Does Labor Transfer Improve Farmers’ Willingness to Withdraw from Farming?—A Bivariate Probit Modeling Approach
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Theoretical Analysis and Hypotheses
2.1. Correlation Effect of Farmers’ Willingness to Withdraw from Contracted Land and the Homestead
2.2. The Impact of Labor Force Transfer on the Willingness to Withdraw from Farmers’ Contracted Land and the Homestead
2.3. The Impact of Different Types of Labor Transfer within the Family on the Willingness to Quit the Farmer’s Contracted Land and the Homestead
2.4. The Impact of the Female Labor Force Transfer on Farmers’ Willingness to Withdraw from Contracted Land and the Homestead
3. Materials and Methods
3.1. Data Sources
3.2. Variable Selection
3.2.1. Explained Variables
3.2.2. Key Explanatory Variables
3.2.3. Other Explanatory Variables
3.3. Key Explanatory Variables
4. Results
4.1. The Correlation Effect of Farmers’ Willingness to Withdraw from Land
4.2. The Correlation Effect of Labour Transfer to Withdraw from Land
4.3. The Effect of Other Explanatory Variables on Farmers’ Willingness to Withdraw from Land
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions
- (i)
- Because of the current low willingness of farmers to withdraw from contracted land and homesteads, the government should, on the one hand, steadily make forward-looking institutional arrangements for land withdrawal to lay the institutional foundation for farmers to withdraw from contracted land and homesteads in a gradual and orderly manner. On the one hand, the government must have historical patience and responsibility for the withdrawal of farmers’ contracted land and homesteads, respect the wishes of farmers, and resolutely prevent farmers from being “excluded from the land”.
- (ii)
- Therefore, the willingness to withdraw from the homestead needs to be premised on the willingness to withdraw from contracted land, or the willingness to withdraw from contracted land can strengthen the willingness to withdraw from the homestead. As the correlation effect between farmers’ willingness to withdraw from contracted land and their willingness to withdraw from the homestead, the two should be placed within the framework of the rural land withdrawal system, and the practical connection and mutual promotion of the homestead withdrawal policy and the contracted land withdrawal policy should be strengthened. Farmers voluntarily withdraw from contracted land as the guide, establish a policy support system that supports the effective combination of contracted land withdrawal and homestead withdrawal, and guide farmers to withdraw from contracted land and the homestead in an orderly manner.
- (iii)
- The government should provide farmers with more non-agricultural jobs through the secondary and tertiary industries, improve the vocational skills training to enhance the competitiveness of farmers ‘ non-agricultural employment and promote the development of family labor from incomplete transfer to complete the transfer. On the other hand, the government should take the complete labor transfer of households as a reference to improve the targeting of the land exit policy, improve the land exit policy supported by employment resettlement, and use “industry” to return “land” to improve the exit of farmers’ contracted land and homestead will.
- (iv)
- Since the prominent role of female family labor transfers on farmers’ willingness to quit contracted land and the homestead, the government should increase the skills training for rural women’s off-farm employment and promote participation. At the same time, it should be committed to creating a better job environment for rural women. A more equitable and improved non-agricultural employment environment will advance in the long-term and stable transfer of the female labor force, reduce farmers’ dependence on contracted land and homesteads, and increase their willingness to withdraw from contracted land and homesteads.
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Province | Area | Sample Size | Percentage (%) |
---|---|---|---|
Shaanxi Province | Xixiang County | 77 | 8.08 |
Ziyang County | 107 | 11.23 | |
Baihe County | 110 | 11.54 | |
Hanbin District | 80 | 8.39 | |
Sichuan Province | Wangcang County | 91 | 9.55 |
Tongjiang County | 99 | 10.39 | |
Emeishan City | 102 | 10.70 | |
Anhui Province | Jinzhai County | 96 | 10.07 |
Qimen County | 94 | 9.86 | |
Huangshan District | 97 | 10.18 |
Variable | Variable Meaning and Assignment | Mean | Standard Deviation |
---|---|---|---|
Homestead Exit Willingness | Unwilling = 0, willing = 1 | 0.261 | 0.440 |
Willingness to withdraw from contracted land | Unwilling = 0, willing = 1 | 0.301 | 0.459 |
Whole family labor transfer | The sum of incomplete labor transfer and complete labor transfer in households/total household population | 0.392 | 0.279 |
Family incomplete labor transfer | The sum of the incompletely transferred labor force by households/total household population | 0.204 | 0.252 |
Family complete labor transfer | The sum of the fully transferred labor force of the family/the total population of the family | 0.183 | 0.205 |
Incomplete labor transfer of family women | The sum of the incomplete labor force transferred by women in the family/total population of the family | 0.062 | 0.130 |
Household women complete labor transfer | The sum of the total labor force transferred by female households/total household population | 0.067 | 0.117 |
Age of head of household | (years old) | 57.143 | 10.022 |
Education level of the head of the household | Illiteracy = 1, primary school = 2, junior high school and technical secondary school = 3, high school = 4, junior college = 5, undergraduate = 5, master’s degree = 6 | 2.274 | 0.835 |
The proportion of the elderly population | The sum of older people over the age of 60 in the family/the total population of the family | 0.898 | 0.895 |
Sense of land control | Weak sense of land control = 1, average sense of land control = 2, strong sense of land control = 3 | 1.727 | 0.547 |
Land size | (mu) | 15.486 | 20.494 |
Land outflow scale | (mu) | 0.190 | 1.479 |
Total household income | (10,000 yuan) | 9.663 | 13.046 |
Clan | The surname does not belong to the big village surname = 0, and the surname belongs to the big village surname = 1 | 0.441 | 0.497 |
Smartphone use | Very unfamiliar = 1, less familiar = 2, familiar = 3, somewhat familiar = 4, very familiar = 5 | 2.597 | 1.322 |
Government interaction | Very little interaction = 1, less interaction = 2, average interaction = 3, more interaction = 4, less interaction = 5 | 2.039 | 1.012 |
Government trust | The average value of three 5-level scales of trust degree of county government, township government, and village committee | 3.454 | 0.751 |
Government obedience | Very bad = 1, poor = 2, fair = 3, better = 4, very good = 5 | 3.889 | 0.637 |
Enthusiasm for participation in public affairs | Very low motivation = 1, poor motivation = 2, average motivation = 3, good motivation = 4, very good motivation = 5 | 3.080 | 1.085 |
Universal trust | Most people in society are trustworthy, most people behave fairly and justly, and most of the time, people are helpful | 3.835 | 0.535 |
Social Policy Implementation Evaluation | The average value of the 5-level scale of rural social policy satisfaction for rural pensions, rural medical insurance, and poverty alleviation and disability assistance | 3.726 | 0.751 |
Environmental Policy Implementation Evaluation | The average value of the 5-level scale of rural environmental policy satisfaction for the two items of environmental pollution control and beautiful rural construction | 3.778 | 0.732 |
Life satisfaction | The weighted average of three 5-level scales for quality of life, happiness, and future life | 3.611 | 0.562 |
Perception of Welfare Gap between Urban and Rural Areas | Compared with the city, the average value of the 2 5 scales of farmer welfare and rural child development | 3.404 | 0.814 |
Household purchase rate in villages and towns | Very low = 1, low = 2, average = 3, high = 4, very high = 5 | 2.143 | 0.928 |
Variable | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Willingness to Withdraw from Contracted Land | Homestead Exit Willingness | Willingness to Withdraw from Contracted Land | Homestead Exit Willingness | Willingness to Withdraw from Contracted Land | Homestead Exit Willingness | |
Coefficient (Standard Deviation) | Coefficient (Standard Deviation) | Coefficient (Standard Deviation) | Coefficient (Standard Deviation) | Coefficient (Standard Deviation) | Coefficient (Standard Deviation) | |
Whole family labor transfer | 0.512 *** (0.185) | 0.241 (0.184) | - | - | - | - |
Family incomplete labor transfer | - | - | 0.612 *** (0.205) | 0.149 (0.205) | - | - |
Family complete labor transfer | - | - | 0.622 ** (0.269) | 0.512 * (0.262) | - | - |
Incomplete labor transfer of family women | - | - | - | - | 0.737 ** (0.357) | 0.186 (0.402) |
Household women complete labor transfer | - | - | - | - | 0.818 ** (0.408) | 1.115 *** (0.395) |
Age of head of household | −0.009 (0.006) | −0.006 (0.006) | −0.009 (0.006) | −0.006 (0.006) | −0.010 (0.006) | −0.007 (0.006) |
Education level of the head of the household | −0.161 ** (0.064) | −0.082 (0.060) | −0.163 *** (0.063) | −0.079 (0.060) | −0.154 ** (0.063) | −0.078 (0.061) |
The proportion of the elderly population | 0.181 (0.070) | 0.070 (0.071) | 0.187 *** (0.069) | 0.075 (0.070) | 0.153 ** (0.068) | 0.068 (0.068) |
Sense of land control | 0.176 * (0.090) | 0.027 (0.092) | 0.175 * (0.090) | 0.023 (0.093) | 0.152 * (0.091) | −0.002 (0.094) |
Land size | 0.014 (0.071) | 0.063 (0.067) | 0.019 (0.071) | 0.064 (0.067) | 0.006 (0.071) | 0.066 (0.067) |
Land outflow scale | −0.035 (0.153) | 0.054 (0.145) | −0.033 (0.153) | 0.040 (0.147) | −0.046 (0.149) | 0.032 (0.148) |
Total household income | −0.037 (0.068) | −0.056 (0.071) | −0.049 (0.073) | −0.090 (0.075) | −0.022 (0.066) | −0.080 (0.072) |
Clan | 0.221 ** (0.088) | 0.221 ** (0.092) | 0.227 *** (0.088) | 0.223 ** (0.092) | 0.226 *** (0.087) | 0.226 ** (0.094) |
Smartphone use | 0.091 ** (0.040) | 0.111 *** (0.042) | 0.091 ** (0.040) | 0.114 *** (0.042) | 0.088 ** (0.040) | 0.109 *** (0.042) |
Government interaction | 0.095 * (0.051) | 0.185 *** (0.053) | 0.102 ** (0.050) | 0.185 *** (0.053) | 0.084 * (0.050) | 0.175 *** (0.053) |
Government trust | 0.080 (0.078) | −0.062 (0.080) | 0.082 (0.078) | −0.060 (0.080) | 0.080 (0.079) | −0.056 (0.080) |
Government obedience | 0.104 (0.079) | 0.051 (0.086) | 0.099 (0.079) | 0.054 (0.087) | 0.118 (0.081) | 0.054 (0.087) |
Enthusiasm for participation in public affairs | −0.338 *** (0.047) | −0.399 ** (0.051) | −0.343 *** (0.048) | −0.397 *** (0.051) | −0.333 *** (0.047) | −0.396 *** (0.051) |
Universal trust | 0.266 *** (0.098) | 0.146 (0.102) | 0.261 *** (0.097) | 0.154 (0.102) | 0.269 *** (0.097) | 0.154 (0.102) |
Social policy implementation evaluation | −0.031 (0.069) | 0.118 (0.073) | −0.032 (0.070) | 0.118 (0.073) | −0.039 (0.069) | 0.110 (0.072) |
Environmental policy implementation evaluation | −0.271 *** (0.075) | −0.285 *** (0.080) | −0.266 *** (0.075) | −0.285 *** (0.080) | −0.265 *** (0.076) | −0.284 *** (0.080) |
Life satisfaction | 0.102 (0.096) | 0.038 (0.098) | 0.105 (0.097) | 0.049 (0.099) | 0.106 (0.097) | 0.050 (0.099) |
Perception of welfare gap between urban and rural areas | 0.109 * (0.059) | 0.087 (0.061) | 0.111 * (0.059) | 0.082 (0.061) | 0.111 * (0.059) | 0.085 (0.061) |
Household purchase rate in villages and towns | - | 0.103 (0.081) | - | 0.103 (0.080) | - | 0.102 (0.079) |
Regional variable | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||
Athrho | 0.858 *** (0.074) | 0.858 *** (0.074) | 0.853 *** (0.074) | |||
test (p-value) | 134.159 (0.000) | 133.605 (0.000) | 132.868 (0.000) | |||
Wald chi2 | 213.88 | 213.74 | 221.86 | |||
Prob | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
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Ding, X.; Lu, Q.; Li, L.; Sarkar, A.; Li, H. Does Labor Transfer Improve Farmers’ Willingness to Withdraw from Farming?—A Bivariate Probit Modeling Approach. Land 2023, 12, 1615. https://doi.org/10.3390/land12081615
Ding X, Lu Q, Li L, Sarkar A, Li H. Does Labor Transfer Improve Farmers’ Willingness to Withdraw from Farming?—A Bivariate Probit Modeling Approach. Land. 2023; 12(8):1615. https://doi.org/10.3390/land12081615
Chicago/Turabian StyleDing, Xiuling, Qian Lu, Lipeng Li, Apurbo Sarkar, and Hua Li. 2023. "Does Labor Transfer Improve Farmers’ Willingness to Withdraw from Farming?—A Bivariate Probit Modeling Approach" Land 12, no. 8: 1615. https://doi.org/10.3390/land12081615
APA StyleDing, X., Lu, Q., Li, L., Sarkar, A., & Li, H. (2023). Does Labor Transfer Improve Farmers’ Willingness to Withdraw from Farming?—A Bivariate Probit Modeling Approach. Land, 12(8), 1615. https://doi.org/10.3390/land12081615