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Article

Predicting High-Strength Concrete’s Compressive Strength: A Comparative Study of Artificial Neural Networks, Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System, and Response Surface Methodology

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School of Civil Engineering, Changsha University of Science & Technology, Changsha 410000, Hunan, China
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Qionghai Construction Engineering Quality and Safety Supervision Station, Qionghai 571442, Hainan, China
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China Construction Fifth Engineering Division Corp., Ltd., Changsha 410000, China
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Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Hafr Al Batin, Hafr Al Batin 39524, Saudi Arabia
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Department of Civil Engineering, Jubail Industrial College, Royal Commission of Jubail, Jubail Industrial City 31961, Saudi Arabia
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Department of Electrical Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Hafr Al Batin, Hafr Al Batin 39524, Saudi Arabia
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School of Civil Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China
*
Authors to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Materials 2024, 17(18), 4533; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma17184533
Submission received: 24 July 2024 / Revised: 16 August 2024 / Accepted: 16 August 2024 / Published: 15 September 2024

Abstract

:
Machine learning and response surface methods for predicting the compressive strength of high-strength concrete have not been adequately compared. Therefore, this research aimed to predict the compressive strength of high-strength concrete (HSC) using different methods. To achieve this purpose, neuro-fuzzy inference systems (ANFISs), artificial neural networks (ANNs), and response surface methodology (RSM) were used as ensemble methods. Using an ANN and ANFIS, high-strength concrete (HSC) output was modeled and optimized as a function of five independent variables. The RSM was designed with three input variables: cement, and fine and coarse aggregate. To facilitate data entry into Design Expert, the RSM model was divided into six groups, with p-values of responses 1 to 6 of 0.027, 0.010, 0.003, 0.023, 0.002, and 0.026. The following metrics were used to evaluate model compressive strength projection: R, R2, and MSE for ANN and ANFIS modeling; R2, Adj. R2, and Pred. R2 for RSM modeling. Based on the data, it can be concluded that the ANN model (R = 0.999, R2 = 0.998, and MSE = 0.417), RSM model (R = 0.981 and R2 = 0.963), and ANFIS model (R = 0.962, R2 = 0.926, and MSE = 0.655) have a good chance of accurately predicting the compressive strength of high-strength concrete (HSC). Furthermore, there is a strong correlation between the ANN, RSM, and ANFIS models and the experimental data. Nevertheless, the artificial neural network model demonstrates exceptional accuracy. The sensitivity analysis of the ANN model shows that cement and fine aggregate have the most significant effect on predicting compressive strength (45.29% and 35.87%, respectively), while superplasticizer has the least effect (0.227%). RSME values for cement and fine aggregate in the ANFIS model were 0.313 and 0.453 during the test process and 0.733 and 0.563 during the training process. Thus, it was found that both ANN and RSM models presented better results with higher accuracy and can be used for predicting the compressive strength of construction materials.

1. Introduction

Long-span bridges, high-rise structures, and other specialist projects frequently utilize high-strength concrete (HSC), which is characterized by high density, low porosity, and high compressive strength (CS) [1]. Compact density, low permeability, remarkable mechanical strength, and significant durability are all exhibited by the HSC composite. It also exceeds traditional concrete in terms of performance and homogeneity standards [2]. High-rise structures, on the other hand, can benefit from HSC since it allows for bigger column spacing and more floor area to be achieved without taking away from lower levels [3]. Various researchers have examined the performance of connectors, including their shear resistance and ductility when they are integrated into the HSC [4]. An analysis was conducted to examine the overall performance of HSC beams, focusing on factors such as mid-span deflection, failure mechanism, and crack propagation [5]. Along with several cutting-edge technologies, like 3D printing and building information modeling, HSC can also be used as the primary building material [6]. Solid waste elements like waste glass and reclaimed aggregate can also be used in HSC to offset waste deficiencies [7]. As a result, the combination of HSC and solid wastes offers the advantages of increased strength and prospective sustainability [8]. HSC has a significant carbon footprint since it contains 400–700 kg/m3 of Portland cement. Cement clinker production uses 10 MJ of energy and releases 1.2 tons of CO2 [9]. Traditional evaluation methods like nonlinear regression and linear regression have predicted the compressive strength of the HSC composite. Even with simple regression models, reliable predictions are difficult; therefore, advanced methods are in demand [10].
The independent–dependent relationship for mechanical properties can be predicted in several ways [11]. RSM and ANN are two prominent approaches to showing interrelationships [12]. RSM (response surface methodology) and ANN (artificial neural network) approaches are commonly employed for predicting and simulating the properties of concrete materials [13]. Many recent studies have shown that an ANN can solve engineering problems. However, data for forecasting concrete compressive strength is sometimes complex or insufficient [14]. The compressive strength of self-compacting concrete (SCC) including bottom ash was predicted by Siddique et al. [15] using artificial neural networks. Artificial neural network (ANN) models are gradually replacing classic linear models for forecasting concrete properties [16]. ANN models have been utilized in numerous studies to simulate systems that replace sand with fly ash [17,18], silica fume [19,20], metakaolin, and blast furnace slag [20]. Support vector machines (SVM) [17], back-propagation neural networks (BPNNs) [21], genetic programming (GEP) [20], multi-layer perceptron neural networks (MLP-ANN) [22], and artificial neural networks with genetic algorithms (GA-ANN) [19] are just a few of the many other architectures that have also been studied. ANN outperformed XGBoost in recognizing waste marble powder (WMP) content. The XGBoost and ANN models optimized concrete WMP dosages [23]. A lengthy experiment examined whether waste quartz mineral dust (WQMD) [24], supplementary cementitious material (SCM), and waste sawdust (WS) [25] could produce high-efficiency lightweight concrete without cement.
Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems and artificial neural networks (ANNs) are two examples of how computer technology has made it possible to tackle engineering problems more accurately and effectively [26]. The ANFIS is built upon the Takagi–Sugeno fuzzy inference system, which combines fuzzy logic and neural networks [27]. Lab testing and intricate analysis are not necessary for forecasting when using soft computing techniques like ANN and ANFIS [28]. To forecast FRP sheet–concrete bond strength under direct tension, Ref. [29] created a hybrid model employing the ant colony optimization (ACO) algorithm and fuzzy c-means (FCM) clustering method and integrated it into the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). The compressive strength of brick–mortar masonry was studied by Mishra et al. [30] using ANN and ANFIS. The association between concrete strength and mixing percentage was examined using ANFIS [31].
Response surface methodology (RSM) is a useful statistical analysis technique that is especially beneficial for experimental research. Using a restricted number of trials enables researchers to investigate the mathematical relationship between input and output variables [32]. The response surface methodology (RSM), a collection of statistical and mathematical tools, is valuable and effective in modeling and evaluating experimental issues [33]. The RSM was used to optimize concrete made with crumb rubber (CR) fine aggregate and metakaolin (MK) cement replacement. Compressive strength was negatively affected by CR [34]. Using response surface methodology (RSM), Ref. [35] evaluated how the self-compacting concrete (SCC) mix parameter affected slump flow, filling capacity, V-funnel flow duration, and compressive strength of fresh and hardened characteristics. RSM was used in fly ash and metakaolin high-performance concrete to increase compressive strength and reduce water sorptivity, water absorption, and chloride permeability [36]. Response surface methodology (RSM) predicts desired concrete qualities. Using mathematical and statistical models and analysis of variance (ANOVA) statistics to assess how a factor impacts observed responses, the best key component mix was identified [37]. Using palm oil clinker (POC) and nano palm oil fuel ash (POFA), the RSM improved lightweight concrete. POC decreased tensile, flexure, and ultrasonic pulse velocity (UPV) with nano palm oil ash [38]. Hacene [39] used RSM and ANN to estimate concrete compressive strength probabilistically and found that RSM or ANN modeling is practicable and promising depending on its objectives.

2. Research Significance

Much of the previous literature emphasized numerous methods for forecasting the compressive strength (CS) of high-strength concrete (HSC). Still, it became clear to us that there is a deficiency in comparing machine learning and non-machine learning methods such as RSM, ANN, and ANFIS. This study employs ANN, RSM, and ANFIS to predict the compressive strength and to analyze the sensitivity ranking of various affecting factors on high-strength concrete (HSC) outcomes. The Levenberg–Marquardt approach was used by ANN, whilst central composite design (CCD) was used by RSM, in the comparison between ANN, AFNIS, and RSM. This study’s final goal is sensitivity analysis for the ANN and AFNIS models. This groundbreaking work provides a new way to estimate the mechanical strength of HSC for use in sophisticated engineering applications.

3. Experimental Dataset

To construct the prediction model, a substantial quantity of empirical data on the compressive strength of concrete is necessary. For this reason, we have compiled a list of 324 concrete compressive strength tests from published research [40,41]. The five components of the tested concrete are fine aggregate (FA), ordinary Portland cement (OPC), superplasticizer (SP), water, and coarse aggregate (CA). There are six parameters in all the experimental datasets. The experimental parameters are listed in Table 1 together with their name, unit, mean, standard deviation (SD), and lowest and maximum values. Furthermore, Figure 1 plots the statistical distribution of the relevant parameters, which enables us to observe the parameters directly.
The input and output variables must be identified before the learning process begins. Concrete’s ultimate compressive strength is influenced by its constituents. As a result, Table 1 displays the total number of input variables (X1, X2, …, X5) and output variables (Y) considered in this study.

Dataset Sensitivity Analysis and Statistical Description

The dataset, which consisted of 324 data samples, was analyzed in this section to develop and test the proposed ANN, RSM, and ANFIS models in this study. Conditions include fine aggregate (FA), ordinary Portland cement (OPC), superplasticizer (SP), water, and coarse aggregate (CA). The model targets concrete compressive strength (MPa). Various configurations of experimental variables were taken into consideration. Supplementary Table S1 presents the results of the various experimental circumstances. Table 1 presents a descriptive statistical analysis of the laboratory-generated dataset to provide information. A variety of standard deviations is shown by the data in Table 1, which in turn aids in the construction of more comprehensive models. The input and target variables’ histogram are displayed in Figure 1. Using Pearson’s linear correlation, we also examine the linear correlation coefficients and their significance levels among the data factors [42]. Figure 2 shows several variable correlations. Linear correlation analysis is often used to discover input variables for modeling the final output, especially if numerous variables are unrelated to the target. Our experiment produced correlation coefficients for the five input variables and targets. The multicollinearity problem occurs when independent variables are highly correlated, resulting in incorrect machine learning model interpretation results [43]. The parameters due to their sensitivity, model parameters can cause large discrepancies between observed and predicted results [44]. Thus, predicted parameters must be precise to predict simulated values. Discovering sensitive factors is a crucial challenge for any statistical investigation. Evaluate sensitively Models created using various technologies were evaluated using statistical markers including R2, R, RMSE, and MAE [45]. The validation and testing of models differ slightly, but new machine learning techniques must estimate them to fully comprehend them. The model’s performance and dependability were assessed using four important parameters [46]. The various performance ratings and their corresponding ranks, which are generally used for purposes of assessment [47]. The following relationship Equation (5) shows how input variables affect procedure outcomes:
R = 1 [ i = 1 N O i I i 2 i = 1 N O i P ¯ 2 ]
R 2 = 1 [ i = 1 N O i P i 2 i = 1 N O i P ¯ 2 ]
R M S E = i = 1 N O i P i 2 N
The equation represents the relationship between the observed value (Oi), the expected value (Pi), the total number of observed samples (N), and the average of the forecasted value (Pi).
S A = f m a x x i f m i n x i i n f m a x x i f m i n x i 100
where fmax (Xi) represents the highest estimated value, fmin (Xi) represents the lowest, and SA represents the sensitivity analysis.

4. Methodology

Parametric research on crucial parameters; ANN, RSM, and ANFIS architecture design; and dataset selection are all steps in the process of this study [23,48,49,50,51]. The prediction model was constructed by establishing input-target variable correlations using artificial neural fitting in MATLAB [52], central composite design in Design Expert [32], and a neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) [53]. Utilization of datasets from the literature ensured model reliability. The performance of the prediction model was evaluated using R, R2, MSE, and RMSE [54]. A wide range of precision of models and forecasting capacity measures were applied. A comprehensive parametric study examined input parameters and concrete compressive strength prediction.

4.1. Details of Response Surface Methodology (RSM)

The data (324 samples) was divided into 6 groups to facilitate data entry into Design Expert. Central composite design (CCD) was used to developed the groups [49,55]. Using three-dimensional and contour forms, this method shows the influence of three input factors on the response. Predicting any result within the variable’s changing range is made easier by these forms [56]. This method involves first identifying the essential variables, after which the implications of the variable are modeled and analyzed using statistical and mathematical tools [57]. Each numerical element is systematically manipulated over three (3) different levels. For axial/star points, they are as follows: +1 for high level, −1 for low level, +/−Alpha (+α), minus Alpha (−α), and the center point (mid-level) as shown in Figure 3.
The cement content, fine aggregate, and coarse aggregate are the three parameters—also referred to as independent variables—that are taken into account in the design. In coding terms, A, B, and C are independent variables, and R1–R6 are dependent variables. The variable was coded using Equation (5).
V a l u e   i n   c o d e = r c h c
The experiment design specifies that r, c, and h denote the run’s number, factor center point, and factor highest value. Table 2 presents the factors and their respective ranges of variation.

4.2. Details of Artificial Neural Network (ANN)

A computational model that mimics the neural system’s functional properties in the human brain through mathematical and numerical techniques is called an artificial neural network (ANN) [58]. The propagation learning process was carried out using the Levenberg–Marquardt approach with the MLP (multi-layer perceptron) feed-forward artificial neural network [59]. Output layers output signals, whereas input layers take input variables. This is the basic neural network architecture. In Figure 4, the input layer has five neurons representing the ANN with three independent variables, the hidden layer is the second, and the output layer is the ANN response.
Hidden layers are sometimes defined as the layers that sit between the input and output layers. Selecting a hidden layer is important because too many hidden layers cause the model to overfit, while too few hidden layers cause the model to underfit [61]. Table 1 describes the statistical features of the data. The input data were divided into three random categories: 70% for training samples (226 samples), 15% for validation (49 samples), and 15% for testing (49 samples). To avoid ANN low-learning-rate issues, we normalized the subject parameter values between suitable upper and lower limits. Equations (6) and (7) standardize min–max normalization for [−1, 1] upper and lower limit values [62].
D a t a   S t a n d a r d i z a t i o n = x μ σ
N o r m a l i z a t i o n   d a t a = F e a t u r e F e a t u r e m i n   F e a t u r e m a x F e a t u r e m i n

4.3. Details of Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)

The adaptive network framework of the adaptive neural network (ANFIS), a soft computing approach, combines ANN rules with fuzzy logic (FL) theories to construct a logical relationship between inputs and outputs [63]. The parameters are determined using an optimization technique during the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) training process. Hybrid and backpropagation algorithms are the two main methods of optimization [64]. The gradient descent is the only method used in the backpropagation method to evaluate all parameters. The hybrid training method, on the other hand, suggests parameters by combining the gradient descent (GD) and least square estimation (LSE) techniques [65]. The five layers of the ANFIS process are the rule, fuzzification, normalization, defuzzification, and summation layers. Adaptive nodes, which might depict a square for variables that are changeable or a circle for variables that are not, are unique to each layer, as seen in Figure 5. The optimal ANFIS architecture was determined using a trial-and-error approach [66]. Figure 6 shows the flow chart of our methodology.

5. Results and Discussion

5.1. Artificial Neural Network (ANN)

This study involved the construction of an artificial neural network (ANN) to accurately forecast the compressive strength of conventional concrete [50]. The sample was divided into three parts for modeling: 70% was utilized for training, 15% for validation, and the remaining 15% for testing [60]. To mitigate the issue of overfitting, it was shown that enhancements in accuracy on the training dataset were in line with enhancements in accuracy on the validation dataset [67]. To assess the accuracy of the current models, the coefficient of determination (R2) was employed. Higher R2 and a reduced mean square error (MSE) indicate that the model forecasts the compressive strength of concrete with accuracy [68]. Based on the analysis using the ANN technique, Figure 6 displays the R correlation coefficient for training, validation, testing, and cumulative for compressive strength. As shown in Figure 7, the R correlation coefficients of training, validation, testing, and cumulative were 0.997, 0.996, 0.995, and 0.998. In every case where the R-value is higher than 0.9, a strong correlation between the actual and anticipated results is observed [69]. The input variables showed a nonlinear correlation with the model compressive strength prediction. The determination coefficient, R2, is 0.998. Figure 8 displays the network’s optimal validation performance and compressive strength MSE. As demonstrated in Figure 8, it was found that the MSE for the tested scenario in the training and validation datasets saturates with increasing epochs [62]. The 11th iteration of the training process marked the end of the process; however, it is important to remember that at this time, the error was higher than it had been in the fifth iteration for both the validation and testing data. According to this finding, the model may have begun to overfit the training set at iteration 5, as its performance did not improve beyond that point. This means the best time to discontinue using this model is after the fifth iteration. The model reached a minimal MSE of 0.416 at iteration 5. Lower MSE values, when the MSE value is 0, indicate superior performance and a lack of error. Figure 9 displays the ANN model’s training state and details the test termination at epoch 11 and the six-time error repeat after epoch 0. The weights from the first epoch, 0, are taken as the final weights and are considered as the reference point. Since the errors are repeated six times before the procedure is terminated, the validation check is equal to 6. MSE values and R for the compressive strength are shown in Table 3.
The essential components of Figure 10 are training targets, training outputs, validation targets, validation outputs, test targets, test outputs, errors, and responds. The ability of MATLAB models to understand the link between the input and output parameters and to generalize is demonstrated by the tight match between the output values and target values, as shown in Figure 9. As shown in Figure 10, it is clear that the predicted results are very close to the laboratory results.
Figure 11 shows error bin distribution to show the difference between actual and expected values. The substantial fraction of the dataset in smaller error bins implies the model’s concrete compressive strength estimates are correct. Based on a comparison of weight vector values for each variable in each map unit, the component planes of the five input variables, as shown in Figure 12, provided excellent assistance in interpreting the clusters obtained. Figure 12 showed low concentrations of water and superplasticizer. However, the main characteristic of these samples showed the highest levels of cement and fine and coarse aggregate. The effectiveness of the ANN model was tested using experimental results. Comparisons included sample size, input, output, and R2 value [70]. Table 4 shows that most researchers utilized similar input factors in this investigation. Data availability and variable significance have led some researchers to employ fewer input variables. Table 4 shows R2 values from 0.67 to 0.994 from the literature. In this analysis, the ANN model had a good R2 value of 0.998, near to the literature values. Compared to earlier models, this shows that the designed model operates at a high degree of accuracy. One difference between this study and others is sample size.

5.2. Response Surface Methodology (RSM)

Concrete’s mechanical and durability characteristics were predicted, and the process variables’ impact was assessed using central composite design (CCD) [48]. Using cement, fine aggregate, and coarse aggregate as variables, the CCD model was utilized in this study to analyze six responses in compressive strength [82]. Twenty experimental points, or runs, are proposed for each of the three numerical factors: six factorial points without replication, eight axial points without replication, and one center point with eight replications, resulting in ten runs [83]. The lack-of-fit analysis, coefficient of determination, and F-value are components of an ANOVA [84]. The coefficient of determination (R2), which possesses three properties—anticipated, adjusted, and R2—expresses the extent of variation between the experimental and predicted values [37]. Figure 13, Figure 14, Figure 15, Figure 16, Figure 17 and Figure 18 show the compressive strength from responses 1 to 6 in several types, including a 3D view, contour graph, and perturbation. Table 5 shows the ANOVA results for the parameters of the CS of HSC. Compressive strength was mathematically predicted from responses 1 through 6 using the equations derived from Equations (8)–(13).
C.S for response 1 = 72.05 + 1.44 C + 0.21 F.A + 0.09 C.A + 0.087 C ∗ F.A + 1.09 C ∗ C.A + 0.912 F.A ∗ C.A − 1.63C2 − 2.38 F.A2 − 1.98 C.A2
C.S for response 2 = 60.55 + 0.69 C + 0.05 F.A − 0.01 C.A − 0.112 C ∗ F.A + 0.137 C ∗ C.A − 0.1375 F.A ∗ C.A − 1.48C2 − 1.08 F.A2 + 1.12 C.A2
C.S for response 3 = 56.10 − 5.08 C + 0.69 F.A − 0.73 C.A
C.S for response 4 = 45.76 − 0.93 C + 0.19 F.A + 0.03 C.A − 0.3 C ∗ F.A − 0.125 C ∗ C.A − 0.275 F.A ∗ C.A + 0.08045 C2 − 0.595 F.A2 + 0.504 C.A2
C.S for response 5 = 44.81 − 0.64 C − 0.06 F.A + 0.4 C.A − 0.2 C ∗ F.A + 0.775 C ∗ C.A − 0.325 F.A ∗ C.A + 1.73 C2 + 0.172 F.A2 − 0.327 C.A2
C.S for response 6 = 38.89 − 0.2 C − 0.19 F.A − 0.33 C.A − 0.187 C ∗ F.A + 0.363 C ∗ C.A + 0.6875 F.A ∗ C.A + 1.35C2 − 0.2 F.A2 − 0.2 C.A2
For given levels of each element, the coded equation can predict the reaction. High factor levels are +1 and low levels are −1 by default. Comparing factor coefficients with the coded equation assists in assessing variable influence [85]. p-values of responses 1 to 6 were 0.028, 0.01, 0.003, 0.023, 0.002, and 0.026 are less than 0.05, indicating that the model is highly significant [86].
The model F-value for six responses was 1.48, 4.92, 6.96, 3.88, 7.94, and 3.37, which implies the model is not significant relative to the noise. As shown in Figure 13, Figure 14, Figure 16, Figure 17, and Figure 18a, the process order was quadratic while the process order in Figure 15a was linear. As shown in Figure 13, Figure 14, Figure 15, Figure 16, Figure 17 and Figure 18b, the maximum predicted compressive strength for six responses was 73.6, 61.4, 65.2, 48.1, 45, and 41.3 MPa, while the minimum predicted compressive strength was 62.1, 57.6, 45.9, 44.2, 40.6, and 37.6 MP. As shown in Figure 13a,b the predicted compressive strength increased by 2.56%, 3.96%, 4.21%, and 3.13% for 608 kg/m3 of fine aggregate while the increase in compressive strength was 2.36%, 3.94%, 4.27%, and 3.30% for 706.5 kg/m3 at cement content 462, 497, 532, and 567 kg/m3, respectively. This increase in compressive strength is a result of the high cement content contributing to the formation of dense C-S-H, which provides a dense microstructure [87]. RSM perturbation plots highlighted significant parameters by showing variations in factor response when each factor moved from the reference point, the zero-coded level of each factor, with all other factors held constant at the reference value [88]. The compressive strength (CS) perturbation plot in Figure 13c revealed that cement, fine aggregate, and coarse aggregate have a similar effect on the compressive strength. It was also revealed that the compressive strength decreases slightly with the increase in the proportion of fine and coarse aggregate. As shown in Figure 14a,b the predicted compressive strength was 59.56, 60.26, 60.61, 60.56, 60.13, and 59.60 MPa at cement content 506.4 kg/m3 for fine aggregate 552, 615, 678, 741, 804, and 867 kg/m3. Reducing water content also contributed to the effect on compressive strength with a positive impact [88]. According to the perturbation plot in Figure 14c, cement (A) and fine aggregate (B) have the highest compressive strength (CS) near the reference point (middle region), while coarse aggregate decreases compressive strength. As shown in Figure 15a,b, the predicted compressive strength decreased by 2.94%, 6.77%, 9.95%, 13.16%, and 16.41% for 704 kg/m3 of fine aggregate at cement content 414, 439, 464, 489, and 514 kg/m3, respectively. The perturbation plot in Figure 15c revealed that the increase in cement content led to decreased compressive strength. At the same time, the influence of fine aggregate (B) and coarse aggregate (c) on compressive strength was observed to be negligible. The modeling of responses 4 and 6 revealed a correspondence in the behavior of the variables in terms of compressive strength, as shown in Figure 16 and Figure 18a,b and perturbation plot Figure 16 and Figure 18c, which is due to the convergence of the variables’ values. As shown in Figure 17a,b the predicted compressive strength was 43.78, 44.68, 44.84, 44.06, and 42.53 MPa at fine aggregate 870.5 kg/m3 for cement content 284, 307.5, 331, 354.5, and 378 kg/m3. In Figure 17c, the perturbation plot demonstrated that the amount of cement enhanced compressive strength. Meanwhile, fine aggregate (B) and coarse aggregate (c) had little effect on compressive strength. Table 6 illustrates the efficiency of the RSM model in prediction by comparing its development with previous studies.

5.3. Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)

The fuzzy inference system in the current work is created using the subtraction clustering technique [98]. The type and quantity of membership functions are chosen solely by the hybrid learning strategy, which employs gradient descent and the least-squares method to find a workable set of antecedent and subsequent parameters [99]. The ANFIS model in the current prediction study was developed using the quick learning technique, in conjunction with the Fuzzy Logic Toolbox and MATLAB [26]. The optimum ANFIS architecture was determined using a trial-and-error approach. To minimize inaccuracy, 16 epochs were used during training. The model’s training results reveal the lowest error after 3 epochs and probable convergence after 16 epochs. Figure 19 shows the expected and experimental values of compressive strength. The 324 testing data points have a 0.925 percent correlation. Training error size-wise, expected, and experimental values are near. The research shows that most test results match expected values.

5.4. Analysis of ANN and ANFIS Model Sensitivity

The impact of the input variables on the output variables of the dataset was evaluated using sensitivity analysis (SA). Quantifying the relationship between uncertainty in a model’s inputs and outputs can be achieved using several techniques provided by SA [75]. The SA normally evaluates how sensitive the model is to parameter and data uncertainty. Input variables affect output variables more with higher SA values [100]. SA linked ML model outcomes to input variable count and dataset. As illustrated in Figure 20, the correlation coefficients of all input variable combinations were determined to eliminate multicollinearity. As the cement content and fine aggregate are increased, the concrete compression strength increases, as shown in Figure 20, and OPC showed a greater correlation coefficient than the other variables. The correlation coefficients of CA, water, OPC, FA, and SP were −0.31, −0.72, −0.45, −0.093, and −0.59, respectively. These parameters significantly decreased the compressive strength of the concrete, with cement being the most significant factor. The models utilize two scenarios since the ANN, RSM, and ANFIS models will include/exclude various independent variables because of the significant correlation between “fine aggregate” and “coarse aggregate” [92]. Figure 21 illustrates how input parameters affect the estimate of the ANN’s compression strength. sensitivity analysis revealed that the OPC, which accounted for 45.29% of the total impact, was the most important component [100]. The fine aggregate came in second at 35.87%, and the coarse aggregate at 15.35%. These results agree with the findings of previous research [93].
The influence of additional input parameters on the calculation of concrete’s compressive strength using an artificial neural network (ANN) was shown to be diminished. Concerning the SA results, the following aspects can be concluded. Firstly, most of the variables related to cement and aggregate show a stronger influence on the compressive strength of concrete than that of the variables related to water +SP, as shown in Figure 22. A value of 1 for the R2 coefficient represents the optimal level of fit. The statistical model’s prediction accuracy can be measured using equation for R [44]. A value of R or R2 nearer to 1 implies that the projected value is closer to the experimental value [94].

5.5. Validation and Comparison of RSM, ANN, and ANFIS Models

In recent years, RSM-, ANFIS-, and ANN-based degrees of experimentation have become the most widely used models and process improvement methodologies [79,101]. The predicted data and the mean actual data, shown in Figure 23, were compared to assess the correctness of the created ANN, ANFIS, and RSM models. The correlation between the actual and predicted values was examined to determine how accurate the mathematical models performed. These results demonstrated a significant correlation, which confirmed that the mathematical models correctly anticipated the outcomes [102]. RSM was marginally less accurate than ANN models in predicting responses [50]. To validate the RSM, ANN, and ANFIS models, the determination coefficient (R2) was used to compare actual and anticipated results. As shown in Figure 23a, it is clear that the actual results and the results predicted by ANN are close, but in Figure 23b, it is clear that there is a divergence between the actual and predicted results. This proves the accuracy of the ANN model in predicting the RSM model [50]. From Figure 23a–c, the maximum difference between the actual and predicted results was 2.95, 6.5, and 17.9 MPa, while the minimum difference between the actual and predicted results was 2.48, 5.65, and 8.05 MPa by the ANN, RSM, and ANFIS models, respectively. Using a typical reference dataset, the suggested ANN and ANFIS models predict bond strength compared to other models in the literature [53]. Understanding how bond strength outputs change with a single variable when all others are fixed is helpful. Table 7 displays that the highest R-squared and lowest MSE belong to ANN and ANFIS. The performance evaluation of the produced artificial neural network (ANN), response surface methodology (RSM), and neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) models is presented statistically in Table A1.

6. Discussion

This study aims to improve the accuracy of forecasts for high-strength concrete by utilizing artificial neural network [43], response surface methodology [104], and neuro-fuzzy inference system [26] modeling methodologies. The precise organization of the experimental data facilitated the implementation of ANN, RSM, and ANFIS models. The quantity of datasets has a notable impact on the accuracy of a model [99]. This model comprises a total of 324 data points. The optimum predictor was identified by comparing the accuracy of artificial neural network (ANN), response surface methodology (RSM), and neuro-fuzzy inference system techniques [53,59]. Artificial neural network (ANN) model outperformed the response surface method (RSM) [78] and neuro-fuzzy inference system [26] models in terms of the R2 value, the discrepancy between actual and predicted results, and the accuracy of error estimates. Nevertheless, the results of the RSM model exhibited a high level of concordance with the experimental data [71]. Prior studies have shown that the artificial neural network (ANN) method outperforms other machine learning (ML) techniques in accurately predicting various characteristics [103]. The quantity of inputs and datasets required to run algorithms determines how effective a machine learning (ML) method is, which makes it challenging to identify and recommend the best ML strategy for outcome prediction across a range of scientific domains. Applications of ANN research can be helpful to the construction sector since they can expedite the development of quick and low-cost methods for assessing material properties [105]. From Table 4, it was shown that the ANN model that was developed in this research proved to have a higher prediction efficiency than those in previous research. The high efficiency in prediction is due to many reasons, including that the large number of ANN inputs improves the ability of prediction as it reduces errors in operations [106]. Some research has shown that one of the reasons for increasing the ability to predict results is introducing variables by normalizing parameter values to avoid problems with the low learning rate of ANN [60]. Representation learning, nonlinear modeling, scalability, adaptability, and advances in regularization and ensemble learning enable machine learning (ML) such as artificial neural networks (ANNs) and neuro-fuzzy inference systems (ANFISs) to predict outcomes in a robust way in many applications [12,43]. As shown in Table 4, it turned out that the ANN model in this study achieved the highest prediction rate with an R2 of 0.998 compared to the previous literature [54,107,108]. As can be seen from Table 6, the RSM model constructed for this study outperformed previous research with regard to prediction efficiency. This study achieved a prediction rate R2 of 0.963, which is a high percentage compared to the previous literature [45,59,84]. One of the important reasons for improving the prediction accuracy of the RSM model is choosing the input variables correctly and doing correct modeling [109]. Table 7 shows that the ANFIS model in this study had the greatest prediction rate, with an R2 of 0.926 compared to the previous literature [53,97,101,109]. Different statistical indicators were used to compare the results in pervious study [110]. Table 8 explains the results extracted from the artificial neural network (ANN) and neuro-fuzzy inference system.

7. Limitations and Future Studies

The RSM approach requires additional experimental data for points linked to −1, +1, 0, −α, and +α to accomplish high-accuracy data prediction. To assess the impact of various variables on prediction, the ANN must gather additional data incorporating a wider range of variables. Future work can be summarized as follows:
  • Make a comparison between the outputs based on the amount of data entered into the program.
  • Using experimental data for prediction via genetic programming (GEP), multi-layer perceptron neural networks (MLPANNs), and GANNs to forecast the properties of concrete.
  • Most of the researches focused on predicting the hardening properties of concrete, so we recommend conducting researches to predict the durability and microstructure of concretes.
  • The resulting model’s prediction reliability should be tested by comparing it to the new mixture’s compressive strength.

8. Conclusions

This article utilized an artificial neural network (ANN) and neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model to forecast the compressive strength of high-strength concrete (HSC). The predicted results were then contrasted with a response surface method (RSM) model. The purpose was to compare the machine learning and non-machine learning approaches to under the differences and behavior and to identify the best approach for predicting the compressive strength of construction material. Key findings are summarized below:
  • ANN and ANFIS models can manage large databases with many important factors and change nonlinearity with their robust computational approaches.
  • Based on R2 and variance between real and predicted results, the ANN model predicted the compressive strength of HSC more accurately than the RSM model.
  • Since R2 exceeds 0.99 in training and testing, the ANN model can capture the complex nonlinear connection between the five input parameters and HSC compressive strength.
  • Instead of the RSM model, the ANN model is recommended for HSC strength prediction due to its greater prediction capacity. The ANN model can estimate HSC compressive strength before laboratory compression experiments, reducing time and cost.
  • Testing data were used to validate the ANFIS model after it was built using training data. The RMSE was calculated to be 0.655, and the correlation coefficient was estimated to be 0.925.
  • Of the five input variables for ANN and ANFIS, cement and fine aggregate are the most important and sensitive to compressive strength.
  • According to the ANN model’s sensitivity analysis, cement (45.29%) is the main variable affecting compressive strength. As another major variable in compressive strength prediction, fine aggregate contributes 35.87%. However, superplasticizer (0.227%) had the lowest incidence. The compressive strength of HSC with ANN increases more with cement and fine aggregate, whereas superplasticizer decreases it.
  • ANOVA results validated the statistical significance of including all model parameters due to the extraordinarily low p-value.
  • The three most influential factors in HSC compressive strength prediction are cement, fine aggregate, and coarse aggregate, with R2 0.963.
  • ANN, RSM, and ANFIS predicted a maximum compressive strength of 71.91, 78.1, and 73.61 MPa, and a minimum compressive strength of 38.8, 33, and 22.07 MPa, respectively.
  • The proposed ANN model can be utilized to reduce the experimental specimens, required to determine the compressive strength of HSC

Supplementary Materials

The following are available online at https://www.mdpi.com/article/10.3390/ma17184533/s1, Table S1. The experimental dataset.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, T.L. and M.S.; Investigation, T.L., J.Y., A.H.A., A.A., A.M.A. and M.S.; Methodology, T.L., J.Y., P.J., A.H.A. and M.S.; Software, T.L. and P.J.; Formal analysis, P.J. and M.S.; Validation, J.Y., A.H.A., A.A. and A.M.A.; Resources, J.Y., A.H.A. and A.A.; Data curation, A.H.A.; Visualization, P.J., A.A. and A.M.A.; Writing—original draft, T.L. and M.S.; Writing—review & editing, J.Y., P.J., A.H.A., A.A., A.M.A. and M.S.; Supervision, J.Y. and M.S.; Project administration, J.Y., A.A. and A.M.A.; Funding acquisition, J.Y. and A.H.A. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (52209155), Hunan Natural Science Foundation (2023JJ30045) and Hunan Provincial Department of Water Resources Science and Technology Project (22cslg034).

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Informed Consent Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

The raw data of this article will be made available by reasonable request from the corresponding authors.

Conflicts of Interest

Author Tianlong Li was employed by the company Qionghai Construction Engineering Quality and Safety Supervision Station. Author Pengxiao Jiang was employed by the company China Construction Fifth Engineering Division Corp., Ltd. Author Pengxiao Jiang was employed by the company China Construction Fifth Engineering Division Corp., Ltd. The remaining authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

Appendix A

Table A1. Actual and predicted results of RSM and ANN for compressive strength.
Table A1. Actual and predicted results of RSM and ANN for compressive strength.
IDActual C.SANNRSMANFISIDActual C.SANNRSMANFIS
173.671.7876.173.605161.761.9866.0261.70
273.671.8678.173.605261.960.8363.22661.75
373.671.9270.173.605361.961.3262.461.76
473.171.3077.673.085461.961.5362.861.90
573.171.4171.173.085559.559.8758.659.50
673.171.4672.173.115659.560.0161.1559.50
772.770.8668.772.995759.560.1762.1559.50
872.770.9276.272.985861.159.9563.74861.10
972.770.9175.872.695961.160.0764.7561.10
1069.469.7572.369.386061.160.2565.4261.10
1169.469.957569.386160.860.0366.4560.80
1269.470.0970.869.406260.860.2062.16560.80
1370.569.0766.270.576360.860.4565.12560.80
1470.569.2965.270.576460.559.9165.1561.34
1570.569.4274.870.506560.559.8868.1561.29
1668.168.3875.468.106660.559.955460.50
1768.168.6069.5568.106759.959.9261.22658.64
1868.168.7574.668.106859.959.9160.458.71
1967.867.9863.367.806959.959.9960.859.90
2067.868.1370.367.80705759.6756.157.42
2167.868.1963.567.80715759.7458.6557.40
226766.7861.766.99725759.9559.6557.00
236766.8271.366.997359.760.1362.34860.75
246766.7874.367.007459.760.0063.3560.69
2564.165.1565.5564.107559.759.9261.159.70
2664.165.1663.164.10766059.7866.558.41
2764.165.1460.164.10776059.7055.558.50
2864.665.0968.164.57786059.6862.559.99
2964.664.6367.764.577959.658.7257.9560.14
3064.664.2667.564.608059.658.7255.160.11
3164.464.837064.468159.658.8357.9559.60
3264.464.5165.864.46826262.7163.3262.36
3364.464.3170.964.40836263.1164.5661.68
3464.764.3260.264.70846263.3666.3662.01
3564.764.2369.264.70856261.7066.3261.31
3664.764.1661.264.70866261.756160.70
3763.964.3468.463.90876261.675861.95
3863.963.9661.963.908860.660.1264.160.99
3963.963.5767.463.908960.659.9063.761.05
4063.463.3167.663.399060.659.5663.560.62
4163.463.2065.0563.399162.161.5467.761.53
4263.463.0758.163.409262.161.9866.661.34
436262.4666.662.009362.162.2558.662.10
446262.6164.562.009461.560.586662.30
456262.5960.3562.009561.560.9059.561.99
4662.462.9257.962.169661.561.066561.49
4762.462.8860.7562.179757.859.016257.57
4862.462.8163.7262.409857.859.2759.4557.82
4961.761.3864.2662.099957.859.3852.557.81
5061.761.7466.0662.0910061.561.7966.162.12
10161.561.9365.8261.9615147.347.7548.747.30
10261.561.9267.1561.5115247.347.394347.30
10360.860.1362.16559.9715347.347.314247.30
10460.860.2365.12559.8115452.151.4856.452.06
10560.860.2265.4560.7815552.150.5559.451.62
10657.657.8365.2557.4715652.149.7753.5551.44
10757.657.9551.157.5515745.547.915245.78
10857.657.995957.6015845.547.324146.21
10958.859.1854.558.8015945.546.904845.69
11058.858.8353.558.8016045.745.7041.445.70
11158.858.7263.158.8616145.745.4040.445.81
11256.857.1464.156.0916245.745.155045.59
11356.857.1558.2556.6616349.649.5145.649.39
11456.857.2963.356.7016449.649.6051.2550.05
11555.355.7350.855.1416549.649.6452.2550.12
11655.355.7357.855.341664849.0950.64848.45
11755.355.675155.321674848.9351.6548.19
11857.856.7352.557.801684848.7449.448.29
11957.856.7662.157.8116947.748.5654.247.47
12057.856.8265.157.7917047.748.2443.247.31
12156.656.3858.0556.7117147.747.9150.247.42
12256.656.5955.656.6117249.149.2947.4549.01
12356.656.6252.656.6217349.148.9944.648.91
12456.955.4358.5556.7917449.148.6147.4548.83
12556.955.3659.5556.881754847.9949.3247.90
12656.954.9859.54856.891764848.0950.5647.89
12756.155.6659.7556.101774848.1050.947.97
12856.156.3857.556.3217848.547.4554.148.46
12956.156.8562.656.3317948.547.495348.24
13055.956.1051.455.9018048.547.4246.548.31
13155.956.7258.455.5518149.449.3748.449.77
13255.956.9254.2555.5418249.449.3445.450.25
13354.354.9049.854.3018349.449.2152.950.28
13454.355.0752.6554.4318448.747.7351.848.31
13554.354.7955.6254.4018548.747.7451.648.30
13654.254.7156.7654.2018648.747.6554.348.36
13754.254.7257.154.2018746.146.3847.546.47
13854.254.9859.854.2018846.146.4141.846.45
13952.752.7357.252.7718946.146.3640.846.53
14052.752.5949.252.7319047.746.085246.63
14152.752.7557.252.7219147.746.495546.60
1425149.934950.9419247.746.9949.1546.57
1435149.8354.550.9719347.147.6953.648.46
1445150.0955.250.9819447.147.9942.648.54
14554.653.1456.2554.5719547.148.3949.648.62
14654.652.5049.354.221964545.1640.744.99
14754.652.1359.254.071974545.4647.64844.98
14850.350.4654.6250.331984545.6948.6544.97
14950.349.8353.250.681994645.9947.446.04
15050.349.4955.950.832004646.3752.546.06
2014646.6641.546.0825143.744.6445.0240.90
20245.745.4148.245.5725243.744.4446.2641.08
20345.745.6744.0545.5325344.543.5848.8642.61
20445.745.7741.245.4925444.543.6448.8241.67
20545.144.5443.4545.1825544.543.7043.541.81
20645.144.5947.74845.2125642.643.7438.650.61
20745.144.4748.7545.2425742.643.7246.147.70
2084645.8350.3246.0025842.643.7045.747.80
2094646.2351.6546.0025943.843.8046.750.12
2104646.4247.36546.0026043.843.7149.447.82
2114544.5949.32545.0026143.843.5839.847.91
2124544.7449.6545.0026243.643.3947.141.74
2134544.6952.6545.0026343.643.3346.741.33
21443.342.9336.843.3026443.643.2446.541.45
21543.342.8644.62643.3126542.643.0048.240.71
21643.342.6543.843.3226642.642.954439.51
21744.545.5045.444.5526742.642.8638.339.68
21844.545.3743.644.5526842.942.6137.642.12
21944.545.4546.1544.5526942.942.5547.241.22
22043.643.9746.2543.4727042.942.4350.241.36
22143.644.0238.343.4627144.942.5946.3538.73
22243.644.2947.943.4527244.943.0951.438.82
2234243.2849.342.0827344.943.5640.438.85
2244243.5043.4542.0927441.141.8143.637.85
2254243.924142.1027541.142.1836.838.19
22643.843.8339.843.8027641.142.5235.838.53
22743.843.5945.4541.4527741.541.3044.14838.22
22843.843.5546.4539.1227841.541.5245.1538.56
2294343.1145.64839.0227941.541.7242.938.90
2304343.0446.6537.7228042.542.574936.86
2314343.1444.436.4328142.542.933836.61
23243.242.7949.734.8528242.543.214536.35
23343.242.7738.733.7528340.841.9439.1536.25
23443.242.8545.732.6528440.842.0936.335.84
23543.543.1741.8532.8228540.842.1739.1535.44
23643.542.853933.6928640.841.0443.44837.12
23743.542.6741.8534.5628740.841.0344.4536.75
23841.542.5442.8234.8228840.840.9845.1236.38
23941.542.3244.0634.9628941.842.5447.4533.92
24041.542.1744.435.1029041.842.6343.16534.80
24142.441.814836.1029141.842.6646.12535.67
24242.441.5746.935.6929241.341.5245.9533.34
24342.441.3246.0535.2929341.341.4248.9534.22
2444644.8647.445.5329441.341.2834.835.09
2454644.8452.545.022954140.2542.32634.05
2464644.8341.545.152964140.0641.534.82
2474544.9247.542.382974139.8741.935.59
2484544.7843.3540.9029841.341.5040.437.73
2494544.6640.541.0829941.341.5842.9537.69
25043.744.8842.0542.3830041.341.7843.9537.64
30141.540.7836.237.07
30241.540.9045.837.00
30341.541.114436.92
30440.340.0238.6536.07
30540.340.1035.835.99
30640.340.2138.6535.91
30741.541.2342.8233.84
30841.541.2544.0629.97
30941.541.3544.426.11
3104040.5945.629.15
3114040.5944.526.80
3124040.6243.6524.46
3134039.7741.425.04
3144039.6846.523.55
3154039.5835.522.06
31642.140.8244.627.86
31742.140.6940.4527.03
31842.140.6037.626.20
31939.540.0237.8528.95
32039.539.8547.1528.12
32139.539.703327.30
32237.539.1338.82630.77
32337.538.953829.45
32437.538.7938.428.12

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Figure 1. Five independent factors and concrete compressive strength histograms.
Figure 1. Five independent factors and concrete compressive strength histograms.
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Figure 2. Comparison of experimental datasets using Pearson’s correlation coefficient.
Figure 2. Comparison of experimental datasets using Pearson’s correlation coefficient.
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Figure 3. Schematic representation of factorial, axial, and center points in CCD [32].
Figure 3. Schematic representation of factorial, axial, and center points in CCD [32].
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Figure 4. Schematic diagram of ANN models [60].
Figure 4. Schematic diagram of ANN models [60].
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Figure 5. ANFIS architecture [63].
Figure 5. ANFIS architecture [63].
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Figure 6. Flow chart of methodology.
Figure 6. Flow chart of methodology.
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Figure 7. The coincidence between the output and target variables of training, validation, testing, and cumulative.
Figure 7. The coincidence between the output and target variables of training, validation, testing, and cumulative.
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Figure 8. MSE of ANN.
Figure 8. MSE of ANN.
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Figure 9. The training state of the ANN model.
Figure 9. The training state of the ANN model.
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Figure 10. Response of output model 1 for time series for compressive strength.
Figure 10. Response of output model 1 for time series for compressive strength.
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Figure 11. Error histogram.
Figure 11. Error histogram.
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Figure 12. Component planes of the SOM for the 5 input variables.
Figure 12. Component planes of the SOM for the 5 input variables.
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Figure 13. Compressive strength for response 1: (a) 3D view, (b) contour graph, and (c) perturbation plot.
Figure 13. Compressive strength for response 1: (a) 3D view, (b) contour graph, and (c) perturbation plot.
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Figure 14. Compressive strength for response 2; (a) 3D view, (b) Contour graph and (c) perturbation plot.
Figure 14. Compressive strength for response 2; (a) 3D view, (b) Contour graph and (c) perturbation plot.
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Figure 15. Compressive strength for response 3: (a) 3D view, (b) contour graph, and (c) perturbation plot.
Figure 15. Compressive strength for response 3: (a) 3D view, (b) contour graph, and (c) perturbation plot.
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Figure 16. Compressive strength for response 4: (a) 3D view, (b) contour graph, and (c) perturbation plot.
Figure 16. Compressive strength for response 4: (a) 3D view, (b) contour graph, and (c) perturbation plot.
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Figure 17. Compressive strength for response 5: (a) 3D view, (b) contour graph, and (c) perturbation plot.
Figure 17. Compressive strength for response 5: (a) 3D view, (b) contour graph, and (c) perturbation plot.
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Figure 18. Compressive strength for response 6: (a) 3D view, (b) contour graph, and (c) perturbation plot.
Figure 18. Compressive strength for response 6: (a) 3D view, (b) contour graph, and (c) perturbation plot.
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Figure 19. The predicted and experimental values of compressive strength.
Figure 19. The predicted and experimental values of compressive strength.
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Figure 20. Model parameter of sensitivity analysis.
Figure 20. Model parameter of sensitivity analysis.
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Figure 21. Sensitivity analysis of the input parameters.
Figure 21. Sensitivity analysis of the input parameters.
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Figure 22. Sensitive parameters.
Figure 22. Sensitive parameters.
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Figure 23. Comparing experimental compressive strength to predicted compressive strength using (a) RSM, (b) ANN, and (c) ANFIS.
Figure 23. Comparing experimental compressive strength to predicted compressive strength using (a) RSM, (b) ANN, and (c) ANFIS.
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Table 1. Features of descriptive statistics for modeling-relevant variables.
Table 1. Features of descriptive statistics for modeling-relevant variables.
Water
(kg/m3)
OPC (kg/m3)F.A (kg/m3)C.A
(kg/m3)
SP
(kg/m3)
CS (MPa)
Mean170417.81767.71898.510.9551.93
Median170411769.5898148.9
SD8.1877.0385.4543.820.559.45
Minimum160284552845037.5
Maximum 180600951989273.6
TypeInputInputInputInputInputOutput
SD: standard deviation; CS: compressive strength.
Table 2. Factors and factor levels for RSM.
Table 2. Factors and factor levels for RSM.
ResponseFactorCodeFactors Level of Code
Low Level −1Intermediate Level 0High Level +1
Compressive strengthResponse 1Cement (kg/m3)A427497567
F.A (kg/m3)B608706.5805
C.A (kg/m3)C845897.5950
Response 2Cement (kg/m3)A366483600
F.A (kg/m3)B522694.5867
C.A (kg/m3)C845897.5950
Response 3Cement (kg/m3)A389451.5514
F.A (kg/m3)B628723818
C.A (kg/m3)C845897.5950
Response 4Cement (kg/m3)A320385450
F.A (kg/m3)B686800914
C.A (kg/m3)C845917989
Response 5Cement (kg/m3)A284331378
F.A (kg/m3)B790870.5951
C.A (kg/m3)C845897.5950
Response 6Cement (kg/m3)A302351400
F.A (kg/m3)B731797863
C.A (kg/m3)C845897.5950
Table 3. R and MSE for training, validation, testing, and cumulative.
Table 3. R and MSE for training, validation, testing, and cumulative.
RMSE
Training0.9960.987
Validation0.9950.417
Testing0.9950.457
All0.998---
Table 4. Comparing the prediction of compressive strength of concrete with the current research.
Table 4. Comparing the prediction of compressive strength of concrete with the current research.
Machine Learning AlgorithmNO. Sample Variable Concrete ContentR2-ValueRef.
ANN150Waste marble powder, cement, superplasticizer, silica fume, fly ash, water.0.976[60]
ANN239Cement, coarse, fine aggregate, and w/c0.85[71]
ANN300Cement, fly ash, coarse, fine aggregate, superplasticizer, and w/c0.933[72]
ANN103External diameter of CFST composite column filled with recycled concrete, the thickness of the steel tube, length of specimen, the proportion of replaced recycled coarse aggregates, compressive strength of recycled concrete, and yield stress of the steel tube0.988[73]
ANN13W/c, cement, water, coarse, fine aggregate, and condensed milk can (tin) fibers0.982[74]
ANN40Beam dimensions, compressive strength of SCGC under ambient and marine exposure conditions, time of exposure, the tensile strength of the BFRP bar, tensile strength of steel reinforcement bar, and shear span–depth ratio0.958[75]
ANN50Cement, water, sand, aggregate, w/b, and eggshell powder 0.825[76]
ANN17Cement, w/c, coarse, fine aggregate, and foam volume0.98[77]
ANN55Cement, admixtures, water, coarse, fine aggregate, and superplasticizer0.929[78]
ANN234Testing age, OPC, sand, coarse aggregate, fine aggregate, w/c, SP/C, CRA/total coarse aggregate, and FRA/total fine aggregate0.984[79]
ANN17Cement, water, natural coarse aggregates, recycled coarse aggregates, and natural sand0.994[80]
ANN60Cement, admixtures, water, coarse, fine aggregate, and waste0.67[61]
ANN220Sand/cement ratio, dry density, and water/cement ratio 0.972[81]
ANN324Cement, water, coarse, fine aggregate, and superplasticizer0.998The current study
Table 5. ANOVA results for the parameters for the compressive strength.
Table 5. ANOVA results for the parameters for the compressive strength.
Response 1Response 2
SourceS.SM.SF-valuep-value SourceS.SM.SF-valuep-value
Model169.2118.001.480.028SignificantModel20.552.2804.920.01Significant
A-cement20.7420.7401.630.231 A-Cement4.764.7610.270.00
B-FA0.4410.4410.0350.856 B-FA0.0250.0250.0540.822
C-CA0.0810.0810.0060.938 C-CA0.0010.0010.0020.964
AB0.0610.0610.0050.946 AB0.1010.1010.2180.651
AC9.469.460.7440.409 AC0.1510.1510.3260.581
BC6.666.660.5240.486 BC0.1510.1510.3260.581
A27.287.280.5720.467 A26612.9400.005
B215.5415.541.220.295 B23.193.196.880.026
C210.7510.750.8450.38 C23.473.4707.470.022
Residual127.2412.72R20.986 Residual4.640.464R20.916
Lack of Fit127.2425.45Adj. R20.973 Lack of Fit4.640.928Adj. R20.901
Cor Total296.45 Pred. R20.963 Cor Total25.190 Pred. R20.887
Response 3Response 4
SourceS.SM.SF-valuep-value SourceS.SM.SF-valuep-value
Model268.1589.386.960.003SignificantModel14.511.613.8800.023Significant
A-Cement258.06258.0620.10.001 A-Cement8.658.6520.810.001
B-FA4.764.760.3710.551 B-FA0.3610.3610.8690.373
C-CA5.335.330.4150.529 C-CA0.0090.0090.0220.886
Residual205.3812.84 AB0.720.721.730.218
Lack of Fit109.97100.5240.827 AC0.1250.1250.3010.595
Pure Error95.4119.08 R20.956BC0.6050.6051.460.255
Cor Total473.53Adj. R20.9431Pred. R20.933A21.781.784.280.065
B20.9750.9752.350.157
C20.70.71.680.224
Residual4.160.416R20.942
Lack of Fit4.160.832Adj. R20.924
Cor Total18.67 Pred. R20.90
Response 5Response 6
Model28.5703.177.9400.002SignificantModel13.4801.5003.7300.026Significant
A-Cement4.1004.110.2500.01 A-Cement0.4000.4000.9980.341
B-FA0.0360.0360.090.77 B-FA0.3610.3610.9000.365
C-CA1.6001.640.073 C-CA1.0901.0902.7200.13
AB0.3200.320.8010.392 AB0.2810.2810.7020.422
AC4.8104.8112.030.006 AC1.0501.0502.6200.137
BC0.8450.8452.110.177 BC3.7803.7809.4300.012
A28.2008.220.530.001 A25.0105.01012.5000.005
B20.0820.0820.2050.66 B20.1100.1100.2740.612
C20.2950.2950.7370.411 C20.1100.1100.2740.612
Residual40.4R20.912 Residual4.0100.401R20.902
Lack of Fit40.799Adj. R20.876 Lack of Fit3.80.760Adj. R20.924
Cor Total32.56 Pred. R20.856 Cor Total17.49 Pred. R20.9
Table 6. Comparing concrete compressive strength predictions to existing research.
Table 6. Comparing concrete compressive strength predictions to existing research.
Variable Concrete ContentR2-ValueRef.
RSMCement, recycled concrete aggregates, and slump0.95[89]
RSMPulverized fuel ash (PFA), stone powder (SP), and silicon fume (SC)0.85[45]
RSMRecycled concrete aggregates, silica fume, and ground-granulated blast-furnace slag 0.95[90]
RSMCrumb rubber and fly ash0.95[91]
RSMWaste foundry sand and curing0.90[85]
RSMWaste marble aggregate and stone dust0.94
RSMPlastic, silica fume, and time0.94[92]
RSMCrumb rubber (CR)–NaOH pretreatment, NaOH, and crumb rubber0.97[93]
RSMGround granulated blast furnace slag and nano silica0.93[94]
RSMContent of SR, content of NS, and water binder ratio0.93[95]
RSMFoam, waste marble powder, and rice husk ash0.94[96]
RSMHeating temperatures, soaked time, and cooling methods0.79[97]
RSMCement, water, coarse, fine aggregate, and superplasticizer0.963The current study
Table 7. Comparison of validation data.
Table 7. Comparison of validation data.
ModelANNANFIS[53][93][103][97]
R20.9980.9250.920.070.890.76
R0.9980.9620.9590.2650.9440.871
MSE0.4160.6551.1523.055.0242.8
Table 8. Comparison between different methods of prediction.
Table 8. Comparison between different methods of prediction.
RR2MSERMSEMAEerMAXEPR
ANN0.99890.980.4170.6460.0350.0451.05
ANFIS0.9260.9620.6550.8090.0450.0191.813
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Li, T.; Yang, J.; Jiang, P.; AlAteah, A.H.; Alsubeai, A.; Alfares, A.M.; Sufian, M. Predicting High-Strength Concrete’s Compressive Strength: A Comparative Study of Artificial Neural Networks, Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System, and Response Surface Methodology. Materials 2024, 17, 4533. https://doi.org/10.3390/ma17184533

AMA Style

Li T, Yang J, Jiang P, AlAteah AH, Alsubeai A, Alfares AM, Sufian M. Predicting High-Strength Concrete’s Compressive Strength: A Comparative Study of Artificial Neural Networks, Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System, and Response Surface Methodology. Materials. 2024; 17(18):4533. https://doi.org/10.3390/ma17184533

Chicago/Turabian Style

Li, Tianlong, Jianyu Yang, Pengxiao Jiang, Ali H. AlAteah, Ali Alsubeai, Abdulgafor M. Alfares, and Muhammad Sufian. 2024. "Predicting High-Strength Concrete’s Compressive Strength: A Comparative Study of Artificial Neural Networks, Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System, and Response Surface Methodology" Materials 17, no. 18: 4533. https://doi.org/10.3390/ma17184533

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