1. Introduction
The assessment of the carbon sink capacity must be based on an accurate biomass, which is then converted into the carbon content and carbon dioxide equivalent. The volume-derived biomass method is used for the evaluation of forest carbon sinks and considers trees with a diameter at breast height >5 cm. However, the volume-derived biomass method has not been able to assess the carbon sink of young trees, which leads to the underestimation of the carbon sink capacity of forest ecosystems [
1]. The assessment of the carbon sink capacity of forest ecosystems has received extensive global attention [
2,
3,
4]. To address the limitations of the volume-derived biomass method, it is necessary to evaluate the carbon sink of young trees.
The lack of allometric biomass models of young trees affects the accuracy of assessing the available forest biomass, forest fuel load, and carbon sink [
5]. Due to the small size of young trees, not calculating the volume of a few young trees will not have a significant impact on the estimation of the carbon stock. However, young trees contribute significantly to the carbon sink because they grow faster than large-diameter trees [
6,
7]. In addition, reliable biomass models of young trees are particularly important in fire-prone forest ecosystems. For example, in the
Pinus brutia Ten. forests in Turkey, nearly 15% of the forest area is dominated by young trees (D ranges from 0.1 to 8) [
1].
There are differences in the definition of a young tree in different regions. In Turkey, trees with a diameter at breast height of <8 cm are considered to be young trees and are not measured in conventional forest inventory applications such as industrial round-wood production [
1]. In China, trees with a diameter at breast height of <5 cm are considered to be young trees and are not measured in forest resource inventories [
6]. The biomass estimation of young trees in Turkey mainly targeted the crown biomass component and was based on a small sample size [
8]. Due to the difficulty of obtaining biomass samples, the development of an allometric biomass model of young trees in China has been limited to a few studies.
The main methods for estimating the forest biomass include the model and remote sensing inversion methods. The most reliable way to determine the forest biomass would be to cut and weigh all the trees in the forest. However, this would be destructive, time-consuming, costly, and could only be conducted on a small scale [
9]. The model method can be used to estimate the forest biomass non-destructively. It estimates the forest biomass using readily measurable tree factors [
9,
10]. In the model method, the biomass can be estimated either by tree volume and biomass expansion factor or by the allometric biomass model. Biomass estimation on a large spatial scale can be realized using the remote sensing inversion method but atmospheric interference can affect the estimation accuracy of satellite data [
11]. Therefore, using allometric biomass models is often the best choice for estimating the forest biomass if there is information on individual trees.
The allometric relationship of young trees is different from that of old trees [
12,
13]. Bond-Lamberty et al. (2002) found that when using data samples with a large diameter at breast height, the allometric biomass models were significantly biased in estimating the biomass of small-diameter trees [
14]. Small-diameter trees play an important role in estimating forest biomass because they account for a large number of the individual trees that make up the biomass [
12]. Therefore, it is necessary to separately develop an allometric biomass model of young trees. However, only a few studies have modeled the biomass of young trees [
12,
15,
16].
The selection of the predictor is particularly important when developing an allometric biomass model. Many allometric biomass models were established between tree biomass and easily measured tree variables, such as the diameter at breast height, tree height, crown width, and wood density [
17,
18,
19]. For these developed models, the diameter at breast height is the most commonly used and reliable predictor [
20,
21]. It has also been suggested that adding tree height as a predictor to allometric biomass models can significantly improve model performance [
22,
23].
Model form selection is an important uncertainty in estimating tree biomass. The power function is the most commonly used to model allometric biomass [
24,
25]. The exponential growth of biomass based on individual size is described in a power function form [
26,
27]. However, due to resource competition, the continuous acceleration and infinite growth of individual tree biomass in forest ecosystems is not valid. The logistic model is a classical method for predicting population size. The logistic model has similar rapid growth to the power function, which then gradually flattens out and finally approaches the asymptotic value [
28]. The logistic model and power function have the same statistical validity, but the logistic model has better ecological significance and can better estimate shrub biomass [
29].
For the modeling of tree biomass, the additivity of the biomass components should be ensured, that is, the total biomass of the trees should be equal to the sum of the biomass of each component. The total biomass of the trees is usually divided into different components based on their physiological function, such as the trunk, branch, leaf, and root biomass. When more than two tree components are involved, if the biomass model of each component is fitted separately, the intrinsic correlation between the tree components is not considered. In some studies, mathematical models were selected for the different tree components, parameter fitting was carried out independently, and allometric biomass models of each component were developed. When these models were used for prediction, there was a non-additivity problem between the predicted total biomass of the trees and the predicted biomass of each component [
14,
30,
31,
32].
To solve the additivity problem, different models and estimation methods have been proposed, such as the generalized moment method (GMM) [
33], error-in-variable simultaneous equations method (EIV) [
34], proportional function control method, and algebraic sum control method [
35,
36]. Among these methods, there is no unified conclusion on the best method. Zheng et al. (2022) showed that the prediction accuracy of the proportional function control method was higher [
37]. Moreover, Xiong et al. (2023) showed that the GMM method had a better fitting performance [
25]. Fu et al. showed that the EIV method has more advantages and potential [
38].
Considering that the growth of young trees is different from that of old trees, it needs to be confirmed that the conclusions made in previous literature based on the allometric biomass model are applicable to young trees. In this study, based on the measured destructive data of young trees of Betula pendula subsp. mandshurica (Regel) Ashburner & McAll and Populus × tomentosa Carrière, the additive allometric biomass model system was established with the diameter at breast height and tree height as the predictors to ensure the additive relationship between the total biomass, aboveground biomass, and belowground biomass. We compared two additive methods, namely the proportional function control method and the algebra sum control method, to determine which method was better. We hypothesized that (1) the bivariate additive allometric biomass model system is more accurate; (2) when compared with the power function, the logistic model can better estimate the allometry of young trees; and (3) among the two additive methods, the proportional function control method is superior to the algebra sum control method.
4. Discussion
A robust allometric biomass model should be built from a large number of data samples. When the sample size of the biomass data is relatively small, the accuracy of the model may be reduced. Consequently, this study included 167 young trees, which was sufficient to conduct robust biomass modeling for two tree species. Wang (2006) established independent biomass models with only 10 trees per species using biomass data from
Pinus koraiensis and
Larix gmelinii [
45]. Additionally, Zheng et al. (2022) used the biomass data from 137 young trees on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau to establish independent biomass models with the ground diameter instead of the diameter at breast height as a predictor [
37]. Wang et al. used destructive biomass data from 501 trees in three provinces of young trees in northeast China to establish a biomass model [
13]. Furthermore, Dong et al. (2014) established an additive allometric biomass model system with sample sizes of 41 Pinus koraiensis and 122
Larix gmelinii [
46]. Then, Cui et al. (2020) harvested 45
Robinia pseudoacacia L. in the Loess Plateau of Shaanxi Province and established an additive allometric biomass model system [
22]. This study did not collect samples from different ecological regions, so this is a potential limitation. Therefore, it is suggested that young trees of
Betula pendula subsp.
mandshurica (Regel) Ashburner & McAll and
Populus ×
tomentosa Carrière should be sampled in different ecological zones in the future.
We found that the logistic function was the optimal model form for the aboveground biomass and total biomass, and the power function was more suitable for fitting the belowground biomass. Whether the traditional allometric biomass model (that is, the power function model) can fit all the observed biomass data well has been investigated by ecologists [
24,
47,
48]. Although the power function has been verified statistically in previous biomass studies, it has been challenged theoretically [
26,
29]. Consistent with our study, Ma et al. (2021) found that the logistic function was superior to the power function for estimating the allometry relationship of shrub biomass [
29]. In addition, Zhou et al. (2021) proposed the concept of a dynamic allometric scaling relationship between the trunk biomass and aboveground biomass, which was fitted to an asymptotic allometric model, and it was verified that it could fit biomass data better than a power function [
26].
As hypothesized, we found that the prediction accuracy of the model that included tree height as a predictor was significantly improved. This is consistent with many other studies [
22,
49,
50]. In contrast, Zhang et al. (2016) discovered that the addition of tree height to the biomass model did not improve the model performance as expected, especially for the branch biomass and leaf biomass [
51]. Tree height is often overlooked in forest models because it is difficult to accurately measure tree height in closed-canopy forests, and there has been substantial debate on whether to use tree height as a predictor for biomass models [
52]. For young trees, it is easy to measure the tree height. Therefore, in practical applications, it is more appropriate to use the bivariate additive allometric biomass model that was developed in this study.
We have verified that the sum of the predicted values of each biomass component model was different from the predicted values of the total biomass model when using the independent fitting model. The disadvantage of the independent fitting model is that additivity is not satisfied. In contrast, the two additive allometric biomass models that were developed have clear advantages. The models of the total biomass, aboveground biomass, and belowground biomass were fitted using simultaneous equations to explain the intrinsic correlation between the biomass components of the same tree. Therefore, it is crucial to emphasize the benefit of using the additive allometric biomass model in practical applications.
There are many additive modeling methods. However, we found that the proportional function control method was superior to the algebraic sum control method in the univariate dimension, and the algebraic sum control method was superior to the proportional function control method in the bivariate dimension. Many studies have used algebraic sum and proportional function control methods to construct additive allometric biomass model systems. For instance, Liu et al. (2023) conducted destructive sampling of trees on Hainan Island and established an additive allometric biomass model using the algebraic sum control method, which satisfied the additivity of the aboveground biomass, branch biomass, and leaf biomass [
19]. Furthermore, Wang et al. (2018) established an additive allometric biomass model based on diameter at breast height and height in a young forest of
Betula pendula subsp.
mandshurica (Regel) Ashburner & McAll in northeast China using the algebraic sum control method [
13]. Moreover, Fu et al. (2016) established an additive allometric biomass model with
Pinus massoniana Lamb. in southern China using the algebraic sum control method [
38]. Then, Zhang et al. (2016) established one-, two-, and three-variable additive allometric biomass models for
Populus ×
tomentosa Carrière in the Jiangsu Province, China using the proportional function control method [
51]. Zeng et al. (2017) realized the additivity between the aboveground biomass and four biomass components, the trunk, bark, branches, and leaves [
53]. The proportional function control method is first fitted to the whole tree biomass, and then the proportional function is used to allocate the tree biomass to each biomass component. The algebraic sum control method is used to directly model the biomass component, and then the total biomass is obtained by adding the biomasses of each component. In the practice of forestry production, the goal is to obtain the whole tree biomass or the aboveground biomass, so the additive model that is developed using the proportional function control method is more practical.
Whether the sample data need to be divided into modeling data and testing data is still a controversial issue. Some studies suggest that the applicability of evaluating the predictive ability of the model by calculating the evaluation index of the modeling data must be tested [
54]. However, Kozak and Kozak (2003) concluded that grouping samples for suitability tests would result in the loss of part of the modeling information and would not provide additional information for model evaluation [
55]. To make full use of the sample information, this study did not distinguish between modeling samples and test samples, and all the sample data were used to build the biomass models.
5. Conclusions
In this study, two additive allometric biomass model systems of young trees of
Betula pendula subsp.
mandshurica (Regel) Ashburner & McAll and
Populus ×
tomentosa Carrière were established, these provide a theoretical reference and technical support for estimating the biomass of young trees at a single tree scale. The two yield table is given for the application of the model (
Tables S2 and S3). Our research results will provide a quantitative basis for the monitoring of carbon stocks and carbon sink evaluation of young trees in China. We found that the logistic function was more suitable for explaining the allometric growth relationship between the aboveground biomass, total biomass, and diameter at breast height of young trees; the power function was more suitable for explaining the allometric growth relationship between the belowground biomass and diameter at breast height of young trees. In the actual modeling process, an appropriate model form should be selected for the different biomass components since the biomass results of independent fitting models are not additive. The bivariate additive allometric model system has higher accuracy. Thus, in practical applications, we recommend the bivariate additive allometric model as the first choice. There was no consensus on which of the two additive methods was better. In the univariate dimension, the proportional function control method was superior to the algebraic sum control method. In the bivariate dimension, the algebraic sum control method was superior to the proportional function control method. In the actual modeling process, it is necessary to compare the methods and choose the best additive method.
The biomass of young trees is influenced by a variety of abiotic and biological factors, including climate, stand structure, and site conditions. Thus, it is suggested that future studies should consider including these factors as additional predictors. Mixed effect models have been shown to have advantages in improving the accuracy of model estimation. Therefore, the biomass prediction could be improved by combining the mixed effect model with the additive model.