2.1. Methodology
Figure 1 illustrates the methodological steps and the simulation tools.
HOMER Grid is an economic optimization and sizing simulation tool for DERs installed BTM which was developed by HOMER Energy (by UL) [
17]. The present work proposes a new use of the HOMER Grid tool to simulate aggregated DERs as a TVPP.
Network Analysis Program (ANAREDE) [
18] is a power flow simulation tool developed by the Electric Power Research Center (CEPEL). It was used in this work to prepare a converged Bulk-Power System (BPS) power flow case, which is imported as a reliability base case into the Composite Reliability Analysis and Operational Reserve Calculation Program (NH2) [
19,
20] simulation tool, also developed by the CEPEL, to carry out reliability simulations.
As a premise, the proposed methodology considers that the DS (Distribution Network Base Model (DNBM)) is modeled as a load with a radial configuration connection to the TS (Transmission Network Base Model (TNBM)).
Figure 2 details Step 1 of the methodology.
Step 1 of the methodology considers consumer data obtained from the DNBM and consists of the following:
Sizing the DERs aggregated capacity () and optimizing the project Net Present Cost (NPC) to the minimum NPC ();
Obtaining the dispatchable DR potential of the TVPPs (virtual generation).
The NPC of a project or system is the present value of all the investment, installation, and operational costs minus the present value of all the revenues over the project’s lifetime [
21]. The DERs, which a TVPP comprises, are simulated in HOMER Grid in an aggregated form.
The HOMER Grid [
21] optimization and sensitivity analysis algorithms facilitates the evaluation of possible DERs configurations in the face of (i) a high number of technological options; (ii) complexity of tariff structures; (iii) variations in costs; and (iv) the availability of energy resources.
The
HOMER Optimizer is the proprietary derivative-free optimization algorithm used in the HOMER Grid, which seeks the minimum cost system [
21]. Examples of decision variables in the optimization process are [
21] (i) PV system capacity; (ii) number of batteries; (iii) converter size; (iv) BESS dispatch strategy; and (v) maximum demand from the grid.
In this work, we propose the sizing of the aggregate capacity of DERs through optimization for the minimum NPC of the project, based on input data and problem constraints, taking into account the DERs capacities and the dispatch curve of the dispatchable DER(s) as decision variables.
In Step 1, the optimization for
considers the basic and complementary parameters indicated in
Figure 2, with
and the dispatch curve of the dispatchable DERs as decicion variables.
A base case (BaseCase) without DERs and a case with DERs were simulated, obtaining a virtual generation potential of the TVPPs.
In this work, for simplicity, we disregarded the possible increase in virtual generation due to the reduction in technical losses in the DS during DR events downstream of the TVPPs aggregation buses in the TNBM.
Optionally, to evaluate the technical impacts of the TVPP on the DS voltages and technical losses, power flow simulations may be conducted with the simulation tool Open Distribution System Simulator (OpenDSS) considering TVPP penetration [
16].
Figure 3 details Step 2 of the methodology.
Step 2 of the methodology consists of the probabilistic reliability assessment [
20] of the TS considering the possibility of dispatching active power from the TVPPs (virtual generations) as corrective measures following transmission contingencies by the OPF of the NH2 reliability model [
19,
20].
The ANAREDE power flow simulation tool is used to prepare a converged BPS power flow case from a given database, which is imported as a reliability base case into the NH2 reliability simulation tool.
The probabilistic reliability assessment with the NH2 simulation tool, based on the state enumeration method, makes use of the power flow to assess the adequacy of the system’s contingency states at a given load scenario and the OPF for the application of corrective measures [
19].
The active power dispatch of the TVPPs was considered among the corrective measures following transmission contingencies. In the base case (BaseCase), the dispatch of the TVPPs was not enabled (the active power redispatch (PGEN) function of the NH2’s OPF was disabled). In the case of TVPPsCase1, the dispatch of the TVPPs was enabled (the PGEN function of the NH2’s OPF was enabled). The reliability results of both cases were compared.
2.2. Case Study
The case study in Brazil considered three fictitious TVPPs, each located in a municipality in the region of a distribution utility in the state of São Paulo (SP).
The TVPPs were as follows:
, located in the municipality of Mogi das Cruzes;
, located in the municipality of São José dos Campos;
, located in the municipality of Taubaté.
Each TVPP was composed of randomly selected MV consumers, with a level of participation adopted so that the sum of the maximum demands of consumers aggregated by the TVPP () corresponded to 30% of the sum of maximum demands of the MV consumers in each municipality.
This 30% level of TVPP penetration was estimated based on prospective test simulations using the IEEE 8500-node test feeder [
22] and the OpenDSS simulation tool, which did not result in reverse flows in the distribution substation nor increased technical losses in the DS, as presented in [
15].
Table 1 presents information about the TVPPs considered in the case study.
The typical load curve of an MV consumer was obtained from the aggregated MV load curve of the distribution utility’s 2019 periodic tariff revision, with monthly seasonality according to maximum monthly demand data obtained from the BDGD [
23].
It was assumed that the consumers drawn for the TVPPs could enter the ACL to establish a Power Purchase Agreement (PPA). A flat energy consumption cost from the grid was considered equal to the average difference settlement price (PLD) for the period from January 2014 to April 2019, which was equal to R
$ 326.25/MWh [
25] with additional tax rates as estimated for the distribution system use tariff (TUSD) [
15].
Additionally, the consumers drawn for the TVPPs were subjected to the Brazilian TUSD green tariff and the self-production of energy (APE) modality for the reference year 2021 [
26].
The taxes to be added to the TUSD were estimated as follows: ICMS 18%, PIS 0.87%, and COFINS 3.96%. The contracted demand was considered equal to the maximum demand, 2021 national holidays were used, and the green tariff flag was adopted.
Figure 4 shows the DERs diagram per consumer participating in the TVPP.
The PV system comprised PV modules and the DC/AC inverter. The DC/AC inverter was implicitly modeled in the HOMER Grid [
21].
The battery was connected to the AC bus through an AC/DC bi-directional converter for both rectification and inversion [
27]. Battery charging was carried out via the PV system or the grid.
Table 2 presents typical PV system costs for capacity samples.
The HOMER Grid simulation tool constructs a piecewise linear curve of CAPEX or the replacement cost from sample data of cost(s) per capacity of PV systems. The replacement cost is considered equal to CAPEX [
21].
Table 3 presents typical BESSs costs.
For batteries, the capital or replacement cost curve was constructed by the HOMER Grid simulation tool from cost sample(s) for quantity(s) of a given type of battery with a specified energy storage capacity to make up a specific total energy storage capacity. The converter for a BESS can be modeled as a specific component, and its cost curve was constructed in an analogous way to that of PV systems [
21].
The replacement cost of the batteries and converter were considered equal to the respective CAPEX.
The simulations in Step 1 were conducted with annual time series of the load curve, solar irradiance, and ambient temperature with a time step adapted to 15 min. Solar irradiance and ambient temperature data were obtained from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Prediction of Worldwide Energy Resource (POWER) database for coordinates −23.25, −45.75, in decimal degrees. The project’s real discount rate was equal to 5.77% per year, and its useful life was 20 years [
15].
The demand reduction incentive adopted was equal to R
$ 1.96/kW, which was calculated based on the reference unit variable cost (CVU) of R
$ 511.15/MWh in [
25], adding the same tax rates adopted for the TUSD tariff, over a project lifetime of 20 years. The demand reduction bid corresponded to 75% of the MV consumers (aggregated) maximum demand.
A duration of 3 h per DR event was considered, with 48 events per year on random working days, starting between 10:01 and 18:00, and an hourly interval corresponding to the heavy load of the SIN in the period from November to March [
15,
32].
The demand reduction bid, obtained through the BESSs dispatch, the number of DR events per year, and the duration of the events were obtained using a heuristic method and test simulations in which it was verified that participation in DR resulted in a lower than the without participation in DR for the adopted incentive value.
The TNBM was prepared with the ANAREDE simulation tool based on the power flow database of the PDE 2030 of the EPE, for the year 2030, peak load level, and humid North Brazilian region as the generation scenario [
24]. Single and double transmission contingencies were considered for the reliability assessment with the NH2 simulation tool, with typical data on failure rates and average repair times for lines and transformers obtained from reliability database (BDConf) (1999–2003) [
33].