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Econometrics, Volume 12, Issue 4

2024 December - 13 articles

Cover Story: Econometrics (ISSN 2225-1146) is an international, peer-reviewed open access journal on econometric modelling and forecasting, as well as new advances in econometrics theory. It publishes reviews, regular research papers, and communications. Our aim is to encourage scientists to publish their experimental and theoretical research in as much detail as possible. For experimental papers, full experimental details are encouraged and allowed to be provided in the paper so that the results can be reproduced.

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Articles (13)

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,399 Views
14 Pages

Dynamic Factor Models and Fractional Integration—With an Application to US Real Economic Activity

  • Guglielmo Maria Caporale,
  • Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana and
  • Pedro Jose Piqueras Martinez

This paper makes a twofold contribution. First, it develops the dynamic factor model of by allowing for fractional integration instead of imposing the classical dichotomy between I(0) stationary and I(1) non-stationary series. This more general setup...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
5,593 Views
17 Pages

We analyze the predictive effect of monthly global, regional, and country-level financial uncertainties on daily gold market volatility using univariate and multivariate GARCH-MIDAS models, with the latter characterized by variable selection. Based o...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,713 Views
23 Pages

This study examines economic policy responses in Brazil during periods of financial stress, with a particular emphasis on the dynamics of both the impulse and rule components of fiscal policy. We offer novel empirical evidence on policy responses und...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,414 Views
35 Pages

This paper proposes the use of Bayesian inference techniques to search for and obtain valid instruments in dynamic panel data models where endogenous variables may exist. The use of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) allows for obtaining a reduced nu...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
2,871 Views
28 Pages

We explore the application of integrated nested Laplace approximations for the Bayesian estimation of stochastic volatility models characterized by long memory. The logarithmic variance persistence in these models is represented by a Fractional Gauss...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
1,891 Views
15 Pages

Hybrid production plants harness diverse climatic sources for electricity generation, playing a crucial role in the transition to renewable energies. This study aims to forecast the profitability of a combined wind–photovoltaic energy system. H...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
4,726 Views
11 Pages

Personal finance research often utilizes Likert-type items and Likert scales as dependent variables, frequently employing standard probit and ordered probit models. If inappropriately modeled, the “neutral” category of discrete dependent...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
1,968 Views
19 Pages

This paper measures the impact of the number of Halton draws in excess of n on technical efficiency in the generalized true random effects (four-component) stochastic frontier model estimated by simulated maximum likelihood. A substanti...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,791 Views
19 Pages

Exploring the Role of Global Value Chain Position in Economic Models for Bankruptcy Forecasting

  • Mélanie Croquet,
  • Loredana Cultrera,
  • Dimitri Laroutis,
  • Laetitia Pozniak and
  • Guillaume Vermeylen

This study addresses a significant gap in the literature by comparing the effectiveness of traditional statistical methods with artificial intelligence (AI) techniques in predicting bankruptcy among small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Traditio...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2,123 Views
19 Pages

A preliminary analysis of the 2018/2019 Austin Travel Survey indicated that most off-campus students in Travis County, TX, tend to use cars rather than more sustainable transportation modes, significantly contributing to traffic congestion and enviro...

  • Article
  • Open Access
21 Citations
4,940 Views
26 Pages

Econometric Analysis of the Sustainability and Development of an Alternative Strategy to Gross Value Added in Kazakhstan’s Agricultural Sector

  • Azat Tleubayev,
  • Seyit Kerimkhulle,
  • Manatzhan Tleuzhanova,
  • Aigul Uchkampirova,
  • Zhanat Bulakbay,
  • Raikhan Mugauina,
  • Zhumagul Tazhibayeva,
  • Alibek Adalbek,
  • Yerassyl Iskakov and
  • Daniyar Toleubay

Based on the systematization of relevant problems in the agricultural sector of Kazakhstan and other countries, the purpose of the research is to aid in the development and implementation of a methodology for the econometric analysis of sustainabilit...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
9,196 Views
20 Pages

Demographic aging results in a growing number of older people in need of care in many regions all over the world. Germany has witnessed steady population aging for decades, prompting policymakers and other stakeholders to discuss how to fulfill the r...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2,097 Views
17 Pages

Estimating the Effects of Credit Constraints on Productivity of Peruvian Agriculture

  • Tiemen Woutersen,
  • Katherine Hauck and
  • Shahidur R. Khandker

This paper proposes an estimator for the endogenous switching regression models with fixed effects. The decision to switch from one regime to the other may depend on unobserved factors, which would cause the state, such as being credit constrained, t...

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Econometrics - ISSN 2225-1146