1. Introduction
Delineating high groundwater recharge areas is a crucial step for sustainable groundwater resource management. An area with high recharge significantly influences the water quantity and quality of the regional groundwater system; while this can be beneficial in terms of water quantity, the infiltration process usually affects the transport of soil contaminations, and this can adversely impact the groundwater quality. Therefore, appropriate land use management practices in high recharge areas are important for groundwater conservation. Nevertheless, high groundwater recharge areas must be identified before applying any best management practices.
Many approaches have been proposed to identify high groundwater recharge areas [
1–
9]. The majority of these studies applied recharge potential analysis (RPA) to calculate index values representing the groundwater recharge potential (GRP), which is an indicator of the likelihood of surface water infiltrating all layers into an aquifer [
10]. Specifically, high recharge areas were identified by using the estimated GRP values.
Defining the contributing factors related to groundwater recharge is the first step for determining GRP values. The contributing factors are selected according to the study area’s hydrology, geology, climate and human activities; such factors may include the lithology, drainage patterns, land use, land cover, precipitation, and so forth. Each contributing factor contains several attributes. For example, land use may contain wood land, grass land, farm, river, etc. Once defined, a geographic information system (GIS) map is developed for each contributing factor based on its original attributes. Second, the contributing factor’s original attribute values are mapped into score values according to their contribution to the groundwater recharge. Third, weights among the contributing factors are assigned, and the GRP values are acquired by summarizing the weighted scores of the contributing factors. Most studies summarize the contributing factor scores by applying GIS spatial analysis techniques.
The contributing factors adopted in RPA can be classified into two groups [
1,
3–
9,
11,
12]. The first group contains the factors associated with the recharge source, such as precipitation, drainage,
etc. The second group contains the factors influencing the infiltration, such as lithology, land use, land cover, slope, surface soil, geology, lineament, permeability,
etc.
The RPA method has been applied to identify the GRP in many different environments [
3,
4,
8,
9,
13]. However, the weight of each contributing factor and the mapping of the attributes to score values in previous studies were subjectively assigned. Defining the weights and the mappings without objective measures is a major source of uncertainty for applying the RPA method. Therefore, this study proposes a systematic approach to define the weights and mappings based on parameter identification. The GRP values can represent the potential for groundwater recharge. However, GRP lacks direct observations. Therefore, the identification of a surrogate variable of GRP to evaluate the correctness of RPA parameters, the weights and the mappings is essential.
Head changes are highly correlated with groundwater recharge, and these were selected to develop average storage variation (ASV) indexes to be used as the surrogate variable for GRP in this study. Yu and Chu [
14,
15] applied empirical orthogonal functions (EOF) to analyze the mechanisms that affect the spatiotemporal distribution of hydraulic heads in Taiwan’s Choushui River alluvial fan. These studies indicated that surface water infiltration is an important mechanism that affects the groundwater system of this alluvial fan; in particular, the first, third and fourth EOF were highly correlated with rainfall and stream flow, and these could explain about 70% of the observed spatiotemporal changes of head. Observed head changes highly correlated with surface water infiltration can be thought of as the consequence of groundwater recharge.
Beside groundwater recharge, head changes are also affected by aquifer storage capability. The aquifer storage capability represents the amount of ground void space that can store water, and it is usually represented by the specific yield (Sy) and storage coefficient (Sc), which depend on the unconfined and confined aquifer types, respectively. The head changes are more significant in an aquifer with low Sy/Sc than those in an aquifer with high Sy/Sc. To objectively define the reference indexes to be the surrogate variable of GRP, both head changes and aquifer storage capability were used to develop the ASV indexes, which represent the average storage variation of an aquifer.
To objectively and accurately estimate the high recharge areas of the study area, this study proposes a methodology to identify the RPA parameters based on the developed ASV indexes. First, the RPA is developed to estimate the GRP of the study area, and four contributing factors (land use, surface soil texture, average annual rainfall and drainage density) are considered in this analysis. Next, the RPA parameters are calibrated based on the ASV indexes. Finally, the groundwater recharge areas of Taiwan’s Choushui River alluvial fan are estimated using the developed GRP map.
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area
The study area, which consists of Taiwan’s Choushui River alluvial fan, is located on the midwestern part of Taiwan, and it is bounded by the Wu River to the north, the Taiwan Strait to the west, the Beigang River to the south and the Bagua Tableland to the east, as shown in
Figure 1.
The primary region of interest is the plain below 100 m in altitude that covers approximately 2150 km
2 [
16]. This area descends from the east to the west. Five rivers flow through the entire study area and eventually reach the Taiwan Strait. From north to south, they are as follows: the Wu, Old Chuoshui, Chuoshui, New Huwei and Beigang rivers. The primary river of this area is the Chuoshui River.
The Choushui River alluvial fan is located near the Tropic of Cancer, and it has a subtropical climate. The annual rainfall in this area is high, but it is not evenly distributed in time and space. The wet season occurs during April to August, while the dry season occurs during September to the following March. The wet season contributes 79% of the annual rainfall to the study area, while the dry season only contributes 21%. Thus, the rainfall difference between the wet and dry season is significant. The average annual rainfall declines as one moves from the eastern mountains to the coastline areas. Specially, the average annual rainfall in the east mountain area is 2000 mm, and it declines to 1300 to 1600 mm in the alluvial fan areas and 1000 mm in coastline areas.
The Central Geology Survey (CGS) indicated that the hydrogeological structure of the study area can be divided into several strata. Based on the depth from the land surface, these strata are as follows: Aquifer 1, Aquitard 1, Aquifer 2, Aquitard 2 and Aquifer 3. The average thicknesses of Aquifer 1, Aquifer 2 and Aquifer 3 are 42 m, 95 m and 86 m, respectively. The thickness of gravel and sand strata in fan-top areas can reach up to more than 130 m. The aquitards are absent in fan-top areas.
Groundwater is an important water supply in the Choushui River alluvial fan, because the water supplied by the small-scale reservoirs cannot satisfy the water demand of the study area. Chang
et al. [
17] indicated that the average annual pumpage rates of Aquifer 1, Aquifer 2 and Aquifer 3 are 0.708, 0.32 and 0.23 billion tons per year. The average annual recharge and inflow influenced by seawater are 1.828 and 0.017 billion tons, respectively. The amount of water discharging into a river or through its boundary into another basin is 0.607 billion tons. Thus, the groundwater system almost attains a mass balance situation. However, the demand for groundwater is increasing quickly because of increases in the population size and increases in agricultural and industrial activities. The overuse of groundwater can result in subsidence and seawater intrusion.
To avoid problems associated with groundwater overuse, conservation practices are urgently need; thus, delineation of high recharge areas represents a crucial issue. Accordingly, a systematical methodology was developed to estimate the high recharge areas for the study area. It is hoped that the estimated results will be valuable references for the Taiwanese government to consider when implementing the Land Use Management Act.
2.2. Data
The data used in this study include land use, surface soil, rainfall, river and groundwater well data, which were collected from the Taiwanese government (
Table 1).
The collected land use and surface soil data are polygon-type data, and these datasets were collected from the CGS and National Land Surveying and Mapping Center, respectively.
Figure 2 shows the seven attributes of land use, including river, agricultural land, green space, shrubbery, wood land, barren land and impervious land. The CGS also produced surface soil distribution maps with four layers according to the depth from land surface. The depths of the four layers are 0–30, 30–60, 60–90 and 90–150 cm. Each layer has four sediment attributes, including gravel, coarse sand, fine sand and clay, as shown in
Figure 3.
The daily rainfall data from 1998 to 2012 were collected from the Central Weather Bureau (CWB). The selected 20 rainfall stations are located in the Choushui River alluvial fan and in the neighboring mountain areas, as shown in
Figure 4.
The collected river data are polyline-type data, and the data were collected from the Water Resources Agency (WRA). The groundwater well data were also collected from the WRA. Because the heads observed in unconfined aquifers were highly correlated with rainfall/stream observations [
14,
15], the wells located in unconfined aquifers with head observations from 1998 to 2012 were selected to develop the ASV indexes. The locations of the selected wells and the distributions of rivers are shown in
Figure 5, respectively.
2.3. Recharge Potential Analysis
The first step of the RPA is to define its contributing factors that influence the groundwater recharge of the study area. Four contributing factors, including land use (CF1), surface soil types (CF2), average annual rainfall (CF3) and drainage density (CF4), were selected, and the reasons for selecting these four factors are described in Section 2.3.1. The descriptions of the four factors are listed in
Table 2.
The original GIS maps for the contributing factors were developed by collecting available data within the study area. Each GIS map was converted into a 1 km × 1 km grid map. Point data were interpolated to all the grids using the ordinary kriging method.
Next, the weights and mapping scores of each attribute for the four factors need to be defined according to their contribution to the groundwater recharge. The initial weights and mapping scores were assigned in this study, and these values are shown in
Table 3. The initial weights of the four factors were all assigned as 0.25, because the four factors were initially assumed to be of equal importance to the groundwater recharge. The weights of the four factors and the mapping scores of each attribute for CF1 and CF2 were then adjusted through parameter identification, as shown in Section 2.5.
After the factor weights and the mapping scores of each factor’s attributes were identified, the original attributes of the four factors could be converted into scores. Then, the GRP was obtained by computing the weighted sum of the scores from all of the contributing factors. The estimated GRP was graded into five levels, and the data are displayed as a GIS map in the results.
2.3.1. Establishment of Contributing Factors
Four contribution factors were selected by referencing previous studies [
1,
3–
9,
11,
12] and considering the environmental conditions of the study area. The reasons for selecting these four factors are described as follows.
Land use:
Land use is important for groundwater recharge. Artificial structures built with concrete will prevent recharge. Shaban
et al. [
8] have shown that vegetation is good for recharge, because vegetation increases infiltration by loosening soil and catching surface run-off. In addition, Bartens
et al. [
18] have shown that tree roots can increase infiltration by loosening the compacted soils. Thompson
et al. [
19] have demonstrated that coarse root mass is correlated with the infiltration capacity in a humid area. Therefore, vegetation with coarse roots should facilitate groundwater recharge in the study area. However, Zhang and Schilling [
20] showed that a high density of vegetation can increase the rate of evapotranspiration and decrease infiltration. In the initial scores, this study relied on the work of Zhang and Schilling [
20] and assumed that vegetation is poor for groundwater recharge, thereby the polygon with high density vegetation in the land use map was translated into a low score.
Surface soil type:
Soil particle sizes can have a significant influence on the permeability and infiltration capacity. Thompson
et al. [
19] found that the soil texture was the major factor influencing the infiltration capacity in wet areas. Therefore, surface soil type was considered as a contributing factor. Surface soil type was defined based on the soil particle size and classified into the four following types: gravel, coarse sand, fine sand and clay. The initial attribute scores of CF2 were assigned based on the soil particle size.
Average annual rainfall:
Rainfall in Taiwan varies significantly during the year. Taiwan is located at the confluence of the Eurasian Plate and the Pacific Ocean, where there are frequent occurrences of monsoons, typhoons and Kuroshio currents. This study considered average annual rainfall as a contributing factor to groundwater recharge because the infiltration of natural rainfall is the major source of groundwater recharge in the region. Average annual rainfall from 1998 to 2012 was calculated from the 20 selected rainfall stations maintained by the CWB.
Drainage density:
Drainage density is defined by Hortorn [
21] as the total river length per unit area. Dingman [
22] noted that drainage density obviously influences the infiltration capacity and soil resistance to erosion. In addition, Kheir
et al. [
23] and Shaban
et al. [
8] indicated that drainage is an important factor associated with groundwater recharge. As a result, drainage density was considered as a contributing factor, and it was calculated by using the polyline-type data of the rivers collected from the WRA.
2.3.2. Using GIS to Develop Grade Maps for Each Contributing Factor
Maps of CF1 and CF2 were defined as area attributes using polygons, which means that different polygons can have different attributes. The attribute of each polygon was converted into a score based on
Table 3 and
Equation (1):
where
S is a score between 0 and 100;
i is the number of contributing factors;
m is the number of polygons;
k is the attribute number of each factor;
is the factor
i score of polygon
m;
is the factor
i score of attribute
k;
A is the attribute of a factor;
is the factor
i attribute of polygon
m; and
is the factor
i attribute of
k.
The GIS maps of CF1 and CF2 were discretized by using a 1 km × 1 km grid, and each grid covers several polygons. After obtaining the score for each polygon,
Equation (2) was used to calculate the total score of each grid, and the score maps of CF1 and CF2 were developed.
where
j is the cell number;
Area is the area of a polygon;
Si,j is the factor
i score of cell
j;
is the factor
i area of polygon
m; and
Cell is the grid-square of the grid map.
The attributes of CF3 and CF4 are continuous data. The original attributes, such as the average annual rainfall or drainage density, were linearly normalized between 0 and 100. For example, the attributes of CF3 can be normalized by the maximum and minimum average annual precipitation. The equation used to normalize the data is shown in
Equation (3):
where
Fi,j is the factor
i attribute of cell
j;
is the minimum attribute of factor
i; and
is the maximum attribute of factor
i.
2.3.3. Estimation of Groundwater Recharge Potential
The GRP was calculated as follows:
where
GRPj is a weighted sum of all of the factor values and represents the groundwater recharge potential for grid element
j;
ωi represents the weight associated with factor
i.
After estimating GRP for all grid elements, GRP was converted into the following five levels: very poor, poor, moderate, good and excellent. The score ranges of these five levels were 0 to 10 scores, 10 to 30 scores, 30 to 50 scores, 50 to 70 scores and 70+ scores. The mappings between the score ranges and average annual recharge rate per unit area (AARRPA) estimated by Chang
et al. [
17] are described in Section 3.3. The spatial distribution of GRP is shown by using the five levels, and the results are displayed as a GIS map in the results.
2.4. Development of ASV Indexes
An ASV index represents the average storage variation of a local aquifer, and it was developed by using
Equation (5). The observed head changes of each well can be obtained by calculating the standard deviation of its corresponding head observations. Because the heads observed in unconfined aquifers are highly correlated with rainfall, the head observations from the 15 wells located in the unconfined aquifer were selected to calculate the head changes. The aquifer storage capability of each selected well is represented by
Sy.
where
Sy denotes the specific yield and
σ denotes the standard deviation of observed heads where
i denotes the well number.
2.5. Using the Simulated Annealing Algorithm to Calibrate RPA Parameters Based on ASV Indexes
The initial RPA parameter values were adjusted according to parameter identification theory. The identification of RPA parameters was formulated as a minimization problem. Simulated annealing (SA) was used to minimize the object function (the difference between the GRP values and the ASV indexes), because the relationship between ASV indexes and GRP may be nonlinear. The correlations between the ASV indexes and estimated GRP values were used to evaluate the correctness of RPA parameters. After parameter calibration, the correlations between the GRP values and ASV indexes are excepted to be improved.
This study develops 15 ASV indexes for the RPA parameter calibration. The RPA parameters include CF1’s seven attribute scores, CF2’s three attribute scores and the weights of the four contributing factors. Although ASV indexes are suitable to be used as the surrogate variable of GRP, in practice, the number of ASV indexes are limited because of the high expense of well-drilling. Therefore, high density head samples are difficult to obtain and unrealistic.
To properly use limited ASV indexes, an ASV index representing the recharge ability of a selected grid was assumed. If a grid has a well, the ASV index calculated from this well’s information was assumed to represent the recharge ability of the grid area. Thus, comparisons of how close the values are between the ASV indexes and the selected grid’s GRP value are possible because both represent the grid area’s recharge ability. In addition, the selected grids must cover all of the four factors’ original attributes, such as the polygons for CF1’s seven attributes and CF2’s three attributes. Therefore, the selected grids’ GRP values will vary with the RPA parameter adjustments, and all of these RPA parameters can be calibrated.
To compare the estimated GRP values with the ASV indexes, these two datasets were normalized between 0 and 100. The goal of the objective function
Equation (6) is to minimize the difference between the ASV indexes and the GRP values. The purposes of the constraint functions
Equations (7) to
(10) are to constrain the range of the 15 parameters.
The mathematical formulations of this minimization problem are shown in
Equations (6) to
(10):
s.t.
where
l denotes the 15 grids with the observation wells in the study area;
k1 denotes the attribute number of CF1;
k2 denotes the attribute number of CF2;
denotes the
k1-th attribute score of CF1;
denotes the
k2-th attribute score of CF2; and
wi denotes the weighting of contributing factor
i.
The SA algorithm was applied to solve this minimization problem; SA is a search-based optimization method that was developed by Kirkpatrick
et al. [
24]. A material can be transferred into another matter with different crystalline structures by heating and cooling process. The crystalline structure varies with different cooling rates. If each crystalline structure represents a possible solution in the solution spaces for a problem, the crystalline structure with the minimum energy state is the optimal solution [
25].
Simulated annealing can search for the global optimal solution for a problem by considering bad trials. The search algorithm for SA was developed by considering a random number with a normal distribution and a Metropolis algorithm [
26] to determine the acceptance of the new solution. In the Metropolis algorithm, the acceptance probability is formulated as a Boltzmann probability density function:
where
P denotes the probability of the Metropolis mechanism; Δ
E denotes the change of energy between the old solution and new solution;
T denotes the temperature; and
K denotes the Boltzmann constant. If the objective function is improved (system energy is reduced), the adjacent solution will be accepted; if not, the adjacent solution will still have the opportunity to be accepted depending on the acceptance probability and the energy change between the two iterations [
26].
The input parameters of SA are initial temperature, terminal temperature, cooling rate and maximum iterations of each temperature. These parameters are associated with the “temperature schedule” strategy, which affects the searching paths and the optimization results. These parameter values are not unique and need to be adjusted based on the problem domain. In this study, the parameter values were determined by a “trial-and-error” process. The initial temperature was set to 1000; the terminal temperature was set to 1; the cooling rate was set to 0.97; and the maximum iterations of each temperature was set to 200. The bounds of the decision variables are defined by the constraints, as shown in
Equations (7) to
(10).