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Article

Estimation of Long-Term Surface Downward Longwave Radiation over the Global Land from 2000 to 2018

State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, Jointly Sponsored by Beijing Normal University and Aerospace Information Research Institute of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
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Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Remote Sens. 2021, 13(9), 1848; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13091848
Submission received: 28 March 2021 / Revised: 23 April 2021 / Accepted: 3 May 2021 / Published: 9 May 2021
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances on Land–Ocean Heat Fluxes Using Remote Sensing)

Abstract

:
It is of great importance for climate change studies to construct a worldwide, long-term surface downward longwave radiation (Ld, 4–100 μm) dataset. Although a number of global Ld datasets are available, their low accuracies and coarse spatial resolutions limit their applications. This study generated a daily Ld dataset with a 5-km spatial resolution over the global land surface from 2000 to 2018 using atmospheric parameters, which include 2-m air temperature (Ta), relative humidity (RH) at 1000 hPa, total column water vapor (TCWV), surface downward shortwave radiation (Sd), and elevation, based on the gradient boosting regression tree (GBRT) method. The generated Ld dataset was evaluated using ground measurements collected from AmeriFlux, AsiaFlux, baseline surface radiation network (BSRN), surface radiation budget network (SURFRAD), and FLUXNET networks. The validation results showed that the root mean square error (RMSE), mean bias error (MBE), and correlation coefficient (R) values of the generated daily Ld dataset were 17.78 W m−2, 0.99 W m−2, and 0.96 (p < 0.01). Comparisons with other global land surface radiation products indicated that the generated Ld dataset performed better than the clouds and earth’s radiant energy system synoptic (CERES-SYN) edition 4.1 dataset and ERA5 reanalysis product at the selected sites. In addition, the analysis of the spatiotemporal characteristics for the generated Ld dataset showed an increasing trend of 1.8 W m−2 per decade (p < 0.01) from 2003 to 2018, which was closely related to Ta and water vapor pressure. In general, the generated Ld dataset has a higher spatial resolution and accuracy, which can contribute to perfect the existing radiation products.

Graphical Abstract

1. Introduction

The surface downward longwave radiation (Ld, 4–100 μm) is an indispensable component needed to study the Earth’s surface radiation budget and energy balance [1]. Currently, there are four main ways of obtaining Ld: ground measurement data, reanalysis retrieval methods, general circulation model (GCM) simulations and satellite products. However, Ld is not always treated as a conventional observation as other common meteorological parameters are, such as air temperature (Ta), relative humidity (RH), etc. Moreover, its observation stations are sparsely distributed and even entirely absent in certain areas due to a high cost, a difficult calibration process, and a required quality control step [2,3,4,5]. In addition, there are uncertainties and biases in GCM simulations [6,7,8], reanalysis retrievals [9,10], and satellite products [11]. Therefore, establishing a more accurate long-term global Ld dataset is not only useful for improving the knowledge of the surface radiation balance but is also helpful for perfecting the existing Ld products.
Under clear-sky conditions, Ld is primarily influenced by temperature profiles and water vapor in the lower atmosphere. Zeppetello et al. [12] found that Ld is tightly coupled to surface temperature, and changes in surface temperature cause at least 63% of the clear-sky Ld response in greenhouse forcing. Water vapor is the most crucial atmospheric gas contributing to thermal radiation which can absorb and emit longwave radiation, thereby resulting in Ld estimates with great uncertainty [13]. RH, which is closely related to water vapor pressure, is the percentage of water vapor pressure in the atmosphere to the saturated vapor pressure at a given temperature. Numerous studies [5,14,15,16,17,18,19,20] have estimated Ld on the basis of traditional methods using Ta, water vapor, RH, and other basic variables derived from meteorological observations. These methods mainly include empirical, physics-based, and hybrid methods. Among them, empirical models, including the representative Brunt [14] and Brutsaert [15] equations, establish the regression relationship between various meteorological parameters and Ld observations, with an accuracy that is mainly limited by ground measurements and actual geographical environments, such as climate and terrain. Although this method is relatively simple, it is difficult to apply to Ld estimation on a large regional scope. Compared with empirical methods, physics-based methods containing the LOWTRAN and MODTRAN models can not only estimate Ld with a high accuracy but also describe the atmospheric radiative transfer process in detail [21,22,23]. Due to the intricacy of the model and the difficulty associated with obtaining an input dataset, however, this approach is only used for research and is difficult to apply to business products [4]. Hybrid methods [24,25,26,27,28] establish the relationship between Ld and the top-of-atmosphere radiance on the basis of physical radiative transfer processes. In contrast, this method, with its higher simulation accuracy and greater general applicability, can be applied on a global scale, which has become an effective method for Ld retrieval. For example, Wang et al. [27] developed a hybrid method to estimate instantaneous land clear Ld on the basis of extensive radiative transfer simulation and statistical analysis, obtaining root mean squared error (RMSE) values of 17.60 W m−2 (Terra) and 16.17 W m−2 (Aqua) for the nonlinear models.
Under cloudy conditions, the influence of clouds on Ld is also nonnegligible. Clouds are visible polymers of tiny water droplets or ice crystals formed by the condensation of water vapor in the atmosphere, which can absorb heat from the ground and radiate it back to the surface to enhance Ld [29,30]. The cloud cover fraction is mostly utilized to quantify the effects of clouds on Ld and is an essential parameter for Ld estimation under cloudy conditions, which can be obtained from ground measurements and satellite cloud detection products [31,32,33]. However, the effects of clouds cannot be corrected when cloud cover fraction observations are not available. Crawford et al. [34] first proposed that the cloud cover fraction under cloudy-sky conditions can be estimated from the proportion of the observed surface downward shortwave radiation (Sd) to the theoretical clear-sky Sd under the same conditions. They evaluated the performance of estimating Ld using Sd, barometric pressure, vapor pressure, and temperature datasets. The evaluation results showed that the RMSEs and mean bias errors (MBE) of the monthly Ld estimates ranged from 11 to 22 W m−2 and −9 to 4 W m−2 compared to ground observations over a one-year time period, respectively, which indicated that it is reliable to use Sd to represent the impact of clouds on Ld. It is easier to obtain Sd data compared with cloud cover fractions, so an increasing number of studies have utilized Sd to estimate Ld under cloudy conditions [5,13,35,36,37]. Choi et al. [35] estimated the daily Ld using 2-m air temperature, 2-m RH, and Sd observations in Florida from 2004 to 2005, obtaining RMSEs of less than 13 W m−2 and squared correlation coefficients (R2) of more than 0.9 relative to the ground measurements collected at 11 stations. Lhomme et al. [13] demonstrated that the cloud correction function of the Crawford et al. [34] model also performed relatively credibly for estimating Ld in high elevation regions between 3700 and 4100 m above sea level. The presence of clouds makes it impossible for satellites to accurately observe surface information. It is also difficult to model the properties of clouds due to the uncertainty associated with their distribution and variability. The ready availability of Sd data makes the Ld estimation model more readily applicable under cloudy conditions.
In addition, Sd and Ld both show a strong dependence on altitude. Zeng et al. [38] evaluated the global land surface satellite (GLASS) Ld product using the ground observations collected from 141 stations in six networks at different surface elevations. The RMSE values are 22.09, 23.31, 26.94, and 26.99 W m−2 at elevations of <500, 500–1000, 1000–3000, and >3000 m, respectively. The bias values are −3.19, −4.73, −2.26, and 15.34 W m−2 at the four elevation intervals, respectively. The validation results showed that the performance of Ld degraded as the surface elevation increased. This may be due to special environmental conditions present at high altitudes with lower air pressures, smaller water vapor densities, and fewer clouds, leading to a greater uncertainty in Sd and Ld data at high elevations [37,39,40,41,42,43]. In addition, some studies have also quantitatively measured the effect of elevation on Ld and attempted to correct its deviation [37,39,40,41,42]. Yang et al. [42] reported that the MBE of GEWEX-SRB V2.5 Ld can be reduced by 7–10 W m−2 after an altitudinal correction of 2.8 W m−2 per hundred meters in the Tibet Plateau. It can be concluded that the influence of elevation cannot be ignored in addition to the abovementioned influencing factors including temperature profiles, water vapor, and clouds. Although the importance of elevation has been verified by previous studies, few studies have taken elevation as an important variable to predict Ld. This paper used elevation as the input variable of the model, hoping to reduce the errors caused by elevation.
Based on the above summary, it is clear that Ld is closely related to Ta, RH, water vapor, Sd, and elevation. Therefore, this study utilized the gradient boosting regression tree (GBRT) method with the daily mean Ta of 2 m, RH at 1000 hPa, total column water vapor, Sd, and elevation to estimate daily Ld over global land surface from 2000 to 2018. In contrast to prior methods, this machine learning method can automatically establish the relationship between the input data and target variable, and has a strong predictive ability [44,45], which has been widely employed to retrieve radiation [46,47,48,49]. Yang et al. [46] applied the GBRT method to estimate daily Sd with a spatial resolution of 5 km in China using ground observations and satellite retrievals with good results. The RMSE and R between the ground measurements and daily Ld estimates were 27.71 W m−2 and 0.91, respectively, under cloudy conditions; these values were 42.97 W m−2 and 0.80, respectively, under clear conditions. To date, few studies have used this method to predict Ld over the globe based on ground observations. We demonstrated that it can be reasonably and reliably used for Ld estimation by building the relationship between Ld observations and its influencing factors based on the GBRT method [49,50]. Therefore, the objective of this study is to use the GBRT model to generate a 5-km Ld dataset over the global land surface with a daily time scale from 2000 to 2018.
The structure of this paper is as follows: Section 2 introduces the data used, including the ground measurements, ERA5 reanalysis data, GLASS Sd, global multi-resolution terrain elevation data 2010, and existing Ld products. The detailed model construction process is displayed and described in Section 3. Section 4 provides the evaluation results and analyzes the spatiotemporal distribution of Ld. Finally, the discussion and conclusion are presented in Section 5 and Section 6, respectively.

2. Data

2.1. Ground Measurements

The ground measurements of surface downward longwave radiation (Ld) used in this study from 2000 to 2018 were collected from the AmeriFlux network (175 sites), AsiaFlux network (26 sites), baseline surface radiation network (BSRN, 57 sites), surface radiation budget network (SURFRAD, 7 sites), and FLUXNET (84 sites). The observation sites were randomly divided into 90% (314 sites) and 10% (35 sites) datasets, as shown in Figure 1. After removing the outliers, the Ld observations collected at 314 sites were used as target variables to build and train the model. The remaining Ld observations collected at 35 sites were used to evaluate the generated global land daily Ld. The spatial distribution of the observation sites used to build the model and validate it is shown in Figure 1. The detailed information of ground sites is listed in the Appendix A Table A1.
Critical quality control procedures were implemented to calculate the daily Ld because the selected networks only provided instantaneous Ld values, except for FLUXNET. The daily mean Ld was integrated from the instantaneous values if the portion of missing instantaneous values was less than 20% in one day. The monthly mean values used for validation were obtained by averaging the effective daily values if the missing daily data reached less than 10 days in one month.

2.1.1. AmeriFlux, AsiaFlux, and FLUXNET Data

FLUXNET [51,52] is a joint regional network that provides continuous measurements of various ecological parameters at five temporal resolutions, including carbon dioxide, water, meteorological data, and radiation data. The FLUXNET2015 dataset contains 1532 site-years of data from 1996 to 2014, of which daily Ld observations are used to build and evaluate Ld estimates over global land surface in this study. The AmeriFlux network [53,54,55] includes 151 sites with more than 100 active sites as of 2012, providing half-hourly or hourly Ld data spanning from 1996 to present. Flux tower sites of the AsiaFlux network [56,57] are spread across various representative climate zones (from humid to arid climates) and land cover types (forest, grass, cropland, and urban area), of which Ld observations have half-hourly or hourly temporal resolutions from 1998 to 2018.
To reduce systematic measurement errors, the data QA/QC checks proposed by Pastorello et al. [58], including single-variable, multi-variable, and specialized checks, are implemented at each site within the three networks. Single-variable checks are aimed at exploring the consistency of one variable in the long and short time series trends. Multi-variable checks focus on the relationship among correlation variables to ascertain discrepant periods. Specialized checks look at common issues in eddy covariance (EC) and meteorological data, such as timestamp shifts or sensor deterioration patterns. The last step for data QA/QC is automatic checks that use specific variable de-spiking routines adapted from Papale et al. [59] to set a range for each variable.

2.1.2. BSRN Data

The baseline surface radiation network (BSRN) was initiated by the world climate research program (WCPR) and aimed to provide accurate observations for validation of satellite radiometry and climate models [60]. The BSRN project has established more than 60 stations globally since January 1992 spanning latitudes ranging from 80°N to 90°S, providing continuous meteorological and radiation data on a minute time scale. By improving its calibration process, the difference between Ld observations from different pyrgeometers only reached 10 W m−2 in 1995 [61]. Only 6.5% of the Ld data are missing, which indicates that the pyrgeometers within the BSRN maintain high standards [62]. Moreover, the missing data have less influence on Ld because Ld has a small diurnal cycle. Overall, the BSRN Ld observations are relatively accurate and reliable.

2.1.3. SURFRAD Data

The surface radiation budget network (SURFRAD) has provided meteorological and radiation data used for evaluating satellite products and researching climate changes in the United States since 1995. Currently, it is composed of seven stations representing diverse climates with elevations ranging from 98 to 1689 m. It provides long-term and continuous surface radiation measurements with 3 min and 1 min time intervals before and after 2009, respectively. The Ld measured by SURFRAD, with an uncertainty of ±9 W m−2, covers a wavelength spanning from 4 to 50 μm [63]. The time period of Ld measurements used ranges from 2000 to 2018 in this study.

2.2. Input Data

2.2.1. ERA5 Reanalysis Dataset

ERA5 [64], produced by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), is the fifth generation reanalysis dataset and a successor of ERA-Interim. It provides complete and consistent hourly temperature, relative humidity, and radiation datasets, in addition to many other atmospheric parameter datasets, with a 25-km spatial resolution from 1979 to near real time. Compared with ERA-Interim [65], ERA5 applied the updated integrated forecast system (IFS) “Cy41r2” 4D-var and produced many new parameters, such as a 100-m wind vector [66]. Many studies have also compared the accuracy of ERA5 and used it to analyze climate change. For example, Wang et al. [66] found that the warm bias of ERA5 2-m air temperature (Ta) is smaller in the warm season and larger in the cold season in relation to the buoy observations over Arctic sea ice. Zhen et al. [67] indicated that the mean relative humidity (RH) of ERA5 displayed a sharp decreasing jump for China during the early 2000s. In this study, the parameters of the ERA5 hourly reanalysis dataset, including the 2-m Ta (°C), the RH at 1000 hPa (%), and the total column water vapor (TCWV, kg m−2) from 2000 to 2018, were consolidated into a daily temporal resolution as input data to construct global land Ld (W m−2) dataset based on the GBRT method.

2.2.2. GLASS Surface Downward Shortwave Radiation Product

The global land surface satellite (GLASS) daily surface downward shortwave radiation (Sd, W m−2) product with a 5-km spatial resolution from 2000 to 2018 was produced from the moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer top-of-atmosphere (TOA) spectral reflectance on the basis of a direct estimation method [68,69]. First, the TOA reflectance was retrieved using atmospheric radiation transfer simulations under different solar or view geometries. Then, surface shortwave net radiation (Sn) was estimated from the TOA reflectance on the basis of a linear regression relationship between them under different atmospheric conditions and surface properties. Finally, the GLASS daily Sd was produced using daily Sn estimates and surface broadband albedo values. The GLASS daily Sd values obtained an overall RMSE and bias of 32.84 and 3.72 W m−2, respectively, compared to the ground observations at 525 sites from 2003 to 2005 [68].

2.2.3. Global Multi-Resolution Terrain Elevation Data 2010

The 2010 Global Multi-resolution Terrain Elevation dataset (GMTED2010DEM) [70] is a global continent-wide elevation dataset generated by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA). This product contains three spatial resolutions (approximately 250, 500, and 1000 m) aimed at providing generic products for different applications. Carabajal et al. [71] indicated that the GMTED2010DEM products exhibited a great improvement relative to previous elevation data at comparable resolutions. Compared to the global set of the ice, cloud, and land elevation satellite (ICESat) geodetic ground control points, it obtained a positive bias of approximately 3 m. In this study, GMTED2010DEM data with a spatial resolution of approximately 250 m were resampled to a 5-km resolution as input data for estimating Ld to match the generated Ld dataset.

2.3. Exiting Surface Downward Longwave Radiation Datasets

The Ld products used for validation and comparison with the generated Ld dataset contain the clouds and earth’s radiant energy system synoptic (CERES-SYN) edition 4.1 and ERA5 reanalysis datasets. The CERES-SYN product with a 100-km spatial resolution, generated on the basis of the Langley Fu-Liou radiation transfer model [72], provides flux estimates at the TOA and surface, as well as four atmospheric pressure levels (70, 200, 500, and 850 hPa) from 2000 to 2020. Compared with CERES-SYN Edition 3A, the Ld of Edition 4A has been improved due to the improvement of nighttime retrieved cloud properties [73,74]. The ERA5 hourly Ld with a 25-km spatial resolution from 1979 to near real time used the more complicated method proposed by Morcrette [9] to replace the old Ld parametrization [75]. Silber et al. [10] demonstrated that ERA5 underestimated Ld compared with the ground measurements collected from the ARM West Antarctic radiation experiment (AWARE) campaign at McMurdo Station and the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) divide. In this study, the daily ERA5 Ld dataset consolidated from the hourly dataset and the CERES-SYN product were compared and used to evaluate the generated Ld dataset from 2000 to 2018.

3. Method

3.1. Gradient Boosting Regression Tree

The gradient boosting regression tree (GBRT) is an ensemble approach that enhances the accuracy of the model by aggregating multiple weak forms of regression and decision trees first proposed by Friedman [76]. The GBRT method is capable of predicting and solving overfitting problems [77]. The core idea of this model is to select the appropriate decision tree function based on the current model and fitting function in order to minimize the loss function. The model produces a strong predictive model by constructing an M amount of different weak classifiers through multiple iterations in order to obtain an accurate prediction rule. Each iteration is to improve the previous results by reducing the residuals of the previous model and establish a new combined model in the gradient direction of the reduced residual [46]. Supposing { x i ,   y i } i = 1 N is the training dataset, where x represents the predictor variables, y represents the target variable, and N is the number of the training dataset. The GBRT model constructs M different individual decision trees, expressed as { h ( x ,   α i ) } i = 1 M , which can be used to calculate the approximation function of the target variable f ( x ) as follows:
{ f ( x ) = m = 1 M f m ( x ) = m = 1 M β m h ( x ; α m ) h ( x ; α m ) = j = 1 J γ j m I ( x R j m ) ,   w h e r e   I = 1   i f   x R j m ;   I = 0 ,   o t h e r w i s e
where β m and α m are the weight and classifier parameter of each decision tree, respectively. A loss function L ( y ,   f ( x ) ) is introduced to describe the accuracy of the model. Each tree partitions the input space into J regions R 1 m ,   R 2 m ,   ,   R j m and each R j m corresponds to a predicted value γ j m . The general process of the GBRT method is shown in Appendix A, Algorithm A1. More details about the GBRT method can be found in Hastie et al. [78] and Ridgeway [79].
The accuracy of the GBRT model which is implemented in the scikit-learn toolbox is mainly affected by its n-estimator, learning rate, max-depth, and subsample parameters. The n-estimator parameter is the maximum number of iterations completed by a weak learner. Larger n-estimators are more likely to lead to overfitting due to a poorer prediction ability with an increasing model complexity. The learning rate parameter is the weight reduction factor of each weak learner, which is usually used together with the n-estimator parameter to determine the fitting effect of the algorithm. The max-depth parameter is the maximum depth of each regression tree, which limits the number of nodes in the tree. The subsample parameter is the proportion of samples used for fitting the base decision tree. Selecting a subsample less than 1 can reduce overfitting but increase the deviation of sample fitting. In this study, the root mean square error (RMSE), mean bias error (MBE), and correlation coefficient (R) between the Ld observations and estimates are used to evaluate the accuracy of the model.

3.2. Model Construction

The daily 2-m air temperature (Ta), relative humidity (RH) at 1000 hPa, total column water vapor (TCWV), surface downward shortwave radiation (Sd), and elevation datasets are selected as predictor variables to estimate the daily surface downward longwave radiation (Ld). The target variable is the daily Ld observations collected at AmeriFlux, AsiaFlux, BSRN, FLUXNET, and SURFRAD from 2000 to 2018. First, the predictor variables were extracted from global datasets corresponding to the ground stations. Then, the dataset of 314 sites was divided into two portions at random: 80% for the training dataset and the remaining 20% for the test dataset. To select the optimal model, 5-fold cross-validation was applied during the training process. The main steps are as follows:
(1)
Calculating daily Ld observations. The daily mean Ld was integrated from the instantaneous values if the missing instantaneous values were less than 20% in one day because the AmeriFlux, AsiaFlux, BSRN, and SURFRAD networks only provide instantaneous Ld values;
(2)
Data preprocessing. After resampling to a 5-km resolution, the ERA5 Ta, ERA5 RH, ERA5 TCWV, GLASS Sd, and GMTED2010DEM elevation datasets were extracted according to the latitude, longitude, and time corresponding to the ground stations;
(3)
Training the GBRT model. By circulating within the range of each parameter displayed in Table 1, the GBRT model where the n-estimator parameter is set to 50, the learning rate is set to 0.1, the max-depth is set to 6, and the subsample parameter of 0.8 was selected as the optimal model to estimate global land Ld, achieving the lowest RMSE and MBE values on the test dataset;
(4)
Implementing the model. The global land Ld was produced on the basis of the trained model using the daily ERA5 Ta, ERA5 RH, ERA5 TCWV, GLASS Sd, and GMTED2010DEM elevation datasets;
(5)
Evaluation of the generated global land Ld dataset. Daily Ld values collected at 35 observation sites were used to validate the generated global land Ld dataset and compare it with the existing Ld datasets. The main flowchart in this study is shown in Figure 2.
In order to investigate the impact of the predictor variables used in the GBRT model on the Ld estimation, the feature importance measures provided by the GBRT method was conducted. As shown in Table 2, the importance of the predictor variables of the GBRT model was in the order of the total column water vapor (TCWV), 2-m air temperature (Ta), relative humidity at 1000hPa (RH), surface downward shortwave radiation (Sd), and elevation. The Ld estimates are shown to be more sensitive to the TCWV and Ta than to most of other variables, thus highlighting the importance of taking TCWV and Ta as inputs.

4. Results

4.1. Validation against Ground Measurements

4.1.1. Performance of the Model

After confirming the optimal parameters, 80% and 20% of the extracted dataset collected at 314 stations were used as the training and test datasets, respectively, to train the GBRT model and evaluate the Ld estimates. Figure 3 displays the evaluation results of daily Ld estimates for the training and test datasets against the ground measurements collected at the AmeriFlux, AsiaFlux, BSRN, FLUXNET, and SURFRAD networks from 2000 to 2018. For the training dataset, the root mean square error (RMSE), mean bias error (MBE), and correlation coefficient (R) are 16.73 W m−2, 0 W m−2, and 0.96 (p < 0.01), respectively, between the ground observations and Ld estimates on the basis of the GBRT model from 2000 to 2018. Those values are 16.75 W m−2, 0.05 W m−2, and 0.96 (p < 0.01) for the test dataset, respectively, which shows a tendency to slightly overestimate Ld. As a whole, the performance of the GBRT model on the test dataset is satisfactory and reliable with an MBE close to zero.

4.1.2. Validation of the Generated Ld Dataset

The Ld observations of 35 sites were used to evaluate the generated Ld dataset collected at the AmeriFlux, AsiaFlux, BSRN, FLUXNET, and SURFRAD networks from March 2000 to December 2018. As shown in Figure 4, the RMSE, MBE, and R values on the daily time scale are 17.78 W m−2, 0.99 W m−2, and 0.96 (p < 0.01), respectively, between the ground observations and Ld estimates obtained by the GBRT model. On the monthly time scale, those values are 11.53 W m−2, 0.68 W m−2, and 0.98 (p < 0.01), respectively. To further evaluate the performance of the generated Ld dataset, the RMSE, MBE, and R values of the daily Ld estimates at each site were calculated from 2000 to 2018. The minimum and maximum RMSE of the 35 sites are 11.26 and 37.82 W m−2, respectively. As shown in Figure 5, 24 out of the 35 sites had RMSEs less than 20 W m−2, and only two sites had RMSEs greater than 30 W m−2. Overall, 35 sites had absolute MBE values varying from 0.12 to 36.83 W m−2, and 23 sites had MBEs between −10 and 10 W m−2. The number of stations with MBE less than −10 W m−2 and greater than 10 W m−2 are both six.

4.2. Comparison with Existing Ld Products

To better evaluate the accuracy of the generated Ld dataset, the valuation result against the 35 sites from 2000 to 2018 was compared with the CERES-SYN and ERA5 products. The generated Ld and ERA5 products were resampled to a 100-km resolution using the nearest neighbor interpolation method to match the CERES-SYN product. As shown in Figure 6, the RMSE and MBE are 17.94 and 0.25 W m−2, 18.81 and 1.76 W m−2, 18.52 and −2.09 W m−2, respectively, for the daily generated, CERES-SYN, and ERA5 Ld datasets. CERES-SYN and ERA5 Ld show overestimated and underestimated tends on the daily time scale, respectively. Relatively speaking, the overestimated trend of the generated Ld dataset with an MBE of 0.25 W m−2 is slight. In addition, the RMSE of the ERA5 daily Ld dataset is less than that of the CERES-SYN product, and it can be concluded that the ERA5 Ld product over land is more accurate than that of the CERES-SYN on the daily time scale. This is consistent with the conclusion of Tang et al. [11] that the ERA5 Ld product over land surface has a higher accuracy on average than the CERES-SYN on the hourly, daily, and monthly time scales but has a worse accuracy than the CERES-SYN dataset over ocean surface. On the monthly time scale, the RMSE and MBE are 11.75 and 0.18 W m−2, 13.55 and 1.63 W m−2, 12.20 and −2.69 W m−2, respectively, for the generated, CERES-SYN, and ERA5 Ld datasets. It can be concluded that the generated Ld dataset based on the GBRT model performed best on both daily and monthly scales. To further compare the performance of the three daily Ld datasets, the RMSE, MBE, and R values at each site were calculated from 2000 to 2018. The RMSE of the 35 sites varied from 11.21 to 31.90 W m−2, 9.09 to 41.99 W m−2, 8.68 to 35.51 W m−2, respectively, for the daily generated, CERES-SYN, and ERA5 Ld datasets. As shown in Figure 7, there are 28, 28, and 25 sites with RMSEs less than 25 W m−2 for the daily generated, CERES-SYN, and ERA5 Ld datasets. Only 3, 3, and 2 out of 35 sites had RMSEs greater than 30 W m−2 for the three daily Ld datasets, respectively. These three daily Ld datasets have 23, 19, and 24 sites with MBEs between −10 and 10 W m−2, respectively. However, the daily CERES-SYN Ld product obtained 10 sites with MBEs greater than 10 W m−2, compared with 6 for the generated Ld dataset and 3 for the ERA5 Ld retrieval.

4.3. Spatial and Temporal Analysis of Ld

4.3.1. Spatial Distribution

The multiyear seasonal and annual mean values of the generated Ld dataset from 2003 to 2018 (i.e., not from 2000 to 2018) were calculated due to the absence of daily Ld values from 2000 to 2002. The CERES-SYN and ERA5 Ld products were resampled to a 5-km resolution by the bilinear interpolation method for comparison with the generated Ld dataset. The spatial distributions of the multiyear seasonal and annual mean Ld estimations over the global land surface from 2003 to 2018 are displayed in Figure 8 and Figure 9, respectively. The highest multiyear seasonal mean Ld value is 333.21 W m−2 in Northern hemisphere summer (June, July, and August), followed by 311.94 W m−2 in Northern hemisphere autumn (September, October, and November), and the lowest value is 286.09 W m−2 in Northern hemisphere winter (December, January, and February). The seasonal variation in Ld is closely related to the annual solar zenith cycle and the maximum sunshine duration. After the winter solstice, the direct sun point moves northward from the Tropic of Capricorn, causing changes in the global heat distribution, which increases the overall Ld value in the Northern hemisphere. Overall, the multiyear annual mean value of the generated Ld dataset is 308.76 W m−2, which is greater than the ERA5 value of 306.92 W m−2 and less than the CERES-SYN value of 313.83 W m−2 from 2003 to 2018. The spatial distribution of Ld not only shows significant latitudinal dependencies in which the mean Ld value decreases with increasing latitude but also relates to the surface elevation and regional climate. The mean Ld values estimated over the Andes and Tibetan Plateau are comparatively and obviously low due to their high elevation with a low cloud coverage, thin air and readily lost heat. The mean Ld values of Antarctica and Greenland are always lowest owing to the perennial snow cover and frigid climate. Apparently, the generated Ld value is lower than the CERES-SYN value and higher than the ERA5 value. The lowest and highest differences between the generated Ld and the CERES-SYN product are −81.44 and 60.56 W m−2, respectively; and the values between the generated Ld and the ERA5 product are −46.17 and 58.83 W m−2, respectively. The generated Ld value is significantly lower than the CERES-SYN in the Tibetan Plateau, Andes Mountains, and Antarctica, and is significantly higher than it in a small area of the northern Amazon Rainforest and eastern Indonesia. Compared with the CERES-SYN dataset, the difference between the generated Ld dataset and the ERA5 product is evenly distributed with no obvious high and low values over the global land surface.
The multiyear annual mean Ld values of the generated dataset, ERA5 retrieval, and CERES-SYN product are consistent with the evaluation results against the ground measurements that ERA5 and CERES-SYN tend to underestimate and overestimate Ld value, respectively. However, there is still much debate about the specific multiyear annual mean Ld value over the global land surface. The uncertainty of the global land mean Ld estimation is difficult to quantify, and different periods may influence the estimated values. Ma et al. [80] summarized that multiyear annual mean Ld values over the global land surface varied between 287.35 and 316.62 W m−2 for 44 general circulation models (GCM) in the coupled model intercomparison project phase 5 (CMIP5) from 1990 to 2005, and its median was 304.59 W m−2. Wang et al. [81] calculated that the annual mean Ld values over the global land surface of the GEWEX-SRB, MERRA, and CERES-SRB datasets were 308, 295, and 307 W m−2 from 2001 to 2007, 2001 to 2010, and 2003 to 2010, respectively, and estimated that the best Ld estimate was 307±3 W m−2 over the global land surface from 2003 to 2010 based on reference studies and evaluation results compared against the ground measurements. The multiyear annual mean value of the generated Ld dataset over the global land surface is 308.76 W m−2 from 2003 to 2018 which is consistent with these results.

4.3.2. Time Series and Long-Term Trend

To study the temporal variations of the generated Ld dataset, we calculated the monthly and annual mean Ld from 2003 to 2018, as shown in Figure 10. We analyzed whether the interannual changes in the generated Ld dataset were reliable by comparing with the ERA5 and CERES-SYN Ld datasets. Overall, ERA5 has a relatively lower value, and CERES-SYN shows a larger value for the multiyear monthly mean Ld. The multiyear monthly mean Ld of the ERA5, generated dataset, and CERES-SYN are all lowest in January, with values of 280.02, 284.22, and 284.49 W m−2, respectively; they are all largest in July, with values of 336.12, 336.24, 343.94 W m−2, respectively. The multiyear monthly mean Ld values of the three datasets all increase from January to July and decrease from July to December in connection with the revolution of the earth around the sun resulting in more total solar radiation in Northern hemisphere summer than in Northern hemisphere winter. Compared with ERA5 and CERES-SYN, the boxed part of the box-plot (Figure 10a) of the generated Ld dataset is relatively compact, indicating that its monthly mean Ld values in different years are concentrated. Similar to the monthly mean Ld, the annual mean Ld values of ERA5 and CERES-SYN are lower and higher than the generated Ld dataset, respectively, in the same year. The annual mean Ld values ranged from 304.93 to 309.92 W m−2, 306.94 to 311.99 W m−2, and 311.88 to 316.29 W m−2 from 2003 to 2018, respectively, for the ERA5 retrieval, the generated Ld dataset, the CERES-SYN product. The three datasets all obtained the lowest and largest annual mean Ld values in 2008 and 2016, respectively.
As displayed in Figure 10c, before 2015, the anomalies of the annual mean Ld values are negative for the generated and ERA5 Ld datasets, except for 2005 and 2010, which implies that the annual mean Ld values for this period are below the multiyear average over 16 years. In addition, the anomalies of annual mean Ld values are also more than zero for the CERES-SYN product in 2003. Moreover, the CERES-SYN Ld product had a smaller growth trend of 0.8 W m−2 per decade (p = 0.20) from 2003 to 2018, but the growth trend was not significant. Overall, the temporal variation and trend of the generated Ld dataset are more consistent with the ERA5 product, and the annual mean Ld values display a gradual increasing trend from 2003 to 2018. Ma et al. [80] concluded that the trend of the annual mean Ld over the global land surface for 44 CMIP5 GCMs varied from 0.69 to 2.86 W m−2 per decade (p < 0.01) during the time period of 1970–2005, and its median value is 1.86 W m−2 per decade. Therefore, it is reliable for the generated and ERA5 Ld datasets, with trends of 1.8 (p < 0.01) and 1.9 (p < 0.01) W m−2 per decade over the global land surface, respectively.

4.3.3. Relationships between the Long-Term Ld and the Key Factors

Previous studies indicated that the accuracy of Ld estimation mainly depends on the reliability of the air temperature, precipitable water vapor, cloud, and elevation data retrieved from the reanalysis and satellite products. In view of the small variations in elevation and cloud cover over the long time series, the trend of Ld estimation is mainly influenced by air temperature and water vapor pressure. Therefore, we calculated the anomalies of the 2-m air temperature (Ta, °C) and water vapor pressure (e, hPa) datasets based on the ERA5 hourly products from 2003 to 2018. e can be calculated with Ta using the following equations based on the Ta and relative humidity at 1000 hPa (RH) derived from the ERA5 products.
RH = e e s × 100 %
e s = 6.11 exp ( L v R v ( 1 273.15 1 Ta + 273 . 15 ) )
where e and es are the water vapor pressure and saturation water vapor pressure, respectively.
Figure 11 presents the temporal variation in the annual mean anomalies for the generated Ld estimation, Ta and e from 2003 to 2018. The annual mean values ranged from 9.12 to 10.22 °C, and 7.82 to 8.26 hPa from 2003 to 2018 for Ta and e, respectively. Before 2015, the annual mean anomalies were negative for Ta and e, excluding 2005 and 2010, which was similar to the Ld estimation. In addition, the anomalies of annual mean Ta values were also greater than zero in 2007. The Ld increases with the increase in Ta and e. The increasing rates are 0.3 °C per decade (p < 0.01), 0.1 hPa per decade (p < 0.05), and 1.8 W m−2 per decade (p < 0.01), respectively, for Ta, e, and Ld from 2003 to 2018. Overall, Ta and e positively influence Ld with correlation coefficients of 0.96 (p < 0.01) and 0.97 (p < 0.01), respectively. The strong absorption and re-emission of radiation by water vapor molecules result in a high correlation between e and Ld. However, the influence of temperature on Ld relies on the dependence of the outgoing longwave radiation on the absolute temperature of the Earth. In addition, the spatial distributions of the annual mean values of Ta and e from 2003 to 2018 are shown in Figure 12. The minimum and maximum annual mean values are −53.35 and 34.12 °C, and 0.05 and 32.85 hPa, respectively, for Ta and e. Their distribution characteristics are similar to that of the generated Ld dataset that its spatial distribution not only shows notable latitudinal dependencies as the annual mean values decrease with increasing latitudes but it also relates to the surface elevation and regional climate. The annual mean Ta and e values on the Andes and Tibetan Plateau are comparatively and obviously low due to their high elevations. The annual mean Ta values of Antarctica and Greenland are always the lowest due to their perennial snow coverage and frigid climates. The annual mean e values are relatively low, less than 21.72 hPa at middle to high latitudes. The spatial distribution of R between the generated Ld estimation and Ta and e from 2003 to 2018 is also drawn, as shown in Figure 13. Only significant pixels where p values are less than 0.05 appeared. The R values ranged from 0.50 and −0.67 to 1 for Ta and e, respectively. There was a positive correlation between the generated Ld and Ta in the region where the R passed the significant test. For the e, there are few pixels with R value less than 0, which even cannot be shown up on the map. Except for values less than 0, the minimum value of R between the generated Ld and e is also 0.50. The R values between annual mean Ld estimates and Ta and e failed the significant test mainly occurred in the Andes Mountains, Brazilian Plateau, Tibet Plateau, Australia, Southern Africa, and southern North America. This may be due to the influences of clouds, elevation controls, and carbon dioxide emissions [29,30,41,82], that play a dominant role in these regions. The possible reasons need to be further explored.

5. Discussion

5.1. Shortcomings of the GBRT Model

The gradient boosting regression tree (GBRT) method has advantages in forecasting and solving overfitting problems [76]. The evaluation results demonstrated that the generated Ld dataset based on the GBRT method performed better at selected stations than the ERA5 and CERES-SYN products on daily and monthly time scales. However, there are still some disadvantages in the machine learning methods for radiation estimation represented in the GBRT method [45,77,83]. Alizamir et al. [77] utilized six different machine learning models to estimate solar radiation from two stations of two different locations, and found that the six models all tend to overestimate Ld for low values of it and to underestimate Ld for high values of it. Fan et al. [83] also exposed similar problem in using support vector machine and extreme gradient boosting methods to predict daily solar radiation in China. With reference to Figure 3, Figure 4 and Figure 6, it is evident that the GBRT method for Ld estimation also overestimate Ld at low values and underestimate Ld at high values. Since the departures of slope from 1 and intercept from 0 for fitting linear regression equations can measure the degree of deviation, the linear regression equations were fitted between the ground measurements of 35 stations and the generated, ERA5, and CERES-SYN Ld datasets on daily and monthly time scales, as listed in Table 3. Compared to those two Ld products, the fitted linear regression equations of the generated Ld has a smaller slope and a greater intercept on both daily and monthly time scales, which indicates that the fitted line deviates more from the 1:1 line and that the GBRT method underestimates Ld for high values and overestimates it for low values. Other machine learning methods, including support vector regressions, multivariate adaptive regression splines, and artificial neural networks used to estimate Ld, also show the same problem [49]. On the other hand, the GBRT method makes predictions by learning rules from many sample data, so it has higher requirements for the accuracy and quantity of its training datasets. However, the ground measurements of Ld used as the target variable exhibit missing values and deviations, although the obviously incorrect data have been removed, which may be limit the accuracy of the GBRT method. Finally, the learning and training process of the GBRT method is a black box whose processes are not known and may not be effective [45].

5.2. Accuracy and Completeness of Input Datasets and Ground Measurements

Because Ld was estimated based on the relationships between its ground observations and input variables, including the 2-m air temperature (Ta), relative humidity (RH) at 1000 hPa, total column water vapor (TCWV), surface downward shortwave radiation (Sd), and elevation, the accuracy and completeness of the input datasets and ground measurements are vital. However, ground observations exist measurement errors and problem of spatial representativeness, which are potential sources of errors in Ld estimation. A larger part of measurements errors is caused by systematic deviations and calibration process differences. Ohmura et al. [60] demonstrated the accuracy of Ld observations in the baseline surface radiation network improved from 30 W m−2 in 1999 to 10 W m−2 in 1995 due to improvement of the calibration process. Currently, although pyrgeometers for Ld measurement are regularly maintained and calibrated, there is still a lack of recognized world reference calibration standard [60,84]. The different calibration methods of different observation networks can lead to inconsistencies of Ld measurements at the close positions, which also brings uncertainties of ground measurements [81]. The spatial representativeness plays an important role in the surface radiation retrieval and validation [85,86,87,88]. Jiang et al. [87] indicated the accuracy of Sd retrieval can be improved, that maximum improvement of root mean square error is up to 9%, after considering the scale information. In this study, we only compared the accuracies of the generated, ERA5, and CERES-SYN Ld datasets at 100-km spatial resolution but did not examine the representativeness of surface observation points, which maybe lead to the uncertainty of compared result.
On the other hand, the completeness of input datasets limits the continuity of the generated Ld dataset. For example, the generated daily Ld dataset was discontinuous before 2003 due to the data missing of the global land surface satellite (GLASS) daily Sd product which was produced by using moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) top of atmosphere (TOA) reflectance data. Compared with the previous methods of Sd retrieval, however, GLASS Sd had a higher spatial resolution of 5 km and was directly estimated using TOA reflectance without the need for cloud and aerosol data, which contributes to a better ability to demonstrate temporal variations in Sd over a long time period. Moreover, the ERA5 and elevation datasets were resampled to a 5-km spatial resolution matching with Sd, which can also introduce uncertainty into the data. In summary, the Ld estimates will be more accurate if the accuracy and completeness of the input datasets and ground measurements are improved.

6. Conclusions

It is of great importance for studying the Earth’s surface radiation budget and energy balance to construct a long-term surface downward longwave radiation (Ld, 4–100 μm) dataset worldwide. This study generated a daily Ld dataset with a 5-km spatial resolution over the global land surface utilizing the gradient boosting regression tree (GBRT) method with 2-m air temperature (Ta), relative humidity (RH) at 1000 hPa, total column water vapor (TCWV), surface downward shortwave radiation (Sd), and elevation datasets from 2000 to 2018. The Ld observations of 349 stations collected at the AmeriFlux, AsiaFlux, baseline surface radiation network (BSRN), surface radiation budget network (SURFRAD), and FLUXNET networks were randomly divided into 90% (314 sites), as the target variable to build the model, and 10% (35 sites), as the evaluation dataset to independently validate the Ld estimates. First, the predictor variables were extracted from the global datasets according to the latitude, longitude, and time corresponding to the ground stations. Then, the dataset of 314 sites was further divided into two portions at random to train the GBRT model: 80% for the training dataset and the remaining 20% for the test dataset. Then, the daily Ld observations collected at 35 stations were used to validate the generated global land Ld dataset.
The evaluation results showed that the root mean square error (RMSE), mean bias error (MBE), and correlation coefficient (R) values on the daily time scale were 17.78 W m−2, 0.99 W m−2, and 0.96 (p < 0.01), respectively, between the Ld estimates with a 5-km spatial resolution and the ground measurements. On the monthly time scale, those values are 11.53 W m−2, 0.68 W m−2, and 0.98 (p < 0.01), respectively. At a 100-km spatial resolution, the performance of the generated Ld dataset is better than that of ERA5 and CERES-SYN. On the daily time scale, the RMSE and MBE are 17.94 and 0.25 W m−2, 18.81 and 1.76 W m−2, 18.52 and −2.09 W m−2, respectively, for the generated, CERES-SYN, and ERA5 Ld datasets. The multiyear seasonal and annual mean values of the generated Ld dataset from 2003 to 2018 were calculated due to the absence of daily Ld from 2000 to 2002. In terms of their temporal variation, the multiyear monthly mean Ld values of the three datasets increase from January to July and decrease from July to December in connection with the revolution of the earth around the sun resulting in more total solar radiation in Northern hemisphere summer than in Northern hemisphere winter. Overall, the temporal variation and trend of the generated Ld dataset are more consistent with the ERA5 product that the annual mean Ld values display a gradual increasing trend from 2003 to 2018. The spatial distribution of Ld not only shows a notable latitudinal dependency in which the mean Ld value decreases with increasing latitudes but also relates to the surface elevation and regional climate. In addition, Ld is positively affected by the 2-m air temperature and water vapor pressure with R values of 0.96 (p < 0.01) and 0.97 (p < 0.01), respectively.
Overall, the generated Ld dataset has a higher spatial resolution and accuracy, contributing to knowledge of the surface radiation budget and energy balance of the Earth.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, X.Z.; methodology, C.F.; software, C.F.; data curation, C.F.; writing—original draft preparation, C.F.; writing—review and editing, X.Z., C.F., Y.W., W.Z., N.H., J.X., S.Y., X.X., B.J.; supervision, X.Z. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 42090012 and 41571340.

Data Availability Statement

The generated Ld dataset will be publicly available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4704019 and https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4739724 (accessed on 28 March 2021). The ground measurements collected from the AmeriFlux, AsiaFlux, FLUXNET, BSRN, and SURFRAD stations are available at https://ameriflux.lbl.gov, http://www.asiaflux.net/, https://fluxnet.org/, https://dataportals.pangaea.de/bsrn, and https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/grad/surfrad/ (accessed on 28 March 2021), respectively. The ERA5 and CERES-SYN data are available at https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/datasets/reanalysis-datasets/era5 and https://ceres.larc.nasa.gov/ (accessed on 28 March 2021), respectively.

Acknowledgments

We sincerely thank the institutions and researchers who provided the data used in this study and made them available to the public. We also sincerely thank the anonymous reviews for their constructive suggestions which are greatly helpful for improving the article.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Appendix A

Table A1. Detailed information of the ground sites.
Table A1. Detailed information of the ground sites.
NumberSite CodeSite NameLatitude (deg)Longitude (deg)Elevation (m)Time Period
1BR-NpwNorthern Pantanal Wetland−16.50−56.411202013–2017
2BR-Sa3Santarem-Km83-Logged Forest−3.02−54.971002001–2004
3CA-ARFAttawapiskat River Fen52.70−83.96882011–2015
4CA-Ca1British Columbia–1949 Douglas-fir stand49.87−125.333002000–2010
5CA-Ca3British Columbia–Pole sapling Douglas-fir stand49.53−124.90\2002–2016
6CA-CboOntario–Mixed Deciduous, Borden Forest Site44.32−79.931202005–2018
7CA-DBBDelta Burns Bog49.13−122.9842016–2018
8CA-GroOntario–Groundhog River, Boreal Mixedwood Forest48.22−82.163402003–2014
9CA-Na1New Brunswick–1967 Balsam Fir–Nashwaak Lake Site 01 (Mature balsam fir forest)46.47−67.103412003–2005
10CA-OasSaskatchewan–Western Boreal, Mature Aspen53.63−106.205302000–2010
11CA-ObsSaskatchewan–Western Boreal, Mature Black Spruce53.99−105.12628.942000–2010
12CA-OjpSaskatchewan–Western Boreal, Mature Jack Pine53.92−104.695792000–2010
13CA-QcuQuebec–Eastern Boreal, Black Spruce/Jack Pine Cutover49.27−74.04392.32004–2010
14CA-QfoQuebec–Eastern Boreal, Mature Black Spruce49.69−74.343822003–2010
15CA-SCBScotty Creek Bog61.31−121.302802014–2017
16CA-SCCScotty Creek Landscape61.31−121.302852013–2016
17CA-SF1Saskatchewan–Western Boreal, forest burned in 197754.49−105.825362003–2006
18CA-SF2Saskatchewan–Western Boreal, forest burned in 198954.25−105.885202002–2005
19CA-SF3Saskatchewan–Western Boreal, forest burned in 199854.09−106.015402002–2006
20CA-SJ1Saskatchewan–Western Boreal, Jack Pine forest harvested in 199453.91−104.665802001–2010
21CA-SJ2Saskatchewan–Western Boreal, Jack Pine forest harvested in 200253.95−104.655802003–2010
22CA-SJ3Saskatchewan–Western Boreal, Jack Pine forest harvested in 1975 (BOREAS Young Jack Pine)53.88−104.65\2004–2010
23CA-TP4Ontario–Turkey Point 1939 Plantation White Pine42.71−80.361842003–2017
24CA-TPDOntario–Turkey Point Mature Deciduous42.64−80.562602012–2017
25CA-WP1Alberta–Western Peatland–LaBiche River,Black Spruce/Larch Fen54.95−112.475402003–2009
26US-A03ARM-AMF3-Oliktok70.50−149.8852014–2018
27US-A10ARM-NSA-Barrow71.32−156.6142011–2018
28US-A32ARM-SGP Medford hay pasture36.82−97.823352015–2017
29US-A74ARM SGP milo field36.81−97.553372016–2017
30US-AR1ARM USDA UNL OSU Woodward Switchgrass 136.43−99.426112009–2012
31US-AR2ARM USDA UNL OSU Woodward Switchgrass 236.64−99.606462009–2012
32US-ARMARM Southern Great Plains site- Lamont36.61−97.493142003–2018
33US-An1Anaktuvuk River Severe Burn68.99−150.286002008–2009
34US-An2Anaktuvuk River Moderate Burn68.95−150.216002008–2019
35US-An3Anaktuvuk River Unburned68.93−150.276002008–2010
36US-Bi1Bouldin Island Alfalfa38.10−121.50−2.72016–2018
37US-Bi2Bouldin Island corn38.11−121.54−52017–2018
38US-BkgBrookings44.35−96.845102004–2010
39US-BlkBlack Hills44.16−103.6517182004–2008
40US-Bo1Bondville40.01−88.292192000–2008
41US-Br1Brooks Field Site 10- Ames41.97−93.693132005–2011
42US-Br3Brooks Field Site 11- Ames41.97−93.693132005–2011
43US-CPkChimney Park41.07−106.1227502009–2013
44US-ChRChestnut Ridge35.93−84.332862005–2010
45US-CtnCottonwood43.95−101.857442006–2009
46US-DiaDiablo37.68−121.533232010–2012
47US-Dk1Duke Forest-open field35.97−79.091682004–2008
48US-Dk2Duke Forest-hardwoods35.97−79.101682004–2008
49US-Dk3Duke Forest–loblolly pine35.98−79.091632004–2008
50US-EDNEden Landing Ecological Reserve37.62−122.11\2018
51US-EMLEight Mile Lake Permafrost thaw gradient, Healy Alaska.63.88−149.257002011–2018
52US-FPeFort Peck48.31−105.106342000–2008
53US-FR2Freeman Ranch- Mesquite Juniper29.95−98.00271.92008
54US-FR3Freeman Ranch- Woodland29.94−97.992322008–2012
55US-FmfFlagstaff–Managed Forest35.14−111.7321602005–2010
56US-FufFlagstaff–Unmanaged Forest35.09−111.7621802005–2010
57US-FwfFlagstaff–Wildfire35.45−111.7722702005–2010
58US-GLEGLEES41.37−106.2431972004–2018
59US-GooGoodwin Creek34.25−89.87872002–2006
60US-HBKHubbard Brook Experimental Forest43.94−71.723672017–2018
61US-HRAHumnoke Farm Rice Field–Field A34.59−91.75\2016–2017
62US-HRCHumnoke Farm Rice Field–Field C34.59−91.75\2016–2017
63US-Ha2Harvard Forest Hemlock Site42.54−72.183602014–2018
64US-Hn3Hobcaw Barony Longleaf Pine Restoration46.69−119.46120.92017–2018
65US-Ho1Howland Forest (main tower)45.20−68.74602007–2018
66US-Ho2Howland Forest (west tower)45.21−68.75612007–2009
67US-Ho3Howland Forest (harvest site)45.21−68.73612007–2009
68US-IvoIvotuk68.49−155.755682003–2006
69US-KFSKansas Field Station39.06−95.193102008–2018
70US-KLSKansas Land Institute38.77−97.573732012–2017
71US-KM4KBS Marshall Farms Smooth Brome Grass (Ref)42.44−85.332882010–2018
72US-KS3Kennedy Space Center (salt marsh)28.71−80.7402018
73US-KUTKUOM Turfgrass Field44.99−93.193012006–2009
74US-KonKonza Prairie LTER (KNZ)39.08−96.564172006–2018
75US-LosLost Creek46.08−89.984802014–2018
76US-MMSMorgan Monroe State Forest39.32−86.412752000–2018
77US-MOzMissouri Ozark Site38.74−92.20219.42004–2017
78US-MRfMary’s River (Fir) site44.65−123.552632007–2011
79US-MSRMontana Sun River winter wheat47.48−111.7211102016
80US-Me2Metolius mature ponderosa pine44.45−121.5612532005–2018
81US-Me3Metolius-second young aged pine44.32−121.6110052009
82US-Me6Metolius Young Pine Burn44.32−121.619982010–2018
83US-MenLake Mendota, Center for Limnology Site43.08−89.402602012–2018
84US-MpjMountainair Pinyon-Juniper Woodland34.44−106.2421962008–2018
85US-MtBMt Bigelow32.42−110.7325732009–2018
86US-NC1Mt Bigelow35.81−76.7152005–2012
87US-NC2NC_Loblolly Plantation35.80−76.6752005–2018
88US-NC3NC_Clearcut#335.80−76.6652013–2018
89US-NC4NC_AlligatorRiver35.79−75.9012015–2018
90US-NGBNGEE Arctic Barrow71.28−156.615.2732012–2018
91US-NGCNGEE Arctic Council64.86−163.70352017–2018
92US-NR1Niwot Ridge Forest (LTER NWT1)40.03−105.5530502000–2018
93US-Ne1Mead–irrigated continuous maize site41.17−96.483612001–2018
94US-Ne2Mead–irrigated maize-soybean rotation site41.16−96.473622001–2018
95US-Ne3Mead–rainfed maize-soybean rotation site41.18−96.443632001–2018
96US-OrvOlentangy River Wetland Research Park40.02−83.022212011–2016
97US-OhoOak Openings41.55−83.842302004–2013
98US-PHMPlum Island High Marsh42.74−70.831.42013–2018
99US-PnpLake Mendota, Picnic Point Site43.09−89.422602016–2018
100US-PrrPoker Flat Research Range Black Spruce Forest65.12−147.492102010–2016
101US-RlsRCEW Low Sagebrush43.14−116.7416082014–2018
102US-RmsRCEW Mountain Big Sagebrush43.06−116.7521112014–2018
103US-Ro1Rosemount- G2144.71−93.092602004–2016
104US-Ro2Rosemount- C744.73−93.092922015–2016
105US-Ro4Rosemount Prairie44.68−93.072742015–2018
106US-Ro5Rosemount I18_South44.69−93.062832017–2018
107US-Ro6Rosemount I18_North44.69−93.062822017–2018
108US-RpfPoker Flat Research Range: Succession from fire scar to deciduous forest65.12−147.434972013–2018
109US-RweRCEW Reynolds Mountain East43.07−116.7620982005–2007
110US-RwfRCEW Upper Sheep Prescibed Fire43.12−116.7218782014–2018
111US-RwsReynolds Creek Wyoming big sagebrush43.17−116.7114252014–2018
112US-SFPSioux Falls Portable43.24−96.903862007–2009
113US-SRCSanta Rita Creosote31.91−110.849502008–2014
114US-SRGSanta Rita Grassland31.79−110.8312912008–2018
115US-SRMSanta Rita Mesquite31.82−110.8711202004–2018
116US-SegSevilleta grassland34.36−106.7016222007–2018
117US-SesSevilleta shrubland34.33−106.7416042007–2018
118US-SkrShark River Slough (Tower SRS-6) Everglades25.36−81.0802004–2011
119US-SltSilas Little- New Jersey39.91−74.60302007–2012
120US-SneSherman Island Restored Wetland38.04−121.75−52016–2018
121US-SnfSherman Barn38.04−121.73−42018
122US-SrrSuisun marsh–Rush Ranch38.20−122.0382014–2017
123US-TonTonzi Ranch38.43−120.971772014–2018
124US-Tw1Twitchell Wetland West Pond38.11−121.65−52011–2018
125US-Tw2Twitchell Corn38.10−121.64−52012–2013
126US-Tw3Twitchell Alfalfa38.12−121.65−42013–2018
127US-Tw4Twitchell East End Wetland38.10−121.64−52013–2018
128US-Tw5East Pond Wetland38.11−121.64−52018
129US-UM3Douglas Lake45.57−84.672342013–2014
130US-UMBUniv. of Mich. Biological Station45.56−84.712342007–2018
131US-UMdUMBS Disturbance45.56−84.702392008–2018
132US-UafUniversity of Alaska, Fairbanks64.87−147.861552009–2018
133US-UiAUniversity of Illinois Switchgrass40.06−88.202242015
134US-VarVaira Ranch- Ione38.41−120.951292004–2018
135US-VcmValles Caldera Mixed Conifer35.89−106.5330032009–2018
136US-VcpValles Caldera Ponderosa Pine35.86−106.6025422007–2018
137US-VcsValles Caldera Sulphur Springs Mixed Conifer35.92−106.6127522016–2018
138US-WBWWalker Branch Watershed35.96−84.292832001–2007
139US-WCrWillow Creek45.81−90.085202000–2018
140US-WPTWinous Point North Marsh41.46−83.001752011–2013
141US-WdnWalden40.78−106.2624692006–2008
142US-WgrWillamette Grass45.11−122.66522015
143US-WhsWalnut Gulch Lucky Hills Shrub31.74−110.0513702009–2018
144US-WjsWillard Juniper Savannah34.43−105.8619312007–2018
145US-WkgWalnut Gulch Kendall Grasslands31.74−109.9415312004–2018
146US-WppWillamette Poplar44.14−123.181112015
147US-WrcWind River Crane Site45.82−121.953712000–2015
148US-xABNEON Abby Road (ABBY)45.76−122.333632017–2018
149US-xBNNEON Caribou Creek–Poker Flats Watershed (BONA)65.15−147.502632018
150US-xBRNEON Bartlett Experimental Forest (BART)44.06−71.292322017–2018
151US-xCPNEON Central Plains Experimental Range (CPER)40.82−104.7516542017–2018
152US-xDCNEON Dakota Coteau Field School (DCFS)47.16−99.115592017–2018
153US-xDJNEON Delta Junction (DEJU)63.88−145.755292017–2018
154US-xDLNEON Dead Lake (DELA)32.54−87.80222017–2018
155US-xGRNEON Great Smoky Mountains National Park, Twin Creeks (GRSM)35.69−83.505792018
156US-xHANEON Harvard Forest (HARV)42.54−72.173512017–2018
157US-xHENEON Healy (HEAL)63.88−149.217052017–2018
158US-xJENEON Jones Ecological Research Center (JERC)31.19−84.47442017–2018
159US-xJRNEON Jornada LTER (JORN)32.59−106.8413292017–2018
160US-xKANEON Konza Prairie Biological Station–Relocatable (KONA)39.11−96.6113292017–2018
161US-xKZNEON Konza Prairie Biological Station (KONZ)39.10−96.563812017–2018
162US-xNGNEON Northern Great Plains Research Laboratory (NOGP)46.77−100.925782017–2018
163US-xNQNEON Onaqui-Ault (ONAQ)40.18−112.4516852017–2018
164US-xRMNEON Rocky Mountain National Park, CASTNET (RMNP)40.28−105.5527432017–2018
165US-xSENEON Smithsonian Environmental Research Center (SERC)38.89−76.56152017–2018
166US-xSLNEON North Sterling, CO (STER)40.46−103.0313642017–2018
167US-xSPNEON Soaproot Saddle (SOAP)37.03−119.2611602017–2018
168US-xSRNEON Santa Rita Experimental Range (SRER)31.91−110.849832017–2018
169US-xSTNEON Steigerwaldt Land Services (STEI)45.51−89.594812017–2018
170US-xTENEON Lower Teakettle (TEAK)37.01−119.0121472018
171US-xTRNEON Treehaven (TREE)45.49−89.594722017–2018
172US-xUKNEON The University of Kansas Field Station (UKFS)39.04−95.193352017–2018
173US-xUNNEON University of Notre Dame Environmental Research Center (UNDE)46.23−89.545182017–2018
174US-xWDNEON Woodworth (WOOD)47.13−99.245792017–2018
175US-xWRNEON Wind River Experimental Forest (WREF)45.82−121.954072018
176MSEMase paddy flux site36.05140.03132001
177PSOPasoh Forest Reserve2.97102.3175–1502003–2009
178BKSBukit Soeharto-0.86117.04202001–2002
179CBSChangbaishan Site41.40128.107312003–2005
180FHKFuji Hokuroku Flux Observation Site35.44138.761050–11502006–2012
181GCKGwangreung Coniferous forest37.75127.161322007–2008
182HBGHaibei Potentilla fruticisa bosk Site37.48101.207562003–2004
183HFKHaenam Farmland34.55127.57122008
184IRIIRRI Flux Research Site14.14121.27212009–2014
185KBUKherlenbayan Ulaan47.21108.7412352003–2009
186LSHLaoshan45.28127.583402002
187MBFMoshiri Birch Forest Site44.38142.325852003–2005
188MKLMae Klong14.5998.845852003–2004
189MMFMoshiri Mixd Forest Site44.32142.263402003–2005
190PDFPalangkaraya drained forest−2.35114.04302002–2005
191QYZQianyanzhou Site26.73115.071002003–2004
192SKRSakaerat14.49101.925432001–2003
193SKTSouthern Khentei Taiga48.35108.6516302003–2006
194SMFSeto Mixed Forest Site35.26137.082052002–2015
195SWLSuwa Lake Site36.05138.117592015–2018
196TKCTakayama evergreen coniferous forest site36.14137.378002007
197TMKTomakomai Flux Research Site42.74141.511402001–2003
198TSECC-LaG Teshio Experimental Forest45.06142.11702001–2005
199YCSYuchen Site36.83116.57282003–2005
200YLFYakutsk Spasskaya Pad larch62.26129.172202003–2007
201YPFYakutsk Pine62.24129.652202004–2007
202ALEAlert82.49−62.421272004–2014
203ASPAlice Springs−23.80133.895472000–2018
204BARBarrow71.32−156.6182000–2017
205BILBillings36.61−97.523172000–2017
206BONBondville40.07−88.372132009–2018
207BOSBoulder40.13−105.2416892009–2018
208BOUBoulder40.05−105.0115772000–2016
209BRBBrasilia−15.60−47.7110232008–2018
210CABCabauw51.974.9302005–2018
211CAMCamborne50.22−5.32882001–2017
212CARCarpentras44.085.061002000–2018
213CNRCener42.82−1.604712009–2018
214COCCocos Island−12.1996.8462004–2018
215DAADe Aar−30.6723.9912872000–2018
216DARDarwin−12.43130.89302002–2015
217DOMConcordia Station, Dome C−75.10123.3832332006–2018
218DRADesert Rock36.63−116.0210072009–2018
219DWNDarwin Met Office−12.42130.89322008–2018
220E13Southern Great Plains36.61−97.493182000–2017
221ENAEastern North Atlantic39.09−28.0315.22013–2015
222EUREureka79.99−85.94852007–2011
223FLOFlorianopolis−27.60−48.52112013–2018
224FPEFort Peck48.32−105.106342009–2018
225FUAFukuoka33.58130.3832010–2018
226GANGandhinagar23.1172.63652014–2015
227GCRGoodwin Creek34.25−89.87982009–2018
228GOBGobabeb−23.5615.044072012–2018
229GURGurgaon28.4277.162592014–2018
230GVNGeorg von Neumayer−70.65−8.25422000–2018
231HOWHowrah22.5588.31512014–2018
232ISHIshigakijima24.34124.165.72010–2018
233LAULauder−45.05169.693502000–2018
234LERLerwick60.14−1.18802001–2017
235LINLindenberg52.2114.121252000–2017
236LRCLangley Research Center37.10−76.3932014–2018
237LYULanyu Station22.04121.563242018
238MANMomote−2.06147.4362000–2013
239NAUNauru Island−0.52166.9272000–2013
240NEWNewcastle−32.88151.7318.52017–2018
241NYANy-Ålesund78.9311.93112000–2018
242PALPalaiseau, SIRTA Observatory48.712.211562003–2018
243PAYPayerne46.826.944912000–2018
244PSURock Springs40.72−77.933762009–2018
245PTRPetrolina−9.07−40.323872008–2018
246REGRegina50.21−104.715782000–2011
247SAPSapporo43.06141.3317.22010–2018
248SBOSede Boqer30.8634.785002003–2012
249SMSSão Martinho da Serra−29.44−53.824892008–2017
250SONSonnblick47.0512.963108.92013–2018
251SOVSolar Village24.9146.416502000–2002
252SXFSioux Falls43.73−96.624732009–2018
253SYOSyowa−69.0139.59182000–2018
254TAMTamanrasset22.795.5313852000–2018
255TATTateno36.06140.13252000–2018
256TIRTiruvallur13.0979.97362014–2018
257TORToravere58.2526.46702003–2018
258XIAXianghe39.75116.96322005–2015
259AT-NeuNeustift47.1211.329702005–2012
260AU-ASMAlice Springs−22.28133.25\2010–2014
261AU-AdeAdelaide River−13.08131.12\2007–2009
262AU-CprCalperum−34.00140.59\2010–2014
263AU-CumCumberland Plain−33.62150.72\2012–2014
264AU-DaPDaly River Savanna−14.06131.32\2007–2013
265AU-DaSDaly River Cleared−14.16131.39\2008–2014
266AU-DryDry River−15.26132.37\2008–2014
267AU-EmrEmerald−23.86148.47\2011–2013
268AU-FogFogg Dam−12.55131.31\2006–2008
269AU-GWWGreat Western Woodlands, Western Australia, Australia−30.19120.65\2013–2014
270AU-GinGingin−31.38115.71\2011–2014
271AU-LoxLoxton−34.47140.66\2008–2009
272AU-RDFRed Dirt Melon Farm, Northern Territory−14.56132.48\2011–2013
273AU-RigRiggs Creek−36.65145.58\2011–2014
274AU-RobRobson Creek, Queensland, Australia−17.12145.63\2014
275AU-StpSturt Plains−17.15133.35\2008–2014
276AU-TTETi Tree East−22.29133.64\2012–2014
277AU-TumTumbarumba−35.66148.1512002007–2014
278AU-WhrWhroo−36.67145.03\2011–2014
279AU-WomWombat−37.42144.097052010–2014
280AU-YncJaxa−34.99146.29\2012–2014
281BE-BraBrasschaat51.314.52162007–2014
282BE-LonLonzee50.554.751672005–2014
283CH-ChaChamau47.218.413932005–2014
284CH-DavDavos46.829.8616392006–2014
285CH-FruFrüebüel47.128.549822005–2014
286CH-LaeLaegern47.488.366892005–2014
287CH-Oe1Oensingen grassland47.297.734502003–2008
288CH-Oe2Oensingen crop47.297.734522004–2014
289CN-ChaChangbaishan42.40128.10\2003–2005
290CN-CngChangling44.59123.51\2007–2010
291CN-DanDangxiong30.5091.07\2004–2005
292CN-DinDinghushan23.17112.54\2003–2005
293CN-Ha2Haibei Shrubland37.61101.33\2003–2005
294CN-QiaQianyanzhou26.74115.06\2003–2005
295CZ-wetTrebon (CZECHWET)49.0214.774262006–2014
296DE-AkmAnklam53.8713.68−12009–2014
297DE-GebGebesee51.1010.91161.52001–2014
298DE-GriGrillenburg50.9513.513852006–2014
299DE-HaiHainich51.0810.454302002–2012
300DE-KliKlingenberg50.8913.524782004–2014
301DE-LkbLackenberg49.1013.3013082009–2013
302DE-LnfLeinefelde51.3310.374512002–2012
303DE-ObeOberbärenburg50.7913.727342008–2014
304DE-RuRRollesbroich50.626.30514.72011–2014
305DE-RuSSelhausen Juelich50.876.45102.7552011–2014
306DE-SfNSchechenfilz Nord47.8111.335902012–2014
307DE-SpwSpreewald51.8914.03612010–2014
308DE-ThaTharandt50.9613.573852004–2014
309DE-ZrkZarnekow53.8812.8902013–2014
310FI-HyyHyytiala61.8524.291812009–2014
311FI-LomLompolojankka68.0024.212742007–2009
312FR-GriGrignon48.841.951252004–2014
313FR-LBrLe Bray44.72−0.77612003–2008
314FR-PuePuechabon43.743.602702005–2014
315IT-BCiBorgo Cioffi40.5214.96202006–2011
316IT-CA1Castel d’Asso142.3812.032002011–2014
317IT-CA2Castel d’Asso242.3812.032002011–2014
318IT-CA3Castel d’Asso342.3812.021972011–2014
319IT-ColCollelongo41.8513.5915602004–2014
320IT-IspIspra ABC-IS45.818.632102013–2014
321IT-La2Lavarone245.9511.2913502000–2002
322IT-LavLavarone45.9611.2813532003–2004
323IT-MBoMonte Bondone46.0111.0515502003–2013
324IT-NoeArca di Noe–Le Prigionette40.618.15252004–2014
325IT-RenRenon46.5911.4317302003–2013
326IT-Ro2Roccarespampani 242.3911.921602010–2012
327IT-SR2San Rossore 243.7310.2942013–2014
328IT-SRoSan Rossore43.7310.2862004–2008
329IT-TorTorgnon45.847.5821602008–2014
330JP-MBFMoshiri Birch Forest Site44.39142.32\2003–2005
331NL-HorHorstermeer52.245.072.22004–2011
332NL-LooLoobos52.175.74252000–2014
333RU-CheCherski68.61161.3462002–2005
334RU-FyoFyodorovskoye56.4632.922652000–2014
335SE-St1Stordalen grassland68.3519.053512012–2014
336SJ-BlvBayelva, Spitsbergen78.9211.83252008–2009
337US-CRTCurtice Walter-Berger cropland41.63−83.351802011–2013
338US-GBTGLEES Brooklyn Tower41.37−106.2431912000–2006
339US-SyvSylvania Wilderness Area46.24−89.355402012–2014
340US-Tw4Twitchell East End Wetland38.10−121.64−52013–2014
341ZA-KruSkukuza−25.0231.503592000–2003
342ZM-MonMongu−15.4423.2510532000–2009
343BNDBondville40.05−88.372302000–2018
344DRADesert Rock36.62−116.0210072000–2018
345FPKFort Peck48.31−105.106342000–2018
346GWNGoodwin Creek34.25−89.87982000–2018
347PSUPenn State40.72−77.933762000–2018
348SXFSioux Falls43.73−96.624732003–2018
349TBLTable Mountain40.13−105.2416892000–2018
The first 175 stations are the AmeriFlux sites, followed by 26 AsiaFlux sites (beginning with site code named “MSE”), 57 BSRN sites (beginning with site code named “ALE”), 84 FLUXNET sites (beginning with site code named “AT-Neu”), and 7 SURFRAD sites (beginning with site code named “BND”).
Algorithm A1. The Gradient Boosting Regression Tree Algorithm.
Initialize f 0 ( x ) = a r g   m i n ρ i = 1 N L ( y i , ρ )
For m = 1   to   M do
    For i = 1   to   N do
        Compute the negative gradient y i m ˜ = [ L ( y i , f ( x i ) ) f ( x i ) ] f ( x ) = f m 1 ( x 1 )
    End
    Fit a regression tree h ( x ; α m ) to predict the targets y i m ˜ from covariates xi for all training dataset
    Compute a gradient descent step size as ρ m = a r g   m i n ρ i = 1 n L ( y i , f m 1 ( x i ) + ρ h ( x i ;   α m ) )
    Update the model as f m ( x ) = f m 1 ( x ) + ρ m h ( x i ;   α m )
End
Output the final model f M ( x )

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Figure 1. Geographical distribution of observation sites used to model (314 sites in total, green) and validate (35 sites in total, red) the Ld dataset in this study collected at AmeriFlux (squares) with 159 and 16 sites, AsiaFlux (pentagrams) with 23 and 3 sites, BSRN networks (circles) with 51 and 6 sites, FLUXNET (inverted triangle) with 75 and 9 sites, and SURFRAD (positive triangle) with 6 and 1 sites, respectively.
Figure 1. Geographical distribution of observation sites used to model (314 sites in total, green) and validate (35 sites in total, red) the Ld dataset in this study collected at AmeriFlux (squares) with 159 and 16 sites, AsiaFlux (pentagrams) with 23 and 3 sites, BSRN networks (circles) with 51 and 6 sites, FLUXNET (inverted triangle) with 75 and 9 sites, and SURFRAD (positive triangle) with 6 and 1 sites, respectively.
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Figure 2. The main flowchart in this study.
Figure 2. The main flowchart in this study.
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Figure 3. Evaluation results of daily Ld estimates on the basis of the GBRT model for (a) the training dataset and (b) the test dataset against the ground measurements from March 2000 to December 2018.
Figure 3. Evaluation results of daily Ld estimates on the basis of the GBRT model for (a) the training dataset and (b) the test dataset against the ground measurements from March 2000 to December 2018.
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Figure 4. Evaluation results of Ld estimates with 5-km resolution based on the GBRT model on the (a) daily and (b) monthly time scales against the ground measurements from March 2000 to December 2018.
Figure 4. Evaluation results of Ld estimates with 5-km resolution based on the GBRT model on the (a) daily and (b) monthly time scales against the ground measurements from March 2000 to December 2018.
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Figure 5. (a) RMSE and (b) MBE histograms of daily Ld estimates with 5-km resolution based on the GBRT model against the ground measurements from March 2000 to December 2018.
Figure 5. (a) RMSE and (b) MBE histograms of daily Ld estimates with 5-km resolution based on the GBRT model against the ground measurements from March 2000 to December 2018.
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Figure 6. Evaluation results of the daily and monthly (a,d) Ld estimates based on the GBRT model, (b,e) CERES-SYN Ld product, and (c,f) ERA5 Ld retrieval with a 100-km resolution against the ground measurements from March 2000 to December 2018.
Figure 6. Evaluation results of the daily and monthly (a,d) Ld estimates based on the GBRT model, (b,e) CERES-SYN Ld product, and (c,f) ERA5 Ld retrieval with a 100-km resolution against the ground measurements from March 2000 to December 2018.
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Figure 7. (a) RMSE and (b) MBE histograms of the daily Ld estimates based on the GBRT model, CERES-SYN Ld product, and ERA5 Ld retrieval with a 100-km resolution against the ground measurements from March 2000 to December 2018.
Figure 7. (a) RMSE and (b) MBE histograms of the daily Ld estimates based on the GBRT model, CERES-SYN Ld product, and ERA5 Ld retrieval with a 100-km resolution against the ground measurements from March 2000 to December 2018.
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Figure 8. The spatial distribution of the multiyear seasonal mean value of the generated Ld dataset in Northern hemisphere (a) spring (March, April, and May), (b) summer (June, July, and August), (c) autumn (September, October, and November), and (d) winter (December, January, and February) over the global land surface from 2003 to 2018.
Figure 8. The spatial distribution of the multiyear seasonal mean value of the generated Ld dataset in Northern hemisphere (a) spring (March, April, and May), (b) summer (June, July, and August), (c) autumn (September, October, and November), and (d) winter (December, January, and February) over the global land surface from 2003 to 2018.
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Figure 9. The spatial distribution of the multiyear annual mean value of the (a) generated Ld dataset, (b) generated Ld minus CERES-SYN, and (c) generated Ld minus ERA5 over the global land surface from 2003 to 2018.
Figure 9. The spatial distribution of the multiyear annual mean value of the (a) generated Ld dataset, (b) generated Ld minus CERES-SYN, and (c) generated Ld minus ERA5 over the global land surface from 2003 to 2018.
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Figure 10. Multiyear (a) monthly mean values, (b) annual mean values, and (c) annual mean anomaly values of the generated, ERA5, and CERES-SYN Ld from 2003 to 2018, respectively.
Figure 10. Multiyear (a) monthly mean values, (b) annual mean values, and (c) annual mean anomaly values of the generated, ERA5, and CERES-SYN Ld from 2003 to 2018, respectively.
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Figure 11. The trend of the annual mean anomalies of the generated Ld estimation, ERA5 2-m air temperature, and water vapor pressure from 2003 to 2018.
Figure 11. The trend of the annual mean anomalies of the generated Ld estimation, ERA5 2-m air temperature, and water vapor pressure from 2003 to 2018.
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Figure 12. The spatial distribution of annual mean values for the (a) ERA5 2-m air temperature and (b) water vapor pressure from 2003 to 2018.
Figure 12. The spatial distribution of annual mean values for the (a) ERA5 2-m air temperature and (b) water vapor pressure from 2003 to 2018.
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Figure 13. The spatial distribution of the correlation coefficient between the generated Ld estimation and (a) ERA5 2-m air temperature and (b) water vapor pressure from 2003 to 2018. Only significant pixels where p values are less than 0.05 appeared.
Figure 13. The spatial distribution of the correlation coefficient between the generated Ld estimation and (a) ERA5 2-m air temperature and (b) water vapor pressure from 2003 to 2018. Only significant pixels where p values are less than 0.05 appeared.
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Table 1. Parameter settings to determine the optimal parameters for the GBRT method.
Table 1. Parameter settings to determine the optimal parameters for the GBRT method.
ParametersThresholdIntervals
n-estimator50–30050
learning rate0.1–0.90.1
max-depth4–91
subsample0.2–10.1
Table 2. Importance rankings of all predictor variables for Ld estimation.
Table 2. Importance rankings of all predictor variables for Ld estimation.
Predictor VariablesImportance
Total column water vapor (TCWV)0.78
2-m air temperature (Ta)0.19
Relative humidity at 1000 hPa (RH)0.01
Surface downward shortwave radiation (Sd)0.01
Elevation0.01
Table 3. The fitted linear regression equations for the generated, ERA5, and CERES-SYN Ld datasets on both daily and monthly time scales. Where the x and y represent the ground measurements of Ld and the Ld estimates, respectively.
Table 3. The fitted linear regression equations for the generated, ERA5, and CERES-SYN Ld datasets on both daily and monthly time scales. Where the x and y represent the ground measurements of Ld and the Ld estimates, respectively.
Time ScaleDatasetFitted Linear Regression Equation
Daily time scaleLd estimation y = 0.91 x + 27.99   *
ERA5 Ld y = 0.97 x + 6.39   *
CERES-SYN Ld y = 0.96 x + 13.38   *
Monthly time scaleLd estimation y = 0.94 x + 19.06   *
ERA5 Ld y = 0.99 x + 1.64   *
CERES-SYN Ld y = x + 0.59   *
* The coefficient of the fitted linear regression equation passed the significance test (p < 0.01).
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Feng, C.; Zhang, X.; Wei, Y.; Zhang, W.; Hou, N.; Xu, J.; Yang, S.; Xie, X.; Jiang, B. Estimation of Long-Term Surface Downward Longwave Radiation over the Global Land from 2000 to 2018. Remote Sens. 2021, 13, 1848. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13091848

AMA Style

Feng C, Zhang X, Wei Y, Zhang W, Hou N, Xu J, Yang S, Xie X, Jiang B. Estimation of Long-Term Surface Downward Longwave Radiation over the Global Land from 2000 to 2018. Remote Sensing. 2021; 13(9):1848. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13091848

Chicago/Turabian Style

Feng, Chunjie, Xiaotong Zhang, Yu Wei, Weiyu Zhang, Ning Hou, Jiawen Xu, Shuyue Yang, Xianhong Xie, and Bo Jiang. 2021. "Estimation of Long-Term Surface Downward Longwave Radiation over the Global Land from 2000 to 2018" Remote Sensing 13, no. 9: 1848. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13091848

APA Style

Feng, C., Zhang, X., Wei, Y., Zhang, W., Hou, N., Xu, J., Yang, S., Xie, X., & Jiang, B. (2021). Estimation of Long-Term Surface Downward Longwave Radiation over the Global Land from 2000 to 2018. Remote Sensing, 13(9), 1848. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13091848

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