Research on Safety Decision-Making Behavior in Megaprojects
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. Construction Megaprojects
2.2. Engineering Safety Management
2.3. Decision-Making Behavior in Megaprojects
3. Evolutionary Game Model Construction
3.1. Basic Assumptions
3.2. Establishment of Benefit Matrix
4. Evolutionary Game Analysis
4.1. Expected Return Function
4.2. Replication Dynamic Equations
4.3. Evolutionary Game Stability Analysis
- (1)
- Stability analysis of pure strategies for construction companies in megaprojects.
- (2)
- Stability analysis of pure strategies for supervision units in megaprojects.
- (3)
- Analysis of the asymptotic stability of behavioral strategies for construction companies and supervisory units in megaprojects.
5. Evolutionary Game Simulation Analysis
5.1. Evolution of the Game Dynamics of a Single Subject’s Independent Behavior on the Behavioral Choices of Both Parties
5.2. The Influence of Exogenous Variables on the Dynamic Evolution of the Game of Behavioral Strategies of a Single Subject
- (1)
- The influence of exogenous variables on the behavioral strategies of mega engineering construction companies.
- (2)
- The effect of exogenous variables on the safety behavioral strategies of supervisory units in megaprojects.
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Subject of the Decision | Parameters | Explanation |
---|---|---|
Parameters of the construction companies | R1 | Proceeds to the construction companies on normal completion of megaprojects |
R3 | Good image and reputational benefits gained by the construction companies when completed positively | |
C1 | Additional costs incurred by the construction companies when actively completed | |
P1 | Penalties in case of speculative behavior of construction companies | |
C2 | Loss of image and reputation in case of speculative behavior of construction companies | |
Parameters of the supervisory units | R2 | Proceeds to the supervisory units upon normal completion of the project |
P2 | Penalties in case of lax supervision by the supervisory units | |
C3 | Additional costs incurred when supervisory units are strictly supervised | |
C4 | Costs incurred when supervisory units are lax in supervision | |
Other parameters | R4 | Benefits of cooperation between the two parties from strict management by the supervisory units when the construction companies are actively completed |
R5 | Other additional benefits from lax supervision by the supervisory units in the event of speculative behavior by the construction companies |
Subjects of Decision | Supervisory Units | ||
---|---|---|---|
Strict Supervision (y) | Lax Supervision (1 − y) | ||
Construction companies | Proactive completion (x) | (R1 − C1 + R3 + R4, R2 − C3 + R4) | (R1 − C1, R2 − P2 − C4) |
Speculative behavior (1 − x) | (R1 − P1 − C2, R2 − C3) | (R1 − P1 − C2 + R5, R2 − P2 − C4 + R5) |
Equilibrium Point | det(J) | tr(J) |
---|---|---|
E1(0,0) | (C2 − C1 + P1 − R5)(C4 − C3 + P2 − R5) | C2 − C1 + P1 − R5+ C4 − C3 + P2 − R5 |
E2(0,1) | (C2 − C1 + P1 + R3 + R4)(C3 − C4 − P2 + R5) | C2 − C1 + P1 + R3 + R4+C3 − C4 − P2 + R5 |
E3(1,0) | (C1 − C2 − P1 + R5)(C4 − C3 + P2 + R4) | C1− C2 − P1 + R5+ C4 − C3 + P2 + R4 |
E4(1,1) | (C1 − C2 − P1 − R3 − R4)(C3 − C4 − P2 − R4) | C1 − C2 − P1 − R3 − R4+ C3 − C4 − P2 − R4 |
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Haiyirete, X.; Gan, X.; Wang, J. Research on Safety Decision-Making Behavior in Megaprojects. Systems 2024, 12, 315. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems12080315
Haiyirete X, Gan X, Wang J. Research on Safety Decision-Making Behavior in Megaprojects. Systems. 2024; 12(8):315. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems12080315
Chicago/Turabian StyleHaiyirete, Xuekelaiti, Xiaochang Gan, and Jian Wang. 2024. "Research on Safety Decision-Making Behavior in Megaprojects" Systems 12, no. 8: 315. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems12080315