 k h 1 + 1 h α + 1 γ h α + 1 , ( + 1 ) 2 λ 1 λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 α + 2 k i 2 h ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) h λ 1 k + i 2 + h 1 + 1 k i 2 α h α + 1 × Γ k i 2 α h α + 1 , ( + 1 ) 2 λ 1 λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 α .
where γ ( s , t ) = 0 t x s 1 e x d x and Γ ( s , t ) = t x s 1 e x d x are the lower and upper incomplete gamma functions, respectively.
Proof. 
The PDF of the r th order statistics is
f X ( r ) ( x ) = α β j = 0 n r ( 1 ) j n ! j ! ( n r j ) ! ( r 1 ) ! ( λ 1 x + λ 2 ) λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 α 1 × e ( λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 ) α 1 e ( λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 ) α β ( r + j ) 1 .
Let v = λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 α . Then, x = { λ 2 + [ λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 ( λ 3 + v 1 / α ) ] 1 / 2 } / λ 1 , which gives the expression of the k th moment of the r th order statistics as
E ( X ( r ) k ) = β j = 0 n r ( 1 ) j n ! j ! ( n r j ) ! ( r 1 ) ! × 0 λ 2 + [ λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 ( λ 3 + v 1 α ) ] 1 2 λ 1 k e v ( 1 e v ) β ( r + j ) 1 d v .
Applying the Binomial expansion to the term { λ 2 + [ λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 ( λ 3 + v 1 / α ) ] 1 / 2 } k , we have
0 λ 2 + [ λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 ( λ 3 + v 1 α ) ] 1 2 λ 1 k e v ( 1 e v ) β ( r + j ) 1 d v = 0 i = 0 k k i ( λ 2 ) i ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 + 2 λ 1 v 1 α ) k i 2 λ 1 k e v ( 1 e v ) β ( r + j ) 1 d v = i = 0 k k i ( λ 2 ) i λ 1 k 0 1 + λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 2 λ 1 v 1 α k i 2 2 λ 1 v 1 α k i 2 e v 1 e v β ( r + j ) 1 d v = i = 0 k k i ( λ 2 ) i λ 1 k 0 1 + 1 D v 1 α k i 2 2 λ 1 v 1 α k i 2 e v 1 e v β ( r + j ) 1 d v ,
where D = 2 λ 1 λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 . Note that | D v 1 α | < 1 , if 0 < v < 1 / D α and | 1 / ( D v 1 α ) | < 1 , if 1 / D α < v < . Then, applying the results ( 1 + 1 D v 1 α ) ( 2 λ 1 v 1 α ) = ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) ( 1 + D v 1 α ) when 0 < v < 1 / D α , and 2 λ 1 = ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) D when 1 / D α < v < , the integration term in Equation (7) can be further expressed as
( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) k i 2 0 1 / D α 1 + D v 1 α k i 2 e v ( 1 e v ) β ( r + j ) 1 d v + 1 / D α 1 + 1 D v 1 α k i 2 D v 1 α k i 2 e v ( 1 e v ) β ( r + j ) 1 d v .
Thus, by Lemma 1,
E ( X ( r ) k ) = β j = 0 n r i = 0 k h = 0 k i k i 2 h ( 1 ) j n ! j ! ( n r j ) ! ( r 1 ) ! ( λ 2 ) i λ 1 k ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) k i 2 × 0 1 / D α ( D v 1 α ) h e v ( 1 e v ) β ( r + j ) 1 d v + 1 / D α ( D v 1 α ) h ( D v 1 α ) k i 2 e v ( 1 e v ) β ( r + j ) 1 d v
= β j = 0 n r i = 0 k h = 0 k i k i 2 h ( 1 ) j + i n ! j ! ( n r j ) ! ( r 1 ) ! λ 2 i λ 1 k ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) k i 2 × D h 0 y v h α e v ( 1 e v ) β ( r + j ) 1 d v + D k i 2 h y v k i 2 α h α e v ( 1 e v ) β ( r + j ) 1 d v ,
where y = 1 / D α . Applying Lemma 1 with e v < 1 and taking a transformation with w = v ( + 1 ) , we have
0 y v h α e v ( 1 e v ) β ( r + j ) 1 d v = = 0 ( 1 ) β ( r + j ) 1 0 y v h α e v ( + 1 ) d v = = 0 ( 1 ) β ( r + j ) 1 1 + 1 h α + 1 0 y ( + 1 ) w h α e w d w = = 0 ( 1 ) β ( r + j ) 1 1 + 1 h α + 1 γ h α + 1 , y ( + 1 ) .
Similarly, we have
y v k i 2 α h α e v ( 1 e v ) β ( r + j ) 1 d v = = 0 ( 1 ) β ( r + j ) 1 1 + 1 k i 2 α h α + 1 Γ k i 2 α h α + 1 , y ( + 1 ) .
Combining these results, we obtain
E ( X ( r ) k ) = β j = 0 n r i = 0 k h = 0 k i k i 2 h ( 1 ) j + i n ! j ! ( n r j ) ! ( r 1 ) ! λ 2 i λ 1 k ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) k i 2 × D h = 0 ( 1 ) β ( r + j ) 1 1 + 1 h α + 1 γ h α + 1 , + 1 D α + D k i 2 h = 0 ( 1 ) β ( r + j ) 1 1 + 1 k i 2 α h α + 1 Γ k i 2 α h α + 1 , + 1 D α = β j = 0 n r i = 0 k h = 0 = 0 k i k i 2 h β ( r + j ) 1 ( 1 ) j + i + n ! λ 2 i j ! ( n r j ) ! ( r 1 ) ! × 2 h ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) k i 2 h λ 1 k h 1 + 1 h α + 1 γ h α + 1 , ( + 1 ) 2 λ 1 λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 α + 2 k i 2 h ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) h λ 1 k + i 2 + h 1 + 1 k i 2 α h α + 1 × Γ k i 2 α h α + 1 , ( + 1 ) 2 λ 1 λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 α .
 □

3.3. Mean Residual Lifetime

Using the following lemma, we obtain the approximation for the mean residual lifetime of the NEGLED, which can be used to derive the asymptotic distribution for maximum order statistic X ( n ) in Section 3.4. Some missprints have appeared in the proof of Theorem 3.4 of Shakhartreh et al. [25], we thus show the proof for the completeness.
Lemma 2.
If λ 1 > 0 , λ 2 0 , λ 3 0 , then for sufficiently large t, i.e., t ,
λ 1 2 t 2 + λ 2 t λ 3 α = i = 0 j = 0 c ( i , j ) t 2 α ( i + j )
and
λ 1 2 ( x + t ) 2 + λ 2 ( x + t ) λ 3 α = i = 0 j = 0 k = 0 c ( i , j ) d ( i , j , k ) x k t 2 α ( i + j + k ) ,
where
c ( i , j ) = ( 1 ) j Γ ( α + 1 ) Γ ( α i + 1 ) Γ ( i j + 1 ) j ! λ 1 2 α i λ 2 i j λ 3 j
and
d ( i , j , k ) = 2 α ( i + j ) k .
Proof. 
By Lemma 1,
λ 1 2 t 2 + λ 2 t λ 3 α = λ 1 2 t 2 1 + λ 2 t λ 3 λ 1 2 t 2 α = i = 0 α i λ 1 2 t 2 α i ( λ 2 t λ 3 ) i .
Applying Lemma 1 again, we have
λ 1 2 t 2 + λ 2 t λ 3 α = i = 0 j = 0 α i i j λ 1 2 t 2 α i ( λ 3 ) j ( λ 2 t ) i j = i = 0 j = 0 ( 1 ) j Γ ( α + 1 ) Γ ( α i + 1 ) Γ ( i j + 1 ) j ! λ 1 2 α i λ 2 i j λ 3 j t 2 α ( i + j ) = i = 0 j = 0 c ( i , j ) t 2 α ( i + j ) ,
where c ( i , j ) = ( 1 ) j Γ ( α + 1 ) Γ ( α i + 1 ) Γ ( i j + 1 ) j ! λ 1 2 α i λ 2 i j λ 3 j .
Similarly, from Lemma 1 and Euquation (8), we have
λ 1 2 ( x + t ) 2 + λ 2 ( x + t ) λ 3 α = i = 0 j = 0 c ( i , j ) ( x + t ) 2 α ( i + j ) = i = 0 j = 0 c ( i , j ) t 2 α ( i + j ) 1 + x t 2 α ( i + j ) = i = 0 j = 0 k = 0 2 α ( i + j ) k c ( i , j ) x k t 2 α ( i + j + k ) = i = 0 j = 0 k = 0 c ( i , j ) d ( i , j , k ) x k t 2 α ( i + j + k ) ,
where d ( i , j , k ) = 2 α ( i + j ) k . □
Theorem 6.
If X NEGLED ( λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 , α , β ) , then, for sufficiently large t, i.e., t , the mean residual life
m ( t ) = E ( X t X > t ) 1 α λ 1 α 2 1 α t 2 α 1 .
Proof. 
By Binomial expansion,
1 e ( λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 ) α β 1 β e ( λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 ) α ,
so, for sufficiently large x, S ( x ) = 1 F ( x ) β e ( λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 ) α . Define R t ( x ) = S ( x + t ) / S ( t ) . Then, R t ( x ) = e r t ( x ) , where
r t ( x ) = λ 1 2 t 2 + λ 2 t λ 3 α λ 1 2 x + t 2 + λ 2 x + t λ 3 α .
Thus, the mean residual life
m ( t ) = E ( X t X > t ) = 0 S ( x + t ) d x S ( t ) = 0 R t ( x ) d x = 0 e r t ( x ) d x .
Next, we want to show r t ( x ) α λ 1 α 2 1 α x t 2 α 1 . From Lemma 2,
r t ( x ) = i = 0 j = 0 c ( i , j ) t 2 α ( i + j ) i = 0 j = 0 k = 0 c ( i , j ) d ( i , j , k ) x k t 2 α ( i + j + k ) = i = 0 j = 0 k = 1 c ( i , j ) d ( i , j , k ) x k t 2 α ( i + j + k ) = k = 1 c ( 0 , 0 ) d ( 0 , 0 , k ) x k t 2 α k i = 1 k = 1 c ( i , 0 ) d ( i , 0 , k ) x k t 2 α ( i + k ) j = 1 k = 1 c ( 0 , j ) d ( 0 , j , k ) x k t 2 α ( j + k ) i = 1 j = 1 k = 1 c ( i , j ) d ( i , j , k ) x k t 2 α ( i + j + k ) = c ( 0 , 0 ) d ( 0 , 0 , 1 ) t 2 α 1 x × 1 + k = 2 d ( 0 , 0 , k ) d ( 0 , 0 , 1 ) x k 1 t 1 k + i = 1 k = 1 c ( i , 0 ) d ( i , 0 , k ) c ( 0 , 0 ) d ( 0 , 0 , 1 ) x k 1 t 1 ( i + k ) + j = 1 k = 1 c ( 0 , j ) d ( 0 , j , k ) c ( 0 , 0 ) d ( 0 , 0 , 1 ) x k 1 t 1 ( j + k ) + i = 1 j = 1 k = 1 c ( i , j ) d ( i , j , k ) c ( 0 , 0 ) d ( 0 , 0 , 1 ) x k 1 t 1 ( i + j + k ) .
Since c ( 0 , 0 ) = ( λ 1 2 ) α and d ( 0 , 0 , 1 ) = 2 α , it follows that
r t ( x ) = 2 α λ 1 2 α t 2 α 1 x × 1 + k = 2 d ( 0 , 0 , k ) 2 α x k 1 t 1 k + i = 1 k = 1 c ( i , 0 ) d ( i , 0 , k ) ( λ 1 2 ) α ( 2 α ) x k 1 t 1 ( i + k ) + j = 1 k = 1 c ( 0 , j ) d ( 0 , j , k ) ( λ 1 2 ) α ( 2 α ) x k 1 t 1 ( j + k ) + i = 1 j = 1 k = 1 c ( i , j ) d ( i , j , k ) ( λ 1 2 ) α ( 2 α ) x k 1 t 1 ( i + j + k )
= α λ 1 α 2 1 α t 2 α 1 x 1 + k = 2 w k ( 1 ) t 1 k + i = 1 k = 1 w i , k ( 2 ) t 1 ( i + k ) + j = 1 k = 1 w j , k ( 3 ) t 1 ( j + k ) + i = 1 j = 1 k = 1 w i , j , k ( 4 ) t 1 ( i + j + k ) ,
where
w k ( 1 ) = d ( 0 , 0 , k ) 2 α x k 1 , w i , k ( 2 ) = c ( i , 0 ) d ( i , 0 , k ) λ 1 2 α ( 2 α ) x k 1 , w j , k ( 3 ) = c ( 0 , j ) d ( 0 , j , k ) λ 1 2 α ( 2 α ) x k 1 ,
and
w i , j , k ( 4 ) = c ( i , j ) d ( i , j , k ) λ 1 2 α ( 2 α ) x k 1 .
Note that, for sufficiently large t, t , and sufficiently small positive ε ,
k = 2 w k ( 1 ) t 1 k = o ( t 1 + ε ) , i = 1 k = 1 w i , k ( 2 ) t 1 ( i + k ) = o ( t 1 + ε ) ,
and
j = 1 k = 1 w j , k ( 3 ) t 1 ( j + k ) = o ( t 1 + ε ) , i = 1 j = 1 k = 1 w i , j , k ( 4 ) t 1 ( i + j + k ) = o ( t 2 + ε ) .
Thus, we have an approximation
r t ( x ) α λ 1 α 2 1 α t 2 α 1 x [ 1 + o ( t 1 + ε ) + o ( t 1 + ε ) + o ( t 1 + ε ) + o ( t 2 + ε ) ] .
Therefore, as t , r t ( x ) α λ 1 α 2 1 α t 2 α 1 x , which leads to
m ( t ) 0 e α λ 1 α 2 1 α t 2 α 1 x d x = 1 α λ 1 α 2 1 α t 2 α 1 .
 □

3.4. Asymptotic Distributions

Here, we utilize the results of Arnold et al. [28] to derive the asymptotic distributions for extreme order statistics X ( 1 ) and X ( n ) based on a random sample of size n.
Theorem 7.
Let X 1 , , X n be a random sample from the NEGLED( λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 , α , β ), then
X ( n ) a n b n d W ,
where W is a random variable whose CDF is exp ( e x ) , and
a n = F 1 1 1 n = λ 2 + λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 ( λ 3 + c ( 1 1 n ) ) λ 1 , b n = m ( a n ) = E X a n | X > a n
with
c ( t ) = ln 1 t 1 / β 1 / α .
Proof. 
Following from the Theorems 8.3.1(iii), 8.3.2(iii), and 8.3.4(iii) of Arnold et al. [28], it suffices to show that
lim t S ( t + m ( t ) x ) S ( t ) = exp ( x ) .
This can be easily obtained by applying the results of m ( t ) and r t ( x ) in Theorem 6, i.e.,
lim t S ( t + m ( t ) x ) S ( t ) = lim t e r t ( m ( t ) x ) = e x .
 □
Theorem 8.
Let X 1 , , X n be a random sample from the NEGLED( λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 , α , β ), then
X ( 1 ) a n b n d W ,
where W be a random variable whose CDF is 1 e x α β , and
a n = F 1 ( 0 ) = φ , b n = F 1 1 n F 1 ( 0 ) = λ 2 + λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 ( λ 3 + c ( 1 n ) ) λ 1 φ
with c ( t ) as defined in Equation (9).
Proof. 
Following from Theorems 8.3.1(ii), 8.3.5(ii), and 8.3.6(ii) of Arnold et al. [28], it suffices to show
lim t 0 + F ( φ + t x ) F ( φ + t ) = x α β .
By Taylor’s expansion,
F ( x ) = 1 e λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 α β λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 α β as   x φ .
Then, from λ 1 2 x 2 + λ 2 x λ 3 0 as x φ and L’Hospital rule, we have
lim t 0 + F ( φ + t x ) F ( φ + t ) lim t 0 + λ 1 2 ( φ + t x ) 2 + λ 2 ( φ + t x ) λ 3 λ 1 2 ( φ + t ) 2 + λ 2 ( φ + t ) λ 3 α β = lim t 0 + x · λ 1 ( φ + t x ) + λ 2 λ 1 ( φ + t ) + λ 2 α β = x α β .
 □

4. Estimation Procedures

In this section, we describe five estimation methods that we have used in our simulation study.

4.1. Maximum Likelihood Estimation

For an independent and identically distributed random sample X 1 , , X n from NEGLED ( λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 , α , β ), i.e., X i φ EGLED ( λ 1 , λ 2 , α , β ) , the log-likelihood function of θ based on the sample is given by
n ( θ ) = const + I ( φ < x ( 1 ) ) n ln α + n ln β + i = 1 n ln λ 1 ( x i φ ) + λ 2 + α 1 α i = 1 n ln r i i = 1 n r i + ( β 1 ) i = 1 n ln 1 e r i ,
where r i = [ λ 1 2 ( x i φ ) 2 + λ 2 ( x i φ ) ] α . Thus, the MLE θ ^ = ( λ ^ 1 , λ ^ 2 , λ ^ 3 , α ^ , β ^ ) T can be obtained by solving the following likelihood equations:
n ( θ ) λ 1 = i = 1 n x i φ λ 1 φ λ 1 λ 1 ( x i φ ) + λ 2 + i = 1 n r i 1 α [ ( α 1 ) α r i ] + α ( β 1 ) t i r i 1 α λ 1 = 0 , n ( θ ) λ 2 = i = 1 n 1 λ 1 φ λ 2 λ 1 ( x i φ ) + λ 2 + i = 1 n r i 1 α [ ( α 1 ) α r i ] + α ( β 1 ) t i r i 1 α λ 2 = 0 , n ( θ ) λ 3 = i = 1 n λ 1 φ λ 3 λ 1 ( x i φ ) + λ 2 + i = 1 n r i 1 α [ ( α 1 ) α r i ] + α ( β 1 ) t i r i 1 α λ 3 = 0 , n ( θ ) α = n α + 1 α i = 1 n 1 r i + ( β 1 ) r i 1 α t i ln r i = 0 , n ( θ ) β = n β + i = 1 n ln 1 e r i = 0 ,
where
r i 1 α λ 1 = ( x i φ ) 2 2 [ λ 1 ( x i φ ) + λ 2 ] φ λ 1 , r i 1 α λ 2 = x i φ [ λ 1 ( x i φ ) + λ 2 ] φ λ 2 , r i 1 α λ 3 = [ λ 1 ( x i φ ) + λ 2 ] φ λ 3 , φ λ 1 = λ 1 λ 3 ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) 1 2 + λ 2 ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) 1 2 λ 1 2 , φ λ 2 = 1 + λ 2 ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) 1 2 λ 1 , φ λ 3 = ( λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ) 1 2 ,
and
t i = e r i r i α 1 α 1 e r i .
For α < 1 / 2 and β < 1 , the density is J-shaped, so MLE either do not exist at all or are inconsistent. Therefore, in finding MLE, we need to verify that a solution of the likelihood equations really is a local maximum.
It can be seen that the above equations related to the parameters need to be solved numerically. For the Newton–Raphson method, the elements of the Hessian matrix of the likelihood function (i.e., the second partial derivatives of the log-likelihood function with respect to the parameters) can be found in Liu [29].

4.2. Corrected Maximum Likelihood Estimation

Cheng and Iles [19] proposed a corrected log-likelihood
C ( θ ) = log { F ( x ( 1 ) + h , θ ) F ( x ( 1 ) , θ } + i = 2 n log f ( x ( i ) , θ )
to estimate the unknown parameters. They suggested to use h = x ( 2 ) x ( 1 ) , or the first non-zero difference between consecutive ordered observations in the case of ties for a better performance. By choosing h = x ( 2 ) x ( 1 ) , the corrected log-likelihood function can be written as
C ( θ ) = log 1 e λ 1 2 x ( 2 ) 2 + λ 2 x ( 2 ) λ 3 α β 1 e λ 1 2 x ( 1 ) 2 + λ 2 x ( 1 ) λ 3 α β + ( n 1 ) log α + ( n 1 ) log β + i = 2 n log ( λ 1 x ( i ) + λ 2 ) + ( α 1 ) i = 2 n log λ 1 2 x ( i ) 2 + λ 2 x ( i ) λ 3 i = 2 n λ 1 2 x ( i ) 2 + λ 2 x ( i ) λ 3 α + ( β 1 ) i = 2 n log 1 e λ 1 2 x ( i ) 2 + λ 2 x ( i ) λ 3 α .
The corrected MLE can be obtained from maximizing C ( θ ) with respect to the parameters subject to the constraint x ( 1 ) > φ .

4.3. Modified Maximum Likelihood Estimation

Harter and Moore [16] suggested to use x ( 1 ) as the estimate of φ , i.e., φ ^ = x ( 1 ) , and then maximize the modified log-likelihood function based on the remaining n 1 observations, which can be written as
( θ ) = ( n 1 ) log α + ( n 1 ) log β + i = 2 n log ( λ 1 x ( i ) + λ 2 ) + ( α 1 ) i = 2 n log λ 1 2 x ( i ) 2 + λ 2 x ( i ) λ 3 i = 2 n λ 1 2 x ( i ) 2 + λ 2 x ( i ) λ 3 α + ( β 1 ) i = 2 n log 1 e λ 1 2 x ( i ) 2 + λ 2 x ( i ) λ 3 α .
The modified MLE can be obtained from maximizing ( θ ) with respect to θ subject to the constraint x ( 1 ) = φ ^ .

4.4. Maximum Product of Spacing Estimation

Chen and Amin [17] suggested to maximize a certain product of spacings rather than a product of densities to overcome the problem of the unbounded likelihood. More precisely, instead of finding the parameter values that maximize the likelihood function, the MPS estimates are obtained from maximizing
S ( θ ) = i = 1 n + 1 [ F ( x ( i ) ; θ ) F ( x ( i 1 ) ; θ ) ] ,
where F ( x ( 0 ) ) 0 and F ( x ( n + 1 ) ) 1 , with respect to θ subject to the constraint x ( 1 ) > φ .

4.5. Least Squares Estimation

Ng et al. [20] used the nonlinear weighted least squares estimation discussed in Jukić et al. [21] and Markovic et al. [22] for the three-parameter Weibull distribution based on progressively Type-II censored samples. The least squares estimates are obtained by minimizing
Q ( θ ) = i = 1 n w i [ F ( x ( i ) ; θ ) F ^ ( x ( i ) ) ] 2 ,
where F ^ ( x ( i ) ) is a nonparametric estimate of CDF and w i = 1 / Var ( F ^ ( x ( i ) ) ) . Here, we use the Kaplan–Meier estimator and Greenwood’s formula to estimate the variances. That is,
F ^ ( x ( i ) ) = 1 j = 1 i 1 1 n j , i = 1 , , n ,
where n j = n j + 1 is the risk set at x ( i ) and
Var ^ [ F ^ ( x ( i ) ) ] = [ 1 F ^ ( x ( i ) ) ] 2 = 1 i 1 n ( n 1 ) .

5. Simulation Study and Numerical Example

In this section, we carry out a simulation study to evaluate the performance of estimation methods in Section 4. We also present a numerical example to illustrate the methodologies discussed in this paper.

5.1. Simulation Study

We now compare the performance of different methods in different settings in terms of the precision in estimation and reliability. The samples of size n = 25 , 50 , 75 , 100 from the NEGLED with ( λ 1 , λ 2 , λ 3 , α , β ) = ( 0.1 , 0.1 , 0.085 , 0.7 , 7 ) , ( 0.1 , 0.1 , 0.05 , 1.2 , 1.5 ) , ( 0.1 , 0.6 , 0.2 , 1.5 , 0.9 ) , ( 0.5 , 0.5 , 0.4 , 0.4 , 3 ) , ( 0.5 , 0.7 , 0.2 , 0.4 , 0.9 ) , ( 0.3 , 0.4 , 0.2 , 0.3 , 3 ) , ( 0.5 , 0.7 , 0.1 , 0.9 , 0.7 ) , ( 0.1 , 0.3 , 0.5 , 1.2 , 0.6 ) , ( 0.5 , 0.7 , 0.1 , 0.7 , 1.1 ) were generated, respectively. These settings cover all four different types of hazard rate functions discussed in Figure 3. For each setting, we compute the parameter estimates by the maximum likelihood estimation, the corrected maximum likelihood estimation, the modified maximum likelihood estimation, the maximum product of spacing estimation, and the least squares estimation methods (denoted as MLE, CMLE, MMLE, MPS, and LSE methods). The simulated biases and mean square errors (MSEs) based on 5000 sets of valid estimates for each method are reported in Table 1, Table 2, Table 3, Table 4, Table 5, Table 6, Table 7, Table 8 and Table 9. We also report the associated total MSE (TMSE) of five parameters, the total number of tryouts for 5000 valid estimates, and the percent of times of obtaining reliable estimates. The computer program for obtaining the estimates in this section is written in R Version 4.1.0 with multiStartoptim command, and it is available from the authors upon request.
From these simulation results, it can be seen that, as the sample size n increases, both MSEs and TMSE decrease for estimators in most cases. In addition, on average, the TMSE of MMLE, MPS, and LSE are greater than those of CMLE and MLE. In comparing the percentage of obtaining reliable estimates, MLE and MMLE tend to have significantly lower rates in Table 3, Table 4, Table 5, Table 6 and Table 7. According to these results, taking the accuracy and reliability of the estimates, we recommend using CMLE for obtaining the parameter estimates of NEGLED.

5.2. Illustrative Example

In this section, we present the application of the NEGLED to a rainfall data from the Department of Meteorology in Tallahassee, Florida, to illustrate its flexibility among a set of competitive models. Table 10 shows the annual maximum daily rainfall for the years from 1901 to 2001, except the years 1904, 1940 to 1942, and 1974 are missing. The record rainfalls were measured at Orlando Executive Airport near downtown Orlando, except from 1975 to 1998 when the weather station was at Orlando International Airport.
Using the standard Gumbel distribution, the exponentiated Gumbel distribution (EGD), and the generalized extreme value distribution, Nadarajah [30] has reported that the EGD model,
F ( x ) = 1 1 exp exp x μ σ α
for < x < , < μ < , σ > 0 and α > 0 , provides a better fit than the other two models. The estimated parameters and the value of the AIC for the EGD model are
α ^ = 0.174 , μ ^ = 2.226 , σ ^ = 0.325   with   AIC = 331.2 .
Before comparing the performance of the model fitting of the NEGLED with some well-known distributions, a bootstrapped Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS) test is used to investigate whether there exists a change in the distributions of rainfall from 1960 to 2001 or not, and the scaled total time on test (TTT) plot mentioned by Aarset [31] and empirical hazard function plot are used to identify the possible shape for the hazard function.
Figure 3 shows that the distributions of rainfall do not visually appear different in shape. We then compare the mean, median, and interquartile range (IQR) (the width of the range between the 25th and 75th percentiles) in Table 11. The mean and median have only changed by about 1–3%, but a distinct downward trend has shown in the IQR, about 13%, from 1960 to 2001.
To detect differences in distributions, we perform a bootstrapped KS test with 1000 iterations by using the ks.boot function in the R package Matching with “reference” sample is a small data set based on data from the 1960 Orlando rainfall data, and the “current” sample is a much larger data set based on data from the 2001 Orlando rainfall data. The two-sample KS test value is 0.084821 with p-value = 0.961 , so we conclude that there is no difference between distribution from 2001 and that in 1960. The same conclusion also occurs when we examine the distributions of rainfall from 1980 to 2001.
The empirical TTT plot can be obtained by plotting G ( i / n ) = H n 1 ( i / n ) / H n 1 ( 1 ) , where H n 1 ( i / n ) = j = 1 i x ( j ) + ( n i ) x ( i ) and H n 1 ( 1 ) = j = 1 n x ( j ) , { x ( j ) , j = 1 , , n } denote the ordered observations against i / n , where i = 1 , , n . Aarset [31] mentioned that the scaled TTT transform is convex (concave) if the hazard function decreases (increases) and the hazard function is a bathtub (unimodal) if the scaled TTT transform changes from convex (concave) to concave (convex). The TTT plot for the rainfall data set is presented in Figure 4. This plot indicates first concave and slightly crossing the red line on the right upper tail. Moreover, Figure 4, which contains the plot of the empirical hazard function of the rainfall data suggests that the unimodality of the hazard function. Under the NEGLED model in Table 12 below, the estimates of α and β by CMLE method are 0.3837 and 52.0227, respectively, indicating unimodal hazard rate function (see Figure 2d). Therefore, the NEGLED is appropriate to fit the rainfall data since this distribution can present unimodal hazard function.
Now, we compare the fit of the NEGLED with that of GLED, EGLED, EGD, and some well-known distributions. We present the parameter estimates, the values of log-likelihood function, the KS test statistics along with their corresponding p-values, and the values of Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), which is given by
2 ( log likelihood   value ) + 2 k ,
where k is the number of estimated parameters in the model. For brevity, Table 12 shows only the best three models, GLED, EGLED and NEGLED, in our selection. All three of the models have smaller values of the AIC than that of the EGD. Based on the p-values of the KS tests, it is appropriate to assume the NEGLED model for this data set.
In Figure 4, we also plot the histogram and estimated PDFs, the empirical and estimated survival functions, and the estimated hazard functions under these four models. It can be seen that the GLED model does not provide a good fit with the data set. Compared to the EGLED model, the empirical and estimated hazard functions show that the NEGLED model provides a better fit for the rainfall data, even though the NEGLED has a slightly larger value of the AIC.
Finally, the PP plots for the NEGLED and other three fitted distributions are displayed in Figure 5. From those graphical tools, we can conclude that the NEGLED is a suitable model to fit the considered rainfall data.

6. Conclusions

In this paper, we give formal proofs for the parameter regions corresponding to the shapes of the PDF and HRF of the NEGLED. We also derive some reliability measures such as the negative moments, k th moment of r th order statistic, mean life residual, and asymptotic distributions for sample extreme order statistics.
Moreover, we discuss CMLE, MMLE, MLE, MPS, and LSE methods for the NEGLED. Based on the results from the Monte Carlo simulation, the performance of the estimates obtained by CMLE are superior to the other methods considered here in terms of biases, MSEs, TMSE, and rates of obtaining reliable estimates. Hence, we recommend using a CMLE procedure for obtaining the parameter estimates of NEGLED.
From our numerical example, compared to the GLED, EGLED and EGD, the NEGLED model is easy to use for lifetime data in reliability and climate applications. A future research is to show the consistency and asymptotic normality of the local MLE for this model. We hope we can present the results in the near future.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, C.-T.L. and Y.L.; methodology, C.-T.L. and Y.L.; software, Y.-W.L., Z.-W.C. and H.M.O.; validation, C.-T.L. and Y.L.; formal analysis, C.-T.L. and Y.L.; investigation, C.-T.L. and Y.L.; resources, C.-T.L.; data curation, Y.-W.L. and Z.-W.C.; writing—original draft preparation, C.-T.L.; writing—review and editing, C.-T.L.; visualization, C.-T.L.; supervision, C.-T.L.; project administration, C.-T.L.; funding acquisition, C.-T.L. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research was funded by the Ministry of Science and Technology of the Republic of China, Taiwan Grant No. MOST 110-2118-M-032-004-MY2.

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Informed Consent Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

One data set is contained within the article.

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank the anonymous referees for their suggestions and comments to significantly improve this manuscript.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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Figure 1. Plots of the density functions of the NEGLED when λ 1 = 2.0 , λ 2 = 0.5 and λ 3 = 1.0 , and (a) α β < 1 or α = β = 1 , λ 1 < λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ; (b) α β > 1 or α = β = 1 , λ 1 > λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 .
Figure 1. Plots of the density functions of the NEGLED when λ 1 = 2.0 , λ 2 = 0.5 and λ 3 = 1.0 , and (a) α β < 1 or α = β = 1 , λ 1 < λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 ; (b) α β > 1 or α = β = 1 , λ 1 > λ 2 2 + 2 λ 1 λ 3 .
Mathematics 09 03328 g001
Figure 2. Plots of the hazard rate functions of the NEGLED. (a) α > ( 1 / 2 ) + , α β > 1 ; (b) α > ( 1 / 2 ) + , α β < 1 ; (c) α < ( 1 / 2 ) + , α β < 1 ; (d) α < ( 1 / 2 ) + , α β > 1 .
Figure 2. Plots of the hazard rate functions of the NEGLED. (a) α > ( 1 / 2 ) + , α β > 1 ; (b) α > ( 1 / 2 ) + , α β < 1 ; (c) α < ( 1 / 2 ) + , α β < 1 ; (d) α < ( 1 / 2 ) + , α β > 1 .
Mathematics 09 03328 g002
Figure 3. The comparison of rainfall distributions, 1960 vs. 2001.
Figure 3. The comparison of rainfall distributions, 1960 vs. 2001.
Mathematics 09 03328 g003
Figure 4. (a) The empirical TTT plot; (b) the empirical and estimated hazard functions; (c) the histogram and estimated PDFs; and (d) the empirical and estimated survival functions for the rainfall data.
Figure 4. (a) The empirical TTT plot; (b) the empirical and estimated hazard functions; (c) the histogram and estimated PDFs; and (d) the empirical and estimated survival functions for the rainfall data.
Mathematics 09 03328 g004
Figure 5. PP Plots for the distributions (a) EGD; (b) GLED; (c) EGLED; and (d) NEGLED.
Figure 5. PP Plots for the distributions (a) EGD; (b) GLED; (c) EGLED; and (d) NEGLED.
Mathematics 09 03328 g005
Table 1. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.1 , λ 2 = 0.1 , λ 3 = 0.085 , α = 0.7 , β = 7 .
Table 1. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.1 , λ 2 = 0.1 , λ 3 = 0.085 , α = 0.7 , β = 7 .
% of
Reliable
MethodnTryouts λ 1 λ 2 λ 3 α β TMSEEstimates
CMLE2550060.037250.00526−0.04063−0.10067−0.223510.7665399.9
(0.00235)(0.00041)(0.00358)(0.01890)(0.74130)
5050010.040240.00539−0.04396−0.11403−0.154210.36998100.0
(0.00211)(0.00016)(0.00282)(0.01715)(0.34774)
7550010.042190.00586−0.04488−0.11992−0.129200.24070100.0
(0.00216)(0.00012)(0.00226)(0.01723)(0.21893)
10050000.044070.00638−0.04536−0.12564−0.103530.11047100.0
(0.00221)(0.00009)(0.00221)(0.01689)(0.08906)
MMLE255003−0.074350.105660.78088−0.04643−0.102640.6782399.9
(0.00557)(0.01119)(0.63916)(0.00243)(0.01987)
505004−0.070770.107770.68509−0.11403−0.100960.5182299.9
(0.00506)(0.01166)(0.48877)(0.01715)(0.01076)
755003−0.068550.109150.63811−0.11992−0.103620.4588099.9
(0.00475)(0.01196)(0.42359)(0.01723)(0.01672)
1005002−0.066960.110300.60852−0.03683−0.103680.41931100.0
(0.00454)(0.01222)(0.38445)(0.00166)(0.01644)
MLE2550290.038050.053350.01083−0.08054−0.454731.9697699.4
(0.00322)(0.00440)(0.01249)(0.03568)(1.91398)
5050110.036820.052400.00294−0.09499−0.299911.0354399.8
(0.00206)(0.00321)(0.00235)(0.01845)(1.00937)
7550050.037910.052910.00128−0.10206−0.214340.5915799.9
(0.00188)(0.00310)(0.00181)(0.01537)(0.56942)
10050050.038620.053720.00121−0.10617−0.160540.3366499.9
(0.00178)(0.00302)(0.00067)(0.01427)(0.31690)
MPS2550730.01723−0.00213−0.042170.00801−1.076105.3800598.6
(0.00289)(0.00194)(0.01214)(0.12876)(5.23431)
5050600.02488−0.00014−0.04751−0.05706−0.633642.6544898.8
(0.00220)(0.00066)(0.00333)(0.03827)(2.61003)
7550510.029730.00126−0.04788−0.08123−0.401221.5333299.0
(0.00200)(0.00046)(0.00309)(0.02357)(1.50421)
10050490.032260.00212−0.04769−0.09318−0.272870.8925699.0
(0.00187)(0.00033)(0.00290)(0.01836)(0.86910)
LSE2550860.053460.00462−0.04030−0.03470−0.823194.0297898.3
(0.01576)(0.00224)(0.00522)(0.09104)(3.91551)
5051130.051050.00699−0.03714−0.05141−0.691963.0645497.8
(0.01185)(0.00161)(0.00603)(0.04958)(2.99547)
7550910.066190.01247−0.03745−0.09322−0.468551.8792498.2
(0.01369)(0.00139)(0.00488)(0.04388)(1.81540)
10050830.081880.01653−0.03988−0.12716−0.320271.1943898.4
(0.01699)(0.00124)(0.00391)(0.04398)(1.12827)
Table 2. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.1 , λ 2 = 0.1 , λ 3 = 0.05 , α = 1.2 , β = 1.5 .
Table 2. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.1 , λ 2 = 0.1 , λ 3 = 0.05 , α = 1.2 , β = 1.5 .
% of
Reliable
MethodnTryouts λ 1 λ 2 λ 3 α β TMSEEstimates
CMLE255031−0.003200.025960.03500−0.07052−0.102220.0534799.4
(0.00032)(0.00150)(0.00352)(0.02234)(0.02579)
505017−0.003660.022090.02852−0.07199−0.095590.0371899.7
(0.00018)(0.00086)(0.00145)(0.01453)(0.02017)
755015−0.003430.021090.02654−0.07464−0.089890.0312899.7
(0.01369)(0.00067)(0.00104)(0.01374)(0.01570)
1005010−0.002790.020850.02517−0.07903−0.083310.0284199.8
(0.00012)(0.00065)(0.00083)(0.01022)(0.01659)
MMLE255156−0.032370.131430.291870.01085−0.015341.0916697.0
(0.00236)(0.04337)(0.14687)(0.28301)(0.61605)
505052−0.027990.106170.198850.03766−0.056660.7045899.0
(0.00147)(0.02183)(0.05814)(0.22009)(0.40305)
755035−0.026010.089760.155890.04709−0.092000.4301499.3
(0.00125)(0.01332)(0.03422)(0.19005)(0.19131)
1005020−0.024320.078770.130530.05357−0.111430.3368199.6
(0.00116)(0.00976)(0.02378)(0.16968)(0.13243)
MLE2552440.008280.052570.06570−0.05821−0.158080.1545495.3
(0.00054)(0.00555)(0.01230)(0.04268)(0.09347)
5050730.007060.046920.05437−0.06185−0.145230.1125698.6
(0.00035)(0.00374)(0.00585)(0.02264)(0.07998)
7550480.007160.044070.048290.04709−0.132640.1071799.0
(0.00033)(0.00291)(0.00387)(0.01939)(0.08066)
10050260.007340.043050.04641−0.06419−0.128980.0840899.5
(0.00029)(0.00259)(0.00325)(0.01777)(0.06019)
MPS255129−0.010240.029540.013960.09659−0.054591.3329197.5
(0.00334)(0.01481)(0.00777)(0.38998)(0.91701)
505025−0.005540.015050.003890.01246−0.056310.5167399.5
(0.00163)(0.00557)(0.00222)(0.11393)(0.39338)
755006−0.003720.011130.00345−0.01063−0.055620.3207299.9
(0.00103)(0.00361)(0.00169)(0.07480)(0.23959)
1005005−0.002640.008790.00339−0.02186−0.061460.2064199.9
(0.00086)(0.00212)(0.00127)(0.05933)(0.14282)
LSE255389−0.003840.018780.015400.15252−0.192600.8465592.8
(0.00168)(0.00519)(0.00360)(0.48109)(0.35499)
505273−0.005540.015880.016060.05224−0.161590.3749294.8
(0.00117)(0.00219)(0.00151)(0.19686)(0.17319)
755305−0.006880.018790.01884−0.00130−0.124150.2063194.3
(0.00081)(0.00213)(0.00118)(0.08748)(0.11472)
1005282−0.007390.018490.02082−0.02535−0.110140.1541694.7
(0.00050)(0.00129)(0.00098)(0.07738)(0.07401)
Table 3. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.1 , λ 2 = 0.6 , λ 3 = 0.2 , α = 1.5 , β = 0.9 .
Table 3. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.1 , λ 2 = 0.6 , λ 3 = 0.2 , α = 1.5 , β = 0.9 .
% of
Reliable
MethodnTryouts λ 1 λ 2 λ 3 α β TMSEEstimates
CMLE2554140.03729−0.051350.064350.10333−0.183620.1715192.4
(0.01003)(0.02448)(0.01284)(0.03042)(0.09373)
5054270.02750−0.065970.021580.11486−0.151270.2952892.1
(0.00875)(0.03399)(0.00508)(0.03871)(0.20875)
7554300.02733−0.070100.007650.10758−0.136340.2691192.1
(0.00956)(0.03510)(0.00354)(0.03991)(0.18100)
10053380.02842−0.074130.000600.10372−0.132650.2063093.7
(0.00986)(0.03299)(0.00292)(0.03977)(0.12076)
MMLE2558670.210160.216930.206280.127000.452844.8928485.2
(0.28244)(0.94594)(0.27873)(0.71363)(2.67211)
5053040.115390.083340.092040.184970.204492.4485894.3
(0.11124)(0.36395)(0.07470)(0.65691)(1.24178)
7551420.087460.022100.051270.160770.102171.3839797.2
(0.06179)(0.14981)(0.02664)(0.52733)(0.61840)
10050830.07054−0.004120.033010.141370.045810.9720798.4
(0.04382)(0.10342)(0.01650)(0.41527)(0.39305)
MLE25291030.043300.255320.12648−0.243330.656663.8322717.2
(0.01414)(0.20850)(0.05564)(0.29896)(3.25503)
50229400.036510.273630.07557−0.145840.745313.5011221.8
(0.00705)(0.27661)(0.02648)(0.17272)(3.01826)
75154780.034620.163430.05384−0.073900.382671.5689132.3
(0.00510)(0.15007)(0.01319)(0.11307)(1.28748)
100114130.034080.101460.04161−0.029860.201540.8173443.8
(0.00495)(0.08644)(0.00782)(0.09424)(0.62388)
MPS2557080.066340.08991−0.052640.024580.650814.8236787.6
(0.04548)(0.52729)(0.05176)(0.35705)(3.84208)
5053360.035440.14417−0.037690.029900.705474.4625193.7
(0.03479)(0.40146)(0.02839)(0.36541)(3.63247)
7551750.026080.13784−0.022700.023410.382673.4557096.6
(0.02827)(0.28677)(0.01593)(0.32198)(2.80275)
10051010.021220.11620−0.012220.022000.467672.6261898.0
(0.02489)(0.21674)(0.00991)(0.26706)(2.10758)
LSE2555290.13979−0.01431−0.062870.228110.385033.6917690.4
(0.07249)(0.38000)(0.04842)(0.64068)(2.55017)
5052310.076060.01191−0.055290.197980.362082.8188795.6
(0.03736)(0.23442)(0.01924)(0.41673)(2.11112)
7551670.053550.00711−0.041670.416730.256521.9541396.8
(0.02806)(0.15216)(0.01265)(0.35627)(1.40499)
10051580.039780.00583−0.035080.173490.207321.6116996.9
(0.02247)(0.11380)(0.00817)(0.31434)(1.15291)
Table 4. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.5 , λ 2 = 0.5 , λ 3 = 0.4 , α = 0.4 , β = 3 .
Table 4. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.5 , λ 2 = 0.5 , λ 3 = 0.4 , α = 0.4 , β = 3 .
% of
Reliable
MethodnTryouts λ 1 λ 2 λ 3 α β TMSEEstimates
CMLE255012−0.15649−0.05632−0.113270.06722−0.040310.0693399.8
(0.02769)(0.00773)(0.01517)(0.00812)(0.01061)
505021−0.15610−0.05487−0.111650.05739−0.037830.0556699.6
(0.02590)(0.00539)(0.01387)(0.00496)(0.00553)
755006−0.15614−0.05408−0.111040.05465−0.038940.0528199.9
(0.02550)(0.00435)(0.01309)(0.00405)(0.00582)
1005008−0.15567−0.05331−0.110510.05301−0.038960.0507899.8
(0.02509)(0.00388 )(0.01283)(0.00360)(0.00538)
MMLE2596706−0.115090.116680.05388−0.04696−0.100860.555685.2
(0.02239)(0.12544)(0.04850)(0.04411)(0.31525)
5048705−0.107790.114280.05373−0.05863−0.094790.4048010.3
(0.02432)(0.09236)(0.03723)(0.02156)(0.22932)
7533292−0.104160.108490.05082−0.06758−0.097100.2483615.0
(0.01863)(0.06794)(0.02701)(0.01055)(0.12423)
10025682−0.102110.106620.05005−0.06952−0.097750.1926019.5
(0.01956)(0.04666)(0.01918)(0.01051)(0.09668)
MLE255089−0.114870.01190−0.058440.04950−0.101060.0907698.3
(0.01799)(0.01540)(0.01606)(0.00563)(0.03568)
505026−0.12075−0.00576−0.077550.04550−0.072470.0534499.5
(0.01690)(0.00660)(0.00989)(0.00376)(0.01629)
755015−0.12355−0.01185−0.083460.04427−0.066800.0418199.7
(0.01695)(0.00327)(0.00878)(0.00288)(0.00993)
1005008−0.12386−0.01404−0.085580.04387−0.061690.0441499.8
(0.01767)(0.00522)(0.01057)(0.00267)(0.00800)
MPS255137−0.15843−0.04636−0.126060.08250−0.222010.9073197.3
(0.04885)(0.09414)(0.04017)(0.08215)(0.64200)
505046−0.16035−0.04367−0.112200.05356−0.118710.3673499.1
(0.03461)(0.05368)(0.02847)(0.02205)(0.22853)
755019−0.15604−0.04212−0.107140.04653−0.076340.2251499.6
(0.03107)(0.03405)(0.02195)(0.01165)(0.12642)
1005002−0.15126−0.04196−0.104820.04261−0.053910.17416100.0
(0.03152)(0.03333)(0.02292)(0.00526)(0.08113)
LSE256462−0.161350.00182−0.103880.18024−0.447371.9469977.4
(0.07992)(0.30276)(0.12372)(0.14132)(1.29927)
506224−0.174990.02897−0.073280.11723−0.316511.2615880.3
(0.05956)(0.21719)(0.08202)(0.04635)(0.85646)
755861−0.170040.03495−0.063010.09056−0.248780.9133085.3
(0.05358)(0.19700)(0.06668)(0.02287)(0.57316)
1005682−0.163920.02363−0.066830.07958−0.207990.6309288.0
(0.04742)(0.09521)(0.03116)(0.01820)(0.43893)
Table 5. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.5 , λ 2 = 0.7 , λ 3 = 0.2 , α = 0.4 , β = 0.9 .
Table 5. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.5 , λ 2 = 0.7 , λ 3 = 0.2 , α = 0.4 , β = 0.9 .
% of
Reliable
MethodnTryouts λ 1 λ 2 λ 3 α β TMSEEstimates
CMLE256041−0.091930.072400.016390.068830.002040.0208067.3
(0.00849)(0.00528)(0.00027)(0.00654)(0.00022)
505024−0.091870.073340.016110.068830.001750.0202967.8
(0.00847)(0.00540)(0.00026)(0.00603)(0.00014)
757385−0.091810.073710.016160.069390.001720.0201567.7
(0.00846)(0.00546)(0.00026)(0.00586)(0.00011)
1007262−0.091720.074000.016220.070020.001960.0200768.9
(0.00843)(0.00549)(0.00026)(0.00579)(0.00009)
MMLE2585090.311380.773220.213830.127580.176826.8741158.8
(1.97069)(4.10622)(0.31728)(0.09825)(0.38167)
5066420.382110.763490.212750.092560.134136.4844475.3
(2.16261)(3.69530)(0.29076)(0.05449)(0.28127)
7559750.416600.682760.192710.079650.104766.0563683.7
(2.21163)(3.29713)(0.26409)(0.04428)(0.23923)
10056200.391190.578150.164480.072220.079035.2058389.0
(2.08246)(2.66645)(0.21719)(0.03710)(0.20263)
MLE257089−0.091430.072460.016430.06474−0.000040.0201370.5
(0.00840)(0.00528)(0.00027)(0.00598)(0.00020)
507217−0.091540.073150.016080.06354−0.000620.0195069.3
(0.00841)(0.00537)(0.00026)(0.00534)(0.00013)
757089−0.091450.073490.016110.06414−0.000520.0193270.5
(0.00838)(0.00541)(0.00026)(0.00516)(0.00010)
1007174−0.091490.073640.016130.06380−0.000620.0191569.7
(0.00839)(0.00543)(0.00026)(0.00498)(0.00009)
MPS2576800.063500.315980.084490.052960.011093.4418165.1
(0.79327)(2.27821)(0.16545)(0.03505)(0.16983)
5083780.135640.312740.086360.06803−0.000243.2870759.7
(1.20587)(1.76324)(0.13675)(0.03374)(0.14747)
7596580.234960.330520.094400.061350.019683.3793251.8
(1.42910)(1.64187)(0.13198)(0.03137)(0.14501)
100111120.287010.294790.086850.050690.033052.9397545.0
(1.42714)(1.25218)(0.10451)(0.02581)(0.13010)
LSE2565690.175700.247370.068150.08668−0.043783.0881576.1
(0.82316)(1.93914)(0.14132)(0.03563)(0.14890)
5059140.202110.302070.085420.06947−0.023583.2587684.5
(0.96809)(1.98329)(0.15164)(0.02781)(0.12793)
7558790.188460.287010.081320.06753−0.025522.9442185.0
(0.90795)(1.75396)(0.13636)(0.02555)(0.12039)
10060430.173630.226230.065020.07081−0.035112.4954482.7
(0.90199)(1.35138)(0.10732)(0.02730)(0.10745)
Table 6. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.3 , λ 2 = 0.4 , λ 3 = 0.2 , α = 0.3 , β = 3 .
Table 6. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.3 , λ 2 = 0.4 , λ 3 = 0.2 , α = 0.3 , β = 3 .
% of
Reliable
MethodnTryouts λ 1 λ 2 λ 3 α β TMSEEstimates
CMLE2551020.08107−0.01945−0.009710.006040.093040.0214498.0
(0.00849)(0.00187)(0.00059)(0.00114)(0.00935)
5050760.08652−0.01386−0.00704−0.000010.089150.0179998.5
(0.00823)(0.00071)(0.00025)(0.00057)(0.00823)
7550600.08861−0.01208−0.00637−0.002020.087670.0172598.8
(0.00834)(0.00047)(0.00017)(0.00041)(0.00787)
10050430.08989−0.01113−0.00607−0.003020.086840.0169199.1
(0.00843)(0.00035)(0.00013)(0.00034)(0.00767)
MMLE2513705−0.069880.163120.076180.20593−0.299373.7670536.5
(0.06467)(1.05955)(0.22188)(0.32434)(2.09661)
507879−0.060120.195920.089860.15669−0.297673.7040163.5
(0.11461)(1.18428)(0.25321)(0.14283)(2.00908)
756330−0.050110.230470.105190.12172−0.227733.4679579.0
(0.10749)(1.19009)(0.25461)(0.07883)(1.83693)
1005708−0.048110.189900.085930.10028−0.245862.9742187.6
(0.11196)(1.03305)(0.22145)(0.04463)(1.56312)
MLE2552750.09290−0.00705−0.003160.002670.081300.0195994.8
(0.00984)(0.00099)(0.00037)(0.00107)(0.00732)
5051680.09429−0.00602−0.00300−0.001450.080790.0172496.7
(0.00941)(0.00040)(0.00016)(0.00057)(0.00670)
7551390.09512−0.00546−0.00290−0.003000.080280.0167797.3
(0.00940)(0.00026)(0.00010)(0.00039)(0.00663)
10051260.09583−0.00495−0.00280−0.003930.080030.0165197.5
(0.00944)(0.00019)(0.00008)(0.00032)(0.00649)
MPS2551870.03658−0.04311−0.041800.06404−0.237981.3297196.4
(0.07113)(0.17326)(0.02534)(0.09990)(0.96007)
5050500.02949−0.02550−0.022340.03366−0.153770.8190299.0
(0.02402)(0.18386)(0.02898)(0.03661)(0.54555)
7550230.04460−0.01801−0.015530.01913−0.079950.5625099.5
(0.02406)(0.11895)(0.02044)(0.02008)(0.37896)
10050050.05649−0.01938−0.013960.00775−0.038810.3477399.9
(0.01570)(0.05786)(0.01021)(0.00788)(0.25608)
LSE256254−0.08229−0.06583−0.068840.25809−0.887603.7149379.9
(0.18148)(0.43845)(0.07484)(0.25037)(2.76979)
505903−0.11749−0.02678−0.040310.20690−0.812433.1411284.7
(0.10549)(0.52022)(0.08313)(0.14955)(2.28272)
755752−0.13266−0.01556−0.028280.18286−0.782222.7142786.9
(0.07572)(0.48832)(0.08513)(0.10898)(1.95613)
1005720−0.12999−0.02820−0.030050.16511−0.767302.3131587.4
(0.07504)(0.33972)(0.06261)(0.08053)(1.75526)
Table 7. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.5 , λ 2 = 0.7 , λ 3 = 0.1 , α = 0.9 , β = 0.7 .
Table 7. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.5 , λ 2 = 0.7 , λ 3 = 0.1 , α = 0.9 , β = 0.7 .
% of
Reliable
MethodnTryouts λ 1 λ 2 λ 3 α β TMSEEstimates
CMLE255829−0.102020.091160.020580.113210.120080.0473785.8
(0.01057)(0.00850)(0.00060)(0.01314)(0.01457)
505932−0.102040.092450.014870.112360.119260.0464384.3
(0.01049)(0.00863)(0.00025)(0.01278)(0.01429)
755943−0.102050.092600.013340.112280.119230.0462584.1
(0.01047)(0.00863)(0.00019)(0.01271)(0.01426)
1006043−0.102040.092750.012760.112210.119130.0461582.7
(0.01045)(0.00864)(0.00017)(0.01267)(0.01422)
MMLE2574170.402700.736810.121400.251760.402127.0746867.4
(1.96441)(3.32372)(0.08256)(0.58914)(1.11486)
5062060.306680.518710.078860.186050.249444.5293380.6
(1.64017)(1.93598)(0.04262)(0.36688)(0.54369)
7558130.174800.335930.049870.176550.152422.5328886.0
(0.91400)(0.99235)(0.02109)(0.28578)(0.31967)
10055620.133850.235240.034750.173220.100311.7715489.9
(0.70673)(0.58034)(0.01224)(0.25292)(0.21932)
MLE257316−0.101640.092690.020450.112050.117830.0466568.3
(0.01047)(0.00875)(0.00058)(0.01285)(0.01399)
507240−0.101660.093370.014910.111980.117970.0461069.1
(0.01041)(0.00879)(0.00025)(0.01269)(0.01397)
757263−0.101690.093590.013410.111860.117890.0459368.8
(0.01039)(0.00881)(0.00019)(0.01262)(0.01393)
1007256−0.101730.093500.012840.111910.118060.0458968.9
(0.01038)(0.00878)(0.00017)(0.01260)(0.01396)
MPS2561240.168260.367020.029890.042990.233694.4959681.6
(0.67708)(2.54057)(0.03233)(0.21722)(1.02877)
5055070.141870.210440.025510.082320.099712.6172690.8
(0.64655)(1.36877)(0.02164)(0.20829)(0.37201)
7553410.104310.107860.014190.096760.042951.6763393.6
(0.50184)(0.76427)(0.01305)(0.17899)(0.21816)
10052730.109840.030540.004870.093760.014461.0625894.8
(0.42135)(0.34524)(0.00630)(0.16692)(0.12277)
LSE2563210.261830.398870.014270.190710.237085.0870879.1
(0.79214)(2.71504)(0.02912)(0.25670)(1.29408)
5059450.146390.300390.026990.178530.120962.9644484.1
(0.56255)(1.55747)(0.02107)(0.23461)(0.58874)
7559460.089650.204660.022510.172530.052801.9047084.1
(0.40290)(0.98335)(0.01495)(0.20220)(0.30128)
10058560.057570.146020.016750.167550.022401.3860785.4
(0.31406)(0.65737)(0.00981)(0.17678)(0.22804)
Table 8. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.1 , λ 2 = 0.3 , λ 3 = 0.5 , α = 1.2 , β = 0.6 .
Table 8. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.1 , λ 2 = 0.3 , λ 3 = 0.5 , α = 1.2 , β = 0.6 .
% of
Reliable
MethodnTryouts λ 1 λ 2 λ 3 α β TMSEEstimates
CMLE2550550.00904−0.15959−0.407550.13237−0.037860.2156798.9
(0.00061)(0.02609)(0.16725)(0.01911)(0.00262)
5050310.00733−0.15839−0.405140.13145−0.037340.2290799.4
(0.00054)(0.02917)(0.17386)(0.01838)(0.00712)
7550320.00684−0.15994−0.407240.13096−0.038350.2144199.4
(0.00029)(0.02635)(0.16787)(0.01741)(0.00248)
10050210.00657−0.16024−0.407730.13130−0.038910.2118999.6
(0.00021)(0.02587)(0.16663)(0.01738)(0.00180)
MMLE255026−0.03487−0.07117−0.119550.09340−0.069210.4964999.5
(0.00537)(0.10182)(0.24511)(0.04225)(0.10195)
505004−0.03805−0.09290−0.157970.09915−0.097050.0746299.9
(0.00166)(0.01183)(0.03265)(0.01310)(0.01538)
755000−0.03779−0.09409−0.160760.09911−0.098800.06720100.0
(0.00159)(0.01072)(0.03069)(0.01107)(0.01312)
1005000−0.03796−0.09552−0.163520.10000−0.100940.05841100.0
(0.00145)(0.00925)(0.02700)(0.01020)(0.01052)
MLE2557830.02208−0.14820−0.394830.13749−0.023650.2612286.5
(0.00192)(0.03016)(0.17570)(0.03237)(0.02107)
5055880.02027−0.14837−0.397310.13203−0.030810.2422289.5
(0.00127)(0.02664)(0.17002)(0.02836)(0.01592)
7554920.01986−0.14797−0.397800.12776−0.032350.2305491.0
(0.00111)(0.02628)(0.16970)(0.02084)(0.01261)
10055040.01923−0.14882−0.400030.13004−0.034260.2352290.8
(0.00085)(0.02512)(0.16782)(0.02145)(0.01998)
MPS255018−0.00296−0.16257−0.400500.12955−0.036810.2345099.6
(0.00051)(0.03270)(0.16975)(0.01913)(0.01241)
505012−0.00049−0.16191−0.402550.13001−0.037220.2178099.8
(0.00036)(0.02774)(0.16561)(0.01751)(0.00658)
7550150.00092−0.16160−0.403720.12989−0.037330.2137699.7
(0.00026)(0.02695)(0.16526)(0.01752)(0.00378)
10050060.00159−0.16137−0.404550.13054−0.038050.2108899.9
(0.00017)(0.02648)(0.16475)(0.01750)(0.00198)
LSE256041−0.00562−0.17029−0.403550.13765−0.036810.3008882.8
(0.00153)(0.04162)(0.18916)(0.03565)(0.03292)
505024−0.01222−0.17861−0.415700.12470−0.033330.2230099.5
(0.00026)(0.03202)(0.17296)(0.01617)(0.00159)
755000−0.01294−0.17929−0.416180.12398−0.034280.22219100.0
(0.00022)(0.03218)(0.17323)(0.01539)(0.00118)
1005000−0.01324−0.17965−0.416460.12382−0.034540.22246100.0
(0.00021)(0.03229)(0.17344)(0.01533)(0.00119)
Table 9. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.5 , λ 2 = 0.7 , λ 3 = 0.1 , α = 0.7 , β = 1.1 .
Table 9. Simulated biases and MSEs (in parentheses) of the parameter estimates obtained based on different methods for λ 1 = 0.5 , λ 2 = 0.7 , λ 3 = 0.1 , α = 0.7 , β = 1.1 .
% of
Reliable
MethodnTryouts λ 1 λ 2 λ 3 α β TMSEEstimates
CMLE255755−0.109730.078350.029380.11380−0.072260.0397186.9
(0.01234)(0.00648)(0.00140)(0.01401)(0.00548)
505751−0.109080.081610.018250.11189−0.074280.0378286.9
(0.01203)(0.00677)(0.00044)(0.01299)(0.00559)
755736−0.108870.082450.015030.11167−0.074690.0374687.2
(0.01194)(0.00686)(0.00026)(0.01278)(0.00562)
1005767−0.108660.082920.013560.11175−0.074950.0373686.7
(0.01187)(0.00692)(0.00020)(0.01272)(0.00565)
MMLE2569650.150910.619040.120870.342010.323216.6450871.8
(1.02877)(3.16686)(0.09916)(0.69160)(1.65870)
5057970.092480.433020.072250.263620.160714.0799486.3
(0.83551)(1.93903)(0.04618)(0.37971)(0.87950)
7553390.022760.279650.044930.256250.054602.7123893.7
(0.58192)(1.19152)(0.02663)(0.31698)(0.59533)
10051880.008100.195530.030890.225120.009631.9357596.4
(0.48504)(0.76447)(0.01669)(0.24585)(0.42369)
MLE257496−0.108100.081190.029240.11223−0.075910.0395666.7
(0.01193)(0.00683)(0.00139)(0.01350)(0.00591)
507401−0.107880.083510.018360.11128−0.076760.0380067.6
(0.01175)(0.00705)(0.00045)(0.01281)(0.00594)
757368−0.107830.084110.015130.11107−0.076950.0376667.9
(0.01170)(0.00712)(0.00026)(0.01262)(0.00595)
1007372−0.107810.084330.013730.11106−0.076950.0375267.8
(0.01168)(0.00715)(0.00020)(0.01254)(0.00594)
MPS2561650.044670.344000.006540.108800.231165.3634581.1
(0.45333)(2.73391)(0.02642)(0.24090)(1.90889)
5054690.031410.209310.015760.127480.065113.0674891.4
(0.44818)(1.57785)(0.02007)(0.19280)(0.82857)
7552070.010420.102780.008780.14136−0.017751.9804896.0
(0.37355)(0.91316)(0.01293)(0.17357)(0.50726)
10050960.027030.054250.005110.13770−0.050881.5657998.1
(0.38234)(0.66676)(0.01071)(0.15454)(0.35145)
LSE2561280.067610.29414−0.009110.249460.124125.0445981.6
(0.44539)(2.55148)(0.02731)(0.27621)(1.74421)
505710−0.028730.241780.007430.254560.021023.3711587.6
(0.31613)(1.68287)(0.01881)(0.26760)(1.08573)
755625−0.065270.156490.008160.24234−0.058432.1744288.9
(0.23178)(1.06169)(0.01264)(0.22653)(0.64178)
1005482−0.085030.094990.004720.24303−0.111541.7028591.2
(0.21407)(0.78439)(0.00986)(0.21388)(0.48065)
Table 10. Annual maximum daily rainfall (inches) for Orlando (1901–2001).
Table 10. Annual maximum daily rainfall (inches) for Orlando (1901–2001).
year 1901–19104.493.442.95 3.362.753.203.354.108.02
year 1911–19202.752.603.473.477.222.832.922.762.693.50
year 1921–19304.452.432.933.544.253.062.164.883.104.48
year 1931–19402.284.447.722.863.612.652.682.203.04
year 1941–1950 2.255.578.433.494.074.724.805.84
year 1951–19602.732.262.473.292.103.483.003.073.338.19
year 1961–19704.152.683.803.262.633.872.016.052.753.55
year 1971–19802.434.314.92 2.432.663.563.953.623.14
year 1981–19904.403.752.793.784.064.173.573.782.421.81
year 1991–20004.115.132.603.832.984.733.253.472.692.43
year 20013.06
Rainfall record in years 1904, 1940 to 1942, and 1974 are unavailable.
Table 11. Summary statistics of the rainfall data sets.
Table 11. Summary statistics of the rainfall data sets.
DatasetMeanMedianIQR
19603.7453.3101.548
20013.6283.3551.358
% diff from 1960−3.1241.356−12.274
Table 12. The MLE of the model parameters, the values of log-likelihood function, the KS test statistics, the p-values of the KS tests, and the values of the AIC for three selected models.
Table 12. The MLE of the model parameters, the values of log-likelihood function, the KS test statistics, the p-values of the KS tests, and the values of the AIC for three selected models.
ModelEstimated ParametersLog-LikelihoodKSp-ValueAIC
GLED λ ^ 1 = 4.1419 × 10 16 , λ ^ 2 = 0.4891 , 141.162 0.076710.62440294.325
λ ^ 3 = 0.8748 , α ^ = 1.4920
EGLED λ ^ 1 = 174.8844 , λ ^ 2 = 1.0780 × 10 10 , 139.517 0.046160.98667287.034
α ^ = 0.2810 , β ^ = 701.851
NEGLED(CMLE) λ ^ 1 = 7.1690 , λ ^ 2 = 6.5530 , λ ^ 3 = 15.9563 , 139.327 0.04290 0.99446 288.655
α ^ = 0.3837 , β ^ = 52.0227
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Lin, C.-T.; Liu, Y.; Li, Y.-W.; Chen, Z.-W.; Okasha, H.M. Further Properties and Estimations of Exponentiated Generalized Linear Exponential Distribution. Mathematics 2021, 9, 3328. https://doi.org/10.3390/math9243328

AMA Style

Lin C-T, Liu Y, Li Y-W, Chen Z-W, Okasha HM. Further Properties and Estimations of Exponentiated Generalized Linear Exponential Distribution. Mathematics. 2021; 9(24):3328. https://doi.org/10.3390/math9243328

Chicago/Turabian Style

Lin, Chien-Tai, Yu Liu, Yun-Wei Li, Zhi-Wei Chen, and Hassan M. Okasha. 2021. "Further Properties and Estimations of Exponentiated Generalized Linear Exponential Distribution" Mathematics 9, no. 24: 3328. https://doi.org/10.3390/math9243328

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