Assessment and Forecasting of the Environmental Sustainability Statuses of Innovative Enterprises in the Context of Sustainable Development
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. Environmental Sustainability and Innovations
2.2. Environmental Sustainability Management of Enterprises
2.3. Environmental Sustainability of Enterprises and SDGs Achievement
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- The importance of implementing environmental innovations in the context of the SDGs;
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- The need to invest in clean technologies;
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- Ensuring competitive advantages, environmental, social, and economic effects through the introduction of environmental innovations;
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- The need to develop and implement environmental innovation strategies to ensure economic growth and prevent environmental degradation;
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- The importance of integrating eco-orientation into the corporate culture of enterprises;
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- The importance of assessing and forecasting the environmental sustainability of innovative enterprises.
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- The mechanism for managing the environmental sustainability of innovative enterprises;
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- The system of intelligent environmental monitoring of the environmental sustainability of enterprises, their networks, and territorial entities;
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- Methods and tools for predicting future states of environmental sustainability based on the assessment of the current ones.
3. Materials and Methods
- Simplicity of modeling with minimal data (e.g., while regression models require a large number of precise input variables and their relationships, for Markov chains it is enough to know only the transition probabilities between states).
- Dynamic modeling of transitions between states (e.g., while many models (especially deterministic ones) assume fixed states without a clear transition logic, the Markov approach naturally describes how an enterprise moves between levels of environmental sustainability over time).
- Probabilistic nature of changes (e.g., while some methods such as system dynamics or linear programming are often based on exact cause-and-effect relationships, the Markov chain allows for uncertainty, which is typical in the field of ecology, where many variables (policy changes, climate, public pressure) are random).
- Minimum assumptions on dependencies (e.g., while regression analyses often require linear (or other) relationships between variables, Markov models do not require them, as they are based only on the probability of transition from one state to another).
- Possibility of long-term forecasts (e.g., while optimization or factor analysis methods can be effective for short-term decisions, Markov chains are easily adaptable to modeling future states 5, 10, or even 50 steps ahead—and allow us to estimate which state is most likely in the long term (stable distribution)).
- Flexibility in representing complex systems (e.g., one can add more states, include external events (extended Markov processes), or even use hidden Markov chains if the real state of the system is observed indirectly (for example, by indicators)).
4. Results
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- Developing an integrated system for stimulating, supporting, and regulating environmentally sustainable innovation activities;
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- Increasing resources for the implementation of environmental innovation projects;
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- Developing a range of environmental innovation projects;
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- Participating in targeted international, national, regional, and anthropological environmental programs and innovative projects;
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- Motivating employees to develop environmentally sustainable innovation activities;
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- Developing criteria for selecting potential opportunities for R&D of the enterprise for the production of competitive innovative environmental products;
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- Developing indicators to assess dynamics and statics of environmentally sustainable development of the enterprise and make corresponding managerial decisions.
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- Comprehensive assessment of the efficiency of environmental management during the life cycle of IE, its adaptivity, and investment attractiveness: analysis of capital and current environmental costs; analysis of the effectiveness of environmental measures.
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- Analysis of the economic efficiency of environmental protection activities.
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- Information support for the company’s management and other stakeholder groups to make and implement optimal management decisions.
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- Analysis of environmental risks and quality of management decisions related to environmental management processes and introduction of resource-saving technologies and technologies for waste utilization and recycling.
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- Assessment of the efficiency of environmental taxation and other environmental obligations.
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- Modeling, evaluation, and forecasting of environmental and economic processes and their impact on the long-term sustainable development of the enterprise.
5. Discussion
6. Limitations
7. Conclusions
- better integration of economic and environmental policies in order to achieve a balance between economic growth and environmental sustainability;
- promoting collaboration between public and private sectors in the creation and implementation of environmental policies;
- encouraging investment in sustainable practices, green innovations, and technology through fiscal incentives, subsidies for R&D, and financing ecoprojects;
- more effective environmental regulations by setting clear emission standards and implementing transparent intellectual environmental monitoring;
- investing in sustainable infrastructure to support both environmental sustainability and economic growth;
- increasing public awareness of environmental sustainability and the level of ecological culture.
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- The system of indicators of environmental sustainability of IEs, their networks, and territorial units;
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- Modern mathematical tools to support the adoption and implementation of management decisions, in particular, methods and tools for processing big data, since it is a matter of working with large amounts of environmental information.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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№ | Methods | Characteristics | Application in the Research |
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1 | Analytical | A tool for studying the peculiarities and specifics of intra-system interaction, including results of abstraction, simplification, and formalization | Description of the statuses of environmental sustainability of IEs by the system of Kolmogorov differential equations and the corresponding system of algebraic equations |
2 | Cognitive science | Methods of building logical and cognitive models | Building an intelligent environmental monitoring of IEs |
3 | Expert evaluation | A method of scientific and technical forecasting of the future development of an object built on expert opinions | Assessment of the statuses of environmental sustainability of IEs and their corresponding indicators by using a scoring system |
4 | Markov chains | Markov random processes with discrete states and discrete time | Presentation of IEs’ environmental sustainability statuses |
5 | Structural design | A set of rules and procedures for building a functional model of the research object | Building a functional structure of the intellectual environmental monitoring of IEs |
6 | Synthelectics | Methods of collaborative thinking, synthesis of natural and artificial intelligence | Synthesis of natural and artificial intelligences in intelligent environmental monitoring |
№ | Indicators | Characteristics of the Indicators |
---|---|---|
1 | Volume of toxic waste | Volume of toxic waste—the amount of waste containing harmful substances (mercury, lead, cadmium, and other heavy metals) that can harm human health or the environment |
2 | Volume of production emissions | Volumes of pollutants or their mixtures released by enterprises into the atmosphere |
3 | Efficiency of low-waste technologies | Efficiency of production of products, in which a part of raw materials and supplies is transformed into waste |
4 | Efficiency of resource-saving technologies | Efficiency of resource-saving technologies that ensure absolute and relative reduction in material, technical, and energy resources |
5 | Volume of primary waste | The amount of waste generated directly during production |
6 | Degree of recycling of primary waste | The extent to which waste is used as a secondary raw material and its processing to recover useful components as fully as possible |
7 | Efficiency of energy-saving technologies | Efficiency of energy-saving technologies used in production and vehicles |
8 | Volume of natural resources used | Volume of natural resources utilization of the territorial unit |
9 | Quality of workplaces | The quality of a unit of the production structure, which contains a part of the space of the production unit that is required for the labor operation and is equipped with material and technical means used in the process |
10 | Efficiency of environmental protection measures | The efficiency of measures to maintain the optimal state of the natural environment and eliminate damage from anthropogenic and man-made impacts |
Statuses of Environmental Sustainability (SES) | Symbols | Total Points (SP) | Points (P) | Indicators of Environmental Sustainability |
---|---|---|---|---|
Very high environmental sustainability | SES1 | 80 < SP ≤ 100 | 8 < P ≤ 10 | Very low volumes of toxic waste |
8 < P ≤ 10 | Very low production emissions | |||
8 < P ≤ 10 | Very efficient low-waste technologies | |||
8 < P ≤ 10 | Very efficient resource-saving technologies | |||
8 < P ≤ 10 | Very low volumes of primary waste | |||
8 < P ≤ 10 | Very high degree of recycling of primary waste | |||
8 < P ≤ 10 | Very efficient energy-saving technologies | |||
8 < P ≤ 10 | Very low use of natural resources | |||
8 < P ≤ 10 | Very high quality of jobs | |||
8 < P ≤ 10 | Very efficient environmental protection measures | |||
High environmental sustainability | SES2 | 60 < SP ≤ 80 | 6 < P ≤ 8 | Low volumes of toxic waste |
6 < P ≤ 8 | Low production emissions | |||
6 < P ≤ 8 | High efficiency of low-waste technologies | |||
6 < P ≤ 8 | High efficiency of resource-saving technologies | |||
6 < P ≤ 8 | Low volumes of primary waste | |||
6 < P ≤ 8 | High degree of recycling of primary waste | |||
6 < P ≤ 8 | High efficiency of energy-saving technologies | |||
6 < P ≤ 8 | Low use of natural resources | |||
6 < P ≤ 8 | High quality of jobs | |||
6 < P ≤ 8 | High efficiency of environmental protection measures | |||
Satisfactory environmental sustainability | SES3 | 40 < SP ≤ 60 | 4 < P ≤ 6 | Permissible volumes of toxic waste |
4 < P ≤ 6 | Permissible production emissions | |||
4 < P ≤ 6 | Satisfactory efficiency of low-waste technologies | |||
4 < P ≤ 6 | Satisfactory efficiency of resource-saving technologies | |||
4 < P ≤ 6 | Permissible volumes of primary waste | |||
4 < P ≤ 6 | Satisfactory degree of recycling of primary waste | |||
4 < P ≤ 6 | Satisfactory efficiency of energy-saving technologies | |||
4 < P ≤ 6 | Permissible volumes of use of natural resources | |||
4 < P ≤ 6 | Satisfactory quality of jobs | |||
4 < P ≤ 6 | Satisfactory efficiency of environmental protection measures | |||
Low environmental sustainability | SES4 | 20 < SP ≤ 40 | 2 < P ≤ 4 | High volumes of toxic waste |
2 < P ≤ 4 | High production emissions | |||
2 < P ≤ 4 | Low efficiency of low-waste technologies | |||
2 < P ≤ 4 | Low efficiency of resource-saving technologies | |||
2 < P ≤ 4 | High volumes of primary waste | |||
2 < P ≤ 4 | Low degree of recycling of primary waste | |||
2 < P ≤ 4 | Low efficiency of energy-saving technologies | |||
2 < P ≤ 4 | High volumes of use of natural resources | |||
2 < P ≤ 4 | Low quality of jobs | |||
2 < P ≤ 4 | Low efficiency of environmental protection measures | |||
Very low environmental sustainability | SES5 | 0 ≤ SP ≤ 20 | 0 ≤ P ≤ 2 | Very high volumes of toxic waste |
0 ≤ P ≤ 2 | Very high production emissions | |||
0 ≤ P ≤ 2 | Very low efficiency of low-waste technologies | |||
0 ≤ P ≤ 2 | Very low efficiency of resource-saving technologies | |||
0 ≤ P ≤ 2 | Very high volumes of primary waste | |||
0 ≤ P ≤ 2 | Very low degree of recycling of primary waste | |||
0 ≤ P ≤ 2 | Very low efficiency of energy-saving technologies | |||
0 ≤ P ≤ 2 | Very high volumes of use of natural resources | |||
0 ≤ P ≤ 2 | Very low quality of jobs | |||
0 ≤ P ≤ 2 | Very low efficiency of environmental protection measures |
Statuses | Years | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | ||
The Values of Probabilities of the Statuses | ||||||
1 | Very high environmental sustainability (P1) | 0.036 | 0.071 | 0.111 | 0.154 | 0.198 |
2 | High environmental sustainability (P2) | 0.083 | 0.115 | 0.148 | 0.177 | 0.202 |
3 | Satisfactory environmental sustainability (P3) | 0.202 | 0.240 | 0.254 | 0.253 | 0.245 |
4 | Low environmental sustainability (P4) | 0.357 | 0.312 | 0.272 | 0.237 | 0.206 |
5 | Very low environmental sustainability (P5) | 0.322 | 0.262 | 0.215 | 0.179 | 0.149 |
Σ·Pi | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
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Odrekhivskyi, M.; Kohut, U.; Kolomatskyi, V.; Horbal, N.; Wołowiec, T.; Dluhopolska, T. Assessment and Forecasting of the Environmental Sustainability Statuses of Innovative Enterprises in the Context of Sustainable Development. Sustainability 2025, 17, 3641. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17083641
Odrekhivskyi M, Kohut U, Kolomatskyi V, Horbal N, Wołowiec T, Dluhopolska T. Assessment and Forecasting of the Environmental Sustainability Statuses of Innovative Enterprises in the Context of Sustainable Development. Sustainability. 2025; 17(8):3641. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17083641
Chicago/Turabian StyleOdrekhivskyi, Mykola, Uliana Kohut, Volodymyr Kolomatskyi, Natalia Horbal, Tomasz Wołowiec, and Tetiana Dluhopolska. 2025. "Assessment and Forecasting of the Environmental Sustainability Statuses of Innovative Enterprises in the Context of Sustainable Development" Sustainability 17, no. 8: 3641. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17083641
APA StyleOdrekhivskyi, M., Kohut, U., Kolomatskyi, V., Horbal, N., Wołowiec, T., & Dluhopolska, T. (2025). Assessment and Forecasting of the Environmental Sustainability Statuses of Innovative Enterprises in the Context of Sustainable Development. Sustainability, 17(8), 3641. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17083641