The Value of Clinical Decision Support in Healthcare: A Focus on Screening and Early Detection
Abstract
:1. Introduction
1.1. Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning and Clinical Decision Support
- Supervised learning: This involves labeled training data to learn and make predictions. Examples include support vector machines, decision trees, random forests, and logistic regression;
- Unsupervised learning: This involves working with unlabeled data to identify patterns and relationships. Common techniques include clustering algorithms like K-Means and Gaussian Mixture Models;
- Reinforcement learning: This involves learning through interactions with an environment and receiving rewards or penalties to optimize decision-making. Applications include robotics, game-playing, and autonomous driving.
1.2. Artificial Intelligence as Clinical Decision Support: Why Is It Needed?
1.3. Applications of CDS in Practice
- Improvement of administration: CDS systems can support clinicians in coding [15]. For example, using an anatomical interface representing the human body in an emergency department (ED) led to a faster selection of admission codes [16]. Another study yielded an improvement in the documentation accuracy of “induction of labor” when a prompting system was offered to the physician [17];
- Improvement of patient safety: CDS effectively reduces prescription errors [20] and supports the right choice of antibiotics [21]. Furthermore, use cases exist for a CDS-based avoidance of nephrotoxic substances [22]. The University of Heidelberg, for example, introduced a CDS to translate drug names into the names of the clinic’s pharmacy because one of five substitutions was incorrect [23]. CDS can also trigger alarms in a resource-constrained monitoring environment [24]. In 2018, the University of Leipzig implemented an automated warning system called AMPEL (Analyse- und Meldesystem zur Verbesserung der Patientensicherheit durch Echtzeitintegration von Laborbefunden) that uses more than 10 validated algorithms and has led to more than 6000 alarms per year. Originally designed to create alarms for Refeeding syndrome, AMPEL has developed into an open-source project from 2024 onward;
- Physician-facing CDS: AI-based software can generate possible diagnoses and their related differential diagnosis [25]. In a randomized controlled trial with 87 general practitioners, CDS-assisted diagnoses were generated with 82% accuracy. This translates into an almost 10% better diagnostic accuracy rate as compared to medical colleagues who did not use the software [26]. Improvements in diagnostic accuracy are evident for other CDS systems, too, such as those from Smart Blood Analytics [27]. One of their algorithms classifies hematological conditions. Although the clinical judgment of hematologists and internal specialists was still slightly better than the performance of the algorithm, non-hematology internal medicine specialists achieved an accuracy of 0.26 compared to an accuracy of 0.60 provided by the CDS [28]. Physician-facing CDS can be applied in various stages of the diagnostic workup. Table 1 displays examples of academically or commercially available algorithms in different stages of the patient journey, which correspond to the three levels of prevention defined by Leavell and Clark [29];
- Patient-facing CDS: Empowering patients to control aspects of their care is particularly important, as it improves adherence to recommendations [30]. Ada Health, for example, is an AI-powered symptom assessment tool for patients used by over 12 million users. The tool generates possible causes of symptoms and recommends next steps [31].
Stage of Patient Journey | Prevention Level Based on Leavell and Clark | Intention | Examples: Companies and Algorithms | Intended Use |
---|---|---|---|---|
Risk Stratification for Screening [32] | Secondary Prevention | Prognostic enrichment of patient population eligible for screening with the intention of prioritization | Medial EarlySign (ColonFlag™) | Identification of patients at high risk for colorectal cancer by analyzing age, sex, and a recent complete blood count |
Screening [33] | Secondary Prevention | Algorithms determine whether a particular disease is present or the patient is at risk of developing it | GUARDANT (Shield) | Qualitative, in vitro diagnostic test to detect colorectal cancer-derived alterations in cell-free DNA from blood, indicated in individuals at average risk for age 45 years or older |
Diagnosis [34] | Secondary Prevention | Algorithm determining the underlying root cause of disease | Saventic Health (SARAH) | Diagnosis of rare diseases using natural language processing and AI/ML |
Classification [35,36] | Secondary Prevention | Algorithms to classify diseases of similar phenotypes and/or staging | Deep6A | Matching patients and sites to actual trial protocols in real time |
Smart Blood Analytics (Virus vs. Bacteria) | Differentiation between viral and bacterial infections based on 17 blood tests, sex, and age | |||
Prognosis [37] | Secondary Prevention | Algorithms determining how likely a particular outcome will be reached | AlgoDx (NAVOY Sepsis) | Forecasting patients’ risk of sepsis 3 h before traditional rule-based scoring systems |
Response Prediction [38] | Secondary Prevention | Algorithms predicting the likelihood of a drug to have a therapeutic effect on an individual | SPHINKS | Probability assessment of therapeutic response with glioblastoma kinases and to inform patient selection in prospective clinical trials |
Monitoring [39] | Secondary Prevention | Algorithms assessing relapse or worsening of preexisting conditions. | Lenus (Stratify) | AI-based risk scores for hospital admission and readmission. Risk scores provide care teams with actionable insights to help inform appropriate treatment interventions, keeping patients at home and out of the hospital |
1.4. Quality Metrics of CDS
1.5. Challenges and Limitations of CDS
- Data protection, security, and compliance: Data protection involves stringent security measures to safeguard patient information and adhere to legal standards, such as the US Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act Part 160, 162, and 164 (Administration) or the European General Data Protection Regulation [47]. Compliance includes the use of advanced encryption technologies and secure servers. Medical device companies must comply with guidelines set by regulatory authorities such as the FDA [48] and the EU Medical Device Regulation [49]. Other frameworks, such as the EU AI Act [50], the world’s first comprehensive AI law, ensure that risk is mitigated and ethical standards are met;
- Usability: The acceptance of CDS depends heavily on its usability. User-centered design facilitates the integration of algorithms into daily practice with minimal disruption to existing workflows [1]. Early collaboration with future CDS users can help improve user interfaces. Training enables physicians to use the technology effectively, make informed decisions, and understand its limitations [51];
- Clinical validation: Access to independent cohorts after an algorithm’s development is often limited. To increase the acceptance of CDS, models must be validated across ethnicities and age groups. Real-world evidence can enhance trust and demonstrate robustness in clinical environments;
- Information overload: The abundance of data provided by CDS software can be overwhelming for medical professionals and may lead to “information fatigue”. Effective data visualization can help manage the flood of information [52]. CDS should only present patient data relevant to the respective context;
- Generative AI models, which are increasingly integrated into CDS, are prone to hallucinations—instances where the AI generates incorrect or fabricated information. Contemporary research suggests that hallucinations should be labeled as “confabulations” or, better yet, as AI misinformation to prevent the stigmatization of AI [53]. In a clinical context, misinformation could result in false interpretation of patient data or the suggestion of invalid medical diagnoses and treatments [54]. Addressing AI-based misinformation requires robust verification mechanisms, cross-referencing AI outputs with established medical knowledge, and ensuring that human oversight remains central to decision-making. Also, a model with more parameters trained for longer tends to confabulate less. However, this is computationally expensive and involves trade-offs with other chatbot skills, such as the ability to generalize. Training on larger, cleaner data sets helps, but there are limits to what data are available. Developers must prioritize transparency in how generative models operate and train them with high-quality, domain-specific datasets to minimize errors. Furthermore, regulatory frameworks should mandate rigorous testing and validation of generative AI components in CDS systems.
Summary: CDS in Clinical Practice
2. Algorithm Types of CDS Through the Lens of Prevention
2.1. Oncology
Algorithm Name | Purpose | Method/Parameters Used | Application | Sensitivity | Specificity | AUC | Limitations | Regulatory Status | Clinical Use | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
a | Bach Model [76,77] | To estimate the 10-year absolute risk of lung cancer among individuals based on their clinical history and exposure factors. | Cox proportional hazard regression to estimate multivariable relations. Predictors include age, sex, smoking history/abstinence, family history of lung cancer, secondary smoke exposure, and asbestos exposure. | Assessing variability in lung cancer risk within high-risk populations. | 84.0% | 65.0% | 0.739–0.824 | Only tested in high-risk CS/FS; Complicated data collection for asbestos exposure; may not be suitable for lung cancer screening programs. | Not yet FDA-approved or CE-marked. | Supports decision-making for lung cancer screening and helps stratify participants for clinical trials. |
a | Spitz Mode [76,78] | To predict the 1-year probability of developing lung cancer in never, former, and current smokers. | Multivariable logistic regression models stratified by smoking status (never, former, and current smokers). Variables included a history of hay fever, family history of lung cancer, secondary smoke exposure, asbestos exposure, dust exposure, pneumonia (previous diagnosis), and COPD. | Identification of individuals at high risk for lung cancer who might benefit from increased surveillance or preventive interventions. Support for the design of clinical trials targeting high-risk populations. | Reported as true-positive rates: - Never smokers: Not explicitly provided; - Former smokers: Approximately 70%; - Current smokers: Approximately 68–69% | Reported as true-negative rates: -Former smokers: Approximately 66%; -Current smokers: Approximately 65–68% | Never smokers: 0.47–0.66 Former smokers: 0.58–0.69 Current smokers: 0.52–0.64 | Derived from a single case–control study at a specific cancer center; it may not generalize to broader populations focused only on non-Hispanic white participants. Limited discriminatory power (modest AUC values). | Not specified as an FDA-approved or regulated tool; primarily for research and clinical trial designs. | Helps in counseling high-risk individuals for screening or preventive measures. Aids in clinical trial enrollment by identifying participants with high predicted lung cancer risk. |
a | Liverpool Lung Project Model [76,79] | To estimate an individual’s 5-year absolute risk of developing lung cancer based on a combination of risk factors. | Multivariate logistic regression model using conditional logistic regression. Risk factors included age, gender, smoking duration, family history of lung cancer (early and late onset), occupational exposure to asbestos, prior diagnosis of malignant tumors, and prior diagnosis of pneumonia. The absolute risk was calculated by combining the logistic model with regional lung cancer incidence data. | Identification of high-risk individuals for lung cancer screening. Guidance for primary care clinicians in patient risk assessment. Potential integration into early detection strategies like CT screening. | 62% at a 2.5% cutoff for identifying high-risk individuals 34% at a 6% cutoff | 70% at a 2.5% cutoff 90% at a 6% cutoff | 0.698–0.790 | Based on case–control data from a single geographic region, which may limit generalizability. Evidence for accurate prediction in people who do not smoke is lacking. Recall bias due to reliance on self-reported data for risk factors like smoking and asbestos exposure. | Not specified as a regulated tool; primarily a research and risk stratification model. | Assists in risk stratification for lung cancer screening and prevention strategies. Provides an evidence-based approach for identifying high-risk individuals who may benefit from targeted interventions. |
a | PLCOm2012 Model [72,80] | To predict lung cancer risk over 6 years to optimize the selection of individuals for lung cancer screening, improving sensitivity and efficiency compared to traditional categorical criteria like USPSTF2013. | A multivariable logistic regression model incorporating age, smoking history (intensity, duration, quit years), race/ethnicity, BMI, family history of lung cancer, personal history of cancer, history of COPD, and education level. | Stratifying individuals for lung cancer screening to maximize early detection and cost-effectiveness. Clinical and public health programs to identify high-risk populations. | 85.3% | 65.6% | 0.699–0.803 | Validation is limited to specific cohorts; external generalizability may require further studies. Requires collection of detailed patient data, which could complicate implementation, | Not a regulated tool but is recommended for use in lung cancer screening programs in some countries (e.g., the UK and Canada). | Incorporated in screening programs in Canada and the UK and proposed for others. Guides clinical decisions by identifying high-risk individuals beyond standard age-pack-year criteria. |
a | LungFlag™ [81] | To identify patients at risk of developing lung cancer up to 12 months before clinical diagnosis. | Machine learning developed approach based on Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). Data sources included sociodemographic factors, smoking history, laboratory results (e.g., complete blood count), and clinical history (e.g., history of COPD, BMI, etc.). | Screening high-risk individuals for early detection of lung cancer. | 40.1% | 95% | 0.841–0.871 | The model is most accurate closer to the time of diagnosis (0–3 months), which may reflect the onset of clinical suspicion rather than purely pre-symptomatic detection. Missing or incomplete smoking data impacted model performance. | Not yet CE marked, FDA- exempt | Proposed for identifying high-risk individuals for early lung cancer detection. |
b | Yang Model [82] | Predicts the risk of ACN in asymptomatic adults, including younger populations (<50 years) often excluded from routine screening. | Developed using logistic regression on clinical and laboratory parameters such as age, sex, family history, body mass index, smoking, serum fasting glucose, LDL, and carcinoembryonic antigens. | Risk stratification for ACN. Guides selection of CRC screening methods: - High risk: Colonoscopy; - Borderline risk: Fecal immunochemical test (FIT) or laboratory evaluation; - Low risk: Screening may be deferred. | 39.2% | Not reported | 0.71–0.75 | While the model improves risk stratification, it may require further validation across diverse populations to enhance generalizability. | Not yet FDA-approved or CE-marked; primarily utilized in research settings. | Used to expand CRC screening eligibility to younger populations based on risk. |
b | ColonFlag™ [83] | Designed to identify individuals at high risk for CRC. | Developed using machine learning (random forests, decision trees) on age, sex, and 20 CBC parameters. | Used to stratify individuals at risk for CRC, assisting in early detection in asymptomatic patients and those who may not adhere to traditional screening programs. | 25–48% | 88–94% | 0.80–0.82 | The relatively low sensitivity suggests that ColonFlag may miss a significant number of CRC cases, limiting its effectiveness as a standalone screening tool. | CE-marked; FDA-exempt. | Supplementary tools for CRC screening to enhance early detection are used with FIT or colonoscopy. |
b | Imperiale Model [84] | Designed to stratify risk for ACN in average-risk asymptomatic adults undergoing screening. | Developed using multivariable logistic regression on 13 variables: age, sex, marital status, education, smoking, significant alcohol use, metabolic syndrome, red meat consumption, aspirin/NSAID use, and physical activity. | Stratifies participants into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups for ACN to guide screening decisions. | Not reported | Not reported | 0.58–0.62 | The model developed on a predominantly white population, limiting generalizability. | Not yet FDA-approved or CE-marked. | Supports shared decision-making in CRC screening. Low-risk patients can opt for non-invasive screening tests like FIT; high-risk patients are recommended for colonoscopy. |
b | Tao Model [85] | Designed to identify individuals at high risk for ACN among average-risk populations for targeted CRC screening. | Developed using logistic regression on 9 risk factors: sex, age, family history of CRC, smoking, alcohol consumption, red meat consumption, NSAID use, previous colonoscopy, and history of polyps. | Stratifies patients into risk categories (very low to very high) to prioritize screening colonoscopy for high-risk individuals and reduce unnecessary procedures for low-risk individuals. | Not reported | Not reported | 0.65–0.69 | Relies on self-reported risk factors, which may introduce inaccuracies. Focuses on ACN. May not be directly applicable to early-stage CRC detection. | Not yet FDA-approved or CE-marked. | Aids general practitioners and healthcare providers in identifying high-risk individuals for targeted screening, improving cost-effectiveness and compliance. |
b | The Asia-Pacific Colorectal Screening Score Model [86] | To stratify risk for advanced colorectal neoplasia (ACN) in asymptomatic populations within the Asia-Pacific region. | It is a rule-based scoring system derived from logistic regression analysis using predefined demographic risk factors (age, sex, family history of CRC, and smoking status). | The tool identifies high-risk individuals for priority colonoscopy screening. | 42% | 86% | 0.61–0.65 | Limited sensitivity for detecting ACN. Validation is restricted to Asia-Pacific populations, limiting global generalizability. Does not encompass all risk factors for ACN (e.g., dietary habits, metabolic syndrome). High specificity but the potential for missing ACN in lower-risk categories. | Not yet FDA-approved or CE-marked. | Supports shared decision-making in CRC screening. Low-risk patients can opt for non-invasive screening tests; high-risk patients are recommended for colonoscopy. May conserve colonoscopy resources and improve screening uptake. |
c | APAC [87] | Developed to improve surveillance of the at-risk population. | Age, sPDGFRβ, AFP, and creatinine. | Diagnosis of HCC in all stages of cirrhosis. | 81.67% | 95.35% | 95 | Tested only in patients with cirrhosis, no data for other “at-risk” populations (e.g., for NAFLD with bridging fibrosis, hepatitis B with a PAGE-B score > 10) is warranted. | No specific approval. | Tool for the identification of HCC, especially for early stages. |
c | ASAP [88,89] | Online calculator of serum biomarkers to detect HCC among patients with chronic hepatitis B. | Age, gender, AFP, and PIVKA. | Diagnosis of HCC in the early stage of NAFDL. | 82.7% | 87.2% | 89.8 | Developed based on specific cohorts, and its accuracy might vary across different ethnicities, geographic regions, and healthcare settings. | No specific approval. | Diagnostic modes for detecting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). |
Diagnosis of HCC in early-stage CHB. | 60.2% | 90.4% | 62.7 | |||||||
c | HES [90] | Proposed to improve the performance of the serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) test in surveillance for HCC. | AFP, rate of AFP change, age, level of alanine aminotransferase, and platelet count. | Diagnosis of HCC in all stages of cirrhosis. | 45.2% | 90% | 76 | Primarily validated in specific cohorts (hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis). Lack of data on different etiologies of liver disease or varying demographics. | No specific approval. | HCC early detection screening algorithm in chronic liver disease patients under surveillance for HCC. |
c | GAAP [91] | Model for HCC detection. | Gender, age, AFP, and PIVKA-II. | Diagnosis of HCC in all stages of CLD. | 87.2% | 79.2% | 91 | Primarily developed and validated in Chinese cohorts, where hepatitis B virus (HBV) is a predominant cause of HCC. | No specific approval. | HCC detection in chronic liver disease population under surveillance for HCC. |
c | BALAD 2 [92] | Statistical models for estimating the likelihood of the presence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in individual patients with chronic liver disease and the survival of patients with HCC, respectively. | Bilirubin, albumin, AFP-L3, AFP, and DCP. | Diagnosis of HCC in all stages of CLD. | 87.7% | 56.7% | 89 | Primarily developed for patients with cirrhosis, its predictive accuracy may not be reliable in patients without significant liver fibrosis or cirrhosis. This limits its broader application in the general population with liver disease. | No specific approval. | Diagnosis of HCC in individual patients with chronic liver disease and predicting patient survival. |
c | GALAD [90,91,92,93,94,95,96] | Biomarker-based algorithm used to assess the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic liver disease. | Gender, age, AFP, PIVKA-II, and AFP L3. | Diagnosis of HCC in the early stage of CLD. | 71–92% | 73.493% | 88–92 | Heterogeneous data in different cohorts, different cutoffs evaluated, no standardization; majority in retrospective, case-controlled methodologies. The main limitations for implementation in clinical practice are the selection bias and the threshold values of these models for detecting early-stage HCC. | No specific approval. | HCC diagnostic in chronic liver disease patients under surveillance for HCC. |
Diagnosis of HCC all stages in CLD. | 57.1–96.3% | 79.9–95.7% | 79–98 | |||||||
Diagnosis of HCC in all stages of NASH. | 88.6% | 95.3% | 96 | |||||||
Diagnosis of HCC in the early stage of NAFLD. | 77.8% | 81.1% | 87.4 | |||||||
c | GAAD [97] | Aid in the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (early and all stages). | Age, gender, AFP, and PIVKA II. | Diagnosis of HCC in the early stage of CLD. | 70.1% | 93.7% | 91.4 | Data available (case–control studies). Prospective cohorts are pending. | CE Mark, IVDR-approved. | Diagnosis of chronic liver disease and recommended for surveillance due to increased risk of developing HCC. |
Diagnosis of HCC all stages of CLD. | 77.4–83.1% | 89.6–93.7% | 92–95 | |||||||
d | FibroScan (Transient Elastography) [98,99,100,101,102] | Non-invasive assessment of liver stiffness as a surrogate for fibrosis. | Ultrasound elastography; liver stiffness measured in kilopascals (kPa). | Chronic liver diseases, including hepatitis B/C, NAFLD, and alcoholic liver disease. | 70–90% | 70–95% | 0.80–0.91 | Operator dependency; limited accuracy in obese patients and those with ascites. | FDA-approved. | Clinical practice for monitoring liver fibrosis and cirrhosis. |
d | FibroTest (FibroSure in the USA) [103,104,105] | Non-invasive assessment of liver fibrosis and necroinflammatory activity. | Alpha-2-macroglobulin, haptoglobin, apolipoprotein A1, GGT, and total bilirubin. | Chronic hepatitis B/C, NAFLD, and alcoholic liver disease. | 70–90% | 70–90% | 0.80–0.90 | Affected by extrahepatic diseases, hemolysis, and Gilbert’s syndrome. | FDA-cleared; CE-marked. | Clinical practice for evaluating liver fibrosis and inflammation. |
d | APRI (AST to Platelet Ratio Index) [106,107,108] | Predicting significant fibrosis and cirrhosis. | AST levels and platelet count. | Chronic hepatitis B/C. | 60–80% | 70–85% | 0.70–0.85 | Low sensitivity for early-stage fibrosis; less accurate in mild fibrosis; affected by thrombocytopenia. | Widely used in clinical practice; no specific approval. | Screening and initial assessment of liver fibrosis; predict fibrosis using routine blood tests. |
d | FIB-4 (Fibrosis-4 Index) [109,110,111,112] | Predicting significant fibrosis. | Age, AST, ALT, and platelet count. | Chronic hepatitis B/C, HIV/HCV coinfection, and NAFLD. | 65–85% | 70–85% | 0.75–0.85 | Less accurate in mild fibrosis, affected by age and platelet count variations. | Widely used in clinical practice; no specific approval. | Screening and initial assessment of liver fibrosis. |
d | Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) Test [113,114,115] | Non-invasive assessment of liver fibrosis. | Hyaluronic acid, TIMP-1, and PIIINP. | Chronic liver diseases, including hepatitis B/C, and NAFLD. | 75–85% | 75–85% | 0.80–0.91 | Affected by acute inflammation, limited data in certain populations. | CE-marked; FDA-approved. | Non-invasive fibrosis assessment using biomarkers. |
d | Magnetic Resonance Elastography (MRE) [116,117,118,119] | Measure liver stiffness via MRI. | Liver stiffness measurement via MRI (MRI with low-frequency vibrations to assess liver elasticity). | Chronic liver diseases. | 85–95% | 85–95% | 0.90–0.95 | High cost, limited availability, contraindications in patients with metal implants. | FDA-approved. | Advanced imaging technique for assessing liver fibrosis and cirrhosis. |
d | Acoustic Radiation Force Impulse (ARFI) Imaging | Assess liver stiffness with an ultrasound-based technique. | Ultrasound elastography measures shear wave velocity. | Chronic liver diseases, including hepatitis B/C, NAFLD. | 70–90% | 70–90% | 0.80–0.90 | Operator dependency, limited accuracy in obese patients. | FDA-cleared; CE-marked. | Ultrasound-based liver stiffness evaluation. |
d | Shear Wave Elastography (SWE) [120,121,122,123,124] | Assess liver stiffness through ultrasound elastography. | Ultrasound elastography measures shear wave speed in liver tissue. | Chronic liver diseases, including hepatitis B/C and NAFLD. | 75–90% | 75–90% | 0.80–0.90 | Operator dependency; limited accuracy in obese patients. | FDA-cleared; CE-marked. | Clinical practice for evaluating liver fibrosis. |
d | PROMETHEUS® IBROSpect II [115,125,126,127] | Non-invasive assessment of liver fibrosis. | Hyaluronic acid, TIMP-1, and alpha-2-macroglobulin. | Chronic hepatitis C. | 74% | 74% | 0.82 | Limited data on other chronic liver diseases may be affected by acute inflammatory conditions. | FDA-approved. | Non-invasive fibrosis evaluation using biomarkers. |
d | ADAPT Score [128] | Non-invasive assessment of liver fibrosis and cirrhosis. | Age, diabetes, and biomarkers. | Chronic hepatitis C. | 70–85% | 75–90% | 82–88% | Limited applicability to viral hepatitis. | No specific approval. | Predict fibrosis risk in metabolic liver diseases. |
e | Cardio Explorer (Exploris) [129] | Assessment of ACS/CAD patients. | 32 clinical and lab parameters. | CAD patients. | 82.3% | 77.4% | 0.87 | Adaptation of laboratory testing panel in ED to include 15 lab values. | CE-marked. | Clinical evaluation of patients with suspected CAD to decide on further diagnostic modalities. |
e | ACS Pathfinder (Artemis) [130] | Assessment of ACS patients. | Parameters: anamnesis, lab values, and ECG findings. | ACS patients in an emergency room setting. | Not reported | Not reported | 0.95–0.98 | No regulatory approval. | In the CE approval process. | Fast detection of NSTEMI patients with suspected MI based on a single and/or serial cardiac troponin measurement. |
e | Chest Pain Triage Algo (Roche) [131] | Assessment of ACS patients. | Chest pain onset time and hsTn-values. | ACS patients in an emergency room setting. | Not reported | Not reported | Not reported | The algorithm uses only Roche hsTn. | In the CE approval process. | Aid in the interpretation of cardiac troponin results in the framework of validated European Society of Cardiology (ESC). 0/1 h, 0/2 h, and 0/3 h accelerated diagnostic algorithms for non-ST segment elevation. Myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) is based on a single and/or serial cardiac troponin measurement. |
f | i-STAT TBI Plasma, Abbott [132] | Selecting patients by measuring the level of blood-based biomarkers associated with brain injury to determine the need for a head CT scan. | A panel of in vitro diagnostic immunoassays for the quantitative measurements of glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) and ubiquitin carboxyl-terminal hydrolase L1 (UCH-L1) in plasma and a semi-quantitative interpretation of test results derived from these measurements. The test is to be used with plasma prepared from EDTA anticoagulated specimens in clinical laboratory settings by a healthcare professional and is not intended to be used in point-of-care settings. | Test results are interpreted with other clinical information to aid in evaluating patients who have suffered mild TBI (Glasgow Coma Scale 13–15) within 12 h of injury. | 95.8% | 40.4% | Not reported | Timing restriction because blood-based biomarkers associated with brain injury peak most commonly within 24 hafter mTBI. Not for pediatric use. | FDA-approved; CE-marked | The test measures the level of biomarkers associated with brain injury in the bloodstream to assist in determining whether a CT scan of the head is needed in patients 18 years of age or older (II). |
f | Brain Trauma Assessment Kit, Banyan Biomarkers Inc. [132,133] | The Brain Injury Screening Tool (BIST) helps health practitioners assess and manage patients after brain injury (or concussion) who are over 8 years old. | Follow the prompts and enter patient responses. Anamnestic and clinical parameters. | The first symptoms checklist is designed to assist in identifying patients at the following risk levels: - Moderate/high risk of poor recovery or who need specialist referral; - Low-risk patients who are likely to recover well and can be supported with ongoing monitoring and advice, usually with no need for neuroimaging and hospitalization. | Not reported | Not reported | Not reported | Operator dependency, which is based primarily on patient answers. Limited to subjects who are over 8 years old. | User guide; no specific approval, | To identify clinical indicators that the patient is at significant risk of long-term neurological disabilities (III). |
f | EMATS [134] | Assessing prognosis of TBI and stroke. | EEG-based Machine or Deep Learning Algorithm for TBI Stroke Classification (EMATS) through the use of the included EEG preprocessing, feature extraction code, and machine learning models that have been trained on a large dataset. | Non-invasive support together with clinical assessment of medical devices where classification of resting EEG signals is needed (“Normal”, “TBI”, “Stroke”). | Not reported | Not reported | Larger than 0.76 | Set of machine or deep learning algorithms but not a diagnostic tool; EEG availability; limited to subjects who are between 18 and 65 years and do not have any previous history of epilepsy; no information about phase and severity of mTBI or stroke. | Available large patient data set, no specific approval. | EEG-based machine or deep learning algorithm is used to assess the prognosis of TBI and stroke (III). |
f | Resting-state Functional Network Connectivity (rsFNC), The Mind Research Network [135] | Adequate detection of mTBI and risk stratification for long-term psychiatric, neurologic, and psychosocial disabilities. | Detection of mTBI by machine learning classification using resting state functional network connectivity and fractional anisotropy. | A promising method to collect unique information to detect mTBI and prevent long-term neurological disabilities properly. | 84.1% | Not reported | Not reported | A small number of samples, a relatively simple method used for feature selection, research-based and not commercial. | No specific approval. | A promising option for the diagnosis of mTBI (II). Non-invasive risk stratification and prevention of long-term psychiatric, neurologic, and psychosocial problems (III). |
f | Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Model, Queensland Brain Institute [136] | Identifying positive mTBI from negative mTBI subjects. | Two machine learning (ML) models to diagnose mTBI in a pediatric population were collected as part of the Paediatric Emergency Care Applied Research Network (PECARN) study. The models were conducted using patients under the age of 18 years with mTBI and had a head CT report. In the conventional model, random forest (RF) ranked the features to reduce data dimensionality, and the top-ranked features were used to train a shallow artificial neural network (ANN) model. In the second model, a deep ANN is applied to classify positive and negative mTBI patients using the entirety of the features available. | To diagnose mTBI in a pediatric population (II), identifying positive mTBI from negative mTBI patients. | 99.2% | 99.5% | Not reported | Limited to the pediatric population, research-based, and not commercial. | No specific approval. | The detection of mTBI in pediatrics using deep ANN through clinical and non-imaging data. The diagnosis of mTBI is therefore performed with balanced sensitivity and specificity using shallow and deep machine learning models. |
f | PECARN (Pediatric) Emergency Care Applied Research Network) [137] | Identify pediatrics to assist CT decision-making after mTBI. | Clinically important TBI (ciTBI) was chosen as the primary outcome because it is clinically driven and accounts for CT’s imperfect test characteristics. In the less than 2-year-old group, the rule was 100% sensitive. In the greater than 2-year-old group, the rule had 96.8% sensitivity. In those under 2 with Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) = 14, Altered Mental Status (AMS), or palpable skull fracture, the risk was 4.4%, and CT imaging is recommended. (Risk with any of the remaining predictors was 0.9% and less than 0.02% with no predictors.) In those over 2 with GCS = 14, AMS, or signs of basilar skull fracture, the risk was 4.3%, and CT imaging is recommended. (Risk with any remaining four predictors was 0.9% and less than 0.05% with no predictors.) PECARN prediction rule outperformed both the CHALICE and the CATCH clinical decision aids in external validation studies. | Age-based PECARN TBI prediction rules to accurately identify children at very low risk for a clinically significant TBI that can be used to assist CT decision-making for children with minor blunt head trauma (II). | 100% | 69.9% | Not reported | Limited to the pediatric population. | External validation through clinical trials. | The PECARN Pediatric Head Injury Prediction Rule is a clinical decision aid that allows physicians to safely rule out the presence of clinically important traumatic brain injuries, including those that would require neurosurgical intervention among pediatric head injury patients who meet its criteria without the need for CT imaging. |
g | Sepsis ImmunoScore (Prenosis) [138,139] | Identification of patients at risk for having or developing sepsis within 24 h. | Up to 22 parameters, including vitals, demographics, CBC-, BMP/CMP panel tests, and 3 lab tests (PCT, CRP, and lactate). | Risk stratification of ED patients suspected of having sepsis. | Not reported | Not reported | 0.81 | For adults only (18 years old); need of ordered blood culture. | US FDA de novo clearance. | Aid in diagnosis of ED patients suspected of having sepsis. Active ordering of the test. |
g | COMPOSER (UCSD) [140,141] | Prediction of onset of sepsis 4–48 h prior to time of clinical suspicion. | 40 clinical variables, of which 34 were dynamic and 6 were demographic. | Early sepsis prediction in ED and ICU. | 90.5% (in ED) | 94.7% (in ED) | 0.938 (in ED) | For adults only (18 years old). | Research-based; no specific approval. | Continuous patient surveillance for signs of possible sepsis. |
g | TREWS (Bayesian Health) [142,143] | Risk prediction for septic shock with a median lead time of 24 h. | Up to 54 features derived from routinely available measurements in the EHR. | Detection of patients at high risk of developing septic shock. | 85% | 67% | 0.83 | For adults only (18 years old). | No specific approval. | Continuous patient monitoring for risk of sepsis (Early Warning System). |
g | Epic Sepsis Model [144] | Real-time risk prediction of sepsis automatically calculated every 20 min. | Various parameters, including demographic, comorbidity, vital signs, laboratory, medication, and procedural variables. | Prediction of a patient’s risk of sepsis at a given point in time. | Not reported | Not reported | 0.76–0.83 | For adults only (18 years old). | No specific approval. | Continuous patient monitoring for risk of sepsis (Early Warning System). |
g | NAVOY® CDS (AlgoDx) [145] | Automatic qSOFA score calculation indicates patients with suspected infection who are at greater risk for a poor outcome. | 20 clinical parameters, including vital signs, blood gas tests, lab values, gender, and age. | Detection of patients who are likely to be septic. | 80% | 78% | 0.80 | For adults only (18 years old). | CE-marked and US FDA 510(k) clearance | Automatic qSOFA score calculation of suspected septic patients. |
g | Sepsis Sniffer (Mayo Clinic) [146] | Automated surveillance algorithm for the detection of severe sepsis and monitoring failure to recognize and treat severe sepsis in a timely manner. | 9 pathophysiologic variables. | Prediction of a patient’s risk of sepsis at a given point in time. | 80% | 96% | 0.96 | For adults only (18 years old). | Research-based; no specific approval. | Continuous patient surveillance for risk of sepsis (Early Warning System). |
h | KFRE(4-Variable Version) [147,148] | A quantitative risk score predicts the likelihood of an individual patient to reach end-stage kidney disease within 2 and 5 years. This is a publicly available regression-based risk score. It can be applied to diagnosed patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) in stages G3 to G5. | Urine, sex, age, and GFR. | Chronic kidney disease. | Depending on the cut-off; not provided in this paper | Depending on the cut-off; not provided in this paper | 0.80 at 2 years and 0.77 at 5 years | Developed for use in stages 3 to 5, not for earlier stages. | Widely known and used in clinical practice; no specific approval for the publicly available version. | Aid in assessment of the risk of progression of end-stage CKD. |
h | KPNW [149] | Risk assessment for progression to kidney failure in 5 years. | 8 variables, incl. age, sex, diabetes status, diabetes complications severity index, mean systolic BP, antihypertensive medication use, eGFR, hemoglobin, and proteinuria/albuminuria. | Chronic kidney disease. | 92.2% using the top quintile of predicted risk as the cutoff | Not disclosed | 0.95 | Developed for use only for stage 3 or 4 CKD, with limited external validation. | No specific approval. | Risk assessment for progression to kidney failure. |
h | KidneyIntelX. Dkd [150] | Aid in assessment of the risk of progressive decline in kidney function (sustained decrease in eGFR greater than or equal to 40% lasting more than 3 months) within up to 5 years following KidneyIntelX.dkd level measurement in adult patients with type 2 diabetes and existing chronic kidney disease. | K2EDTA plasma TNFR1, TNFR2, and KIM-1 and clinical data. | Chronic kidney disease. | Depending on the cut-off; not disclosed | Depending on the cut-off; not disclosed | 0.777 | Developed for use only for diabetic kidney disease with limited external validation; the sample size of development and validation is relatively low. | FDA-cleared. | Aid in assessment of the risk of progressive decline in kidney function in adult patients with type 2 diabetes and existing chronic kidney disease. |
h | The Klinrisk Model [151] | Aid in the assessment of the risk of progressive decline in kidney function and/or reaching end-stage kidney disease within a period of up to 5 years in adult patients diagnosed with chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages G1 to G4 and adult patients at risk. | Age, sex, eGFR, and urine ACR, and an additional 18 laboratory results from chemistry panels, liver enzymes, and complete blood cell count panels. | Chronic kidney disease. | 2 years:For low risk (lowest 50% population), 0.91 sensitivity For high risk (top 10% of the population), 0.65 sensitivity | 2-year:For low risk (lowest 50% population), 0.51 specificity For high risk (top 10% of the population), 0.91 specificity | 0.87 (0.86–0.88) at 2 years | No regulatory approval limits its clinical use; real-world effectiveness and generalizability in other markets/populations are to be demonstrated. | No approval from the health authority. | Aid in assessing the risk of progressive decline in kidney function and/or reaching end-stage kidney disease within up to 5 years. |
2.1.1. Lung Cancer
2.1.2. Colorectal Cancer
- Fecal immunochemical test (FIT) as a primary modality;
- Colonoscopy is recommended for individuals with positive FIT results.
2.1.3. Hepatocellular Carcinoma
2.2. Coronary Artery Disease
2.3. Traumatic Brain Injury
2.4. Sepsis
2.5. Chronic Kidney Disease
Summary: Algorithms in Prevention
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Feature | Explanation | Sample Metrics |
---|---|---|
Explainable | CDS systems should provide clear, understandable rationales for their recommendations. Explainability ensures that users can comprehend how and why a decision was made, enhancing trust and enabling them to justify the recommendation to patients or peers. The algorithm’s developer should precisely define influencing factors and input parameters in their quantity and causality to make the result understandable. Algorithms could include interpretable models or visualization tools that translate complex computations. Several metrics are recommended to evaluate the explainability: faithfulness, robustness, clinical relevance, understandability, plausibility, etc. | Faithfulness (the correlation between input parameter importance scores and their actual impact on predictions); Robustness (stability of the explanation due to minor input changes); Clinical relevance (correlation of the input parameters to existing medical literature and guidance); Understandability (human-interpretable reasons for its predictions) [43]; Plausibility (the agreement between algorithm-generated explanation and human-annotated ground truth). |
Accurate | Accuracy is paramount for CDS, as errors can have serious consequences. Quality metrics should include sensitivity, specificity, and predictive value measures, ensuring the system can reliably identify conditions, recommend treatments, or predict outcomes. Continuous benchmarking against gold-standard datasets and clinical outcomes is essential. | Traditional metrics to ensure clinical accuracy and effectiveness are sensitivity, specificity, area under the curve (AUC) and the Concordance Index (C-index), Positive Predictive Value (PPV), and Negative Predictive Value (NPV). |
Dynamic | In clinical practice, patient conditions and medical contexts are constantly changing. A dynamic algorithm can incorporate new information as it becomes available (such as patient vitals, laboratory results, or imaging findings), enabling it to make updated and accurate predictions—the ability of the algorithm to make dynamic predictions using new data as they become available. | Consistency of accuracy over time: The predictive accuracy score (e.g., area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]) is measured periodically as new data streams emerge. Error reduction with sequential data: Percentage reduction in prediction error when integrating additional data compared to static models. |
Autonomous | The algorithm’s ability to generate automated results without involving the end user is balanced with human oversight to prevent overreliance. Quality metrics should evaluate the CDS system’s ability to operate autonomously while allowing users to review, confirm, or override recommendations when needed. | Effective measures include the percentage of time saved, the percentage of user error reduction, the percentage of system error reduction, etc. Error detection and notification: Error detection precision (e.g., percentage of flagged cases requiring user intervention). |
Fair | Quality of the algorithm to objectify influencing parameters and to prevent selective bias and inequity (e.g., vital parameters compared to subjective anamnestic data). | Test fairness (performance across various populations, such as age, gender, ethnicity, and socioeconomic status); Cross-group ranking (whether the system’s rankings are consistent across different demographic groups); Equalized odds and opportunity (system has equal false positive, false negative, and true positive rates across different demographic groups); Bias mitigation (methods used to reduce unfair discrimination in the system’s outputs) [44]. |
Reproducible | To ensure the traceability of the algorithmic decision-making process, algorithm quality must be validated prospectively or retrospectively in independent cohorts. Thus, a CDS algorithm must demonstrate consistent performance across different clinical settings and datasets. | Technical reproducibility (if the same results can be obtained using identical tools and datasets); Statistical reproducibility (if the variance around the results is reported and consistent); Conceptual reproducibility (if the desired outcome can be replicated under different clinical settings) [45]. |
Medical Value | The ability of an algorithm to address an unmet medical need. | Actionable insights that lead to improved patient outcomes. |
User-Centric Design | A CDS system’s usability should be rigorously tested to ensure it fits naturally into the end user’s workflow. | Metrics should evaluate factors like interface intuitiveness, time-to-task completion, user satisfaction, error rates (number and severity), user confidence, learnability, etc. |
Data Privacy and Security | Robust data protection mechanisms should safeguard sensitive patient information. Compliance metrics, such as HIPAA and GDPR compliance and adherence to industry standards for encryption and data access control, are critical. | Common metrics include encryption strength, vulnerability assessment frequency, audit trail comprehensiveness, data backup and recovery efficiency, compliance audit performance, data anonymization rate, and reidentification risk assessments. |
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Schäfer, H.; Lajmi, N.; Valente, P.; Pedrioli, A.; Cigoianu, D.; Hoehne, B.; Schenk, M.; Guo, C.; Singhrao, R.; Gmuer, D.; et al. The Value of Clinical Decision Support in Healthcare: A Focus on Screening and Early Detection. Diagnostics 2025, 15, 648. https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics15050648
Schäfer H, Lajmi N, Valente P, Pedrioli A, Cigoianu D, Hoehne B, Schenk M, Guo C, Singhrao R, Gmuer D, et al. The Value of Clinical Decision Support in Healthcare: A Focus on Screening and Early Detection. Diagnostics. 2025; 15(5):648. https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics15050648
Chicago/Turabian StyleSchäfer, Hendrik, Nesrine Lajmi, Paolo Valente, Alessandro Pedrioli, Daniel Cigoianu, Bernhard Hoehne, Michaela Schenk, Chaohui Guo, Ruby Singhrao, Deniz Gmuer, and et al. 2025. "The Value of Clinical Decision Support in Healthcare: A Focus on Screening and Early Detection" Diagnostics 15, no. 5: 648. https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics15050648
APA StyleSchäfer, H., Lajmi, N., Valente, P., Pedrioli, A., Cigoianu, D., Hoehne, B., Schenk, M., Guo, C., Singhrao, R., Gmuer, D., Ahmed, R., Silchmüller, M., & Ekinci, O. (2025). The Value of Clinical Decision Support in Healthcare: A Focus on Screening and Early Detection. Diagnostics, 15(5), 648. https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics15050648