Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Urban Emergency Response Resilience During Public Health Crises: A Case Study of Wuhan
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. Urban Resilience
2.2. Current Research Trends
2.3. The Connection Between Emergency Response and Resilience
2.4. Construction of Emergency Capability Resilience Evaluation Index System
2.5. Research Gaps
2.6. The Significance of Studying Urban Resilience in the Context of Sudden Public Health Emergencies
2.7. Summary
3. Identification of Study Area and Data Sources
3.1. Study Area
3.2. Data Sources
4. Research Methods
4.1. Entropy Method of Empowerment
- (1)
- Isotropic processing
- (2)
- Normalization process
4.2. Theil Index Analysis of Regional Differences
4.3. Natural Breakpoint Method to Analyze the Spatial Distribution of Resilience
4.4. Diagnosis of Factors at the Indicator Level of the Obstacle Degree Model
5. Results and Discussion
5.1. Evaluation of Resilience Levels
5.1.1. Jurisdictional Resilience Evaluation
5.1.2. Overall Resilience Evaluation
5.1.3. Subsystem Resilience Evaluation
5.2. Time Series Analysis of Resilience Evolution
5.3. Spatial Analysis of the Evolution of Resilience
5.4. Problems and Responses
5.4.1. Diagnosis of Handicap Degree Factors
5.4.2. Responses and Recommendations
6. Conclusions
- (1)
- The resilience level in the Wuhan District fluctuated over time. During the early stages of the pandemic, an active pandemic prevention policy significantly improved the resistance and resilience of the city. In the later stage, the resilience level slightly decreased owing to the relaxation of pandemic prevention measures and the reduction in public awareness of pandemic prevention.
- (2)
- The analysis of the Theil index revealed significant differences in the spatial distribution of emergency response capacity resilience. The resilience level is higher in the central city and lower in the fringe areas and is mainly affected by the distribution of resources, economic level, and residential structure. However, with policy adjustments, regional integration, and the participation of social forces, inter-regional differences show a decreasing trend, indicating that regional cooperation and coordination are key to future urban emergency response capacity building.
- (3)
- The diagnosis of the obstacle degree factor indicated that the obstacle degrees of resistance, resilience, and adaptability decreased with time. The main obstacles are scientific and technological innovation capacity, social rescue capacity, and population size. To enhance the urban emergency response capacity, the government, enterprises, social organizations, and residents need to participate together. The government should support scientific research, optimize the investments in pandemic prevention resources, promote resource sharing and exchange through social organizations, enhance residents’ awareness of prevention and control, and regulate public mobility.
- (4)
- COVID-19 has revealed the weaknesses of a city’s emergency response capacity-building and has provided an opportunity for improvement in building resilience. It is recommended that measures, such as diversified strategies, site-specific adaptation, and regional coordination, be adopted to optimize the system dynamics mechanism and enhance the resilience of the urban emergency response capacity. Regional cooperation and exchange are promoted by combining the characteristics of each district to form a development pattern of sharing resources and complementing each other’s strengths to jointly meet the challenges of emergencies. Simultaneously, it is important to mobilize the enthusiasm of all parties to build together, formulate scientific policies, strengthen the social rescue capacity, optimize the population size and structure, improve the quality of personnel, and jointly enhance the urban emergency response capacity.
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Primary Indicators | Secondary Indicators | Description of Indicators | Stage 1 Weights | Stage 2 Weights | Stage 3 Weights |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance (A1) | Population (B1) | Jurisdictional population density (persons/km2) | 0.1103 | 0.1051 | 0.0997 |
Real economy security capacity (B2) | Number of industrial units above the large-scale (units) | 0.0709 | 0.0771 | 0.0731 | |
Medical security capability (B3) | Number of non COVID-19 designated hospitals opened | 0.0561 | 0.0492 | 0.0699 | |
Service System Support Capability (B4) | Regional tertiary sector GDP (billion yuan) | 0.0412 | 0.0426 | 0.0368 | |
Natural environmental protection capacity (B5) | Soil erosion rate (%) | 0.0808 | 0.0783 | 0.0685 | |
Adaptability (A2) | Age structure (B6) | Urbanization rate of resident population (%) | 0.0345 | 0.0389 | 0.0386 |
Education level (B7) | Total number of students allocated to model senior high schools (number) | 0.0766 | 0.0754 | 0.0761 | |
Social rescue capability (B8) | No. of vaccination points (number) | 0.0001 | 0.0525 | 0.0438 | |
Self rescue and mutual rescue ability (B9) | Cumulative number of confirmed cases reported (number) | 0.0605 | 0.0863 | 0.0824 | |
Urban Comprehensive Management Capability (B10) | “Big City Management” assessment (scores) | 0.0352 | 0.0376 | 0.0358 | |
Resilience (A3) | Medical service personnel (B11) | Health technicians (persons) | 0.0512 | 0.0557 | 0.0495 |
Government Financial Strength (B12) | GDP per capita (10,000 yuan per person) | 0.0852 | 0.0617 | 0.0585 | |
Life support capacity (B13) | Urban per capita disposable income (yuan people) | 0.0528 | 0.0422 | 0.0415 | |
Economic Stability (B14) | Unemployment rate (%) | 0.0796 | 0.0193 | 0.0505 | |
Technological innovation capability (B15) | State-level science and technology business incubators (number) | 0.165 | 0.1783 | 0.1754 |
Districts | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Average Score |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jiangan District | 0.3776 | 0.3314 | 0.3601 | 0.3564 |
Jianghan District | 0.4714 | 0.5259 | 0.4806 | 0.4926 |
Qiaokou District | 0.3243 | 0.358 | 0.3107 | 0.3310 |
Hanyang District | 0.2453 | 0.228 | 0.2567 | 0.2433 |
Wuchang District | 0.5456 | 0.5289 | 0.5307 | 0.5351 |
Qingshan District | 0.257 | 0.304 | 0.2566 | 0.2725 |
Hongshan District | 0.4096 | 0.449 | 0.4362 | 0.4316 |
East-West District | 0.2754 | 0.2438 | 0.2473 | 0.2555 |
Caidian District | 0.1113 | 0.1649 | 0.1828 | 0.1530 |
Jiangxia District | 0.1765 | 0.2197 | 0.2252 | 0.2071 |
Huangpi District | 0.1596 | 0.2072 | 0.2045 | 0.1904 |
Xinzhou District | 0.1848 | 0.1992 | 0.1923 | 0.1921 |
Hannan District | 0.3143 | 0.3827 | 0.3323 | 0.3431 |
Evaluation Mean | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 |
---|---|---|---|
Resistance Mean | 0.1065 | 0.1123 | 0.1075 |
Resilience Mean | 0.0613 | 0.0926 | 0.0855 |
Mean Resilience | 0.1286 | 0.1138 | 0.1160 |
Overall resilience Mean | 0.2964 | 0.3187 | 0.3090 |
Stages | Total Theil Index | Center District Cluster Theil Index | Core District Cluster Theil Index | Eastern District Cluster Theil Index | Western District Cluster Theil Index | Suburban District Cluster Theil Index | Inter-Regional Theil Index |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stage 1 | 0.0866 | 0.0120 | 0.0739 | 0.0264 | 0.0647 | 0.0455 | 0.0460 |
(4.20%) | (17.52%) | (5.28%) | (10.92%) | (8.98%) | (53.09%) | ||
Stage 2 | 0.0678 | 0.0218 | 0.0812 | 0.0187 | 0.0128 | 0.0490 | 0.0318 |
(9.41%) | (21.88%) | (5.00%) | (2.86%) | (13.77%) | (46.93%) | ||
Stage 3 | 0.0594 | 0.0169 | 0.0618 | 0.0340 | 0.0076 | 0.0324 | 0.0295 |
(8.17%) | (20.41%) | (9.87%) | (2.10%) | (9.91%) | (49.66%) |
Primary Indicators | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Average Value |
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | 12.24 | 12.21 | 12.14 | 12.20 |
Adaptability | 11.96 | 11.94 | 11.85 | 11.92 |
resilience | 11.26 | 11.23 | 11.12 | 11.20 |
Districts | Resistance | Adaptability | Resilience |
---|---|---|---|
Jiangan District | 1→1 (0.9307%) | 2→2 (0.9087%) | 3→3 (0.8510%) |
Jianghan District | 1→1 (0.9236%) | 2→2 (0.9012%) | 3→3 (0.8410%) |
Qiaokou District | 1→1 (0.9343%) | 2→2(0.9125%) | 3→3 (0.8560%) |
Hanyang District | 1→1 (0.9380%) | 2→2 (0.9164%) | 3→3 (0.8613%) |
Wuchang District | 1→1 (0.9187%) | 2→2 (0.8960%) | 3→3 (0.8342%) |
Qingshan District | 1→1(0.9376%) | 2→2 (0.9160%) | 3→3 (0.8607%) |
Hongshan District | 1→1 (0.9252%) | 2→2 (0.9028%) | 3→3 (0.8432%) |
East-West District | 1→1 (0.9380%) | 2→2 (0.9164%) | 3→3 (0.8613%) |
Caidian District | 1→1 (0.9427%) | 2→2 (0.9214%) | 3→3 (0.8679%) |
Jiangxia District | 1→1 (0.9380%) | 2→2 (0.9165%) | 3→3 (0.8613%) |
Huangpi District | 1→1 (0.9379%) | 2→2 (0.9163%) | 3→3 (0.8611%) |
Xinzhou District | 1→1 (0.9403%) | 2→2 (0.9188%) | 3→3 (0.8645%) |
Hannan District | 1→1 (0.9322%) | 2→2 (0.9103%) | 3→3 (0.8531%) |
Districts | Arrange in Order | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
Jiangan District | B15 (0.4578%) | B8 (0.3189%) | B1 (0.2807%) | B5 (0.2060%) | B9 (0.2047%) |
Jianghan District | B15 (0.4494%) | B8 (0.3150%) | B1 (0.2777%) | B5 (0.2044%) | B9 (0.2031%) |
Qiaokou District | B15 (0.4620%) | B8 (0.3209%) | B1 (0.2822%) | B5 (0.2068%) | B9 (0.2054%) |
Hanyang District | B15 (0.4664%) | B8 (0.3229%) | B1 (0.2838%) | B5 (0.2076%) | B9 (0.2062%) |
Wuchang District | B15 (0.4437%) | B8 (0.3124%) | B1 (0.2757%) | B5 (0.2033%) | B9 (0.2021%) |
Qingshan District | B15 (0.4660%) | B8 (0.3227%) | B1 (0.2836%) | B5 (0.2075%) | B9 (0.2062%) |
Hongshan District | B15 (0.4513%) | B8 (0.3159%) | B1 (0.2784%) | B5 (0.2047%) | B9 (0.2035%) |
East-West District | B15 (0.4665%) | B8 (0.3229%) | B1 (0.2838%) | B5 (0.2076%) | B9 (0.2063%) |
Caidian District | B15 (0.4720%) | B8 (0.3255%) | B1 (0.2857%) | B5 (0.2086%) | B9 (0.2073%) |
Jiangxia District | B15 (0.4665%) | B8 (0.3229%) | B1 (0.2838%) | B5 (0.2076%) | B9 (0.2063%) |
Huangpi District | B15 (0.4663%) | B8 (0.3229%) | B1 (0.2837%) | B5 (0.2076%) | B9 (0.2062%) |
Xinzhou District | B15 (0.4691%) | B8 (0.3241%) | B1 (0.2847%) | B5 (0.2081%) | B9 (0.2067%) |
Hannan District | B15 (0.4596%) | B8 (0.3197%) | B1 (0.2813%) | B5 (0.2063%) | B9 (0.2050%) |
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Sun, J.-Y.; Zhou, L.-Y.; Deng, J.-Y.; Zhang, C.-Y.; Xing, H.-G. Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Urban Emergency Response Resilience During Public Health Crises: A Case Study of Wuhan. Sustainability 2024, 16, 9091. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16209091
Sun J-Y, Zhou L-Y, Deng J-Y, Zhang C-Y, Xing H-G. Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Urban Emergency Response Resilience During Public Health Crises: A Case Study of Wuhan. Sustainability. 2024; 16(20):9091. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16209091
Chicago/Turabian StyleSun, Jia-Ying, Lang-Yu Zhou, Jun-Yuan Deng, Chao-Yong Zhang, and Hui-Ge Xing. 2024. "Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Urban Emergency Response Resilience During Public Health Crises: A Case Study of Wuhan" Sustainability 16, no. 20: 9091. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16209091
APA StyleSun, J.-Y., Zhou, L.-Y., Deng, J.-Y., Zhang, C.-Y., & Xing, H.-G. (2024). Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Urban Emergency Response Resilience During Public Health Crises: A Case Study of Wuhan. Sustainability, 16(20), 9091. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16209091