1. Introduction
The indebtedness of the world’s population has increased in recent decades, becoming a worrying issue for the financial stability of countries, which need to find measures to prevent financial risks (
Fan et al. 2022;
Kristjanpoller et al. 2022). This is especially true after the crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, which accentuated income inequalities and the over-indebtedness of individuals (
Leandro and Botelho 2022). This fact may interfere with the general well-being of the population (
Ferreira et al. 2021) since it negatively affects the perception of financial well-being (
Marques and Gois 2022), reducing its current and future financial capacity.
Vulnerability and scarcity of resources amplify the propensity to risky indebtedness behavior (
Van Dijk et al. 2022). The risk of indebtedness is assumed when acquiring credit related to housing debts, property debts, credit cards, personal loans, and credit lines, among others (
Blázquez et al. 2020). This behavior is characterized when individuals recurrently assume debts they cannot pay, going into default (
Abrantes Braga and Veludo de Oliveira 2020;
Anvari Clark and Ansong 2022). In turn, over-indebtedness portrays the impossibility for a consumer to pay off all of their consumer debts within the term of the exterior liabilities, compromising their basic needs of existence (
Brazil 2021). Given this default, credit protection systems record a growing list of people who have received derogatory marks after a significant expansion of credit (
Leandro and Botelho 2022;
Ponchio et al. 2019).
In this context, the population is periodically invited with proposals, such as encouraging credit supplies, irrevocable financial products, unmissable promotions, and attacks of the most diverse types, in addition to being pressured by the standards imposed by the media and society, which induce consumption, even without having income available to consume. And credit cards appear as the villains of the story, as people often confuse the credit limit as being part of their income (
Abrantes Braga and Veludo de Oliveira 2020;
Anvari Clark and Ansong 2022), generating the negative effect of consumption (
Boto García et al. 2022;
Ponchio et al. 2019). In Brazil alone, credit cards are responsible for about 28% of the debts in
SERASA Experian (
2022).
Although the entire population is the target of credit policies, some audiences have a more significant potential for harassment for credit taking, such as senior citizens, for example, and this harassment has been increasing significantly in recent decades (
UN 2019), becoming a public policy agenda (
Barbabella et al. 2022;
Issac et al. 2021). The economic change caused by the advent of retirement in the family scenario (
Santos et al. 2021;
Tambellini 2023) and the financial power of senior citizens become objects of credit policies often irresponsibly executed (
De Souza and Moretto 2014), rendering them subject to the risk of indebtedness. On the other hand, the young audience is in a scenario of challenges and life construction, which also puts them in a situation of exercising risky indebtedness behavior to achieve projects (
Blázquez et al. 2020).
Financial well-being is the state in which individuals can meet their current and ongoing financial obligations with confidence in their future and are capable of choices that allow them to enjoy life (
CFPB 2015). Being permeated by decisions that aim to enjoy life with credibility in the future, it is impacted by several factors (
Anvari Clark and Ansong 2022;
Niţoi et al. 2022), particularly by the risk of indebtedness (
Ferreira et al. 2021) and by preparation for retirement (
Anvari Clark and Ansong 2022;
Boto García et al. 2022). Thus, this study aimed to develop a model for analyzing the impact of risky indebtedness behavior on preparation for retirement and the financial well-being level of individuals.
In this scenario, this study innovates in at least three aspects. Firstly, the sample size allows for presenting results for a developing country. Secondly, for evaluating these issues in a country where a large part of the population is indebted: 79% of families, according to the
National Confederation of Trade in Goods, Services and Tourism (
2022), increasing default (
SERASA Experian 2022) and using high-cost credit (
Lusardi et al. 2020). Thirdly, to the best of our knowledge, this was the first study to simultaneously assess the direct and indirect effects of risky indebtedness behavior on the preparation for retirement and financial well-being.
2. Framework Development
In this research, the central theme studied was the risky indebtedness behavior and its impacts on financial preparation for retirement and the perception of the financial well-being of individuals.
Risky indebtedness behavior has become a latent theme worldwide among public policymakers (
Foster et al. 2019;
Kristjanpoller et al. 2022), given that inadequate management of financial resources and excessive consumption habits influence the financial market and the economy (
Fan et al. 2022). Corroborating this,
Azma et al. (
2019) related the propensity to debt and the habit of inadequate consumption of individuals, who tend to spend more than their income, negatively impacting their level of financial well-being. In light of this conception, indebtedness is defined as taking more credit than the ability to pay (
Lusardi and Tufano 2015).
Individuals who expose themselves to risky indebtedness behavior assume more debts than they can pay, become delinquent, and have their capacity to prepare for retirement reduced because they cannot save to guarantee their future financial life (
Abrantes Braga and Veludo de Oliveira 2019). Contributing to this reasoning,
Vitt (
2004) discussed the need to control and manage the debts assumed and avoid new financial risky behaviors, given that the acquisition of credit, when not carried out appropriately, has a negative reflection, resulting in damage to health and quality of life (
Ferreira et al. 2021).
Hypothesis 1 (H1). Risky indebtedness behavior negatively impacts the perception of financial well-being.
Risky indebtedness behavior may be influenced by consumerism since excess impulsivity generates a repetitive habit, causing the accumulation of debts and the ruin of one’s personal life, thus compromising one’s financial well-being (
Abrantes Braga and Veludo de Oliveira 2020). That said,
Norvilitis et al. (
2006) pointed out that the number of credit cards contributes to this illusion of income, thus contributing to a possible risky behavior due to the accumulation of debts. So do instant loans, which are highly likely to result in uncontrolled debts, leading to a loss of financial well-being (
Leandro and Botelho 2022).
In a comparative longitudinal study conducted after the 2008 global crisis,
Blázquez et al. (
2020) showed that the risky behavior exercised to acquire credit brought significant effects on the quality of life of those who acquired credits (mortgages and others) and were left in financial difficulties after the crisis, without being able to honor commitments.
In contrast,
Marques and Gois (
2022) stated that, to a certain extent, access to revolving credit is a factor that contributes to well-being, but indebtedness, characterized by the acquisition of loans and financing, has a strong negative impact on the financial well-being of individuals who are unable to honor their commitments. Studies by
Van Dijk et al. (
2022) and
Kristjanpoller et al. (
2022) also demonstrated the negative effects of financial scarcity, indebtedness, and over-indebtedness on people’s life satisfaction.
Thus, it is necessary to maintain control over-indebtedness so that it does not impact current and future financial well-being (
Chan et al. 2021;
Clark et al. 2019). In other words, it is necessary to save and have savings for one to meet their consumption demand during retirement. It is also necessary to make investment choices wisely, with it being appropriate not to be indebted excessively. Hence,
Fan et al. (
2022) considered that the higher the level of indebtedness or financial fragility, the less likely an individual is to equate their financial needs for the future correctly.
Involved in the items that make up the financial preparation for retirement since it also considers the risky indebtedness behavior of an individual, the second hypothesis of this research is originated, defined in the following perspective:
Hypothesis 2 (H2). Risky indebtedness behavior negatively impacts the financial preparation for retirement.
The conception of retirement is based on the concept that every citizen, regardless of their professional life, has the acquired right to a substitute income at the time when their labor force decreases (
Marques and Euzéby 2005). However, to obtain remuneration suitable to one’s needs, it is important to plan personal finances, program the future, and save for retirement (
Ponchio et al. 2019).
Preparation for retirement was defined by
Han et al. (
2019) as a life project that aims to maintain the consumption style an individual has, considering a similar level before and after retirement. For such, the economic situation is a crucial predictor of overall well-being after retirement (
Tambellini 2023). Thus, preparation for retirement may be defined as the development of expectations and plans of a worker with the purpose of organizing their life for future retirement (
Ekerdt et al. 2000;
Zaniboni et al. 2010).
Hence, the preparation for retirement is influenced by several factors, including health (
James et al. 2012), income (
Foster et al. 2019), and retirement plans. In a study conducted in North Carolina (USA),
Clark et al. (
2019) identified that retirement plan choices are made according to health and life expectancy, with healthier individuals tending to make long-term decisions, while those with lower life expectancy spend more on health and make decisions that prioritize retirement plans with more significant benefits in the short term.
As for income, when considering retirement planning, an individual’s compensation history, which may vary according to their employment history, is observed in the retirement provision (
Foster et al. 2019). In this sense, disposable income influences the preparation for retirement (
Hansson et al. 2019;
Kim 2020) since it also provides economic independence, which allows one to organize oneself financially for the future (
Lusardi et al. 2020).
Based on this, there is the following relationship: the higher the level of financial preparation for retirement, the higher the level of financial well-being, which elucidates the third hypothesis of this study.
Hypothesis 3 (H3). Financial preparation for retirement positively impacts the perception of financial well-being.
When analyzing retirement plans,
Niu et al. (
2020) mentioned a factor that may have negative impacts on financial well-being: inappropriate choices. Among the findings, the authors showed that, in emerging countries, financial preparation is inadequate, reflecting lower levels of financial well-being in retirement. Hence, the decision about the retirement plans that are available directly affects the financial capacity and tranquility in old age, given that each option may bring different future results/impacts (
Clark et al. 2019).
In addition to this factor, another choice should be considered when seeking better levels of financial well-being, with
Chan et al. (
2021) highlighting the need for savings accumulation. However, according to
Boto García et al. (
2022), the probability of accumulating savings is higher for those with greater control of their finances and the regular habit of saving. Similarly,
Ponchio et al. (
2019) posed that the income reserve is necessary when preparing for retirement, as it brings a greater perception of financial well-being in the future.
Therefore, individuals are able to manage their debts satisfactorily and prepare financially for retirement by accumulating savings or investments in retirement plans, thus being able to maintain their standard of living and, consequently, generating an equal or greater perception of financial well-being. Merging the hypotheses previously listed with the corresponding constructs for measuring each dimension results in the construction of the proposed model, presented in
Figure 1.
Thus, the framework of this study, represented in
Figure 1, establishes three hypotheses. Hypotheses “H1” and “H2” relate to the negative impact of risky indebtedness behavior on the perception of financial well-being and financial preparation for retirement. In turn, Hypothesis “H3” indicates that financial preparation for retirement positively impacts the level of perception of financial well-being.
3. Method
A survey was carried out employing a questionnaire structured in four blocks. The first consists of thirteen questions that assess the level of perception of financial preparation for retirement. Such questions form the Financial Preparation for Retirement Scale (FPRS), the instrument and methodology of which were proposed by
Vieira et al. (
2022). FPRS has three dimensions. The future expectation dimension aims to identify the perception of the financial future, that is, how the individual believes their financial life will be in the future. The financial planning dimension is associated with the proper management of financial resources (
Vieira et al. 2022). In addition, the savings behavior dimension is the citizen’s ability to save for the future (
Mitchell and Mickel 1999). The second block is formed by 14 items that identify the level of financial well-being, with this scale stemming from the reduction of the Perceived Financial Well-Being Scale (PFWBS) proposed by
Vieira et al. (
2023). In addition, the third block, composed of five items, is the Risky Indebtedness Behavior factor, proposed by
Abrantes Braga and Veludo de Oliveira (
2019). Finally, the fourth block consists of six questions to identify the profiles of the respondents, with variables of sex, age, marital status, education level, whether or not they had financial dependents, and their and their family’s monthly income range.
Data collection was carried out in public places in all Brazilian regions between October 2021 and January 2022, totalizing a sample of 2920 respondents not yet retired. The Brazilian population was considered, which, according to the
Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (
2020), is 211,439,266 people, with a confidence level of 95% and a sampling error of 2%; the minimum desired sample was 2401 individuals. The study was approved by the Research Ethics Committee, the interviewees signed the Informed Consent Form, and the instrument was completely anonymous.
Descriptive statistics, confirmatory factor analysis, and structural equation modeling were used as data analysis procedures. Confirmatory factor analysis was applied to validate the three scales: Perceived Financial Well-Being, Financial Preparation for Retirement, and Risky Indebtedness Behavior. The models were estimated by maximum likelihood and direct procedure. For the analysis of convergent validity, the magnitude and statistical significance of the standardized coefficients and the following fit indices were observed: root mean square of residuals (RMSR), root mean square error of approximation (RMSEA), goodness-of-fit index (GFI), in addition to the comparative fit index (CFI) and the Tucker-Lewis index (TLI).
According to
Byrne (
2010) and
Kline (
2016), values lower than 0.080 and 0.060 are considered for the RMSR and RMSEA, and values above 0.950 for the CFI, GFI, NFI, and TLI. For the average variance extracted (AVE), values greater than or equal to 0.5 are desirable (
Fornell and Larcker 1981).
After validating the scales, we verified the statistical significance of the estimated coefficients to validate the hypothesized theoretical model represented in
Figure 1. For the fit indices of this model, the same criteria used in the individual validation of the constructs were employed. Structural equation modeling was employed to develop the model for identifying the effects of risky indebtedness behavior on financial preparation for retirement and the level of perceived financial well-being.
4. Analysis of Results
Initially, we sought to learn the profile of the study participants, presenting the descriptive statistics, as shown in
Table 1.
Among the respondents, the predominance was female (60.6%). The average age was 38 years (standard deviation of 12 years). Regarding marital status, 48.7% were married or had a stable relationship. As for the education level, 28.2% reported having a high school education. The income variables were quite heterogeneous, with the most considerable representation being from R$1100.00 to R$2200.00 for the respondent’s own monthly income and R$5500.01 to R$8800.00 for their family’s monthly income (17%).
Thus, after learning the profile of the individuals, to validate the measurement of the constructs, the validation of the scales of Financial Preparation for Retirement, Perceived Financial Well-Being, and Risky Indebtedness Behavior was initially performed through confirmatory factor analysis. The results of the fit indices for the three constructs of the financial preparation for retirement scale are shown in
Table 2.
After the fit of each construct of the financial preparation for retirement scale, the second-order model was estimated for this scale, as shown in
Table 3.
There was a need to refine the initial model by removing item 5 from the Future Expectation construct, which presented a factor load below 0.5 (
Hair et al. 2019), and the addition of correlations between the errors that had theoretical meaning. Soon after, the fit indices were estimated for the unidimensional perceived financial well-being scale, shown in
Table 4.
For the perceived financial well-being scale, there was a need to refine the initial model of the constructs with the correlation between the errors backed by the theory. Fit indices were also estimated for the Risky Indebtedness Behavior, as shown in
Table 5.
For the Risky Indebtedness Behavior scale, the initial model proved suitable, with no need for adjustments. Next, the graphical representation (
Figure 2) of the frequency distribution of the responses for the three scales was carried out.
The means for Perceived Financial Well-Being (3.1) and Financial Preparation for Retirement (2.5) indicate a high level of perceived financial well-being and a low level of financial preparation for retirement, according to the proposed classifications. On the financial preparation for retirement scale, more than 50% of the respondents obtained very low or low levels of financial preparation. However, the average (1.8) risky indebtedness behavior indicates that more than 75% of the respondents answered Disagree or Strongly Disagree regarding debt ownership, indicating that most respondents did not have much debt, debts above their income, overdue bills, or had borrowed money from someone. The means of the items that make up each scale may be found in
Table A1 (
Appendix A).
After identifying the levels of financial preparation for retirement, perceived financial well-being, and risky indebtedness behavior, we sought to validate the model integrated with the three scales presented in
Table 7.
Finally, the proposed theoretical model was estimated (
Figure 3). Thus, the improvement of the initial model occurred with the insertion of correlations between the errors of the variables that had theoretical meaning.
One may observe in
Figure 3 that we confirmed the three research hypotheses. Hypotheses H1 (−0.202) and H2 (−0.695) established that risky indebtedness behavior negatively impacts financial preparation for retirement and perceived financial well-being, denoting that debt affects the financial and life quality of an individual. This result was also identified by
Van Dijk et al. (
2022).
In turn, Hypothesis H3 (0.700) showed that financial preparation for retirement has a positive impact on perceived financial well-being, confirming that people who have financial planning, goals for the future, and save for retirement have a greater perception of financial well-being, corroborating the studies by
Fan and Henager (
2022) and
Iramani and Lutfi (
2021).
When analyzing the variables with the highest and lowest impacts on each construct of the study, we found that item RIB4 (I am often more indebted than my monthly income) was the one with the most significant impact on financial indebtedness behavior, while item RIB 3 (I often borrow money to pay my debts) had the lowest impact, denoting the lack of money to pay debts. Regarding financial preparation for retirement, we found that the item with the lowest impact was item SB1 (I feel capable of saving money to realize my dreams), while item SB4 (I save money regularly to achieve my long-term goals) had the most significant impact. Finally, for perceived financial well-being, we found that the item with the least influence on the construct was satisfaction with the application of money (FWB13), while the item with the most significant influence was financial security (FWB8).
5. Discussion
In the first hypothesis (H1), risky indebtedness behavior has a negative impact on the perception of financial well-being. This finding corroborates the theory of over-indebtedness addressed by
Abrantes Braga and Veludo de Oliveira (
2020), which indicates that the inappropriate accumulation of debts may negatively affect financial well-being and lead families to ruin (
Van Dijk et al. 2022).
The second hypothesis (H2) indicated that the risky indebtedness behavior reduces the possibility of financial preparation for retirement, evidencing the need to keep control of expenses so that they do not impact future financial security. After all, a well-planned retirement may ensure an old age with more dignified conditions for survival and increased well-being.
According to
Fan et al. (
2022), the need for government programs that encourage saving for the future is evident. For example, research has identified an increase in the financial vulnerability of senior citizens who are closer to retirement; among the causes is the increase in the supply of credit and the interest rate that has made future senior citizens on the verge of retirement indebted and with little possibility of preparing for retirement (
Lusardi et al. 2020). Thus, unless governments and the financial system are able to help senior citizens control and maintain adequate debt levels, it is unlikely that they will manage to retire with a financial situation that allows them to enjoy life.
The last hypothesis reinforces other studies that the higher the level of financial preparation for retirement, the higher the perception of financial well-being (
Anvari Clark and Ansong 2022). These results corroborate the findings of
Bressan et al. (
2013), who reported that individuals who make financial investments for the future and prepare for retirement have a more considerable perception of well-being.
6. Practical Implications
Risky indebtedness behavior has a negative impact on the perception of financial well-being. Thus, the need to create standards and laws to support families in this situation is evident. For example, in Brazil, there has been a recent change in the legislation that addresses over-indebtedness, expanding the possibility of renegotiating debts with creditors so that, when there is more than one creditor, it is possible to renegotiate in batch, making a single payment, obeying the guarantee of human dignity and the preservation of an existential minimum for survival.
Another relevant issue for risky indebtedness behavior is the policy of granting automatic-paycheck-deduction loans, i.e., credit discounted on the payroll, which represents a low risk for financial institutions and is widely offered, especially to senior citizens and public servants. Due to the ease of obtainment, this product stimulates the excessive and often inappropriate use of credit, rendering it a source of additional income, generating financial setbacks in the medium and long term. The granting of the possibility of access to this type of credit to beneficiaries of social programs maintained by the State is another situation that increases the risk of over-indebtedness, given that beneficiary families access credit with payment installments corresponding to up to 40% of the monthly amount of the benefit (
Ministry of Citizenship 2022). In other words, the possibility of a new cycle of indebted people is glimpsed in the country, mainly because the loan and the debt will remain active, plus a fine and interest in the case of non-payment if the beneficiary leaves the program. Financial scarcity was pointed out by
Van Dijk et al. (
2022) as the path to debt and, consequently, to the expansion of poverty.
This type of credit is of high interest to the financial system, given the very low risk due to the discount of the installment on the payroll; the responsibility for the definition of maximum allowable limits for this type of loan must be systematically analyzed by the regulatory bodies since the commitment of a large part of one’s income in the long term may lead to difficulties in sustaining basic expenses and significant losses of well-being (
Van Dijk et al. 2022) due to the risk that the poor class, which is already financially vulnerable, will become even more exposed since the benefit directed to essential and minimum survival items will be partially compromised.
It is observed in the credit supply system that fragile analysis and concession systems are based mainly on individual income, individual credit history, and income guarantees, not adequately considering the expenses that the applicant already has to maintain their survival (
Chopra and Mehta 2022;
Ganbat et al. 2021), thus contributing to excessive indebtedness (
Torres Filho and Borça 2008). Evidence points out that the acquisition of excess debt is responsible for bringing harmful effects on psychological health, impacting sleep, anxiety, self-esteem, depression (
Adinkrah 2020;
Gao et al. 2022), and satisfaction with life, being accentuated as the financial situation worsens (
Van Dijk et al. 2022). According to
Adinkrah (
2020) and
Rojas (
2022), being in debt even increases the propensity to commit suicide, as it is a highly stressful situation for the individual (
Xiao and Kim 2022) and has impacts on the quality of life and perception of well-being.
Finally, we emphasize the need for greater suitability and transparency in the credit supply. Particularly in countries with a low level of financial education, technical terms are often not easily understood. And this lack of capacity may lead to financial ruin (
Van Dijk et al. 2022).
In this sense,
Xiao and Kim (
2022) mentioned the association between the ability to apply financial knowledge and the reduction of financial difficulties and demonstrated, for example, that when there is an agent to instruct and explain to their customers the implications of making the minimum payment of the credit card bill, the financial difficulties decrease. In addition, a lower education level also increases the possibility of an inadequate understanding of the costs and characteristics of the debts assumed, given that the higher the level of education of an individual, the more considerable their understanding of the financial market (
Gathergood 2012).
The risky indebtedness behavior also reduces the possibility of financial preparation for retirement. According to
Fan et al. (
2022), the need for government programs that encourage saving for the future is evident. For example, research has identified an increase in the financial vulnerability of senior citizens who are closer to retirement; among the causes is the increase in the supply of credit and the interest rate that has made future senior citizens on the verge of retirement indebted and with little possibility of preparing for retirement (
Lusardi et al. 2020). Thus, unless governments and the financial system are able to help senior citizens control and maintain adequate debt levels, it is unlikely that they will manage to retire with a financial situation that allows them to enjoy life.
Developing in the population the culture of preparing and saving for retirement implies important social changes, given that the burden on the State decreases. This is because a large part of the population already has the State as the primary welfare provider, especially in the classes with lower economic power, whose income comes from the public social security system (
Comelli 2021). Thus, in scenarios with little or no financial preparation for retirement, it is relevant to carry out campaigns to encourage financial education (
Lusardi and Mitchell 2010), aiming to insert a culture within society (
Clark et al. 2019;
D’Agostino et al. 2021), especially in groups with lower levels of education and income.
7. Final Considerations
When comparing the changes since the global financial crisis of 2007/2008 to the global COVID-19 pandemic, it was observed that there have been many advances in the discussion of what would be the appropriate levels of indebtedness and credit taking; however, the topic still needs to be better delineated and actually put into practice. Predicting these situations may bring economic and social benefits (
Kristjanpoller et al. 2022).
Considering the results presented, the importance of building healthy financial life histories based on guidance and knowledge is reinforced. As such, one should think that, first of all, there must be an education for this, and that is where public policies on education and financial guidance come into place that can guarantee citizens greater confidence and autonomy over their financial choices.
As for the financial preparation for retirement, especially due to its evidenced significance, special attention should be directed to it since there is a known increase in the elderly population (
UN 2019), and citizen support tools urgently need to be delineated to ensure greater future financial tranquility. Countries that offer good conditions and guarantees of social rights, such as European countries, demonstrate more homogeneous standards of financial well-being and continuous improvement in the quality of life of the population (
D’Agostino et al. 2021) and economic benefits in retirement plans (
Clark et al. 2019). Thus, public policy thinkers should reflect on how the country may contribute to the proper management of income and debts, guiding toward good financial preparation for retirement.
As a natural/logical flow, the consequences of indebtedness and preparation for retirement are linked and impact financial well-being, translating the result of the set of actions taken by individuals in the short, medium, and long term. And thinking long-term is important since inadequate short-term decision-making actions generally tend to culminate in financial worsening (
Van Dijk et al. 2022). Thus, the lower the debt ratios and the greater the financial preparation for retirement, the greater the perception of financial well-being will be, contributing to overall satisfaction with life.
Future studies that historically assess changes in credit granting standards and their effects on the three elements identified in this study (indebtedness, preparation for retirement, and financial well-being) are promising. Another path is to identify the role of financial literacy as an antecedent of these dimensions, considering samples with more vulnerable individuals relative to indebtedness to identify more direct actions for public policies in this population. Massively studying over-indebted samples may also contribute to the construction of better protective measures. Studies that evaluate separate active and passive risk indebtedness behaviors are also promising. From the model proposed herein, an agenda for future research is also opened since the model may be replicated in other countries and with different audiences and evaluated in specific population profiles.