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Behavioral SciencesBehavioral Sciences
  • Article
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12 August 2022

The Prediction of Consumer Behavior from Social Media Activities

and
1
Computer Science Department, College of Computer Science and Information Technology, Jazan University, Jazan 82822-6694, Saudi Arabia
2
Department of Computer Sciences, College of Computer and Information Sciences, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, P.O. Box 84428, Riyadh 11671, Saudi Arabia
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
This article belongs to the Section Behavioral Economics

Abstract

Consumer behavior variants are evolving by utilizing advanced packing models. These models can make consumer behavior detection considerably problematic. New techniques that are superior to customary models to be utilized to efficiently observe consumer behaviors. Machine learning models are no longer efficient in identifying complex consumer behavior variants. Deep learning models can be a capable solution for detecting all consumer behavior variants. In this paper, we are proposing a new deep learning model to classify consumer behavior variants using an ensemble architecture. The new model incorporates two pretrained learning algorithms in an optimized fashion. This model has four main phases, namely, data gathering, deep neural modeling, model training, and deep learning model evaluation. The ensemble model is tested on Facemg BIG-D15 and TwitD databases. The experiment results depict that the ensemble model can efficiently classify consumer behavior with high precision that outperforms recent models in the literature. The ensemble model achieved 98.78% accuracy on the Facemg database, which is higher than most machine learning consumer behavior detection models by more than 8%.

1. Introduction

In recent years, it is feasible to perform everyday activities using the Internet including social media interaction. All of these activities include consumers submitting reviews online [1,2,3]. Consumers often use the Internet to launch consumer-related communication. Consumer behavior is any message or social media-based communication that performs reviewing language. Consumer behavior can be classified into various types. Consumer behavior variants can include consumer reviews. New consumer behavior variants utilize various models such as encryption and packing to remain visible to consumer reviews system [3].
We have to detect consumer behavior as soon as it spreads into the social media platform. Consumer behavior prediction is the procedure of investigating review messaging in social media interactions and predicting if it is consumer/non-consumer behavior. Consumer behavior can be classified as immediate or future. Identifying consumer behavior requires three steps:
(1)
Consumer behavior messages and social media interaction are analyzed with proper tools.
(2)
Dynamic features such as timing are extracted the interaction data.
(3)
Parameters are assembled in specified sets and are used to differentiate consumer from non-consumer behavior.
To enhance the detection rate, different techniques such as data science, cloud computing, deep learning, and computerized learning models are utilized. Various consumer behavior prediction techniques utilize these technologies. These models are signature checking, behavioral analysis and stochastic learning models [2,4]. Signature-checking models are effective for identifying similar variants of consumer behavior. However, they fail to detect formerly unnoticed consumer behavior. Although stochastic models can detect unknown consumer behavior, they cannot detect more complex consumer behavior clarifications.
A deep learning model can be utilized as a standard to eradicate the shortcomings of the current consumer behavior classification models. Deep learning is utilized extensively in different paradigms such as representation processing, human emotion recognition [5], and action recognition [6,7,8]. Nevertheless, it has not been utilized adequately in the retail research, particularly consumer behavior detection. Deep learning is an artificial intelligence model operating on an artificial neural mechanism. Deep learning employs supervision. To enhance the precision, various models have been utilized such as deep belief techniques. Deep learning models have many advantages over customary models: for instance, deep learning models can mine significant data from the input to lessen the training requirements. Deep learning can also use representations resourcefully as well processing big databases while reducing time and enhancing precision.
Our research presents a new ensemble learning model for consumer Internet behavior classification. In the ensemble model, consumer behavior data are collected from BIG-D15, Facemg, and TwitD databases. Consumer behavior representations are transformed into grayscale and then used as input to the training module. After the data procurement section is complete, the ensemble model extracts high-level consumer behavior features from the consumer behavior representations by utilizing the convolution function of our ensemble model. The model then undergoes supervised training. Several deep models are united to build the ensemble learning model using a number of hidden layer activation functions. The experiments performed prove that the ensemble model efficiently mines unique properties for consumer behavior groups. The performance also presented that the ensemble model predicts various consumer behavior classes with the utmost precision with better performance than recent models.
The main contributions of our research are as follows:
  • A new ensemble neural model for consumer Internet behavior classification is defined.
  • The ensemble model utilizes a new merging technique that has two transfer learning CNNs.
  • Unique parameters are mined from the consumer behavior data for the specified classes.
  • The ensemble model lessens the parameter dimensionality considerably.
  • The ensemble model evaluates consumer behavior databases.
  • The performance rates outperform similar models.
The rest of the article is structured as follows: In Section 2, we clarify the consumer behavior investigation, parameter selection, and classification and survey the current consumer behavior prediction models. The ensemble model is depicted in Section 3. Section 4 presents and discusses the experiment results. Section 5 lists the limitations of the model and future work directions. Conclusions are given in Section 5.

3. Material and Methods

In this paper, we are presenting our ensemble consumer behavior learning model. This platform is an ensemble deep-CNN model. The ensemble deep-CNN platform as depicted has several stages (Figure 1). In the initial stage, the consumer behavior data are gathered by exhaustive database mining. In the second stage, unimportant and important consumer behavior parameters are extracted employing transfer learning CNN. The final stage starts a supervised learning module.
Figure 1. The ensemble consumer behavior classification model.
The following subsections describe consumer behavior representation and the deep learning model. In the consumer behavior representation, we will present the ensemble consumer behavior variants in binary. In the model description section, the ensemble consumer behavior classification model is explained.

3.1. Consumer Behavior Representation as a Binary Map

Various methods are introduced to transform binary file into maps [29,30,31]. This research utilizes the representation of the consumer behavior binary maps [27]. The required goal is to represent binary maps as a binary representation. Based on our algorithm, the consumer behavior binary file is represented as 8-bits vectors of unsigned integers. Then the binary number B is transformed into its number value employing Equation (1). At the end, the value is combined into a 2D array M and construed as a binary representation. The dimension of matrix M depends upon the consumer behavior file size
B = ь 7 + ь 6 + ь 5 + ь 4 + ь 3 + ь 2 + ь 1 + ь 0             B = ь 7 × 2 7 + ь 6 × 2 6 + ь 5 × 2 5 + ь 4 × 2 4 + ь 3 × 2 3 + ь 2 × 2 2 + ь 1 × 2 1 + ь 0 × 2 0  

3.2. The Ensemble Model for Consumer Behavior Prediction

The ensemble method defines a platform for consumer behavior prediction. This platform is an deep CNN structure. Our model of the ensemble platform is previously depicted in Figure 1, with consecutive stages: assembly of consumer behavior data, deep CNN structure, training, and testing phases. A flow diagram is depicted where the pre-trained CNN represents a feature extractor module. The first five layers exhibit FC layers for the training module and the Softmax layer.
Primarily, consumer behavior data are composed from several databases such as Facemg [27], BIG-D15 [28], and TwitD [29]. The consumer behavior databases are detailed in the following subsection. Then, the ensemble deep CNN model is depicted. There is a pre-processing phase: the procedure of predicting a proper deep learning architecture to embed in it the consumer behavior classifier. It is revealed in pre-processing that the ensemble technique can deliver better precision. An ensemble module that encompasses both DenseNet201 and Vgg19 CNNs is constructed employing transfer learning networks.
The DenseNet201 [32] network is a CNN with 50 layers with 5 convolutional layers. The DenseNet201 CNN has Maxpooling functions, classifier and FC neural layers. The DenseNet201 network has 25 million hyper parameters as described in Table 1. Vgg19 [33] is a prominent CNN network for large-scale representation recognition. Vgg19 has an architecture of several deep layers; the primary layers are convolutional neural layers. Vgg19 has two normalization operations, two pooling layers, and a final classifier, as depicted in Table 1. The description of DenseNet201 is depicted in Table 2.
Table 1. The description of Vgg19 network [33].
Table 2. The description of DenseNet201.
Transfer learning has been examined for facing the various challenges faced in the classification model such as computational time cost and large data dimension. Transfer learning perform feature extraction process employing pre-trained CNN. Then, the classification procedure is performed with support vector machine (SVM) or with a Softmax classifier. This process is accustomed for the ensemble Deep CNN to aid with the above challenges.
The ensemble model associated CNNs with an identical weight to generate a representation map. The learning is then accomplished to attain high precision. The steps are as follows: The transfer learning procedure is completed with the DenseNet201 and Vgg19 networks using three databases in the training phase [31]. In the second phase, the parameters extracted by the DenseNet201 and Vgg19 networks are joined to produce the feature vector. This produced vector has 2048 dimensions. The features produced by the pre-trained DenseNet201 and Vgg19 are extracted from the final FC layer and depicted in T 6 and 7. Then, the joined feature vector is delivered to the Softmax and the FC layers to achieve normalization. Afterwards, the Softmax classifier produces seven outputs that consist of categories of consumer behaviors, and the FC layers encompass 2048 nodes. The last layer targets the enhancement of the learning ability of the ensemble deep-CNN. Finally, the ensemble deep learning model is tested by employing comprehensive databases in the training module. The description of the ensemble model is depicted in Table 3.
Table 3. The description of the ensemble model.

4. Results

4.1. The Implementation Process

This section describes the implementation process, the experiments, and the evaluation of the ensemble deep-CNN model. The experiments are performed on Intel Core i19 running at 9.6 GHz with 64 GB RAM. Python language was used to implement the model. Data are partitioned into training and validation databases randomly: 70% of the data for training, 15% for validation stage and 15% for the testing stage. The training process of the deep-CNN model was completed in 29 h for 80 epochs on average. Metrics such as accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and F-score are used. These metrics are calculated as follows:
ACC = TP + TN TP + FP + FN + TN
SEN = TP TP + FN
SPEC = TN FP + TN
D = 2 TP 2 TP + FP + FN
where TP denotes the count of true positives, FP denotes the count of false positives, TN denotes the count of true negatives, and FN denotes the count of false negatives. The metrics above are used to infer the performance of the ensemble model. The ensemble model is compared with two deep neural models. Figure 2, Figure 3 and Figure 4 depict the metric evaluation of the introduced model using an ensemble of Vgg19 and DenseNet201 deep models for each database. Table 1 depicts the initial parameters values of the selected configuration for the ensemble deep architecture used for the Facemg, BIG-D15, and TwitD databases as depicted in Table 4.
Figure 2. The performance of Vgg19, DenseNet201, and the ensemble models for the Facemg database.
Figure 3. The performance of Vgg19, DenseNet201, and the ensemble models for the BIG-D15 database.
Figure 4. The performance of Vgg19, DenseNet201, and the ensemble models for the TwitD database.
Table 4. Parameters of the Facemg, BIG-D15, and TwitD databases.

4.2. Benchmark Database

Experiments are performed on three benchmark databases. These are Facemg, BIG-D15, and TwitD. These databases are described below.
The Facemg database [27] has 9000 consumer behavior instances. Each single consumer behavior instance in the database fits into one of 20 consumer behavior classes. The count of instances fitting into a consumer behavior class varies across the database. The consumer behavior classes include different types of weapons (13 classes), bombs (5 classes including asking how to make a bomb or purchase materials related to bombs), suicide reviews and killing wordings (2 words).
The BIG-D15 database [28] contains 22,000 consumer behavior instances belonging to 9 classes include different types of weapons (7 classes), bombs (one class), and suicide reviews (one class). Similar to the Facemg database, the count of consumer behavior instances over defined groups is not equally spread. A single consumer behavior instance is mapped to one eight-bit map representing a hexadecimal number representing the class number. We used the bytes to form a consumer behavior representation in our simulation.
The TwitD database [29] has 9000 consumer behavior instances for training and 5000 consumer behavior instances for testing fitting into to 20 consumer behavior classes. Each class has 450 instances for training and variable instances for testing. The consumer behavior classes are the same as the classes of the first database.

4.3. Evaluation

Assessment metrics depict the performance of the ensemble consumer behavior classification technique. The direct outcome of the classification model is a score to comprehend the accuracy of a model [18]. Accordingly, different performance scores stated in the results are employed to depict the efficiency of the presented models. The performance scores are accuracy and the Dice metric. Figure 2, Figure 3 and Figure 4 depict the performance of the Vgg19 and DenseNet201 deep models and ensemble models for the Facemg, BIG-D15, and TwitD databases. In agreement with these charts, it can be specified that the ensemble model performs other deep learning architectures. Our model performance also depicts comparable results for the three databases, while the results for the compared two deep learning models fluctuate considerably for the three databases. The aforementioned settings indicate that our model is more reliable and has higher accuracy in comparison with the other models.
Additionally, consumer behavior variants are examined using the metrics. Table 5, Table 6 and Table 7 depict the confusion matrices for the BIG-D15 database for nine consumer behavior classes of Vgg19, DenseNet201, and the ensemble models.
Table 5. Statistics metrics for the compared models for the Facemg dataset.
Table 6. Statistics metrics for the compared models for the BIG-D15 dataset.
Table 7. Statistics metrics for the compared models for the TwitD dataset.
Performance rates for each consumer behavior class are verified with the statistics. It is detected that our ensemble model gives higher results for all consumer behavior classifications excluding casual wording class. The DenseNet201 model delivers a higher classification of the consumer behavior variant compared with other models.
We also compared the ensemble model with the state-of-the-art models. Table 5, Table 6 and Table 7 depict the accuracy results for the Facemg, BIG-D15, and TwitD databases for the ensemble model and other models, respectively. It should be clarified that the ensemble model performs better than the state-of- the-art models.

4.4. Discussion

In this research, we presented a novel deep learning model to predict different consumer behavior trends using an ensemble architecture This research was focused on the integration of two pre-trained optimized learning algorithms. This model maintains four phases of data gathering, deep modeling, training, and model evaluation. The ensemble model is tested on three social media databases. The experimental results proved the efficiently of consumer behavior trends classification with high precision that outperforms recent models in the literature.

Implications

This study contributes to the literature on consumer behavior trends classification in a number of ways. Firstly, we present an ensemble deep learning model of the consumer behavior trends such as recurrent purchases and loyalty in replying to the social media marketing content. The main contributions of our model are: defining unique parameters through data mining techniques from the consumer behavior data for the specified classes. Additionally, the parameter dimensionality is reduced considerably for faster learning and classification time.
This research also contributes to enterprises who reflect using social media as a marketing channel. The experimental results recommend to digital marketing personal the significance of using social media to influence consumer behavioral trends. Based on the first set of experiments, testing depicted that our scoring model of consumer behavior variants has an important impact on defining consumer satisfaction through social media content sharing. For future research based on our findings, we can encourage and design an interaction marketing model and apply deep learning model on consumer interaction in a more efficient way.
The second set of experiments, which computed the true positive and true negative rates as well as testing kappa coefficient, proved the precision of our model compared with the ground truth and that it attains higher sensitivity and specificity than other deep learning models.
Designing digital marketing strategies based on our scoring technique (from the extracted parameters), based on the deep learning and mining approaches, the quality of enterprises towards consumers can certainly be developed.

5. Conclusions

Consumer behavior classification models effectively identify consumer behavior variants that represent serious consumer behavior in the social media domain that can represent real-life consumers. Unknown people behind the screen with different languages and wordings make the consumer behavior classification a difficult process. Our research ensemble a new merged learning model that efficiently identify consumer behavior classes. The ensemble model employs comprehensive pre-trained models that depend on the transfer learning model. The data on consumer behavior groups were collected by employing several exhaustive databases. Then, the features are mined, and the parameters are computed by employing transfer learning models. Additionally, the ensemble model achieves deep parameter extraction.
The central role of our proposed hybrid model is to unite two optimized deep learning models. The ensemble model is tested and validated on Facemg, BIG-D15, and TwitD databases. The suggested ensemble model is compared versus the joined models individually. The experiment results established that the ensemble model can efficiently predict consumer behavior with high accuracy and Dice score. It is also found that our model is effective and decreases the feature representation space. The ensemble model was compared against other deep learning models. The experiments attained revealed the improvement and reliability of our model over other models. On the other hand, a few consumer behavior instances were not predicted properly. This is because those consumer behavior variants employed unseen mystification wording and depicted the same features with several consumer behavior variants.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, H.A.H.M. and N.A.H.; methodology, H.A.H.M.; software, H.A.H.M.; validation, H.A.H.M. and N.A.H.; formal analysis, H.A.H.M.; investigation, H.A.H.M.; resources, H.A.H.M.; data curation, H.A.H.M.; writing—original draft preparation, H.A.H.M.; writing—review and editing, H.A.H.M.; visualization, H.A.H.M.; supervision, H.A.H.M.; project administration, H.A.H.M.; funding acquisition, All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research was funded by Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University Researchers Supporting project number (PNURSP2022R113), Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

The data presented in this study are available on request from the corresponding author.

Acknowledgments

We would like to thank Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University Researchers Supporting Project number (PNURSP2022R113), Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest to report regarding the present study.

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