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Article

Habitat Characteristics of Magnolia Based on Spatial Analysis: Landscape Protection to Conserve Endemic and Endangered Magnolia sulawesiana Brambach, Noot., and Culmsee

1
Research Center for Ecology and Ethnobiology, National Research and Innovation Agency, Cibinong 16911, West Java, Indonesia
2
Institution for Instrument Standard Implementation on Environment and Forestry of Manado, Ministry of Environment and Forestry, Manado 95119, North Sulawesi, Indonesia
3
Center for Instrument Standardization on Disaster and Climate Change Resilience, Bogor 16610, West Java, Indonesia
4
Research Center for Plant Conservation, Botanic Gardens, and Forestry, National Research and Innovation Agency, Bogor 16610, West Java, Indonesia
5
Center for Standardization Instrument on Environment Quality, Ministry of Environment and Forestry, Samarinda 75119, East Kalimantan, Indonesia
6
Faculty of Forestry, University of Papua, Manokwari 98314, West Papua, Indonesia
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Forests 2022, 13(5), 802; https://doi.org/10.3390/f13050802
Submission received: 14 February 2022 / Revised: 10 May 2022 / Accepted: 17 May 2022 / Published: 20 May 2022
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Forest Recreation and Landscape Protection)

Abstract

:
Based on habitat preferences, in this study, we investigated the spatial distribution of the Magnolia genus in the northern part of Sulawesi. Habitat characteristics, especially temperature, precipitation, and topography, were determined using spatial analysis. The temperature and precipitation datasets were obtained from WorldClim BIO Variables V1, and topographical data were obtained from the Google Earth Engine. Data collection began in 2008–2009 and was completed in 2019–2020. In total, we analyzed 786 waypoints. The genus distribution was then predicted based on the most suitable habitat characteristics and mapped spatially. This study confirmed that Magnolia spp. distribution is affected by the annual temperature range, precipitation seasonality, and elevation. We discovered endemic and endangered species, Magnolia sulawesiana Brambach, Noot., and Culmsee, that were previously distributed exclusively in the central part of Sulawesi. Five waypoints of the endemic species were found in the conservation area of the Gunung Ambang Nature Reserve and on the border of Bogani Nani Wartabone Nation Park. In general, M. sulawesiana is distributed at higher elevations than other Magnolia species. This study provides a scientific basis for forest officers to develop in-situ and ex-situ conservation strategies and landscape protection measures to maintain the sustainable use of the genus, especially the sustainability of endemic species.

1. Introduction

Magnolia (Fam. Magnoliaceae) is a plant genus that consists of more than 300 species [1,2,3,4,5]. This genus has a wide distribution in subtropical and tropical Asia and America [2,4,5]. The Magnolia genus includes evergreen and deciduous trees and shrubs [2,4], and many species are prominently used as ornamental plants, timber, medicinal raw materials, cosmetics, and essential oils [2,3,6,7,8,9,10]. Despite Magnolia’s crucial uses, the assessment in [2] using the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) criteria resulted in 147 species of Magnolia being categorized as threatened (Critically Endangered, Endangered, and Vulnerable) due to various threats such as continued deforestation, habitat destruction, and over-harvesting.
In Indonesia, there are 28 species of Magnolia distributed in Sumatra, Java, Lesser Sunda Islands, Sulawesi, Moluccas, and Papua [2,7,10]. Among these species, one species was categorized as Threatened, i.e., Magnolia sulawesiana Brambach, Noot., and Culmsee (Endangered); one as Near Threatened (M. borneensis); five under Least Concern; and the rest under Data Deficiency. Indonesia is one of the countries with the least amount of information on Magnolia, especially for the threatened taxa [11].
The endangered M. sulawesiana is an endemic species that grows naturally only in three locations within the mountain range in the central part of Sulawesi [12]. Considering the increasing rate of forest-cover loss in Sulawesi, which was 10.98% between 2000 and 2007 [13], as well as the species’ current red-list status as Endangered [2], it is crucial to find this endemic species in other areas of Sulawesi. The central parts of Sulawesi, including the Central and West Sulawesi Province, where M. sulawesiana was found, face deforestation rates of 0.68 and 0.84%, respectively [13]. Deforestation is not the only threat to Magnolia; overharvesting, poor fruiting, and low natural regeneration [11] also add pressure to the endemic species’ vulnerability in the wild.
In Indonesia, overharvesting might become a real threat since Magnolia species are commercially traded. This is especially true for M. sulawesiana because it is challenging to distinguish M. sulawesiana wood from other Magnolia woods on the market. Magnolia species have a long historical connection with the Minahasa tribe, one of the tribes in the northern part of Sulawesi. The Magnolia woods are known as Cempaka or Wasian and were used as material to construct Woloan, a traditional Minahasa wooden house [14,15,16]. In the 1970s, when forest concession rightsholder companies began to operate in the production forest, Magnolia wood became prominent because of its good quality. In response to the high demand for Magnolia wood, local communities started to plant Magnolia species [17,18]. Today, the Minahasa district is known to have the largest community plantation forest containing Magnolia species among the areas in Sulawesi [15,19,20].
There is also Magnolia cubensis in Cuba, which is a highly endangered and endemic species that requires conservation measures. The need for conservation action was determined based on the findings of studies on the influence of habitat fragmentation on the species’ population structure and genetic diversity [21]. In Western Mexico, Magnolia granbarrancae, M. pugana, M. talpana, and M. vallartensis are also critically endangered species because their extent of occurrence (EOO) and area of occupancy (AOO) are below the limits set by the IUCN, and they also have a low genetic diversity [22].
The spatial distribution of plant species is not the result of a random event but is influenced by environmental variables, especially climate and topography characteristics [23,24], as well as soil, temperature, hydrology, and spatial constraints, which affect plant distribution [25,26,27,28,29]. Information on the distribution of Magnolia spp. in North Sulawesi is crucial for conservation strategies and landscape protection. Understanding the habitat preferences and suitability of Magnolia spp. is also important to determine the species’ functions in its surrounding community, including the associated animals [30]. An assessment conducted in China using climate and terrain variables demonstrated differing habitat preferences among Magnolia species [8]. Despite its importance for conservation strategies, this type of assessment has never been used for Magnolia species in Indonesia.
This study aims to identify the distribution of Magnolia species in the northern part of Sulawesi, including the endemic M. sulawesiana. We distinguished the habitat preferences of Magnolia and combined them with spatial data to estimate the potential species distribution. The discovery of M. sulawesiana distribution in the northern part of Sulawesi will lead to a new record of this species’ distribution in the Wallacea bioregion [29], which features high species endemism but is still poorly understood.

2. Materials and Methods

2.1. Study Area and Targeted Species

This study was conducted in the northern part of Sulawesi Islands, Indonesia, covering an area of 13,892 km2 (Figure 1). Most of the topography in this area features hills and mountains that are more than 1000 m above sea level (m asl), with steep contour intervals of less than 12.5 m.
The following Magnolia species [5,19] are known to exist in North Sulawesi: Magnolia tsiampacca, M. tsiampacca var. tsiampacca, M. vrieseana, M. lilliifera, M. champaca, and M. candollei. The endemic M. sulawesiana, which closely resembles M. tsiampacca var. tsiampacca [12], is the most common species in the study areas. Even though it is challenging to distinguish all species in the field, M. sulawesiana can be easily differentiated by its golden leaf color. Local people sometimes refer to M. sulawesiana as “gold Cempaka Wasian” because of its leaf color. In all study areas, we specifically distinguished M. sulawesiana and grouped other Magnolia species that were found as Magnolia spp.
A preliminary study was conducted to locate the Magnolia species in North Sulawesi by collecting information from the district forestry office, local herbarium data, local people, and the literature [19,31,32]. All information was subsequently mapped to produce a survey map. A field survey and ground check were then conducted twice to record the presence or absence of the genus. The first survey was conducted in 2008–2009, concentrating in the western part, and the second in 2019–2020 for the eastern part of North Sulawesi. In all locations in which Magnolia trees (diameter at breast height > 15 cm) were found, we recorded the geographical positioning system coordinates as waypoint data. Associated species found around Magnolia spp. were also recorded. We recorded 786 waypoints for Magnolia spp., 5 of which were for the endemic species M. sulawesiana.

2.2. Habitat Characteristics

Habitat characteristics were analyzed using a hierarchical approach with parameters for the criteria, indicators, and verifiers based on those in [8] as presented in Table 1. A flowchart of this methodology used in the present study is presented in Figure 2. The first parameter used was temperature, which was divided into several indicators as shown in Table 2 [33]. We also included land surface temperature (LST), which was derived from the MODIS_LST dataset. This dataset provides daily surface temperature information with a spatial resolution of 1 km [34]. The temperature data were collected from the WorldClim BIO Variables V1 dataset [35].
Notes:
  • Annual mean temperature (AMT) is the average temperature each year based on the ratio of energy obtained by the ecosystem and the duration of the covered times.
  • Diurnal range temperature (DRT) records the daily temperature fluctuations obtained from the maximum and minimum daily temperature differences in a period.
  • Maximum temperature (MaxT) is an indicator that states the highest daily temperature in the month with the hottest temperature in each season of the year.
  • Minimum temperature (MinT) is the lowest temperature in the coldest month, which varies from year to year. As a result, the lowest temperature will be average.
  • Temperature annual range (TAR) is an indicator that states the differences between MaxT and MinT.
  • Temperature seasonality (TS) is a periodic temperature indicator of the daily average and deviation of temperature.
  • Annual precipitation (AP) expressed in mm/year is the average yearly rainfall in the observation period.
  • Precipitation of the driest month (PDM) and wettest month (PWM) record the average amount of rain in the driest month and rainy season, respectively.
  • Precipitation of the coldest quarter (PCQ), the warmest quarter (PWQ), the driest quarter (PDQ), and the wettest quarter (PWEQ) indicate the average daily rain in the coldest quarter of a year, the warmest quarter of a year, the dry season quarter of a year, and the highest rainy quarter of a year, respectively. In Indonesia, PWQ and PWEQ are difficult to distinguish between since there are only two seasons, the rainy and dry seasons, between which the temperature differences are very narrow. Precipitation data were also collected from the WorldClim BIO Variables V1 dataset [35].
  • Isothermality (Isot) is a thermodynamic process in which the temperature of a system remains constant.
  • Aspect (A) is the compass direction or azimuth that a terrain surface faces.

2.3. Data Analysis

Magnolia spp. distribution was predicted based on the most suitable habitat characteristics. Since one of the Magnolia spp. found in North Sulawesi was M. sulawesiana, which is an endemic and endangered species [12,32,36], we predicted the suitable habitat characteristics for this particular species separately for conservation purposes.
For the spatial analysis, a covariance model was used to determine the species dependency [37] and to increase the prediction accuracy based on the species distribution [30,31]. The hypotheses used in the covariance test for each indicator were as follows:
Hypothesis H0.
There will be differences in variance for each indicator where the species grow (p-value < α = 5%).
Hypothesis H1.
There are no differences in variance for each indicator where the species grow (p-value > α = 5%).
The value interval of each indicator was calculated to determine the pattern of each waypoint. The contribution of each parameter and quadrant was then determined using a principal component analysis and a bi-plot contribution graph. To avoid the possibility of errors in classification, the required contribution should be close to 100%.
The classification of species distribution patterns depends on the indicator for the number of species present, where a higher score indicates a greater possibility for a species to be present. All the parameter data were overlayed with a spatial raster. The classes were then developed based on the presence/absence of tree species. If there is an n-parameter with the presence/absence of Magnolia spp. trees, then the number of classes becomes 2n if the species is present. A higher value of n indicates a higher possibility of Magnolia spp. being present and vice versa. The interval between the highest and lowest n-value then indicates variations in the probability (Table 2).
Distribution classification testing was conducted using separated data testing based on the method in [38]. An accuracy test was then completed using the Kappa value [39], which was able to express accuracy in the classification [38]. The comparison matrix is presented in Table 3.
p 0 = i = 1 m p i i
Here, p 0 is the probability of accuracy, which determines whether it is appropriate to locate the point in the polygon that indicates the presence of M. sulawesiana or Magnolia spp. and vice versa for the point that indicates that the polygon does not contain M. sulawesiana or Magnolia spp.
p e = i = 1 m p i .   p . i
Here, p e   is the chance of error, which determines whether the point in the polygon that indicates that there is no Magnolia spp. or M. sulawesiana can be precisely determined and vice versa for the point that determines whether the polygon does not contain Magnolia spp. or M. sulawesiana when they exist in the polygon. The Kappa coefficient ( κ ) and standard error ( σ κ )   were then measured using the following equation:

3. Results

3.1. Habitat Characteristics

M. sulawesiana and other Magnolias grow under a similar diurnal temperature range, land surface temperature, and isothermality but have different ranges for the rest of the indicators (Figure 3 and Table 4). Magnolia spp. grow at an annual average temperature of between 20 and 26.4 °C, with an average of 23 °C, while M. sulawesiana grows at 20–25 °C, with an average of 21°C. Magnolia spp. grow at minimum temperatures of between 15 and 22 °C, while M. sulawesiana can prevail at minimum temperatures of between 15 and 20 °C. Concerning the highest temperature, Magnolia spp. can grow at temperatures of 25–32 °C, with 25–30 °C for M. sulawesiana. Based on the temperature differences between the rainy and the dry season, Magnolia spp. grow in areas with a temperature difference of 2.2–3.8 °C. Meanwhile, M. sulawesiana grows in areas with a temperature difference of 2.3–2.5 °C.
Based on the precipitation data, Magnolia spp. and M. sulawesiana have a similar range only in annual precipitation (Figure 4 and Table 5). The average annual rainfall is between 1900 and 3000 mm. Magnolia spp. grow in areas with rainfall of between 2060 and 3034 mm/year, with an average annual rainfall of 2400 mm. Meanwhile, M. sulawesiana grows in areas with rainfall of 1900–2400 mm/year and an average of 2300 mm/year.
The topographical data (Figure 5 and Table 6) show that Magnolia spp. grow at elevations between 400 and 800 m asl. However, some trees are found at up to 1300 m asl. Meanwhile, M. sulawesiana grows at an elevation of 1000–1300 m asl, with most trees growing above 1200 m asl. Magnolia spp. and M. sulawesiana grow in an overlapping topography range from 1000 to 1300 m asl.
The statistical analysis results (Table 6) indicate that Magnolia spp. can be found at an altitude of between 30 and 1345 m asl with a variation of up to 45%. Meanwhile, M. sulawesiana grows between 179 and 1414 m asl with a variation of 48%. The average Magnolia spp. and M. sulawesiana grow at 638 m asl and 1017 m asl, respectively. Meanwhile, both have similar preferences in terms of slope and aspect.

Variation Test for Habitat Characteristics

The results of the F test showed that each category of habitat parameters featured variations among both Magnolia spp. and M. sulawesiana. The parameters of temperature annual range, precipitation seasonality, elevation, and slope showed significant differences in Magnolia spp. (Table 7).
The six temperature and seven precipitation indicators tested showed no differences for Magnolia spp. and M. sulawesiana, meaning that Magnolia spp. and M. sulawesiana have similar habitat preferences. Significant differences in preferences were observed in the gap between the maximum and minimum temperature (TAR) and the ratio between the standard deviations of annual rainfall (PS) (Table 7). While Magnolia spp. and M. sulawesiana have different ranges in elevation and slope, they both have the same variation in aspect, which is supported by the work in [40] showing that precipitation and annual mean temperature make critical contributions to endemic and critically endangered species in Kashmir Himalaya. Based on these results, we concluded that the habitat characteristics of Magnolia spp. and M. sulawesiana are influenced by the temperature annual range, precipitation seasonality, and elevation. This information serves as the basic information to predict the spatial distribution of Magnolia spp. and M. sulawesiana.

3.2. Species Distribution

3.2.1. Magnolia spp.

The variable contribution and bi-plot analysis of Magnolia spp. showed that the slope has a lower impact than the other key variables, including annual temperature range, precipitation seasonality, and elevation. In addition, the slope variable is also in the same quadrant as the annual temperature range (Figure 6). Therefore, the slope variable can be neglected when estimating the distribution of Magnolia spp.
The spatial distribution prediction map for Magnolia spp. is presented in Figure 7. There are six distribution classifications based on the range of TAR, PS, and elevation parameters (as shown in Table 2). The highest number of criteria (6, green color) represent the most suitable habitat, while the lowest number (3, yellow color) represents the least suitable habitat for Magnolia spp. In general, Magnolia spp. is spread in mountainous areas and follows the direction of the slopes with a concentric habitat pattern.

3.2.2. Magnolia sulawesiana

The main characteristics of the M. sulawesiana species found in the northern part of Sulawesi are leaves with a coriaceous shiny-green top (pale greenish-brown to reddish-brown when dry) and a paler bottom (dark golden-brown to chestnut when dry). The tree bark is grey-brown, fissured, and lenticellate with a mealy texture and flakes off in large, irregular plates on older trees. Older trees feature silver-grey bark with fine longitudinal cracks (Figure 8). According to the species characteristics and identification key provided in [12], we are confident that the species found in the study area is M. sulawesiana.
The flowering and fruiting seasons of M. sulawesiana have irregular patterns in the five locations. This study identified two flowering and fruiting seasons, of February to April and August to September. The study also found that single-mother trees can have both a flowering and fruiting season (monoecious). Buds, young and mature flowers, and ripe fruits were observed together in one individual tree. We also observed very few seedlings around the mother tree, although closer observations of the reproduction strategy of this species must be conducted. Poor fruiting and low natural regeneration were reported in [11]. These findings will add to the knowledge of M. sulawesiana in the northern part of Sulawesi. The other location was the mountain forest of the Gunung Ambang Nature Reserve (GANR) and production forest (Figure 9), where we found four individuals of M. sulawesiana at an elevation of 1163–1378 m asl in a hilly primary forest dominated by Myristicaceae, Euphorbiaceae, and Calophyllaceae. Additionally, one individual was found in the slope area near Kotulidak River. The last individual found was located in the production forest at Bolaang Mongondow District (175 m asl). This production forest is part of a natural forest located near the boundaries of BNWNP. Based on the analysis of the results, this endemic species seems to have a wide distribution, from 179–1414 m asl to 1600–2200 m asl, as described in [12]. This wide range of elevation creates a greater possibility of finding this species in the mountainous area down to the lowland forest in Sulawesi.

3.3. Accuracy Test Classification

The results of the accuracy test (Table 8) showed that the estimated kappa distribution was 100%; thus, the standard error was zero. A random selection of waypoints in the classification accuracy test was also conducted. The number of waypoints in the Magnolia spp. distribution test was 116. All points were of the highest class (6). Thus, the Kappa value was 100%, which means the classification accuracy is appropriate.

4. Discussion

The spatial distribution of Magnolia in North Sulawesi Province is influenced by the annual temperature range, precipitation seasonality, and elevation. At the landscape scale in this extremely varied environment, topography and climate were reported to be significant determinants of species richness, endemic richness, and endemicity [23,24]. The influence of climate on Magnolia distribution demonstrates the species’ vulnerability to climate changes [40]. Magnolia is also reported to have allopatric speciation [3]. Thus, geographical isolation [3], topography, and climatic factors [26] have led to the scarcity of this genus due to a lack of specific habitat suitability. On the other hand, changes in climatic parameters such as temperature can also lead to the distribution of a species outside of its native range, as shown in [41] for M. grandiflora.
Based on our results, despite the importance of climatic factors, elevation seems to have the largest influence on Magnolia species distribution in North Sulawesi Province. Elevation can have a 10% to 50% effect on plant distribution [27,42]. For M. sulawesiana, we found that this species has a wider elevation range due to the presence of outlier data. One individual was found at 175 m asl, while the rest of the individuals, including the individual recorded in [12], were found from 1100 to 2000 m asl. This is a very interesting result because the individual was identified as M. sulawesiana based on morphological characteristics [12] and located inside GANP, where it remains unclear if this species grows naturally. A closer study needs to be conducted to explain this phenomenon. There might be other factors that determine species distribution other than climatic and elevation factors. Other research shows that most of the endemic and endangered species of Magnolia are naturally found in tropical mountain forests and at high elevations. Examples include M. schiedeana in Mexico [43], M. sinica in Yunan (1339–1707 m asl) [44], M. vovidesii in Mexico (1520–1550 m asl) [21], and M. granbarrancae (1073–1215 m asl) [22].
The growing demand for Magnolia trees in the lumber market throughout the year has led to consequences such as the increasing rarity of this genus. To meet these needs, wood is harvested not only from Magnolia plantations but also from the species’ natural habitat. This study demonstrated that the distribution of Magnolia spp. in production forests is decreasing. Without any effort to create a community development program to maintain the balance between different needs, Magnolia species will gradually become rare and, eventually, extinct. As a result, the existence of this genus is threatened. Scattered, small-scale Magnolia plantations managed by local people still exist in several areas in North Sulawesi. Examples include Rumoong Atas Village, South Minahasa District [17], and Kawatak Village, Minahasa District [18]. The plantation in Rumoong Atas village has existed for decades, and the Cempaka trees in the region were planted on inheritance land [17]. The plantations typically cover about 1–2 ha and is managed from generation to generation. While the local community in Kawatak village developed plantations under the Community Forestry Program, the local people planted several Magnolia species, including the endemic species, M. sulawesiana.
Habitat preference data will serve as the basic information for landscape management approaches to ensure the survival of the genus, including in-situ and ex-situ conservation. This approach is also expected to maintain the remaining natural population in the protected area while ensuring sustainable use through plantation and community forests. The Magnolia species, especially the endemic species, found inside conservation areas, need to be protected in-situ [22]. As an endemic and endangered species, M. sulawesiana also needs to be considered as a protected species. For this reason, conservation efforts were conducted at both the habitat and species level. The other Magnolia species found outside the conservation areas could also be proposed for protection to maintain their sustainability. Additionally, the area could be designated as a buffer zone. Using the same information, the ex-situ conservation of the species could be conducted through the development of plantations or community forests within the most suitable habitat preferences in collaboration with the local people. Community forest development could act as a buffer for the natural habitat of the species in the conservation area. Ex-situ conservation could also lessen the risk of extinction for threatened species and support in-situ conservation efforts [22]. The remaining forest in Sulawesi plays a crucial role as a life support system due to its geographical conditions, with extreme faults being prone to landslides. Rapid changes in land use create further difficulties for conservation efforts on this island. A spatial distribution map is crucial for the local forest district to develop landscape-scale protection [22], which is important not only for the targeted species but also for Wallace’s unique wildlife and Sulawesi’s fragile ecosystems more broadly [45].
To facilitate the effective implementation of conservation, especially for endemic species with unique habitats [46], further research needs to be conducted to determine the genetic diversity of all populations, and inbreeding and genetic diversity levels [22,46] could be used to determine protection priorities, especially at the landscape level. Information on the population size, phenological patterns, morphological variations [47,48], and population genetic diversity [49] in natural habitats, including the populations in the northern and central part of Sulawesi, will determine the actions that should be taken concerning conservation in natural habitats (in-situ). This conservation should involve the indigenous knowledge of “Eluren Eng Kayobaan” (keeping and maintaining the Earth) [50] to encourage the planting of Wasian trees on community lands.

5. Conclusions

The spatial distribution of Magnolia spp. is affected by climatic (temperature annual range and precipitation seasonality) and elevation variables. Among the discovered Magnolia spp., we located five sites featuring the endemic and endangered species, Magnolia sulawesiana, which was previously distributed exclusively in the central part of Sulawesi. The existence of this essential species alters the paradigm of landscape protection. In this study, we provided a scientific foundation from which to develop in-situ and ex-situ conservation strategies and landscape protection measures to maintain the sustainability of endemic species. Simultaneously, it is also important to ensure the sustainable use of other Magnolia species. Further research is required to strengthen conservation and plantation-management practices.

Author Contributions

Each author (J.K., D.I.D.A., L.A., R.S., A.I., M.Y., S.S., R.I., M.W., D.D., T.K., A.K.H., A.S., I.H. and A.T.) has an equal role as the main contributor who equally discussed the conceptual ideas and the outline, provided critical feedback for each section, and helped shape and write the manuscript. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

Part of the field work of this research was funded by ITTO Project PD 646/12 Rev.3 (F) Initiating the conservation of cempaka tree species (Elmerrillia sp.) through plantation development with the local community participation in North Sulawesi.

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

Not applicable.

Acknowledgments

We thank the ITTO for supporting this research, especially for the field data collection through the Project PD 646/12 Rev.3(F), and cooperation between ITTO and Manado Environment and Forestry Research and Development Institute (BP2LHK). We also thank Hiras Sidabutar as a project advisor; Mochlis, the former head BP2LHK, for the facilitation and encouragement and ensuring the project ran smoothly; the North Sulawesi Forestry Service; our valuable friend at Forum Cempaka for all the discussion and support; and the reviewers provided usefull comments for the paper improvement.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declared no conflict of interset.

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Figure 1. Study area in the northern part of Sulawesi: The purple color represents conservation areas of Bogani Nani Wartabone National Park (BNWNP) and the Gunung Ambang Nature Reserve (GANR).
Figure 1. Study area in the northern part of Sulawesi: The purple color represents conservation areas of Bogani Nani Wartabone National Park (BNWNP) and the Gunung Ambang Nature Reserve (GANR).
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Figure 2. Flowchart of the methodology used to identify Magnolia and M. sulawesiana distribution.
Figure 2. Flowchart of the methodology used to identify Magnolia and M. sulawesiana distribution.
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Figure 3. Temperature indicator images for Magnolia spp. in North Sulawesi.
Figure 3. Temperature indicator images for Magnolia spp. in North Sulawesi.
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Figure 4. Precipitation indicator images for Magnolia spp. in North Sulawesi.
Figure 4. Precipitation indicator images for Magnolia spp. in North Sulawesi.
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Figure 5. Topographical indicator images for Magnolia spp. in North Sulawesi.
Figure 5. Topographical indicator images for Magnolia spp. in North Sulawesi.
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Figure 6. Variable contribution analysis and bi-plot of the annual temperature range, precipitation seasonality, elevation, and slope of Magnolia spp. Above: PCA—Biplot; below: Variables—PCA.
Figure 6. Variable contribution analysis and bi-plot of the annual temperature range, precipitation seasonality, elevation, and slope of Magnolia spp. Above: PCA—Biplot; below: Variables—PCA.
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Figure 7. Distribution prediction patterns of Magnolia spp. in North Sulawesi, with the number representing habitat suitability, with 3 indicating the least suitable habitat and 6 representing the most suitable habitat. In the map, the darker the color (6), the more suitable the habitat for Magnolia spp.
Figure 7. Distribution prediction patterns of Magnolia spp. in North Sulawesi, with the number representing habitat suitability, with 3 indicating the least suitable habitat and 6 representing the most suitable habitat. In the map, the darker the color (6), the more suitable the habitat for Magnolia spp.
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Figure 8. Morphological characteristics of M. sulawesiana found in the northern part of Sulawesi: (a) adaxial leaf; (b) abaxial leaf; (c) older tree bark; (d) leaves on twig with an open flower; (e) leaves on twig with fruit; (f) closer look at ripe fruits.
Figure 8. Morphological characteristics of M. sulawesiana found in the northern part of Sulawesi: (a) adaxial leaf; (b) abaxial leaf; (c) older tree bark; (d) leaves on twig with an open flower; (e) leaves on twig with fruit; (f) closer look at ripe fruits.
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Figure 9. Distribution of M. sulawesiana found in GANP and the production forest at the border of BNWNP in North Sulawesi.
Figure 9. Distribution of M. sulawesiana found in GANP and the production forest at the border of BNWNP in North Sulawesi.
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Table 1. Parameters analyzed in each data category.
Table 1. Parameters analyzed in each data category.
TemperaturePrecipitationTopography
AMTAPE (Elevation)
DRTPDMS (slope)
MinTPWMA (Aspect)
MaxTPCQ
TARPWQ
TSPDQ
LSTPWEQ
IsotPS
Table 2. Classification of Magnolia spp. distribution prediction based on covariance model analysis.
Table 2. Classification of Magnolia spp. distribution prediction based on covariance model analysis.
ClassDescription
1Not a natural distribution area because the parameter values are out of range.
2Possible distribution area of Magnolia spp. Because one of the parameter values is within range.
3Possible distribution area of Magnolia spp. Because two of the parameter values are within range (elevation and temperature annual range).
4Possible distribution area of Magnolia spp. Because two of the parameter values are within range (elevation and precipitation seasonality).
5Possible distribution area of Magnolia spp. because two of the parameter values are within range (temperature annual range and precipitation seasonality).
6High possible distribution area because all parameter values are within range.
Table 3. Confusion matrix of the validation distribution test.
Table 3. Confusion matrix of the validation distribution test.
Reference
Class12..m
Map1p11p12p1.p1mp1.
2p21p22p2.p2mp2.
..p.1p.2p..p.mp..
npn1pn2pn.pnmpn.
p.1p.2p.np.m1
Table 4. Statistical descriptions for temperature indicators.
Table 4. Statistical descriptions for temperature indicators.
VariableTree SpeciesAverageStandard DeviationCoefficient of VarianMinMax
AMTMagnolia spp.231.56.419.926.4
M. sulawesiana212.310.919.525.0
DRTMagnolia spp.8.40.060.88.28.5
M. sulawesiana8.40.050.78.48.5
MinTMagnolia spp.18.31.58.215.221.9
M. sulawesiana16.22.314.014.720.2
MaxTMagnolia spp.28.21.45.125.231.5
M. sulawesiana26.22.38.724.730.2
TARMagnolia spp.9.90.090.99.610.0
M. sulawesiana100.00.010.010.0
TSMagnolia spp.2.90.310.12.23.8
M. sulawesiana2.40.14.72.32.5
LSTMagnolia spp.26.51.86.721.430.8
M. sulawesiana25.31.97.422.627.4
IsotMagnolia spp.84.30.50.683.086.0
M. sulawesiana84.40.50.784.085.0
Table 5. Statistical descriptions for precipitation indicators.
Table 5. Statistical descriptions for precipitation indicators.
VariableTree SpeciesAverageStandard DeviationCoefficient of VarianMinMax
APMagnolia spp.2414.0171.77.12061.03034.0
M. sulawesiana2290.6210.69.21915.02407.0
PDMMagnolia spp.101.711.211.086.0135.0
M. sulawesiana103.46.56.392.0108.0
PWMMagnolia spp.281.735.712.7234.0430.0
M. sulawesiana266.234.813.1204.0284.0
PCQMagnolia spp.738.981.011.0550.01080.0
M. sulawesiana474.257.212.1427.0551.0
PWQMagnolia spp.512.8129.025.2334.0755.0
M. sulawesiana553.874.313.4421.0592.0
PDQMagnolia spp.358.632.79.1313.0451.0
M. sulawesiana377.237.29.9311.0398.0
PWEQMagnolia spp.777.386.411.1632.01141.0
M. sulawesiana705.665.39.3589.0742.0
PSMagnolia spp.27.92.17.424.039.0
M. sulawesiana23.60.52.323.024.0
Table 6. Statistical descriptions for topography parameter.
Table 6. Statistical descriptions for topography parameter.
VariableTree SpeciesAverageStandard DeviationCoefficient of VarianMinMax
ElevationMagnolia spp.638.49288.5045.1830.001345.00
M. sulawesiana101748747.931791414
SlopeMagnolia spp.89.9960.005270.0189.91390.000
M. sulawesiana89.9970.001770.0089.99589.999
AspectMagnolia spp.202.15106.0152.440.00359.40
M. sulawesiana197.1123.962.8454.4329.0
Table 7. F-test results for all habitat characteristic categories.
Table 7. F-test results for all habitat characteristic categories.
Categoriesp-Value F Test
TemperatureAnnual mean temperature (AMT)0.09
Diurnal range temperature (DRT)0.87
Temperature minimum (MinT)0.11
Temperature maximum (MaxT)0.09
Temperature annual range (TAR)2.2 × 10−16 **
Temperature seasonality (TS)0.07
Land surface temperature (LST)0.72
Isothermality0.65
PrecipitationAnnual Precipitation (AP)0.39
Precipitation of driest month (PDM)0.29
Precipitation of wettest month (PWM)0.87
Precipitation of coldest quarter (PCQ)0.53
Precipitation of warmest quarter (PWQ)0.29
Precipitation of driest quarter (PDQ)0.54
Precipitation of Wettest quarter (PWEQ)0.63
Precipitation Seasonality (PS)0.02 **
TopographyElevation (E)0.04 **
Slope (S)0.04 **
Aspect (A)0.49
** significantly different.
Table 8. Accuracy test classification results for Magnolia spp.
Table 8. Accuracy test classification results for Magnolia spp.
Class01p0peκσκ
Magnolia spp.000001100%0
10116116
0116116
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Kinho, J.; Arini, D.I.D.; Abdulah, L.; Susanti, R.; Irawan, A.; Yulianti, M.; Subarudi, S.; Imanuddin, R.; Wardani, M.; Denny, D.; et al. Habitat Characteristics of Magnolia Based on Spatial Analysis: Landscape Protection to Conserve Endemic and Endangered Magnolia sulawesiana Brambach, Noot., and Culmsee. Forests 2022, 13, 802. https://doi.org/10.3390/f13050802

AMA Style

Kinho J, Arini DID, Abdulah L, Susanti R, Irawan A, Yulianti M, Subarudi S, Imanuddin R, Wardani M, Denny D, et al. Habitat Characteristics of Magnolia Based on Spatial Analysis: Landscape Protection to Conserve Endemic and Endangered Magnolia sulawesiana Brambach, Noot., and Culmsee. Forests. 2022; 13(5):802. https://doi.org/10.3390/f13050802

Chicago/Turabian Style

Kinho, Julianus, Diah Irawati Dwi Arini, Lutfy Abdulah, Ruliyana Susanti, Arif Irawan, Mira Yulianti, Subarudi Subarudi, Rinaldi Imanuddin, Marfuah Wardani, Denny Denny, and et al. 2022. "Habitat Characteristics of Magnolia Based on Spatial Analysis: Landscape Protection to Conserve Endemic and Endangered Magnolia sulawesiana Brambach, Noot., and Culmsee" Forests 13, no. 5: 802. https://doi.org/10.3390/f13050802

APA Style

Kinho, J., Arini, D. I. D., Abdulah, L., Susanti, R., Irawan, A., Yulianti, M., Subarudi, S., Imanuddin, R., Wardani, M., Denny, D., Kalima, T., Hardjana, A. K., Susilo, A., Heriansyah, I., & Tampang, A. (2022). Habitat Characteristics of Magnolia Based on Spatial Analysis: Landscape Protection to Conserve Endemic and Endangered Magnolia sulawesiana Brambach, Noot., and Culmsee. Forests, 13(5), 802. https://doi.org/10.3390/f13050802

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