1. Introduction
With the increasing penetration of renewable DGs, traditional distribution networks are transitioning towards ADNs [
1,
2]. The increasingly complex structure and functional requirements of ADNs pose higher demands on SE [
3,
4,
5]. SE involves collecting and processing measurement data to estimate state parameters such as voltage and current at various nodes in ADNs. This process provides essential state information for the operation and control of ADNs. Therefore, ensuring a high-accuracy SE in ADNs is of great significance.
Many studies improve SE accuracy by enhancing the accuracy of measurement data and optimizing SE methods or models. To improve the accuracy of measurement data, high-precision pseudo-measurements can be used to replace the bad data in the measurement, thereby processing the bad data and enhancing the SE accuracy. In the existing research on pseudo-measurement, pseudo-measurement is mainly generated through methods based on linear interpolation [
6,
7,
8] and ANN approaches [
9,
10], thereby improving the SE accuracy. Ref. [
6] proposes an adaptive interpolation strategy to enhance the accuracy of generator SEs. Refs. [
7,
8] consider the synchronous characteristics of linear interpolation and use average interpolation to supplement pseudo-measurements. Refs. [
9,
10] use ANNs to obtain pseudo-measurements, thereby improving SE accuracy. To optimize SE methods or models, WLS-based SE [
11,
12,
13,
14] is widely applied, with many studies focusing on its improvement. Refs. [
15,
16] propose enhanced WLS that transform measurement data into equivalent current measurement matrices to improve accuracy. Ref. [
17] introduces an improved WLS that dynamically tracks changes in measurement data to reduce SE errors. Ref. [
18] optimizes SE by combining branch current and branch power methods, achieving high-precision estimation. Ref. [
19] addresses ill-conditioning issues in polar-coordinate SE by representing the Jacobian matrix of the iteration process in Cartesian coordinates. Ref. [
20] simplifies measurement equations, avoiding the propagation of measurement errors without increasing redundant measurements. However, when the measurement contains bad data (the measurement deviation is greater than three times the normal measurement standard deviation) [
21], since the WLS method does not have SE robustness, the SE accuracy would be reduced due to the bad data. Therefore, to improve the robustness of the SE model to bad data, robust estimations have been proposed. In the existing studies on robust estimation, robust SE is mainly achieved through methods based on WLAV and its related improvements [
22,
23,
24,
25,
26]. Refs. [
22,
23] propose a WLAV method to address the residual amplification problem caused by the weighted sum of squares. Ref. [
24] proposes a WLAV robust SE method based on the multi-prediction correction inlier approach, reducing the number of iterations. Ref. [
25] presents an adaptive WLAV robust SE method to ensure estimation accuracy. Ref. [
26] proposes the Huber-M estimation to further improve convergence and robustness through weighting measures. Ref. [
27] proposes an exponential target function estimation that applies to measurements with any probability distribution on SE. Ref. [
28] proposes a robust SE to address the low SE accuracy caused by insufficient measurement fusion and topology changes.
However, the above methods still face critical issues when used for SE in ADNs with renewable DGs:
(1) The power fluctuation in renewable DGs and complex variations of loads pose challenges for measurement equipment to track and accurately record ADNs’ real-time data, thus impacting the measurement. Also, SE is closely related to measurement accuracy. Bad data in measurements caused by measurement equipment faults or communication noises [
29,
30] deteriorate measurement accuracy, which may greatly increase SE error and make it difficult to enhance traditional SE methods’ accuracy;
(2) When the ADN topology changes, bad topology parameters may occur due to the delay and loss of topology data [
31]. This causes errors in the calculation of the Jacobian matrix, leading to increased SE errors, especially when using mainstream SE methods that rely on accurate topology parameters.
To address these issues, this paper proposes a robust SE method that considers bad data.
Table 1 provides a comparison with existing studies. The contributions of the paper are as follows.
(1) To tackle the measurement and SE accuracy decline caused by bad measurement data generated due to measurement faults and communication noises, this paper proposes a bad measurement data-processing model. The proposed model utilizes adaptive learning from historical data sequences to generate pseudo-measurements for replacing bad measurements. Compared with the mainstream model, the model still has strong robustness when the measurements contain different proportions of bad data corruption, and it improves the SE accuracy by generating high-precision pseudo-measurements;
(2) The proposed robust estimation model uses a neural network that requires no topology information input compared to mainstream models, and it overcomes the SE accuracy degradation in mainstream models due to wrong topology parameters and bad measurement input. It introduces measurement redundancy in linear estimation, which ensures ADNs’ SE accuracy under conditions involving wrong topology parameters and different bad measurement proportions compared to mainstream methods;
(3) The proposed robust estimation model relies on the parallel computing characteristics of neural networks rather than the Jacobian matrix iteration in the SE model. Thus, it has faster computational efficiency than mainstream methods.
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows:
Section 2 introduces the principles of SE;
Section 3,
Section 4 and
Section 5 discuss the overall framework of the proposed method, the bad measurement data-processing model, and the robust SE model, respectively;
Section 6 verifies the proposed method in simulation; and finally,
Section 7 concludes the paper.
3. The Overall Framework of State Estimation Considering Bad Data
This section presents the overall framework of the proposed robust state estimation method considering bad data. Based on this framework, the bad measurement data-processing model in
Section 4 and the robust estimation model in
Section 5 are proposed, respectively. The overall SE framework is shown in
Figure 1, which includes bad measurement data processing, robust model design, and robust model estimation.
First, before model estimation, bad measurement data processing is needed to address the issue of increased SE errors caused by decreased measurement accuracy. The bad measurement data processing is as follows. (1) Based on actual load data, obtain the load data by incorporating load fluctuation factors. Then, calculate the true power flow values, and add Gaussian noise to generate the measurement dataset containing bad measurement data. (2) Construct the pseudo-measurement network for replacing bad measurement data, which is composed of the GRU. The network takes historical measurement data as an input and outputs the predicted measurement values. (3) Use the generated pseudo-measurements to replace the bad measurement data.
Second, after bad measurement data processing, robust model design is used to address the decreased SE accuracy issue caused by incorrect topology parameters. The design process is as follows. (1) Design the pre-estimation network. The network input consists of the measurement data at the estimation time, and the outputs are the estimated values of the node voltage magnitude and phase angle. (2) Train the network using the generated dataset.
Finally, after bad measurement data processing and model training, model estimation is used to obtain the final estimation results. The model estimation process is as follows. (1) Feed the measurement data into the DSENN. (2) Based on the input of μPMU measurement and the SE values from DSENN, linear SE is used to obtain the final SE results.
7. Conclusions
Aiming to effectively address the decreased SE accuracy and long computation time caused by bad data, this paper proposes a robust SE method that considers bad data in measurements and topology parameters. The following conclusions are drawn from the proposed method:
(1) Reducing the impact of bad data on measurements and SE accuracy: The bad measurement data-processing model adaptively learns historical data sequences and has good robustness. It can generate high-precision pseudo-measurements under different proportions of bad data and different topologies, thereby improving the measurement and SE accuracy of ADNs;
(2) Strong estimation robustness and computational efficiency: The proposed robust SE model exhibits higher estimation accuracy and computational efficiency compared to traditional methods. The proposed model enhances estimation accuracy through pre-estimation and linear estimation, ensuring SE robustness in situations with bad data in measurements and topology parameters.
Future research directions include considering the interpretability and measurement correlation in the SE model, which can further enhance SE accuracy.