Machine Learning-Based Nicotine Addiction Prediction Models for Youth E-Cigarette and Waterpipe (Hookah) Users
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. The National Youth Tobacco Survey (NYTS)
2.2. Data Preprocessing and Defining Labels
2.3. Machine Learning Algorithms and Feature Selection
2.3.1. Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO)
2.3.2. Random Forest with ReliefF Variable Selection
2.4. Evaluation of Performance of Prediction Models
3. Results
3.1. Evaluation of Performace of the Prediction Model
3.2. Predictor Variables Used in the Nicotine Addiction Prediction Models
4. Discussion
4.1. Predictor Variables Aligned with the Literature
4.2. Predictor Variables Identified in Detail
4.3. Implication for Practice and Future Study
4.4. Limitations and Strengths
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Variables/Categories | N (%) | |
---|---|---|
Age | 9 | 15 (0.23) |
10 | 1 (0.02) | |
11 | 88 (1.35) | |
12 | 379 (5.82) | |
13 | 698 (10.72) | |
14 | 932 (14.31) | |
15 | 1078 (16.56) | |
16 | 1190 (18.28) | |
17 | 1323 (20.32) | |
18 | 746 (11.46) | |
19 | 56 (0.86) | |
NA | 5 (0.08) | |
Grade | 6th | 330 (5.07) |
7th | 610 (9.37) | |
8th | 844 (12.96) | |
9th | 1058 (16.25) | |
10th | 1151 (17.68) | |
11th | 1242 (19.08) | |
12th | 1252 (19.23) | |
NA | 24 (0.37) | |
Gender | Male | 3446 (52.93) |
Female | 3042 (46.72) | |
NA | 23 (0.35) | |
Ethnicity | Non-Hispanic | 4540 (69.73) |
Mexican | 1052 (16.16) | |
Puerto Rican | 190 (2.92) | |
Other Hispanic | 90 (1.38) | |
Race | American Indian | 554 (8.51) |
Asian | 396 (6.08) | |
Black | 1194 (18.34) | |
Hawaiian | 261 (4.01) | |
White | 4504 (69.18) | |
Lives with someone who uses | Cigarettes | 2131 (32.73) |
Cigars | 580 (8.91) | |
Chewing tobacco | 697 (10.70) | |
E-cigarettes | 1560 (23.96) | |
Hookahs | 256 (3.92) | |
Pipes | 168 (2.58) | |
Snus | 117 (1.80) | |
Dissolvable tobacco | 105 (1.61) | |
Bidis | 98 (1.51) | |
Heated tobacco | 131 (2.01) | |
No tobacco products | 2964 (45.62) | |
English is their first language | Yes | 4244 (65.18) |
No | 2106 (32.35) | |
NA | 161 (2.47) | |
Has disability | Yes | 1482 (22.76) |
No | 4384 (74.24) | |
NA | 195 (2.99) |
Algorithm | Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) (SD) | Accuracy |
---|---|---|
LASSO | 0.7509 (±0.0287) | 0.6370 |
Random Forest | 0.7436 (±0.0401) | 0.7342 |
Class | LASSO (%) | Random Forest (%) |
---|---|---|
1: Non-nicotine addicted | 4480 (68.81) | 5104 (78.39) |
2: Lightly addicted | 269 (4.13) | 57 (0.88) |
3: Moderately addicted | 104 (1.60) | 4 (0.06) |
4: Heavily addicted | 36 (0.55) | 328 (5.04) |
List of Predictor Variables Identified by both LASSO and Random Forest | |
---|---|
1 | How old were you when you first tried cigarette smoking, even one or two puffs? |
2 | How strongly do you agree with the statement ‘All tobacco products are dangerous’? |
3 | During the past 30 days, on how many days did you smoke cigarettes? |
4 | When was the last time you smoked a cigarette, even one or two puffs? |
5 | During the past 30 days, what brand of cigarettes did you usually smoke? |
6 | Menthol cigarettes are cigarettes that taste like mint. During the past 30 days, were the cigarettes that you usually smoked menthol? |
7 | How old were you when you first tried smoking a cigar, cigarillo, or little cigar, even one or two puffs? |
8 | During the past 30 days, on how many days did you smoke cigars, cigarillos, or little cigars? |
9 | Have you ever used chewing tobacco, snuff, or dip, such as Copenhagen, Grizzly, Skoal, or Longhorn, even just a small amount? |
10 | How old were you when you used chewing tobacco, snuff, or dip for the first time? |
11 | In total, on how many days have you used e-cigarettes in your entire life? |
12 | During the past 30 days, on how many days did you use e-cigarettes? |
13 | During the past 30 days, what brand of e-cigarettes did you usually use? |
14 | Have you ever tried a “heated tobacco product”, even just one time? |
15 | During the past 30 days, on how many days did you use any tobacco product(s)? |
16 | During the past 30 days, have you had a strong craving or felt like you really needed to use a tobacco product of any kind? |
17 | Are you seriously thinking about quitting the use of all tobacco products? |
18 | During the past 12 months, how many times have you stopped using all tobacco products for one day or longer because you were trying to quit all tobacco products for good? |
19 | Are you seriously thinking about quitting cigarettes? |
20 | During the past 12 months, how many times have you stopped smoking cigarettes for one day or longer because you were trying to quit smoking cigarettes for good? |
21 | During the past 30 days, did anyone refuse to sell you any tobacco products because of your age? |
22 | During the past 30 days, how often did you see a warning label on a cigar, cigarillo, or little cigar package? |
23 | During the past 30 days, how often did you see a warning label on a package of hookah tobacco? |
24 | How much do you think people harm themselves when they smoke cigarettes some days but not every day? |
25 | During the past 7 days, on how many days did someone smoke tobacco products in your home while you were there? |
26 | During the past 7 days, on how many days did you ride in a vehicle when someone was smoking a tobacco product? |
27 | Because of a physical, mental, or emotional condition, do you have serious difficulty concentrating, remembering, or making decisions? |
28 | During the past 30 days, on the days you smoked, about how many cigarettes did you smoke per day? |
29 | During the past 30 days, on the days that you smoked, about how many cigars, cigarillos, or little cigars did you smoke per day? |
30 | If one of your best friends were to offer you a cigar, cigarillo, or little cigar, would you smoke it? |
31 | During the past 30 days, on how many days did you use chewing tobacco, snuff, or dip? |
32 | Which of the following best describes the type of e-cigarette you have used in the past 30 days? If you have used more than one type, please think about the one you use most often. |
33 | How old were you when you first tried smoking tobacco in a hookah or waterpipe, even one or two puffs? |
34 | Do you think that you will try smoking tobacco in a hookah or waterpipe soon? |
35 | Do you think you will smoke tobacco in a hookah or waterpipe in the next year? |
36 | If one of your best friends were to offer you a hookah or waterpipe with tobacco, would you try it? |
37 | How easy do you think it is for people your age to buy tobacco products online? |
38 | During the past 30 days, how often did you see a warning label on an e-cigarette package? |
39 | How much do you think people harm themselves when they use chewing tobacco, snuff, dip, snus, or dissolvable tobacco products, some days but not every day? |
40 | During the past 30 days, on how many days did you smell the vapor from someone who was using an e-cigarette in an indoor or outdoor public place? |
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Choi, J.; Jung, H.-T.; Ferrell, A.; Woo, S.; Haddad, L. Machine Learning-Based Nicotine Addiction Prediction Models for Youth E-Cigarette and Waterpipe (Hookah) Users. J. Clin. Med. 2021, 10, 972. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm10050972
Choi J, Jung H-T, Ferrell A, Woo S, Haddad L. Machine Learning-Based Nicotine Addiction Prediction Models for Youth E-Cigarette and Waterpipe (Hookah) Users. Journal of Clinical Medicine. 2021; 10(5):972. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm10050972
Chicago/Turabian StyleChoi, Jeeyae, Hee-Tae Jung, Anastasiya Ferrell, Seoyoon Woo, and Linda Haddad. 2021. "Machine Learning-Based Nicotine Addiction Prediction Models for Youth E-Cigarette and Waterpipe (Hookah) Users" Journal of Clinical Medicine 10, no. 5: 972. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm10050972
APA StyleChoi, J., Jung, H. -T., Ferrell, A., Woo, S., & Haddad, L. (2021). Machine Learning-Based Nicotine Addiction Prediction Models for Youth E-Cigarette and Waterpipe (Hookah) Users. Journal of Clinical Medicine, 10(5), 972. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm10050972