1. Introduction
The shift from conventional to renewable power sources requires high investments not only in terms of the generation but also in terms of the transmission and storage of a power system. Due to the dominant dependence on fluctuating wind and solar power potentials, energy has to be shifted in space and time. For large networks, such as the European power system, both elements will play a key role. Spatial balancing via a solid transmission grid allows power to cover long distances from wind farms to load centers far away. In contrast, temporal balancing allows for self-sufficient areas, which locally produce and store (most likely solar) power. This raises the question of the extent to which one uses and benefits from the transmission grid and its upcoming expansions. Flow allocation (FA) methods enable to efficiently quantify the transmission usage per market participant by decomposing the network flow into sub-flows driven by isolated power injections. This opens the opportunity to distribute transmission costs based on the effective transmission usage of each single generator and consumer, as broadly reviewed by Jiuping et al. [
1]. It also helps in understanding the operational state of the system and in determining cost-increasing and cost-reducing actions and therefore in drawing up incentives or cost schemes for an efficient system transformation.
There are multiple flow allocation methods that all differently approach the determination of isolated sub-flows. The most prominent candidates are as follows:
- (a)
Average Participation, also referred to as Flow Tracing, firstly presented by Bialek [
2] and used in various application cases such as by Hoersch et al. [
3]. It follows the principle of proportional sharing when tracing a power flow from source to sink.
- (b)
Z-bus transmission allocation presented by Conejo et al. [
4], which is equivalent to the Power Divider method [
5] and strongly related to the formulation by Chang and Lu [
6]. It derives the contributions of electricity current injections to the branch currents based on the full AC power flow equations.
- (c)
Marginal Participation (MP) presented by Rudnick et al. [
7] and the Equivalent Bilateral Exchange (EBE) method [
8], which are based on the linearized power flow equations and extensively explained later in this paper.
- (d)
With-And-Without transit loss allocation presented by Hadush et al. [
9], which builds the underlying loss allocation for the Inter-Transmission System Operators Compensation (ITC) mechanism. In contrast to the other methods, it does not determine source-sink relations but calculates losses within regions or countries caused by cross-border flows.
Non-flow-based cost allocation includes another palette of methods, such as the Aumann-Shapley method [
10], which is based on game theory or an exogenous approach [
11], which proposes to introduce a peer-to-peer market design into the optimal power flow (OPF) calculation. Originally, FA methods focus on determining the flow shares on branches. However, the work by Schaefer et al. [
12] shows that the FA can be alternatively represented through Virtual Injection Patterns (VIPs), which are peer-to-peer allocations between sources and sinks. Thus, every market generator is associated to a specific set of supplied loads; vice versa, loads are allocated to a specific set of power suppliers from which they retrieve their share. The artificial peer-to-peer transactions can then be used to, e.g., determine nodal electricity prices or the CO
-intensity of the consumed power, as done in a recent study by Tranberg et al. [
13]. As all FA methods come with strengths and weaknesses, it turns out that most of them are restricted to pure AC or pure passive DC transmission networks only. This applies to non-linear FA as well as MP and EBEs, which rely on the linear Power Transfer Distribution Factors (PTDFs). It makes them inappropriate for large networks such as the European one, which consists of multiple AC subnetworks, i.e., synchronous zones operating at a specific utility frequency. PTDF-based allocation is not yet applicable over borders of these zones, and only conceptional propositions have been made to tackle this issue [
14]. Note that FA on a distribution network level is also inappropriate for the MP and EBE algorithms, as the characteristics of high resistance-reactance ratios render the linear approximation of the power flow invalid. This restricts the scope of application of the MP and EBE algorithms considerably. However, this paper presents a way to apply the algorithms to meshed AC-DC transmission networks by incorporating controllable elements such as HVDC lines into the PTDF matrix.
This paper is structured as follows:
Section 2 recalls the MP and EBE algorithms, focusing on both VIPs and flow share formulation.
Section 3 describes the extension of the flow allocation methods for generic AC-DC networks, realized through the introduction of the so-called pseudo-reactance
. In
Section 4, the extended FA is performed for a highly renewable European power system, and
Section 5 summarizes and concludes the paper.
2. PTDF-Based Flow Allocation Methods
The MP and EBE algorithms are both based on the linear power flow approximation. In order to recall and extend them, the following definitions are used in this work:
Nodal active power
Active power flow
Transmission reactance
Transmission resistance
Transmission admittance
Incidence matrix
PTDF matrix
Cycle matrix
Virtual Injection Pattern
Virtual Flow Pattern
Peer-to-Peer Allocations
N denotes the number of buses in the system, L the number of branches (transmission lines), and C the number of cycles in the network. Note that the equality C = L − N + 1 holds as shown by Ronellenfitsch et al. [
15,
16]. The linear power flow approximation assumes that all bus voltage magnitudes are equal,
, and the series resistances are small compared to series reactances,
. In addition, voltage angle differences across a line are assumed to be small, and no shunt admittances (at buses or series) to ground are present. These assumptions are usually appropriate for transmission systems, where high voltages and small resistances lead to a power flow that is mostly driven by active power injection
. They allow one to map the latter linearly to the active power flow
through the PTDF matrix
where the PTDF matrix is defined as
with the series admittance
and with
denoting the generalized inverse. We recall that the PTDF matrix can be provided with a slack, which is one or more buses that “absorb” the total power imbalances of
. In Equation (
2), the slack is distributed over all nodes in the system, but it is possible to modify it by adding a column vector
to each column of the PTDF matrix
without touching the result of the linear power flow expressed by Equation (
1) for a balanced injection pattern (note that the vector addition in (
3) is applied to every column of
). Corresponding to Equation (
1), the nodal power balance is expressed by
As pointed out earlier, the FA methods can be perceived from two different angles. One is looking at the impact of generators or consumers on the network flow that they cause in the network, respectively. The Virtual Flow Pattern (VFP) matrix
is an L × N matrix, whose
nth column denotes the sub-flows induced by bus
n. The other is looking at the peer-to-peer transactions given by the VIP matrix
of size N × N, whose
nth column denotes the effective balanced injection pattern of bus
n. The two quantities contain the same information and are, like Equations (
1) and (
4), linked through
and
The sum of their columns equals the original flow,
and the original injection pattern,
where
represents a vector of ones of length N. Furthermore, let
denote an
matrix with peer-to-peer transactions
given by the entry
. For a given VIP matrix, those values are straightforwardly obtained by
, which is taking all power in the injection pattern of
n coming from
m to
n and all the
negative power in the injection pattern of
n coming from
m. In matrix notation, this leads to
where
denotes a restriction to positive entries only. The latter should be taken for granted as only positive source to sink relations are considered. Thus, for non-zero values
, bus
m is always a net producer and bus
n a net consumer.
2.1. Equivalent Bilateral Exchanges
The definition of the EBE algorithm refers to peer-to-peer exchanges between net producers (sources) and net consumers (sinks) in the network [
8]. It assumes that a source provides power to all sinks in the network, which are proportionally scaled down until positive and negative injections are balanced, while all other sources are ignored. Correspondingly, it assumes that power flowing into a sink comes from all sources, which are proportionally scaled down until positive and negative injections are balanced, while all other sinks are ignored. In order to allow weighting the net producers differently from net consumers, let
be a shift parameter that allows one to tune their contributions (the lower the value of this shift parameter is, the stronger the net consumers taken into account are). Furthermore, let
denote injections by only sources/sinks and let
denote the inverse of the total positive injected power. Therefore, the VIP is given by
The first term represents injection patterns of net producers only, which deliver power to sinks. The second term comprises injection patterns of all net consumers. The corresponding VFP matrix
is given by
If
q is set to 0.5, 50% of the flow is allocated to net producers, and 50% to net consumers. Inserting Equation (
10) into Equation (
11) allows one to write the VFP as
with a given slack of
for net producers and of
for net consumers in the PTDF matrix (see Equation (
3)). It is taken as granted that the separate flow patterns induced by the market participants can be of a completely different nature than the original flow. Therefore, the FA method may lead to
counter-flows that are counter-aligned to the network flow
.
Given that
, the peer-to-peer relations are straightforwardly obtained by first reformulating (
10) to
and second inserting the new expression into Equation (
9) (
denotes the absolute value). Note that the symmetric term cancels out, which makes
independent of
q, and finally reduces it to
which, one on one, reflects the definition of the EBE flow allocation.
2.2. Marginal Participation
The MP algorithm, in contrast to EBEs, derives from a sensitivity-analyzing perspective that directly defines the VFP matrix. As originally proposed, it measures each line’s active power flow sensitivity against changes in the power balances of the buses. The sensitivity characteristics are then multiplied with the nodal power imbalances, which gives the sub-flows induced by the buses. As the work of Brown [
14] describes in detail, the choice of the slack
is used to tune contributions of net producers and net consumers. However, aiming at introducing the shift parameter
q correctly and in a generalized way, we propose straightforwardly to define the VIP matrix as
where
s is set to
. Here, we used the full VIP for the EBE method and added a term that only takes effect for
. This makes
and
the same for full allocation to consumers (
) or producers (
). The standard 50–50% split leads to
which, when inserting into Equation (
5), leads to an effective slack of
which reflects the standard setup of the MP algorithm as originally proposed. Overall, the newly introduced formulation given in Equation (
15) generalizes the algorithm for the shift parameter
q and matches the EBE method for full consumer/producer contributions. Again note that the
may contain counter-flows that are not aligned with
. Especially in the realm around
, this is even more likely for the MP method, as flows are also allocated from one net producer to another net producer. It shall be noted that the second term in Equation (
15) is symmetric, which makes the peer-to-peer allocation again independent of the shift parameter
q and leads to
It can the be concluded that the peer-to-peer relations for both EBE and MP are the same, whereas the flow allocations and virtual injections patterns differ for mixed producer-consumer contributions.
4. Flow Allocation across European Synchronous Zones
In the following, the formalism presented in
Section 2 and
Section 3 is applied to a highly renewable European network model in order to extract general sink-source relations and transmission flow behavior. We show how cross-border flows are mainly driven by wind power and transmission system usage derived from the MP algorithm is allocated to the countries.
The European power system comprises five synchronous zones of heterogeneous sizes and covers the whole European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) area. As displayed in
Figure 3, these zones comprise the synchronous grid of Continental Europe (blue), representing the largest with 24 countries, the North of Europe (gray), the Baltic States (pink), the United Kingdom (brown), Ireland (light green), Mallorca (red), and Sardinia (orange). They are interconnected by HVDC lines in dark green. The data for the figure is retrieved from the interactive ENTSO-E transmission system map [
18].
Each synchronous zone distributes power through AC lines and, in a nominal operational state, balances all loads within the subnetwork. The power flow on the passive AC lines are determined by the Kirchhoff current law and Kirchhoff voltage law and are in direct relation to the nodal power injection. Therefore, if the loading of passive branches is getting close to the capacity limits, Transmission System Operators (TSOs) have to regulate and reduce the critical power flows via redispatch. However, with upcoming HVDC projects realized within the Ten Year Network Development Plan (TYNDP) [
19], additional controllable system elements will allow one to distribute power more efficiently.
The openly available power system model PyPSA-EUR, presented in [
20] and available at [
21], suits due to it’s realistic topology representing a realistic European meshed AC-DC network. The model itself is based on refined data of the European transmission system containing all substations and AC lines at and above 220 kV, all HVDC lines as well as most of today’s conventional generators. It is accessible via an automated software pipeline, which allows one to examine different scenarios, e.g., by varying transmission network expansion limits, CO
caps or coupling of the heat, transport, and electricity sector as done by Brown et al. [
22]. In order to represent a highly renewable future scenario, the network is clustered, simplified, and linearly cost-optimized, allowing generator expansion and 18% total transmission capacity expansion. Further, the CO
cap is set to 5% of the 1990 emission level. Available generation technologies are onshore and offshore wind, solar PV, natural gas, and run-of-river.
Available storage technologies are pumped-hydro-storage (PHS), hydro dams, batteries, and hydrogen storage. Note that hydro dams (hydro) do not have the ability to store power from the electricity grid, but are supplied by natural water inflow. All generator and storage types are allowed to be expanded except for PHS and hydro. Dispatch and expansion were calculated using the linear power flow approximation, neglecting line losses, and minimizing total system costs consisting of capital and operational expenditures of the different network components. The resulting network, shown in
Figure 4, comprises N = 181 buses and L = 373 lines, of which 48 are controllable DC lines. The left hand side shows power generation and original transmission capacities, and the right side shows a capacity distribution of storage and transmission expansion. The energy production is strongly relying on wind power, which produces 40% of the yearly total of
Wh in offshore regions and 18% in onshore regions. Solar power on the other hand accounts for 23% of the total energy production. The rest is covered by hydro power (10%), open cycle gas turbines (5%), and run-of-river (4%). The average electricity price equals 58 €/MWh. The time-averaged total power flow in the transmission system is 316 GW. The spatial distribution of batteries correlates with the installation of solar power, most prominent in the European South. Hydrogen storage on the other hand is mostly distributed at wind power production centers along the North Sea coast. These technological “matches” result from the fact that batteries suit better for diurnal charging cycles, whereas hydrogen storage is rather cost-efficient for the long term and synoptic variability as experienced by wind power.
The FA analysis is done on the basis of the NetAllocation package, openly available at [
23]. The two extended methods are applied on the whole simulation year, which consists of 2920 time steps representing a three-hour time resolution. We choose the standard formulation with
, where the difference between the MP and EBE algorithms are expected to be the largest. As the analysis of the three-dimensional data
and
requires detailed reporting, we want to restrict the analysis in the following to international power exchanges.
Figure 5a shows the average source-sink allocation, given by
, aggregated to countries. Colors of the outer circle indicate the overall exchange of the considered country. Colors of the inner circle and inbound connections represent either exports of the country (same color as the outer circle) or imports from other countries (corresponding colors of other countries in the outer circle). Self-assigned allocations are connections with the country itself, as one can clearly see, for instance, for Germany. The allocated cross border flows (CBF) are dominated by large exporters and importers in the system. Therefore, only 12 countries with the largest cross border exchange are represented separately, whereas the remaining countries are aggregated as “Other”. In the cost-optimized setup, Germany, France, and the United Kingdom are the strongest exporters and importers. However, there are countries with a much higher export-import ratio, such as Greece or Netherlands. Note that, by definition of the peer-to-peer relations for both methods, Equation (
18) does not takes geographical distance into account and thus leads to large-distance exchanges, e.g., Germany–Spain or Finland–Italy. However, neighboring countries disclose the strongest interconnections. This applies particularly to countries along the North Sea coast where transmission expansion allows for strong interactions. Moreover, optimizing the cost of capacity expansion and disposition may lead to more installation and generation in regions near load centers. The FA methods now allow one to further break down the cross border flow allocation.
Figure 5b shows the same setup but only includes power transfers induced by wind power injection. Remarkably, the country-to-country allocation hardly changes, as the overall CBF allocation is mainly driven by countries with strong wind production. Indeed, CBF induced by wind power covers 69% of the total CBF.
As the peer-to-peer relations are dominated by strong exporters of power, we want to have a look at the transmission grid usage, which is given by . Especially, the usage of the transmission expansion might be of current interest in regard to cost allocation of grid expansion projects. Therefore, we split the flow into two categories:
a flow on a line stays within the bounds of today’s line capacities, or
a flow exceeds the original transmission capacity and thus makes use of the 18% transmission expansion.
In
Figure 6a,b, the average induced transmission for each country is shown. Each bar is split according to the two categories. First of all, it is remarkable how similar EBE and MP correlate on the aggregated country level. Despite strong absolute differences, the relative proportions are almost the same. The strongest transmission grid users are Great Britain, France, Germany, and Spain, followed by Norway after a large gap. More or less similar are the usages of transmission expansion distributed. Thus, even though Great Britain is not the strongest power exporter or importer, it has the highest average share of flows in the system. This indicates that, due to its topological situation and injection behavior, its power exports and imports are, on average, of longer spatial distance, which pushes the usage of the original and expanded transmission grid.
The transmission grid usage strongly anti-correlates with the amount of storage capacity. Thus, countries such as Italy that relate on high solar power shares and strong battery storage capacities, have a proportionally small dependence on the transmission grid. Thus, for a simplified approach of allocating capital and operational expenditures of the transmission grid to countries, one can legitimately propose to allocate capital expenditures proportional to the use of transmission expansion flow (the upper parts of the bars) and operational expenditures proportional to the flow allocation within the original capacity bound (lower parts).
Finally, we close with a short discussion about higher absolute flow contributions in the MP allocation compared to EBEs. As pointed out earlier, with the 50–50% split, the MP algorithm leads to effective flows from net producer to net producer. This leads to higher shares of counter flows in the allocation, which on the other hand have to be balanced according to Equation
7.
Figure 7 shows the ratio between the sum of absolute allocated flows and the total transmission as a function of
q. Indeed, in the realm
, the MP method allocates much more flow, peaking at
q = 0.5 with more than six times the total transmitted power, whereas the EBE method stays steadily at around three times the total transmission. The two lower lines reflect the sum of all allocated counter-flows which, as to expect, lays 0.5 below the half of the absolute allocation sums. In other words, each counter-flow cancels out with an aligned flow, and the remaining aligned flows sum up to
.
Note that it can be assumed that this effect scales with the network resolution, as the number of possible peer-to-peer connections scales with . For , exploits all of these connections, which makes the appearance of counter-flows much more likely. However, further research needs to be done to sustain this argument.