This is, to our knowledge, the first epidemiological study to analyse the prevalence of diagnosed and undiagnosed hypothyroidism, hyperthyroidism (subclinical and clinical) and positive thyroid antibodies in the iodine-sufficient Croatian population. The results of our study showed that the prevalence of clinical and subclinical hypothyroidism was 3% and 7.4%, respectively, while the prevalence of clinical and subclinical hyperthyroidism was 0.2% and 1.1%, respectively. Additionally, 17.6% of participants were euthyroid with positive antibodies. Most of these cases had not been previously diagnosed. The prevalence of undiagnosed subclinical and clinical hypothyroidism in our population was 6.9% and 2.8%, respectively, while the prevalence of undiagnosed subclinical and clinical hyperthyroidism was 0.9% and 0.1%, respectively. Thus, in our population, as much as 92.6% of subclinical hypothyroid, 93.9% of clinical hypothyroid, 83% of subclinical hyperthyroid, and 71.4% of clinical hyperthyroid participants were undiagnosed. Clinical hyperthyroid participants were most likely to be diagnosed (OR = 11.4). In addition to a higher prevalence of thyroid disorders, women were also more likely to develop antibody-positive euthyroidism, subclinical hyperthyroidism, clinical hypothyroidism and subclinical hypothyroidism. Men were more likely to be euthyroid. Participants with positive antibodies were more likely to develop subclinical hyperthyroidism, clinical hypothyroidism and subclinical hypothyroidism.
When we compared our results to the results of other studies, the prevalence of hypothyroidism was higher in our country than in most other countries, while the results for hyperthyroidism were quite similar. The first regulation on mandatory iodination of salt in Croatia was established in 1953 with the application of 10 mg of potassium iodide (KI) perkg of salt. Ten years later, a tenfold decrease in goitre was observed in the Croatian population. Research conducted between 1991 and 1993 showed a prevalence of goitre among school children between 8% and 35%. Consequently, 25 mg of KI per kg of salt was proposed and established in 1996 [
14]. In 2009, a study conducted on school children showed iodine sufficiency in terms of urinary iodine concentration, thyroid volume and TSH levels, and therefore we can consider our population as iodine sufficient population [
15]. When analysing the prevalence of hypothyroidism and hyperthyroidism in different countries, several aspects need to be considered. These include the influence of ethnicity, iodine intake, geographical location, the sensitivity of the assays used to detect TSH and thyroid hormone levels, and the lack of consensus on reference ranges [
6,
11]. Therefore, great variability in the prevalence of hypothyroidism and hyperthyroidism between countries has been observed. The largest thyroid function study conducted in the US, NHANES III, estimated that the prevalence of hypothyroidism was 4.6% (0.3% clinical and 4.3% subclinical), while the prevalence of hyperthyroidism was 1.3% (0.5% clinical and 0.7% subclinical) [
5]. The US NHANES III study [
5], and a study from Brazil [
16], reported that individuals of African descent have a lower prevalence of hypothyroidism compared to Caucasians, confirming the strong influence of ethnicity on thyroid dysfunction. However, data on the prevalence of thyroid dysfunction in Africa are scarce due to a lack of population-based studies [
3]. Compared to the NHANES III study, a study of the prevalence of thyroid disease in Colorado showed that the prevalence of hypothyroidism is higher in the US, with 8% of participants having subclinical hypothyroidism and 0.4% having overt hypothyroidism [
17]. A recent US study found that the prevalence of undiagnosed subclinical and overt hypothyroidism was 6.06% and 0.82%, respectively, while the prevalence of undiagnosed subclinical and overt hyperthyroidism was 0.78% and 0.26%, respectively [
11]. Although an increase in hypothyroidism has been reported in most countries implementing an iodination programme, hypothyroidism and hyperthyroidism could be caused by both excess iodine intake and iodine deficiency [
3]. Studies have found both an increase [
18,
19], and a decrease [
20,
21] in the prevalence of hypothyroidism after implementing an iodination programme. To date, many studies have been conducted on the epidemiology of thyroid dysfunction in Europe. Two meta-analyses, one conducted in 2014 [
6], and the other in 2019 [
7], analysed the results of these studies. In a meta-analysis conducted by Garmendia Madariaga et al., it was observed that the prevalence of subclinical and overt hypothyroidism was 3.8% and 0.37%, respectively, while the prevalence of subclinical and overt hyperthyroidism was 2.91% and 0.68%, respectively [
6]. This meta-analysis also showed that the prevalence of undiagnosed hypothyroidism was 4.94%, while the prevalence of undiagnosed hyperthyroidism was 1.72%. In a 2019 meta-analysis, Mendes et al. reported that the prevalence of hypothyroidism was lower among men than among women, with a higher prevalence of subclinical than clinical hypothyroidism in both genders [
7]. In addition to the increased prevalence of hypothyroidism among women, Mendes et al. observed an increase in the prevalence of hypothyroidism with increasing age in Southern and Eastern Europe, compared to Northern and Western Europe. Most of the studies analysed in this meta-analysis (18 out of 21) had upper reference levels for TSH set at 4 mIU/L [
7]. Only three studies had lower upper reference levels for TSH comparable to our study. Thus, two of these studies conducted in Germany and Norway found a lower prevalence of subclinical and clinical hypothyroidism than our study, although both used lower upper reference values for TSH (3.4 mIU/L and 3.5 mIU/L, respectively) [
22,
23]. In a third study, which included only 337 participants from Italy, the authors observed an extremely high prevalence of thyroid dysfunction: 12.5% of patients had subclinical hypothyroidism, 0.3% had overt hypothyroidism (upper reference level for TSH = 3.6 mIU/L), while 2.4% were affected by subclinical hyperthyroidism and 0.9% were affected by overt hyperthyroidism [
24]. Such a high prevalence is probably the result of a very small sample size and low study power. Our study also had a very low upper reference level for TSH (3.6 mIU/L) compared to reference levels from other studies conducted in Europe [
7]. We used the TSH reference range for our population (TSH: 0.3–3.6 mUI/L) [
25]. Since the validation has not been performed in the Croatian population, the cut-off values for TSH used in Croatian clinics are those set by the assay manufacturer for the quantitative TSH test. The relatively higher prevalence of hypothyroidism detected in our population compared to other European countries could be partly due to the stricter upper reference level of TSH applied to our population. Another possible reason may lie in the fact that an increase in the prevalence of hypothyroidism has been reported in Southern Europe [
7,
24]. Although increased iodine intake is associated with an increased prevalence of hypothyroidism, iodine supplementation is encouraged because the benefits are considered to far outweigh the risks [
26]. Potentially interfering drugs (amiodarone, oral steroids, corticosteroids, or estrogens) did not show an effect on thyroid function in our study because the largest number of participants taking such drugs (26/41) was observed in the euthyroid group.
The large sample size represents the strength of this study. A limitation of our study is its cross-sectional design, which made it impossible to take the complete status of the thyroid gland, i.e., at the time of participant recruitment, it was not possible to make a complete clinical examination and an ultrasound of the thyroid gland, so the recorded clinical diagnoses are mainly self-reported. Another limitation of the study is that it was performed in a middle-aged population (mean age 53, 53, 52, 56, 55 and 56 years in euthyroid, euthyroid with positive antibodies, subclinical, clinical hypothyroid, and subclinical and clinical hyperthyroid groups, respectively).
In conclusion, the correct diagnosis of thyroid dysfunction is extremely important due to the detrimental effects of thyroid dysfunction on human health (possible complications in patients with cardiovascular diseases and pregnant women). Our current study showed that a high proportion of thyroid dysfunction remained undiagnosed (as much as 92.6% subclinical hypothyroid, 93.9% clinical hypothyroid, 83% subclinical hyperthyroid, and 71.4% clinical hyperthyroid participants). Another important finding is the high prevalence of hypothyroidism among Croatians. Our study shows that we need to monitor all thyroid disorders because their impact on health depends on how early they are discovered. It is of most importance to invest in prevention programs because thyroid disorders are the leading endocrine disorders today.