The Impact of Renewable Energy Development on Economic Growth
Abstract
:1. Introduction
- To analyze the concepts and types of renewable resources, and economic growth theories presented in the scientific literature.
- To create a methodology for assessing the impact of the use of renewable energy resources on the economy.
- To assess the impact of the use of renewable energy resources on the economy.
2. Theoretical Aspects of Renewable Energy Resources
2.1. The Concept and Types of Renewable Energy Resources
2.2. Theoretical Analysis of the Economic Impact of Renewable Energy Resources
Theoretical Methods for Evaluating the Economic Impact of Renewable Energy Resources
3. Research Methodology for the Impact of Development of Renewable Energy Resources on Economic Growth
3.1. Principles of Specification of Research Variables and Empirical Research Models
3.2. Description of the Variety of Estimation Methods
4. The Assessment of the Impact of the Development of Renewable Energy Resources on Economic Growth
4.1. Determining How Estimates Are Calculated and Testing Model Assumptions
4.2. Result of the Study of Factors of Economic Growth
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions
7. Recommendations
- Promotion of investments in renewable energy. Policymakers and decision-makers should continue to expand financial incentives (such as grants, low-interest loans, and tax credits) to encourage investment in renewable energy. Considering the EU’s commitment to implement the “Green Deal”, and for the EU to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050, such incentives fit well with broader climate goals. The EU should also propose increased funding under programs such as Horizon Europe to support research and innovation in renewable energy technologies.
- Differentiated approaches according to energy type. EU policy should differentiate renewable technologies according to regional suitability and technological maturity. For example, wind energy could be more encouraged in wind-rich areas (such as the North Sea region) and solar energy in southern Europe due to greater exposure to sunlight. Hydropower could be prioritized in Alpine regions where geographical conditions are favorable.
- Focus on economies that are highly dependent on imports. EU countries that are highly dependent on energy imports (for example, many Eastern European countries) should pay particular attention to the development of local renewable energy resources. This would reduce external dependence and possibly stabilize the local economy, as energy costs would remain within the country. The EU can support this through joint projects and funding, thus promoting energy security as a common goal.
- Adaptation to local climatic conditions. The EU should encourage Member States to develop renewable energy strategies that take local climate conditions into account. For example, Mediterranean countries can use the high number of sunny days for solar energy projects, and northern European countries for wind and hydropower projects. Such an approach not only increases efficiency in energy production, but is also in line with the EU’s climate change adaptation strategies.
- Solving the problem of diminishing returns on large investments. As renewable energy markets develop, the EU needs to monitor and manage the scale of investment to avoid oversaturation. This issue can be addressed by developing indicators to measure the economic impact of investments in renewable energy at various scales, and by adjusting subsidies and incentives accordingly to ensure economic benefits.
- Long-term strategic planning. The EU should consolidate its long-term renewable energy targets and incorporate them into national planning systems. This could include setting progressive targets for renewable energy production and consumption that would be integrated into wider EU environmental and economic policies. Long-term goals would provide predictability and stability, which would encourage sustainable private investment.
- Impact on individual sectors. The EU can implement sector-specific initiatives, such as promoting the use of electric cars in the transport sector or increasing the use of renewable energy in the heating and cooling systems of public buildings. Each sector requires individual solutions that take into account different energy uses and opportunities for the integration of renewable resources.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Types of Renewable Resources | Advantages | Disadvantages |
---|---|---|
Solar energy—solar radiant energy is when electricity is obtained directly from sunlight. |
|
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Wind energy—air energy that helps to provide homes and industries (companies) with the required amount of energy. |
|
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Hydropower—the energy of ponded and/or flowing water used to produce electricity. |
|
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Geothermal energy—heating energy accumulated below the earth’s surface. |
|
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Biomass—raw materials, wastes and residues, and plant and animal materials, as well as biotransparent industrial and municipal wastes, of biodegradable biological origin from agriculture, forestry, and related industries, including fisheries and aquaculture. |
|
|
Methods | Idea | Advantages |
---|---|---|
Autoregressive distributed lag methods | Analyzes long-term and short-term relationships between variables. | [13,18,19,43,44,48] |
Correlation–regression analysis | Examines the strength and direction of relationships between variables (correlation) and models how one variable influences another (regression). | [18,19,41,42,43,46,49] |
Granger causality test | Determines whether one time series can predict another. | [19,40,42,46,47,48,49] |
Least squares method | Estimates parameters by minimizing the sum of squared errors. | [13,49,50] |
Panel analysis | Examines data across multiple entities over time to assess relationships and variations. | [18,42,43,47,49,50] |
Variable | Abbreviation | Average | Standard Deviation |
---|---|---|---|
Average overlapping five-year future economic growth rates (index) | gri,t | 0.019 | 0.024 |
Real (at 2010 prices) GDP per capita (EUR) | Yi,t | 24,560 | 16,597 |
Total investments in R&D (% of GDP) | RnDi,t | 1.48 | 0.89 |
Share of population aged 15–64 with higher (ISCED 5–8) education (%) | HCi,t | 23.57 | 8.37 |
Inflation (calculated as the average annual change in the harmonized consumer price index) | ΔlnHICPi,t | 0.022 | 0.017 |
Final consumption expenditures of the central government sector (% of GDP) | Gi,t | 19.85 | 2.92 |
Total capital formation expenditures (% of GDP) | GCFi,t | 23.15 | 4.61 |
Ratio of the amount of import and export of goods and services to GDP (% of GDP) | TRi,t | 119.81 | 63.18 |
Corruption control level (index) | CCi,t | 0.99 | 0.79 |
Change in employed persons (index) | ΔlnEMPLi,t | 0.006 | 0.016 |
Variable | Abbreviation | Average | Standard Deviation |
---|---|---|---|
The share of consumed energy from renewable energy sources in the energy balance (%) | REN_Ui,t | 18.142 | 11.678 |
Share of energy generation capacity from renewable energy sources in total capacity (%) | REN_Pi,t | 34.883 | 22.78 |
The share of consumed energy from renewable energy sources in the energy balance in the transport sector (%) | REN_U_Ti,t | 5.1377 | 4.686 |
The share of consumed electricity from renewable energy sources in the electricity–energy balance (%) | REN_U_Ei,t | 24.912 | 18.572 |
Share of energy consumed for heating and cooling from renewable energy sources in the energy balance of heating and cooling (%) | REN_U_HCi,t | 24.301 | 15.712 |
Share of power generation capacity from hydro energy sources in total capacity (%) | REN_P_Hi,t | 24.443 | 22.564 |
Share of energy generation capacity from geothermal, wind, solar, tidal/wave energy sources in total capacity (%) | REN_P_GWSOi,t | 10.44 | 11.774 |
Full Variable Name | Abbreviation | (1) | (2) | (3) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Constant | 0.2970 *** | 0.2930 *** | 0.3049 *** | |
(0.02481) | (0.02727) | (0.02489) | ||
Logarithm of real (at 2010 prices) initial GDP per capita (EUR) | −0.02984 *** | −0.02888 *** | −0.03139 *** | |
(0.001987) | (0.002214) | (0.002053) | ||
Total investment in R&D (% of GDP) | 0.003713 ** | 0.001901 | 0.003072 * | |
(0.001528) | (0.001692) | (0.001539) | ||
Share of population aged 15–64 with higher (ISCED 5–8) education (%) | 0.0004361 *** | 0.0002834 ** | 0.0004667 *** | |
(0.0001304) | (0.0001377) | (0.0001359) | ||
Inflation (calculated as the average annual change in the harmonized consumer price index) | 0.09556 | −0.01850 | 0.05974 | |
(0.06947) | (0.08280) | (0.07046) | ||
Central government final consumption expenditure (% of GDP) | −0.0005583 * | −0.001039 *** | −0.0003398 | |
(0.0003018) | (0.0003072) | (0.0003128) | ||
Gross capital formation costs (% of GDP) | 0.0005197 | 0.0007435 | 0.0005880 | |
(0.0009395) | (0.0008921) | (0.0009407) | ||
−1.623e-05 | −1.907e-05 | −1.816e-05 | ||
(1.842e-05) | (1.746e-05) | (1.842e-05) | ||
Ratio of the amount of import and export of goods and services to GDP (% of GDP) | TRi,t | 5.888e-05 *** | 2.908e-05 * | 6.942e-05 *** |
(1.495e-05) | (1.667e-05) | (1.542e-05) | ||
Corruption control level (index) | 0.006682 *** | 0.01036 *** | 0.007491 *** | |
(0.002322) | (0.002392) | (0.002335) | ||
Change in the employment rate (calculated as the change in the average annual number of employed persons) | 0.4418 *** | 0.5163 *** | 0.4348 *** | |
(0.06033) | (0.06787) | (0.06111) | ||
Share of consumed energy from renewable energy sources in the energy balance (%) | REN_Ui,t | 8.758e-06 | ||
(8.145e-05) | ||||
Share of power generation capacity from renewable energy sources in total capacity (%) | REN_Pi,t | 7.627e-05 ** | ||
(3.291e-05) | ||||
Number of observations | n | 421 | 351 | 417 |
Adjusted coefficient of determination | 0.6942 | 0.6658 | 0.7000 | |
Fisher’s (F) test H0: p-value | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | |
Breusch–Pagan (BP1) test H0: p-value | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | |
Hausman test H0: AMKM estimates are matched p-value | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | |
Durbin–Wu–Hausman test H0: model-independent variables are exogenous p-value | 0.13135 | 0.11719 | 0.12658 | |
Ramsey RESET test H0: relationships between dependent variable and independent variables are linear p-value | 0.10735 | 0.14486 | 0.13986 | |
Wooldridge test H0: no first-order autocorrelation p-value | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | |
Breusch–Pagan (BP2) test H0: spread of errors is homoscedastic p-value | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | |
Pesaran CD test H0: between-group variance not different from zero p-value | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 |
Full Variable Name | Abbreviation | (1) | (2) |
---|---|---|---|
Number of observations | n | 351 | 417 |
Adjusted coefficient of determination | 0.656211 | 0.692123 | |
Fisher’s (F) test H0: p-value | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | |
Breusch–Pagan (BP1) test H0: p-value | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | |
Hausman test H0: AMKM estimates are matched p-value | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | |
Durbin–Wu–Hausman test H0: model independent variables are exogenous p-values | 0.12675 | 0.13273 | |
Ramsey RESET test H0: relationships between dependent variable and independent variables are linear p-values | 0.12497 | 0.06629 | |
Wooldridge test H0: no first-order autocorrelation p-value | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | |
Breusch–Pagan (BP2) test H0: spread of errors is homoscedastic p-value | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | |
Pesaran CD test H0: between-group variance not different from zero p-value | <0.0001 | <0.0001 |
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Dirma, V.; Neverauskienė, L.O.; Tvaronavičienė, M.; Danilevičienė, I.; Tamošiūnienė, R. The Impact of Renewable Energy Development on Economic Growth. Energies 2024, 17, 6328. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17246328
Dirma V, Neverauskienė LO, Tvaronavičienė M, Danilevičienė I, Tamošiūnienė R. The Impact of Renewable Energy Development on Economic Growth. Energies. 2024; 17(24):6328. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17246328
Chicago/Turabian StyleDirma, Virgilijus, Laima Okunevičiūtė Neverauskienė, Manuela Tvaronavičienė, Irena Danilevičienė, and Rima Tamošiūnienė. 2024. "The Impact of Renewable Energy Development on Economic Growth" Energies 17, no. 24: 6328. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17246328
APA StyleDirma, V., Neverauskienė, L. O., Tvaronavičienė, M., Danilevičienė, I., & Tamošiūnienė, R. (2024). The Impact of Renewable Energy Development on Economic Growth. Energies, 17(24), 6328. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17246328